Crisis in the Kremlin - Our 1988 USSR

Chapter Twenty Two: The Moscow Summit and Andreeva's debut (January 1988 - August 1988)
Chapter Twenty Two: The Moscow Summit and Andreeva's debut (January 1988 - August 1988)

In May 1988 a major change occurred at the one of the highest levels of Soviet politics, although with little real effect. Second General Secretary Dinmukhamed Kunaev finally left his post, following on from his announcement in January, this left one of the highest offices of Soviet politics empty and an election soon followed. Eduard Shevardnadze was successful in his bid for the office of Second General Secretary. Shevardnadze was born on the 25th January 1928 in the village of Mamati, Georgia (Then the Transcaucasian SFSR). From a young age Shevardnadze was exposed to politics, his father was a teacher and a dedicated Communist. In 1948, against the wishes of his anti-communist mother, Shevardnadze joined the Georgian Komsomol as a political instructor. While in this position Shevardnadze graduated from the Higher Party School of the Communist Party of Georgia and soon rose through the ranks to become First Secretary of the Georgian Komsomol in 1956. By 1968 he had become highly regarded in the Party, earning him the position of Interior Minister, where he earned a reputation as a fierce fighter against corruption within the Party. After taking office Shevardnadze asked all leading officials to show him their wrists, ordering those with black-market Western watches to hand them over and replace them with Soviet-made ones. In 1972 First Secretary of the Georgian Communist Party; Vasily Mzhavanadze was forced to resign after facing a corruption scandal, Shevardnadze was seen as a natural replacement and was duly appointed First Secretary. In 1978 Shevardnadze was appointed as a non-voting member of the Politburo, however he remained politically obscure for many years. Though a committed reformer, Shevardnadze wishes to implement his vision for the USSR gradually and opposes Gorbachev’s market ideas. A supporter of Afghan withdrawal and a new round of détente, his time in office will surely ensure a peaceful future for the USSR.

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(Eduard Shevardnadze with Mikhail Gorbachev)

In a monumental step for the Soviet space program, in January 1988 the planned construction of the Orbital Assembly and Operations Centre (OSETS) was announced to the world. Consisting of several enormous 90-ton modules, it will be the largest artificial satellite ever constructed, even larger then the planned MKBS, and will provide a basis for further Soviet exploration of the Solar System, especially in the Lunar and Martian Spheres. The construction of OSETS is expected to begin 1993 according to the following plan:

Launch 1 - DOS 8 - providing housing for the assembly crew. Boosted into orbit by the Proton launch vehicle.
Launch 2 - 90 metric ton module launched by the Energia 14A10 version. This will add the GTAS Payload Transfer and Supply System tug to the basic Energia configuration. The tug will deliver the module to the station, dock it, then depart and deorbit itself.
Launch 3 - Truss and solar arrays, launched by Energia.
Launches 4-6 - additional 90 metric ton modules, launched by Energia
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(An Artist's rendition of OSETS)
The station will be visited by Buran Shuttles, however it's primary method of supply will not be the Buran shuttle but rather by ballistic capsules such as the Progress M-2 and in future the Zarya spacecraft. OSETS will contain several modules dedicated to various fields of scientific study as well as a new experimental robotic arm for maintenance and logistics purposes. Most excitingly of all it will also provide an orbital control centre for further Soviet space efforts, and a logistical hub for missions deeper into space.

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(Mikhail Gorbachev and George Schultz meet in Moscow to discuss the possibility of a joint peace plan)

With the beginning of the First Intifada in Palestine, both the USSR and the USA issued statements affirming their belief in the necessity of negotiations to achieve a lasting peace in the region. With this convergence in policy Secretary of State George Shultz and Minister for Foreign Affairs Mikhail Gorbachev met together in March on the topic of a joint US-Soviet proposal for peace talks. After two weeks of negotiations between the two; the USA and the USSR published the Schultz-Gorbachev Peace Plan on the 28th of March 1988. Whilst the plan did not offer any comprehensive peace plan, leaving out contentious issues such as the status of Jerusalem, it did push for comprehensive negotiations to be held, with representatives from Israel, Palestine, the USA, the USSR, and neighbouring Arab countries. Unfortunately, the peace plan did not receive any welcome from Israeli or Palestinian figures, with Israel objecting to the potential presence of PLO delegates and the PLO viewing the USA's involvement as a ploy to reveal key PLO figures to Israeli authorities. An Israeli spokesman for Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir stated that no negotiations could occur under the pressure of PLO action, stating “If we try to work under pressure, this will be interpreted by the PLO as a victory.” In the wake of the peace plan’s rejection the USSR decided to abandon it's pursuit of a conference, instead maintaining its course of providing humanitarian aid to Palestine, as well as supporting the leftist wing of the PLO. Though wider talks failed, a mutual position on Palestinian affairs was established between the USA and the USSR and the Schultz-Gorbachev plan became a crucial step in the wider Israeli–Palestinian peace process.

The Battle of Cuito Cuanavale was celebrated by Soviet media as a victory for international Socialism. TASS praised the efforts of Angolan and Cuban forces in defeating a reactionary enemy, however in the echelons of Soviet government the reaction was less joyous, with the defence ministry noting that the FAPLA-Cuban forces failed to win a decisive victory, describing the result as "frankly speaking, an impasse". Nonetheless Soviet support for Angola continued and the battle in the following years became known as a model example of socialist internationalism.

The Black Sea Bumping Incident occurred 12th February 1988 when an American Ticonderoga-class cruiser – the USS Yorktown was bumped by a Soviet Krivak-class frigate – the Bezzavetnyy. In the early morning two US Cruisers; Yorktown, and the USS Caron, conducted an innocent passage into Soviet territorial waters in the Black Sea, Caron passed 10km off the Soviet shore whilst Yorktown only drew to 17km. The Commander of the Black Sea Fleet Mikhail Khronopulo received an order from above to intercept the US warships and curb their passage. Bezzavetnyy was tasked with confronting the USS Yorktown whilst the much smaller Mirka-class frigate, the SKR-6 was tasked with the USS Caron. The two ships were significantly smaller than their American counterparts, with the Bezzavetnyy being half the size of the Yorktown and the SKR-6 having a quarter of the size of the USS Caron. At 10:02 local time 20km from the Soviet coast, supervised by Tupolev Tu-16 bombers, SKR-6 bumped the port side of the Caron 18m from bow, Caron received only superficial damage. Bezzavetnyy likewise bumped the USS Yorktown, losing her starboard anchor in the process, the USS Yorktown like the Caron received virtually no damage. Immediately after the bump Bezzavetnyy cleared to port and took station 270m off Yorktown’s port beam. After the bumping neither US warships departed from their original course, another bumping attempt did not take place.

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(The Sword of Qādisiyyah, otherwise known as the Victory Arch, constructed in 1989)

On July 20th 1988 Iran finally accepted UN resolution 598, putting an end to the vicious eight-year conflict that was the Iran-Iraq war. In the face of a new Iraqi offensive, threats of mass chemical attacks and an increasingly discontented leadership Ayatollah Khomeini delivered a reluctant radio address to the world, stating:

“Happy are those who have departed through martyrdom. Happy are those who have lost their lives in this convoy of light. Unhappy am I that I still survive and have drunk the poisoned chalice”

Though the news was greeted by a deep sense of sorrow and bitter disappointment in Tehran, in Baghdad people were jubilant, with accounts of dancing in the streets and spontaneous festivals occurring to celebrate the end of the near decade of slaughter, the Iran-Iraq war was infamous for it's extensive targeting of civilian population centres and use of chemical weapons, the fear of an Iraqi mass chemical attack on Tehran was a major cause of the war's inconclusive end. Ending with no territorial changes between the two powers nor any other concessions, the Iran-Iraq war up to two million people died in the war in brutal conditions, often likened to the western front World War One. Iraq was quick to claim the ceasefire as a 'victory' for Ba'athism and Iraq, drawing parallels with the ancient Battle of al-Qādisiyyah, where the Arab Rashidun Caliphate achieved a crushing victory over the Persian Sassanid Empire. The following year the The Sword of Qādisiyyah, also known as the Victory Arch, was constructed to celebrate Iraq's 'victory' in the Iran-Iraq war, featuring two swords modelled after those used by the Arab general at the Battle of Qādisiyyah in 636 CE.

The Moscow Summit was a meeting between US President Ronald Reagan and Soviet General Secretary Grigory Romanov held from May 29th 1988 to June 3rd 1988. Reagan and Romanov finalised the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) after the US Senate’s ratification of the treaty. Reagan and Romanov discussed issues such as Angola, Israel-Palestine, Central America, and the withdrawal of Soviet troops from Afghanistan. The parties also agreed and signed several agreements on the subject of student and cultural exchanges, fishing rights, and most importantly discussed the possibility of expanded trade relations between the USA and USSR.
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(Ronald Reagan waving and meeting Soviet citizens in Moscow)

Through the 1970s trade between the two countries averaged 1%, peaking in 1979 at US$4.5B. The Soviet Union ran a trade deficit with the United States for the majority of its history, especially in the early years of Romanov’s rule as the USSR aggressively imported western computing technology and industrial equipment, however through 1985-1987 the USSR has slowed down it’s imports whilst increasing it’s exports, in 1987 total trade between the US and the USSR amounted to US$4.3B. The USSR exported chemical goods, raw metals (including gold), and petroleum products in addition to cotton, alcohol and fish to the USA and received mainly agricultural goods in return (a mixture of fertilisers and grain). The value of exports to the USSR from the USA amounted to US$2.6B, half of which consisted of agricultural products, one-quarter industrial equipment and one-quarter high technology. Competition from other parts of the world, improvements in Soviet grain production and industrial quality as well as the rapid computerization promoted by Romanov’s reforms greatly contributed to the increases in Soviet-American trade and trade is only expected to grow as the Soviet Union economically liberalises and expands. At the summit Reagan agreed to lift some controls on high technology exports to the USSR as well as allow for US companies to operate within the USSR, in turn, Romanov agreed to formally end the state monopoly on the US economy, allowing for foreign private companies to operate within the USSR as part of a small market sector, whilst retaining state dominance. The Moscow Summit marked a new chapter in US-Soviet relations and also marked a turning point in Soviet society, as private companies were allowed to formally operate for the first time since the NEP.

Outside of economic matters the two leaders also discussed a collective ban on nuclear testing, joint US-Soviet space missions, and further resolutions on arms reduction. Reagan and Romanov were friendly to each other; discussing many topics such as cinema and literature. However, Reagan often insisted on holding long debates on the subject of Marxism-Leninism and the failings of socialist ideology, a topic which he was woefully underprepared for in the face of Romanov’s socialist education, often embarrassing himself before the Soviet delegation. Nonetheless the Moscow Summit was a great success for both powers, and Reagan even invited Romanov to visit New York alongside him in December, a proposal which Gorbachev urged Romanov to accept, viewing it as a chance to further improve relations and the American public image of the USSR.

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(Nina Andreeva in 1988)
‘I Cannot Forsake My Principles’ was an essay published in the newspaper ‘Soviet Russia’ on March 13th 1988, in it the Soviet chemistry lecturer Nina Andreeva wrote a scathing criticism of the reformers who had begun to appear in Soviet media in the mid-1980s during Romanov’s political liberalisation of the country. In this period Soviet media began to openly criticise government policy for the first time in decades and opened up to new political voices who wished to reform the country, sometimes even containing open denouncement of socialist ideals, though these cases were incredibly rare and often suppressed. Regardless during ‘Restalinisation’, as it became to be known, both reformist figures and government condemned Stalin’s ‘excesses’ such as the NKVD’s execution of the Great Purge or the population transfer (deportations) that occurred under Stalin. Andreeva wrote that the purges were “being blown way out of proportion” and complained of “unrelenting criticism of Stalin” from the reformist wing of the Party. Of the reformers, in 1989 Andreeva said to David Remnick of the Washington Post: “Under Stalin the country built socialism for 30 years […] Our media are lying about Stalin now. They are blackening our history." And "The political structure of an anti-socialist movement is taking place in the form of democratic unions and popular fronts." Andreeva spoke positively of the ‘New Left’ faction of the CPSU and praised their dedication to socialist ideas in the face of “Capitalist-roaders”. Andreeva’s essay was politically significant as it marked a new chapter in Soviet politics, where the far-left and the far-right of the CPSU clashed publicly, inspiring new debates and new ideas on the governance and ideology of the USSR. The Maoist political figure, recently pardoned from his 7-year prison sentence, Alexei Razlatsky praised the essay and vowed his support for Andreeva alongside other New Left politicians.

Votes of the Day

1. With Soviet presence in Afghanistan becoming increasingly untenable, What decision should the USSR make on a potential Afghan withdrawal?

2. How should the USSR react to the Black Sea Bumping Incident?

3. How should General Secretary Romanov respond to Reagan’s invitation?

4. How should the government, if at all, respond to Andreeva’s essay?

5. With the USSR market finally opening partially to foreign companies, how should the USSR regulate these companies? Which sectors require the most investment and how will the USSR attract them?
 
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This is a continuation of Crisis in the Kremlin - Our 1982 USSR, a TL written by @panpiotr, who has decided to leave the writing of the TL to me so he can focus on his other projects. If you're new then feel free to read up on the old thread (https://www.alternatehistory.com/fo...e-kremlin-our-1982-ussr.541940/#post-24199154) for background. This will be my first time writing a TL so any criticism or feedback would be more then welcome. So, without further ado, let's begin :)
 
This is a continuation of Crisis in the Kremlin - Our 1982 USSR, a TL written by @panpiotr, who has decided to leave the writing of the TL to me so he can focus on his other projects. If you're new then feel free to read up on the old thread (https://www.alternatehistory.com/fo...e-kremlin-our-1982-ussr.541940/#post-24199154) for background. This will be my first time writing a TL so any criticism or feedback would be more then welcome. So, without further ado, let's begin :)
Great to see the sequel, I wish you all the best with it - I will post my vote later.
 
1. With Soviet presence in Afghanistan becoming increasingly untenable, What decision should the USSR make on a potential Afghan withdrawal?
Keep to the current schedule and finish the withdrawal at the end of 1989.

2. How should the USSR react to the Black Sea Bumping Incident?
Im unsure on this one, but can we please stop these juvenile provocations.

3. How should General Secretary Romanov respond to Reagan’s invitation?
He should accept, this is a great chance ease global tensions.

4. How should the government, if at all, respond to Andreeva’s essay?
Keep pur policy regarding stalin, without looking critically at ourselves and learning from the past we cannot achieve socialism.

5. With the USSR market finally opening partially to foreign companies, how should the USSR regulate these companies? Which sectors require the most investment and how will the USSR attract them?

We should not compromise on worker treatment, adequate wages and protections are a must. Im currently at work, so ill try to get back to the rest later
.

Ok, @Rinasoir has the better plan, so im voting for them.
 
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Votes of the Day

1. With Soviet presence in Afghanistan becoming increasingly untenable, What decision should the USSR make on a potential Afghan withdrawal?

2. How should the USSR react to the Black Sea Bumping Incident?

3. How should General Secretary Romanov respond to Reagan’s invitation?

4. How should the government, if at all, respond to Andreeva’s essay?

5. With the USSR market finally opening partially to foreign companies, how should the USSR regulate these companies? Which sectors require the most investment and how will the USSR attract them?
1. Withdraw in spring 1989 and allow the Afghani government to fight the Taliban on its own, with our financial and military support, but without involving our troops.

2. Send a formal protest at the UN forum.

3. Agree to visit, our top priority should be getting an open access to the world market. Currently the US is using structural advantages to limit our economic and industrial potential.

4. Support it - without comrade Stalin there would be no USSR!

5. Focus on cooperation in fields of computers, semiconductors and automatization.
 
1. With Soviet presence in Afghanistan becoming increasingly untenable, What decision should the USSR make on a potential Afghan withdrawal?
I'm in agreement with @panpiotr's plan but also support a creation of a Afghani intelligent agency to help.
2. How should the USSR react to the Black Sea Bumping Incident?
Again same as @panpiotr's plan but prepare evidence if the US attempts to veto or something.
3. How should General Secretary Romanov respond to Reagan’s invitation?
I support it as to ease tension but be cautious about it as there would be someone that will try to take advantage of Romanov's visit.
4. How should the government, if at all, respond to Andreeva’s essay?
I agree with @panpiotr's but remain neutral about it.
5. With the USSR market finally opening partially to foreign companies, how should the USSR regulate these companies? Which sectors require the most investment and how will the USSR attract them?
I'm for a mix of @chipsy_21's and @panpiotr's plan.
 
First of all my thanks to @Altlov for deciding to continue the thread.

Secondly, these would be my proposals.

1 - Continue the gradual withdrawal from Afghanistan, but still, doing some small-scale operations (eliminate Taliban leaders, intelligence gathering...) and offering support to Afghan operations

2 - Firstly, congratulate the sailors for their defense of the Soviet coasts, secondly, increase patrols, and thirdly, inform the United States that new provocations would not be tolerated, and that if they continue to occur, it could affect the relations between both powers.

3 - By attending, it will improve relations, likewise, it can be used to reach some commercial agreements with companies outside the government.

4 - Allowing it to be discussed can serve to probe the feelings of the population, whether the majority is in favor, against or indifferent to its content, and act accordingly.

5 - Firstly, I believe that they should be located in port areas, creating free zones in some coastal cities to allow the establishment of these industries; Special regulations may be established, but maintaining the legislation on important issues.
Secondly, in terms of companies to establish, I would opt for 3 (petrochemicals, consumer goods, technological goods)

- Petrochemical: Given that the USSR and some COMECON nations are oil producers, allowing the establishment of some foreign companies would allow training Soviet workers to develop their own industry in the future.

- Consumer goods: certain consumer goods (soft drinks, clothing, canned food) there are certain Western products that are desired and grant a certain level of status. Starting to produce them on the one hand will avoid the loss of currency and deal a severe blow to the black market.

- Technological goods: not only in relation to communications or computers, but also more traditional technologies (such as radio), allowing the entry of technological companies will avoid having to buy production rights, while allowing copying, studying and starting the production of its own line (similar to what China did)
 
I'll back @panpiotr on all subjects.

Regarding question 5 @panpiotr and @ruffino proposal. Though I'll also add that we should also focus on automotive industry, but otherwise i would like to add following:

Regarding regulations, weell to operate a business within USSR, foreign investors must incorporate a foreign-invested enterprise (FIE) in USSR and obtain a business licence for it, issued by the local government. The incorporation of an FIE must be reported to (or approved by) and filed/registered with the revelant Soviet authorities (for example ministry of Trade/Commerce, other local authorities like for example, tax authorities and foreign exchange authorities etc).

Incentives for investors and grants to domestic (state ) companies are:

I'm generally assuming that we already allowed self management and independence from the center for certain state Companies (relevant for Computing, Automotive industry etc) and that we allowed them to keep their profits and reinvest them, but besides that on a national level, special incentives can be granted to encourage the development of specific technologies or industries. For example, if a company is classed as a "high-tech enterprise, or Computing company", it enjoys various tax reductions or supporting funds granted by governments. For example, its income tax rate will be 15%, rather than 25%, otherwise we offer cheaper energy and on certain hours even free energy, cheaper resources (but still with a reasonable cost,etc) .

At a local level, governments can grant preferential policies to attract investors, such as granting a subsidy for renting premises, local tax reductions and so on. How these grants are granted to domestic and relevant forgein companies is up to the national and local governments to sort out.

Otherwise just for forgein companies local governments can grant specific incentives to attract investment, such as providing easy access to visa and other approvals, premises with nominal rent and tax breaks for management, depending on the negotiations done with the local government etc.
 
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1. With Soviet presence in Afghanistan becoming increasingly untenable, What decision should the USSR make on a potential Afghan withdrawal?
I'll add my support to @panpiotr's proposal with the addition as made by @ruffino
2. How should the USSR react to the Black Sea Bumping Incident?
Again I'll add my support to @panpiotr's proposal and with @ruffino's proposal of stepping up patrols.
3. How should General Secretary Romanov respond to Reagan’s invitation?
Again, adding my support to @panpiotr's proposal.
4. How should the government, if at all, respond to Andreeva’s essay?
I'll add my agreement to @ruffino's proposal
5. With the USSR market finally opening partially to foreign companies, how should the USSR regulate these companies? Which sectors require the most investment and how will the USSR attract them?
I'll add my agreement to @panpiotr and @ruffino's proposals with the additional points made by Kriss, and the important point made by @chipsy_21.
 
Hey @Altlov I have a suggestion if you don't mind I believe in this continuation of the game it's better to have a voting system like in sb and sv, where you vote by plan for example:

[X] Plan Use the Money
-[x] option a
-[x] option d

Then people can just vote by posting the Plan. It's easier to count as a GM in my opinion.
[X] Plan Use the Money.
 
I support @panpiotr proposal. I would also add to it by making sure that media control reaches the level of China's censorship. We wouldn't want any incidents of counterrevolutionary activity.
 
Before anything else, I must say that is a fucking glorious mustache on that man in the picture between Gorby and Schultz.

1. With Soviet presence in Afghanistan becoming increasingly untenable, What decision should the USSR make on a potential Afghan withdrawal?

Gradual withdrawal while still retaining capabilities to support Afghan operations as needed. Some targeted missions to eliminate who we can would be advisable, but our ultimate goal should be to get out while we still can. If possible, we should consider looking to pressure the Afghan government to start working with the more "tolerable" Afghan leaders so that we don't have need to go back in 20 years...

2. How should the USSR react to the Black Sea Bumping Incident?


I support @ruffino on this matter

3. How should General Secretary Romanov respond to Reagan’s invitation?


He should accept, international good will is cheaply bought and worth its weight in gold. If possible it should serve as part of a larger trade mission to the US to enhance our actions under topic 5.

4. How should the government, if at all, respond to Andreeva’s essay?


Allowing it to be discussed is one thing, allowing her to jeopardize the fragile relations with the groups affected by Stalin's excesses is another. We can not be seen to be backing down on our reforms, nor can we be seen to be now reversing position on Stalin. I would advocate for a public perception of ignoring her criticisms but to put a very good team of KGB agents on her to keep an eye for anything that may be of use for dealing with her if she continues on her path and goes too far.

5. With the USSR market finally opening partially to foreign companies, how should the USSR regulate these companies? Which sectors require the most investment and how will the USSR attract them?


For the regulation of companies, we should make it clear to these foreign companies of two requirements. The first, rather straight forward is that these will be branches of their corporations incorporating in the Soviet Union and required to abide by Soviet law, and not the wild and open environment they already know. While this may seem nearly redundant, it is important that they have no doubts about where we stand. The second requirement will be that any branch that incorporates within the Soviet Union must have at least three Soviet Citizens operating on its board overseeing operations and management of the corporation branch. There will doubtless be some concerns over this, but if they wish to operate in the Soviet Union and hire Soviet workers, then they will have to deal with the Soviet Workers being represented at all levels. That it would also more easily facilitate corporate espionage is a helpful bonus.

As for which sectors should be prioritized, equal attention should be paid towards the areas which we are dependent on (half of our US imports are agricultural goods, enticing US agri-sector corporations could allow us to produce domestically and tip the trade balance further in our favour) and the other attention should be paid to the high-tech sector to allow our continued efforts to prepare the Union for the march into the 21st century. It would also be advisable to allow a select number of consumer industries to enter into the Soviet Economy, allow our people some variety to spend their money on other than Mokba's and Vodka.
 
I am very grateful to @Altlov for continuing this TL and mataining its high quality.

1. With Soviet presence in Afghanistan becoming increasingly untenable, What decision should the USSR make on a potential Afghan withdrawal?
Withdraw most of the forces, leave some advisors and possibly Spetsnaz units to hunt Taliban leadership; perhaps limited air strikes. Press the pro-Soviet Afghani to make some kind of deal with more moderate mujahedins. Continue military and economic help.

2. How should the USSR react to the Black Sea Bumping Incident?

Captains and the crews of the Soviet ships should be publicly praised for doing their duty. Condemn American provocation and express your concern that such incident might easily and quickly excalate. "Our sailors are brave and well trained, by they are only human. What if one them makes a mistake which shall lead to a castrophy? What if one of the Americans make such a mistake? Why do the Americans have to tempt fate? We do not such things. Do we really want to risk a bloody conflict because some US admiral wanted to show how big ship he has?".
Repeat such words in every newspaper, tv, radio etc.

3. How should General Secretary Romanov respond to Reagan’s invitation?

Accept it, but he should take Gorby with him as a more friendly face. Compare open hands of the USSR with American sabre-rattling (see above).

4. How should the government, if at all, respond to Andreeva’s essay?
5. With the USSR market finally opening partially to foreign companies, how should the USSR regulate these companies? Which sectors require the most investment and how will the USSR attract them?

In both cases I agree with @ruffino
 
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