Thank you all very much for your kind comments and your well spotted typos!
Nah I don't think so - the Sino-German alliance of OTL will keep going as long as it looks like China has a chance - the same Chiang will lead to the same outcome - Max Bauer or no Max Bauer.
Having an Axis China TL where Chiang's personality is still essentially the same will be an Axis China which is essentially millstone around Germany's neck.
As for the fate of Japan - I'm at odds about what to do - part of me thinks that Japan will stilll launch a Pacific war for control of the 'Souther Resource Area" - free from the distraction of a China front Japan may well do better than OTL.
Well, a Sino-Japanese War ITTL would be fun. This time around China will do better and put an end to Japanese imperialism in Japan's version of Barbarossa prematurely.
Anyway, when's the next update?