Why is there an assumption that without the Nazis political antisemitism would be business as usual rather than escalate? Some of these scenarios indicate Jews willing to be slave labour and penal battalions. I would think the prospect would send them looking for anywhere but Europe...
Why would this eliminate the Iraqi Pro Nazi revolt? This was instigated by the Nazis not the Vichy regime. Were the rebels counting on Vichy France to aid or secure their flanks? I have not read anything about their strategic thinking. Most likely the revolt would still go on but be crushed...
Is the POD no nazis or no WW2? If there are no nazis but WW2 still occurs do the Germans get crushed again with out a Hitler messing up the army's plans? If they do then the Russian advance throughout eastern Europe , Stalin's desire to oust the British from the mid east and his own hatred...
The assumption that the Arab/Muslim leaders would care about Western opinion enough to spare the Jews is projection. The concept of world opinion is a construction of late 20th century media. Information did not travel that fast. Furthermore it projects late 20th century/early 21st century...
We likely won't see the post gulf war regional conference which spawned the Oslo peace process. Arafat remains marginalized. This may allow the local leadership to take a more prominent role in starting negotiations with the Israelis. Anti missile systems get delayed as the example of SCUDs over...
No the point is everyone Arab and Israeli thought of it as a zero sum game and the fact that the Arab / Palestinian group overestimated themselves and lost does not make them sympathetic figures in any way.
The Arab side was actively boasting that the war in '48 would be a massacre to rival the Mongol invasions. Given how effective the Nazis were in bringing European style antisemitism to the Arab world, a massacre would have been inevitable had they won.
Sadat get's "retired" when he tries to send home his Soviet Advisors. His successor selected by Moscow, initiates the Yom Kippur war with the same mistakes made on both sides. However, this time around the US has no interest in saving the Egyptian third army after Sharon's counter crossing...
The reason it ended was that the Saudis quickly learned that if they don't sell their oil to the West they don't eat. It didn't help that it spurred the exploration of North sea oil, Alaskan oil, Mexican gulf oil places that were not commercially viable until the embargo raised the price of oil.