We can't go back to Constantinople
Society, Culture, and Law in Central Asia
(and the broader Eftal world)

The 4th to the 8th centuries were at time of major changes in the material culture of Central Asia and Persia. These changes are perhaps best viewed as a series of waves - contraction and crisis followed by short-term expansion which inevitably contracted due to environmental and political factors.

During the 4th and 5th centuries, the predecessors of the Hephthalites, the Chionites, did immense damage to the urban culture of the one thriving region, and brought about economic crisis and decentralization.

Archeological evidence shows that agriculture did not recover until the period of Shah Akhshunwar, when large fields of cereal crops and cotton can be again found. Irrigation systems were reintroduced and the Hephthalite tribes which would coalesce into the broader social group known as "Eftal" began to build lavish palaces - of which the royal palace-city of Piandjikent is perhaps the best example. Striking artistic works, jewelry, and oranmented weapons have been found in these sites, in styles heavily influenced by Persian and Indian culture.

Into the sixth century, many of these palaces began to develop into proper cities. The conquest of Persia allowed a chaotic amalgam of tribal arrangements and ancestral ties to coalesce into a proper state. Tribal rulers became Satraps, and bureaucrats were sent forth to collect taxes on these growing urban areas. Careful city planning becomes more commonplace, and archeological digs have revealed goods from global sources. During the invasion of Persia, irrigation fell into neglect and population dropped significantly. Cities shrank and many sites show signs of abandonment. While the Hephthalites were more than willing to patronize urban regions and accommodate them, many traditional urban sites would not recover fully until the seventh century. By contrast, there was a proliferation of small urban sites, walled and centered around local sources of water. These formed a hallmark of Hephthalite and later Eftal settlement, especially in peripheral such as Syria and Osrhoene and Sogdiana and Tokharestan. These "castles" contributed to the defense of these regions and enabled them to survive endemic raiding and sporadic times of upheaval and civil war.

In times of upheaval, these "Satraps" and local nobles would quickly revert to the complex tribal alliances that underpinned their legitimacy. As much as they integrated in dress, language, and culture into the broader Iranian world, the Eftal political system remained distinct from that of their more autocratic subjects. By the sixth and seventh centuries, we have written legal codes from the Eftal, confirming the earlier accounts of foreign travelers. Law tended to be strict, with the only mercy being that minor crimes were often overlooked or settled by inter-tribal arrangements. Those under Eftal rule who could not take advantage of such connections were at a severe disadvantage - a disadvantage which explains why the Persian mercantile, artisanal, and noble classes all frequently attempted to marry into this tribal network - ultimately ensuring that tribal loyalty would penetrate all levels of Eftal society save the lowest.

Hephthalite succession law was complex. Written codes indicate that from the earliest times, only "the best" could rule. There was no allowance for heredity in these early codes. Rulers regardless of rank were expected to choose a worthy successor and receive the acceptance of their companions and tribal affiliates. In practice, primogeniture was occasionally used, and the ruling family frequently sought to consolidate power - but these early codes provided legal legitimacy to pretenders and usurpers because of their vagueness and factions developing amongst the companions. Court title and ritual in the early period was primarily derived from Kushan and Chionite precedent, but this would slowly evolve, taking on Persian and Roman elements. As it did so, among the Eastern Eftal in particular the role of the companions would become smaller and smaller, until ultimately they were reduced to an elite bodyguard unit and a pool from which talented commanders could be drawn. Because of their lack of blood ties to important dynasties, the companions could be trusted more than many of the powerful clans within Eftal society.

In the seventh century as Turkic raiding would become more pronounced, we see the trend shifting towards economic and social crisis. While few cities actively shrunk, growth and new urban foundations became rare. The fortification of monasteries and religious sites became prominent. Escape into these sites became a common method for the common people to avoid raids, as the Turks respected the sanctity of Buddhist sites in particular, despite their frequent wealth and relative vulnerability.

The flight of the Asvha due to these raids marks the end of a growing agrarian culture in Asvhastan and a return to the traditional nomadism of that region. Unlike the Hephthalites, the broader Eftal world, and the Sahu, the Asvha were newer converts to the sedentary life, and their abandonment of it also marked the end of their distinct culture and rapid assimilation into the Eftal. It would seem the majority of the Asvha settled on the central Iranian plateau, accepting a place in the Eftal social hierarchy and the loss of their independence in exchange for safety. Their migration is but a single example of the broader collapse of semi-settled culture around the Aral sea region, even as it endured and weathered the storm in many parts of Central Asia.

A Look to the East

Past the sweeping plains and arid deserts of Central Asia, China, long at turmoil, was once again reunited. The Ruru had been driven back, the tottering, deeply decentralized Liang dynasty overthrown after a series of peasant rebellions. An ambitious general named Yang Baxian, promoted to deal with both the Ruru and peasants rioting in the wake of famine accumulated power to himself until in 620 he dethroned the Liang Emperor, establishing the Qi dynasty.

Baxian, more commonly known by his ruling name, Wen, embarked on a massive program to centralize and strengthen his new China, unified for the first time in centuries. Chang'an was restored, and the Nine Ministries created, an immense, regulated bureaucracy which was given expansive powers to reorganize society and address the concerns of the common peasantry. Emperor Wen however distrusted his fellow Generals, perhaps recognizing how he himself came to power. He surrounded himself with a loyal corps of Turkic soldiers, a palace guard of sorts, and he kept his commanders on the frontier, frequently rotating them between postings, something which would overtime degrade the effectiveness of the army.

Like many of his predecessors, Wen portrayed himself as a Chakravatin. "May all the world between the Four Seas be brought to enlightenment and be governed by dharma." He proclaimed in the first of many edicts. In many senses he was not dissimilar from Rajyavardhana, but unlike Rajyavardhana, he had a greater tradition of centralization to work with - the Gupta had never been quite as expansive as the whole of China, and though they certainly possessed a strong bureaucracy it did not rival the Chinese tradition.

Meanwhile, to his north, a power vacuum was developing. With Khagan Kultegin's death, his ancestor's steppe Empire collapsed overnight. Old animosities exploded, and a northern tribe called the Kirkur aligned themselves with a Uighur Khan named Bayanchur and rose in rebellion against the Ashina clan - who struggled to find a well-respected replacement for Kultegin Shad. This led to a snowballing series of wars, beginning the displacement and migration of a new set of Turkic tribes. The displacement of the Gokturks would spell the permanent demise of the Eftal-Turkic treaty system which had provided relative peace and safety for transcontinental travelers. As the power of the Uighurs grew, they found themselves confronted by the Basmyl and the Kimeks, and this warfare left only the southern desert roads safe for travel - and even they became more risky.

Attempts by the Eftal to renegotiate these treaties were met with no successes. The "Four Turkic Nations" or the Turgish, Qarluq, Kangar, and Qangli all were feeling pressure to migrate west, leading to more common outbreaks of violence on the frontier. Those who headed north came into contact with the growing hegemony of the Xasar-Sahu, and those who headed south came to blows with Eftal tribal groups along the borders, notably the Asvha, many of whom fled deeper into the Eftal Empire. The two settled, Iranian states would be forced from 640-650 on to confront increasing pressures which the battle of Spahan had ultimately only exacerbated.

Syavush's Legacy

Queen Hafsa, the four-year old Prince Heshana, and Koshnavaz would, after their escape from Emesa, quickly arrive in Al-Jabiyah, where they would be greeted warmly by Hafsa's kin. Arabs who owed their fortunes to the elder Heshana and Syavush alike, they had sent back only the decapitated head of Shahriyar's embassy. However, no sooner had they done so than some might have regretted their rash decision. Nanivadh, the onetime rival of Syavush's for the throne, had come to a deal with Artavazda. He would rule the Satrapy of Palestine as Syavush's successor.

Though Nanivadh lacked Syavush's charisma and personal touch, he had fought alongside his younger cousin with distinction, and in the eyes of many Eftal, he was a better alternative than a four-year old child. With the northern Eftal mollified to a large degree, the situation was slipping out of the hands of Hafsa's faction. Al-Jabiyah was defensible, and most of the Arabs and a not insignificant number of Jews and Eftal supported the young Heshana (who was helped in no small part by the legacy of his namesake).

Raising an army, Koshnavaz and Hafsa's cousin, Aiham, prepared to face down the inevitable invasion from Emesa, where Mihiradata had finally linked up with Artavazda. Together the two Eftal commanders had an army of perhaps 75,000 men, and the primary army that Syavush had raised had either melted away or been disbanded. There was little hope for anything more than a delaying action, harassing the massive Eftal army as it swept through hollow Syria. Ultimately, they were able to achieve relatively little, and finally, despairing, Koshnavaz sent Aiham and the bulk of his forces south. Queen Hafsa arrived in Egypt and was well received. The Monophysite population rallied around them, seeing the young child as the best hope for a truly Christian King in Egypt. New forces were trained and mercenaries hired, but the army was nevertheless small, and would only truly begin to grow after the arrival of Aiham, who was himself baptized two weeks after his arrival.

Koshnavaz meanwhile, made a final stand at Al-Jabiyah with a group of Syavush's companions and a motley force of warriors. Attempting to gain the sympathy of the populace (and little more - he was a devout pagan according to most Eftal historians, a fact corroborated by his criticism of Syavush's decision to be baptized) he ordered his soldiers to paint crosses onto their shields. This act would build in the retelling into a defense of Christianity against a massively superior heathen army - it would become the subject of poems and tall tales, be embellished with miracles and heroic last words. Regardless of the truth, Koshnavaz and his retainers were ultimately slaughtered. Artavazda, eager to subdue what he now saw as rebellious territory, ordered a series of sacks of coastal cities such as Tyros which refused to surrender on his arrival.

[FONT=&quot]Only after subduing Palestine totally did the Eftal general turn his attention to Egypt.

[/FONT] No we can't go back to Constantinople

The Bulgar Siege of Constantinople was, appropriately, a tremendous affair. Having struck a temporary treaty with the Avars to their north, Khagan Sulabi was free to draw on the tremendous resources of his young state without fear out outside interference. All the other European territories of the Romans had fallen with ease - the shrunken, dilapidated cities and depopulated countrysides were easy pickings for a Bulgar army said by the Roman historians to number over a hundred thousand (hardly a realistic estimate).

The territories around the lower half of the Danube were some of the most populous and least ruined by war in the whole of the Balkans - having been securely under the patrimony of the current Hunno-Bulgarian dynasty for some time, and thus being capable of supporting a large population of Slavic migrants.

Of the extensive siege works built by Constantine in his attempt to regain his city, the engines and palisades had been wrecked, but the ditches and latrines were still viable, and the defensive walls were quickly repaired and expanded. Meanwhile, the Bulgar fleet, under the Khagan's son and heir, Asparukh, while keeping a respectful distance of the city walls, was able to prevent food shipments from reaching the capital. Constantine's own devastated fleet now possessed the Usurper's Fire, but the first attempt to use it resulted in the annihilation of a large stockpile without any effect. The second time it was used to greater effect, but the Bulgar fleet could not be entirely annihilated, and the land siege continued.

The Bulgars concentrated their efforts on the weaker Blachernae walls, where there was but a single line of defenses, and the Second Military Gate. Waves of Slavic soldiers were able to gain significant ground, including several footholds on the first line of walls, but Constantine had concentrated some of his elite guardsmen in the Blachernae and there the Slavs were repulsed with heavy casualties. Unable to cut off the city's food supply, victory for the Bulgars depended absolutely on control of the walls. However, as the months wore on, the Bulgar army began to be bled thin with little to show for it. However, with a new fleet, built using expertise gleaned from a group of Mauri shipwrights and Langobard mercenaries, the Bulgars were able to bring freshly levied soldiers and a fresh naval force to the siege. Despite heavy losses from the Fire, the Bulgar fleet was able to finally destroy the atrophied Roman navy, and the City's defenders drew up the harbor chain.

Assaults on the city's Sea Walls began in the second year of the siege. Towers were mounted atop two galleys lashed together, and with favorable winds the contraptions were able to truly threaten the city, forcing the Romans to spread their forces thin. Starvation began to break out amongst the defenders, who themselves were unable to bring on fresh soldiers from the East due to Bulgar naval superiority. And yet, for all of this, the Bulgars were suffering even more. A new Avar Khagan, Zavargan, had risen to power, and raids deep into Bulgar territory caused much of the Bulgar besieging force to break away.

With this news, the Romans sallied forth and dealt a crushing blow to the remaining forces - and with the siege on land broken and rumors of a new fleet being constructed in Asia, the Bulgar fleet retreated, allowing fresh food and soldiers into the city. Emperor Constantine took part in massive public celebrations thanking the Virgin Mary for the victory over the "massed armies of the Huns." When the siege began anew in 636, the Roman navy was able to deal yet another crippling defeat to its Bulgar counterpart, and within twenty days sally forth.

Constantine's cavalry were brutally mauled by hidden metal spikes laid by the defenders and subsequent volleys of arrows by the Bulgar army, but the disciplined, veteran Roman infantry, accustomed to standing their ground against reversals and retreating only when truly overwhelmed, held their own and routed the undisciplined Slavic levies arrayed against them. Only the personal intervention of Sulabi was able to stem the rout and push back the unsupported Roman infantrymen, who took great pleasure in burning sections of the Bulgar camp as they retreated.

Sulabi, vexed at every turn, did not lack for patience. Constantinople's capture became a fixation. The city's advanced walls resisted his engines with almost contemptuous ease. Attempts to mine the walls had been defeated by effective Roman counter-mining, and been almost as costly as his failed naval attacks. For seven days he prayed and offered sacrifices to the gods, and missives to the Eftal offering them all of Roman Asia in exchange for their assistance. From a preoccupied and overstretched Shahriyar he received no encouragement. Upon reading the Shah's reply, his son Asparukh encouraged his father to make peace with the Romans, but the Khagan refused until his troops erupted into open mutiny - incensed at their losses, they refused to mount another assault on the city.

Finally, concealing the fact that his own soldiers had nearly deposed him, Sulabi finally met Constantine beneath the walls, and the two Emperors signed a truce honoring the current status quo.

[Sorry that the last section is essentially a huge post wherein nothing happens. But it will have immense ramifications for the future of both the Bulgarian and Roman Empires down the line, both of whom are pretty exhausted by this slugfest for all of nothing. Constantinople in this timeline is much reduced from the version of it that exists at the same time OTL (no Hagia Sofia, for example, smaller population) but it's still the toughest fortress-city that I can think of, and the Roman bureaucracy is pretty good at coping with shortages, given that shortages have been the story of their life since Anatolia was depopulated/settled by Alans and Egypt was lost.]
 
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Holy War and Deccan
The First Holy War
For the Monophysite population of Egypt, it would take a miracle to deliver them from the hands of the Eftal army. Fortunately, they believed wholeheartedly that their God could deliver such miracles. After a five month siege of Gaza, it was some twenty thousand Egyptian soldiers that sought to deny the Nile crossing of some fifty thousand Eftal. Despite being outnumbered and poorly equipped, the Egyptian army had high morale bordering on outright fanaticism and an elite corps of Eftal and Arab soldiers. As Artavazda built rafts and waited (while secretly planning to effect a crossing several miles south) the Copts sang hymns and shouted jeering taunts across the lazy course of the Nile.

Artavazda had hoped for far more men, but the depletion of the main Eftal army can be attributed to Mihiradata remaining in greater Syria with a large force of his own, campaigning against the various partisan forces arrayed in favor of Heshana. Despite his political acumen, Mihiradata was a poor commander - he stalled and exercised caution when decisive force was called for, and had a frequent habit of overestimating the foes arrayed against him, much as he had in Anatolia. Finally, a year later, the Shah recalled him and replaced him with one Ariasb of Hariy, a favored hunting partner who had distinguished himself in the campaigns against the Turks.

Meanwhile, Artavazda's plan was complete. Under the cover of darkness his army moved south and crossed near Hvarabad, but defectors in his camp had forewarned the Egyptian army. As the first rafts came ashore and columns of infantry waded out into the marsh, the more lightly equipped but mobile Egyptian soldiers fell on them in great numbers. Well-armored, many Eftal sunk and drowned, and they could not bring their peerless cavalry to bear in any numbers.

Despite relatively light casualties, the defeat was a stinging one. Supplies were running low - raids prevented Artavazda from establishing regular supply and rationing was in effect. Morale dipped low, and the Eftal were unable to utilize any of their advantages while the Egyptians could merely bide their time. During the second attempt to cross, Artavazda was struck by an arrow, and the festering infection left it to his second-in-command to organize the retreat back to Pelousion, and from there back across the desert. Artavazda would die in Gaza and with him the dream of Egypt would be put on hold. Negotiations recognized the young Heshana's rule over Egypt and also free transit for pilgrims to Jerusalem.

Syavush's legacy would endure. The regime's loyalists fled south to Egypt en masse in the ensuing months, against the often-violent persecution of Ariasb. This exodus, while relatively insignificant in total numbers, helped to preserve the hybrid Eftal-Arab culture of Egypt's new ruling elite. Hafsa would rule as queen regent until her son came of age, with the backing of the Patriarch of Alexandria. However this new era was very different - there were no illusions that this would be an Egyptian regime, even if its monarch and his companions happened to be foreign. The loss of Syria and Emesa ensured that, forcing the new rulers to focus on the wealth and strengths of Egypt, rather than their traditional semi-nomadic lifestyle. Coptic would be the language of the state, and Monophysite Christianity its religion. Young Heshana would in due time be called Basileus, not Shah.

Subcontinental subterfuge in an era of expanding frontiers

The Johiyava were the greatest of the kamboja warlords in the Hindu Kush, but they had yielded their sovereignty to the Maukhani. By binding themselves to the ruling dynasty they had ensured their continued power, but found themselves forced to work within the bureaucratic system established by Visnuvadhana. And yet they proved adept at such manipulation, using Karmavati's influence on the Maharajdhiraja to establish a system of patronage in the Indus valley region. Their kamboja subjects were granted posts as local administrators and overseers, and through this system tribes which otherwise had little reason to remain loyal to them still answered to Samantayava in Purushapura.

The Turkic raids into Tokharestan which so vexed the Eftal effected them to a much lesser extent. While the Johiyava controlled, essentially as a personal fief, much of the region, including prosperous cities such as Balkh, the Johiyava were able to alternately buy off or intimidate any wandering Turkic forces - the largesse of an empire allowed their people to remain relatively safe. It would not be until the latter decades of the seventh century that they would have to ride in force against the Turks. The Johiyava had seamlessly transitioned from warrior-princes to bureaucrats, and though they may have found that transition distasteful, they were nothing if not pragmatic. In time, the Maukhani Empire might fall - but for now there was no sense in fighting the storm.

In the south, others were discovering that firsthand. Visnuvadhana's southward expansion was almost entirely unchecked. His army, reorganized, professional, and under the command of officers hardened by the reversals of his earlier campaigns, was unparalleled in the subcontinent. Between 630 and 640, the Chalukya were broken, and the Deccan plateau fell under his control. Despite an enormous defeat at the battle of Manyakheta in 633, the campaign continued. The secret to his success was a well-organized state apparatus, something his father's whirlwind conquests had neglected. Eager to not repeat the same mistakes, centralization was the primary focus of his administration. Local Rajas and urban councils found themselves hamstrung by bureaucrats and heavy tributes. Magistrates called Vishayapatis (in deference to the earlier Gupta title) in time reduced local tributary kings to mere figureheads. These positions were non-hereditary and thus the Vishayapatis owed everything to the state.

This central administration allowed him to directly recruit large armies and raise them to a relatively uniform standard. Taking advantages of the vast population of the Indo-Gangetic plain, his armies were more numerous and could afford greater losses than those of his rivals. The coastal mercantile cities in particular were ill-equipped to face such threats, and preferred to negotiate favorable treaties rather than fight. The proud inland despots, by contrast, put their faith in what now seemed like antiquated militaries. In particular, the Maukhani fielded an extraordinary cavalry force, trained in the Eftal or Johiyava style - horse archers augmented by an elite force of heavy horse. Their standard infantry were armored and disciplined, their elite corps equipped with fine steel weapons, maces and axes, backed by a huge standing force of foot archers.

As the Deccan and Orissa were subdued, Visnuvadhana remained in his capital, a rebuilt and massively expanded Pataliputra. Surrounded by ministers and scholars, he did not lead armies or personally oversee the expansion of his empire, setting a precedent that would be followed by his son and heir, Ammaraja. This detached system worked excellently so long as the bureaucracy was running effectively, however it did allow corruption to seep into the system. No matter what centralizing measures he introduced, the periphery would find ways to subvert them. The subcontinent was simply too vast to be easily ruled by a single standard, but Visnuvadhana would not understand that.

[Any regions I've been neglecting or anyone would like me to expand upon?]
 
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Seems like Egypt is going to survive for the long run, while Rome also survives to fight another day.

By the way, what are the Franks doing? They might be a bit far to be impacted by the Eftal, but its one people that haven't been covered for a while. Germania would also be an interesting place to cover...
 
The Franks (and barbarian Europe in general) would make an excellent next post, but they're doing well, about as well as OTL. The Visigoths are doing better than OTL by a good margin because of the lack of Roman interference. They'll still persecute the Jews though.

Germany is being overrun by the western Slavs, and this is expected to continue for a few hundred more years if nothing changes. The southern tribes of these Slavs are beneath the broad hegemony of the Avars.
 

fi11222

Banned
Interesting updates. Now, one wonders whether Constantinople and Egypt are going to manage to forge an alliance (which would quite obviously be in the interest of both). Of course they have religious differences but they have a common enemy and it is a big one. Also both are naval powers. One important issue in that respect is the control of Cyprus because, from there, it is easy to launch raids on the Syrian and Palestinian coast and thus deny any direct commercial outlet to the Eftal Empire.
 
Here is an admittedly very large map of Europe and the Eftal world. I've intentionally left regions such as England, Scandinavia, and most of Russia blank because little has diverged from OTL there.

Borders are approximate because I'm not very good at drawing them. I've probably made some errors and left some tribes off the map. I apologize to any living ancestors of those tribes for my gross oversights.

IrT9Ovl.jpg
 
Isidoria
Hispania

The decline of the Gothic identity as separate from that of their Roman subjects was a long time in coming. In Italy, invasions and uprisings had contributed to the final straw, but in the relatively more peaceful Hispania, undamaged by endemic warfare and raiding, the Visigothic identity was able to endure longer than that of their Ostrogothic cousins. However, with the decline of Arianism under King Gesalec (582-611) the Gothic elite had increasingly begun to identify themselves as little different from the Romans among which they lived. In dress and speech all differences had dissolved, leaving a form of provincial Latin sprinkled with Gothic loanwords. Legal codes published in the latter years of Gesalec's reign were the first to not address the cultural divide, which had gradually been effaced.

Accordingly, it did not take long for Gesalec's successor, Sisenand, to accept Nicene Christianity as a state religion and enforce the mass conversion of the remaining Arian aristocracy. However, Sisenand, encouraged by the Nicene church, also persecuted the Jewish population viciously, encouraging a unified state and seeking to bolster state revenues through the confiscation of Jewish wealth. Unfortunately, this would have the negative effect of further damaging the declining Hispanic urban culture, and causing many of these Jews to flee south to the Mauri Kingdom, where they were welcomed with open arms.

Despite urban decline and the consequent growing power of landed estates, Spain was prosperous. The peasant classes were relatively prosperous and did not fear upheaval or warfare. Shielded by the sea and mountains, the unified peninsula thrived. The growth of the Hispanian economy, based around agricultural produce and mining, was spurred by trade with the Mauri which brought luxury commodities from the East to the new Romano-Gothic elite in exchange for the export of bulk goods.

In the north, a distracted Frankish Kingdom posed little threat, although Narbo was not recovered. The Pyrenees made an excellent natural border, one which King Sisnenand did begin to fortify, establishing a line of watch-towers, waystations and forts. Some of these forts, such as the famous citadel at Elna, would in time become the residences of local nobles seeking safety from occasional small-scale raiding. Stylistically, the buildings patronized by the Gothic nobility, be they churches or villas or fortified castles, resemble the architectural styles of the late Romans to the point of being indistinguishable.

Doux Isidorus

Doux Isidorus, a Greek general by birth had clawed his way up from humble beginnings as an officer in Emperor Kallinikos' campaigns against the Eftal. After being assigned to Sicily, then still a Roman province, he had through acumen and personal charm managed to become Doux Maurice's second-in-command. Then, when Sicily was lost to the Mauri, he had found himself in the service of the Ostrogoths. Now, he was the ruler of most of Italy.

Knowing when to cut his losses had been the secret to Isidorus' success. A small army, modeled after the Roman forces he'd fought in for most of his early life, and his personal charm and gregariousness had allowed him to dismantle the crumbling Gothic state from the inside. By 604, he was functionally independent. The Roman Senate heaped on him whatever titles he desired, and the Princeps Senatus served as a chancellor of sorts for his regime. When Pope Honorius died in 608, it was he who appointed the successor. He might have paid tribute to the Avars to the north, but it was small and served as an insurance of sorts against invasion by the Mauri to the south, who fancied themselves heirs to the Roman legacy much as he did. While he never took a title greater than Doux, in correspondence between his nation and others, particularly the Avars, he was frequently referred to as "King of the Romans".

Notably, in the later years of his reign he kept his court in the small but well-situated city of Florentia - a city which he greatly expanded and fortified. Ideally positioned to watch over the Avar frontier and serve as a military base, it would also host a decadently furnished palace. Ravenna, more traditionally the Western capital, was now occupied by a Sagudati warlord named Radomir, and while this proved frustrating to the ambitious Doux, he was incapable of rectifying the situation.

Isidorus would finally pass away in 615, but before his death he took steps to ensure that his son, Julian would step smoothly into his position, effectively making his title hereditary by granting Julian the same senatorial privileges he had enjoyed. Equally critically, the Avars recognized his position, ensuring that the status quo would be maintained on the Italian peninsula.

The first fifteen years of Julian's reign would pass quietly. He confronted the ad hoc nature of the state his father had fashioned, creating uniform legal codes with the help of the Senate, and making an unpopular but necessary census of the "provinces" he ruled, allowing for tax collection that was more organized than mere military extortion. As the Avar grip over the Po valley weakened, the Khagan invited him to garrison Liguria as well. This request, given in 622, is an artifact of how the Avar Khagan (Bati Savaryan) saw the Italians as federate vassals, rather than an independent state. Julian was forced to play a double role, acting as defender of the Romans and also a loyal servant. The need for Roman soldiers in Liguria also shows the growing Avar fear of Frankish power.

The Franks and Slavs

By 607, the disunited Frankish kingdoms had been brought under the banner of Chlothar II. Militarily powerful, Chlothar was able to call on numerous retainers and the levies of many tribes. If it was not for the hopelessly fractious succession system, guaranteed to ensure war upon the death of any monarch, and the limited power of the Frankish King, the state might quickly have developed into a regime to rival the Roman Empire. Instead, the Frankish kingdom was held together only by compromise and decentralization. Different tribes were allowed to keep their varying legal traditions and the nobilities of these tribes fiercely guarded their rights.

Frankish Gaul did not have a significant urban life, however. Trade networks had atrophied with exception of the southern coastline. There, Mauri merchants provided an attenuate connection between the Franks and the great Eurasian networks which stretched as far as India and China. In 616, the prominent Eftal-Persian traveler Kanaran found travel on one of these mercantile missions, traveling as far north as Paris. He was singularly unimpressed with the city and the Frankish society as a whole, writing a scathing critique of their "ignorance and barbarism which knows no bounds in its dismissal of the whole of the wider world." However, he was impressed with the monastic tradition, and perhaps rightly so. The monasteries patronized by the Frankish monarchs, the Benedictine and Cassadorian orders provided a system by which classical knowledge could be preserved.

The migrations of the West Slavs had proven less disruptive than those of their southern cousins. Rather than empires and nations, they had moved into a vacuum left by the migration of the Germanic tribes, and they conquered and assimilated those who remained. There, amongst the deep forests of central Europe, the infrastructure for complex states simply did not exist. And yet these tribal princes nevertheless were capable of putting pressure on the Germanic tribes under Frankish rule. Overtime, these princes would come to establish larger states, but for now their main impact was cultural and demographic, fundamentally altering the character of the region around the Elbe river much as their southern cousins had done to the Balkan peninsula.

[I'll be the first to admit that much of this is as OTL. Main difference is that Hispania is doing better and Italy is looking to retain a lot more "Roman" character than in OTL. Still, its good to check in with Western Europe and keep everything up to date. The two major European powers I haven't yet touched on, the Avars and Bulgars, are due for an update as well - especially to show what happens to the Huns after the costly siege of Constantinople takes its toll.]
 
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Excellent updates.

By the way things look, it doesn't seem as though Avar control in Northern Italy will last for too much longer, and that Julian is positioning himself to re-establish at the very least de-facto if not de-jure control of the region.

If Julian's Italian state and the Mauri are able to come to some sort of symbolic agreement, they could conceivably label themselves as a new Western Roman Empire. Of course, such a state, if it exists, would probably be more like the Holy Roman Empire in terms of its autonomy of its lords.

I also predict that the Bulgar attempt to storm the walls at Constantinople is also the backbreaker for the kingdom itself.
 

Deleted member 67076

Italy, even after the plague and breakdown of trade would by now have around 5-6 million inhabitants and quite a lot of urbanization. That's in and of itself good enough to be a regional power. Once the Avar hold weakens enough that Italy might want to rebel, they can secure easily secure the Po valley and push back to Italy's natural border in the Alps.

There we have the makings of great power.
 
Tibet
Tibet - the foundations of Empire

In the mountains of [OTL] Tibet, a Prince named Tri Nyentsen had great ambitions. Already a first among equals in the sparsely-populated alpine country, he married a relative of the Maukhani Emperor, using the dowry to fund an ambitious campaign of conquest. The first Emperor of Bod, as his Empire would become known, he used a combination of military power and the growing religion of Buddhism to unify his people. Much like the Sahu, he was building a state out of nothing - laying out new-founded cities such as his capital, Rhasu on an orderly grid pattern, establishing garrison fortresses to secure key regions.

Small, and pressed between the Eftal, the Maukhani, and Qi China, the Bod Empire was insignificant in the broader scheme of things, but it also assimilated the ideologies and cultures that surrounded it and remade them in a distinctively Tibetan style. Tri Nyentsen's people merged their local deities seamlessly with the Buddhist faith they adopted. They designed a beautiful city whose architecture was a mix of north Indian and Chinese styles, and defended it with an army that fought like the Eftal mercenaries Tri Nyentsen hired early on in his conquests.

While the Bod Empire was constrained by the simple facts of geography, it would also expand and prosper taking its share of wealth from the Silk Road routes that brushed against its northernmost border. It was perfectly positioned to take advantage as Eftal influence in the far east declined and the Turks remained in a state of anarchy. What it could make of this position would remain to be seen.


Peace in our time - the reign of Shahriyar (617-647)

In 637, the Eastern Mediterranean was again calm. Egypt was independent and secure, the Eftal Shah ruled a vast and reunified territory (their largest to date), and the Hunno-Bulgars and Rome had finally made peace. But under this calm exterior, divisions lingered.

The Eftal conquests had placed new strains on their government. Extensive garrisons and fortifications were necessary to bring the newly conquered regions of Heshana's territory under control. Compromises with local potentates such as Nanivadh, Heshana's nephew, and a number of Arab tribes such as the Banu Kalb had to be made. Unlike in previous generations, there was no wave of settlers who could be brought in to displace the settled population or help to enforce Eftal unity.

However, the first twenty years of his reign, Shahriyar had presided over an uninterrupted period of unity and prosperity. Scientific and philosophical debates, begun under Khauwashta, continued. The preaching of Narsai of Argan had founded a small but growing ascetic movement. In contrast to the traditional Buddhist monasteries, they eschewed the establishment of communities and buildings, preferring to wander and preach. Narsai's followers were Mahadevist in their beliefs, believing that escape from rebirth would come in the form of realizing one's unity with Ahura Mazda, the uncreated spirit. They wandered the rural countryside, frequently encountering persecution but drawing a significant following among the poor and outcast. Their rituals revolved around ecstatic chanting, dancing, and the distinctively Iranian-inspired touch of meditation on sacred fire. It was Narsai's innovations that allowed Mahadevism to spread beyond the mercantile and tribal elites and become a religion of the common Iranian.

Shahriyar however, was a Buddhist of the Sogdian school. Unlike Khauwashta he made little attempt to hide his personal convictions. While he remained tolerant, knowing he could not afford to act otherwise, his patronage extended purely to the growing Buddhist communities in Gilan and central Iran. He established missions and monasteries in the traditional holdouts of Eftal paganism (such as Syria) with mixed results. Religious debate at in his court became less common, and ochre-robed monks were a frequent sight amongst the courtiers and ministers of his court. Between 629 and 636, while Mihiradata was away, Shahriyar's "grand minister" was a Sogdian monk named Shevupantuo.

Shahriyar's wife, Navaqat would be remembered as a famous poet and diplomat. She, like her husband, was a devout Buddhist and after their marriage would form with Shevupantuo an enduring pro-Buddhist faction at court, much to the irritation of the more secular and pragmatic Mihiradata. Their friendly rivalry would define the politics of the era, but after Mihiradata's shameful recall to the capital, this religious faction would retain the ear of the monarchy until Mihiradata's death in 642.

Shahriyar had only a single son, named Avyaman. From a young age an athletic boy, a lover of hunting and wrestling, he was a disappointment to his vegetarian mother and the intellectual, Buddhist court, who had hoped for a more reserved, scholarly heir to the throne. However, he was popular with the companions, who found in him a more warlike and less reserved successor to Shahriyar. On his sixteenth birthday (638) Avyaman was formally named heir, and shortly thereafter he toured the Empire as a whole for the first time, proving exceptionally popular with the various Satraps he met, developing a brief but close friendship with his great-uncle Mihiradata.

While Avyaman toured the provinces, Shahriyar was rather more isolated. Like his father, he preferred to cultivate distance. Susa became his home. As a young man his ambitions had been vast, but after the conquest of Syria and Palestine, he began to see how difficult conquest truly was. A student of history, he realized that Mihiragula's attempts at conquest nearly broke the Eftal. Instead, he resolved to be a builder, focusing the latter half of his reign on immense prestige projects - ranging from grand monasteries and temples to humbler roads and new irrigation systems.

Sulabi's Blunder

By 637, Sulabi Khan was back in Adrianople, much reduced. The siege of Constantinople had drained the revenues of his state and physically exhausted the Khan. The mutiny that had forced him to abort the siege had not really ended, either. His army, largely composed of Slavic levies, had gone home and seemingly deserted him. Taxes, which depended on the same tribes giving up a share of the revenue they collected, had all but stopped. Even his fellow Bulgars, the Utigurs, were cautiously demanding additional privileges.

A large portion of the Bulgar state was recently acquired after either the death of Alboin or their recent war against Rome. Had that territory been wealthy or easily cowed, the Bulgars might have been able to hold it. Instead, they now ruled a vast depopulated and thoroughly pillaged region, a region which would require investment and careful management to become profitable to hold. The Bulgars lacked the capacity for either, especially as the Avars raided along the Danube.

The final straw came when the Utigurs, rebuffed in their attempt to gain additional territory and de facto independence, betrayed Sulabi to the Avar Khagan Bati Savaryan. The Bulgar state collapsed quickly. Sulabi yielded the throne to Asparukh, his son, but both men were tarnished by the failed siege of Constantinople and neither could address the fundamental weakness of the Bulgar state or the opportunism of the various Slavic princes under their hegemony.

The Khagan rode south and besieged Adrianople, making alliances with prominent tribes such as the Severi and the Antes along the way. Asparukh refused to surrender despite promises of leniency and protection as an "ally" of the Khagan. Due to this refusal, when the city fell it was subjected to a seven day sack and Asparukh and Sulabi were blinded, tortured and finally executed. The much reduced Kutrigurs would be pushed out of much of their traditional land, which was granted to Avar nobles.

In the south, various tribes would break away - the stronger ones would become regional polities in their own right, though all these "princes" would pay tribute to the Avars. These early "Kingdoms" of Thessaly, Epirus, the Peloponnese, and Thrace were anarchic, and though the tribes that made up their core population had slowly transitioned away from raiding and exploitation, they had essentially replaced it with subsistence farming and proto-feudalism.

The Romans however, were unable to capitalize on their successes. Their treaty with the Bulgars notwithstanding, they were preoccupied, and rightly so, with the powerful Eftal state on their borders. Constantine's campaigns had backfired - his attempt to eliminate Heshana had unified the Eftal. Egypt to the south rebuffed his attempts at an alliance - while many among the Coptic elite were tentatively interested, the monarchy remembered all too well that but for Constantine's invasion, they would be in a far stronger position, and further many others among the Copts had never forgiven the Romans for centuries of persecution.

Further, piracy in Crete had left Roman shipping imperiled, and trade with the Xasar-Sahu alone was insufficient to keep the Roman economy going. The Eftal were now capable of trading directly with the various peoples of the Mediterranean, without middlemen for the first time in history, lowering the prices on the European end of the Eurasian trade network by a not insignificant percentage. Roman attempts to interdict this trade would force the Eftal to begin building a fleet, crewed almost exclusively by Syrians and Palestinians. Further, shortly after the end of the truce, the Eftal would begin large-scale raiding into Anatolia once more, undoubtedly sponsored by Shahriyar. These raids, and retaliatory Roman naval attacks from Cyprus would lead to the resumption of war in 643.


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Deleted member 67076

Has the Greek population in Greece been subsumed by the various tribes that have migrated- or do they still make up a large presence? And if if the latter, have the tribes begun to be assimilated?
 
Despite war, famine, and urban collapse, the Greek-speaking population remains rather large. However, there's few Greeks alive who remember a time that they weren't ruled by foreigners at this point. Further, the general consensus among the Greek population is that the Slavs and Bulgars are here to stay, more or less. The Romans haven't had the best of luck getting rid of them even when people like Constantine "restore order" in the Balkans.

In much of the north Greek population has been totally subsumed (or fled south/east) but the further south you go the more enduring their culture is, and the more the Slavs are mostly assimilating. Give it some time and a hybrid culture might develop, much as in say, Francia. A decent number of the Slavs have already converted to Nicene Christianity as well, but that's a mixed bag and more a legacy of Valthar and the brief period of Roman domination than anything.

I think this is at least somewhat realistic and similar to what happened in large parts of the OTL Balkans. Greek culture is ancient and complex and I can't imagine it not enduring, even if the transformations it undergoes are rather different from those it experienced OTL.
 
5th War
The 5th Eftal-Roman War

Roman historian Isaac Kourtikes described the "long history of our wars against the Hephthalites" as "...the slow decline of our Empire and the inexorable ascent of the Huns." He was not wholly incorrect. While the wars were to the detriment of both powers, sapping manpower and resources in endless back-and-forth campaigns, the Romans had generally come off worse. Many different theories exist to explain this - the relative resiliency of the young Eftal state, or the core of Eftal manpower being relatively undamaged by the Egyptian plague, or superior tactics which led to a trend of Roman defeats which in turn led to erosion of territory. Regardless, the tide of Roman defeat and Eftal victory would be complicated by the 5th Eftal-Roman war, despite the desperation of the Romans and the power of the Eftal at their zenith.

An aging Shahriyar did not lead the Eftal armies. Indeed, he had not been among the party arguing for war most vehemently - rather, his son Avyaman had taken up the banner of the Eftal armies enthusiastically. Despite his lack of military experience he did have a relatively veteran force of raiders and officers to compensate for his shortcomings as a commander. However, Constantine was experienced, battle-hardened, and had spent almost his entire reign at war or preparing for war. Though he was in his mid-sixties, and despite having an army only a fraction of the size of the Eftal one, he waged an effective delaying campaign.

In spite of Constantine's best efforts, the Anatolian plateau fell with ease, but the ambitious Prince regarded that as merely a stepping stone to greater things. Avyaman continued onwards, disregarding the warnings of officers who had faced the Romans before. In the narrow passes of Phyrgia, they fell into an ambush. Avyaman's companions were slaughtered nearly to a man, as was a large contingent of Armenian troops who attempted to rescue him. The prince, fatally wounded himself, was finally pulled from the field by a group of Eftal cavalry, and despite the survival of the bulk of his army, the Eftal retreated in disorder.

Constantine followed their retreat, entering into Cilicia, where he found himself welcomed by the locals. Taking the time to resupply and rest, he burst into Syria in early 644, reducing the local strongholds and sweeping towards Edessa. Unlike his previous campaign, he aimed for Mesopotamia - opting to split open the Eftal Empire, leaving Palestine and greater Syria as easy targets for reinforcements and his navy to mop up. Edessa would take several months to fall, but it did, and Constantine pressed on to Nasibin.

After news of his only son's death reached him, Shahriyar and Navaqat both fell into deep depression. Her surviving poetry from this era takes on a darker, elegiac tone, and according to evidence in these writings and from contemporaries, her husband wandered the vast palace gardens aimlessly. His new grand minister, Datuvahya was forced to effectively run the affairs of state. The annihilation of the companions, many of whom had been close friends seems to have been an equally devastating blow to the monarchy. With Shahriyar unreachable, the husbands of the monarch's various daughters, many of whom themselves were important tribal leaders, began to quarrel on the matter of succession.

The Eftal army however, had recovered. This was their territory, and they knew it far better than Constantine. Despite the fall of Nasibin, the Roman found his supply lines imperiled. As fall came on, he was forced to commit a larger and larger force to foraging and guarding the increasingly disrupted lines of both supply and communication. As at Antioch, his tendency to ignore the basic fundamentals of logistics in favor of bold sweeping attacks cost him. A brilliant defender of walls and a capable tactician, he had little understanding of the broader scope of the war. It mattered little how deep into Mesopotamia he struck if his troops could be isolated and destroyed.

To Constantine's credit, this would not come to pass. Shortly after the fall of Sigar, word reached him the Eftal army, now under the command of Tistyra, the Satrap of Arbayestan, was rapidly approaching. The Emperor fell back to Nasibin, where he found himself with little option but to fight. The battle of Nasibin, however, is textbook example of Constantine's aggressive tactics and their successes. Conceding both flanks early in the battle, he struck the center hard with his disciplined infantry, cutting through towards the Eftal command. Tistyra, seeing his center breaking, fled, and the Eftal themselves pulled back in disarray.

However, the next day, Tistyra's forces attacked Constantine's forces dawn with three columns of heavy cavalry. While the center column was blunted and thrown back by the Roman cataphracts, Constantine's troops took heavy casualties before they were able to repulse the attack. That the Eftal losses were roughly equivalent was little consolation to the bloodied Roman forces. Constantine fell back towards Cilicia, scoring one more stunning but inconclusive victory at the Battle of Issus. In this battle he himself was wounded right at the moment of his apparent triumph, and in the confusion of battle he was assumed dead. The army panicked and halted their attack, failing to deal the deathblow to the Eftal army.

In spite of these successes, the Eftal were badly bloodied and shocked by this campaign. It had been decades since their heartland had been this threatened by a foreign power, and despite pure logistical advantages they had been forced to mobilize a large proportion of their populace purely for an exhausting stalemate. Tistyra had little desire to press onwards into Roman Asia. As the campaigning season of 645 came, there were rumors that the eastern satraps needed soldiers to defend against the resurgent Turks, and further that Tistyra, who was married to Shahriyar's third daughter, Roshana, was distrusted by many of his fellow tribal leaders - all of whom were trying to stake the best claim to the Eftal throne should the aging Shahriyar finally pass away. Attempting to win the favor of the Shah, Tistyra sent a portion of his most disloyal forces east under the command of his nephew.

As spring came again, Constantine, approaching his seventies, finally died, either of complications from his wounds or some other condition. His son Mauricius took power, but came into an unenviable position. The Roman treasury was nearly exhausted, especially after a naval battle in 644 saw their fleet decisively defeated and the 'Eftal' navy effectively blockade the Mediterranean ports of the Empire. While there was little dissention in the ranks yet, he was forced to maintain the army on a shoestring budget. Meanwhile, the Eftal Satrap of Armenia, had, with careful bribes, incited the Alans into open rebellion. Forced to send troops into Cappadocia to deal with this new crisis, Maurice's strategy was accordingly defensive.

A stalemate developed. Tistyra was more concerned with internal politicking than warfare, and as such he was slow in taking advantage of the distracted Romans. It was the Eftal admiral Shennushad who would do the most to weaken the Romans - utilizing troops provided by the Satrap Nanivadh, he landed soldiers in Cyprus, besieging the city of Konstantiea, and helped a force of ambitious but perhaps foolish Avar adventurers cross the Hellesponte into Lydia, where they would wreak havoc on one of the few Roman provinces yet untouched by war.

It was not until 646 that Tistyra would finally invade the Romans once more, linking up with the rebellious Alans and capturing Ikonion again. From there, he struck east towards Laodikea, which he took after a two month siege. Using it as a base of operations, he pillaged Anatolia, building up an extensive stockpile of food and valuables, the lion's share of which he would ensure went to commanders who had personal ties to him. Dissent was growing in the ranks, and at councils of war the other Eftal officers rightly pointed out he had little official right to be commanding the army. He had taken command out of necessity, but perhaps it was time they determine a new commander.

At this point, Tistyra, perhaps out of paranoia or perhaps out of legitimate concern for his life, abandoned the army, fleeing to Mosil, which he began fortifying. Messengers were sent to Susa, asking who should take command, but Datuvahya's attempt at neutral choice (a Persian commander) was unsatisfying to the traditional Eftal factions within the military, who mutinied and had the Persian assassinated. Datuvahya, as representative of the Eftal bureaucracy who now had near-absolute power, was seen as usurper and distrusted by the rank and file as much as by the elite.

A commander by the name of Hiramaosha was finally elected by the Eftal commanders, but the Alans, thoroughly disturbed by the lack of cohesion within their allies' army, returned back to their traditional homelands. Freed from the responsibility of coordinating with a rapidly disintegrating army, they scored a minor but important victory over a small Roman force and were able to bring Maurice to the negotiating table. For his part, Hiramaosha would advance, besieging Sardis. The Roman army had nearly totally collapsed, exhausted by the seemingly unending wars that they faced. Maurice was effectively confined to Constantinople and critical shortages of both money and food ensured that his remaining mercenaries, a motley mix of Slavs, Alans, and Xasar were openly in rebellion. A group of Xasar mercenaries would seize Nicomedia in the autumn, and despite the destruction of the Avar bandits roaming in the vicinity of Prousa, the Empire had all but dissolved - information was scarce, but rumor had it that local city councils were negotiating treaties with the Eftal, surrendering on the condition that the Eftal did not occupy them directly and that their tribute would be reasonable.

Finally, in 647, Maurice fled Constantinople, disguised as a merchant, hiding the imperial regalia under common wares and escorted only by a small group of friends. Within a few months of sneaking through the various Balkan kingdoms, he would make it to Florentia, where Doux Julian, nominally his subordinate, would greet him cautiously.

In a curious twist of fate, not long after Maurice's desertion, Shahriyar would finally die. Almost immediately, the Eftal were thrown into further chaos. The army rushed south, leaving only token forces behind. Hiramaosha attempted to proclaim himself Shah as soon as they reached Nasibin. Ironically, the death of the royal companions in Avyaman's foolish campaign had led to a vacuum of legitimacy. No tribal leader had greater authority than any other, there was no clear successor and no universally recognized body who could invest anyone with the authority necessary to rule. Further, there was no figure to directly revolt against - no current Shah in Susa who clearly needed to be overthrown. Datuvahya wisely chose not to claim power himself, instead claiming that he would support Taxamaspada, a minor Eftal noble living in Tokharestan married to the second (and, according to Datuvahya, favored) daughter of Shahriyar. Undoubtedly Taxamaspada was chosen not for any particular virtues but because he was believed to be tractable and was importantly for the court, a Buddhist. However, these two qualities were far less important to the broader tribal networks, who valued kinship above all else.

Hiramaosha lacked any real claim by marriage, focusing instead on a distant claim of relation to Shah Akhshunwar Malka - and as such by the time his army reached Tagrit his army would be badly weakened by desertion. The final straw was when Tistyra interdicted him, commanding a mixed force of arab mercenaries and his own companions. Hiramaosha's army nearly dissolved overnight, and most humiliatingly, he was taken into custody along with almost all of the men in his immediate family, who had accompanied him on campaign.

Despite no treaty ever being signed, the Fifth Eftal-Roman war was for all intents and purposes over. It left no clear answers in its wake but rather caused near total anarchy across the whole of the crossroads of civilization.

[End of an era. I hope this continues to feel semi-plausible. Obviously we've gone pretty far from the overall point of divergence (where a Persian Emperor refuses to pay his Eftal allies) but I think the general trends are dovetailing somewhat with history as we know it. The Romans are doing worse than OTL, but at this point the Eftal are exhausted (losing every battle and still winning a war is super costly, even if at the end of the day you can claim to have won) and the setup to this civil war is such that unlike the previous one, I don't see this one being resolved simply or maybe resolved at all.]
 
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Ouch... I guess it can be said that this conflict was one that everybody ended up losing. There is no Emperor in Constantinople, and there is no Eftal Emperor either...

So um... Early Middle Ages here we come?

If things were comparably chaotic OTL after the endless Roman/Sassanid wars, I can now imagine why the Arabs were so successful...

However, with as there would likely be no equivalent Islam, I'm curious as to what state the Eftal would end up afterwards. We will end up with an equivalent situation as Europe in the Middle Ages, where there are many small, petty states and then a gradual adoption of local identities and nationalisms as the culture diverges?

Also, with the upcoming civil war, and with the new Heshana nearly coming of age, this could be a chance for Heshanid Egypt to once again make a power play into Palestine.
 
Things were roughly this chaotic in Persia, at least. OTL Rome was facing very different challenges, but had various weaknesses nonetheless. If Islam existed in this timeline, it would have a really easy time, you're right. As it is, there's few outside forces who can easily strike at the Eftal world. The Turks, maybe.

In spite of this, big changes are still coming. No spoilers, but this Eftal civil war is gonna be a lot worse than the previous one.

Heshanid Egypt would be foolish not to take advantage of this collapse.
 
The Eftal building small palaces and castles across the countryside is actually taken directly from OTL archaeology - it's one of the big things that separates their era from what came before and after. After I learned this I decided it made sense that TTL Eftal would do the same, especially on their frontiers.

It likely won't be feudalism as we know it, though. Although I suppose feudalism is a pretty broad term, considering we often call both Japan and Western Europe feudal in different periods, and I don't think their systems were very similar.
 
Fall of Rome
[ The events of this update are why we can't have nice things. My apologies for the sheer barrage of names.]



The War of Petty Kings - Societal collapse in the latter days of the Eftal Empire

The anarchy which gripped the Eftal Shahdom after 647 was at first seen by those who lived through it as little more than another succession crisis. The Eftal were familiar with such crises - their lack of succession law ensured that they happened with a degree of regularity. However, unlike the previous civil wars and coups, circumstances were changing.

A wider swathe of the population was seen and saw themselves as distinctly Eftal. This larger umbrella provided even small regions with deep wells of manpower personally connected to the network of tribal alliances that would come to underpin society in the absence of a central state. These new Eftal inevitably built their own palaces and adjusted to the semi-sedentary lifestyle followed by the bulk of the traditional Eftal. Entire regions became heavily fortified, increasing the difficulty of sweeping conquests and reducing warfare to inconclusive raiding and sieges. Stirrups, or as the Romans called them, 'steps' were now almost universally used, increasing the utility of cavalry and correspondingly leaving massed infantry, never the strongest arm of Iranian armies, as an afterthought. Because even the heaviest Eftal cavalry were typically armed with a bow, spears were considered ineffective, and the more maneuverable Eftal horsemen could more easily remain out of range of infantry archers.

Further, this was a time of charismatic religious movements. The monk Shevupantuo, longtime chief minister of the Eftal Shahdom had, at the news of the Shah's death fled to Syarizur, where he counseled his local coreligionists on a distinctly Buddhist approach to Just War - preserving peace and the dharma through necessary and regrettable bloodshed. Compassion for the common people not only justified but indeed required an armed defense by the believers. While his words would not necessarily increase the amount of religious violence, they are emblematic of a general trend of violence.

Meanwhile, in Pars, Narsai of Argan's preaching had divided the locals into two rough camps. Those who adhered to traditional religions - traditional Zoroastrianism, various Eftal and Hindu sects, and Buddhism all found common cause against the growing authority of the rural Mahadevists, beginning persecutions which would be opposed by the wealthy, urban mercantile class who sympathized with their fellow Mahadevists even if they looked down on their social class. Similar communal violence would reach a fever pitch in Mesopotamia, where the Nestorian Christians often found themselves persecuted and excluded from an elite which rarely shared their beliefs. However, after the failed experiment of Shah Isaiah a generation earlier, and the bloody reprisals the Christians had endured in response, the Christian Eftal largely fell in line - with the exception of a rebellion focused around Kashkar, which managed to adeptly play both sides against each other and survive until 649, when the ringleaders of the rebellion would finally make an agreement with Tistyra in exchange for relative autonomy.

The predominant power in Mesopotamia after Hiramaosha's capture was Tistyra. The Satrap of wealthy, well-fortified Arbayestan, his abandoning the main Eftal army early had provided him with a strong position - his military was already assembled. However, Tistyra was also cautious - his ambition to be universal ruler was tempered by the fact that on all sides, he was surrounded by enemies. Despite making a marriage alliance with the Satrap of Osrhoene, Ariasb, he did not feel much safer than before. Armenia had formally rebelled under Ashot of Artashad, and the two had begun feuding off-and-on. On all his other sides, raids and incursions were commonplace, stymieing any attempt to take royal power for himself.

In the south, at Susa, Taxamaspada had finally arrived with a large retainer of Sogdian cavalrymen. At first he seemed the pliant lesser noble that Datuvahya had hoped for, unskilled in statesmanship and reliant on the bureaucracy to handle his rapidly disintegrating Empire. However, he quickly began to assert himself as he became more comfortable, alienating the bureaucracy and, perhaps unwisely, calling for Tistyra's removal from his Satrapy. When no response from Mosil came, Datuvahya had little choice but to assassinate the newcomer and appeal to the Satrap of Syarizur, Kaosha Prajana, to come and claim the throne. Ascending the throne in 648, Kaosha was for a time hailed as a solution to the growing separatism in the Eftal Empire - he was widely popular with the aristocracy and had a decent claim to the throne.

However, with Kaosha Prajana came a figure that Datuvahya found incredibly distasteful - the militant monk Shevupantuo. Datuvahya had perhaps miscalculated the extent of his rival's influence on Kaosha, and he found himself banished from the capital within a matter of weeks.

Fleeing south to the city of Argan, Datuvahya joined the newly-formed Mahadevist rebellion of the Satrap of Pars, Tarkhsuna. Despite Kaosha Prajana's best efforts, they could not dislodge the Mahadevists from southern Mesopotamia, despite seasonal raiding, a series of small engagements, and a three year inconclusive siege of Sostar. A sign of the times, the city of Khishiwan declared its independence as well, causing further chaos in an already war-torn region and inciting Arab brigands to raid deep into the province. The population of southern Mesopotamia, called by the Persians Asurestan, dropped to the lowest levels since the Egyptian Plague a century prior. As the Ghatafan moved north, spreading word of their new goddess at sword point, Arab tribes were pushed into the region causing disruptions and famine, weakening the central authority of Kaosha Prajana even further.

Meanwhile, the region around the western and southern coasts of the Caspian sea was relatively untouched by war. Having emerged unscathed from many previous conflicts, its Satraps bided their time. Khalinga, the Satrap of Gilan, a famous warrior-poet known as the "Heron of Royan" himself had an impressive lineage, related to the late Shah Huviskha as well as some of the earliest Eftal. Gaining the allegiance of many local tribal leaders, including many Asvha, he simply ceased paying taxes to the central government, but like many others he did not take on a higher title, despite receiving tribute from warlords such as Syavusha the Red.

In the east, Sogdia and Xvarazm broke away, followed by the Kidarite Eftal of Kerman, who founded their own independent state under a Shah named Vinayaditya. The central Iranian plateau was quickly overrun by local tribal warlords fleeing instability or seeking to cause it to their own profit. Anarchy reigned, with local warbands rising and falling rapidly, striking out and further distracting the few centralized powers remaining from their petty grievances. Turkic tribes began to migrate south as well, and as in the previous war all sides who could afford to used them as mercenaries.

"Mercenaries" became an increasing fixture of this new Eftal period of warring Shahs. Tribes recruited with promises of plunder and land would rewrite the patterns of settlement across the Eftal world. While in many cases they would assimilate into the broader Iranian cultural sphere, in many other regions they would retain a distinctly Turkic identity. Even among the Eftal many tribal groups would take this opportunity to carve out greener pastures in more fertile lands long held by their enemies.

Endemic small-scale raiding and conquest shattered the overland trade network that the Iranian and Mesopotamian urban societies depended upon. Without the guarantee of safe transit, trade declined and economics regressed towards subsistence. The primitive manufactories of Eftal cities became provincial and operated on far smaller scales. Many of the larger cities shrunk massively, with the exception of those in Sogdia, those around the Caspian, and those in the far West, all of which were able to escape the spreading anarchy and could focus upon other routes of trade than those imperiled by the Eftal wars. In 652, Susa was sacked by the army of Tarkhsuna, who carried off what treasures and insignia of royal office had not already been relocated to the city of Syarzur by Kaosha. By the time the two men would sign a treaty in 654, the damage to royal prestige was already done. The Eftal Empire was little more than a rump state in western Iran with no claim to universal sovereignty.

This collapse, however, was not all bad. It would result in a rise in oceangoing trade from India, East Africa, and Hadhramut Arabia, and as silk road trade became imperiled, maritime cities profited - with the exception of those in the Persian Gulf, whose fates were too intertwined with the Eftal to avoid atrophy and social collapse. Nevertheless, this was a time of unprecedented wealth and prosperity for the maritime states of the Indian ocean. One of the particular beneficiaries was the Red Sea trade, which represented now the only safe way to bring goods to the Mediterranean market and vice versa.

The Fall of Rome

Unlike their eastern counterparts, the Syrian Eftal saw the collapse of the Empire as a return to business as usual. The Satrap of Syria, Akhsaman the Elder, viewed Anatolia's crumbling defenses as an opportunity for more of the raiding that had brought him his position to begin with. While many turned inwards, he was carving himself what was in all but name a Shahdom, reinforcing Eftal garrisons in Asia Minor, extracting "taxes" from the Roman cities there, and offering grants of land to any Xasar-Sahu, Bulgar, or Eftal mercenaries who were seeking a fresh start in the region around Ikonion.

To the north, the Alans had won their own independence, and despite a series of small-scale border clashes, lines were quickly drawn. A motley mix of Christians and pagans, the Alans living within the Roman Empire had culturally diverged significantly from those who lived among the Eftal and often called themselves Eftal. Retaining much of their original character from their time on the steppe, the Alans opted for a rather decentralized form of rulership, ignoring cities and farmland in exchange for suitable grassland for their herds. Like many other invaders, they defined themselves as a distinct people from those they now found themselves ruling in large numbers, and as such it remains difficult to determine the exact borders of the Alan Khanate in this era - its ruling elite simply did not keep clear borders, though we can determine that most cities in northern Anatolia paid them at least a token tribute.

By 648, a number of Slavic raiding parties had crossed the Hellesponte in first. At first drawn by the prospect of easy plunder yet outside the boundaries of Eftal rule, these raiders, mostly from the small Ezerite clan, gradually turned from plunder to outright conquest, carving themselves out a petty Kingdom which existed entirely at the pleasure of greater powers like Akhsaman and the Alan Khan. Roughly simultaneously, groups of Kutrigurs, feeling pressed out of their traditional territories by the Avars, and refusing to give up their traditional nomadic lifestyle began crossing as well, and in the absence of central power to stop them, they settled in great numbers around Sardeis.

Many other Slavs and Bulgars would travel north and join the Shahdom of Nikaia, a small state carved out by the Sahu mercenary commander Birhar Manas. With humble origins as a rebellion by unpaid soldiers, it grew into conquest in accordance with "Shah" Birhar's ambitions. Displacing the local Greek aristocracy and replacing it with loyal soldiers and adventurers from his home country, within the first four years since his rebellion he grew astronomically, exploiting the power vacuum and defeating one of the few remaining Roman military forces.

In 649, however, he seized upon an elaborate plan. The Emperor Maurice, he claimed, had been captured, hiding in a monastery in Bithynia. He offered to deliver the Emperor back to Constantinople, to the mercies of the now starving mob, led by a priest named Basil, in exchange for a modest sum. Due to poor communication and a preponderance of rumors, few in Constantinople knew that Maurice had escaped to Florentia. Further, he offered to help defend the city in exchange for a series of land grants in Asia and Europe. Happy to offer territory they did not control as a reward, a group of prominent Patricians (some of whom perhaps hoped to ascend to the Imperial throne) and Basil both agreed to his proposal. When his terms were agreed to, he sailed across the strait with a squadron of captured Roman ships. Within were many of his most trusted soldiers, and at a signal, they emerged and seized the city with only a minimal fight, opening a series of gates to allow in the main bulk of his army.

The Queen of Cities, which resisted a multi-year Bulgar siege, once the mightiest and most impregnable city of the world, fell anticlimactically to a ruse. It had been starving, isolated from the grain of Anatolia and without imperial taxes to provide a dole the citizens had already turned on the bureaucracy. There were barely any defenders left, but in spite of the relative lack of resistance, Birhar turned over the city to a nine day sack. Everything of value was taken to pay his soldiers. Sacred relics were smashed for jewels and gold. The city was burned and her inhabitants sold into slavery. The wealth seized was extraordinary.

The shock of Constantinople's fall would reverberate throughout the Mediterranean. "Is not the end of the world upon us? Is Rome's fall not its harbinger? Shall Christ not soon walk among us once more? All we are left with is pale shadows of what once was, and only God himself in final triumph shall restore those shadows to radiant light." One prominent monk, Desidarius of Doclea wrote several months after the sack. Apocalyptic predictions were rife. "All the seats of Christendom save one are in the hands of unbelievers and heretics. Schismatics and blasphemers, worshippers of the Antichrist who they call Boddo defile the temples of our God in Constantinople itself."

In a time of limited trade and travel, the collapse of the Eftal Empire was also not well understood or known throughout much of Europe. Rather distant rumors of the persecution of Christianity beneath a unified horde of pagans and unbelievers became the stuff of legends, legends which would have a dramatic effect on the shape of European religion. In Anatolia, these movements were more immediate, and though the local governments often attempted to suppress them, charismatic preachers and local crowds began seeing the fall of the Roman Empire as the beginning of the end of the world in a manner far more tied to regional politics. The role they assigned themselves was similarly more immediate, and many came to believe that their mission was to prepare the way for Christ come again with a sense of unprecedented immanency.

[Thanks to Fi11222 for the inspiration for the Christian reaction to the fall of Constantinople. Next update will focus on Heshanid Egypt, Nanivadhid Palestine, and Julian. Apologies to the lovers of the Roman Empire in its various latter incarnations.]



Here's a map:


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[Notes regarding the map:

The Akhsamanid Satrapy has limited effective control over much of the Anatolian part of the "Satrapy" - and they have no naval strength to bring islands such as Rhodes under their control. As such their power ends at the coast. All Anatolian borders are quite porous - another map might have almost the entire region under the control of the Alans, who have a significant home-turf advantage, or choose not to display Birhar as holding such a large territory when he's effectively a brigand calling himself a "Shah".

Nanivadh's Palestine and Akhsaman's Syria have borders because they're less involved in the general anarchy, so fewer people are invading them. As such they get clear border lines. By contrast, someone like Tistyra controls a vague region around Mosil, stretching down the Tigris and the Euphrates, and my mapmaking skills aren't good enough to mark out every mountain fortress that makes up the base of Kaosha's power - to the point that Susa being sacked is a minor setback.

I have mostly restricted myself to only naming major warlords. ]
 
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Deleted member 67076

This is Bronze Age collapse tier. Like watching a train wreck in action, I am horrified but cannot turn away.

At least Africa (and maritime naval technology) benefits. Heres to hoping the Great lakes boom!
 
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