Agreed. Whoever lost in TTL WWI would want major payback...
Just caught up with the TL. Good stuff, MacGregor.
My thoughts on the China situation: as several posters said before, the Han Chinese identity was too strong for China to balkanize. An independent Xinjiang and Tibet is possible, seeing that they're Ugyhur and Tibetian (oh, and Mongolia, too). A puppet Manchukuo-type state in the northeast, controlled by either Russia or Japan, may be possible as well. The rest would be a united country, regardless of what type of government it may have (not constitutional monarchy - the average Chinese hated the Manchus by this point; not republic - since Sun Yat-sen was never born)...
Puppet Manchukuo depends on who wins the war in the East: Russia or Japan. Russia already has their sphere of influence in Manchuria, and Japan is currently attempting to pry their hands off it.
As for TTL WWI, I would root for a Prussian-Russian-Italy victory, for no other reason than "I don't want the French to win"
Also, I think if TTL Entente keep on winning, the Brits might pull off some sort of deal with the Boers and then jump on the French, to protect the balance of power?
Just saying, but at this point, it looks rather bleak for the PRI Alliance (we really need a better name for them
). Mostly because Italy isn't going to last long, with most of its industry already overrun/about to be turned into a battlefield (the Italians and Prussians seem to be in a similar position as the French were OTL, with most of their industry overrun/battlefields), and neither will Greece or Serbia (both countries are going to be running out of war materiel shortly, Serbia may be able to be replenished if it can open the railroad line through Bulgaria, though its highly doubtful considering how easily it will be for the Entente to cut it off). Russia's still probably in a bad supply situation.
P.S. The "post-POD people were never born ITTL" rule really, IMHO, ruined the possibilities of abuse (say, Adolf Hitler escaped the French onslaught and signed-up for the Germany Army, and became a war hero through kicking a lot of French asses
)
Hitler was Austrian. If anything, he'd be fighting for the Entente.
P.P.S. Will there be an AEF after America got involved in WWI?
Depends on which side they're on. If its the PRI alliance, its unlikely they're going to be able to get an AEF onto the shores of the Old World. Perhaps a WWII-Pacific-Theater analogue, with battleships instead of Carriers (given likely French superiority in the Atlantic). Course, if Britain joins the war, its a whole 'nother story.
How are the following nations leaning?
1) The Netherlands
2) Belgium
3) The Iberians
4) The Scandinavians
1) The Dutch are pro-German, likely, but neutral.
2) The Belgians are wary of both sides, and neutral.
3) They're most certainly neutral.
4) Once again, probably neutral: but, given irredentist claims by both Denmark and Sweden on the PRI Alliance, possibly leaning Entente.
They're all probably trading with both sides and reaping large profits.