a couple of people have mentioned coffee now. How does coffee get from Ethiopia so much earlier? and why would that have any bearing on Atlantic exploration?
a couple of people have mentioned coffee now. How does coffee get from Ethiopia so much earlier? and why would that have any bearing on Atlantic exploration?
I got to about page three before I realized this is basically the same thread that always arises when this is brought up; I.e. Desperately trying to get Romans to purposefully colonize the Americas.
Have there been any serious and well thought out discussions about an accidental, no-return voyage by ancient Romans to the Americas in which the lost sailors change the genetic, cultural, technological, religious, and sociopolitical make up of a given Mesoamerican society?
In a couple of generations or so the partially native granchildren or great grandchildren could replicate enough technology for a return trip and establish Roman colonization and trade...
...or a very vaguely Roman native civilization could be encountered centuries later when Europeans make it to the Americas. So... basically mounted Aztec legionairres or somesuch. Maybe something in between.
That's always what I want to see when I see a Romans in the Americas thread...
Can someone link me to such a discussion or point out a page of this thread where this is discussed, please?
Such ideas have been suggested several times, but the consensus is that a single stranded ship would have to be extremely lucky to get there with the crew alive and even more so to land them into the relatively narrow set of situations where they have chance to have major impact.
The most likely outcome of such an accidental trip is getting everyone involved dead somewhere in the Caribbean relatively quickly. Their crops, if they have any, might have hard time to grow in the new conditions (early Spanish settlers had to import foodstuffs from Spain for years, despite it being ridicolously expensive). They won't probably have any horses or any other animal actually (maybe chickens?).
They are not guaranteed to have the necessary skills in the crew.
They are very likely doomed.
Just so its on the record. I reserve the right to contradict myself.
Ahem....
So, if we get to the point of establishing a Macaronesian cultural/economic/sailing complex, centered around the Canary Islands as metropolis, and with the remainder of the Islands and some part of coastal Africa as a hinterland, with the most likely configuration being a former Carthage/Cadiz colony, most likely following the 2nd Punic war as either an extremely far flung minor roman province, or a roman oriented tribute state.
Well, that gives us a sailing culture which could conceivably make it to the Coast of Brazil. The big nut to crack, as I keep saying, is getting back. The return voyage is extravagantly difficult and improbable, and almost certainly not economic.
Is there any way we can push this a little bit further? If economics don't work, what about cultural factors?
One thing that strikes me that might be at work, particularly during and lingering after the discovery phase, is 'gamblers fever.' I'm sure that there's another term for it - intermittent reinforcement. The fact that a chance pays off once in a while, or might pay off persuades people to keep playing. This is why people buy lottery tickets or throw their life savings away at a casino (well, there's also the doubling down phenomena - basically, when someone's made the mistake of throwing a lot of money down the well there's a strong impulse to keep throwing down money, otherwise you have to admit that all your time and money and effort up to that time has been for nothing).
So the continuing discovery of a handful of Macaronesian archipelagos, about 30 islands, and the potential wealth that comes from a virgin new Coffee Island probably inspires a lot of fortune seekers.
There's soothsayers giving the locations of new Islands and new fortunes, smugglers and pirates claiming that their coffee comes from previously unknown and still mysterious islands, learned men of letters proving to each other that there must be more islands out there. There's dreams, dreamers and half ass lunkheads. There's the desperate, gambling on that incredibly long shot. The ambitious seeking to make their fortune, etc.
So, during the period of exploration, they keep setting out to sea... and it works to some extent, they find the Azores and Cape Verdes.
Mostly, they just die at sea. They die a lot. Their ships founder in bad weather, they spring a leak and sink, the crew mutinies, they get lost. Basically, they die in profusion, in numbers. Many of the ships that go out don't come back. Of those that do, many come back empty handed. And a favoured few, the ones who find the Azores or Cape Verdes, might come back with something. But after that, it's a lot of dying at sea or coming back busted.
Now under those circumstances, I expect two things to happen.
Some of those who don't come back will make it to the coast of Brazil. The currents are right, the winds are right, and presumably they've brought a modicum of skill and preparation. And mostly, they die there. It's really really hard to get back.
I suppose that there's some possibility of a Phoenician settler colony composed of stranded sailors, that merges with the locals. It might last fifty or a hundred years, unless its very lucky. But I'm not going to worry about that for now.
The second thing is that the seamen who come back empty handed will come back rich in knowledge. Mostly that knowledge will be that spending three weeks bopping around the empty ocean really sucks. But there'll be a modicum of accumulated awareness of winds and currents. So it's likely that they'll figure out the Volta, and perhaps develop that as an institutional knowledge - ie, the traditions and insights that everyone defaults too.
At that point, late, very late in the age of exploration and consolidation, you might have, a really gifted and unlucky fool who ends up in Brazil, and in one of those 'Incredible Voyages' which we usually associate with team ups of wily cats and broken down dogs travelling thousands of miles to find their absent minded owners, he has the combination of hunch, competence and foolhardiness to assume that there's a way to get back into the Volta and get home... all he has to do is follow the coast far enough north...
Aaaand..... he makes it home.
Aaaaaannndddd..... nothing comes of it. It's like the circumnavigation of Africa, or putting a man on the moon. Impressive, dramatic, thought provoking, awesome... and futile.
Now, I imagine anyone who makes a journey like this is going to talk it up the wazzoo, so the stories will be amazing and epic and all that, extravagant as hell.
But he's probably not come back with his cargo hold full of trade goods. That's not sensible. Sailing in unknown territory, crossing indefinite expanses of water. Priority will go to provisions for survival, not booty to impress the hometown folk. You want to get there alive, not die in the middle of the atlantic with a hold full of gold.
There's probably a few barrels of trinkets, perhaps a small supply of chocolate as proof, things like that. But not big.
There might be some talk about more voyages, now that it's been done. The second time is easier. And there might even be visions of wealth - gold and silver, chocolate or tobacco or coca leaves as hot commodity, perhaps the rumour that the far land is the source of coffee and there's a bonanza waiting to be claimed.
And at that point, it should go nowhere. The talk will be just talk. No matter how much hypothetical wealth is out there, the difficulties of getting it back, and the exponential costs of setting up a trade network would be outside the economic capacity of the Canary metropolis. There's just not enough wealth to make that kind of investment and no real motivation to do so. In particular, the Canary metropolis might want to have a whole new supply of coffee... but on the other hand, it doesn't want competitors, or the price to collapse.
The only state that might have the resources to set up such a trade network - including posts and resupply stations, would be Rome. And there's no military or political reason to do so. It's certainly not a paying proposition. So what it comes down to is boondoggle, the senseless whim of a some crazed emperor, pouring the wealth of the state into such a venture. You'd need a lot of money, a lot of wealth and input, for very little to show for it. So the only reason it would happen would be misinformation, skewed assessments, really bad decision making and an immense fortune disposed of recklessly.
So you could, hypothetically see a Roman presence and a series of Roman outposts, way stations, trading stations and resupply depots from the coast of Brazil to the Caribbean and beyond, established and maintained at ruinous expense, so some goof of an emperor can impress his friends with chocolate malt.
That will probably last until the change of Emperors.
And its unlikely to have much of a meaningful effect. After all, Rome and China knew of each other, and there was some limited exchange through the silk road. There was some contact between Meso-American and Andean cultures. But in each case, the contact was mostly insignificant. This would be the same... only more so.
Archeologists would find a few roman trade goods in American sites. But that's about it.
Have there been any serious and well thought out discussions about an accidental, no-return voyage by ancient Romans to the Americas in which the lost sailors change the genetic, cultural, technological, religious, and sociopolitical make up of a given Mesoamerican society?
In a couple of generations or so the partially native granchildren or great grandchildren could replicate enough technology for a return trip and establish Roman colonization and trade...
...or a very vaguely Roman native civilization could be encountered centuries later when Europeans make it to the Americas.
So... basically mounted Aztec legionairres or somesuch.
Maybe something in between.
That's always what I want to see when I see a Romans in the Americas thread...
You might have spent some time reading posts about the currents and trade winds. There's just about no way to 'accidentally sail directly into meso-america'. At best, your accidental voyagers might end up on the Brazilian coast and coast-hug 5000 miles. So it's a colossal long shot. Colossal, Brobdingnagian, Cyclopean.
The other problem is that there's a huge span of empty ocean to cross. What are they going to eat or drink in the three or four weeks or two month that they're drifting. They weren't anticipating a long voyage, so why would they provision so heavily? During the Roman era, most Atlantic sailors stayed very close to the shorelines, didn't sail out of sight of the shore, and mostly engaged in short jaunts between known points. It would be rare to carry more than a couple of days provisions, most times, the most people would bring with them is a lunch.
The most likely outcome, really, is that they all die of dehydration or starvation long before they wash up on any shore.
That's assuming that the ship doesn't sink in a fierce atlantic storm or seasonal gale or massive sea wave, and assuming that the ship doesn't simply fall apart at sea. Even Christopher Columbus lost a ship, and his technology was pretty advanced.
How many survivors make it. 5? 10? 100? Remember the more people you want to make it, the more provisions have to be stockpiled for whatever reason for the journey. It's not likely that you'd see more than a small group, from say 1 to 20, surviving the journey.
Hmmm. Any genetic contribution is mostly going to be insignificant within three generations (1/8), and largely undetectable in the sixth generation. (1/64)
And that's only among the community of descendants, which will at best number a few hundred or a few thousand in a population of millions.
There probably not be women. It's likely that it will be all male, or 95% male.
That's a problem, because culture and language are transmitted through women. Your hypothetical romans are going to have children who speak their mothers tongue. There might be a few roman loan words... but they're not likely to be any more significant than the hypothetical Polynesian influences.
Indeed, its generally unlikely that any kind of 'Roman Culture' will persist. People in that situation invariably go native. They adopt the customs, the clothing, the means of exploiting the resources perfected by the locals. The notion of a 'Roman-esque' relic culture in Mesoamerica is more attuned to Edgar Rice Burroughs (who I love dearly) than reality.
There might be some contributions - writing and literacy perhaps is the best bet. Metallurgy is possible, its very iffy though. I'm not sure that there's a lot of portable or reproducible technology that Romans could carry over that would make it.
Pretty remote, taking into account that at best, they're 'replicating' crap seagoing technology that wasn't really up to the task of deliberate travel.
Extremely vague.
Is there a serious suggestion that horses - who require fodder - would have survived the trip. How much horse fodder would that take to keep them alive? And how much human surplus food would you need to make sure that the derelict sailors don't eat all the horses?
Given that you have a clear idea of what you'd like to see... Why don't you write it? I'm not being sarcastic. It can be a lot of work, yes. And a lot of research. And people are going to challenge you, and you'll have to overcome that.
But being creative, writing and doing the research can be one of the most rewarding things.
So don't complain about a thread not being what you wanted it to be. Write the thread that you want.
Damn, I'd love to read a tl about the effects of a lucky Roman crew...
I like your direct approach. Too many nice guys on this site these days. No bullshit with you. Stay golden.
I'll respond to a couple of points specifically and the whole thing generally. Firstly, I apologize for the misunderstanding. I wasn't complaining. Simply asking for a link to a realistic TL concerning what butterflies shipwrecked Romans might cause in the New World. If there aren't, then... Fuck it. Oh well. If there are, link please? It's pretty common knowledge around here that OTL's Romans probably wouldn't make it to the Americas and definitely couldn't colonize it. I like a TL in which Europeans in the late fifteenth and sixteenth centuries meet very different natives in the New World. I must be the only one. Again, sorry.
From maps of the trade winds and North Atlantic currents, they would be more likely to run into the Bahamas if leaving the straight of Gibraltar; Colombia or Venezuela at the southerliest. Sorry, I don't have much experience as an Atlantic sailor. You could call me rather Roman in that respect.
Am I incorrect in my assumption that horses were occasionally shipped by sea? I assumed getting horses around the Mediterranean would be done this way, because I'm unaware of any horses accomplishing such a courageous swim. A shipment of roman horses to Spain could blow off course or be pushed through to the Atlantic by riders. A horse or three could be eaten on the journey when it seems like land will never be found. Voilà! Horses and skinny but fed Romans in the Caribbean.
I can't make a TL on any of this with my lack of knowledge.
I would read yours though if you wanted to have a go. You know your shit, clearly, and making a good narrative version of this idea would keep you from shoving all your well researched factoids down my throat.
I know I sound snarky, but honestly. You write it. I'll read it, comment, and subscribe.
Thanks for the attempt at help! Looking forward to the TL if you do it!
I'll respond to a couple of points specifically and the whole thing generally. Firstly, I apologize for the misunderstanding. I wasn't complaining. Simply asking for a link to a realistic TL concerning what butterflies shipwrecked Romans might cause in the New World. If there aren't, then... Fuck it.
It's pretty common knowledge around here that OTL's Romans probably wouldn't make it to the Americas and definitely couldn't colonize it.
I like a TL in which Europeans in the late fifteenth and sixteenth centuries meet very different natives in the New World. I must be the only one. Again, sorry.
From maps of the trade winds and North Atlantic currents, they would be more likely to run into the Bahamas if leaving the straight of Gibraltar; Colombia or Venezuela at the southerliest. Sorry, I don't have much experience as an Atlantic sailor. You could call me rather Roman in that respect.
Am I incorrect in my assumption that horses were occasionally shipped by sea?
I assumed getting horses around the Mediterranean would be done this way, because I'm unaware of any horses accomplishing such a courageous swim.
A shipment of roman horses to Spain could blow off course or be pushed through to the Atlantic by riders. A horse or three could be eaten on the journey when it seems like land will never be found. Voilà! Horses and skinny but fed Romans in the Caribbean.
I can't make a TL on any of this with my lack of knowledge.
I would read yours though if you wanted to have a go. You know your shit, clearly, and making a good narrative version of this idea would keep you from shoving all your well researched factoids down my throat.
I know I sound snarky, but honestly. You write it. I'll read it, comment, and subscribe.
I will state here that the peg mortise and tenon, "shell first" construction of Roman ships was not nearly as suited to the rigors of the Atlantic as the clinker built ships most famously associated with the Norsemen. Although you could build far larger ships with the former method (and the Romans indeed built some very large ships) the smaller clinker built craft were far more durable and flexible---made to survive the heavy rollers of the Atlantic which must have dismayed early sailers of the Classic Age, used to the far more benign Mediterranean.
The Mediterranean centric design tech of the former only became Atlantic-worthy when it transitioned slowly in Medieval times to the "skeleton-first" hull building that ultimately led to the Portuguese Nau or Caravel of the 14th and 15th C. This construction not only was much stronger than that of the Classic Age ships of the Mediterranean but of sufficient strength to allow for both more capacious hulls suited for more storage for longer voyages and the sophisticated sailing rigs necessary for them to operate in the Atlantic sailing environment.