OCTOBER 9, 1987: PAT ROBERTSON WITHDRAWS FROM THE CAMPAIGN; FINAL DEBATES BEFORE PRIMARIES SCHEDULED
Pat Robertson (pictured) withdrew from the race
On October 7, 1987, Pat Robertson withdrew from the race, ending a campaign that lasted about six and a half months.
Donald Rumsfeld, the only Republican candidate to comment on Robertson's exit condemned his comments about Jewish Americans.
Geraldine Ferraro went as far to call Robertson a bigot. New national polling for Republicans have been released without Pat Robertson in the race.
Republican Primary Poll (Nationwide)
Fmr. Sec. of Defense Donald Rumsfeld | 26%
Senator Orrin Hatch | 18% (+6%)
Governor John Ashcroft | 15% (+2%)
Senator Bob Dole | 14% (-4%)
Fmr. Senator Paul Laxalt | 8%
Congressman Jack Kemp | 3%
Fmr. Sec. of State Alex Haig* | 2%
Undecided/None of the Above | 14% (+4%)
* denotes those not yet an official candidate
With Robertson's exit from the campaign it marks a point in the race where the "men are separated from the boys". Furthermore it looks like Bob Dole may soon exit the race if he continually loses ground. Since the last poll he's lost 9 points between them, more than any campaign handle. Hatch is continuing to steal votes from
Dole and Ashcroft is getting his votes from the undecideds out there. Robertson's exit shows the grueling effects of when candidates lose their sleep...and ability to pay attention to the little details like the color of a light on top of a camera. More interesting then the nationwide numbers are the new state-by-state polls since Robertson's exit:
The state-by-state numbers reveal the problem that lies for Rumsfeld: delegates. He's not winning the bigger states, or enough states for that matter, to take the convention. With so many moderately strong candidates in this race it prevents a clear path for one of them to make it to the finish line, without at a battle at the convention. At the final Republican debate before the first primaries
Donald Rumsfeld will HAVE to stand out over Hatch and
John Ashcroft so that he can take a definitive lead in the polls and ensure his front runner status. Speaking of the debates the
DEMOCRATIC DEBATE WILL BE HELD BY THE LEAGUE OF WOMEN'S VOTERS AND SHOWN ON CNN, CBS, AND NBC ON OCTOBER 19TH the Republicans will have their
debate on OCTOBER 24TH and it will be shown on the same networks. These debates are expected to bring in MORE viewers than the previous debates because of their importance. Three debates in a primary campaign is absolutely unheard of, but it show's how unique the 1988 has turned out been. When it comes to the Democrats and their debate
Geraldine Ferraro just has to stay on message. As long as she doesn't run off the stage crying she's not going to see large negative results.
Dale Bumpers and
Al Gore will HAVE to stand out and
Jesse Jackson is going to have to defend his record. Surprisingly
Ted Kennedy has declined the invitation for the debate so has
Bob Dole on the Republican side. Many people see this as a sign of defeat. Americans are on the edge of their seats, wondering what will become of the candidates.
OCTOBER 19, 1987: WITH KENNEDY OUT OF THE CAMPAIGN, CANDIDATES DEBATE IN MICHIGAN...FERRARO EXCELS, BUMPERS MAKES A NAME FOR HIMSELF
The people who attended the Michigan debate got more than they paid for and the
45.9 million viewers at home got to watch a spectacle earlier tonight from 8 to 9:30 as the Democrats fought for the biggest bump out of 'em all and with
Ted Kennedy announcing his withdrawal from the campaign at 8:00 in the morning, 12 hours before the debate, Senator
Dale Bumpers felt the pressure mounting on his back, and performed beautifully. Ferraro excelled as she continued to press
Jesse Jackson on his anti-Jewish American comments that have haunted his campaign and weighed his chances of becoming president down. Former Congresswoman Ferraro refused to let Jesse Jackson come up for air, hounding him with comment after comment. Eventually the arguments reached a climax:
Congresswoman Ferraro: "...so, after reading my fifth comment to the people here, Jesse, why don't you just say it: you don't support Jewish Americans!" (the crowd exploded in applause)
Reverend Jesse Jackson: "That was out of line, Congresswoman, but if you feel you need to know I'm a minority myself..."
Congresswoman Ferraro: "That's good to know, but do you support Jewish Americans and their rights?!"
Moderator Nickie Wallace: "Congresswoman! Congresswoman! Candidates are not allowed to offer questions to each other!"
Reverend Jesse Jackson: "I'll answer it Nickie because there are people who refuse to listen to press statements: I support the Equal Right Amendment. I support equal rights among..."
Congresswoman Ferraro: "And let the record reflect the ERA is equality among sexes not religions."
Reverend Jesse Jackson: "I support equality among Jewish-Americans and every American."
Congresswoman Ferraro: "Of course that's why you said you were sick of hearing about the Holocaust. That's why you've continued to bash the Jewish community in this nation. Well I won't stand for it! I DEMAND THAT YOU APOLOGIZE, REVEREND, BECAUSE WE MUST PROTECT EQUAL RIGHTS!" (the audience gave Ferraro a standing ovation to show her their support)
As Ferraro hounded Jackson and refused to let him make any headway, Senator
Dale Bumpers distanced himself announcing a detailed and well-prepared proposal to end the budget deficit. "And so, by the end of my first term, we'll have a balanced budget," Bumpers concluded. When it came time for other candidates to announce their plans on the budget only Ferraro and Gore were able to come up with semi-intelligent proposals, but none matched Senator Bumpers and his approach. The approach included spending cuts, social security reform, welfare reform, and tax increases on those making over $750,000 a year. When those in the audience were asked who they thought won the debate
43% said Bumpers, 40% said Ferraro, 11% said Gore, 5% said Jackson, and 1% were undecided. A poll of 15,000 viewers are home showed fairly similar results:
40% said Bumpers, 39% said Ferraro, 11% said Gore, 9% said Jackson, and 1% were undecided Polls will soon be released and when they are it looks like Bumpers could possibly have moved forward in the fight to bring down Ferraro.
OCTOBER 26, 1987: REPUBLICAN DEBATE; NEW POLLING
Donald Rumsfeld took a few pointers from
Dale Bumpers. The voters looked for policy and he delivered. When asked several questions on foreign policy, Rumsfeld was clear and concise, careful to avoid attacking his opponents. His answers were practiced, specific, and staid above talking points. Rumsfeld blew the competition away leaving his main rival, Senator
Orrin Hatch looking for answers to questions concerning foreign policy, but when questions turned to the economy Hatch took command, and while Rumsfeld still had answers they looked weak compared to his foreign policy proposals. "I have an impressive resume if you ask me. It takes a lot of work, commitment, and skill to be White House Chief of Staff and Secretary of Defense. I work hard, I stay focused, and above all: I get results," said Rumsfeld in his closing statement. There were
40 million Americans watching at home and Rumsfeld looked, acted, and was presidential. It is obvious that the 1988 Campaign has generated a lot of interest, especially in women and younger Americans. New national polling for the Democrats was recently released:
Democratic Primary Poll (Nationwide)
Fmr. Congresswoman Geraldine Ferraro | 27% (+4%)
Senator Dale Bumpers | 23% (+4%)
Senator Al Gore | 21% (+1%)
Reverend Jesse Jackson | 19%
Undecided/None of the Above | 10% (+2%)
Ferraro has commanding leads even when you go state-by-state:
However you can't ignore Dale Bumpers's impressive gains. He's made a lot of headway and is looking like a threat to Ferraro. Perhaps he gain momentum and push Ferraro's lead to look smaller and smaller. He'll need several high profile endorsements however because Ferraro has Mondale, O'Neil, and Cuomo out campaigning full speed with her daughters and husband fighting for her campaign as well. Ferraro is "determined to win," as her campaign spokeswoman puts it. Furthermore, to keep her lead in tact, Ferraro released a series of television advertisements in states that were undecided that Bumpers now leads in.