Of Rajahs and Hornbills: A timeline of Brooke Sarawak

If anyone was wondering, the latest post was on the previous page.

It's nice to see the Dayaks becoming more mercantile.

It certainly helps them understand the outside world, to a part. Trade expeditions for valuable goods (such as porcelain jars) were conducted by several Iban groups to various sultanates around Borneo long before the Brooke era, but they were never conducted regularly enough for trade ties to form between buyers and sellers. The roving nature of most tribes, coupled with the Iban penchant for piracy and pillaging, destroyed whatever goodwill was there. With a more stable and transport-developed Sarawak, there is a chance for Dayak groups to create some sort of mercantile system around parts of the country, especially if they could offer goods at lower prices than their Chinese and Peranakan counterparts.

More subtly, it would also expand the soft power of the Dayaks against their Malay and Chinese neighbors, which would cause some unexpected effects for 20th-century Sarawak and its reach.

Hopefully something will be done to extend education into the interior.

Well, the guy that could do it is a lazy bum. There's a reason Sarawak is a majority Catholic state.

Don't worry, that will be an important topic when Sarawak heads into the 20th century, though any large-scale education policies would not be on the agenda until at least the Great War. Think Johor and Benin, but with different peoples in a very multicultural strait.

The Spanish empire and its problems next, followed by West and East Africa (Dervish Caliphate included), and then finally to Europe and how the Great War came to be!
 
With a more stable and transport-developed Sarawak, there is a chance for Dayak groups to create some sort of mercantile system around parts of the country, especially if they could offer goods at lower prices than their Chinese and Peranakan counterparts.

More subtly, it would also expand the soft power of the Dayaks against their Malay and Chinese neighbors, which would cause some unexpected effects for 20th-century Sarawak and its reach.

Would this lead to an actual merchant diaspora - "Dayak-towns" in cities around the region which serve as home bases for the itinerant traders - and possibly some sense of shared identity?
 
Before I post the next update, let me say that I deeply apologize for the lateness. Real life intervened and I also had to attend a wedding at the far north of Peninsular Malaysia, which put me back almost a week. Additionally, I had to rewrite large sections of the passages due to plot holes and bloating paragraphs, and I am still a bit dissatisfied with the current results.

But I think I've been gone long enough now and thus concede to the creative adage "finished, not perfect". Plot holes can be plugged up later on, and it's easier to ask for forgiveness than to beg for permission.

But before that...

inb4 they started selling decapitated heads as house decor. :p

"It's also good for your manhood and gives certain blessings! Get yours now.":p

Nice slice of life piece.

Good to see the Dayaks getting an edge.

I see a pun.

Ey, if you can do something, grind it till you can skin it good.

Would this lead to an actual merchant diaspora - "Dayak-towns" in cities around the region which serve as home bases for the itinerant traders - and possibly some sense of shared identity?

Only among certain groups, and even then it's not a shared trait. Not all Dayak tribes are connected or outward-looking, and even those that do have their own ways of dealing with commerce. At this point, around a majority of the Melanau (through sago), and a quarter of Bidayuh and Iban tribes have constant interaction with outside trade, with several among their number establishing their own networks. But the trade merchants may see themselves as more similar than divergent due to their wealth and soft power, so there could be room for some sense of shared, exclusive identity. A Dayak Peranakan class, in a sense.

As for "Dayak-towns.". For now, maybe a few in West Borneo due to proximity and ease of access, and a tiny community in both Singapore and Johor to obtain goods, but that's about it. The web is young, and the outside world is a bit too confusing for most Dayaks to adequately deal with. In time though, this would change.
 
International snippets of the 1890's: 4/?
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Ignacio Carballar, Spain and her Empire: 1878-1905, (Journal for European Studies: 1989)

…Of all the 19th century European nations that dreamt of a glorious future, none yearned for it more than Spain. As the original european Great Power, the nation had seen its overseas empire tore itself apart in the early 19th century. Now, the surprise handover of the Congo Basin saw over 2,500,000 square kilometres plopped on Madrid’s lap, the single greatest addition of territory since the loss of the Viceroyalty of Peru [1]. The fact that most of equatorial Africa was awarded so due to colonial deadlock was immaterial; for the average Spaniard, it signified the chance of a new national beginning.

And this mentality of achieving former greatness was in full play during the last decade of the 19th century. The rising investments in Cuba and the Philippines, coupled with the profits of vine rubber in Congo, spurred a colonial mania in the metropole. Pro-colonial officials touted the rebirth of the Spanish Empire while investors lined up to profit from the resources of equatorial Africa. Newspapers were awash with exotic tales of the Congolese interior, interspersed with salacious news from Manila and Havana. Even authors were swept up in the mania, and despite some tiffs with British and Italian writers over accusations of plagiarism, many Spanish serials and dime novels spun fantastical stories of explorers adventuring through the jungles or fending off attacks by Cuban rebels or Mindanao fanatics.

But the biggest dream of all was chased by the Madrid government itself: a return to being a Great Power. Spain had lost that title through the independence of Latin America and the internal discord that followed the Napoleonic wars. Now, it sought to reclaim that ancient heritage. Diplomatic links were strengthened across Europe and the Americas while officials began prodding the sultanate of Morocco to accept unequal trade treaties. Investments were made in the transport network across Iberia and for a short while, there was even a joint proposal with the United States to dredge Mexico’s Chivela Pass and create a transoceanic rail-canal through the isthmus of Tehuantepec.

Such ambitions were the talk of metropolitan Spain during the 1890’s, but beneath all the glamour, the Spanish Empire was far from well. In Cuba, the insurrection of 1879 was swiftly quelled, but discontent over the island’s political freedom was never fully resolved. Likewise, the Philippines simmered under the call for reform, coupled with rising demands to end the corruption and abuses done by the dominating Franciscan and Dominican friars. Despite a number of nationalists being exiled to the Congo basin, Filipino separatism brewed underneath the surface of the archipelago.

Such were the conditions that lay beneath the trumpeting words of pro-colonial officials. In time, the fates of both Havana and Manila may have turned out differently, if it weren’t for the wealth that was found in the empire’s latest possession…

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Mario Paul Mbasogo, Colonial Congo (Lodja University Press: 1997)

…Today, it is easy to forget that the handover of tropical Africa to Spain was a measure of compromise by the Great Powers, whom viewed with suspicion any prospective claimant to the region from anyone among their number. But compromises only work when they are most convenient for everyone. The potential riches of the region, and the prestige that comes with owning it, made the large basin attractive to hold, especially to those Powers whom have planned their African expansion prior to 1885.

And as such, the gnawing of the Congo borderlands began as soon as the Brussels Conference ended. Portugal went first, with dubious explorers being funded from Lisbon to race across Angola and Mozambique to reach the valued copper stronghold of Katanga. Despite repeated protestations from their neighbour, Portugal’s effort bore fruit with the signing of commercial treaties with the Lunda and Yeke kingdoms in 1887 and 1888, extending Portuguese Africa to a wonky version of what the Pink Map had envisioned.

The only thing that stopped a complete Afro-Lusophone girdle was Nyasaland and Mutapa, which were caught in British orbit at the very last moments. The Eastern Rift Valley was eyed by both Great Britain and their South African colonies, not least because of the supposed valuable mineral deposits therein and the dream of a Cape-to-Kilwa railroad that would cement British interests writ large on the continent. Using Zanzibari guides, British explorers fanned out across the savannahs and plains of Tanganyika, signing as many trinket treaties with local chiefs as possible to get ahead of their Portuguese and Spanish competitors. Before long, the eastern Congo was on their sights and by 1890, the kingdoms of Kagera and the states of Rwanda and Burundi all fell under the orbit of the Union Jack.

To say that the new Spanish administration at San Sebastián were gobsmacked was an understatement. Far too late, they realized that their claims to the region had to be enforced and scrambled to assemble what forces they could muster. Unfortunately, the morass of Zanzibari slave traders whom have created their own fiefdoms in the eastern Congo made for a gruelling enforcement, with slavers conducting ambush raids against the newly formed (and ill-adapted) Spanish Expeditionary Corps. When the last of the slavers were driven off by the mid-1890’s, the losses were permanent; almost all the Great Lakes kingdoms were snatched, with Buganda and Bunyoro falling to the Germans while Ankole was agreed between all Powers to be an independent buffer state (including a grudging Spain). Yeke and Lunda were equally lost, with Portugal stamping out any notion of returning the kingdoms back.

But luck smiled upon them in the north, and a string of agreements (and hastily built forts) kept both Paris and Berlin from going south of the Ubangi river…


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Congolese workers and a Spanish overseer locating a rubber vine entwining a tree, circa 1893


…Initially, plans for the Congo mostly followed the aims of the Brussels Conference, which was to halt the slave trade and provide development to the local peoples; no one wanted to say out loud the actual reason of dividing a continent without provoking war. But once vine rubber – especially that of the Landolphia species – was discovered to be commercially lucrative, Spanish entrepreneurs found a new purpose for entrenching themselves in Africa: undercutting the Amazonian and Southeast Asian rubber trade. While vine rubber was chemically inferior to the insulative gutta-percha of Sundaland [2], it was still good in forming essential parts for the growing bicycle industry.

And thus, the concessionaire era of the basin dawned. Huge swathes of rainforest were given off to European companies whom would force local tribes to harvest the vine sap. However, unlike Southeast Asia or Amazonia, wild rubber was unknown to most of the Congolese; they mostly know the plant for its fruit. They didn’t use the liquid for play nor fashion their weapon handles with latex, and the rubber vines themselves grew wild and untamed across the vast forest. Why should they labour so long for such a substance, especially for such meagre pay that was offered by their new masters?

So instead, the concessionaires turned to extreme coercion. Workers were forced to extract vine rubber under severe punishment, with public beatings and lashings conducted on those whom failed to fulfil their quotas. Participation was mandatory. Village thugs were employed to oversee the work gangs while the látigo hipo – so named for the hippopotamus hide used in the whip – became a feared weapon of punishment in children’s tales. This, among other abuses, marked the start of Congo’s “Red Rubber” phase, and it would forever blot the early history of the colony.

But the Congolese did not resign to their fates. Far from it. Families fled, villages rioted, and no thug could hold back against surprise ambushes or midnight attacks. And all the while, whispers of their abuse began filtering downriver, to colonial San Sebastián and the ilustrado exiles working therein…

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Charlie MacDonald, Strange States, Weird Wars, and Bizzare Borders, (weirdworld.postr.com, 2014)

…The 1895 Cuban War of Devolution was the first crack in the façade.

Well, alright. It wasn’t the first crack. But it was the first major blow to the whole ‘Spanish Empire: Reborn!!’ mania that everyone took attention to, and it pretty much started Madrid’s conga line of problems with handling the nation’s brand image. The Philippines going aflame that very same year probably didn’t help.

Part of this was because of the rise in war journalism, particularly in the United States and Europe. The improvement in communications from both Manila and Havana, ironically, allowed for reports of the conflict to reach the ears of people half a world away. True, much of the reporting was done though the exaggerated and biased ‘yellow press’, but it did provide the public with some clue as to what was happening across the ‘New’ Spanish Empire. And given how metropolitan generals were forcing Cuban presents into towns and concentration camps, public criticism quickly became heated.

Another part was because of the Ilustrado exiles of the Spanish Philippines. For the past 30 years, many of them had campaigned for colonial reforms in the Spain itself, with some still being in Europe when the Philippines underwent their First War of Independence (strangely enough, also in 1895). The newspaper editor Marcelo Pilar was known for his contacts to European intellectuals while he was shacked up in Barcelona, and they were far from silent when the authorities finally took him in 1896. If there is one way to advocate radical changes among intellectuals, it’s when one of their number goes behind bars.

Trouble also came from the exiled nationalists in equatorial Africa; despite their distance and menial work as pen-pushers in San Sebastián, they banded together and tried to maintain themselves as a secret opposition group, with meetings conducted behind closed doors. A few even established secret correspondence with the foreign consuls of the city, which helped them immensely to spread the word out on Spain’s soon-to-be biggest PR problem: Congo.

Congo was the stone that shattered the glass façade.

For years, word had went around amongst missionary groups of the appalling abuse suffered by the Congolese, but the colonial government had always dismissed them or called them out as liars. But in August 1896, San Sebastián agreed to let a few Ilustrado exiles to travel upriver and work in the lower Congo basin as clerks or low-level company staff for the various concessionaries. With European staff members going sick in the environment, it was thought that the ‘tropical’ Filipinos could handle working in the deep rainforest. Big mistake.

When the first bombshell of native abuses appeared in a Barcelona broadsheet, hardly anyone could believe it. But as account after account bubbled up, Spain found itself getting harder and harder to keep aloof, especially since they couldn’t find who was tattle-tailing. Matters quickly accelerated when a salacious account of the British-Congolese Rubber Company found its way to the halls of the London Parliament. Concerned over said account, they hired their own prosecutor to investigate the happenings in equatorial Africa. I wonder how he reacted when he saw how the rubber firm’s enforcers kidnapped entire families and held them hostage to force their husbands and sons to collect the latex.


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Rubber baron: “I may be not a king, but I am rich enough- and cruel enough - to be one.”


From then on, the damage took a life of its own. Papers and tongues quickly connected the dots, and (dubious) reports were awash of Spanish Red Rubber funding the oppression of Cuba and the Philippines. The Black Legend of old Mesoamerica arose once again, tweaked with age to present images of suited conquistadors ordering thugs to whip helpless African natives for valuable sap, then turning around and using their rubber wealth to direct troops to force Cubans into squalid camps and Filipinos to execution grounds. Yellow journalists tore apart Spain’s dream of becoming a Great Power; how can such a nation be great if it does or permits such horrible things on its colonies?

Spain tried to bite back, with many officials pointing out how unfairly the nation was viewed and how many other colonies have done equally vile things. Look at France! They abuse their workers on the other side of the Congo, so why aren’t they getting the shaft? Besides, can you prove that the money from the rubber trade are being used in the Cuban and Philippine wars? But the adage “the more you deflect blame, the more blame people see on you,” became entrenched, and by 1897 there were open calls for Spain to allow greater transparency in where their money comes from and how was it spent. When a rebellion broke out amongst the Tetela people in the Upper Congo region (modern-day Maniema), there were pamphlets calling for Britain or Germany to do something that could help them against Spain.

They didn’t. Whether things could’ve happened differently, we can only guess.

In any case, Spain had a full-on PR crisis by that year, which was aided by the fact that they were actually winning the two wars, especially in the Philippines. With many ilustrados jailed or exiled, and with local and regional ties pulling the peasantry in different ways, the sentiment for independence was only strong among the townsfolk, upper classes, and the native priesthood. Government control of the press also helped in the propaganda effort, and calls to resist the ‘insurrectionist radicals’ were answered by large numbers of volunteers. Cuba was tougher, but government forces were creeping back into the guerrilla-totting east by mid-1898.

But it was clear that things could no longer be the same. After a military mobilization by the U.S. Congress, public pro-Cuba/Philippine and anti-Congo campaigns by intellectuals and church groups, two attempted assassinations on the Spanish prime minister by anti-colonial anarchists, and several successful murder attempts on Spanish rubber bosses back home, the writing was on the wall. They were winning the wars, but losing the peace.


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"For Cuba! For Manila! For the Congolese and all you have made into corpses!"


For the sake of not bloating this article longer, I’ll just compress the last three years and summarize what happened in 1898 and 1899: ceasefire -> peace deal -> heavy debate on the colonies -> pushback -> things nearly fall apart again -> things got patched up again -> Cuba and the Philippines were made into royal dominions ala. Canada on the 15th of March 1900 -> Royal commission on Congo -> law overhauls on concessionaires -> Spanish Congo decides to plant Amazonian rubber in August 1901.

No one was fully satisfied over this. The U.S seethed because it failed to play in the Cuban conflict. Cuba itself still had racial problems. The Philippines were unhappy over the continued presence of the foreign friars. The Congolese would still be treated as second-class (the Tetela people would continue rebelling long after the 1890’s). In fact, it would be partly due to the trouble of using local labour that would force San Sebastián to use more… agreeable sources of manpower from the Americas.

Above all, the conflicts shattered Spain’s dream of becoming a respected Great Power. It showed the world it was powerful, but in a way that made other nations second-guess whether to accept them or not in their alliances.

Maybe that was why Spain and its empire went the way it did during the Great War…


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__________________________________________________

Trisakti University of Jakarta

Name: Grace Hutabangun

Date: 30/9/2011

__________________________________________________

AUTO-PLAGRISIM CHECK

RESEARCH STUDY: The Role of Orthodox Islam in Colonial Asia (RETRY)

SECTION 5: Local and Regional Perception

__________________________________________________

One last thing.

When metropolitan Spain took out the last dregs of Philippine separatism 1890’s, it also used the increased manpower and resources sent there to root out the insurgencies in Sulu and Maguindanao. Following the ceasefire of 1898 between the colonial government and the nationalists, attention turned to the bubbling conflicts in the Muslim south as Spaniards and volunteers fought alongside militarized tribal groups in snuffing out the embers of the sultanates.

While this was by no means sealed the conflicts, the combination of fatigue and overwhelming force finally led some residents to decide in uprooting themselves and emigrate to greener pastures. From 1898 onwards, a slow but steady trickle of Moro and Tausug men left their homes and resettled across the many islands, and states, of Sundaland.

And with them, they brought the idea that Christians should not be trusted, that secular power should not be trusted, and that indigenous tribes should not be trusted….



VERDICT: 6% SENTENCES MATCHED

BELOW THERESHOLD


MARKS: 78/100



____________________

Notes:

1. See post #881 on the Conference of Brussels and how Spanish Congo came to be.

2. See post #896 on gutta-percha and the substance’s value to intustralization.
 
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I had to take a look back at post #881 to fully grasp the situation but now the excessive Spanish claims have been cut down in size, Cuba and the Philippines are in a better situation, and German East Africa is looking really nice in terms of borders. I'm looking forward to how the situation in Africa will continue to evolve. West Africa will doubtless see some action eventually. Good update ^^
 
I get the feeling that even with the reforms it will be viewed by history as too little too late. Tears for Spain and the colonies.
 
So turn out to be just the last hurrah of already lost age for Spain rather than revival of spanish empire. They will be lucky now just to keep what they already have.
 
What's interesting is the lack of Spanish-American war, that conflict helped sane some division in the post-civil war USA and correct several error in their military system; plus the event created problem in the transport and price of the american grain destinated to Europe, causing the rise of the price of bread and starting a lot of rebellion (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bava-Beccaris_massacre that's is just one of them, even if it's the most famous)
 

Deleted member 67076

I wonder if the Spanish Congo will lead to a widespread diaspora of Congolese to both Cuba and the Philippines; Spanish plantations (be sugar or something else) and factories still need cheap labor, even if at this time there was a widespread migration of Spaniards to Cuba (and the broader Caribbean basin), alongside the opposite route as the colonials look for better opportunities abroad.

If there's a widespread Congolese diaspora then remittences and outside education/investment could turn the colony into one of the per capita richest of all of Africa.
 
What happened in the rest of the imperio español (aka Puerto Rico and Guam)? Did they have anything significant (like dominion status) as well?
Really liking this TL!
 
Interesting. Spain is still doing much better than OTL. I doubt they could return to the status of major naval power in a few decades though, which will be a problem should Japanese millitarism ever become a thing. If Japan wants to take the Philippines off Spain, would Britain and France even care?
 
If Japan wants to take the Philippines off Spain, would Britain and France even care?

Doubtful.

Though mind you, this is a different Japan. If they took the Philippines, then they may set up a satellite regime rather than annex it. Which would be a great improvement for the islands' people over Spanish rule...
 
I had to take a look back at post #881 to fully grasp the situation but now the excessive Spanish claims have been cut down in size, Cuba and the Philippines are in a better situation, and German East Africa is looking really nice in terms of borders.

Interesting. Spain is still doing much better than OTL. I doubt they could return to the status of major naval power in a few decades though

ITTL contemporary Spain would probably be shocked at how far her OTL counterpart fell. In a sense, things are objectively better for the empire since it escaped dismemberment by the U.S. and even kept a nice swath of central Africa. The continuation of Spanish influence also means colonial commerce and interests wouldn’t be completely overshadowed by foreign powers, at least in the short term.

But the gnawing of the Congo borderlands and the international criticism over the conflicts left a sour note in Madrid. They didn’t expect their neighbours to be so aghast of Spanish rule in the colonies, or their African claims to be pushed aside so quickly. Cuba and the Philippines themselves still have some baked-in problems despite their more equal status vis-à-vis the metropole ITTL, and both states’ nationalists won’t forget that most of the developed world stood by them during the wars.


I get the feeling that even with the reforms it will be viewed by history as too little too late. Tears for Spain and the colonies.

So turn out to be just the last hurrah of already lost age for Spain rather than revival of spanish empire. They will be lucky now just to keep what they already have.

For what it’s worth, their colonies and dominions are far from paltry. The combined territories of the Spanish exceed that of Imperial Germany, and some of them have enormous economic and strategic value to the metropole.

But yes, Spain’s glory days are over. To the average European or American, the nation would be seen as a bloody brother of the Ottomans; a state with a large foreign empire and a substantial projection of power, but with baked-in issues regarding local rule and nationalism. The reforms help, but many tongues are wagging that they won’t be enough.


Yup. Madrid still failed to abolish La Frailocracia. :(

One of the add-ons from a winning Madrid, unfortunately. With the war on the government’s side, they were able to negotiate peace from a position of strength and preserve the foreign friars as an institutional pillar in the dominion, especially in church matters. This, among other reasons, is why the Philippine conflict was called “the First War of Independence.” To many people, it’s not over.


What's interesting is the lack of Spanish-American war, that conflict helped sane some division in the post-civil war USA and correct several error in their military system; plus the event created problem in the transport and price of the american grain destinated to Europe, causing the rise of the price of bread and starting a lot of rebellion (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bava-Beccaris_massacre that's is just one of them, even if it's the most famous)

Interesting! So with the war halted before the U.S. got involved, the food situation in Europe won’t be so chaotic. A few massacres may well have been avoided ITTL, though it won’t be a complete balm to the region’s pains. I also suspect it would lead many nations to not consider how dependent they are on U.S trade, which may bite them all in the coming Great War.

And I haven’t thought a lot on the U.S. (focusing too much on Southeast Asia does that :p) but you’re right that America won’t be as unified a nation ITTL. No Cuba as a sticking point and no Teddy Roosevelt in power means less influence by Washington on the Caribbean or Central America ITTL, at least for the time being. Their military would also be less developed, which could lead to some interesting developments if they want to engage in foreign adventurism.

The way they went during the Great war ehh...... Neutral if their lucky :rolleyes:

That’s the ideal, but war has a way of upending things if they’re not careful. :rolleyes:


I wonder if the Spanish Congo will lead to a widespread diaspora of Congolese to both Cuba and the Philippines; Spanish plantations (be sugar or something else) and factories still need cheap labor, even if at this time there was a widespread migration of Spaniards to Cuba (and the broader Caribbean basin), alongside the opposite route as the colonials look for better opportunities abroad.


If there's a widespread Congolese diaspora then remittences and outside education/investment could turn the colony into one of the per capita richest of all of Africa.


One earlier discussion mentioned of labour migration being possible, especially if it means employing mestizos from South America to Spanish Congo to work in the rubber plantations. But with that said, a diaspora of native Congolese labourers to Cuba and South America is intriguing. Plantation work would seem demeaning to the average Spaniard or Cuban, so their labour could be replaced by Congolese contract workers instaed. Equally, industrialists and planters from the Americas would be attracted by the basin’s rich resources and set up shop accordingly. Spanish Congo could become the new axis of transatlantic commerce.

On the other hand, I can also see a prolonging of racism among the nations that do this, especially in places like Cuba. The class and racial divide haven’t been fully bridged by the war ITTL, and the notion of African peoples needing a foreign hand to ‘guide’ them is still strong, if tainted.

The Philippines would be too far to receive Congolese labourers, but their upgrade to dominion status makes it possible for exiled Ilustrados to contact their homeland and influence reform affairs both in Africa and Southeast Asia. The extra fact that San Sebastián is still in the dark regarding their involvement is an added bonus.


What happened in the rest of the imperio español (aka Puerto Rico and Guam)? Did they have anything significant (like dominion status) as well?

Puerto Rico is currently considered an “overseas province” of Spain, with limited self-government in some matters but still heavily tied to the metropole. The island’s autonomist movement managed to convince Madrid of this during the late 1890s and the capital acquiesced after seeing the PR disaster of Cuba, Congo, and the Philippines.

Guam… hmm. The island and the larger oceanic archipelago are too disparate to be directly ruled, so I’d wager that they would be split off from the Philippines as a separate colony, ruled directly from Manila. How’s that sound?


If Japan wants to take the Philippines off Spain, would Britain and France even care?

Doubtful.


Though mind you, this is a different Japan. If they took the Philippines, then they may set up a satellite regime rather than annex it. Which would be a great improvement for the islands' people over Spanish rule...

And it would mollify the Great Powers that Japan isn’t directly intruding on Southeast Asia, which is currently becoming a crowded space for colonial ambitions. In any case, Japan is taking an eye at the Philippines to see how the region goes, and Japanese companies are already popping up across the South China Sea. For now, Tokyo is more concerned with Korea and Manchuria than with anything south of Taiwan.


Next update would be on a few other African states. After that, it’s onto the Great War! (or more specifically, how Europe ended up tearing at each other).
 

Gian

Banned
I wonder how that would affect Catalan nationalism long-term, because from what I heard, it didn't really become a thing until after the loss of Spain's colonies.
 
Interesting! So with the war halted before the U.S. got involved, the food situation in Europe won’t be so chaotic. A few massacres may well have been avoided ITTL, though it won’t be a complete balm to the region’s pains. I also suspect it would lead many nations to not consider how dependent they are on U.S trade, which may bite them all in the coming Great War.

I can speak principally for Italy; sure it will not magically resolve the problems of the time...but this, plus the compounded changes had just make the nation, slightly richer and slightly (politically) quieter than OTL, but in general the biggest problem will remain (general underdeveloped south Italy, poor and/or illiterate population, limited industrialization) but just a little less than OTL; the biggest change is that King Umberto I will probably avoid the assasination of OTL (as it was due as a reaction at the revolt repression).
Regarding the repercussion of a cut of the US. trade, well much depend on the side of the war and if substitute trade patner can be found.

And I haven’t thought a lot on the U.S. (focusing too much on Southeast Asia does that :p) but you’re right that America won’t be as unified a nation ITTL. No Cuba as a sticking point and no Teddy Roosevelt in power means less influence by Washington on the Caribbean or Central America ITTL, at least for the time being. Their military would also be less developed, which could lead to some interesting developments if they want to engage in foreign adventurism.

In any great war the USA are very important...but the prospective of them not having Teddy as president it's not good; Roosevelt (for all his faults) was a big reformer and an enemy of the big trust.

And now the always irritating question...expecially with the Great war approaching:

1- there are some formal alliances? Like OTL Dual and later Triple Alliance and the Franco-Russian Entente or are more 'gentleman's agreement'/secret treaty?
2- Other than Southeast Asia, what are the various hotpoint in the world? The Balkans are on the list naturally and Africa is riddled with nation competing with each others (and locals trying to get protection) but how is the situation between China/Korea and Russia? The Great Game?
3- We have seen how two of the big ill men of Europe are going (Spain and the Ottoman) but the other two (Russia and A-H) how they are faring?
 
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