Fear Not the Revolution, Habibi: A Middle East Timeline

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yboxman

Banned
Article I

With a view to promoting the return of permanent peace in the region, and in recognition of the importance in this regard of mutual assurances concerning the future military operations of the Parties, the following principles, which shall be fully observed by both Parties during the armistice, are hereby affirmed:

1. The establishment of an armistice between the armed forces of the Republic of Syria and the State of Israel and an end to any and all hostilities is accepted as an indispensable step toward the liquidation of armed conflict and the restoration of peace in the region.

So East Palestine/PLO is not a party to this agreement?

4. Each Party must return its forces to the Armistice Demarcation Line set forth in the resolution of the Security Council of 16 November 1948 and the 1949 Armistice Agreement

This 1949 armistice line is the Green line. Is that what you meant? Given the military outcome of the war this is a huge Syrian political victory and one which even the most pragmatic and dovish leftist Israelis will have a hard time swallowing. It's much, much, better than Syria achieved OTL in 1973. ITTL, this amounts to Israel withdrawing all the way from Damascus to lake Kinneret/Sea of Galille- with no DMZ to separate it from Syria.

The issue is complicated by the fact that Syria captured a strip of land West of the 1923 international border in 1948 which was, following the withdrawal of Egypt, Jordan and Lebanon from the war, designated as a DMZ- which Syria took to understand as Territory belonging to Syria and which Israel took to understand as territory belonging to Israel. Where the border actually was, prior to 1967, was one of the major bones of contention during the 1990s peace negotiations.

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The orange area in the West is what Syria nabbed in 1949 (by 1970 this is worked and lived on by the pre 1967 Hula Kibbutzim). The Brown and purple areas is what Israel captured in 1967. the purple area was designated as a UN monitored DMZ post 1973.


Article IV


3. Rules and regulations of the armed forces of the Parties, which prohibit civilians from crossing the fighting lines or entering the area between the lines, shall remain in effect after the signing of this Agreement, with application to the Armistice Demarcation Line defined in Article V, subject to the provisions of paragraph 4 of that Article.

Article V


4.a. Where the Armistice Demarcation Line does not correspond to the international boundary between Syria and Palestine, the area between the Armistice Demarcation Line and the boundary, pending final territorial settlement between the Parties, shall be established as a Demilitarized Zone from which the armed forces of both Parties shall be totally excluded, and in which no activities by military or paramilitary forces shall be permitted.

Did what you mean was for all/most of OTL Golan (and the area captured by Israel during TTLs 1970 war?) to become a DMZ?. The way the treaty is written it simply reestablishes the pre-1967 DMZ, WEST of the Golan heights (Orange area) which was quite narrow. If that was your intention then the relevant line is to be cited as the armistice line is the June 11 Armistice line.

Related to that, who maintains civil authority in the DMZ? Statues Quo ante? Local authorities? The UN?

Also, what happens to the settlements established on the Golan? I was surprised to find out that there were a dozen or so Kibbutzim established there by 1970 though there are less than a thousand people living there. They are mostly (in 1970) MAPAI and MAPAM movement partisans. Movement of many additional Israelis into the DMZ seems unlikely but those already there are unlikely to leave unless coerced.

BTW, you might find this of interest: "In August 1967, Allon suggested to Eshkol that Israel encourage a Druze revolt in Syria that would lead to the establishment of their state. Later, he tried to mobilize the Druze in the Golan for his plan, with the help of one of their leaders, Kamal Kanj of Majdal Shams who, at the behest of Israeli intelligence, met with Syrian Druze representatives in Rome. When it emerged that he also used to travel secretly to Syria to update Syrian intelligence on Israel's intentions, Kanj was charged with espionage and given a long prison sentence, though he was soon released."

http://www.haaretz.com/print-edition/features/a-matter-of-a-few-dozen-meters-1.246971

golanmap1.gif
 
This 1949 armistice line is the Green line. Is that what you meant? Given the military outcome of the war this is a huge Syrian political victory and one which even the most pragmatic and dovish leftist Israelis will have a hard time swallowing. It's much, much, better than Syria achieved OTL in 1973. ITTL, this amounts to Israel withdrawing all the way from Damascus to lake Kinneret/Sea of Galille- with no DMZ to separate it from Syria.

Did what you mean was for all/most of OTL Golan (and the area captured by Israel during TTLs 1970 war?) to become a DMZ?. The way the treaty is written it simply reestablishes the pre-1967 DMZ, WEST of the Golan heights (Orange area) which was quite narrow. If that was your intention then the relevant line is to be cited as the armistice line is the June 11 Armistice line.

Yeah, that's what I meant. The Golan should be post-'67 status quo for Israel (with "defensive forces only"). Even Golda isn't going to give up the Golan to Syria. I'll retconn that, looking at a map, my update doesn't make a whole lot of sense. I guess this is what you get when you model your language on the 1949 Treaty too closely.

Related to that, who maintains civil authority in the DMZ? Statues Quo ante? Local authorities? The UN?

Also, what happens to the settlements established on the Golan? I was surprised to find out that there were a dozen or so Kibbutzim established there by 1970 though there are less than a thousand people living there. They are mostly (in 1970) MAPAI and MAPAM movement partisans. Movement of many additional Israelis into the DMZ seems unlikely but those already there are unlikely to leave unless coerced.

BTW, you might find this of interest: "In August 1967, Allon suggested to Eshkol that Israel encourage a Druze revolt in Syria that would lead to the establishment of their state. Later, he tried to mobilize the Druze in the Golan for his plan, with the help of one of their leaders, Kamal Kanj of Majdal Shams who, at the behest of Israeli intelligence, met with Syrian Druze representatives in Rome. When it emerged that he also used to travel secretly to Syria to update Syrian intelligence on Israel's intentions, Kanj was charged with espionage and given a long prison sentence, though he was soon released."

The Golan region's administration will prove to be one of the headaches of the military regime, and the ad-hoc solution they implement will basically evolve into the modern-day situation in the Golan. Allon's support for Druze autonomy will definitely factor in, don't you worry ;)

Just caught up with the recent updates, and all I can say is that they're fantastic. :)

Did the Cienfuegos affair go as per OTL, or have there been some butterflies? 'cries of weakness' implies that the mini-crisis got a lot more public attention than the set of news articles prompted by Kissinger's tactical leaks IOTL.

Thanks!

It doesn't get a whole lot of attention outside of Washington, but Nixon is getting hammered by both Democratic and Republican Cold Warriors on the foreign-policy right, and will never win over the dovish left or isolationists. He's stuck between Scoop and a hard place, basically.
 
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“The National Salvation Council came to power reluctantly, and with an urge to go back to the barracks. However, the job placed before them was immense: not only would they have to restore order to the streets and rescue the country from a downward spiral, they would have to do so in a way that bonded the country, which was busy ripping itself apart at Ben-Gurion’s carefully stitched seams, back together.

The first order of business was to prevent ongoing street protests from spiraling out of control. Recalling Border Police battalions from the frontier and relying on units commanded by officers with firm loyalties to the state, the NSC issued decrees implementing a curfew, ordering protestors to return to their homes, and mandating the arrest of unruly demonstrators. Most protestors did just that, although the right-wing supporters of former Prime Minister Begin, who was detained in a military base awaiting trial for abuse of office and his role in the death of anti-government protestors, stayed. With the media, courts, unions and public opinion behind them, the NSC quashed the demonstrations. While the more hardline Irgunists resisted violently, police dealt with them with minimal casualties. The only major incident occurred in Jerusalem, where armed opposition supporters charged a unit of riot police, who were forced to open fire. With fears of further violence, the NSC ordered the preventative detention of a large number of protestors and protest organizers, which quickly calmed the situation.

Still, while order was restored, many problems remained. The NSC lacked a constitutional right to rule, the economy was crashing again, and the right, while off the streets, remained noisily opposed to reconciliation efforts and the Council’s leadership. The NSC implemented emergency measures, restricting non-essential imports to preserve foreign exchange reserves, letting the value of the lira drop once again and increasing salaries to state officials, particularly the police…

The appointment of Shimon Agranat as acting Prime Minister was a wise choice for the NSC: a widely respected figure, Agranat was acceptable to Labour Zionists, leftists, liberals and the religious parties alike, and his position as Chief Justice of the Supreme Court lent the NSC an air of legal legitimacy. This was furthered when the rump Knesset, excluding Gahal, passed a resolution endorsing their own suspension and the “temporary rule” of the NSC.

Agranat though soon ran into trouble, as an important case reached the high court in mid-April. This case, which pitted a protestor convicted of a civil offence against the state, challenged the legitimacy of the man’s conviction on the grounds that the current government of Israel was inherently illegitimate and had no right to enforce the laws of the country. The unanimous decision handed down by the court denied the protestor’s claim, parsing the difference between government and state in law: as emergency laws with all the powers exercised by the NSC already existed, their enforcement was entirely within the right of the Israeli state, regardless of the government. Still, the court called for the government to respect the Basic Laws. Agranat, who was not a member of the Knesset and was a judge, was doubly disallowed from legally serving as prime minister. A member of the Knesset needed to be appointed in his place.

On April 24, after a few days of hurried politicking, the name of the new prime minister was announced to the surprise of no one…”

Shimon Baror. Twelve Tribes: A Political History of Israel. Jerusalem: Keter Press, 1999.


***


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“The selection of Yigal Allon as prime minister following Shimon Agranat’s dismissal put a civilian face on a leftist junta, but was a final blow that put Israeli democracy into a coma for a decade. The so-called “Special Period” began with a sharp clampdown on liberal and anti-Mapai groups, to solidify the illegal seizure of the government from democratically elected officials. Armed soldiers bloodily cleared protestors from the street, something most Israelis had only seen in their nightmares or in their corrupt, authoritarian neighbours. In Jerusalem, 153 were wounded and seven killed on Bloody Thursday, as police used tear gas and live rounds against a peaceful demonstration. Mass arrests took place afterwards with leaders of the Right disappearing into police custody. Many would not return to their communities until months later, complete with criminal records and scars, both mental and physical…

With a new civilian prime minister, nothing changed. State media and their lackeys in the major dailies spouted hyperbole and propaganda, shrieking every day about Altalena and the Lehi’s Nazi ties. The rump Knesset, with duplicitous “liberals” and the religious parties corralled into a grand governing coalition with the victorious left, passed few new laws. Yet, they undid most of the reforms of Gahal’s short tenure, added a basket of offenses of political thought and action to the criminal code and allowed military tribunals to try civilians in “exceptional circumstances.”

The greatest wrong came though from the right itself. Yigal Allon, secure in office, called for new elections in January. Gahal’s weaker liberal members had fled, leaving the core of Herut standing alone. Herut and the Right was split; some wanted to swallow their pride and participate, others sought a boycott of the elections, and a deluded few declared that the regime was illegitimate and a turn to extra-democratic means was necessary. Herut, divided and leaderless with Menachem Begin locked away, went all three ways. Some, calling themselves Ma’al (the National Unity Party), ran on a conciliatory but Revisionist platform. The remainder of Herut chose to boycott the elections, calling for strikes, protests and the immediate release of their imprisoned leader. Finally, a few on the party’s furthest right decided the time was ripe for a return to the ways of the Irgun…

Dov Milman. Herod Restored: MAPAI, the Right and the “Special Period”. New York: Judaea House Publishing. 1991
 
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yboxman

Banned
Hasmonean Restoration: The MAPAI, the Right and the “Special Period[/I]”. New York: Judaea House Publishing. 1991[/B]

Hasmonean restoration???:confused:

And what's happenin with Dov Milman during this period, anyway? It seems unlikely that he would lose his Knesset seat ITTL in the 1970 elections as he did OTL in 1973. Does he get swept up in the purges or does he flee the country or does he go underground?
 
I have a feeling Dov really, really doesn't like the left. Just a feeling :p

Go neo-Irgun. And yeah, Dov Milman sounds rather... tilted. In a good way :D

No, he's absolutely Fair and Balanced on this issue. I'm surprised no one identified that the Baror article is also pretty damn biased, if in the other direction and in a less overtly polemical fashion.

Also, "go Neo-Irgun"? Really? :p

Hasmonean restoration???:confused:

And what's happenin with Dov Milman during this period, anyway? It seems unlikely that he would lose his Knesset seat ITTL in the 1970 elections as he did OTL in 1973. Does he get swept up in the purges or does he flee the country or does he go underground?

"Hasmonean Restoration" doesn't actually refer to a restoration of a Hasmonean monarchy; its more of a reference to the corruption and oppressive nature of the Special Period government, at least in Milman's eyes.

ITTL, Milman gets swept up in the purges but released from prison without charges about six months later. He is rearrested after leading protests during the boycotted 1972 election and is pardoned on the condition that he leave the country. He ends up, along with a number of other lower and mid-level right-winger, in New York City, where he ends up settling largely permanently.
 
No, he's absolutely Fair and Balanced on this issue. I'm surprised no one identified that the Baror article is also pretty damn biased, if in the other direction and in a less overtly polemical fashion.

It's not as frothing at the mouth about its biases, so not as noticeable. Or comment worthy ;)
 
Just got caught up on this one and am enjoying it a lot, from hints about the future it looks like modern Islamism as we know it has been hit with a big dose of butterflies, which is good to see as people project back modern religious radicalism way back before it was significant when talking about the Middle East, which is very annoying.

Just one question, why did Dayan stick by Begin? Begin was running into trouble due to his domestic policies which Dayan (IIRC) didn't agree with anyway and a lot of people that Begin was trying to shunt aside from the military and bureaucracy must've been part of Dayan's slice of Labor Zionism. What was in it for him, if he'd pulled the rug out from Begin he couldn't taken away the PM's parliamentary majority and made the coup unnecessary.
 
Just got caught up on this one and am enjoying it a lot, from hints about the future it looks like modern Islamism as we know it has been hit with a big dose of butterflies, which is good to see as people project back modern religious radicalism way back before it was significant when talking about the Middle East, which is very annoying.

Just one question, why did Dayan stick by Begin? Begin was running into trouble due to his domestic policies which Dayan (IIRC) didn't agree with anyway and a lot of people that Begin was trying to shunt aside from the military and bureaucracy must've been part of Dayan's slice of Labor Zionism. What was in it for him, if he'd pulled the rug out from Begin he couldn't taken away the PM's parliamentary majority and made the coup unnecessary.

So my read on Dayan is that he was a political opportunist of the highest order; Rafi, in the end, joined Likud along with the other right-wing parties. Dayan supports Begin for three reasons:

1) Dayan is scared of an election; many of his voters will punish him for supporting Begin this long and will not reward him for jumping ship when it seems opportune, and he has no chance of negotiating a compromise with the left anymore.

2) Dayan's people in the establishment have been left mostly untouched by Begin's purges.

3) Dayan actually agrees with Begin on foreign policy, and domestic policy isn't all that relevant. Dayan has a key role here in making Israel's foreign, defence and security policy, especially because he holds the balance of power in Parliament. He's not giving that up for anything.
 

yboxman

Banned
Corrupt Hasmonean?

"Hasmonean Restoration" doesn't actually refer to a restoration of a Hasmonean monarchy; its more of a reference to the corruption and oppressive nature of the Special Period government, at least in Milman's eyes.

The association of the (later) Hasmonean dynasty with corruption, opression, elitism and foreign meddling in domestic affairs is a historically legitimate, if controversial, interpretation.

But it is not an association which would occur to most Israelis, not even those who are historically aware. Say "hashmonean" to the average Israeli and the association is with heroism, national pride and independence. The political ovetones, insofar as they exist, are with the political right rather than Left.

A political label with the proper emotional associations from the same historical period might be "The Sadducee oligarchy" or "The defilement of the third temple: from Maccabees to Herodians".
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sadducees http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herod_the_Great

Though if you view Dov Milman as a raving extremist he might just call the special period regime "The Judenrat".
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judenrat
 
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The association of the (later) Hasmonean dynasty with corruption, opression, elitism and foreign meddling in domestic affairs is a historically legitimate, if controversial, interpretation.

But it is not an association which would occur to most Israelis, not even those who are historically aware. Say "hashmonean" to the average Israeli and the association is with heroism, national pride and independence. The political ovetones, insofar as they exist, are with the political right rather than Left.

A political label with the proper emotional associations from the same historical period might be "The Sadducee oligarchy" or "The defilement of the third temple: from Maccabees to Herodians".
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sadducees http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Herod_the_Great

Though if you view Dov Milman as a raving extremist he might just call the special period regime "The Judenrat".
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Judenrat

Interesting. I'll probably change the book's title then. Not sure what to, but I'll figure it out. Does the rest of the update check out though?
 

yboxman

Banned
Interesting. I'll probably change the book's title then. Not sure what to, but I'll figure it out. Does the rest of the update check out though?

It's uncomfortably plausible:eek:.

Though I think Dayan and his supporters would be agonized by the lead up to the coup. Dayan, like anyone else, is a man of many parts, rather than JUST an opportunist. He also has personal ties to the establishment, ideological antipathy to some of Begin's rhetoric, etc. What Begin is doing is burning any bridges he has to his old life.

He might stick with Begin for that reason but some of his supporters, MKs included, have other options. they might start crossing the floor to Mapai and Tekumah, eroding Begin's Knesset majority.

The way you set up the election results (which are plausible):

Begin needs either Dayan or Burg to hold a majority. Burg probably would be willing to sit with Begin- except that the split with Hammer makes that politically problematic. That gives Dayan some leverage with Begin.

Even if he fails to use it to defuse the constitutional crisis, he will probably try to mediate a compromise with Allon or Gallili, with or without Begin's blessing, once the street battles and coup preparations ensue. That may not result in any changes to the outcome of the crisis- but it will effect Dayan's personal and political future.

A post which refers to what Dayan was doing while the ship was sinking and what happened to him afterwards (Kiss and make up with the establishment? house arrest? exile?) would make the scenario even more interesting and plausible than it already is.
 
How about the "Herod Redivivus"?

Went pretty much with this, thanks!!

It's uncomfortably plausible:eek:.

Though I think Dayan and his supporters would be agonized by the lead up to the coup. Dayan, like anyone else, is a man of many parts, rather than JUST an opportunist. He also has personal ties to the establishment, ideological antipathy to some of Begin's rhetoric, etc. What Begin is doing is burning any bridges he has to his old life.

He might stick with Begin for that reason but some of his supporters, MKs included, have other options. they might start crossing the floor to Mapai and Tekumah, eroding Begin's Knesset majority.

The way you set up the election results (which are plausible):

Begin needs either Dayan or Burg to hold a majority. Burg probably would be willing to sit with Begin- except that the split with Hammer makes that politically problematic. That gives Dayan some leverage with Begin.

Even if he fails to use it to defuse the constitutional crisis, he will probably try to mediate a compromise with Allon or Gallili, with or without Begin's blessing, once the street battles and coup preparations ensue. That may not result in any changes to the outcome of the crisis- but it will effect Dayan's personal and political future.

A post which refers to what Dayan was doing while the ship was sinking and what happened to him afterwards (Kiss and make up with the establishment? house arrest? exile?) would make the scenario even more interesting and plausible than it already is.

During the lead-up to the coup, quite a few of Dayan's supporters jumped ship, including a few MKs. Burg left the government once the violence got really bad, although a few of his MKs switched parties to HaModelet Yehudit when he did.

I'll definitely write a post detailing what happened with Dayan during the crisis. Needless to say, he's not in a good position right now, and the man who he has to come crawling to is not his biggest fan for a whole host of reasons.
 
Morocco, Elections and Dayan, oh my!

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“With the coronation of King Hassan II of Morocco in 1961, a new era began. Hassan’s father, Mohammed V, was beloved by the people as the leader who, returning from exile in Madagascar, had led Morocco to independence. The French-Moroccan Agreement of 1956 transformed Morocco from a colonial protectorate into a sovereign state. The agreement established Morocco as a constitutional monarchy with both a central role for the king, widely respected in a conservative society, and responsible government. Under Mohammed V, the king and the major nationalist party, Istiqlal, cautiously balanced each other’s authority, preventing either from establishing authoritarian rule while largely shutting out more radical political movements. While not entirely democratic, Morocco was secure in a region full of mounting repression and instability.

Hassan II was not nearly as restrained as his father. While in 1963 Hassan introduced a constitution that firmly established multi-party government, the first state in the Maghreb region to do so, it also centralized authority with the palace. While in theory Parliament reigned, the king, his appointed cabinet and a collection of shadowy advisors ran the country. In the face of protests from Istiqlal and the UNFP, the country’s two major political parties, Hassan responded with repression. In 1965, Hassan dissolved Parliament and declared direct rule under a “state of exception.” Violence against political opponents soon mounted, both within Morocco and in the diaspora, paired with restrictions on civil liberties and the media. On October 29, 1965, Mehdi Ben Barka, leader of the republican UNFP, disappeared while in exile in Paris after being arrested by French police. He was never seen again, although most experts believe that he was murdered by the Moroccan regime with the aid of allies in the French security establishment. These restrictions continued to tighten. A 1967 report by the State Department observed: "Hassan appears obsessed with the preservation of his power rather than with its application toward the resolution of Morocco's multiplying domestic problems.” Morocco through this period struggled to grow its economy sufficiently to absorb a swelling labour force and improve the standard of living for its population.

Still, by the end of the 1960s, Hassan felt comfortable enough in his rule that he began to loosen his grip. Restrictions on freedom of speech and association were relaxed and some political prisoners were released. There is evidence that the palace even had plans to move forward with a new constitution and a restoration of parliamentary rule, albeit restricted in its scope…

The 1969 coup attempt in Libya spooked Hassan, who responded by strengthening the Royal Guard and paramilitary forces at the expense of the army and Air Force. Military expenditures soared, especially after the conquest of Jordan by the PLO and Ba’athists in Syria; Hassan dreaded a similar move by Algeria, which he feared would cooperate with leftist and other insurrectionary forces within Morocco to overthrow the Alaouite dynasty. Interior Minister General Mohamed Oufkir, a feared ally of the king, gaining control of the Defence ministry. As defence spending soared, the country ran up a huge budget deficit and forced to make cuts to social spending. This, along with soaring inflation caused by the rising price of oil and Morocco’s tepid response to the Israeli invasion of Syria, led to rising discontent among the poor and middle classes. All that was needed was a spark.

On July 19, 1971, a young activist named Abdullah Bouazizi was tortured to death in Interior Ministry custody for organizing an anti-corruption rally in Marrakesh. This produced demonstrations in the city, which threatened to grow and possibly spread throughout the country if left unchecked. When local security forces were unable to suppress the mounting protests, King Hassan ordered the army to put down what he viewed as an attempt at revolution. He placed a trusted confidant, General Mohamed Medbouh, in charge of the operation. Medbouh though, while loyal to the king, a man he admired, was increasingly disenchanted with the corruption and tyranny of the Moroccan regime. He privately refused to crack down on Moroccan civilians, counseling Hassan to restore the constitution and implement liberalizing reforms. Hassan was furious, and ordered the immediate arrest of Medbouh. However, the army, tired of the distrust and venality of the king, no longer answered to His Majesty. Rather, they answered to his closest ally, General Mohamed Oufkir.

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On the evening of August 2, army units ambushed a Royal Guard convoy carrying King Hassan from his coastal palace in Skhirat back to Rabat. Loyalist forces surrendered after a brief battle with few casualties; there is evidence that officers loyal to Medbouh, a former Royal Guard commander, were involved in the coup. The king was arrested and place in the custody of the Armed Forces Committee for National Restoration, commonly known al-Lajna, or ‘the Committee.’ The throne was declared vacant, with Medbouh appointed as Regent. The king’s family, including eight-year old Crown Prince Mohammed, was allowed to leave for exile in France, although many older Alaouite family members were arrested. The coup surprised many actors, including protestors, who returned home as army units began to patrol the streets under the ‘state of national emergency’ proclaimed by al-Lajna. Moroccan allies were deeply suspicious of the new regime, although they were heartened to see that the new government promised to maintain all of Morocco’s international commitments and, in the words of the new Prime Minister Mohamed Oufkir, “battle for a free, democratic, prosperous Morocco” rather than embrace revolutionary rhetoric.

The new regime immediately moved to restore order. Opposition parties remained banned for the time being, although they were increasingly tolerated. Istiqlal and the UNFP, among other parties, began to organize for expected future elections. Cuts to military spending (including the elimination of the Royal Guard), confiscations of property from beneficiaries of royal corruption, fuel rationing and a 90-day wage and price freeze gave al-Lajna room to stabilize the country’s economy. The generals were wildly popular among the urban elite and middle class. They had also begun to build relationships with rural landowners and clan leaders, many of who remained openly monarchist. On November 18, Morocco’s Independence Day, Regent Mohamed Medbouh declared an end to the monarchy and the creation of the Republic of Morocco, with himself as Acting President. All political parties were legalized, and elections for a constituent assembly were scheduled for January 1972. For many, the future of Morocco looked bright. Others though could see the clouds looming on the horizon…”

Mohamed Ben Jelloun. The History of Modern Morocco. New York: Columbia University Press, 2001


***


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“The general election of 1972, was, considering expectations, surprisingly tranquil. While there were noisy protests and a boycott by a large segment of the right, street violence was minimal and polling went smoothly. This was due to the overwhelming presence of police in public spaces as well as, more problematically, the surveillance, harassment and censorship of the opposition, including detention of opposition political activists throughout the campaign...

Two factions competed to lead the next government, while religious parties and the fragmented liberal center and far left hoped to make gains at the expense of their rivals. On the left, Tekumah, swallowing other small leftist parties, combined celebration of the NSC’s seizure of power and the suppression of the ‘Irgunist radicals’ with a platform of economic populism and a realist but defensively geared foreign policy. On the economy, Allon vowed to further subsidize industrial growth in ‘development towns,’ drastically expand Israel’s military production capacity, develop the ‘frontier’ and improve the education system through more rigorous testing, a focus on science and technology and the reintroduction of the Labour Zionist stream in schools. Significant new infrastructure spending was planned, with a focus on reducing Israel’s need for imported energy. On foreign policy, Allon ran on the Ze’evi Plan, his government’s proposed solution to the issue of the occupied territories, as well as promising to uphold the Sarajevo Agreement and rebuild the IDF’s strength to allow it to better defend the nation’s frontiers.

On the right, the National Unity Party, Ma’al, toed a narrow line. The party, led by the aging Yosef Sapir, attempted to appeal to the furious energy of the Revisionist right while maintaining an acceptably moderate platform. Unfortunately for the party, Sapir, a man in the classical liberal Zionist mould, was unable to bridge this divide. The party narrowly escaped dissolution by the Central Elections Committee and the Supreme Court after a number of its candidates and activists were charged with speech “threatening public safety” during the campaign. With the mainstream and state media firmly in the left’s camp, public opinion rapidly turned against Ma’al. At the same time, a boycott of the polls by more extreme members of the Revisionist movement depressed the right’s turnout to record-low levels, and working-class Sephardic voters, enticed by Tekumah’s promises of stability and economic development for their communities, defected in significant numbers.

Meanwhile, Mapai lacked an easy way to distinguish themselves from Tekumah, sharing most of their platform but none of their energy. Yisrael Galili, a wooden campaigner, had offered to resign the party leadership but was asked to remain on by Mapai’s Knesset caucus. Mapai ran a campaign promising a return to “normality,” hoping to resume power as Israel’s natural governing party. While they were buoyed by defections to Mapai by several of Rafi’s remaining members, they struggled to gain traction. The death knell for Mapai’s campaign came when the leader of the Histadrut, Yitzhak Ben-Aharon, publicly endorsed both Mapai and Tekumah, calling for a unification of the non-Communist left. Mapai, with its core voting bloc now up for grabs, resigned itself to minor party status for the first time…

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The election’s results were surprising to many, although perhaps they should not have been. With low turnout, the Independent Liberals and Free Center picking up many moderate voters, and some hardliners defecting to the religious Zionist HaMolodet HaYehudit, Ma’al led the Revisionist movement to its worst electoral showing since the founding of the state of Israel. Meanwhile, the left, heavily mobilized, seized control of the Knesset, with Tekumah winning a huge plurality of seats and a clear mandate. Even the far left made gains, with Rakah and Maki reunified into the Popular Front in the face of growing repression. As the leading parties of the “Third Camp,” which denounced both the Begin government and the NSC, they gained protest votes and won the largest number of mandate in their history.

As the dust settled from the election and Yigal Allon returned to the Prime Minister’s office, the stage was set for the era defined by its central political figure, a man known best as HaNasi, ‘the prince’…

Daniel Ayalon. Israel: A Modern History. Tel Aviv: Qumram Books, 2012


***


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“…but the third and final act of Moshe Dayan’s political career reads like Shakespeare. A man of action, rising to a crescendo of power, threw it all away in a fit of hubristic madness. Yet, the madness was there all along. When Moshe Dayan’s power vanished, devoured by his ambition, his stubborn pride and the bloody streets of Damascus, he was left a pitiful creature.

With Yigal Allon in the Prime Minister’s chair, Dayan had few options left. He had, over the years, thoroughly alienated Allon through repeated humiliations, from seizing his military command of the South in 1949 to pushing him out of the cabinet during the Purim War. The war had exploded in Dayan’s face and Allon was now the master of the Left. Dayan, desperate to remain on top, had locked arms with the Right and preached national unity while Begin busily tore the country apart. In the last, bitter days of the national constitutional crisis, Dayan secretly attempted to negotiate a compromise with Yisrael Galili: Begin would retreat on many of his more controversial political reforms, and all parties would form a national unity government with Begin as Prime Minister. Begin, furious, nearly fired one of his few remaining allies. Meanwhile Galili countered his offer with a poison pill, demanding that Begin resign and fresh elections be called…

On the morning that the Special Period began, Moshe Dayan lay in bed. Generally an early riser, he felt unusually ill and exhausted, perhaps a premonition of what was to come. Finally climbing out of bed at a knock on the door, with the sun dissolving the morning dew, he was greeted by a pair of policemen, who politely informed him that his telephone had been disconnected and that he should remain in his home during the transition ‘for his own safety.’ Dayan was never arrested. Yet, all but his closest loyalists in the Knesset defected to Mapai and his name became synonymous with ‘traitor’ in leftist circles.

After the election, in which Dayan and his bloc were excised from national politics, the tax authority and courts began to examine his assets and behavior with a fine-tooth comb. He was made to appear before a Knesset investigation of the handling of the Syrian War. Fiercely defending his record in the beginning, Dayan was eventually browbeaten into silence. His head drooping from exhaustion after days of testimony, Dayan finally admitted that the war’s failure was his responsibility. While the committee, empowered by new laws, chose not to pursue criminal charges of negligence, Dayan was left disgraced. His animalistic confidence gone, there was nothing left but an empty, broken shell.

Dayan, retiring from politics, returned to his childhood home of Nahalal. He remained there, seldom speaking to anyone beyond his bodyguards and his surviving family, until his end.”

Tommy Lapid. “Moshe Dayan (1915-1979)” in The Signal Fires. Trans. by Michael Goldman. Keter Press. 1985
 
Glad to see this back.

What a meek, sad, ending for Dayan...but gone. Good.
I wonder if taking down Hassan would have been this easy...he seemed so resilient (and lucky OTL)...
 
Nice mirror image between the Kingdom of Libya and the Republic of Morocco and their fates in the real world...Now we just need to learn whether the "National Restoration" will in fact restore the nation (I have my doubts).
 
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