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PART TWO...1873-1880
June 1873--President Grant, flush with victory in the recent war, is more popular than ever. Taking advantage of this, and the fact that his arch-enemy in the Senate, Charles Sumner, is no longer there to contest it, on June 5, 1873, Grant dispatches an American naval force to the Dominican Republic. On the same day, he reintroduces the Dominican Annexation Treaty. This time the treaty is narrowly approved by the Senate on June 29.
July 1873--President Baez of the Dominican Republic signs off on the Dominican Annexation Treaty on July 5, 1873. American Marines land in the Republic and establish control over it the next day. In a formal ceremony on June 6, the flag of the Dominican Republic is lowered for the last time in front of government buildings across the former republic. The Stars and Stripes goes up in its place, beginning a new era for the people of the tropical Caribbean island. The former Dominican Republic is organized by Congress as the Territory of Dominica. The President of Haiti, Nissage Saget, formally protests to President Grant, but his words fall on deaf ears. European nations, as well as the governments of most of Latin America, also protest the action. Relations with Spain, especially, chill considerably.
August 1873 onward--Prussia, having been defeated in its efforts to unite Germany, is temporarily in eclipse. However, King Wilhelm I has not abandoned the dream of a united Germany under Prussian leadership, and during this period Prussia works to rebuild it’s military strength. Prussia’s General Staff studies the lessons learned in the recent conflict with France, in particular the trench warfare which dominated the latter half of the war. Various new tactics and new military equipment will be studied and discretely introduced into the Prussian armed forces over the next couple of decades. By 1890, Prussia will have the most tactically and technologically advanced army on the European continent.
During the years immediately following the end of the Franco-Prussian War, Prussia will also isolate itself diplomatically, focusing on it’s military rebuilding efforts and not involving itself in European affairs at large. This will have important impacts as well.
December 1873--Maryland abolishes slavery.
1873 onward--Following the creation of the U.S. Territory of Dominica, the Federal Government encourages the migration of free blacks from the mainland United States to the new Territory, with the promise that the Territory will eventually be admitted as a State…the first nearly all-black State in the Union. Many thousands of them will take up the offer, including such men as Frederick Douglass, who will go on to be the first Governor of the State of Hispaniola, when it is admitted to the Union in 1882.
March 1874--President Nissage Saget of Haiti is overthrown by a military coup, and civil war breaks out in Haiti (later historians will discover that the Grant Administration played a part in this by secretly providing funds to the coup organizers). President Grant, declaring the disorder in Haiti a threat to the citizens of the new U.S. Territory of Dominica, orders U.S. troops to occupy Haiti. This is accomplished, with some difficulty, by the end of the year. Once again, the United States is condemned internationally for it’s aggression against the weaker nations of the Western Hemisphere.
January 1875--At President Grant’s urging, Congress passes a bill for the formal annexation of Haiti. It’s territory is merged with that of the Territory of Dominica and a new Territory, the Territory of Hispaniola, is created.
June 1875--In a lavish wedding ceremony in London, Princess Beatrice, youngest daughter of Queen Victoria of Great Britain, is married to the dashing Prince Imperial of France, Napoleon Eugene, son of Emperor Napoleon III. The marriage further seals what has grown to be an ever-closer relationship between Britain and France which has been cultivated by Napoleon III since his accession to the French throne in the early 1850s. Napoleon Eugene himself is a confirmed Anglophile, and his worldview will play a major role in his foreign policy when he becomes Emperor at the death of his father.
November 1876--Presidential Elections in the United States. President Grant, his popularity buoyed by victory in the recent war and the successful annexation of the Dominican Republic, decides to run for an unprecedented third term. The Democrats nominate William Rosecrans of Ohio, Grant’s long-time enemy and a hero of both the Civil War and the German War, with Samuel Jones Tilden of New York as his Vice-Presidential running mate.
President Grant’s second term had been scandal-ridden, with his Secretary of War and Secretary of the Navy, among others, both impeached for war profiteering during the German War (both resigned rather than face trial before the Senate, and neither served a day in jail). Other scandals involving lesser officials of Grant’s Administration also occurred, with Grant issuing pardons to any unlucky enough to be convicted for their roles in these sordid affairs.
And so, in an extremely close election, a surprise upset occurs when Rosecrans defeats Grant in the general election in November 1876.
January 1877--Death of Emperor Napoleon III of France (in OTL Napoleon III died in 1873, but this was largely a result to a decline in his health which took place as a result of his exile after the lost Franco-Prussian War. In the ATL, the war wasn‘t lost, so his health stays good for a few more years). He is succeeded by his son, who reigns as Emperor Napoleon IV. The 21-year-old Emperor grew to manhood during the "Liberal Empire" of Napoleon III’s reign, and he is firmly committed to the continuing liberalization of the government of France. Under his guidance, France will transition to a very stable, prosperous, and very democratic for the time, constitutional monarchy by the end of the century.
March 1877-March 1885--The Presidency of William Starke Rosecrans. President Rosecrans, a forthright and completely honest man who actively campaigned against the "corruption and fraud" of the Grant Administration, will shepherd several reform laws through Congress which will put an end to the "spoils system" which had formed the basis of Federal Government hiring since the time of Andrew Jackson. He also will battle against corruption within the Bureau of Indian Affairs and other agencies of the Federal government which had gained notorious reputations for graft during the Grant Administration. Last but not least, he will take on the power of the big "Trusts," powerful monopolistic companies which have gained a stranglehold various sectors of the economy. With the able assistance of his friend and ally from Ohio, Senator John Sherman, a major Anti-Trust law will be passed during his administration. Rosecrans’ Administration will be remembered as the one shining moment of honesty and integrity amidst the cesspool of fraud and corruption which was the politics of the "Gilded Age."
One major issue which President Rosecrans confronts, less successfully, during his term of office is the status of black Americans. The abolitionist movement in the North has found that it’s power and influence has been significantly reduced by passage of the Corwin/Lincoln Amendment. Abolitionists never formed more than a small minority in the North, but in the 1840s and 1850s they had found a valuable ally in the Free Soil movement, which aimed at the exclusion of slavery from the Territories. It was this alliance which propelled the Republican Party to power in 1860. The Corwin/Lincoln Amendment represents a complete victory from the point of view of the Free Soilers, but a devastating defeat from the point of view of the Abolitionists. The two groups are thereby severed, and the Abolitionists find themselves in the political wilderness, unheard and unheeded.
Many Abolitionists, discouraged, have decided to devote themselves to a new cause…civil rights for free black Americans. The resistance of most Northerners…not to mention that of the South…to this idea is tremendous, and the agitators have made little headway. But enough people have been swayed by their arguments that a new political party, the Liberty Party, has been formed in the North, and has even managed to elect a few Congressmen and Senators in the most recent election. Political rallies held by the party have sometimes resulted in riots between their supporters and those opposed to them in various cities of the North.
President Rosecrans himself holds no strong views on the issue, but is concerned that the issue is threatening the peace of the country. He sees the Territory of Hispaniola as a potential pressure valve for the racial issues which he sees looming over the peace and tranquility of the United States, and he will encourage migration of free blacks from the mainland U.S. to Hispaniola, working with Congress to get funding passed to facilitate this process.
As for foreign affairs, President Rosecrans will find his time in office consumed by an unexpected conflict with Spain, and the aftermath of that conflict. Thus, the United States will not get directly involved in doings outside the Western Hemisphere during his administration, except in a very minor way.
April 1877-March 1878--The Russo-Turkish War. Russia defeats the Ottoman Empire, forcing the Porte to agree to the harsh Treaty of San Stefano in March 1878. The Ottomans are forced to recognize the independence of Serbia, Montenegro, Romania, and Bulgaria, as well as yielding territory to Russia on the western coast of the Black Sea and in eastern Anatolia. Finally, the Straits of the Bosphorus and the Dardanelles are declared open to all neutral shipping in war and peacetime.
July 1878--The announcement of the Treaty of San Stefano, in March 1878, sends shock waves through Europe. Great Britain, which sees the establishment of what are, effectively, a chain of satellite states giving the Russian Black Sea Fleet free access to the Mediterranean…in a position to threaten the Suez Canal, the lifeline between Britain and the vital colony of India…demands that the treaty be submitted to a conference of the European Powers for revision. In this she is supported by the Anglophilic Emperor of France, Napoleon IV, and by Emperor Franz Josef of Austria, who sees Austrian interests in the Balkans being harmed by the Treaty of San Stefano. One nation which is conspicuously silent is Prussia, which is still enmeshed in it’s self-imposed isolation.
Russia agrees to a conference, and the Congress of Vienna is convened beginning in July 1878. The Congress nearly breaks down as Russia digs in it’s heels and initially refuses to make any but the most minor concessions (unlike in OTL, the statesmanship of Otto von Bismarck is not there to help guide the conference and break deadlocks). Finally, staring at the threat of a declaration of war by Britain, France, and Austria, the Russians back down, and an agreement much like that signed at the OTL Congress of Berlin is signed. Bulgaria is divided up, with part remaining independent and part given back to the Ottomans; part of the territory Russia had claimed for itself on the western shores of the Black Sea is given to Romania instead, and other minor adjustments are made.
One major difference between the ATL agreement and the OTL one does occur. As in OTL, Austria makes a claim on Bosnia and Herzogovina, but it is denied in the ATL. It seems that, just prior to the outbreak of the Russo-Turkish war in early 1877, Austria had signed a secret treaty with Russia in which it basically promised to support the division of the Ottoman lands in the Balkans as was done in the subsequent Treaty of San Stefano, in exchange for which Russia would support Austria’s claim on Bosnia and Herzogovina. Now, enraged that Austria has failed to keep it’s part of the bargain, Russia balks at Austria gaining it’s own ill-gotten spoils. Bismarck is not there to help ease frayed tempers, and Russian diplomats leak a copy of the secret treaty to the other nations represented at the conference, exposing Austrian duplicity for everyone to see. Furthermore, they threaten war if Austria is allowed to occupy Bosnia and Herzogovina. Britain and France, disgusted by Austria’s role in the affair, refuse to back the Austrian claim. Bosnia and Herzogovina are granted the status of an autonomous territory within the Ottoman Empire, under the protection of Russia and Serbia.
June 1877-May 1880--The Cuban War. Since 1868, a long and bloody war has been going on in Cuba, as revolutionaries seeking Cuban independence battle Spanish troops for control of the island. The Spanish have been taking harsher and harsher measures against the rebels, and newspapers in the U.S. have been full of lurid stories about Spanish atrocities. The Spanish denunciation of the annexation of the Dominican Republic has contributed to anti-Spanish feeling in the U.S. as well. Although the U.S. government has officially maintained a policy of neutrality in the Cuban struggle, and has enforced it’s neutrality laws, nevertheless, private citizen groups have formed which have successfully funneled arms and volunteers to the Cuban rebels.
In May 1877, the S.S. MIAMI, a U.S. merchant steamer, is stopped on the high seas by a Spanish warship off the coast of Cuba. It is found that the ship is carrying arms for the Cuban rebels, as well as a company of 50 volunteers, all American citizens. The ship is seized, and both the crew and the passengers are arrested and imprisoned at Havana. Despite protests by the U.S. government, the prisoners are found guilty of piracy by a Spanish military tribunal, and executed, by beheading, on May 15.
When news of this reaches the United States, the result is an immediate public clamor for war. President Rosecrans, who desires peace and who had wanted to begin repairing the damage to the international reputation of the U.S. caused by the U.S. annexations of Haiti and the Dominican Republic, tries to resist the tide, but in the end, is unsuccessful. Congress declares war on Spain on June 3, 1877.
The outbreak of war finds the U.S. in a somewhat precarious position, due to the fact that the U.S. has basically allowed its navy to wither since the end of the Civil War. The ironclads built during the Civil War have long since been retired, and no new ones built. Since the Prussian navy presented no significant challenge during the German War, there was no impetus to ramp up spending on the U.S. Navy as a result of that conflict, either. Indeed, the new warships currently under construction in various naval yards in the U.S. are all wooden screw steamers, no different from those used before the Civil War.
Spain, on the other hand, has a modern, ironclad navy, and the few U.S. warships unlucky enough to clash with Spanish vessels in the early part of the war are quickly captured or sent to the bottom of the sea. Spain also has over 200,000 battle-hardened troops in Cuba, which have to be engaged and defeated if the U.S. is to claim victory in the conflict. And so, the U.S. has a problem. How to get an army to Cuba, in the face of superior naval opposition?
In the interim, the U.S. focuses on smuggling arms into Cuba for the revolutionaries, using fast, purpose-built blockade runners. This, plus the promise of direct U.S. intervention, provides a much needed shot in the arm for the rebels, who had been near the point of exhaustion. Small numbers of U.S. troops also run the blockade and begin serving alongside the rebels before the end of 1877.
Ultimately, U.S. industrial power is brought to bear, and a modern fleet of powerful ironclad warships is built, the first of them commissioned only six months following the declaration of war. By the end of 1878, the U.S. Navy is strong enough to challenge the Spanish, and in a series of engagements, it gains control of the seas around Cuba. An American army of 300,000 is landed near Santiago in February 1879, and in a series of battles which will consume the next year, the Spanish Army in Cuba is defeated. Fighting ends in May 1880, with American forces…and their Cuban allies…in control of the island.
December 1878--King Wilhelm I recalls Otto von Bismarck from retirement and reinstates him as Chancellor of Prussia. This signals a more aggressive Prussian policy in Europe and a return to the Prussian effort to unite Germany under it’s rule. Bismarck knows that he needs allies, and he begins bringing Prussia out of it’s self-imposed isolation.
April 1879--Chancellor Otto von Bismarck, seeking allies for Prussia, see what he feels is a golden opportunity. Prussian diplomats are soon making contact with those of Tsar Alexander III of Russia, who, like Prussia, is diplomatically isolated at the moment. And, Bismarck knows, the two nations have a common enemy in Austria, which, in addition to it’s interference with what Russia considers to be its sphere of influence in the Balkans, has, since the end of the Franco-Prussian War, resumed it’s meddling in German affairs as well, taking advantage of Prussia’s momentary weakness. Negotiations will drag on for several months.
November 1879--Prussia and Russia sign a treaty of alliance. The two powers become known as the Dual Alliance.
July 1880--Although an armistice had existed between the U.S. and Spain since May 1880, it is not until July 17, 1880 that the Treaty of Geneva formally ends the Cuban War. Spain cedes Cuba and Puerto Rico (which was also occupied by the U.S. during the war) to the United States. For the first time in almost 400 years, Spain holds no territory in the Americas.
June 1880 onward--The status of Cuba, newly ceded to the United States, is the cause of much controversy in the U.S. A large segment of popular opinion wants to grant independence to Cuba, but there are many more who clamor for annexation. Although he opposed the war, now that it is won, President Rosecrans is firmly in the annexationist camp, seeing Cuba as another place where black Americans can make their own destinies, separate from that of white America. Finally, in early 1881...shortly after Rosecrans is inaugurated for his second term…Congress will pass legislation formally annexing Cuba. The Cuban revolutionaries see this as a betrayal, and armed resistance soon breaks out against U.S. rule in Cuba.
September 1880--Italy, which, like Prussia and Russia, is unfriendly to Austria, joins the Dual Alliance, which becomes the Triple Alliance.
November 1880--Presidential Elections in the United States. President Rosecrans, his popularity buoyed by the successful conclusion of the Cuban War, is reelected, defeating Republican candidate George Armstrong Custer.