A Lost Dream

This Time-Line is based off of an interview conducted with Geraldine Ferraro released after she died. The interview can be found here if you're interested (it's the "Last Words" video on the side). The P.O.D. is in long-form but I'm not sure how I'll do the rest. If you read the first post and think it would work better like this or in a day-by-day or in a headline format please share. Anyways, I hope you enjoy.

A LOST DREAM
CHAPTER ONE: VICTORY IN NEW YORK

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Geraldine Ferraro had electrified the nation and inspired women across the world when she was chosen to be Walter Mondale’s Vice Presidential Nominee in 1984. Only eight years later Ferraro was ready to emerge on the political stage when she announced her campaign for United States Senate. She burst to the front of the pack, with a 20% lead over Bob Abrams, but soon old skeletons were resurrected and Ferraro’s campaign began to flounder. Inside the campaign was worried and confused about the direction with Ferraro growing increasingly agitated about all of the alleged mob connections and tax evasion problems. “Look, my opponents don’t deserve a response because they’re lying,” she said at one campaign meeting but the truth was the mudslinging was working. The primary was in September and by late-July her lead had shrunk to five points (almost within the margin of error). Soon it became that Ferraro had to react.

The idea was hers and it was a testament to the political genius in Geraldine Ferraro. She stood outside the New York State Capitol and addressed each and every issue that the press had. The “till you drop Press Conference” was effective and began to turn public opinion decidedly in Ferraro’s favor. The press conference lasted a staggering two hours and thirty-three minutes but it worked. By mid-August the press had stopped airing the stories continuously on evening broadcasts and they became a simple footnote. Elizabeth Holtzman, one of Ferraro’s primary opponents wouldn’t give up throwing out claims with little basis and suggesting that Ferraro supported child pornography. Holtzman went after Ferraro in the debates and Ferraro said the same words to every allegation, “Liz – I’ve answered the matter time and time again. I answered every question the press had of me and no one besides you and Bob seems to care about these lies anymore.” Eventually former Congresswoman Holtzman’s popularity plummeted when she came across as desperate.

Meanwhile the real race was between Abrams and Ferraro. Ferraro succeeded in deflecting the questions again by insisting that she had responded to every matter, but Abrams wouldn’t let go. Finally, in the final debate between the candidates, Ferraro used her closing statement to nail Abrams: “I have with me the ethics report that Bob claims found me guilty. I would like to read excerpts proving my innocence.” When she concluded she handed the report to Abrams and said, “So tell me where it says I’m guilty.” Abrams couldn’t. He put the book in the center of the table and said, “I’m not going to play your games.” Ferraro was amazed, “You’re the one playing games by throwing out claims without true evidence.”

Finally, in Abrams’ closing statement Holtzman interrupted him saying he was soft on equal rights where Abrams shouted back, “I don’t think there are equal rights at this table because the women won’t let the men speak!” The burst of anger received boos and jeers and diminished Abrams in the eyes of the voters – on Tuesday of the next week voters in New York went to the polls and delivered Ferraro a victory with 41% of the vote, Abrams received 34%, Al Sharpton received 19%, and Holtzman received a dismal 6%. The primary had gone to Ferraro handily.

There was now a dilemma for Ferraro: Abrams remained on the ballot as the Liberal Party Candidate. Finally she decided to call Abrams and ask for his support but when he declined she ran to the Liberal Party who asked Abrams to drop out of the race and under intense pressure by the State Democratic Party he agreed and the Liberal Party nominated Ferraro. Ferraro was in truth a moderate however. She had a sensible approach to the Department of Defense and was openly willing to compromise on Health Care and other issues but she hit Alfonse D’Amato on his record with education and insisted he was leaving the children of New York behind. Ferraro was relentless in attacking D’Amato’s record and with the endorsement of Abrams and the appearance of a unified Democratic Party Ferraro begun to lead Abrams by 2.5% heading into the November general election.

Once again, however, allegations of reported mob connections tarnished Ferraro’s reputation and she fell behind in the polls – Ferraro decided to rely on the debates and substance to regain her lead. In the debates with D’Amato ahead of the general election vote Ferraro argued that the Senator had left New York behind and demanded that he apologize to the state for his lack of action on education. D’Amato responded by insisting he was only “one vote” and couldn’t change a whole lot. Ferraro used her quick debate skills to make a terrific response, “Look, Al, that answer isn’t good enough for the people of New York. You may only have one vote but you have a voice. If I were the Senator from this state I would use that voice to shape the debate and to insist on better schools, a stronger economy, and a reformed health care system – what have you done with your voice Al? With my voice I talked straight talk with Americans across this nation in 1984. With my voice I made history. What have you done with your voice, Al? With my voice, as a Prosecutor, I put prisoners behind bars. With my voice, as a Teacher, I educated children. With my voice I’ve made change and with my voice I will make change happen in the Senate. So, Al, let me ask you one more time: in the 11 years you’ve been in the United States senate what have you done with your voice?” The response brought the convention hall to their feet and Ferraro won the election days later with 50.2% of the vote, D’Amato received 46.5% while other candidates received the remaining 3.3% of the vote. Senator Geraldine Ferraro was off to Washington.

As a United States Senator Ferraro worked closely with the Clinton Administration and some saw her as a Clinton “Yes Man”, but she stuck to her guns in the Budget Process by insisting (and succeeding) in getting the Senate to reduce spending in the Department of Defense. Her plan was solid and well-received and made her a star within the Democratic Party; though she was only a freshman Senator her stardom and nationwide name recognition put her in a unique position. She introduced legislation to cut school voucher funding and though Democrats were in the minority by the time the bill was written, Ferraro insisted that the bill be treated seriously. She was a passionate debater but also a fiery and charismatic speaker who brought the Senate floor to life through several back-and-forths with conservative Republicans on the otherside of the aisle. Her passion earned her respect from other prominent Democrats like Ted Kennedy, John Kerry, Tom Harkin, and the entire female caucus. Her successes were not unnoticed and by 1998 while she was in the midst of a reelection campaign, there were rumors she would run for President.

Polls between Gore, Ferraro, and Bradley showed the Vice President at 44% with Ferraro at 32% and Bradley at 12% - which left 12% of the electorate undecided. Ferraro thought her odds were favorable considering she held leads in the first primary state (New Hampshire) as well as advantages in three delegate-rich states (Illinois, New York, and California). However some issues had to be addressed. There were still allegations of tax fraud among other things that needed to be addressed. Ferraro had allies in the New York Times and national television media issue articles and stories about how numerous ethics boards had found Ferraro innocent and one editorial in the Times went as far as to say that the “baseless and purely sexist attacks had no place in responsible civic discourse.” Was it enough to lay the issues to rest? Only time could tell.

After her 1998 campaign however Ferraro grew increasingly tired but doctors said she was in “perfect physical condition” but would need an extended period of rest before pursuing a Presidential Campaign. With that Ferraro took time off and waited until March 17, 1999, to announce her Presidential campaign at a crowded venue in New York City. It marked the first time a female candidate stood a legitimate chance at winning a major party’s presidential nomination.
 
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Interesting! I'm not sure if long-form or headline format would be better but... It'll be fun to see where this goes.:D
 
A LOST DREAM
CHAPTER TWO: THE LONG FIRST YEAR

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One thing Ferraro felt passionately about was strict government reform. She had been a stickler for “big government” and old-style liberal politics but she also had President Clinton’s ear on a lot of issues. The President and Ferraro had a close personal relationship that blossomed in the midst of 1992 and continued into Clinton’s Presidency. Finally, when rumors of a repeal of Glass-Steagall was being discussed in early-1999, Ferraro met with Clinton in the Oval Office where she argued to keep the bill in place, citing the potential risks of deregulation. Clinton remained unconvinced and decided he would ultimately sign the law when it eventually passed, but he continued to hold respect for Ferraro in the aftermath of the discussion.

The day after her talk with the President, Ferraro flew to New Hampshire to meet with Democratic Party old hands and to build-up support among longtime party members who yielded significant influence. She built a strong ground game and fought hard to push through and with Bill Clinton refusing to support Al Gore in the primaries; Ferraro implied that she might have the President’s support behind closed doors. Ferraro’s tough talk on education was helpful in New Hampshire – a state suffering from a lack of education funding. Ferraro was good at sitting in a living room and condensing her positions on the issues to a colloquial style, she was an effective campaigner. She grew her lead in New Hampshire and then moved to Iowa for the caucuses. Once again Ferraro’s grassroots style was paying off while Gore resorted to surrogate events and campaign ads. The contrast was clear.

Initially the past skeletons refused to haunt Ferraro, but soon everything changed and in May (with Ferraro now tied with Gore nationally) the national media began reporting on things like the previous tax issues and alleged mob connections. Ferraro deflected the allegations like she’d done for yeas but they were starting to take their toll, there was one way to put the issues to rest but it was a long shot. Desperate, Senator Ferraro called her former nemesis: Liz Holtzman. Ferraro promised the former Congresswoman that as President, Ferraro would support Holtzman if she were to run for New York State Attorney General if she would hold a press conference and say the issues were irrelevant. Despite the sweetener Holtzman decided not to help the Senator and Ferraro was clearly on her own. Ferraro’s momentum stalled in May while the Republicans continued to divide themselves between John McCain, former Congressman Jack Kemp, and Florida Governor Jeb Bush. With the Republican campaign just as divided as the Democrats it seemed that things were going to take a while.

While the Presidential candidates battled it out few could resist noticing that notably missing was the previously-assumed Bush heir: George W. “Dubya” had lost in the 1994 Gubernatorial Election to Ann Richards by 27,194 votes. It was a close and disappointing defeat for Bush who had been dealt a blow by the well-organized incumbent Governor. When Richards announced her retirement in 1998, Bush did succeed in defeating Garry Mauro with 53.6% of the vote. However Bush had concentrated on managing his Texas Governorship before dabbling in presidential politics and decided to step out and support his brother Jeb – and it was a good decision. Governor (Jeb) Bush was tied with Arizona Senator John McCain with both candidates at 28% with Jack Kemp behind with 22%. Also in the race were Elizabeth Dole and Lamar Alexander.

The Democratic campaign continued to get brutal with Gore becoming increasingly frustrated with the lack of a Clinton endorsement. Since Ferraro and Clinton had been good friends some in the media went as far as assuming Clinton would openly back Ferraro, but the reports never came into fruition (at least not in 1999). Ferraro had grown leads in New Hampshire, picked-up steam in Iowa, and continued to make gains nationally and in each state-by-state poll but she was still subject to intense hounding by the media over tax records, reported mob connections, and her disappointing finish in 1984. Ferraro handled the matters by finally saying, “It’s been 16 years and you’re bringing up my tax returns? Give me a break – time and time again I’ve answered this same question: I was found innocent! And as for 1984: Fritz and I still argue about who won Minnesota for us he says he did because it’s his home state but we all know I carried the state because it ends in a vowel!” The joke about Minnesota was something of a Ferraro staple – the same joke she’d been making about the situation for years, but while a joke could deflect accusations of failing in the General Election they could not change the subject of her reported mob ties. Though May had been a rough month Ferraro had gained back momentum through June, July, and August, but September was a bad month for the Senator who was fighting to keep growing her support.

In the first Democratic Debate, held in late-September, Ferraro put her true advantage, debating, to the test. When it came time for the candidates to ask each other a question Ferraro asked, “Vice President Gore: do you believe the rumors of my tax fraud and mob ties or –” but Gore interrupted, “That’s not for me to say Gerry, but what I do know…” Ferraro picked-up where the Vice President left off, “It’s not for you to say personally but you have no problem spreading lies over the airwaves? Sir, if you’re going to lie to the nation at least have the courtesy to do it to their face.” The back-and-forth was a win for Ferraro but some critics said Ferraro wasn’t strong enough on health care reform and continuing Clinton economic growth in the policy section. Ferraro received a nominal bounce from the debate but she used it as a major talking point: that Gore was a weak general election contender and it was true. Gore was inspiring, sure, but nothing compared to Geraldine Ferraro: the epitome of the feminist movement – the woman who had changed history only 16 years before. Ferraro’s rockstar appeal (surprising given her age) enabled her to successfully draw large attendances at campaign rallies across the nation.

By October McCain had pulled slightly ahead of Bush and Kemp with the withdrawal of Lamar Alexander but Dole was also expected to get out in the near future with her campaign stuck in the mud – she had hoped that being a female candidate could be a benefit but she looked weak in comparison to Ferraro on the Democratic side. Polls showed Kemp with a small lead in Iowa, McCain with a lock on New Hampshire, and a Bush/McCain battle in South Carolina the Republican race (and the Democratic side, too) would be a great campaign to watch with three of the biggest names in the Republican Party battling it out to lead their party into the 21st Century. Polls showed Gore tied with every Republican in the field while Ferraro held a 1-point lead on McCain and Bush and led Kemp by 2 points – either way the General Election was bound to be a nail biter.

Causing issues for Ferraro and her campaign was Bill Bradley who was, by this point, reduced to a spoiler but he was a spoiler that would help Gore. Ferraro and Bradley were both fighting the presumed nominee since 1996 and the accepted Clinton heir, bringing down Gore was a tough challenge on its own but with Bradley in the picture Ferraro’s job got that much harder. Ferraro had put together the strongest website of the Democratic Primary which enabled her to achieve enhanced control over grassroots supporters nationwide – especially in Iowa. Months before the actual caucuses she put together a suggested talk for caucus speakers so they could have them memorized and fluent. Her ground game was considerably strong as well, giving her an even bigger advantage over Gore. By November Ferraro had, for the first time, obtained a lead over the Vice President in Iowa and Gore’s campaign was sweating – reopening the all too familiar attacks on Gerry but one that Elizabeth Holtzman had infamously beat into the ground: the allegation that Ferraro had taken money from a Child Pornographer and known mob member. Finally Ferraro returned to Holtzman with a phone call, “Liz,” she said, “first – female – president. Think about it.” And hung up. Holtzman did think about it an called Ferraro back, “I’ll do it,” she said. In a joint-press conference Elizabeth Holtzman made a brief but powerful statement, “Allegations have been made that Senator Ferraro has taken money from a Child Pornographer – these were attacks I myself made. To be perfectly honest Gerry had no idea about who would be renting out the apartment and the money was rent money. In 1992 and again in 1998 the people of New York decided it was a non-issue and that it didn’t matter and I can only hope that Al Gore and the American people will draw the same conclusion that I join the people of New York in arriving at.”

The problem was: no one knew who Elizabeth Holtzman was so for average voters it didn’t make an impact but the media ate it up. They talked day and night about the statement and the ramifications and by the end of November Ferraro’s numbers had grown (albeit a small growth). With November in the past and less than a year to go until the general election, the candidates started their ultimate push to win the early states. Ferraro held small leads in Iowa and New Hampshire on the Democratic side while Kemp maintained a small lead in Iowa with McCain locking-up New Hampshire. This was anyone’s race on both sides and the election was truly too close to call.
 
Good stuff! Can't wait to see what happens in the GE.

I also like the realism with the fact that most people have no idea who Holtzman is, but the media goes crazy talking about its game changing aspects. Nice work.
 
I also like the realism with the fact that most people have no idea who Holtzman is, but the media goes crazy talking about its game changing aspects. Nice work.

Thanks - I'd like to think I got it right: people don't realize the significance of this random woman supporting Ferraro but the media knows it's actually a big boost for Ferraro and they portray it. Glad you're interested in the Time Line - I haven't been this excited to be writing a Timeline in a long time :)
 
A LOST DREAM
CHAPTER THREE: MAKING HISTORY

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It was December 1999 and the candidates were bracing for their final get-out-the-vote efforts before the busy holiday season. Christmas came and went and the airwaves were stocked with campaign advertisements that had been in development for weeks. Jeb’s ads were heavy on his record as Florida Governor while McCain touted his military background. Kemp’s television ads highlighted his conservative history within the party but Liddy Dole talked about her immense cabinet experience. The race was heating up for all contenders and 2000 was proving to be a wild campaign. For the Republicans, the ads had a minimal effect. Iowa was basically Kemp’s state to lose, New Hampshire was in McCain’s pocket, and the real battle had been reduced to South Carolina (the perennial decider in the primary calendar). Bush and Kemp tied for first with 32%, McCain was in third with 30%, and Liddy Dole held a dismal 4.5% (with 1.5% undecided or for “other”). Dole’s whole campaign was centered around Iowa where she’d gotten second in the Ames Straw Poll and hoped for an upset lead where she was in third, finishing before McCain. Meanwhile, McCain skipped Iowa and New Hampshire and focused on winning a tough race in the key state of South Carolina - which had decided the Republican nominee for years.

The sudden burst of advertisements had a far greater effect on the Democratic side. Ferraro talked about her steadfast commitment to education reform which was a plus in New Hampshire while continuing to push for female votes by talking about fair pay and the ERA. Gore focused on the fact that he was the Vice President and that experience would be all too important to pass-up in a world with terrorism trying to stare down the American republic. Bradley didn’t have the funds for T.V. ads in Iowa and New Hampshire and instead hoped to get second in the New Hampshire primary. Polls showed him 2% behind Gore and he felt a lot of hard work could pay off with a second place finish that could revitalize his campaign. The candidates continued meet-and-greets as well as serious one-on-one campaigning. In the final Democratic Debate, held on January 23rd, Ferraro criticized Gore for a lack of action on issues like nuclear-testing and claimed that she was the candidate to keep America safe. Gore fought back on a different issue, Social Security. He talked about putting social security in a “lock box” and keeping it safe while he claimed “Gerry has no real position on an issue that affects millions of senior citizens.” The debate was a wash and polls released the day of the Iowa Caucuses showed Ferraro and Gore exactly tied.

Entrance polls conducted as the voters entered their caucus locations showed Ferraro with a small edge over the Vice President. With precincts beginning to report Kemp was almost immediately declared the winner in Iowa with Bush likely to be number two. The race was back-and-forth all night between Ferraro and Gore. By 10:00 PM on the East Coast almost every precinct had finished voting and been reported and Ferraro held a 2,000 vote lead. At exactly midnight the race was called for the New York Senator by a mere 2,018 votes – a close one for sure. Gore called the Senator to concede but was badly bruised by the loss. Ferraro was anticipated to win New Hampshire as well and it looked like she could seal the deal with a win in the first primary state. Gore and Bradley were campaigning hard though and nothing was in the bag. Elizabeth Dole finished third in Iowa, beating John McCain by 900 votes. All eyes were suddenly turned to New Hampshire.

Despite having the momentum from Iowa, Ferraro’s numbers slipped as Bradley grew his support in an attempt to get second place which allowed Gore to get closer and closer to Ferraro without his vote totals ever changing, but Ferraro had a card up her sleeve that she decided just couldn’t wait. On January 28th Senator Edward Moore Kennedy joined his colleague to endorse her in a rally held in Concord, New Hampshire. It was a big boost to Ferraro’s momentum and positioned herself as the one to beat. Polls showed that Kennedy’s endorsement had given Gerry a small edge with all the local and national press declaring that Ferraro was “nearly unstoppable.” On February 1st Geraldine Ferraro won New Hampshire with 35% of the vote, Al Gore took second with 32%, and Bill Bradley received 30% (three percent went to fringe candidates on the bottom of the ballot). Not surprisingly McCain had taken New Hampshire’s primary by an impressive margin of 44% in a four-candidate race with Bush in second, Dole in third, and Kemp in last. The rest of February consisted of no delegate events for the Democrats but Gore won the Delaware primary on February 5th and the state went for Liddy Dole on February 8th. On February 13th Bush won the Hawaii Caucuses.

February 19th was the South Carolina Primary for Republicans but it faced heavy criticism for not voting every precinct but the Justice Department eventually ruled that the system did not violate the Voting Rights Act. The night opened with exit polls suggesting that McCain had managed to pull out a win – which could mean a halt to Bush’s chances at the nomination but early results showed Bush and Dole doing considerably higher than the exit polls had suggested. By 9:45 on the East Coast it was clear that in certain counties the exit polls were extremely-off and showed that Kemp was under-performing in several critical counties. By 10:15 the media made their first official projection: Elizabeth Dole would finish in last place. At 10:36 NBC concluded that Jack Kemp would finish third with Bush and McCain fighting for the win in South Carolina. At 11:25 they called the race for Bush and with that the Republicans were divided with two wins for Bush, one for McCain, one for Dole, and one for Kemp. Dole decided to stay in the race and hoped to gather enough support to gain the bottom of the ticket. On February 22nd McCain won Arizona and Michigan with Bush finishing second: the momentum had shifted to McCain. While the Republicans’ contest drew closer Democrats prepared for Super Tuesday. Ferrao concentrated on California, Connecticut, Massachusetts, New York, and Ohio while Gore fought to keep gains in the South and West such as Georgia, Missouri, and North Dakota. Bradley exited the race on the 23rd and endorsed Ferraro – also on the 23rd, Bush was declared the winner in Alaska’s caucuses.

On February 29th the race was still undecided but Kemp had taken North Dakota while Bush took Virginia. For the Democrats: Ferraro won the beauty contest in Washington, but all attention had shifted to Super Tuesday where the Republicans hoped to find a front runner and Ferraro expected to seal the deal. On March 7th, Super Tuesday, John McCain took California with Gerry Ferraro defeating Al Gore by 1,109 votes at the end of a recount. McCain took Connecticut as well and so did Senator Ferraro. Hawaii was another win for Gerry but Georgia and Idaho were positive results for Gore. The race was truly tight but Ferraro held the momentum and delegate count which was solidified by wins in Maine, Maryland, and Massachusetts. While McCain had taken Maryland and Massachusetts, Bush had taken Maine. Missouri was a win for Gore by 4.5% and win for Bush by 5%. The race was tightening. Ferraro held a strong delegate lead but Gore’s overwhelming victory in Georgia had helped him gain a lot of ground and for the Republicans it was McCain with the edge in delegate totals the remaining states had the chance to decide the election. New York went for its two home state candidates with Kemp and Ferraro taking the primary, Kemp by a mere 0.6% over McCain, but Ferraro took the state with 57% of the vote – an impressive victory. In North Dakota Gore held his own but he lost in Ohio, Rhode Island, Vermont, and Washington: he was done. On March 8th the Vice President exited the race and Geraldine Ferraro became the presumptive nominee for President on the Democratic side.

Bush won in Ohio and Washington but McCain had taken the states of Rhode Island and Washington. On March 9th Liddy Dole exited the campaign and endorsed Florida Governor Jeb Bush, she was followed by Jack Kemp who announced his support for Bush on March 11th (after Bush took Colorado and Utah on the 10th)– narrowing the field to only two candidates. Ferraro, however, wasted no time. Polls showed her losing to McCain and tied with Bush and it would be absolutely critical that she use her extra time to establish a lead in the general election. She began vetting potential running mates and also began to monitor the Republican race closely, but she didn’t have a whole lot of time. On March 14th Bush swept every single state out of the seven that held their primaries and caucuses that day, including Florida and Texas which easily closed the gap between him and McCain in terms of delegates and momentum, but McCain still had a lot of fight left him and the race proved to live on with the Arizona Senator firm in his beliefs and refusing to quit the campaign.

For Ferraro she began to narrow down a long list of names, but more importantly she decided to align herself with Clinton instead of running away from him, but she did agree that she should have a moderate on the bottom of the ticket. She and Clinton began to actively campaign together and soon Ferraro, with the help of some heavy advertising, opened-up a lead on both McCain and Bush in key states like Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. She had solidified support in New Hampshire but was relying on a more conservative running mate to help her in Arkansas and Louisiana – two states that Clinton had helped make more blue than normal. Ferraro had her sights on the general election while Bush and McCain fought over the Republican Nomination and the upcoming contests that would decide the victor.
 
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Veepstakes

TCF, I love that you're this forum's Geraldine Ferraro buff.

I would think that Sen. Bob Graham (FL) would be at the top of Ferraro's wish-list in terms of a southern moderate. If Gerry is looking for executive experience to balance out the ticket, I'd think that Ben Nelson -- who at this time would be finishing up his second term as Governor of Nebraska -- would probably make the short-list as well.

A longshot might be irst-term Indiana Governor Frank O'Bannon, although he's a rather unhealthy-looking 69 at this point.

On the "ugh" side of the ledger: given that Al Gore wound up picking Joe freakin' Lieberman, I'd think someone in the Ferraro campaign would toss out perennial asshat "Give 'em Hell" Zell Miller ("D"-GA) as well. Let's hope Ferraro's smarter than that.

A fun (and almost plausible, but for his geographical region) wildcard would be Howard Dean, who at this point is building a reputation as a centrist ("maverick") Democrat; in 1999, the Cato Institute described Dean as follows:

"However, Dean cannot be pigeonholed as a down-the-line tax and-spend liberal. He has supported such freemarket causes as electricity deregulation, a school choice program for high school students, and restraints on state spending. While he often is given credit for reducing the income tax, the reality is different. Vermont’s personal income tax is levied as a percentage of federal liability. Dean did allow a temporary increase to expire, dropping the top rate from 34 percent to 25 percent, and he later proposed lowering the rate to 24 percent. ... Dean’s record of fiscal restraint has been fairly mixed. In the past two years his tax-and-spend liberal instincts have won out over his fiscally conservative side."

From the Cato Institute, that's pretty high praise for a Democrat. (Can you imagine anyone now even conceding that Howard Dean has 'a conservative side'??)

Just a few thoughts.
 
Fuck, I apologize guys but a lot of this will have to be retconned. I'd incorrectly thought that (Jeb) Bush was first elected in 1994 but he was elected in 1998. Unless you guys think he would've run anyways I'm inclined to replace Bush with a different figure.
 
A LOST DREAM
CHAPTER FOUR: IT'S ALL ABOUT THE BOTTOM

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Kentucky provided the Florida Governor with a win while only four days later John McCain dealt Bush a serious blow by taking Illinois. The race was clearly tightening but Bush held a very small lead in the delegate total. Pennsylvania, which would vote on April 4th, was a must-win state for John McCain. McCain had a 1% lead but that was continuously reduced as Bush picked up momentum and when McCain lost on April 4th it was a devastating blow to the Senator’s campaign, so devastating that McCain withdrew from the race two days later: the Republicans had nominated Jeb Bush of Florida the Governor who had served six years and was ready to move on with his political career. Both Bush and Ferraro began heavily vetting Vice Presidential candidates.

John McCain met with Jeb Bush in Florida on April 10th – leading to intense speculation about the potential of having a “unity” ticket. In truth McCain was being seriously considered by Bush who was hoping to unite the Republicans and gain military experience on the ticket but McCain told Bush that he wasn’t interested in serving as someone’s number two man and so he removed himself from consideration, it was upsetting to Bush who had immense personal respect for John McCain. That moved former opponent Elizabeth Dole to the top of his short list. Dole had considerable experience as a cabinet member and firm policy maker but some in Bush’s inner circle feared that by picking her it would appear like they were just trying to get the woman vote, and that was firmly behind Ferraro. Nonetheless, Bush strongly considered here and they held a face-to-face meeting on April 19th where the discussed the role Dole would want to have in the Administration, but there was another problem with Dole – a lack of foreign policy experience. Bush had been Governor since 1995, but he had not been a U.S. Senator and he looked weak on foreign policy, but Dole had not served in the military and was not a U.S. Senator and it was unlikely she could help with foreign policy issues. Bush left her on the short list, but was uneasy to pursue her. The only other woman considered was Lynne Cheney but under further consideration Bush eliminated her because of a general lack of government experience. More surprising was Bush’s intense role in the running mate selection process, it was classic Bush: refusing to delegate the most important priorities.

Bob Taft of Ohio was briefly considered but further vetting revealed that there were just too many ethical liabilities to put him on the ticket. With Taft out another Governor was considered: Jim Gilmore of Virginia. Gilmore passed the vetting process but when Bush met with him he realized that Gilmore lacked the fire in the belly that was necessary in his running mate. Ferraro was a fiery orator and she inspired any crowd and her events, much like in 1984, attracted thousands (sometimes tens of thousands) of people; Bush was good but he wasn’t that good and he needed a charismatic running mate to close the “charisma gap” that could kill Bush’s campaign without that pop factor that’s so important in a Presidential race. A true conservative and someone who backed Bush from the start was Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum. Santorum was a true conservative, he was young, and he was conservative. In their personal meeting Bush was impressed, very impressed, with Rick Santorum. Bush did have concerns about just how conservative Santorum was but because of his Senate experience Bush left him on the list. After the first round of vetting Ohio Congressman Jack Kasich was also eliminated, this left two more candidates on the list: Orrin Hatch and J.C. Watts.

Hatch was full of experience and an intelligent statesman while Watts was young and passionate, which were big boosts to his candidacy. With that Bush had narrowed the list to Hatch, Dole, and Watts – the choice was on and Bush was undecided. Meanwhile the general election campaign was heating up.

Gerry Ferraro was gaining traction in the polls. Disenfranchised McCain supporters were looking towards the New York Senator as a serious possibility and McCain had yet to endorse Bush, signaling an interesting result. General election polling showed Ferraro had grown her lead nationally and now led Bush in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, and New Hampshire: nearly every swing state. Meanwhile Bush’s lead in Florida had fell from 9% to 6% and Ferraro continued to gain ground, after all Bush was elected by 2,000 votes in 1994 and won reelection in 1998 by 3%. Ferraro was looking for a way to force Florida into play and so she began to actively campaign in the state, blasting the airwaves with television ads and campaigning heavily to gain free media. Her work was paying off and by late-May Bush’s lead had shrunk to 3% and Ferraro’s strategy succeeded: Bush returned to Florida to campaign in his home state. The fact that Bush was forced to campaign in his own state was an embarrassment but more importantly it gave Ferraro the chance to swing through Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin to grow her lead in those states: this election was getting interesting.

When the time came for Ferraro sit down and analyze her list of candidates she approached it much differently than her opponent. Bush cared more about the person while Ferraro cared more about the biography. Bush cared more about being the go-to man for his running mate while Ferraro was prepared to hand much of the responsibilities to her staff – which was an odd decision by Ferraro. Ferraro had enjoyed the personal meeting with Fritz Mondale in 1984 but she also felt, at the time, that she was being used and that it was simply campaign posturing and as she wrote in her second memoirs: “I didn’t want candidates to feel like they were being used so I told my staff to take the list, narrow it to three, and I would meet with those three.” The staff had a long list, it included nine names – all were white men.

Sam Nunn was at the top of the list. Nunn had been in the United States Senate from 1972 to 1997 and had been Chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee – his experience was unmatched and could quash claims that Ferraro was too soft to be Commander-in-Chief. In fact, Nunn’s military experience would be very valuable to a Ferraro Administration and the campaign team unanimously decided he should be in the final three as he provided a regional balance to the ticket as well. Nunn’s former colleague, Zell Miller, was also considered. Miller was the definition of a Blue Dog Democrat and was a loose cannon, the staff was unsure whether or not he would be a good fit for Ferraro who was charismatic enough to choose a “safe” running mate. They agreed on vetoing Miller. Florida’s former Governor, Bob Graham, was also under serious consideration. Graham could put Florida further in play as his approval ratings and favorability ratings in Florida were higher than Jeb Bush’s – the staff agreed that he too should move on to the final three.

Governor Ben Nelson of Nebraska was also considered as he provided the ticket with executive experience but in reality Nelson was weak on military experience and because of her gender Ferraro needed someone who appeared to be a tough military man, which pushed Nelson out of consideration. Ferraro’s team also considered Evan Bayh who was a young Senator from Indiana. Bayh was only 45 but had already been Governor of Indiana and elected to the U.S. Senate, but once again Ferraro wasn’t keen on the lack of military experience with a lack of providing his home state. Ferraro’s campaign manager sat down with the candidate and explained one key factor: Bayh was young. Ferraro needed to think of the future. If Ferraro were to serve two terms none of the other Vice Presidents would be young enough to take the nomination in 2008, but Ferraro rejected this logic. “If I serve two terms,” she said, “that would mean sixteen consecutive years of a Democratic Presidency, I doubt America would be lucky enough to get twenty years.” With that, the team eliminated Bayh from consideration and so went Senator John Edwards of North Carolina.

Dick Gephardt was briefly considered but ultimately ruled out. The only candidate who called the North East home that was considered was George J. Mitchell. Mitchell had spent fifteen years in the United States, six of which were spent as Senate Majority Leader and he’d been a First Lieutenant in the United States Army. Mitchell was 67 years old and could be a drag on the ticket because of his age. Also considered was Tom Harkin, U.S. Senator from Iowa. Harkin, too, had served in the military and was an attractive candidate given that he hailed from Iowa – Ferraro’s staff chose Harkin over Mitchell and sent Ferraro the final three: Harkin, Graham, and Nunn.

As the staff for Ferraro dealt with whittling down the list of possible running mates Ferraro was hard at work on the campaign trail and so was Bush. By early-June the race was tightening and with his campaign falling behind Bus announced his running mate on June 19th, considerably earlier than he needed to. His choice was Congressman J.C. Watts of Oklahoma. Watts was a conservative but suffered from a genuine lack of experience that plagued his nomination. The media was relentless in their attacks but when Watts sat down with Tim Russert on Meet the Press all of that changed. Russert grilled Watts on policy issues and his stances on the issues and Watts proved he was an intelligent and charismatic man who would be a competent Vice President. When Russert asked him if he really thought he had enough experience to be Vice President Watts delivered a killer answer, “I’ve been in the U.S. House as long as Gerry Ferraro was in 1984 in addition to my time working with businesses in Oklahoma as a member of the Cooperation Commission, so yes: I have enough experience.” The answer ended questions of incompetence but because Ferraro’s campaign never directly attacked the Watts choice it didn’t quite backfire in their face. Instead, Ferraro decided to choose a well-experienced candidate to show a clear contrast.

On July 14th the polls showed Ferraro with a 1.5% lead over Bush nationwide while she had surpassed 270 votes in the Electoral College. Also on this day, Ferraro met with Bob Graham. Over lunch they discussed the involvement Graham would want as a Vice President and was fairly impressed, but ten she grew concerned: odds were the Senate would be very close in 2000 and the Democrats couldn’t afford to lose Graham’s seat to an appointment by Bush is Ferraro were to win and so Graham was tossed out of consideration. Both Nunn and Harkin were strong candidates and would be a great addition to the ticket and their resumes impressed Ferraro. On the 20th Ferraro met with Harkin and they discussed how interested Harkin was in the job among other things. Five days later Ferraro met with Nunn and they discussed Nunn’s positions on the issues and Nunn blew Ferraro away on national security and proved he would be a competent Vice President and Commander-in-Chief if something were to happen to Gerry. Her mind was made-up: Sam Nunn was the guy.

On the 31st of July the Republican National Convention opened to an enthusiastic conservative base ready to get out and support the Bush/Watts ticket. The first day was full of speeches by Bush family members including his brother George and father former President Bush – they sought to make Bush appear more “human” and more like the everyday citizen. On the second day the focus shifted to blasting the Clinton record with prominent speakers such as Senator Santorum and former Senator Fred Thompson and John McCain appeared to unite the Republicans behind Bush. The third day was used to glorify JC Watts with speakers such as Lynne Cheney and John Kasich; both considered for Vice President themselves, being used to talk about Watts’s record in Congress. At the end of the night it was Watts’s turn to address the convention: the first African-American nominee for Vice President by a major party. The history being made was breathtaking and Watts delivered a powerful speech where he hammered Ferraro for being a “New England Liberal” and talked about Jeb’s record in Florida. He also took the time to tell America his life story and to cast himself in a positive light ahead of Bush’s acceptance speech the next night.

On the final night of the convention Republican leaders from all states filled the halls to hear their nominee speak. Jeb Bush’s speech was slightly above average but was certainly overshadowed by the speech Watts delivered the night before. He gave a strong and consistent address, but it just wasn’t inspiring. He did, however, position him as knowledgeable on the issues and was successful in portraying the Republican Party as “in-touch” with the average voter, something the party had a long history of struggling with. Additionally, he talked about the legacy of Ronald Reagan and blasted Bill Clinton for his inability to lead America. While promising a return of morals he talked about how it took a Republican Congress to get the economy in check. “I’ll be the Republican President who’ll cut taxes on the American people, and I will make sure that government stays out of your lives when it doesn’t need to be there!” Bush said in a line intended for the conservative base. The next day Ferraro announced Nunn as the bottom of her ticket and the race to the White House was on but first there was one pitstop left: the Democratic Convention in Los Angeles.
 
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A LOST DREAM
CHAPTER FIVE: FROM ONE STAGE TO ANOTHER

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It was August 14th, 2000 and the Democratic Convention was experiencing opening day. There is nothing quite like the excitement of a convention. Delegates poured in and registered as they hastily bought “Ferraro/Nunn” t-shirts, pens, bumper stickers, rally signs, and buttons. Photographs did not do the atmosphere of the event justice. Female delegates wore shirts saying “We Did It!” while they wore more Ferraro memorabilia than some people thought existed. One delegate, from Ohio, was caught wearing a vest over her shirt: both were covered with various buttons, stickers, and lapel pins to show support for the New York Senator and soon-to-be Democratic Nominee. The theme for the first night of the convention centered on “continuing the progress” and President Clinton, First Lady Hillary, Vice President Gore, and others addressed the convention. Clinton walked on to chants of “Four More Years” while Vice President Gore thanked the party for giving him so many opportunities “over the last two decades”. Ferraro had decided to embrace Clinton and his administration in the hope that she could gain the support of the 60% of Americans who approved of the job Bill was doing. While the political experts talked of voter fatigue, Senator Barbara Boxer summed it up on the second night of the convention when she asked, “What Clinton Fatigue?!” to rally the delegates in support of what appeared to be a third term for Bill.

In fact, Ferraro had never been one to run away from the Clinton message. In 1992, in her first senate campaign, she embraced Clinton’s message and image in an attempt to woo primary voters – she had more respect for that man than anyone else and she wanted to prove it by continuing his legacy, but of course Ferraro hoped to appear different enough to own her own voters in her own right. By the time the third night had approached it was Sam Nunn’s turn to impress the delegates but his speech was nothing special. Nunn talked about the issues and clearly laid out Ferraro’s positions for the country, but he also attacked the Bush/Watts ticket by comparing them to “conservative extremists”. Nunn’s speech was well-received by the audience but wouldn’t soon be heralded as one of the greatest convention speeches of all-time. The next night was historic in its own right as Geraldine Ferraro officially prepared to take the Democratic Nomination and deliver her acceptance address. The decision on who should introduce Gerry was controversial. Her husband, John Zacarro, wasn’t in the least bit interested and some on Ferraro’s team suggested that was okay because of the ethical questions in his past so the honor went to Gerry’s daughters – Donna and Laura. Before them, however, it was Walter Mondale who took a turn behind the podium. He talked about the “class” and “passion” he’d seen in Gerry in 1984 and told them, “Trust me, America, you ain’t seen nothing yet!” His speech was more of a farewell to the party, but Ferraro had insisted that he speak.

After the introduction by her daughters, Senator Geraldine Ferraro approached the podium. The deafening applause and cheers prevented her from speaking for four-and-a-half minutes, but this time Ferraro had expected it. In 1984 some had said she looked “annoyed” by the two minutes of applause before her acceptance speech but this time Ferraro was calm and relaxed and took it all in: this was the moment she’d wanted to experience since the second she left the podium in 1984 and it was precisely why she’d run for Senate in 1992. When the delegates finally took their seats Ferraro began, “Ladies and Gentlemen of the Convention: thank you for this honor. My name is Geraldine Ferraro and I am here tonight to accept your nomination for President. It is an honor to become the first woman to say these words, but, Mr. Chairman, Delegates: I accept your nomination for President of the United States of America!” Once again the delegates were on their feet. Ferraro’s speech highlighted on the numerous successes of the Clinton Administration but she reminded delegates that much of the work was unfinished. She outlined a plan to turn public schools around and she also positioned herself as a Commander-in-Chief by appearing tough on terrorism. She also talked about equal pay and equal work as well as a higher minimum wage. For weeks the staff had debated whether Ferraro should pledge to renew the fight for the Equal Rights Amendment, Ferraro insisted that she did but some people said she didn’t want to appear as a female-only candidate and they decided to leave it out of the speech, but as one of her lines on equal pay drew loud applause Ferraro appeared uncomfortable. When the applause died down she remained silent for a couple of seconds before resuming, “The United States of America is supposed to be the land of opportunity, but as your President I will make it the land of equal opportunity by renewing the fight to ratify the Equal Rights Amendment!” Delegates throughout the convention floor rose to their feet again in loud support for Ferraro while her campaign staff was instantly caught off guard, they fought to gain control of the situation but Ferraro was at the podium and there was nothing they could do. When she finished her family, Senator Nunn, and his family joined her on stage as they waved to the crowd and the balloons fell. The convention was over. As she walked off stage she turned to her press secretary and said, “I don’t know if you caught this or not but when I got up there I did a little improving – you might have to take care of that.” It was classic Gerry.

With that the General Election campaign was in full gear. Some polls suggested that as high as 75% of women would turn out to vote in November with almost 67% saying they planned to support Ferraro; it could guarantee Ferraro the election. Though the numbers weren’t expected to be that high come Election Day it was certainly a good sign for the Ferraro/Nunn ticket this early in the game. Ferraro received a monumental convention bounce putting her in the lead in every swing state, including Florida, in addition to putting traditionally Republican states like Colorado within striking distance. Additionally, Ralph Nader, who was thought to be a potential spoiler, suffered as a result of Ferraro’s newfound momentum as he began to register under 1% in polls. The election was becoming less and less close. Also in early-September, the candidates agreed to two debates with Bush initially asking for one and Ferraro asking for four. The dates were set for October 3rd and October 18th with the Vice Presidential Debate taking place on the 11th. For the rest of September both Bush and Ferraro fought hard to grow their support. Bush had been successful in regaining some much-needed support in Florida, Ohio, and Iowa where he gained considerable ground. Nevada was exactly tied with both candidates giving the state attention. Quickly Ferraro swung Ohio back into her column but Nevada, Iowa, and Florida were tough to regain control in. During the last week of September, upon the advice of his staff, Bush decided to enter debate preparations early with his father, someone who’d debated Ferraro before, sat-in on the prep.

Bush’s preparations were limited to Bush, the Ferraro actor (a member of Bush’s staff), Jeb’s campaign manager, and Jeb’s dad and that was it. The Bush campaign lowered expectations by insisting Ferraro was simply a “better debater”. Ferraro acted like a better debater outside of the debate hall as well, she spent a total of eight hours preparing for the debate and instead focused on energizing her supporters and making inroads in key swing states. Finally October 3rd arrived and Bush and Ferraro entered the debate stage from opposite ends, met in the middle, shook hands, and returned to their podiums. Ferraro hit Bush hard on his spending plan while Jeb attacked her saying “The Washington insiders don’t know their math very well!” Just before the moderator planned to move on Ferraro asked for a quick rebuttal which she received, “I’d just like to remind voters that I’m the candidate for a real balanced budget,” Ferraro began, “and if you give Jeb Bush and the Republicans the ability to draft the budget they’ll make it unbalanced before you can say Ronald Reagan.” The line drew tremendous applause and laughter while some compared it to Dukakis’s “Joe Isuzu” remark in the 1988 debate. Despite the hard efforts of Bush in preparation for the debate most said he had lost while some outlets said the debate was a tie. Ferraro began to use the Ronald Reagan line frequently and it was dubbed the “Sound bite of 2000”

Though Ferraro had grown her lead in the popular vote the electoral vote was very close and four states: Nevada, Ohio, Florida, and Iowa would decide the election. Ferraro threw tons of money into winning Ohio and Iowa while conceding Florida to save money. In the Vice Presidential debate neither candidate was exceptional with both candidates showing a mastery of the issues. The second, and final, Presidential debate was Bush’s last chance to one-up Ferraro on a national stage. It was October 18th and as he returned to his spot behind the podium he talked of rebuilding American jobs by focusing on manufacturing in an attempt to win over support in Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. It was a stronger debate performance for Bush and it helped him in the three states he wanted it to help in. The race tightened with Bush taking the lead in Ohio and putting Michigan and Pennsylvania closer to the Bush line on the ballot. The race was tightening and Election Day stood only days away with both candidates fighting hard to convince undecideds (now as low as 2% in some polls) that their direction was better for America.
 
Fascinating stuff, The Conservative Fellah. I've always liked your writing.

Sorry I don't have anything more intelligent to say - I'm just along for the ride!

Cheers,
Ganesha
 
Fascinating stuff, The Conservative Fellah. I've always liked your writing.

Sorry I don't have anything more intelligent to say - I'm just along for the ride!

Cheers,
Ganesha

Thanks! I'm so happy I have a "follower" :p

any predictions for the election, midterms, etc?
 
Thanks! I'm so happy I have a "follower" :p

any predictions for the election, midterms, etc?

Not really, no, sorry. I was only 5 then, and I've actually never read up on this time period much. All I know about is vague info on McCain's first campaign. Like I said, I have nothing intelligent to add. :eek:

Keep up the great work, though! :)

Cheers,
Ganesha
 
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