Ok per previous posts at time of ARW the British Navy be too powerful. Therefore it not be in 13 colonies best interest that the British be too weak. What can happen would be that Quebec join the revolt and the 14 colonies achieve independence from Britain.
Halifax (Nova Scotia) forget British control the seas and population too small to defeat the British.
New foundland communities too scattered. Plus control of seas mean British can attack any enclaves that declare independence.
Carribean to weak and British control seas.
During constitution talks more power to states due to states like Quebec wanting to protect their religion and language. (If you have issues with this please read the multi page “Quebec join ARW” thread). Can’t be any other way. As a compromise to the states having more power and state militias the federal government gets power and funding to properly build and maintain a US navy.
Majority of the British loyalist move to South Africa. (Which British take from Dutch during war).
From 1783-1810 uS expand westward to Mississippi. During Napoleónic wars British navy attacks on American ships result in doubling of Ametican navy and US merchant fleet
War of 1812 which coincides with continuing Napoleonic wars results in US british ships battling out in Atlantic. US navy and marines attack and capture briefs bases in North America including Halifax, st John, Bermuda And Carribean islands and other ports. Forcing British to launch all ships from Europe
Citizens of captured islands and ports petition to join USA.
Peace treaty grants all British colonies to USA.
That could work for it assures USA has the resources and military might to both seaize and protect the new USA territories.
But this be a totally different USA with potential for 3-4 more slave owning states from Carribean while only picking up two states in north.
So what happens to Florida does go back to Spain then joins the US when Andrew Jackson does his shtick?
What about the Falklands and The south Georgia and Sandwich Islands if the US was strong enough to take Newfoundland, Bermuda, and GB Caribbean Holdings in 1812 I could see them being interested in removing a European power entirely from the new world seaboard.
I like the idea of of a two part revolution. Say the Caribbean colonies do join but the revolutionaries are forced to flee to the main land and are looking for a chance to reclaim their homes.
So 15,000 people of a 20,000 population is to little? Also Nova Scotia would now have a land connection for supplies and reinforcements to come. They wouldn't be able to keep or Take Halifax but they probably would be able to pull of guerilla warfare and stop the red coats from leaving Halifax. I don't think Nova Scotia would be split up if it Joined the Union.
I don't think the Articles of confederation would change much.Although I agree with the states having more power probably a longer bill of rights with part protecting language specifically, but what other changes do you think would happen the constitutions? I do think if Marshall court would probably make the same decisions it did OTL even with the extra Judges from Francophone States or the Caribean latter on because most of the Marshall's courts decisions were unanimous or had 1 dissenter. the pendulum wouldn't be swung that much to the states if the militias were stronger because that's pretty much how the US operated its army OTL and in OTL the congress underfunded the federal military because they didn' when they needed to bulk up the Federal army they would just induct state militias in the command structure.
So what states would Newfound Land and Labrador go to and wouldn't Quebec be willing/want to Split it's self up to have more representation in the Senate?
Bermuda would probably go to Virginia because of the close ties. The Bahamas to south Carolina for similar reasons. the Lesser Antilles probably get lumped together. Belize, Jamaica, the Mosquito coast, and what islands that are south of Cuba but aren't of the lesser Antilles are put together and are probably split apart at a latter date.
So what happens to the Guiana and Suriname area most of the Europeans there are of British decent would the dutch be willing to sell to the US or the us takes them in 1812 because GB has control over it and then pays some money to the dutch and french for their portion of the area?
small question will be using the pod of GB taking the French Caribbean or no. I am fine either way.
Haiti will be interesting no matter what because your either having a freed slave republic like OTL which would be hated by the slave holding states maybe causing an intervention and America getting it's ass in quagmire or if we go the my pod suggestion Haiti not to mention a ton of Caribbean islands would be exposed to revolutionary ideas when they were developing imagine the Maroons getting their hands on Thomas Paine's Common Sense which was published in French and I could imagine revolutionaries trying to spread it around to other colonies.
the Slave state Free State balance would be interesting with the Francophones thrown in because early on they are more of their interests in common with the slave states but as they industrialize they would probably align themselves more with the free states. I defiantly see the Francophone states playing both sides. The slave states would also have more ways to expand and so would the free states so maybe the civil gets delayed a little bit maybe to the late 1860's or early 1870's but I good still happening in the early 1860's or late 1850's depending on who gets elected. The civil would still happen because neither side would be dominate as they can still keep the balance in the senate.
Immigration would be interesting to because now the Irish would have multiple friendly areas north of new England to go to with the English limiting them, and would the Italians go to Quebec to because of the the Latin language and Catholic faith? I don't know about the Germans though.