what is Arthur Arz von Straussenburg doing throughout all this? He led A-H 1st Army against the Romanian invasion and commanded during Caporetto, also led 6th corps during gorlice tarnow in OTL
On the March 21st date, implies that the Bulgarian army starts a full mobilization no later than February 25. They had an 18 day mobilization plan that took closer to 25 days. I had to research this for my time line, and March 21 seems a bit too soon. Plausible, but on the fast side of plausible. There were issues to negotiate with the treaty, negotiations between the Ottomans and Bulgarians. Also, on the weather, are the mountain roads in good shape by March 21?
Originally, the A-H/German forces and Bulgarian forces were supposed to attack on the same day, but slow mobilization made the Bulgarians 7 days late. In your TL, will they attack on the same day as planned?
There is also an Order of Battle Issue with the Salonika forces. Most of these troops are not ready til closer to the September window. If the French/British move troops to Salonika, they either have to cancel Gallipoli or pull troops from France. So there will be a substantial butterfly effect. A lot will depend on how you write the story, but if you want fewer butterflies, don't do Salonika with an early Bulgarian attack. The free divisions are as follows for the early period
29th - February.
NZ & Aussie division - March - in training Egypt.
42nd Division - Defending Egypt by late 1914.
52nd Division - June
Stripping these means stripping the defenses of the Suez, and would be unwise, not that that being unwise stopped leaders on both sides.
The XII Corp units existed, but they look very, very Green to me.
Don't know about wank-y, we held out a long time and fought bravely, despite losing almost all the regular army and lots of rolling stock right at the start. Without that, the improved quality and especially the logistics will add up.
I, for one, would be delighted to see good old Austria do better.
Would anyone be interested if I were to restart this TL? I'm not happy with the current version, because its too wank-y for the Austro-Hungarians compared to how the POD would likely have turned out.
I've had one PM about my TLs and this is the one I have the most interest in writing ATM.
Ditto, always nice to see Austria-Hungary do better and not seemingly being automatically written off as completely doomed.I, for one, would be delighted to see good old Austria do better.
Would anyone be interested if I were to restart this TL? I'm not happy with the current version, because its too wank-y for the Austro-Hungarians compared to how the POD would likely have turned out.
I've had one PM about my TLs and this is the one I have the most interest in writing ATM.
Would anyone be interested if I were to restart this TL? I'm not happy with the current version, because its too wank-y for the Austro-Hungarians compared to how the POD would likely have turned out.
I've had one PM about my TLs and this is the one I have the most interest in writing ATM.
I thought the German firm BASF began Haber nitrate production in 1913?
The timeline has not addressed the Black Sea, so it should be a Russian lake effectively speaking (a few Ottoman ships with the Russians raiding the commerce). The Black Sea fleet capitol ships were 5 Pre-Dreadnoughts, and in mid-1915 they would gain two Dreadnoughts. The Goeben is a Battlecruiser and the Breslau is only a light cruiser. Those ships together could cause a problem for 1 maybe 2 Russian Pre-Dreadnoughts, but more than that would most likely mean the sinking of the German-Turkish ships. It is for that reason that the Russians tended to sail all five as one fleet knowing that the German ships could not touch them.
However, the wildcard this TTL did bring up is when Wiking said Romania expands trade. Now you could have Ottoman Ships flying under Romanian flags, or even actual Romanian ships sailing between Constanta and Constantinople. This would put Russia and the French and British subs that sneak into the Black Sea in a bind. They could sink the Romanian flagged ships, but that might push Romania to declare war on Russia. Her army might not be the best, but right now the last thing the Russians need is 500,000 more men to fight against.
Another interesting question is Gallipoli ITTL. I think the Entente will see the need to open up the straits and possibly remove one of Russia's enemies (the Ottomans) even higher ITTL, however, the Ottomans have probably not lost ~250 000 men and most of their pre-war officers in the Caucasus campaign and will thus be better off to face the Entente. They had their best troops, best commanders and were very close to their best infrastructure and supply sources OTL - if/when Bulgaria joins, they might actually take the Ottomans up on their OTL offered divisions (the Ottomans had huge problems transporting and supplying troops in Caucasus and Palestine, so they offered to lend the Bulgarians some divisions against Serbia and the Salonika Army OTL).
I look forward to hearing more on this TL.
but I bet they will still attack the Suez like a bunch o' loons.
Actually the Ottomans did not really care about the Suez. It was the German officers attached to the Ottomans that pushed for that. The Ottomans wanted to gain lands in the Caucasus. Though, getting Egypt would be great, the Ottomans did not view it as realistic.
The German's however, felt it was imperative to get the Suez. To hurt British supply lines (unlikely), prestige, and most importantly for post war trade (Ottoman controlled Suez is more favorable for their shipping).
And yes, the ottomans really wanted the Caucuses, they seemed obsessed with them.