We all know the story. When Nagumo's Kido Butai departs Japan, shortly after leaving port, unexpectedly the fleet's combat air commander Fuchida came down with appendicitis and had to undergo surgery aboard Akagi, which also happened to be the fleet's hospital ship. By the morning of the battle, Fuchida's stitches had been removed but he still was quite weak and incapable of flight operations. So instead Nagumo's staff arranged for Hiryu's B5N2 squadron leader, Joichi Tomonaga, to lead the assault. The rest is history.
So what if Fuchida never is afflicted with an illness, and instead leads the attack on Midway Island as per the established custom of Fuchida always leading the initial attack on an objective? In his memoires Fuchida offers these observations of Tomonaga's tactics,
"Following this action, <the destruction of Midway's combat air patrol> Tomonaga issued an order for all forces to strike and to commence bombing Midway airfield. However, there was not a single airplane on the airfield. The US side, already aware the day before of the Nagumo Task force's presence, had evacuated the airplanes just ahead of the anticipated air raid at dawn.
As for Tomonaga, it was extremely careless to have dropped all the bombs without confirmeing the presence of enemy airplanes on the ground. His duty was to blow up the enemy's airpower, not to dig holes in the airfield
Admittingly, Tomonaga was a fearless pilot with actual combat experience tin the China campaign. However he had limited experience in over-ocean operations, and it was only before the mission to Midway that he was assigned to the Hiryu's Group Aviation Commander.
Under these circumstances, he should have been perceptive enough to survey the landscape, then make the judgement that the enemy aircraft must be in the skies nearby. Midway was an isolated island in the middle of the ocean, so he should have waited for them to return, then pummel them."
So let's say that Fuchida leads the attack on Midway and this quote informs us of his tactics. In this case:
1. Akagi and Kaga have provided the Kates for the Midway attack, and the Kates in naval reserve are aboard Hiryu and Soryu (Yamaguchi).
2. When Fuchida arrives directly over Midway around 0600 and sees that there are no aircraft on the airfield, he will not attack Midway. Instead, he will order the striking force to wait, and radios the following message to Nagumo, "Enemy airbase is empty. I am deferring my attack until they return".
3. At Pearl Harbor, Fuchida remained in the air for six hours, from about 0600 to about noon. So here, launched at 0430, he needs to be back aboard the carriers by 1030. It takes about 1.5 hours to return to the carriers, so when Fuchida starts to orbit, he can wait until about 0830 before he must attack or withdraw. At 0830, he signals Nagumo that he is attacking.
Because Fuchida did not attack Midway at 0600, Nagumo never receives the 0715 signal that another attack is required. Instead, Nagumo knows that his strike force is orbiting Midway ready to pounce on returning American aircraft. The order to switch armament to attack Midway did not happen, so that when Tone 4's report of a carrier comes in at 0820/0830, Nagumo's reserves are ready to spot immediately.. Yamaguchi now controls the Kate reserve force aboard Soryu and Hiryu and advises a strike on that target.
How does the battle play out?
So what if Fuchida never is afflicted with an illness, and instead leads the attack on Midway Island as per the established custom of Fuchida always leading the initial attack on an objective? In his memoires Fuchida offers these observations of Tomonaga's tactics,
"Following this action, <the destruction of Midway's combat air patrol> Tomonaga issued an order for all forces to strike and to commence bombing Midway airfield. However, there was not a single airplane on the airfield. The US side, already aware the day before of the Nagumo Task force's presence, had evacuated the airplanes just ahead of the anticipated air raid at dawn.
As for Tomonaga, it was extremely careless to have dropped all the bombs without confirmeing the presence of enemy airplanes on the ground. His duty was to blow up the enemy's airpower, not to dig holes in the airfield
Admittingly, Tomonaga was a fearless pilot with actual combat experience tin the China campaign. However he had limited experience in over-ocean operations, and it was only before the mission to Midway that he was assigned to the Hiryu's Group Aviation Commander.
Under these circumstances, he should have been perceptive enough to survey the landscape, then make the judgement that the enemy aircraft must be in the skies nearby. Midway was an isolated island in the middle of the ocean, so he should have waited for them to return, then pummel them."
So let's say that Fuchida leads the attack on Midway and this quote informs us of his tactics. In this case:
1. Akagi and Kaga have provided the Kates for the Midway attack, and the Kates in naval reserve are aboard Hiryu and Soryu (Yamaguchi).
2. When Fuchida arrives directly over Midway around 0600 and sees that there are no aircraft on the airfield, he will not attack Midway. Instead, he will order the striking force to wait, and radios the following message to Nagumo, "Enemy airbase is empty. I am deferring my attack until they return".
3. At Pearl Harbor, Fuchida remained in the air for six hours, from about 0600 to about noon. So here, launched at 0430, he needs to be back aboard the carriers by 1030. It takes about 1.5 hours to return to the carriers, so when Fuchida starts to orbit, he can wait until about 0830 before he must attack or withdraw. At 0830, he signals Nagumo that he is attacking.
Because Fuchida did not attack Midway at 0600, Nagumo never receives the 0715 signal that another attack is required. Instead, Nagumo knows that his strike force is orbiting Midway ready to pounce on returning American aircraft. The order to switch armament to attack Midway did not happen, so that when Tone 4's report of a carrier comes in at 0820/0830, Nagumo's reserves are ready to spot immediately.. Yamaguchi now controls the Kate reserve force aboard Soryu and Hiryu and advises a strike on that target.
How does the battle play out?
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