Even if a Japanese attack managed to block Canal passage for several months, U.S. ships from the East Coast could have taken the Cape and Indian Ocean route to reach the most important place, Australia. The buildup of Midway, the reconstruction of Pearl Harbor, and getting troops to the stepping stone islands between Hawaii and Australia could have been done using West Coast shipping after rapid rail shipment of troops, supplies, armaments and construction equipment located on the East Coast and in the Midwest. The sending of new U.S. warplanes to the Pacific would not have been affected, except in the case of carriers in the Atlantic. Would it have been too risky to go around the Horn? If the Canal destruction took a year or more to fix (highly unlikely), the outcome might have been U.S. warships using the Indian Ocean route to help the Australians in Timor and the Brits in Burma. Holding the line in Burma and keeping the road to China open, would do a lot to limit and reverse the damage from the Singapore, Philippines and DEI disasters. Probably the best way to examine these issues is by moving the thread to ASB. The superbats totally remove the Canal, widen the Canal Zone to where it is no longer practical for any canal and do the same for the Nicaragua route. Then they tell the Japanese, "that's all you get from us, the rest is up to you."