So let's assume Midway has happened and the 3rd Fleet is reorganizing with the intention of employing carrier based kamikaze tactics in the 2nd half of 1942. I think the intended air wing might look something like this -
Shokaku, Zuikaku
54 x A6M2
54 x B5N1 (Kamikaze)
36 x B5N2 torpedo
36 x D3A1 (land based reserve)
Junyo, Hiyo
42 x A6M2
36 x D3A1
18 x B5N2
Zuiho, Ryujo
45 x A6M2
27 x B5N2
I would think that the first strike on the US fleet would be an escorted kamikaze attack to knock out the flight decks. The second wave would be the torpedo bombers to cripple the now defenseless carriers. The IJN surface forces would then go in to mop up while the IJN carriers attacked retreating US surface forces. The logical conclusion is that unless the IJN torpedo force misses its target, the US carriers would be in serious trouble in any carrier battle in 1942 against such an air wing backed by superior surface forces.
The problem, of course, being that the Japanese don’t have 54 extra Kates and their crews available when they were reorganizing their air assets. So while the idea of reserving their torpedo bombers for a follow-up is sound the kamikaze attack will still leave a major hole in the air wing on their biggest and best carriers.
Plus their panicked response to Guadalcanal is their own worst enemy. Trying this at Eastern Solomons is going to put that hole in their air wings, made worse by their actual losses - 95 aircraft lost out of 177 embarked is significantly worse losses than 64, and that’s 31 more critical strike aircraft pilots. And at Eastern Solomons we know the Japanese
did miss with their torpedo bombers, meaning most likely Enterprise just gets beaten up more and fundamentally the character of the campaign doesn’t change. And trying this at Eastern Solomons is likely to leave the Cranes desperately short of aircraft and their crews - even IOTL the losses at Eastern Solomons hadn’t been made entirely good by Santa Cruz.
There’s also the elephant in the room I’ve pointed out in past threads: more carrier losses earlier mean that the US wouldn’t risk the Santa Cruz action with just Hornet. Halsey was, until Hiyo broke down and Enterprise returned to the battlefield, quite content to dance around letting the Japanese burn fuel for nothing.
So
@steel_captain there’s your answer: no, because if the Americans take more carrier losses early in the campaign they won’t risk another fleet battle, and they don’t need to risk a carrier battle to cover the island.