What are some Pre-1900 real world historical events that would seem ASB and highly unrealistic in any other timeline?

The fact that, of all places, some of the World's largest Empires arose out of An Impoverished steppe north of China, a rainy resource-starved Island in Europe and a bunch of rebelious colonies descended from the afformentioned rainy island (although theese get less ridiciolous IN THAT ORDER when you think about them).

And speaking about these colonies they even managed to keep themselves as united and survived yet one civil war. And expanded across of large continent only in couple generations.
 
I think the weirdest thing about Britain taking over the world isnt that it was a "backwater island with bad weather" but that the people who did that were imported from Denmark or whatever place the saxons came from, who then proceeded to not only take over the whole isle while more-or-less retaining their culture(which is quite a feat, most foederati just ended romanized) but also went so far as creating a country larger than China on a whole separated continent and only then the isle took over the world in spite of the anglo-saxonic China-sized continent-wide empire they created since it broke off from the isle but they rose up to superpowerdom anyway by beating up China & India at the same time(again, as a isle) and taking over the later, only to be eventually eclipsed by said anglo-saxonic China-sized continent-wide empire after they went broke trying to keep control over Europe as well... and succeeding
 
That a malcontent dying of TB takes 37 to 72 to 122 million (WW 1 and Spanish Flu) with him, with only two shots from his pistol, because a driver made a wrong turn. While preparing to take his sixth-class examinations for High School, he a friend showed him a newspaper cutting announcing a celebrity's visit to his homeland in June. Instead of studying, he decided to lead a group back to his homeland and attack the celebrity during his visit.

One might throw in the 75 to 80 million from World War 2, plus the victims of the deaths caused by the USSR (Purges, Gulags, Civil War, Holodomor, deportations), Mao (Great Leap Forward (2.6 to 11 million) and purges).
 
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The fact that, of all places, some of the World's largest Empires arose out of An Impoverished steppe north of China, a rainy resource-starved Island in Europe and a bunch of rebelious colonies descended from the afformentioned rainy island (although theese get less ridiciolous IN THAT ORDER when you think about them).
Given how many Steppe empires and naval hegemonies the world has seen, you seem to have a wide scope for ASB. Sure, the British and Mongolian empires were by far the most succesful of their kind, but there's bound to be a most-succesful of every type of Empire.

Steppe Empires: Xiongnu, Huns, to some extent the Parthians, Mongols, Cumans, and probably half a dozen I forget.
Naval empires: Greek/Athenian, Venice, Portuguese, Dutch, English, Majpahit, to some extent the Spanish, Oman, ...
 
Given how many Steppe empires and naval hegemonies the world has seen, you seem to have a wide scope for ASB. Sure, the British and Mongolian empires were by far the most succesful of their kind, but there's bound to be a most-succesful of every type of Empire.

Steppe Empires: Xiongnu, Huns, to some extent the Parthians, Mongols, Cumans, and probably half a dozen I forget.
Naval empires: Greek/Athenian, Venice, Portuguese, Dutch, English, Majpahit, to some extent the Spanish, Oman, ...
Carthage ?
 
Given how many Steppe empires and naval hegemonies the world has seen, you seem to have a wide scope for ASB
I mean thats just OTL, in a TL where the steppes remained backwater all these examples from OTL would just make it even more ridiculous
Like the Han did a good job at breaking the Xiongnu, both Persia and Tang were able to keep hold of the steppes for a while and Rome even at its weakest was able to win some battles against the huns, it took a combination of a lot of things going wrong for all these empires for the steppes to rise up and in a TL where the sedentary empires did better(even if they still are replaced every now & then) something like the Mongol Empire would be utterly alien
 
Nothing that happened in reality is actually ASB. People really misunderstand probability. A timeline where only the most plausible event happened all the time would actually be the unrealistic one. If you're referring to upsets that people didn't see coming, Wikipedia has a great list of both military disasters and incorrect predictions.

Many things would be seen as very implausible or ASB in world where such things didn't happen. If I would had written TL where some French and Catholic non-royal man becomes king of Sweden in world where Holstein-Gottorp dynasty managed to keep their throne, certainly that would had been laughed and called as ASB or at least very implausible.

Or if someone would had written about religion which conquerst North Africa, Iberia and whole Middle East lesser than in 100 years in the world where Islam never exist, that would had be seen as unbelieveable.
 
Prohibition?

While that in itself might be considered feasible, would any AH have foreseen the enormous bootlegging industry, and the epidemic of gangsterdom to which it gave rise? I suspect most would have assumed that the law was obeyed.
 
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A state just barely survives a devastating war with its most powerful neighbor, loses half its territory to a new attacker, has its capital under siege - and at that moment comes up with a terrifying "secret weapon" that saves it, allowing it to survive another 700 years.

("Greek fire".)
 
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