Weber's Germany: The Veterinarian Totalitarian

7.5.1 The Balkans
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Oh wait, this isn't the Infoboxes thread...:oops:

Righty-O, back to your regularly scheduled programming.

As explained before, the Balkans update was so long that I decided to separate it from the Iraq War, which I'm sure you're all dying to read. Enjoy (if you can)!

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THE BALKANS

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Figure 42: Map of the former Yugoslavia, divided by the victorious Axis powers along ethnic lines. Note the emergence of the Principality of Bosnia-Herzegovina and the Free State of Banat-Vojvodina.


In many ways, the Balkans situation arising from the carving up of the former Kingdom of Yugoslavia was a microcosm of the general situation in Europe, and Africa to some extent, following the militaristic expansions of the Axis Powers, particularly Germany and Italy. The partisan situation in particular would prove eerily prescient of not just Ukraine, but of the territories of Russia occupied by the Axis forces and its co-belligerents in the next war.

However, the partisans and other militant groups active in the Balkans did not share the advantages of an essentially infinite heartland into which it could retreat – much on the contrary, the partisans were surrounded on all sides by hostile governments and the Adriatic.

Their fighting power was even further diminished by their internal divisions, along royalist, republican and communist lines as well as those of ethnicity, allowing the Axis Powers to easily play them off each other. Nonetheless, although militant disturbances reduced over time, they still remained a perennial issue for the German and Italian administrations, all the way until the collapse of Reich authority in Slovenia and Serbia.

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SLOVENIA

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Figure 43: Flag of the Protectorate of Carniola and Styria. [1]

Although most of the constituent provinces of the Kingdom of Yugoslavia, reorganised into oblasts in 1922 and banates in 1929, would be “restored” along ethnic lines upon the Axis conquest of the kingdom, Slovenia stands out for being so neatly and directly bisected by Germany and Italy, besides Vojovodina, divided between Hungary and Germany-occupied Serbia; and Vardar Macedonia, between Bulgaria and Italy-occupied Albania.

The German half, termed the “Protectorate of Carniola and Styria” (the name chosen in the usual National-socialist revisionist fashion) was governed along similar lines as its protectorates in Austria and Czechia, with the levels of repression comparable to the latter given the dominance of non-German speakers in the governed territory; Gothica remained unique in its unending reign of terror.

Nonetheless, there was no set Reichsprotektor for the area, only the Gauleiter Richard Arnauer, a member of the Freikorps Oberland considered as a reliable functionary. It is debated why Slovenia was neither considered a full protectorate; reasons vary from desires for its full incorporation as a Gau to Weber’s hesitance to “promote” it to a full protectorate alongside the apparent “three realms” (Germany, Austria and Czechia) of the Weberreich.

At any rate, the ethnic Slovenes initially enjoyed a relatively relaxed policy similar to the bilingualism of Czechia and small emphasis on Aryanisation before the partisan movements began to cause trouble for both the German and Italian authorities. The Slovene partisans were among the most well-organised and least fractious of the resistance movements, primarily due to the lack of ethnic strife and concentration within their territory.

When Weber demanded a population exchange of ethnic Germans (Gottscheers) resident in the Italian partition of Slovenia for troublesome ethnic Slovenes, Balbo instead offered permission for the Wehrmacht to convey the Slovenes through the Kingdom of Croatia (now ruled in personal union with the Kingdom of Italy, see below) to the German-occupied Serbian Autonomous Republic. Weber was taken aback by what was essentially this blunt refusal by his new ally, but raised no complaint as he considered the Balkans to be a sideshow. This so-called “Rescript of Balbo” was a sign of the changes to come in the Rome-Berlin Axis. [2]

While no independent or autonomous Slovene government was ever convened, a collaborationist auxiliary police called the Slovene Home Guard was set up to deal with partisan activity, as their assistance was deemed crucial in understanding the missives and clandestine meetings of the Slovenian resistance. They were allowed to publish newspapers and pamphlets in Slovenian as part of a continuing psychological war initiative.

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SERBIA AND BANAT-VOJVODINA

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Figure 44: Flag of the Serbian Autonomous Republic, under German control.

Serbia had been the origin of the anti-Axis protests and putsch which had kicked off the Third Balkans War, and this intransigence was not easily forgiven by Weber or the Reich. Although pragmatism had forestalled a full programme of Aryanisation or Auswanderung as seen in Gothica or Slovenia (with the exception of the initial influx from the Grand Duchy of Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina and the “internal” population transfers between the Serbian Autonomous Republic and Banat-Vojvodina) the Reich was already governing in an overbearing fashion in Serbia long before its puppetisation of Ukraine.

If the collaborationist governments could be placed on a scale from most autonomous to least, the Serbian government led by Milan Aćimović, head of the fascist-aligned Yugoslav National Movement prior to the Axis invasion and subsequently by Milan Nedić, the former chief of staff of the Royal Yugoslav Army, would almost certainly be placed below than those of Alsace-Lorraine, Denmark and the Baltic States, but above that of the Free State of Narvik and whatever shambles remained of the Ukrainian state apparatus.

Autonomy was allowed for the puppet Serbian National Government and the Serbian Free Corps insofar as it was convenient for it to suppress partisan violence. The puppet government was forced to accept shipping and troop movements of the Wehrmacht through the territory and also to sign unfavourable economic “deals” which were essentially extortion of its natural resources; the only thing resembling a diplomatic victory for Nedić was the gradual withdrawal of Bulgarian occupation forces except for the areas which it had directly annexed, although this was as much a product of his petitions to the German government as it was the cooling of relations between Bulgaria and the Reich.

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Figures 45a and 45b: Powerless and deposed: Milan Nedić, hamstrung Minister-President of the Serbian Autonomous Republic after Milan Aćimović’s resignation, and Ante Pavelić, Croatian “Poglavnik” (“Leader”, analogous to Führer ), removed by Balbo in 1942. [3]

One major issue with which the underequipped and hamstrung puppet regime was confronted was that of the waves of Serbian and Bosniak refugees fleeing the Grand Duchy of Croatia and Bosnia-Herzegovina, nominally ruled by the king’s cousin, Prince Amadeo of Savoy, as “Louis III” but in fact dominated by the clerical-fascist regime of Ante Pavelić. The Ustashe wasted no time in persecuting Serbians and Bosniaks unfortunate to be resident in Croatia at the time, and even set up their own internment camps for these purposes. When the atrocities became unpalatable for Weber and especially for Balbo during the peace hewn out during the Treaty of Sofia, the Italian government took decisive action.

In a manner reminiscent of no less than Tiberius himself, Balbo dispatched Count Gyula Cseszneky, Amadeo’s aide-de-camp apparently to confer upon Pavelić nothing less than the Order of the Crown of Italy in March of 1942. Upon Pavelić’s meeting with the Italian delegation, he found himself under arrest, and denounced on national radio as being excessively cruel and deliberately exploiting ethnic strife as a means of distraction from his lining of his pockets through robberies of Serbian and Bosniak private properties, and that unless the Ustashe joined Italy in denouncing his ways, the Regio Esercito would have to “expand its field of operations” – essentially a threat to supplant him or else. [4]

The matter had been executed with great care by Balbo, given that the Italian occupying forces were unpopular for a number of reasons, which encompassed the encroachment of national autonomy to the Kingdom’s annexation of the Dalmatian islands, a problem which Prince Aimone, Amadeo’s younger brother, claimed represented a permanent obstacle to Italian-Croatian relations. [5]

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Figure 46: The installation of Vittorio Emmuanelle III (centre crowd, right) as King of Croatia and Prince Amadeo (centre crowd, second from right) as Grand Duke of Bosnia-Herzegovina. April, 1942.

As such, Balbo had nominally left it up to the Croatian people, who had also grown weary of the barbarous nature of the Ustashe regime and who feared the Italian forces as much as they hated them. The remaining members of the cabinet wasted no time in also denouncing Pavelić, with the recently-appointed Interior Minister Ante Nikšić seen as a compromise candidate amongst the squabbling factions of the Ustashe. The Grand Duchy of Croatia was subsequently raised to the Kingdom of Croatia now ruled by Vittorio Emmuanelle III himself, but also saw the Grand Duchy of Bosnia-Herzegovina (ruled by Prince Amadeo, who jokingly bemoaned the loss of his “kingdom”) split from it and designated as a homeland for the Bosniaks.

These administrative shuffles saw relatively few ground-level changes and were generally ignored by the populace. The Serbs which had been expelled from Croatia had no desire to return to the state which had persecuted them, and instead took up residence in the Serbian Autonomous Republic, adding to Nedić’s administrative headaches. Balbo’s audacity in this internal coup did not go unnoticed by Weber, who had only received a missive after the fact, along with guarantees that the coup would not substantially change the relationships between Germany and Italy, nor Serbia and Croatia.

The ethnic Germans in Vojvodina were somewhat of a historical curiosity, but the fact remained that they were not geographically contiguous with the Reich, like the Gottsherd in Slovenia nor could their concerns be ignored by Weber if he did not wish to appear to a hypocrite to his most important source of support – the German lower and middle classes.

As such, he requested (read: ordered) for the “Banat”, as the ethnic Germans termed their homeland to be split off into the “Free State of Banat-Vojvodina”, and for population exchanges to occur between the two polities to make them more ethnically homogenous. Josef Sepp-Lapp was chosen to be its Minister-President and the Selbstschutz auxiliary and police forces were set up in the state, notably different from the Volkssturm in that the Selbstschutz was comprised entirely of ethnic Germans. The Free State would in due course be reabsorbed, along with the territories of Vojvodina annexed by Hungary, into the reconstituted Serbian state following the end of the wars. [6]


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Figure 44: Flag of the Free State of Banat-Vojvodina. Note the 1919 Reichsadler deprecated in the Reich proper but hastily adapted for the Free State, likely from pre-NSDAP surpluses. [7]

[1] Based off the insignia of the OTL Slovene Home Guard.
[2] In OTL they were all shoved into the NDH, a policy which Balbo would prefer not to continue as it means the Ustashe just has more victims to pick on, and further cause resentment.
[3] Mostly as per OTL as I couldn't find other good candidates.
[4] Yes, I finished I, Claudius pretty recently, why do you ask? The removal of Pavelic was mentioned as far back as Part 5, I believe.
[5] Prince Amadeo doesn't die as per OTL (much like Balbo) due to the entire avoidance of the North African Campaign.
[6] An OTL concept.
[7] Compare with the flag of the Hapsburg Vojvodina.


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Next update: The Iraq War proper, otherwise known as "that clusterfuck in the Middle East"; in short, the more things change, the more they stay the same...o_O
 
Wow, amazing, Tom.

Loved it.
Thank you! :)

I bet Paul is REALLY regretting taking that shot about now.
It's amazing just how many more people one bullet can fuck over, huh?

We'll see even more next update, sadly. :confused:

A complete and utter mess, but how could the Balkans ever not be a mess? Somewhat competent Nazis or not?
Well, at least the Ustashe is less murder-happy, but that's a small, small, consolation.
 
Well, at least Balbo is slightly better/humane when it suits him than Mussolini. Not that it's a high bar or anything.

Great update, btw. I can hardly wait to see what messes occur in Mesopotamia...
 
God, you just know they're going to totally fuck up the Near East too. The Balkans, Eastern Europe.....people are going to hate Germans for a loooooong time, I think.
 
Well, at least Balbo is slightly better/humane when it suits him than Mussolini. Not that it's a high bar or anything.

Great update, btw. I can hardly wait to see what messes occur in Mesopotamia...

God, you just know they're going to totally fuck up the Near East too. The Balkans, Eastern Europe.....people are going to hate Germans for a loooooong time, I think.

Thanks, guys.

We're in for a rough ride postwar, but perhaps in the rubble the strength to avoid the mistakes of the past will emerge.

Or it'll just be a big clusterf**k. One order of Equatorial Frankfurters, coming up! o_O
 
"a problem which Prince Aimone, Amadeo’s younger brother, claimed represented a permanent obstacle to Italian-Croatian relations..." It certainly shall be interesting to see the diplomatic reputation of Italy post war because you seem to imply that they will retain much of their coastal conquests. I'd imagine that they would be encouraging Italian settlement along the Croatian coast making the Post WWII population swaps such a blast. Also Italy emerging with most of its territories intact will have a profound impact on Libya and even Ethiopia long-term as I don't see a successful Italy getting rid of their 'crown' jewels.
 
"a problem which Prince Aimone, Amadeo’s younger brother, claimed represented a permanent obstacle to Italian-Croatian relations..." It certainly shall be interesting to see the diplomatic reputation of Italy post war because you seem to imply that they will retain much of their coastal conquests. I'd imagine that they would be encouraging Italian settlement along the Croatian coast making the Post WWII population swaps such a blast. Also Italy emerging with most of its territories intact will have a profound impact on Libya and even Ethiopia long-term as I don't see a successful Italy getting rid of their 'crown' jewels.

I don't think they will keep Ethiopia; however, Libya, Eritrra and Italian Somaliland might be kept.
 
"a problem which Prince Aimone, Amadeo’s younger brother, claimed represented a permanent obstacle to Italian-Croatian relations..." It certainly shall be interesting to see the diplomatic reputation of Italy post war because you seem to imply that they will retain much of their coastal conquests. I'd imagine that they would be encouraging Italian settlement along the Croatian coast making the Post WWII population swaps such a blast. Also Italy emerging with most of its territories intact will have a profound impact on Libya and even Ethiopia long-term as I don't see a successful Italy getting rid of their 'crown' jewels.

Well Libya will probably be kept in this scenario due to the sheer number of people the fascist was intentioned to send there and the relatevely small population; Dalmatia and what was Slovenia will be very difficult and a lot of forced italianization will be necessary (probably the equivalent of OTL South Tyrol as ethnic situation with some act of terrorism included).
Ethiopia need to be left alone the quickest possible, it will be probably become the italian equivalent of Angola and Somalia really don't is that important...Eritrea can be kept but more with a Dominion like status and with the fear that the risk to be invaded by Ethiopia is high.

In general Italy was in OTL the least crazy member of the Axis and Balbo it's a more pragmatic type than Mussolini
 
The war stretched out more and some of the axis members surviving reasonably intact even with some of their land gains means that while there's hopefully less soviet oppression later on down the line, there might instead be more small wars between various European nations - WWII in our timeline scared a lot of large groups into being more peace-loving. It probably won't do so here, not nearly as effectively at the least.

For example, I can see an eventual three-way war in northern Africa between French Algeria, Italian Libya and (an attempt at forming) a pan-african Muslim rebellion.
 
It's a great update. However, Yugoslavia is not the whole of the Balkans. Will we see something of what happens in the rest of the Balkan peninsula before The Iraq War update?
 
"a problem which Prince Aimone, Amadeo’s younger brother, claimed represented a permanent obstacle to Italian-Croatian relations..." It certainly shall be interesting to see the diplomatic reputation of Italy post war because you seem to imply that they will retain much of their coastal conquests. I'd imagine that they would be encouraging Italian settlement along the Croatian coast making the Post WWII population swaps such a blast. Also Italy emerging with most of its territories intact will have a profound impact on Libya and even Ethiopia long-term as I don't see a successful Italy getting rid of their 'crown' jewels.

I don't think they will keep Ethiopia; however, Libya, Eritrra and Italian Somaliland might be kept.

Great update on the mess in the Balkans in TTL.:):D

Well Libya will probably be kept in this scenario due to the sheer number of people the fascist was intentioned to send there and the relatevely small population; Dalmatia and what was Slovenia will be very difficult and a lot of forced italianization will be necessary (probably the equivalent of OTL South Tyrol as ethnic situation with some act of terrorism included).
Ethiopia need to be left alone the quickest possible, it will be probably become the italian equivalent of Angola and Somalia really don't is that important...Eritrea can be kept but more with a Dominion like status and with the fear that the risk to be invaded by Ethiopia is high.

In general Italy was in OTL the least crazy member of the Axis and Balbo it's a more pragmatic type than Mussolini

The war stretched out more and some of the axis members surviving reasonably intact even with some of their land gains means that while there's hopefully less soviet oppression later on down the line, there might instead be more small wars between various European nations - WWII in our timeline scared a lot of large groups into being more peace-loving. It probably won't do so here, not nearly as effectively at the least.

For example, I can see an eventual three-way war in northern Africa between French Algeria, Italian Libya and (an attempt at forming) a pan-african Muslim rebellion.

We'll just have to see (My phrasing is essentially identical to Wikipedia's OTL thoughts on the matter by Aimone.) I haven't fully plotted out what exactly happens to the Italian colonial empire, but it's a safe bet that it'll last a bit longer than OTL.

The 'Iraq War'.

Freedom came half a century early. o_O

Come and see.

"divided along ethnic lines"

that's some bait they did

See gommunist yugoslavia
Well, they reverted it to the pre-1922 border changes is all I'm saying.

It's a great update. However, Yugoslavia is not the whole of the Balkans. Will we see something of what happens in the rest of the Balkan peninsula before The Iraq War update?

Ehh, not really to be honest, as I'm limiting myself to the direct German sphere of influence there. I might have some quick comments overall in the next part though.

And when is the next part? It's arriving this weekend. See you all there. :cool:o_O
 
7.5.2 The Iraq War
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Oil spout in Kirkuk, Iraq.​

And there followed another angel, saying, "Babylon is fallen, is fallen, that great city, because she made all nations drink of the wine of the wrath of her fornication." -
Revelation 14:8

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THE IRAQ WAR

“Of Germany's victory the Arab world was firmly convinced, not only because the Reich possessed a large army, brave soldiers, and military leaders of genius, but also because the Almighty could never award the victory to an unjust cause. In this struggle, the Arabs were striving for the independence and unity of Palestine, Syria, and Iraq. They had the fullest confidence in the Führer and looked to his hand for the balm on their wounds, which had been inflicted upon them by the enemies of Germany.”
Minutes of the meeting between Md. Amin al-Husseini, former Grand Mufti of Jerusalem in exile, and Friedrich Weber.

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Figure 48: Map of Iraq just prior to the outbreak of hostilities. Note the crucial Mosul-Haifa and Kirkuk-Baniyas pipelines.

The Iraq War has been characterised as the “Third Front” of the Second Great War and the fourth of the Second World Wars to a lesser extent – the former first two being France and Scandinavia, and the latter first three being France and the Low Countries, the Soviet Union and East and Southeast Asia. Although there was considerable external involvement in the Golden Crescent’s Iraqi putsch and subsequent war, civil or otherwise, the internal factors concerning the divisions in Iraq must also be understood to truly contextualise the conflict. For this we must turn to aspects dating as far back as the formation of the state of Iraq following the destruction of the Ottoman Empire at the hands of the victorious Allies at the end of the First World War and its dissolution through the Sykes-Picot Agreement and the Treaty of Lausanne, which superseded the even more drastic Treaty of Sèvres.

Without delving too deeply into the topic for this section (Gordian’s Upsetting the Balance is an excellent introduction) [1], it is enough to say that the mandates carved out of the Ottoman Empire’s holdings in Arabia were done with an astonishing, but unsurprising in retrospect, lack of heed to local ethnic and religious conditions, with Iraq being a microcosm of the fractious natures of the mandates and successor nation-states. The territory of the state, independent since 1932 and previously known as the Mandate of Mesopotamia, was nearly evenly split in half between Sunni and Shia Arabs, with the mountainous north populated by Kurdish tribespeoples.

Ethnic-religious tensions were hence bubbling below the surface and barely being held in control by the power-sharing agreements between these groups in the constitution. These tensions were not helped by the agitations of the neighbouring SSNP (see Parts 3 and 4, “Arabia, Africa and America” and “The Treaty of Gutenberg") [2] and radical politicians such as the Sunni Rashid Ali al-Gaylani, who sought the sponsorship of the Axis Powers in freeing Iraq from British dominance. Despite the granting of independence by the British, the British Army still held a presence in Iraq in order to protect its oil interests – oil which Weber was eager to see fall out of their control, especially as oil drilling in Syria had been largely fruitless, rendering the German-Syrian agreements rather useless. [3]

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Figures 49a and 49b: Leading figures in the times leading up to the Iraq War. Rashid Ali al-Gaylani of Iraq (left); Haj Amin al-Husseini, former Grand Mufti of Jerusalem (right).

Another key figure in understanding the nature of the conflict is Haj Amin al-Husseini, who had been the Grand Mufti of Jerusalem until his anti-Israelite views and roles in the Palestinian Revolts of the 1920s and 1930s led to his fleeing the region, eventually taking up refuge in Germany. He was vehemently opposed to the waves of Jewish immigration into Mandatory Palestine, and aligned with the SSNP in such matters. Previously considered a key ally by the British authorities, he became a prominent spokesperson for the overlapping of the NSDAP and Arab causes. Al-Husseini was in support for a planned putsch by the “Golden Square” of four Iraqi officers to restore Rashid Ali to the premiership following his dismissal at the end of the Spring War, where he had worked to maintain tacit links between Iraq and the Reich; Weber through his aides in Syria and Palestine warned them to instead bide their time and wait for the SSNP to gain power in Syria first. [4]

The emergence of the SSNP and the presidency of Sami al-Hinnawi in late 1941 alerted British intelligence to the likely intentions of Germany in the region, but the defence infrastructure was paltry and manpower could not be afforded given the eruption of the Great Asia-Pacific War almost immediately thereafter. In the meantime, the cabal of officers had expanded from four to seven (hence “Golden Crescent”) and the agitation of al-Husseini had ensured popular support for the radical nationalist cause. Thousands had flocked from the People’s Guard in Syria and enrolled in the army, and the SSNP waited on the border, eager to fulfil its irredentist ambitions of “Greater Syria”.

Here, Weber seems to have exercised his manipulative talents in making contradictory promises to the Golden Crescent and the SSNP, saying to the former that he would support their independence and to the latter that he would support their territorial expansion and grant any amount of weapons aid short of declaring war (as per the Quadripartite Nonaggression Pact) in exchange for their continued loyalty and access to the oilfields. The reasoning, in retrospect, is obvious: the SSNP were negotiating from a position of strength and the Iraqis from weakness and Weber counted on the loyalty of the Syrians more than the promises of the Iraqis, reckoning that the coup did not even have to succeed to provide enough pretext for the Syrian Social Republic to intervene in the region.

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Figure 50: A Panzer II in northern Iraq, May 1942. Germany had begun selling Reichswehr and Wehrmacht surplus to Syria following the SSNP’s usurpation of power.

The Golden Crescent launched their coup on April 1st, 1942, and their troops stormed government buildings, pressuring Prime Minister Nuri al-Said to resign in favour of Rashid Ali, announcing the changes in power over national radio. The British authorities immediately demanded that the new government permit troop passages into the country. It is unclear if the British authorities actually had any intention to recognise Rashid Ali’s government; at any rate, the Golden Crescent launched an assault on the British air bases, prompting the British authorities to declare the new government illegitimate.

Churchill, through Halifax, demanded an immediate attack by the forces stationed there, waiting for Weber’s response. The first phase of the Iraq war was over in a matter of weeks as the Iraqi forces were unable to resist the attacks by the Royal Air Force, but just when it seemed that the balance of power would be preserved, Rashid Ali announced that the “Revolutionary Iraqi Government” had concluded an agreement with the Syrian Social Republic to permit troop passages in order to “preserve the government chosen by the Iraqi people and opposed to Western imperialism”, as Syrian troops were already crossing the border.

Churchill immediately contacted the Reich authorities, demanding that Germany break off their ties with Syria or else, to which Weber responded that such a demand was tantamount to an act of war given that Britain had no business meddling with the foreign affairs of Germany, although he would be happy to arbitrate between the Syrian and Iraqi authorities; this suggestion was dismissed immediately. The diplomatic situation was pessimistic: Pétain had yet to give up power despite the massive losses in French prestige in the Levant and Southeast Asia (and elections were not due for years, Pétain having called snap elections shortly after Gutenberg) [5], and although Turkey had signed a defence agreement with Britain, İnönü flatly stated that they would not intervene unless Turkish sovereignty was violated.

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Figure 51: Refuelling Gloster Gladiators defended by Arab Legionnaires. Mid-1942.

As such, while the British Empire eventually declared war on the Syrian Social Republic, also launching offensives through Mandatory Palestine, they could not effectively embargo German supplies without risking triggering another continental war. While Churchill was willing to do so, the Asia-Pacific War warranted more materiel, and it was eventually decided that the overall strategic goals should focus on denying Syria (and by extension Germany) access to the Iraqi oilfields and to remove Syrian presence as far as possible, while supporting the al-Said government. It was assessed that since the British forces had such massive successes in the first phase, expelling the Syrian People’s Army would be enough to restore order to Iraq.

The reality was considerably more nuanced. While the Syrian entry had allowed battles to be won, in actuality it had lost the war. If the Iraqis were resentful of the intrusion of the British, some were even more outraged at the Syrian intervention once the reality sank in that they were not liberators but occupiers; furthermore, although Sunni-Shia tensions were low compared to the strife of the Ottoman period, it did not take long for the Shia lower classes to begin rebelling against the Sunni elites as they had in 1935-1936 [6], especially considering that the leading members of the so-called liberation army including Rashid Ali, Amin al-Husseini and Sami al-Hinnawi were all Sunni.

Although Antun Saadeh had emphasised that the SSNP’s pan-Arabism could ignore and overcome religious barriers (although obviously not ethnic ones), the simple fact of the matter was that the upper echelons of both the Iraqi and Syrian armies, which had respectively instigated the coup and invaded Iraq, were dominated by Sunnis; Saadeh would eventually resign out of disgust.


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Figure 52: Demographic map of Iraq, indicating the divisions of ethno-religious identities.

The internal conflicts which emerged in Iraq therefore not only took on dimensions of class but also those of religious identity and ethnic identities, as the Assyrians and Kurds had also been mistreated under the regime of the Kingdom of Iraq. The Kurdish tribes-people in the north wasted no time in rebelling against both the Syrian-imposed Golden Crescent regime and the British-supported government, and the old sentiments of Kurdish nationalism began to be inflamed once again, causing alarm in Turkey, who did not want to be placed in the awkward position of aligning with Syria on this matter.

One unexpected consequence of the Iraq War (the term “Iraqi Civil War” is depreciated due to the high levels of foreign intervention) was the turn of the British towards Shiite Muslims, given that they had up till then used the Sunni elites to govern the territory; it was now political necessity if they wanted the populace to side with them against Syria and the Golden Crescent. This forestalled a planned invasion of Iran, which had been drawn up due to Reza Shah Pahlavi’s continued neutrality and trade with Germany. Foreign Secretary Anthony Eden flew to Tehran along with Şükrü Saracoğlu, Turkish Minister of Foreign Affairs, to negotiate the possible extension of the Anglo-Turkish Defence Arrangement. Iran declaring for the British, or at least against Germany, was also critical for the Soviets, given that with Syria declaring for the Axis the Caucasus oilfields would almost be in bombing range of the Luftwaffe.


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Figure 53: Reza Shah Pahlavi, Shah of Iran and signatory of the Tehran Conference Accords ensuring a British-aligned bloc in Southwest Asia.

Eden bolt upon the pre-existing Iranian-Turkish friendship [7], along with assurances that the Shiite population of Iraq would receive better treatment under the restored government and that British forces would not cross into Iran unless given explicit permission (which was in essence a subtle threat given the amassing of Commonwealth troops on the Iran-Iraq border) and arbitration between Iran and the Soviet Union concerning a possible non-aggression pact.

This Tehran Conference concluded with Iran agreeing to monitor its German population (which was numbered at fewer than 700 individuals) and renegotiating the D’Arcy Accords concerning oil revenues, and reducing diplomatic relations with Germany to those of Turkey in exchange for the same sort of guarantees of its sovereignty – Reza Shah would claim during periods of diplomatic tension that it had essentially been forced out of him as Eden had unsubtly suggested more than once that the British Army, or worse yet, the Red Army, could coerce even more unfavourable terms. Soviet Foreign Minister Molotov was invited to Tehran to negotiate this non-aggression pact, but Stalin instead demanded Reza Shah send a potentiate to Moscow, as he did not wish to be perceived as acting on British demands; at any rate, Iran’s neutrality was respected and affirmed at the Tehran Conference and its outcomes.

The most brutal fighting in Iraq centred on the critical Mosul-Haifa oil pipeline, which carried oil from the massive fields in Baba Gurgur and Kirkuk to the coast in Haifa, located in Mandatory Palestine. When it became clear that the western half of Iraq was about to fall into Golden Crescent hands, Commando units of the British Army were dispatched to sabotage the pipeline, which they did at the crucial junction in Haditha through sneaking up along the Euphrates and detonating a bomb-laden truck, causing incalculable environmental damage.

The oilfields themselves became a hotly contested zone which the Syrians were desperate to control, given that the Sunni-dominated western half contained practically no oil and the British could still tap on reserves in Basra. In the end the Baba Gurgur fields fell into the control of the Kurds, who demanded guarantees of their security in exchange for oil, an agreement which the Iraqis and Syrians generally upheld due to economic necessity.

However, Baghdad and the lower two-thirds of the country were held by the British and legitimist forces, with the conflict settling into a stalemate where Rashid Ali’s government held the northern half of the area bounded by the Rivers Tigris and Euphrates, and the highlands around Mosul, with the balance controlled by the Kurds to the north and east. In all, the German investment into Syria only paid itself off sporadically whenever oil could be safely exported from Baba Gurgur, and their sponsorship of the SSNP had essentially only created a small ulcer for the British in the Middle East whilst achieving paltry strategic aims and even drawing Iran into the NATO fold. In the long run, the establishment of the so-called “Iraqi Republic” proved to be a Pyrrhic victory for the Reich; after the collapse of the Asia-Pacific front the British swept through Rashidist Iraq and Syria effortlessly, as by then Germany was so entangled in Russia that it could not help its alleged allies at all.

[1] Obvious reference is obvious...
[2] Quick links: Part 3, Part 4.
[3] Syrian oil drilling didn't really take off until after OTL's WW2.
[4] Hence, the delay of the Golden Square coup until 1942.
[5] My explanation of why France sits on its hands for so damned long; Petain remained popular even until the end of Vichy France in OTL.
[6] OTL events, although I may be playing up Sunni-Shia divisions more than OTL.
[7] As per OTL re: Iran-Turkey. I guess the British managed to dream up the incredible idea to ask in TTL.


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Thus concludes this week's installment of "Weber isn't as great as he thinks he is", to be continued soon with "The Second Exodus".

See you there. o_O
 
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Great update and TL.

Well this has blown up in Webers and the SSNP's face and goes another chance for pan-Arabism.

I was also wondering what are the Turkic peoples doing? I imagine if Weber is capable of pushing the Soviets back they might decide to revolt?

Also what are Webers plans for a Greater Germanic Reich/ Generalplan ost?
 
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