Status
Not open for further replies.
Introduction

We Want Hubert!

An alternate timeline by Allegheny Aspy

Hubert Horatio Humphrey, an orator, leader, and politician, described by both friend or foe as one of the greatest politicians of the twentieth century. His politics were that of principle, and issues were of utmost importance. The man from Minnesota was a progressive, and a champion of human and civil rights. As mayor of Minneapolis, he stormed the 1948 Democratic National Convention held in Philadelphia, and successfully fought to commit the Democratic Party to a plank which included civil rights. But unlike many of his midwestern progressive predecessors and colleagues, Humphrey integrated his personality into policy, and carried the progressive banner into the mainstream. In 1948, he was elected to the senate representing his home state of Minnesota. In the senate, he was able to get the Civil Rights Act of 1964 passed, an act which propelled him to the vice presidency under President Lyndon Baines Johnson.

He’s left his mark on these United States, and made it a better place for millions. Not even Humphrey himself has found a way to exaggerate his own contributions, from Medicare to civil rights to disarmament to education. But for all of his achievements, he was never able to achieve the office he so sought, the presidency. In fact, the only executive office ever granted to him was the mayoralty of a large city. As vice president, he came close to power. Witnessing, observing, and understanding that power. However, he never got to wield it. But the man from Minnesota did almost wield that power, he did almost win the 1968 United States presidential election after all. This begs the question, what if he did? What if, in an alternate world, Hubert Horatio Humphrey was elected president of these United States in 1968? What would happen? With these questions stuck in my mind, I began to do the research for this alternate timeline. And research I did.

Thus, I hereby present to you... We Want Hubert!

 
Last edited:
Chapter I: Stuck In The Middle of The Mud

Chapter I: Stuck In The Middle of The Mud

24vietnamWeb-superJumbo.jpg

An anti-war demonstration, c. 1967


"It was November 22, 1967, the fourth anniversary of President Kennedy’s assassination. Night had fallen upon Washington, when Doug Bennet, future senator from Colorado and then-aide to Vice President Humphrey, was working late in the vice-presidential office across the street from the White House. Bennet was working on a speech for the vice president when he heard a loud whirring noise emanating from some sort of silhouette on the White House lawn. It was only after the silhouette had risen against the Washington monument did Bennet realize what was happening: it was President Johnson taking off in a helicopter under security conditions so extreme that the departure took place in a blackout. The same thing occurred again, and again. Every time Johnson left the White House by helicopter, the same precautions were put in place. The secret service feared for the the President's safety. In December 1967, Johnson left for New York by helicopter to attend the funeral of New York Cardinal Francis Spellman.

On the steps of the cathedral, a mass picket was held, with picketers holding up signs: “Johnson’s Baby Powder — Napalm” and “Burn, Baby, Burn.” The Secret Service hurriedly spirited the president away through a rear door. These picketers were students, the youth. These were the ones who were turned off by the President's repeated appearances on television, and gave their hearts over to Senator Bobby Kennedy of New York, who told them the war had to stop. Even Reverend Martin Luther King, Jr., himself began speaking out for peace in Vietnam. For Johnson, his constituency, his base, which had supported him in 1964 began parting away from the administration thanks to the War in Vietnam. The picketers provided a fair warning for Johnson, discontent was increasing, and the Republicans were now in a good position to harvest that very discontent in the next presidential election. With Johnson's consensus having disappeared, he asked himself: "could the president muster a majority when he ran again?" The Left had abandoned him; the Moderates grew wary of him; and the Republicans were rising. This left Johnson stuck in the middle of the mud..."

Bernstein, Irving (1996). The Texas Giant: The Presidency of Lyndon Johnson, p. 486



561968saigon-south-vietnam-houses-burn-during-fierce-fighting-on-the-picture-id515351132

U.S. Troops fighting against the Vietcong during the Tet Offensive, c. 1967


"It would be fair to say that everything went downhill for the Johnson administration after the president decided to plunge into Vietnam. While the economy remained resilient and growth steadily continued as had been the case since the Kennedy administration, rising inflation began to cut the value of the dollar. In fact, inflation had become a concern for the president second only to the war as the 1968 election year began. The gold reserves at Fort Knox began to melt away, while the government, failing to raise taxes, began printing more money to fund the increasingly costly Vietnam War. Additionally, the prospects of a "quick victory" in Vietnam faded, and congressional resistance to the Johnson administration began to mount. Meanwhile, the first signs of cracks within the Democratic coalition, which had been apparent since even before the 1964 presidential election, fully revealed themselves in 1967. The passionate sentiments within the party both for and against the policies of the Johnson administration, domestically and internationally, didn't help matters. The vehemence of the passions aroused by the escalation in Vietnam and the worst racial rioting in U.S. history were reflected in both the criticisms of the war by powerful democrats."

Radosh, Ronald (1994). United they stood, Divided they fell: The Democratic Party 1964 – 1984, p. 28



"...By 1967, only a bare majority of Americans still backed the war effort in Vietnam. Anti-war opposition had grown bitterly hostile to the endless bloodshed in the Vietnam. In response, they replied with their own hostility. Hostility directed towards the police, politicians, and authority in general. In the U.S. Congress, in the newspapers, on television, the talk of stalemate began to spread like wildfire, putting the administration on the defensive. ‘The administration tried to counter with statistics of Vietcong slaughtered, of roads cleared, of villages “pacified.” Then, on January 31, occurred the event that was to bring the administration, Lyndon Johnson, Hubert Humphrey, and more, to judgment in this election year. It was the first day of Tết Nguyên Đán, better known as Tết, the Vietnamese celebration which commemorates the arrival of spring based on the Vietnamese calendar. Early that morning, the supposedly decimated Vietcong launched a countrywide and well coordinated offensive, attacking almost every major South Vietnamese city.

This included the Southern Vietnamese capital of Saigon, where the Vietcong were able to launch attacks on the U.S. Embassy compound, the same building Vice President Humphrey had proclaimed “the great adventure. Seven embassy personnel were killed in total, while the U.S. Ambassador, Ellsworth F. Bunker took refuge in a CIA hideaway." The American public were stunned by the clear ability of the Vietcong to exert power, and took the offensive, which became known as the Tết Offensive, as a sign that the U.S. was not getting anywhere in the quandary that was Vietnam. While the public still reeled back in surprise and dismay, increasing pressure was put on the Johnson administration. On one side, Treasury Secretary Henry Fowler was pleading for an emergency tax boost to keep the dollar from collapsing, as confidence with the currency began to fall abroad. On the other side, Generals Westmoreland requested further assistance, in the form of 206,000 more troops. In the White House, aides began drafting a speech for the besieged President..."

– LaFerber, Walter (2006). The Deadly Gambit: Johnson, Vietnam, and the 1968 Election, p. 19 – 20



2800.jpg

President Lyndon B. Johnson, c. 1968


"Tết had significantly hurt Johnson's credibility, and the failure of the U.S. government to defend against the Vietcong, began to turn the tide of public opinion against the war. But Johnson was soon forced to approach a different problem, the approaching presidential primaries, which demanded the urgent attention of the president. Previously, Johnson seemed destined to win the Democratic nomination. Now, the president was faced with a primary challenge in the form of Senator Eugene McCarthy of Minnesota, who campaigned for an end to the War in Vietnam. Johnson was worried about McCarthy, and confided to Democratic Congressional leadership about the McCarthy threat. In a letter, LBJ commented that an opponent could draw the support of Martin Luther King, Jr. and Dr. Benjamin Spock, defeating him in New Hampshire, and forcing his withdrawal from the race. Similar to what had occurred in 1952, when Tennessee Senator Estes Kefauver defeated President Harry Truman in the New Hampshire primary, which preceded the president's decision not to seek re-election. Such a possibility would have seemed unlikely to Democrats during November 1964..."

Gould, Lewis L. (1996). 1968: The Election That Changed America, p. 16


"...In Minnesota, the Johnson-Humphrey ticket were humiliated when McCarthy's campaign managed to gain precinct caucuses in three out of five of the state's congressional districts. In fact the fighting within the DFL were so fierce, it amounted to the worse infighting the DFL had seen since the 1940's, when ironically, McCarthy, Humphrey, and Walter Mondale, among others, worked together to weaken and expel the pro-communist elements within the party. But Minnesota was not where the McCarthy campaign focused it's efforts, instead McCarthy set his sights on New Hampshire. Led by Herbert Gans, the McCarthy campaign pulled all the tricks in the book, and then some. The McCarthy campaign ran radio commercials every half an hour in the state during the last few days of the primary campaign. The campaign also bought "every single billboard space, enough campaign literature to give to every voter three times over, and an inundation of movie stars, such as Paul Newman to campaign in support of McCarthy.

In an interview with journalist Charles Kaiser, Gans stated that he was confident that McCarthy would win the primary: "Think how it would feel to wake up Wednesday morning to find out that Gene McCarthy had won the New Hampshire primary [and] find out that New Hampshire had changed the course of American politics." McCarthy’s willingness to challenge Johnson in 1968 was not just because he had a personal conflict with the president. It also arose as a result of McCarthy's reservations about the administration's policies in Vietnam. In 1965, the U.S. government intervened in the Dominican Republic to put down an ostensible communist government. By January 1966, McCarthy had also begun attacking the Vietnam War. He said that the seriousness of America's commitment to military power required a national debate, a national discussion, and a deep exploration of American consciousness. He did not oppose the president until 1967. On February 1, he told an audience at a peace mobilization in Washington that, in the absence of any positive reasons to support the conflict, he believes that the war in Vietnam is currently unjustifiable."

Radosh, Ronald (1994). United they stood, Divided they fell: The Democratic Party 1964 – 1984, p. 49

 
Last edited:
Chapter II: McCarthy's Not Making It Easy

Chapter II: McCarthy's Not Making It Easy

ap_680313056_wide-29859cb924aff4bb8c572c1c0fb8a173cf1399b4-s1100-c50.jpg

Senator McCarthy on the night of the New Hampshire Primary, c. 1968


"On the evening of March 12, 1968, American audiences saw the Johnson presidency begin to crumble before their eyes. The event was the New Hampshire presidential primary, the "first in the nation" primary that has long been a tradition in the state. There have been other dramatic outcomes in New Hampshire, both before and since, that have had a significant impact on the political landscape. However, nothing has shaken the earth like the result of 1968. For some context, Lyndon Baines Johnson was serving as the current president of the United States, assuming the presidency following President John F. Kennedy's assassination in November 1963. Johnson won re-election in 1964, with one of the largest popular-vote margins in U.S. history. Johnson had strong-armed Congress to pass the Civil Rights Act and the Voting Rights Act, as well as the Great Society programs such as Medicare. When the primary season began, Johnson was the overwhelming favorite to win the Democratic nomination for a second full term.

But Johnson was also the president who had dramatically escalated the U.S. commitment to war in Vietnam, after saying he would not "send American boys to do what Asian boys should be doing. On this day, in this New England state, he would pay the price for that decision. He would end the evening with his political fate in free fall. Johnson's main opponent was Senator Eugene McCarthy of Minnesota, who barely polled in the double digits. McCarthy was not a major player in the Senate. He had little to no money, and had only begun campaigning in the state in late January. One pre-primary poll in the state found him barely registering in double digits. Still, when the votes were tallied that March night, McCarthy had more than 47% percent of the vote, narrowly defeating Johnson, who won 46% on a write-in vote. It was a narrow win, but, given the expectations of the time, it was a stunning defeat for the establishment. McCarthy won more than half the counties in the state and in several major cities such as Berlin, Concord, and Rochester."

– Dallek, Matthew (September 30, 2018). McCarthy V. LBJ: New Hampshire 1968, History.com



imrs.php

Senator McCarthy campaigning in New Hampshire, c. 1968



"Sen. Eugene McCarthy won what was most observers considered an astounding victory in the New Hampshire Democratic Primary held on March 12, defeating Pres. Johnson in the popular vote and winning a majority of the state's delegates to the national Democratic convention. Most pre-primary predictions had forecast an overwhelming victory for the President. McCarthy, the only major Democrat on the ballot, won about 47% of the vote, in his surprising show of strength against the President, who polled 46% on a write-in vote. McCarthy had campaigned actively in the state as a critic of President Johnson's Vietnam policy. He won 20 Democratic national convention delegate votes. President Johnson only won four. In the Republican primary, former Vice President Richard Nixon received 77% of the vote, while a write-in campaign for New York Governor Nelson Rockefeller netted him only 11%. All 18 of the delegates to the Republican National Convention went to Nixon."

"The campaign on behalf of the President had been marred by many mistakes, and McCarthy’s campaign had benefited from events which unfolded during the campaign. The enemy’s Tet offensive in Vietnam and reports that up to 206,000 more U.S. soldiers had been requested for Vietnam service had aided McCarthy, the “anti-war” candidate. The President’s New Hampshire backers had created ill-will when they distributed pledge cards to be filled out by voters and forwarded to the White House. McCarthy attacked the maneuver as an attempt “to put a brand on people." In the final weeks of the campaign, pr0-Johnsons backers launched an attack, largely through advertisements, warning that a big vote for McCarthy would, in Gov. John W. King's words, be "greeted with great cheers in Hanoi." McCarthy called the implication "lies" and denounced it on the Senate floor March 8. The charge was also denounced by Sen. Robert Kennedy of New York and repudiated by several delegates pledged to President Johnson."

– Los Angeles Times (March 13, 1968). McCarthy Claims Victory; Sweep for Nixon, p. 1



"When the voters of New Hampshire went to the polls in the first primary of the election season, President Johnson unexpectedly lost to Senator Eugene McCarthy. McCarthy, who was aided by an outpouring of student volunteers for his candidacy took a stunning 47% of the vote, to the President's 46%. McCarthy's victory was enough to convince Senator Bobby Kennedy, the younger brother of President John F. Kennedy, to launch his own presidential campaign. Suddenly, it became apparent that the President had a real fight on his hands for the party’s nomination, and he was losing. In a letter to Lawyer Morris Ernst, Vice President Humphrey wrote that: "We are in a tremendous swing... back from the policies that have kept the nation safeguarded for the past generation." According to friends and family, the time following the New Hampshire primary was the low point for the then-vice president. In another letter to Ernst, Humphrey stated that he was worried that: "Rev. Martin Luther King, Jr.,’s vocal opposition to the president could jeopardize the black vote in the upcoming election." Minnesota Senator Walter Mondale later said: "I think Humphrey thought his political career was destroyed."

– Aitken, Jonathan (1998). Hubert Horatio Humphrey: A Life, p. 268




robert-kennedy-delivers-presidential-campaign-speech-picture-id525582946

Robert F. Kennedy announcing his candidacy, c. 1968



"...New Hampshire was, in many ways, a turning point in the 1968 election. President Johnson's campaign had been affected by many mistakes and miscalculations, and McCarthy's campaign had taken advantage of outside events, mainly the Tết Offensive and General Westmoreland's request for additional troops, all of which aided the "anti-war" McCarthy. Future congressman Gerry Studds, who campaigned for the candidate in New Hampshire, explained that McCarthy had campaigned in areas where traditional Democrats didn't go. That area was Southern New Hampshire, in towns such as Salem, where McCarthy managed to win with 56% of the vote to Johnson's 38%. All in all, the New Hampshire primary proved two things. One, that President Johnson was unpopular. And two, that an anti-war candidate could win a primary. Thus, McCarthy's victory in the New Hampshire primary ignited a dash of hope that maybe he did have a chance. But that initial hope faded away four days later, with the entry of Robert F. Kennedy into the race. McCarthy and his supporters were furious, as months earlier, Kennedy had consistently refused to run for the presidency. Even when urged to do so by supporters, including McCarthy himself, who told Kennedy that "If you ran for the presidency, I'd be glad to step aside."

Not only did the New York senator show little interest in challenging the incumbent, the senator initially disregarded McCarthy as a candidate. Thus, when Kennedy entered the race after McCarthy had showed that there was discontent with President Johnson, his candidacy was seen as opportunistic by McCarthy supporters. in contrast, Kennedy saw things very differently. In the senator's mind, McCarthy never had a chance to become president. Journalist and political pundit Murray Kempton wrote in a column that: "He [Kennedy] has, displayed rage at Senator McCarthy for walking, and surviving, the road he dared not walk himself." But the presidential primaries continued, and on April 2, the next primary was due to be held in the state of Wisconsin. Unlike in New Hampshire, where McCarthy was the underdog, here he was in the lead. Several thousand young volunteers had campaigned across the state to turn out votes for McCarthy. And now, reports were coming in to the White House that the Johnson-Humphrey ticket would take a heavy blow in Wisconsin. James Rowe, a lawyer and political strategist for the Democratic Party, urged President Johnson to do “something startling and dramatic” before the Wisconsin primary. But was there really anything Johnson could do?"

Radosh, Ronald (1994). United they stood, Divided they fell: The Democratic Party 1964 – 1984, p. 51 – 52



"...On March 27, the president’s principal advisers gathered in Secretary of State Dean Rusk’s office to go over the draft of the speech the president was to deliver on a a nationwide telecast Sunday evening, March 31. While skeptical that Hanoi would respond, they agreed that the speech must take a “peaceful tone.” The suggestion to end U. S. bombing south of the twentieth parallel was inserted in a new draft, and Johnson accepted it. On Sunday morning, having telephoned beforehand, the Johnson's stopped off at the Humphrey’s Potomac-side apartment on their way home from church. The vice president was on the point of leaving for Mexico City, where he was to sign for the United States a protocol of the nuclear nonproliferation treaty the following morning. Johnson handed a copy of his speech to Humphrey, who read it, noted the proposal for a limited bombing pause, and said: "That’s just great, the best thing I ever heard you say." Then the president handed him another piece of paper. It was an alternative ending to the speech. The vice president read on to the last line: "...Accordingly, I shall not seek, nor will I accept, the nomination of my party for the Presidency of the United States..."

– Aitken, Jonathan (1998). Hubert Horatio Humphrey: A Life, p. 274
 
Last edited:

Deleted member 145219

Great start!

I know this is an HHH centric timeline. He's my favorite failed nominee. I hope though, that RFK can be spared his OTL fate. He doesn't have to become President at any point. Just live a long and productive life.
 

Sorry for the delay everybody, but I haven't had the time to work on this (I'm juggling several other timelines), but the next chapter is coming!

With that, here's a small teaser:

180108_r31238_rd.jpg


 
One HUGE impact to a HHH win in 1968 is Supreme Court.

In 1969 the court was very top heavy liberal, with arguably 7 liberals vs 2 conservatives

HHH would have, even in one term, been able to make that 8-1 and depending on how elections went from there you could keep a 2-1 or 3-1 liberal majority to this day
 
Status
Not open for further replies.
Top