UAR-Jordan War

Hashemite

Banned
POD: (Union: United Arab Republic, 1958-1961
The union was interpreted as a major threat to Jordan. Syria was seen as a source of instigation and as a shelter for Jordanian plotters against King Hussein. Egypt's own status as a radical state added to the pressure. Hussein’s response was to propose to Faisal II of Iraq a Jordanian-Iraqi union to counter the UAR, which was formed on February 14, 1958. The agreement was to form a unified military command between the two states, with a unified military budget; 80% of which was to be provided by Iraq and the remaining 20% by Jordan. Troops from both countries were exchanged in the arrangement.
In early July 1958, plots against the governments of King Hussein in Jordan and King Faisal in Iraq were uncovered. One of the plotters in Jordan revealed the involvement of Egyptian secret agents, and that plot was abandoned. Then, on July 14, King Faisal, the Crown Prince Abdul Illah, and other members of the ruling Hashemite family were shot. Iraqi prime minister Nuri as-Said was also shot as he attempted to escape. It is unlikely that Egypt or the UAR was actively involved in the coup in Iraq. However, upon revelation of the coup, the UAR announced its support of the plotters in Iraq, recognized the new regime, and closed its border with Jordan. Syrian troops along the border were put on alert.
These actions put a good deal of pressure on King Hussein in Jordan. In 1962, he said of UAR that it had "ambitions which, I believe, at that time meant nothing less than the domination of the Arab world.” Jordan's trade routes had been cut off. Syria had been his main supplier of oil. Hussein asked for U.S. aid in establishing trade routes through Israel, which the Americans were able to gain permission to do.
The situation continued to deteriorate in Jordan as Damascus Radio issued broadcasts calling upon the Jordanian people to rise against the Hashemite tyranny. Hussein was finally forced to turn to his former ally Great Britain for help. The trio of Israeli, British, and American support of the regime in Jordan played a large role in preventing conflict between Jordan and the UAR.

Now, what if the UK, US, and Israel had NOT helped Jordan that much and were just "neutral". And a war erupted. How would the war go, and how would the war go along?

Also, could you try to find the approximate strenghts of the UAR (Syrian-Egyptian) amry and the Jordanian army in the 1960s.
 
I don't have the numbers, but I'd say Jordan is pretty lost. Egypt's population is how many times bigger?

And that's exactly the reason why Jordan was supported by the West.
 
I don't know them off hand Pharoah, but I've done some research on the UAR, enough to know that the Jordanian Army well be completely outclassed by just the Syrians. By this point in time, Eygpt should have the largest army in the Middle East. Operationally, that might not help though, since Isreal is in the way.

If Iraq just intervene, that might be enough to save Jordan, but the popular support inside the country might not be there. Pan-Arabism is reaching it's hieght here.
 
Egypt may have the biggest army, but the only way they can get to Jordan is to send parts of those armies to Syria and Iraq... what'll the native peoples there think about that? Plus, Egypt has to keep a fair sized force at home on the Israeli border. Might you have the odd possibility of Israel actively helping Jordan in such a war?
 
Israel might do something, and of course there's a possibility of western intervention on behalf of Jordan...
 
Imajin said:
Israel might do something, and of course there's a possibility of western intervention on behalf of Jordan...
Let's say there is no Western intervention at all. Say Jordan starts to loose territory left and right and Israel comes out to save them in the last possible moment. The population is pretty desperate at this time, say a few local masscres by UAR soldiers, and they see that Israel is the ONLY country to come to their help. Now, could that create an environment which whould be able to solve current Palestinian problem before it develops to current level?
 
well, the Palestinians don't like Jordan's royal family... they'd be all too happy to see it overthrown by the UAR, so that they could then work on the 'final drive against the Jews'....
 
We are assuming that Israel wins, or will win the future...certainly it will face new challenges if it is surrounded by two countries rather than four.
 
It would be difficult for the West to support Jordan - it is inland and the shortest route would be across Israel.
But I think the US would be pro-Jordan and probable get involved.
Israel would probably react - if Jordan fell, she would have hostile troops on another border.
Like everything else in the Middle East, politics & war are hard to understand and hard to predict
 
Does Jordan have some kind of defense pact with Britain? I know that they have mainly British equipment in their armies, and they used to have British organization too...
 
The Americans, British, French, Iraqis, and Saudis will support Jordan, and every monarchy in the Middle East will root for them. The port of Aqaba will be used for direct supplies, and Saudi Arabia will do its best not to let it fall. Israel will invade the Golan and the Sinai a few days after Jordan is attacked (they don't really have a choice).
 
VoCSe said:
The Americans, British, French, Iraqis, and Saudis will support Jordan, and every monarchy in the Middle East will root for them. The port of Aqaba will be used for direct supplies, and Saudi Arabia will do its best not to let it fall. Israel will invade the Golan and the Sinai a few days after Jordan is attacked (they don't really have a choice).
But what do the Russians do?
 
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