Tudor bulls, meet 16th century German china shop.

Some of this has required a learning curve for me because early modern French history is not my strength. That said, one fun idea that occurred to me that might be fun to pursue (if not by me, by someone else) would be for Francis the Duke of Brittany to survive and become the king of France instead of his brother Henry.

In any case, I have ideas for France's development in the eighteenth century plotted out somewhat, but oddly enough not necessarily France's relationship with Wettin Saxony. So things are still malleable.

An interesting thought occurs to me: it might have been interesting to, during Henry IV's rule, have him become more openly Calvinist, or at the very least, look for a way to resolve the religious conflicts in France, and with Saxony providing such a great example of tolerant religious policies (albeit in a protestant setting), Henry IV might have taken up that example in France, especially if he's reigning for an extra 10 years. But alas, Henry IV's chance has passed ITTL (although I'm sure you could do something intersting with Louis XIII, with a protestant father around for longer, it could have a serious impact on his religion and faith).

I also think personally that the French Revolution wasn't exactly inexorabe, it was more a long streak of bad luck that ended very, very badly. The state had to be bankrupt repeatedly before the solid foundations the monarchy was built on were eroded to the point where the Revolution was feasible.
 
The Abyss

1621
At the end of the truce between Spain and the Netherlands, the Stadtholder Frederick Augustus intervenes decisively in the Rhineland, cornering Spinola at Dortmund with the Elector Frederick V of the Palatinate on the other side. Together, they annihilate Spinola’s army, the first Protestant victory in the west.

Eleonore travels from France to England. In London she finds the Brandon King Frederick I raising an army to intervene, but he nonetheless asks for concessions to pay for the extensive costs England will incur in coming to Saxony’s aid. After long and tedious negotiations, Eleonore agrees, with authority granted her by the Elector, that she is prepared to cede Hafen to England. Thus, in the Treaty of Hampton Court, Saxony trades Hafen to England for the promise of England’s participation in the war against the Habsburgs to the bitter end.

Madgeburg is on the verge of falling to the Polish army when Albert arrives at the head of his army to relieve the city. Engaging the Polish army at Dessau with the assistance of native Saxon militias (those founded decades earlier by the Duke Julius during his chancellery), Albert wins a decisive victory and forces their retreat, though with extensive losses.

Meanwhile, Sigismund III Vasa, who in order to win approval for his war against Saxony had to engage in great cajoling in the Sejm and had promised a quick victory against a divided and distracted adversary, finds himself fighting revolts led by the Wettins’ kinsmen the Dukes of Prussia and Courland Semigallia.

The Elector Christian arrives in Wittenberg and is welcomed to the bereaved and fearful city with hysterical celebrations. Intercepting the retreating Polish army at Juterbog, he metes out a severe defeat in concert with Albert. At this point he consults with his advisors—Grotius, Comenius, and Albert—all of whom beg him to find a peaceful way to deal with his cousin George Frederick and prevent the extension of the war to Brandenburg. Christian rejects their advice, and leads his forces—already in Brandenburg pursuing the Polish army—against Berlin.

George Frederick had been unprepared for the possibility of a miscarriage by the Polish army, or for an invasion by his cousin when he had committed no troops to the war against Saxony and had opened no hostilities on his own part. After an effort by the Polish and Brandenburg armies to stop the Saxon army at Potsdam, Berlin falls. George Frederick the Elector of Brandenburg flees east with the Poles. Enraged by the betrayal of the Elector of Brandenburg, Christian takes his revenge by looting the Brandenburg treasury, and by setting fire to the Stadtschloss, the seat and symbol of the Brandenburg state.

That night he announces to his Chancellor Grotius, Comenius and Albert his intention to declare himself King of the Germans. They beg him to reconsider, asserting it will sunder the alliance of the Protestant princes at the moment of their triumph. Nonetheless, they are unable to persuade Christian to not absorb Brandenburg into Saxony.

In Austria, Count Tilly administers a punishing defeat to Gabriel Bethlen at the gates of Vienna, freeing him to once again invade Bohemia. Crucial reinforcements from Spain and northern Italy also arrive in Vienna, allowing Tilly to refresh and add to his army. The Habsburgs also field a separate army under Wallenstein to prosecute the war against Bethlen and the Transylvanians separately.

In the west, a Spanish army moves north through Franche-Comte towards the Rhineland, leading the armies of the west to march south as quickly as possible.

At year’s end the Electress Eleonore returns, arriving at Julich at the head of an army of 10,000 English troops, clad like Elizabeth I of England at Tillsbury in an armor breastplate.

The Electress-Mother Dorothea Maria of Anhalt organizes one of the first relief efforts of its kind, opening the residences of the Electors of Saxony to the wounded and homeless from the Polish invasion. From that time on, the Saxons refer to her with the descriptor “the Beloved.”

1622
The Elector Christian develops a new scheme to distinguish the Saxon armies. He will lead the Army of Luther, Albert the Army of Melanchthon, and William the Army of Chemnitz. However, in terms of the wider alliance of Protestant princes, William is subordinate to Frederick V of Palatinate, who is the leader of the Protestant Union and the acknowledged Protestant candidate for Emperor. Also dispatched to the west is Duke Christian of Lower Saxony, the successor to Dukes Julius and Henry Julius who had distinguished himself at Dessau.

Sigismund III Vasa orders a second Polish army into Silesia, which easily defeats a rump defensive force led by the Duke of Teschen at Breslau.

Simultaneously, Albert attempts to pursue the Polish army out of Brandenburg, only to find himself stingingly defeated at Frankfurt-an-der-Oder.

The Elector Christian now reverses his steps and rushes south in hopes of beating Count Tilly to Prague. Defeating the Bohemian-Saxon force Christian left behind under Count Thurn at the Battle of the Berounka, Tilly enters Prague triumphantly and reinstates Ferdinand II as King of Bohemia.

Evangelical Union forces under Frederick Augustus defeat an army of the Catholic League at Dillenberg, freeing the Protestant armies to march south to defend the Palatinate. Unfortunately, Frederick Augustus is recalled to the Netherlands to defend against the Spanish, who begin a new campaign against Antwerp.

At Usti Nad Labem, equally matched Saxon armies under Christian of Saxony and Tilly meet. The result is indecisive, though casualties are heavy on both sides.

In a stroke of luck for the Saxons, King Gustavus II Adolphus of Sweden—already at war with Poland in the Baltic—announces he will make an official alliance in which he will accept no separate peace with Poland, and declares war on the Emperor. Fearing Swedish military power, the Saxons persuade Gustavus II Adolphus to include in the terms of the treaty that Swedish forces will not enter Germany proper.

Almost simultaneously, the Lithuanian Protestant general Krzysztof Radziwill leads a revolt against Sigismund III Vasa, which combined with the revolts in Prussia and Courland, the Swedish invasion and the Saxon army in the west, brings Sigismund III Vasa’s continued reign in Poland into severe doubt.

In the Battle of Weissenburg, the forces of the Evangelical Union in the West are defeated handily by the Spanish forces, and the Elector Frederick V of the Palatinate is killed. His successor is a young son still in his minority, for whom Christian of Anhalt-Bernburg is declared regent. The battle apparently marks the end of the Evangelical Union as an effective fighting force apart from the Saxons.

Albert defeats a second attempt at a Polish invasion at Cottbus.

The English take possession of Hafen. Initially, Frederick I’s Calvinistic leanings and the perception of the Huguenots that they are being liberated from German tyranny lead to a groundswell of good will toward the English in what is now their largest and most populous overseas colony.

Separate from the Spanish push into western Germany, the Spanish Netherlands launches a new effort to retake Antwerp that is defeated in the Battle of Boom.

In recognition of his long efforts on the part of the Saxony, the Brandons and the Protestant princes of Europe, Christian I agrees to the marriage of his brother William to Grace, daughter of Philip Sidney the Duke of Kent and leader of the English army in Germany.

1623
Sigismund III Vasa sends word that he seeks to withdraw from the war and sign a separate peace with the Saxons and Swedes. The terms Christian and Gustavus II Adolphus agree to present to him however are humiliating in the extreme: Poland must cede all of Livonia to Sweden, Courland and Prussia to Saxony, and leave Silesia. Also, Sigismund III Vasa must renounce his claim to the crown of Sweden. Sigismund III Vasa refuses the terms peremptorily.

Then Albert of Saxony defeats the Polish army in Silesia, first at Glogau and then at Opole. Not long afterwards, Gustavus II Adolphus successfully takes Danzig after his Swedish forces land in Prussia and use it as a beachhead. Fearing absolute collapse, and still fighting Krzysztof Radziwill in Lithuania, Sigismund III Vasa consents to the terms dictated by Sweden and Saxony. Meeting with Albert at Posen, Sigismund III Vasa signs the treaty by which Poland withdraws from the war.

The news of Poland’s defeat triggers widespread celebrations throughout Protestant Germany. It is decided that Gustavus II Adolphus will keep his forces in Prussia for the time being to serve as a guarantee against another Polish invasion while Albert rushes south.

At first, the plan is for Albert to meet the Elector Christian and for the two of them to overwhelm the forces of Tilly with sheer numbers, a plan very likely to work. But Christian prevails upon Albert to instead cross south through Moravia, unite his forces with Gabriel Bethlen’s at Budapest, take Vienna from the east and thus secure the absolute defeat of the Austrians while Christian holds down their great general Count Tilly in Bohemia.

Hessian and English soldiers rush south toward Heidelberg to try to prevent the fall of the seat of the Palatinate to a large Spanish army.

In a surprise defeat, the Austrian general Wallenstein defeats Albert near Olomouc in Moravia, as part of an attempt to prevent Albert from joining forces with Bethlen. Nonetheless, though somewhat bloodied, Albert’s army meets with Bethlen’s at Ostrokovice.

Attempting to reach the gates of Prague to begin a siege of the city, the Elector Christian is handily defeated in the Battle of Kladno. Attempting to end the war once and for all, Count Tilly makes for Saxony in an effort to invade the Elector’s homeland and thus end the war for Bohemia.

Once again, the war becomes a matter of Christian racing to head off disaster. He finally meets Tilly’s forces after they have crossed into Saxony, catching them underprepared and defeating them at Floha.

Albert’s army, camped with Bethlen’s at Brno, is paralyzed by discord between the two generals. Essentially, Bethlen cannot be persuaded to move aggressively against the Austrians as Christian had planned because he wants to make sure he keeps control of Royal Hungary.

Reluctantly, Albert writes to inform Christian that the “Hungarian Strategy” is a failure and asks to lead an invasion of Bohemia from the east.

At Landau, the armies of Saxony, England and the other Protestant states stop the Spanish advance into western Germany with a decisive victory.

Now in Prague, Ferdinand II finds himself unable to convene the Bohemian estates, not least because most of the nobles are in the field against him. Thus he cannot be elected king. Even relying upon the theory that he is king by inheritance, the Saxons took the crown jewels when they retreated and there is no money in the coffers for replacement diadems. Nonetheless, with a hastily assembled crown, Ferdinand II is finally crowned king of Bohemia.

With much of the Dutch army engaged at Landau in western Germany, the Spanish successfully retake the city of Breda, which deals a huge psychological blow to the Dutch rebels.

Dorothea, the eldest daughter of Duke Albert, is married to Bogislaw XIV, Duke of Pomerania.

1624
In an event that promises to change the course of the war, Cardinal Richelieu the first minister of King Louis XIII of France, intervenes to support the Protestant Swiss Canton of Grisons as it assert its influence over the Valtellina valley, a bottleneck through which Spanish forces must pass in order to get soldiers, supplies and money north to the Spanish Netherlands and the western front of Germany. With Valtellina blocked by the Swiss, the Spanish effort in western Germany promises to flicker out.

The Elector Christian of Saxony begins his own subsidy to Grisons.

Chancellor Grotius attempts to revive Melchior Klesl’s idea of a compromise by which Saxony would get Bohemia minus its electoral vote for the Holy Roman Emperor, which would go to Bavaria. The response he gets from Vienna is that it is too bold to assert that Saxony keep Bohemia when Prague and most of the country is as yet in Habsburg control. The Habsburgs’ counter-offer is for the situatio ante bellum, except to allow Saxony to keep its spoils from the war with Poland (Courland and Prussia) and to absorb Brandenburg. Thus, the war’s outcome would not prejudice Habsburg or Catholic interests directly at all, just increase Saxony at the expense of other German Protestant states.

When Grotius presents this option to Eleonore, she attempts to remove him as Chancellor directly. Grotius then appeals to the Elector Christian leading the Army of Luther in Bohemia, and writes in favor of some compromise with the Austrians on the order of their proposal. Christian responds by removing Grotius as Chancellor, and replacing him with Eleonore.

Hardly mourning at all the release from his burdens, Grotius uses the opportunity to retire to Zwickau and work on his long-delayed writing projects, including a Christian apologetic, a theological treatise attempting to explain away the differences between Lutheranism and Arminianism, and a book theorizing that there is an implicit law among nations.

Albert begins making his way west towards Prague from Moravia. Though Gabriel Bethlen is supposed to hold Wallenstein in Moravia to allow Albert’s campaign to proceed, he refuses to move from his seat of power in Budapest, fearful that the Habsburgs will send an army to retake his conquests if he leaves. The result is that Albert faces Wallenstein at Prostejov, winning this time because of his superior numbers. However, Wallenstein pursues Albert west. The two armies meet again at Svratka when Wallenstein intercepts Albert, with Wallenstein winning a narrow victory.

The Elector Christian, uses his brief return to Saxony to recruit fresh soldiers, buy new armaments, and confer with the Electress Eleonore. The two meet in Meissen, where Christian once again proposes that he declare himself King of the Germans and thus lay his own claim to the leadership of the German nation. Eleonore dissuades him from this, and instead proposes that the Electorate of Saxony be raised to the status of a Kingdom. In ordinary circumstances, this would require at least the consent of the Emperor and the Imperial Diet, but Eleonore proposes that Christian declare himself king and then ratify the act in whatever treaty ends the war. Christian approves, and Eleonore returns to Wittenberg to sound out the other Protestant princes of Germany, the Estates-General, and the Lutheran Church about whether each would support such an innovation.

Resuming the war, Christian reinvades Bohemia. In what the Germans will come to call the Battle of Most and the Austrians the Battle of Hnevin, Christian defeats Count Tilly, once again using superior numbers and weapons to drive him from the castle Tilly had established as his headquarters. The Habsburgs suffer heavy casualties afterwards as they suffer continuous attacks by Protestant partisans in the marshes near Most.

Having raised an army of mercenaries, the Elector of Brandenburg George Frederick attempts to retake his lands by invading across the Oder. He is defeated by Christian of Lower Saxony at Kustrin, and killed in battle. The Electress Eleonore (who is the mother of the Elector of Brandenburg) refuses to mourn his death. At this point the Electorate of Brandenburg according to the law of succession falls to George Frederick’s son Joachim William, who is four years old and living in Poland at the court of Sigismund III Vasa. However, the Saxons have not merely occupied but for all intents and purposes erased the separate legal existence of the Electorate, creating a crisis for those Protestant princes anxious to prevent the disruption of traditional patterns of inheritance or fearing the emergence of a Saxony powerful enough to devour the other Protestant states.

In the Battle of Mechelen, the largest remaining Spanish Army in the west is defeated by Frederick Augustus, who returned to the Netherlands following the disaster at Breda.

Finally, the remnants of the Spanish army defeated at Landau attempt to strike east and join the fight for Bohemia. They are defeated by the remnants of the Evangelical League’s forces and the English at Pforzheim, after which the Spanish army dissolves.

Philipp von Veltheim, a cavalry officer in the Army of Melanchthon and a natural philosopher by inclination, on reading the theories of von Droste about the nature of air and temperature, designs and builds a machine in which a large thin leather bladder is held aloft by an intense flame beneath it powered by oil, which is capable of lifting two men with spyglasses or weapons hundreds of feet in the air. The air-skin, as it is called, is used to plot enemy movements at a distance.

1625
Controversy brews in the Estates-General when in the new term they elect Gottfried Tietz as the new Chief Representative. Tietz, a toymaker from the Erzebirge almost impoverished by the disruption of markets caused by the war, leads the faction in the Estates that wants to push the Elector to make peace with the other German states. His protests are written off by the Elector’s court as ridiculous posturing until Eleonore presents the Estates-General with a series of requests: (1) that they issue a call beseeching the Elector Christian to declare himself the King of Saxony; (2) that they curb spending on public contractual guarantees, the postal system and other domestic projects even though they are actually net revenue sources, so as to allow the Elector to appropriate more funds to the war (road construction and other public works having been suspended entirely the past eight years already); and (3) that they collect money on their own as they did when the Elector Alexander was forced to found the Estates in order to pay for the prosecution of the war.

Sensing the requests betray desperation on the part of the Electoral court, Tietz undertakes to pass a resolution declaring that for any of these measures to be enacted the Elector must begin peace negotiations with the Catholic princes, and moreover must do so with the understanding that the Klesl Compromise (Saxony gets Bohemia, but stripped of its electorship) would be adequate terms to end the war. Thus Tietz attempts to become the first elected commoner in the history of Saxony, and for that matter Germany, to attempt to determine policy within the framework of a constitutional monarchy.

Upon hearing Tietz’s demands, the Elector Christian commands that he be imprisoned for treason and orders the Estates-General disbanded for good, with the full restoration of the Elector’s traditional powers to freely tax and spend. Realizing these measures in the face of the privations of war would likely trigger a rebellion in Saxony that would cost the Electorate the war against the Habsburgs, Eleonore postpones the execution of the Elector’s directions (henceforth called “The Letter of Dissolution”). Instead she persuades Christian to allow her to handle the problem.

This she does by a formal address to the Estates-General, reminding them of the very terms of the constitutional system Christian had tried to dissolve: decisions of war and appropriations for war belong to the Elector, and the Estates cannot force a course on the sovereign with respect to his prosecution of a war by virtue of the same document that grants them all the powers they actually do possess.

Thus, matters are left off with the Elector getting some but not enough of the funds he desired, and the Electorate rapidly approaching bankruptcy. However, the leading players of the Saxon political order realize that a major crisis has been averted: Eleonore understands that Christian had nearly triggered a civil war simultaneous with the external war raging throughout Germany, and the Estates-General realize how closely they came to being extinguished as an institution. Tietz is quickly sidelined in favor of more conciliatory leaders.

In Bohemia, in the crucial battle of Kutna Hora Albert inflicts another narrow defeat on Wallenstein, but manages to win himself the time necessary to march to Prague. There, his army makes an ill-advised and impulsive attempt to storm Prague and are defeated at its gates. Moreover, Albert himself is killed, thus depriving the Wettin family of its senior, and most successful, general. Albert’s army stays at Prague under his next-in-command, attempting to organize a siege of the city with little success.

At this point Christian feigns an attack on the town of Melnik, to which Tilly had withdrawn after the defeats in western Bohemia the previous year. But while Tilly prepares for a siege there, Christian plunges his army south, striking at Prague itself. At Prague, his forces merge with the remnants of Albert’s army, finally completing the gambit proposed two years prior. With both Tilly and Wallenstein closing on Christian from the north and west, he lays siege to Prague.

In the second and third battles of Prague, the Elector Christian’s forces suffer heavy losses while Tilly and Wallenstein attempt to either peel them off from Prague, or alternately, to relieve the city. In the end though, on October 8 the city’s defenses finally buckle when a popular revolt erupts inside the walls. Prague falls in bitter fighting two days later. The Emperor Ferdinand II is captured, and the end of the war appears to be at hand.

Unfortunately however, the Elector Christian once again makes unreasonable demands: not just the recognition of Christian as the rightful king of Bohemia, along with Lusatia, Silesia and Moravia, but the elevation of Saxony to the status of a kingdom in its own right, the annexation of Brandenburg by Saxony and the conferral of Brandenburg’s elector on Saxony’s faithful ally Hesse-Kassel. In themselves, these are breathtaking terms, but to them Christian adds something truly unbearable. Christian wants the right of the Protestant princes to annex all the remaining ecclesiastical lands of Germany into their realms. Ferdinand’s response is that he would rather be martyred than assent to such.

The drama of the two leaders’ parley rivets all of Europe, and Christian’s over-reaching and Ferdinand’s noble indomitability is seized on by Catholic pamphleteers as a synecdoche for the war itself.

After finding their immediate resources insufficient to support their own siege of Prague, Tilly and Wallenstein retreat to the Catholic town of Budovice to regroup.

Grotius publishes his book on Christian apologetics, On the Truth of the Christian Religion. The German version of it (it is published in both Dutch and German) becomes the most widely read book in the Saxon state apart from the Bible, considering it is meant as an explanation of Christian doctrine assessable to any layman. The book, combined with the prestige of his involvement in government at Wittenberg, creates his personal celebrity in Germany.

The Spanish lay siege to the Dutch town of Bergen op Zoom and commit impressive resources to the effort, only to be defeated by Frederick Augustus.

The Dutch adopt the Saxon invention of air-skins, and begin using them more aggressively for combat. They find that by keeping the airboats (as they call them) in the west against the setting sun they can blind cannon and musket-fire and easily pick off the enemy from above.

1626
Comenius, Christian of Anhalt, Count Thurn, and Frederick I of England write letters to Christian of Saxony begging him to moderate his terms and end the war expeditiously. Christian refuses, and makes plans to imprison the Emperor in the Festung Konigstein for the duration of the war, or until the Habsburgs pay an outrageous ransom demand (which by itself, if paid, would end the war because the Spanish and Austrian Habsburgs would have no more means to pay for it). Tilly, Wallenstein and the Spanish are unsure how to move because they fear for the safety of the Emperor.

Unfortunately for all involved, while the Emperor is being moved north to the Festung a group of Bohemian and Polish Catholic knights attempt to rescue him. In the ensuing fighting, Ferdinand II is killed. The event enrages Catholic Europe. It also triggers a serious dynastic crisis among the Habsburgs. In Austria, the young would-be Ferdinand III has no credible means to claim he has either been elected or crowned the King of Bohemia. Without Bohemia’s electoral vote, the Habsburgs can only wield three Electoral votes to the Evangelical Union’s three, since no one has been formally invested as the Elector of Brandenburg, and there is absolutely no chance of their persuading one of the remaining Protestant Electors to support a Habsburg candidacy.

As if further provocation is needed, Gustavus II Adolphus uses the ostensibly defensive positions his army has adopted in Prussia to guard Saxony’s eastern flank to mount a new invasion of Poland with the goal of overthrowing Sigismund III Vasa outright. The Dukes of Courland and Prussia maintain to Poland that they have no involvement in the invasion, and the Elector Christian sends a letter to Sigismund declaring he had neither the intent to abet Gustavus II Adolphus or any prior knowledge of his invasion. As a result, the crucial Saxon-Swedish alliance becomes very strained.

Tilly strikes north, attempting to retake Prague. He defeats Christian overwhelmingly in the Battle of Second Pisek, and sends the Elector retreating back to Prague where in an unfamiliar reversal he is under siege from the Catholic general.

In Wittenberg, Duke Christian of Lower Saxony is given a new army, the Andraeas, with which he is to begin occupying ecclesiastical lands in northwestern Germany. Immediately, Christian invades and occupies the Archbishopric of Bremen and lays siege briefly to the imperial city of Bremen, which falls with little difficulty.

At the same time, William of Saxony, the Elector’s younger brother, is given his first major military command when he undertakes to lead men to relieve the Second Siege of Prague.

Philip II of Hesse-Kassel, now the senior non-Saxon military leader in the Evangelical Union, moves to intercept Wallenstein when he leaves Bohemia, crosses Bavaria, and attempts to menace the west in order to sunder the Protestants’ alliance. Wallenstein defeats Philip II badly in the battle of Roth.

The powerful Robert Rich, 2nd Earl of Warwick, convinces Frederick I to cease all restraints on naval warfare against the Spanish, returning England to the days of Elizabethan anti-Spanish piracy. At his direction, English forces launch attacks against Havana, Santo Domingo, and Puerto Rico. While Havana’s fortifications prove superior to the English efforts, the ports of Santo Domingo and Puerto Rico fall.

Seeking to imitate this strategy, the Electress Eleonore orders a fresh round of naval construction in both Hamburg and the newly occupied Bremen, with the goal of creating sufficient naval forces to lead offensive operations against the Spanish in the Americas.

In the last major battle of the year, William of Saxony successfully relieves the Second Siege of Prague. Unfortunately, he dies in the battle. Count Tilly withdraws to Budovice, where he spends the winter.

Christian of Lower Saxony is given the hand of Sarah, daughter of King Frederick I of England, partly in reward for what Frederick sees as his courageous generalship in Germany. This union would unite the Brandons and the ancient Welf family, which has been since the time of Duke Christian’s grandfather the Chancellor Julius impressively wealthy.

Adam Wenceslaus, Duke of Teschen, kinsman of the Wettins by his marriage to the daughter of the Elector Alexander and the most senior Catholic nobleman to support the cause of the Elector Christian, dies. He is succeeded by his son Frederick Adam as Duke of Teschen and general of the Saxons' defensive force in Silesia.

1627
With financial default looming for the Saxon government, Eleonore again returns to the Estates-General and asks for money to prosecute the war. Once again she is presented with a list of demands, this time including the reappointment of Hugo Grotius to the post of chancellor, on the grounds that he can be trusted to work towards a diplomatic solution to the problem. Because of the severity of the crisis, rather than rejecting the demands outright she sends a letter to Christian recommending that he accept the demands with some face-saving mechanism to preserve his authority.

Frustrated by the situation with the Estates-General, Eleonore sells the crown jewels of Brandenburg as a stop-gap measure to make sure the Saxon army gets paid.

Determined to end the war once and for all, the Elector Christian gets his army ready before the beginning of marching season and shows up at Budovice unexpectedly. He lays siege to the town with Tilly inside and under-prepared for the situation.

Wallenstein, having laid siege himself to the Hessian army at Wurzburg, is forced to break off and return to Bohemia in an effort to lift the siege the Elector Christian has imposed on Budovice.

In Poland, Gustavus II Adolphus takes the major town of Torun. Sigismund III Vasa turns to the former rebel Krzysztof II Radziwill to lead the war against the Swedes in Lithuania, partly in the hopes that the presence of the Calvinist Radziwill will promote unity.

Receiving Eleonore’s letter, the Elector Christian—desperate to end the war however possible—agrees to her recommendations. As the first step, Christian formally refuses to accede to the Estates-General’s demands. As a second, Eleonore makes the announcement that she is resigning as chancellor and retiring from public life, when in fact everyone in Wittenberg knows the first is a tactical move and the second nothing close to the truth. Finally, the third step is achieved when Christian by letter asks Hugo Grotius to once again serve as chancellor.

Grotius immediately writes to the Holy Roman Emperor-designate, Ferdinand King of Hungary (son of Ferdinand II), putting forward a new set of terms: the elevation of Saxony to the rank of kingdom, the recognition of Christian’s rule in Bohemia, Lusatia, Silesia and Moravia, the transfer of Brandenburg to Saxon control under a puppet Elector who would be a vassal of the Saxon king, and absolute religious autonomy for all the princes of the Empire.

This proposal drops the toxic demand for the surrender of the empire’s Catholic ecclesiastical lands to the Protestants, which is enough to win the idea a serious reception in Vienna and to persuade the Estates-General to undertake extraordinary fund-raising efforts to finance the war on the grounds that it may finally be coming to an end.

In a daring attack, the Saxon garrison at Thiruvananthapuram seizes the Portuguese fort at Cochin, which is notable as the first European settlement in India and the gravesite of Vasco da Gama. They gain entry to the Portuguese fort by disguising themselves as Indian merchants.

King Ferdinand of Hungary, son of the Emperor Ferdinand II, the Habsburgs' designated heir to Bohemia and the imperial throne, relays the Saxon terms to Spain, recommending that they be considered while holding out the possibility for a partition of the Bohemian lands. Spain and the Papacy however refuse to consider the possibility of defeat.

In the Battle of Prachatice, Christian once again wields superior numbers, defeating an exhausted Wallenstein in his effort to relieve Budovice, where Tilly’s situation is becoming desperate.

Alarmed by the increasing prospects for defeat, the Spanish send a large number of additional troops to Austria to rebuild the armies of Tilly and Wallenstein. Similar reserve resources no longer exist for the Saxons.

Frederick Augustus dies of smallpox while planning the draining of marshes near the town of ‘s-Hertogenbosch as part of a planned siege. His loss is a huge blow to the Protestants considering he is now by far the most experienced general among the ranks of their princes.

A counter-attack by Krzysztof II Radziwill against the Swedish armies in the north is defeated in the Battle of Dyneburg, and Radziwill is killed.

Frederick, a younger brother of the Duke Christian, marries King Frederick I’s other daughter, Mary.

1628
With mass starvation and popular upheaval threatening the Catholics’ grip on Budovice, and his soldiers on the verge of a bloody mutiny, Count Tilly surrenders Budovice and agrees to leave Bohemia. This marks the end of his military career, as Wallenstein now becomes the lead general for the Habsburgs as hostilities enter their tenth year.

Grotius publishes his great work On the Law of War and Peace, which sets forth the idea of a natural law that governs nations in the way that the law of a sovereign governs people. The book is dedicated to the Elector Christian I of Saxony, which many find ironic.

With the fall of Budovice, the war for Bohemia in effect ends, as Wallenstein withdraws. At Christian’s instigation, Gabriel Bethlen again moves against Vienna, forcing Wallenstein to march east to protect the vulnerable Habsburg capital.

Simultaneously, the Protestants of Upper and Lower Austria revolt, partly because they are tired of war, partly because they resent the use of ever more extractive taxation to support the repression of other Protestants, and partly because they sense the power of the Habsburgs is about to finally crack. The final straw for them is the closing of the Lutheran and Calvinist churches of Upper and Lower Austria, as much as anything because the Habsburgs feared (rightly) that the ministers in them were recruiting for the Protestant armies. Fearful that he may suffer further losses if he does not withdraw from the war, Ferdinand appeals to Spain and the Papacy for some general peace conference to be held that will allow him to end the war. Failing to persuade them, Ferdinand writes Grotius to open bilateral negotiations.

Grotius’s response is to propose an immediate truce applicable only as between Saxony and the states of the Evangelical Union on one side and the lands of the Austrian Habsburgs on the other, with a peace conference to follow in the coming year that would be limited only to representatives of the German princes, thus excluding England, Sweden, Hungary and the Netherlands on Saxony’s side and Spain, Poland, the Papacy and the ecclesiastical princes on the Habsburg side. Thus the foreign allies with the greatest interests in continuing the war whether for ideological reasons, opportunism or mischief-making would all be kept on the sidelines. It is a diplomatic master-stroke by Grotius.

Eleonore, sensing the increasing exhaustion of Saxony’s people and resources, reluctantly approves the plan and undertakes to convince Christian to accept the proposal. He does, and the two-year Austro-Saxon Truce is declared.

The truce does not apply to Gabriel Bethlen, who attempts to continue his campaign and lay siege to Vienna only to be assassinated by what is thought to be a Habsburg agent. Afterwards, his army retreats to the east in great disorder, pursued by Wallenstein.

The Elector Christian readjusts his strategy, hoping to capitalize on the exclusion of Austria from the fight by targeting Bavaria in an attempt to force it to withdraw from the war as well. Victory over Bavaria would spell the end of the Catholic League because of Bavaria’s role in funding the League’s armies. Leading a campaign southwest from Budovice, Christian lands a convincing defeat of the Bavarian army and the Catholic League at Deggendorf.

At this point, Christian sends terms to Bavaria’s Duke Maximilian I: he can either withdraw from the war now, and keep Bavaria intact, or fight a Saxon invasion that if victorious would result in Bavaria being “Brandenburg-ized”, meaning that Bavaria would be dissolved and its territories would be added to Saxony’s, which in light of Saxony’s hard-won conquest of Bohemia is not a fanciful threat.

Almost simultaneously, the Duke Christian of Lower Saxony begins a campaign against the Bishopric of Munster and its territory in the far northwest of Germany, defeating a slight defensive force sent out by the areas Catholics in the Battle of the Weser.

Frederick Augustus’s legitimized bastard son William becomes Stadtholder and general of the Dutch army.

The Estates-General asks Eleonore and Christian to support its plan to legitimize the private sale of insurance against injuries other than loss of crops, including damage due to warfare. Eager to help promote some form of commerce, Eleonore approves the plan and helps secure its passage. Very quickly an insurance market emerges in Wittenberg around the existing debt market, as different companies begin selling their insurance policies and the promise of regular payment in exchange for performance on the contracts. Quickly, the value of the contracts begins to vary depending on whether, in the case of war insurance, it is felt that the enemy is likely to attack or cause damage, and policy owners begin buying the right to demand loans from banks in the event damage occurs in a given locality and they are required to make payment. In a decade dominated by financial losses, the sudden growth of this trade creates unexpected profit in Wittenberg.

Meeting at Passau, Christian the Elector of Saxony and Maximilian I the Duke of Bavaria make their own bilateral peace ending twelve years of war between the two principalities: Bavaria is not forced to recognize any gain of Saxony’s against any other German state, but it also forswears war against Saxony and military intervention against Saxony in the Electorate’s conflicts with any other German state. For its part, in addition Saxony forswears ever encroaching on Bavarian territory. Also present in the negotiations is a representative of Cardinal Richelieu of France, who begins a small stipend to Bavaria in gratitude for in effect ending its military support of the Habsburgs in Germany.

1629
With Bavaria no longer in the war and the German Catholic ecclesiastical lands falling at an accelerating rate, pressure increases on the Austrian Habsburgs to either make peace or face the annihilation of German Catholicism. In a final change to the plan for negotiations Grotius secures the arrangement that really only representatives of Saxony and the Austrian Habsburgs will be present for the negotiations, even though this infuriates Saxony’s allies. Grotius’s goal is to simplify the task and eliminate the potential for outside mischief.

When the representatives of Saxony and the Austrian Habsburgs finally meet at the Louvre in Paris, they begin making rapid progress: Ferdinand assents to recognize Christian as King of Bohemia if Christian recognizes Ferdinand as King of Hungary and ceases his support to the Transylvanian army (formerly commanded by Gabriel Bethlen) trying to field its own claimant to the Hungarian throne. While lopsided in Saxony’s favor, this trade wins for Ferdinand what he would not otherwise receive from Saxony, an end to its support of the bedeviling Transylvanians. With respect to the empire itself, Ferdinand would recognize the annexation of Brandenburg, but Brandenburg’s elector would not be held by Saxony. Here the two sides diverged, with Saxony recommending Hesse, Anhalt or Wurttemburg for the electorate, while the Austrian Habsburgs maintain their consistent support for Bavaria. Austrian recognition of Saxony’s occupation of ecclesiastical lands is out of the question. Finally, on the matter of the recognition of Ferdinand’s election as emperor, Christian himself proves intransigent.

After exhausting negotiations, Grotius broaches a compromise: Christian will recognize Ferdinand as not merely King of Hungary but Emperor Ferdinand III and Ferdinand will in turn recognize Christian as the King of Saxony. The Dukes of Wurttemburg (outranking in nobility both the Landgraves of Hesse-Kassel or the Princes of Anhalt) would receive the Electorate previously belonging to Brandenburg, but only after all the members of the Evangelical Union forswear war against the Emperor or on fellow states within the empire, and lasting only so long as the Empire is at peace within itself.

Should war break out again because of aggression on the part of any Protestant state, all sides agree that the electorship formerly of Brandenburg and now of Wurttemburg will pass not to Bavaria but Austria itself, creating a substantial disincentive for any Protestant prince to again lead a civil war among the German principalities. This becomes famously known as the “draught of poison” provision and would inspire similar measures in European treaties and even commercial contracts for the next three-hundred years. It creates the colloquial term “an Austrian Elector” to describe a penalty for a misdeed agreed upon by two parties beforehand.

The matter of Saxony’s conquest of ecclesiastical lands is passed over in the peace treaty without comment. Also unresolved in the peace treaty is the matter of the Netherlands. Finally, the Emperor Ferdinand III promises to respect the religious autonomy of all German princes, and Christian promises to continue to guard the freedom of worship of his Catholic subjects. This in its essence promises the successor to Ferdinand III will be a Protestant but implicitly requires in return that the enlargement of Protestant states at the expense of the Catholic ecclesiastical lands cease.

Grotius thus makes a triumphant return to Wittenberg from Paris, and presents the signed treaty to the Estates-General, receiving great adulation. The Elector Christian ratifies the terms of the treaty, though he is inwardly disappointed that eleven years of constant warfare will end without him becoming Emperor. The German Protestant allies, exhausted by the conflict, also enthusiastically support the treaty. Bavaria, which has signed its own treaty with Saxony, gladly gives its assent to Ferdinand’s treaty with Christian. The states which are unwilling to support the Treaty of Paris are thus—on the Protestant side—Sweden (eager to continue its war of conquest against Poland), Transylvania (intent more than ever on keeping the Habsburgs from recovering Hungary), and England (which is glad to make war against Spain in furtherance of its own colonial interests). On the side of the Catholics the intransigent parties include the Spanish, the Papacy and the remaining ecclestiastical princes of Germany, none of whom are ready to see Protestants dominate central Europe. Nonetheless, largely due to a Saxon army of 30,000 in Passau under the Elector Christian, Ferdinand ratifies the Treaty of Paris despite the displeasure he incurs from the Spanish.

Christian then formally issues the decree declaring the Electorate of Saxony the Kingdom of Saxony. As such, his official title becomes “Christian, King by right of birth of Saxony, and by election King of Bohemia, Duke of the Upper and Lower Silesia, and of the Upper and Lower Lusatia, Margrave of Moravia, the Supreme Protector of the Church of Martin Luther, Knight of the White Rose, the Heart and the Holy Cross.” As Eleonore has prepared for this eventuality for almost twenty years, the Estates-General of Saxony and the Lutheran Church not long afterward issue their own declarations endorsing the Elector’s decree. The coronation of he and the Electress Elizabeth of Scotland as King and Queen will occur the next summer.

The second stage of this carefully orchestrated process occurs in Frankfurt, when the Electors of the Holy Roman Empire meet and declare Ferdinand, King of Hungary, the Emperor Ferdinand III. Ferdinand receives the support not just of the prince-bishops of Trier, Mainz and Cologne but of Christian of Saxony, King of Bohemia and Saxony, and of Frederick VI of the Palatinate. The seventh vote—of the former Brandenburg and future Wurttemburg—can only be cast when the necessary condition is ratified by all the princes of the empire, but is unnecessary to the proceedings. The occasion is a celebration of German unity.

Somewhat surreally considering such displays of courtesy and bonhomie between the chief combatants, war continues on the periphery. The Dutch Stadtholder William continues his fight against the Spanish, laying siege to ‘s-Hertogenbosch with an impressive display of engineering in the effort to drain the marshes around the town so as to open it to attack by the Dutch.

The Spanish launch a unsuccessful naval attack on Puerto Rico in an effort to roll back the English following their victories over the Spanish there and at Santo Domingo, which is wittily renamed Brandonburg.

In Transylvania, Christopher Bathory II is elected prince. This is highly significant to the Wettins because he is a grandson of the Elector Alexander by his daughter Elizabeth, who married Gabriel Bathory in 1606.

After inflicting a crushing defeat on the Poles at Miedniki, Gustavus II Adolphus appears poised to overrun Lithuania.

Finally, Duke Christian of Lower Saxony seizes Munster after a brief siege, bringing Saxony closer to the complete domination of northern Germany and giving the new kingdom a contiguous swath of territory stretching from the Oder to the Rhine. This is permitted within the framework of the Treaty of Paris by the ecclesiastical states’ refusal to accept the treaties’ terms.

1630
Rumors spread that the health of Sigismund III Vasa, King of Poland is declining. The Electress Eleonore almost immediately begins attempting to influence election of the next King of Poland. Sigismund’s son Wladyslaw is seen as having an automatic disadvantage because of the disastrous nature of his father’s rule, the unpopularity of the dynasty following the failed involvement in the German war especially among Protestants, and the belief that more Vasa kings will only to serve to invite further pointless rivalry with Sweden.

A final stand by the Catholic forces in the north at the Porta Westfalica is defeated by the Saxon army under Frederick, the last living brother of the Elector.

It’s in the afterglow of this victory that the Elector begins a triumphal tour in his second capital of Prague that leads through Dresden all the way to Wittenberg. There, in the half-completed splendor of Ridinger’s new cathedral at Elster, he is crowned the first King of Saxony, and Elizabeth of Scotland is crowned his Queen.

King Christian I of Saxony. (1630-1631)
Scandal erupts as it is discovered that among the sellers and purchasers of insurance contracts on the Wittenberg market are agents of Catholic generals, including Wallenstein, who have been profiting by feigning imminent attacks on certain areas, buying the insurance contracts for the locality at a discount and with high premiums attacked, then taking their armies elsewhere, allowing the risk to dissipate in time for them to sell at an outrageous profit. In response, an enraged Christian I imposes a ban on the sale of insurance contracts.

The Dukes of Prussia and Courland, since the Treaty of Posen vassals not of the King of Poland but of Christian, appeal to Christian to persuade the Swedish army to leave their territory since not only is their presence an invitation to attacks from the King Sigismund III Vasa from Poland but they are looting villages, destroying estates and disrupting trade of all kinds.

The defeat at the Porta Westfalica gives immediacy to Ferdinand III’s argument that the last ecclesiastical states need to accept the treaty before they are conquered. Thus, Cologne enters the treaty even as the Duke Christian of Lower Saxony and the new King’s brother Frederick arrive at its gates to begin a siege. By year’s end all the ecclesiastical states within the empire have accepted the Treaty.

An army of 33,000 soldiers from Spain and northern Italy arrive in Vienna, ostensibly for defensive purposes, but in reality to commence the reconquest of Hungary in earnest. Christopher Bathory appeals for help from Christian I, and Christian I desires to give it, but Grotius and even the Electress Eleonore prevails on him not to do so.

William, now with the support of the English forces that have withdrawn from western Germany at Christian I’s request to respect the Treaty of Paris, takes ‘s-Hertogenbosch from the Spanish. The English soldiers who have waggishly nicknamed him William the Bastard, as he is the illegitimate son of Frederick Augustus, change it to William the Conqueror, after the impressive victory. It is marred however, two weeks later from the death of Philip Sidney the first Duke of Kent, beloved step-uncle to King Frederick I, noted general and renowned literary figure, from wounds he received in the battle. English Calvinists are heartbroken by the news, and their grief is compounded when their great poet Edmund Spenser dies later the same year.

A fresh army of Spanish soldiers numbering some 22,000 arrives in Luxembourg after they break through the Swiss blockade in the Valtellina.

While in Wittenberg celebrating his coronation as king, Christian I concludes a treaty with his distant kinsman Christian IV of Denmark: Christian IV recognizes the Saxon conquests in northern Germany and Christian I recognizes continued Danish control of Schleswig-Holstein. They also agree that Christian IV’s daughters Sophia and Elisabeth will marry Christian’s heir the Prince Frederick Henry and his younger brother Edward, though the Wettin princes are significantly younger than the Oldenburg princesses, and are already related to the Danish royal house by their great-great-great grandmother on their father’s side and their grandmother on their mother’s side. The treaty includes the “Secret Provision” of an alliance against Sweden, which expresses Christian's increasing worry about the Swedish presence in Prussia and Courland.
 
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Okay: one thing I hope is clear in the plot at the end of 1630 is that at least one of our little rogue's gallery of megalomaniac rulers is a con, and someone here in these lovely set-piece diplomatic love-fests is getting conned. 1631 and 1632 are going to be pretty brutal, but I'm curious about who we think is doing the conning here, who is getting conned, and of course who has secretly sworn they will have their revenge no matter what.
 
Oh my. Saxony must be absolutely gigantic at this point.

Map?

Will Sweden stay uber-powerful in TTL or will they get slapped down per OTL by Russia?
 
a theological treatise attempting to explain away the differences between Lutheranism and Arminianism
Hm... since Arminians were a faction of the Dutch Reformed Church, does this mean Grotius attempted to explain away the differences between Lutheranism and Dutch Reformed, and thus to a lesser degree the differences between Lutheranism and Calvinism?

Fecking great alt-Thirty Years' War. Pity about Hafen, but Saxony got a huge chunk of Germany out of the deal.
 
Dr. Waterhouse

Great update. Fascinating contest. Bloody and complex but at least shorter and less destructive than OTL 30YW. Saxony might have to worry about being powerful enough now that most/all powers gang up on it. Also, since Richelieu is about and if France is continuing a period of stability we could have a more clearly divided Germany, with Austria and Bavaria still strong in the south facing a French challenge for primacy.

Not sure who's going to betray whom but do notice that last section referred to Christian being kin 1630-1631 so suspect his days are nearing an end?

A bit surprised that Denmark was not involved more. OTL it briefly played the role of check defender of the Lutherans but their king Christian was less than successful and it was only after that the Sweden under GA, having won big gains from Poland came into the role. Can think of plenty of people who want revenge, including the deposed Brandenburg dynasty, the Hapsburgs, both branches, the rebel Hungarians, the Poles....

Steve
 
stevep,

Thanks! Let me address the points one-by-one:

1. The First General War actually isn't over yet. It's perhaps best to say that the Bohemian phase of the war has ended, but the war itself is not.

2. The ganging up against Saxony? It has actually already started. Poor Christian I just doesn't know about it yet.

3. Denmark's involvement? Also starts about now. I was going to insert this explanation into the next decade but here it is, and I'll just repeat myself a bit there: Christian IV's great strategic objective with respect to Germany was control over the Elbe and Weser estuaries so that the Danes could have a more effective stranglehold over east-west trade in the north. Obviously, the more powerful Saxony that developed under Frederick Henry and Alexander is an effective counterweight to these designs.

Hence Alexander and Christian's "tilt" towards Sweden, which was also useful in wrong-footing Sigismund III Vasa in Poland.

Hence also, Christian IV has sat on his hands during the war so far, wise enough to not do anything as stupid as the Elector of Brandenburg, but also really content for Saxony to exhaust itself in the hopes that if it does become necessary for him to enter the war as he does in our history as the great Protestant savior (one of a list of them), he can exact an exorbitant price from Saxony.

Dr. Waterhouse

Great update. Fascinating contest. Bloody and complex but at least shorter and less destructive than OTL 30YW. Saxony might have to worry about being powerful enough now that most/all powers gang up on it. Also, since Richelieu is about and if France is continuing a period of stability we could have a more clearly divided Germany, with Austria and Bavaria still strong in the south facing a French challenge for primacy.

Not sure who's going to betray whom but do notice that last section referred to Christian being kin 1630-1631 so suspect his days are nearing an end?

A bit surprised that Denmark was not involved more. OTL it briefly played the role of check defender of the Lutherans but their king Christian was less than successful and it was only after that the Sweden under GA, having won big gains from Poland came into the role. Can think of plenty of people who want revenge, including the deposed Brandenburg dynasty, the Hapsburgs, both branches, the rebel Hungarians, the Poles....

Steve
 
Well ofaloaf, Grotius's long-term goal is the unification of the Protestant churches. Really, if he thought he could fit the Catholics within his doctrinal vision, he would be trying for them too. But basically he's trying to use Arminianism as a doctrinal bridge between Calvinistic and Lutheran teachings. Now, whether these two groups want to be bridged is another matter entirely, and we'll see that when he begins seriously trying to implement his ideas.

The short version, and this will become apparent in the next decade, is that Grotius's management of the situation with the Austrian Habsburgs has made him pre-eminent in Saxon politics. Not so much out of personal ambition as of his desire to see some of his ideas enacted into the real world, he's going to spend political capital attempting to transform the Saxon religious settlement, with some (I think) fascinating results.

Also, a second act of Saxon overseas colonialism is coming soon.

Thanks for the encouragement.

Hm... since Arminians were a faction of the Dutch Reformed Church, does this mean Grotius attempted to explain away the differences between Lutheranism and Dutch Reformed, and thus to a lesser degree the differences between Lutheranism and Calvinism?

Fecking great alt-Thirty Years' War. Pity about Hafen, but Saxony got a huge chunk of Germany out of the deal.
 
Valdemar II and Merry Prankster, ask and you shall receive. I was going to say that there's no point in putting up a map since it's all going to change again very soon anyway. But it's not really that much trouble and it does serve to illustrate the changes that have occurred over the twenty years since the War of the Julich Succession in the timeline. But nevertheless, don't get too used to this disposition.

In any case, thanks for the encouragement.

The map is © from Shepherd's Historical Atlas, by William R. Shepherd, George Philip & Son Ltd, London 1967.

On it are my markings: the red represent the borders of the Kingdom of Saxony in 1630. The dark green represent the elective principalities in personal union with Saxony: Bohemia, Silesia, Lusatia and Moravia. Also represented by red and green dots are the double capitals of the Saxo-Bohemian empire of 1630, Wittenberg and Prague. Not pictured are the Duchies of Prussia and Courland and Semigallia, which are vassals of Christian I as King of Saxony.

If anyone has copyright concerns and would like this to be taken down, let me know and I'll gladly do so:

map1630.jpg
 
Dr. Waterhouse

Thanks for the map. Helps clarify things a lot and that's a hell of a state the last 3 electors have built up. Would it be possible in the next map to add some of the other states that have changed a bit please? Like I think the United Provinces are somewhat larger in this TL?

Thanks for your reply to the last mail. Sounds like that could answer who's being conned.;)

On the question about the Brandenburg electrorate I was meaning to say do the Saxons and other Protestants realise what a hostage to fortune they have made. "Should war break out again because of aggression on the part of any Protestant state," I see two potential problems with this. Who decides what is agression? Also, presuming a decline in the importance of the religious gulf, which occurred in OTL and probably will do here, it wouldn't be impossible for the Hapsburgs to presuade a 'friendly' Protestant state to start a small civil war and hay presto Austria is an elector. Unless the wording was phrased in far more detail in the actual treaty, which may be the case.

Steve
 
Almost simultaneously, the Lithuanian Protestant general Krzysztof Radziwill leads a revolt against Sigismund III Vasa, which combined with the revolts in Prussia and Courland, the Swedish invasion and the Saxon army in the west, brings Sigismund III Vasa’s continued reign in Poland into severe doubt.
And what reason was for that revolt?
In Poland, Gustavus II Adolphus takes the major town of Torun. In desperation, Sigismund III Vasa turns to the former rebel Krzysztof II Radziwill to lead his army against the Swedes, partly in the hopes that the presence of the Calvinist Radziwill will promote unity between Catholic and Protestant Poles against the Swedish Lutheran invaders.
He was the Field Hetman of GDL and as such would not be accepted as commander-in-chief by Poles.
 
Okay, this sounds like it may have to change.

Now as I understand it Sigismund III Vasa in our timeline wanted to intervene in Germany on the part of the Habsburgs. He was generally pro-Habsburg and in the Order of the Golden Fleece. But he was frustrated in doing so by the Sejm.

So in my timeline what has occurred is that the Habsburgs, immeasurably more fearful at the start of the war than they are in our timeline, make pretty outrageous promises to both Sigismund and the Elector of Brandenburg because they need to change the balance of power in the situation very quickly.

As a result, Sigismund III drags Poland-Lithuania into war really after strong-arming the Sejm. One of the problems he faces in doing so is that he's going to war with Poland's chief export market, so this ruins Poland's grain trade and hurts the economy. Then, the war which Poland did not want to enter and which is hurting Poland's economy begins to go badly and drag on. And on top of this in turn it's a war on the Protestants of Germany, both the Lutherans of Saxony and the Calvinists of the Palatinate and the mix of both that's present in Bohemia. So the Calvinist Radziwill revolts, really for all the above reasons.

Sigismund III's idea behind elevating Radziwill is him appealing to an idea of national unity and dispelling the specter of religious division so that the country is focused outward on the Swedish threat. I suppose one way of testing whether this is realistic would be to see what happens to these Catholic/Protestant, Polish/Lithuanian divisions in the time of the Deluge, which is a bit analogous to the situation I'm describing (Swedes from the north, Saxons from the west, and a long war with Russia just completed all working to exhaust and weaken the Poles).

All this discussion is very useful and interesting by the way: Poland features very heavily in the 1630's in my timeline, so I want to make sure I get everything right.


And what reason was for that revolt?
He was the Field Hetman of GDL and as such would not be accepted as commander-in-chief by Poles.
 
End of the Line

1631
The work facing King Christian I is overwhelming: the Estates-General of Saxony and the Estates of Bohemia both present the new king with lengthy lists of requests, mostly focused on resettling peasants, clearing roads, rebuilding bridges and public buildings, and restoring commerce. Chancellor Grotius also pleads with the King to abolish serfdom in Bohemia and move to a system of rents. In addition, Christian I faces vital choices with respect to the disposition of lands: though many estates were distributed over the course of the war to deserving generals and other officers, as well as suppliers of military necessities and financiers of the war as compensation, the Catholic exodus from Bohemia, the seizure of ecclesiastical lands in northwestern Germany and the liquidation of Brandenburg all mean that vast estates have yet to be distributed. In doling out these lands, Christian has to maintain a delicate balance between rewarding those who in some cases have fought and sacrificed extensively during the conflict and using the sale of the new territories as a means of securing new wealth for his empty treasury. In addition, he faces the difficulties of a ruler who has spent a total of two years in the past twelve altogether in his capital: endless backlogged administrative tasks, family business and diplomatic contacts prove distracting and burdensome.

In the distribution of lands, Christian gives the former Archbishopric of Bremen to his general the Duke Christian of Lower Saxony, who is in fact disappointed not to have received far more. Eleonore, in recognition of her service, receives the former estates of the Electors of Brandenburg, and she is made the Duchess of Brandenburg. Count Thurn is made the Duke of Brno. In warm recognition of the labors and sacrifice of his uncle Albert the Duke of Saxony, Albert’s sons John, Frederick and Augustus are made the Dukes of Pilsen, Budovice and Most. Frederick, Christian’s brother, is made Duke of Munster in the far west. Much other land is sold, with all soldiers who served during the war receiving discounts from the Elector of ten percent per each year they were in the army, with some 900 men who served the entirety of the war getting entire abandoned farms for free.

Recognizing Spain is the largest combatant from the War to have not ratified the Treaty of Paris, Christian I senses an opportunity: if he can deal the Spanish a decisive defeat in the Netherlands, he can not only win freedom for his Dutch allies but remove the Spanish threat from his western frontier and possibly win additional territory. Chancellor Grotius counsels against provoking Spain and urges Christian to instead consolidate the gains of the previous twelve years. The Duchess Eleonore presents her own plan for the elimination of Spain from the Netherlands: first, Christian I offers to help the Dutch finally dispatch the Spanish on the condition that the Wettin kinsman and ally William the Bastard is made King of the Netherlands; second, Eleonore makes a second visit to France to enlist the French in the expulsion of the Spanish from the entirety of the Netherlands in exchange for the same partition of its territory she proposed eleven years prior, with Louis XIII taking the Catholic lands in the south; third, Christian I invades with the bulk of the Saxon army, leaving Frederick in Prague to guard against the Austrian Habsburgs and Christian of Lower Saxony in Brandenburg to guard against Poland or Sweden. Even though he is a Dutch patriot who desires to see the Spanish defeated, Grotius fears a reinvigorated war in the Netherlands will undo his work. Disgusted, he resigns in protest.

Though it will take months for all the provinces to respond individually to Christian I’s offer and ratify his proposal by electing William the Bastard King, the early answers are enthusiastic because of the Dutch belief that a sizeable Saxon army in addition to the English force fighting in the Netherlands will mean a speedy end to their long war for independence. Organizing the Army of Luther once more, Christian I leaves Wittenberg amid lavish celebrations, wearing a specially made suit of thinly wrought and purely decorative golden armor.

On a French ship, the Electress Eleonore (as she is still commonly known despite her new official title) departs. With her she takes, at the request of King Christian, Queen Elizabeth. Even though there is no love lost between Elizabeth and Eleonore, Eleonore’s lack of charm is somewhat famous, and famously served her poorly on her previous visit to the French court. By contrast, the beautiful and vivacious Elizabeth, perhaps the most voluminous and witty letter-writer in Europe, is on good terms with Louis XIII’s sister, Henriette Marie, who is married to her brother Henry the King of Scotland. Elizabeth has already parlayed that friendship into written correspondence with Louis XIII and Cardinal Richelieu in years past. Moreover, as a rare double queen, Elizabeth’s visit will be a grand event at the French court that will allow her to play the generosity of her hosts to Saxony’s advantage. On the negative side, Louis XIII’s queen is Anne of Austria, niece of the slain Emperor Ferdinand II, who has publicly referred to Elizabeth’s husband Christian as Ferdinand’s murderer.

Before the arrival of Christian I, William the Bastard defeats the Spanish at Maastricht and once again the Dutch take the city. It is there that Christian and the Saxon army of 17,000 infantry and 7,000 cavalry meets the Dutch army led by William. Together, the two generals march on Ghent in an effort to force the Spanish from Flanders once and for all.

In Paris, Elizabeth’s wildly enthusiastic reception at the French court yields Eleonore the prize the two of them went there seeking: Cardinal Richelieu informs Eleonore that though he cannot act militarily against Spain in support of the Dutch rebels without alienating the Pope and making France into an outcast within Catholic Europe, he can provide a substantial allowance to Saxony to pursue its war in the Netherlands, with the understanding that at the end of the war France will receive all of the lands of the Union of Arras, as well as Luxemburg. Richelieu does not realize that because of a historical claim by the Hohenzollern dynasty of Brandenburg on Luxemburg last asserted by the Elector John George (the grandfather of her husband), Eleonore had pinned her hopes on her Hohenzollern children inheriting the Duchy following the expulsion of the Habsburgs. Richelieu also promises he will provide assistance in keeping closed the Valtellina, the sole route by which the Spanish Habsburgs can move men, supplies and currency from the Mediteranean to the Low Countries.

At Ghent, in a surprise night-time attack Spanish-paid soldiers sneak into the Saxon camp, overwhelm the guard and kill King Christian I in his tent. Under his brother Frederick, the army persists in its effort and defeats the Spanish after a six-week siege. Christian’s body is sent home to Saxony.

Word reaches Elizabeth in Paris of her husband’s fate. Immensely distraught, she returns to Saxony immediately.

Frederick Henry, the fifteen year old son of Christian, inherits the throne of Saxony. Plans begin for his coronation in Wittenberg and for the necessary elections in Prague and the other capitals of the elective principalities.

As a postscript to the year’s crises, Hermann Gross, the Elector’s handpicked Head of the Lutheran Church, dies after over thirty years of undistinguished service in the position. Gross has presided over the decline of Lutheranism before the advance of Calvinistic, Servetian, Flacist, Unitarian, Utraquist and other churches in Germany, and had maintained an absolutely servile relationship to the Electors of Saxony that had helped guarantee his power. With other players in Wittenberg focused on handling external crises, Grotius secures the Elector’s nomination of Karl Pichtel, a professor of theology and law at Wittenberg who has expressed sympathy for Grotius’s written works. Partly on the strength of Grotius’s prestige and the fervor of his recommendation, the Lutheran Church elects Pichtel as its Head. Though Grotius is himself not Lutheran, he is renowned among Saxons as “The Father of Peace.”

Dorothea Maria of Anhalt, the widow of King Christian I’s father Duke John of Saxony and since the previous year the Queen Mother of Saxony, dies within weeks after learning of her son’s death, adding to Saxony’s intense grief.

1632
King Frederick I of Saxony and Bohemia (1631-1676)
Frederick Henry is crowned King Frederick I of Saxony. Owing to the immense tragedy by which the young prince has come to the throne, Frederick I faces no challenge to his election as the King of Bohemia. The Bohemian estates somberly elect him unanimously. This is followed by elections of the estates in Breslau, Brno and finally Bautzen, in Lusatia. Everywhere the young king goes in the elective principalities he is met by well-wishers and demonstrations of public grief, especially by the Protestants who served under Christian I.

After the lengthy series of elections, coronations, blessings and other appearances are finally completed, the Wettins gather in the Alexandrine Palace at Elster to decide the matter of government. The will of King Christian somewhat shockingly specifies that Elizabeth—not Grotius or Eleonore— is to be regent for Frederick. The matter is somewhat complicated by the request by the Estates General—believed unseemly by the Wettins—that Grotius be regent, in recognition of the rationality and steadiness he brought to the Electorate under his prior chancellorships. Elizabeth responds by asking Grotius to be co-regent and chancellor, which he accepts. Finally, sensing that the Duchess of Brandenburg’s hostility to the new order could be its undoing, Elizabeth asks Eleonore also to join in what will be known as the Third Triumvirate, ruling Saxony and Greater Bohemia until Frederick reaches his majority in 1636.

The news of Christian I’s death after a rule of barely fifteen months has barely sunk in when word arrives in Wittenberg that the aged Sigismund III Vasa of Poland has died. Originally helped to the throne by the Elector Alexander to prevent the Habsburgs from adding Poland to their lands, Sigismund III Vasa had steadily become an obstacle to Saxon aims until he invaded at the behest of the Habsburgs to defeat Saxony once and for all, only to be himself defeated and forced to concede the ethnically German and religiously Lutheran duchies of Prussia and Courland and Semigallia.

Eleonore now begins a frantic effort modeled after those of her father to place a Wettin ally on the Polish throne. For this purpose she turns to the Wettins’ closest Catholic ally, her great nephew Frederick Adam the Duke of Teschen. Frederick is of the Piast dynasty that ruled Poland from its founding to the fourteenth century. Frederick is also the grandson of Alexander’s ill-fated choice to rule Poland, the Lutheran Wenceslaus III Adam.

Frederick Adam’s first act is to journey from Teschen to Gniezno to pay his respects to St. Adalbert, the Catholic patron saint of Poland. This display of simultaneous patriotism and Catholic piety, celebrated by pamphleteers in the pay of the Wettins, galvanizes his support. Frederick Adam’s rival for the kingship is Prince Wladyslaw, son of Sigismund III Vasa. Wladyslaw’s candidacy is hurt by the perception of the Polish nobility—Catholic and Protestant alike—that Sigismund III Vasa’s kingship has been an unmitigated disaster that has brought the country close to ruin by involving it in a fruitless lingering conflict over the throne of Sweden, disrupted trade with Germany and left the country surrounded by enemies. In a letter to the Sejm, the young Frederick I promises continued peace with Poland if Frederick Adam becomes king, implicitly promising as well that Saxony’s ally Sweden will end its war against Poland if Frederick Adam is elected. In contrast the Habsburgs, who did so much to support prior candidates for the Polish throne favorable to their interests, now barely muster any effort at all to assist Prince Wladyslaw, disappointed as they were by Poland’s early withdrawal from the war and distracted as they are now by their own internal disarray.

Even as the Sejm prepares to decide the question of the Polish kingship, Gustavus II Augustus launches a new campaign with the goal of completely overrunning Lithuania, this time laying siege to Vilna.

In the Netherlands, Frederick continues to wage the war begun by Christian I: he defeats the Spanish army at Bruges, while William the Bastard mounts a simultaneous siege at Brussels, which the Spanish had lost in 1597 and then retaken in the chaos early in the First General War. Attempting to draw off the Saxons, a Spanish army makes as if it’s about to attack Julich and lays siege to the fortress there, only to instead attack Berg, which is unprepared for the Spanish attack. The Spanish successfully occupy the area.

Elisabeth Wende publishes a cycle of poems on the war, describing the scenes she witnessed fleeing from Halberstadt just ahead of the Polish invasion, and the aftermath when she returned to find her family’s estate burned and their servants killed. Its publication is a milestone in the evolution of German realism.

1633
Frederick Adam the Duke of Teschen is elected King Frederick I Adam of Poland by the Sejm. No sooner is this accomplished and he crowned at Krakow, but the Polish and Saxon ambassadors in Warsaw conclude a treaty of alliance in which Poland and Saxony-Bohemia guarantee each other’s security against all foes, and in which each grandiosely claims to put the other before all other allies. This provision, insisted upon by the Poles, is a direct reference to Gustavus II Adolphus.

Chancellor Grotius then personally travels to Riga, where he meets Gustavus II Adolphus. There he is pleased to find that Gustavus II Adolphus is an enthusiastic admirer of his written works and his accomplishments as chancellor. Grotius then informs Gustavus II Adolphus of the treaty and asks him to end his war against Poland in order to secure peace between Sweden, Poland and Saxony-Bohemia. He even holds out the promise of Saxon assistance in a Swedish-Polish alliance against Russia that he hopes will divert Gustavus’ energies eastward. Not only does Gustavus II Adolphus refuse, he takes insult that Saxony has apparently abrogated its prior alliance with him by courting the enemy, Poland, that he had saved Saxony from.

The answer Grotius thus takes back with him to Wittenberg is a declaration of war by Gustavus II Adolphus against Saxony-Bohemia, one that moreover Gustavus II Adolphus had delivered citing as justification relevant passages—evidently memorized—from Grotius’ De jure belli ac pacis libri tres. Swedish forces begin attacking those of the Dukes of Prussia and Courland, seeking to occupy both countries outright.

No sooner does word spread of Sweden’s declaration of war against Saxony, but that Ferdinand orders Wallenstein to begin mobilizing the Austrian Habsburgs’ army for a renewed war to recover Bohemia, abrogating the 1630 Treaty of Paris.

Unprepared for a large siege and with many of its normal garrison in the Netherlands, Julich falls to the Spanish.

Moreover, a fourth menace presents itself when Duke Christian of Lower Saxony, always the wild adventurer, and now dissatisfied with what he thinks of as the meager payment for his services in conquering northwestern Germany for the Saxons, launches a rebellion in his homeland of Brunswick.

At Wittenberg, the Third Triumvirate find themselves ruling Saxony in its direst circumstances since the Polish invasion. The situation is made worse when England announces it will not intervene in a war between two Protestant states. Dividing their responsibilities to meet the crisis, Hugo Grotius is given the task of organizing the military and the Protestant German allies; Eleonore is made ambassador to Poland and essentially is given the portfolio for managing the ground war against Sweden; and Elizabeth, the granddaughter of a king of Denmark and niece of the current king, accepts the job of luring that nation into an alliance against Sweden.

Elizabeth gets the opportunity to do just that at the wedding of her son, the young Frederick I, to the Danish Princess Sophia in Wittenberg. With King Christian IV of Denmark in attendance, Grotius, Eleonore and Elizabeth engage him in negotiations. Despite Christian IV’s efforts to secure territorial concessions from Saxony, the three hold him to the notion that the benefits of the alliance to him include whatever he manages to win from Saxony. Thus, Saxony-Bohemia and Denmark sign the Treaty of Wittenberg.

Heinrich Legell, having served as an officer in the Saxon army since he marched with Christian I to be crowned in Prague, and having risen steadily through the ranks because of skill despite his low birth, and having been given a string of commands in the later stages of the Bohemian war technically “under” inexperienced members of the Wettin family but nonetheless possessing actual command authority and answerable only to the Elector, is now appointed by Grotius General of the Army of Luther, the most prestigious military assignment in the kingdom. His task is first to drive the Spanish from the west, while Frederick the Duke of Munster continues to fight in the Netherlands.

Second, Grotius appoints John, the young but talented eldest son of the deceased Duke Albert of Saxony, General of the Bohemian Army, now called the Army of Huss. Augustus is tasked with aiding the King of Poland and the Dukes of Prussia and Courland against Sweden.

The third appointment goes to Karl von Dieskau, a member of the low nobility who had first shown himself proficient in his heroic comportment in the battles of Dessau and Juterbog. He is tasked with defeating Christian of Lower Saxony.

All three generals receive only 12,000 infantry and 5,000 cavalry, since the bulk of the Saxon army is still in the Netherlands.

In the north, Gustavus II Adolphus’s forces kill Duke William of Prussia in battle at Insterburg, laying siege to the last defenders of the Duchy at Konigsberg. In Courland and Semigallia, the results are similar, as the army in Courland is routed at Mitau. Pursued by the Swedes to the Baltic sea, the co-ruling Dukes William and Frederick Kettler make their last stand at Libau.

The death of Duke William of Prussia—who is without heirs—leaves his line extinct. Technically his closest relations would be either the Hohenzollerns or the Wettins, but the Swedish occupation for the time being renders a succession crisis moot.

In Poland, Prince Wladyslaw leads a revolt among the adherents of the Vasas, exploiting the belief that Frederick Adam is secretly a Protestant chosen to bring the Reformation to Poland.

Alexander, the youngest son Duke John and thus uncle to the current king, marries Anna, the youngest sister of the Duke of Holstein-Gottorp, whose marriage has long been delayed by the war and the deaths of previous suitors.

Frederick I of England dies.

1634
In Courland, Mitau falls to Gustavus II Adolphus, who loans the ducal brothers William and Jacob a ship with which to leave Courland with their families, supposedly never to return. By winter’s end, his conquest of Prussia and Courland and Semigallia is complete.

Frederick I Adam’s efforts to lead the relief of besieged Vilna fail, and the town falls to Gustavus II Adolphus. In a moment of extraordinary irony, Prince Wladyslaw’s army, which had marched north to intercept Frederick I Adam as he was campaigning against Gustavus II Adolphus, instead runs headlong into the army of Gustavus II Adolphus as Frederick I Adam retreats in another direction. Hence, Catholic rebel involuntarily collides with Lutheran invader. The defeat Gustavus II Adolphus metes out to Wladyslaw at Troki seriously diminishes the strength of the rebellion.

Duke Christian of Lower Saxony, now styling himself King Christian of Brunswick, defeats a Saxon garrison at Lauenburg, seizes Hamburg after threatening to kill every man, woman and child inside the city, and begins marching south toward Madgeburg and Wittenberg. He sends his demands forward to Wittenberg: he seeks the recognition of his independent rule of his family’s ancestral lands in Brunswick, along with the entirety of the ecclesiastical lands taken in the northwest during the war against the Catholics. He also demands the hand of the Queen Mother Elizabeth in marriage. Karl von Dieskau, General of the Army of Melanchthon, crushes Christian’s army at Stendal, capturing Christian. Stripped of his titles and lands, he is put to death after a perfunctory trial, as the substantial fortune accumulated by his grandfather and father is confiscated by the King. Thus the Welf line of Dukes in Brunswick and Lower Saxony is extinguished.

Frederick the Duke of Munster is killed by the Spanish in the Battle of the Scheldt, though the battle is won by the Dutch and Saxons, and the Spanish army in Flanders is almost liquidated in the day’s fighting. His death creates a dynastic bottleneck for the Wettins: of the five sons of Duke John, only one survives, Alexander the uncle to the King. Of the two sons of King Christian I, one is King Frederick I and the other is his brother Edward.

Several days later, William the Bastard takes the town of Limburg following a brief siege.

Leading the Saxon army west, the commoner general Heinrich Legell meets the Spanish army at Gelsenkirchen, which is also a decisive victory, as it becomes apparent the favored Spanish arrangement of battlefield forces, the Tercio, has now been superseded due to the use of more, and more efficient, firearms, as well as smaller and more maneuverable cannons.

John, Duke of Pilsen, leads the Army of Huss north into Poland, with his immediate goal the liberation of Prussia.

With the entirety of the Saxon military occupied elsewhere, Ferdinand III the Holy Roman Emperor invades Bohemia in an effort to quickly recover his father’s lost kingdom. Budovice falls quickly with the assistance of local Catholics, and it’s only due to a haphazard resistance organized by Duke Thurn and Duke Frederick that Prague does not fall to the Habsburgs, but holds firm as the Habsburg army led by Wallenstein commences a winter siege.

Karl von Dieskau, the one general appointed by Grotius to have completely dispatched his enemy, moves as quickly as possible to relieve Prague. Grotius orders the Army of Huss to continue on to Prussia to face the Swedes.

The success of Legell and von Dieskau leads Grotius to ponder the benefits of a meritocratic system of advancement in the military irrespective of nobility.

Prince Edward the younger brother of King Frederick I marries the Princess Elizabeth of Denmark.

Improbably, considering Anna’s age, she bears Alexander a son, whom they name Christian after King Christian I and her kinsman, Christian IV of Denmark.

1635
Bavaria informs Saxony that it will honor the Treaty of Paris and the prior Treaty of Passau and neither directly nor indirectly aid the Habsburgs in their effort to recover Bohemia, a decision which earns them a warm message of thanks from Chancellor Grotius.

Legell drives the Spanish army west across the Rhine, defeating it at Heimbach, and then cutting off its line of retreat to Luxemburg at Aachen. Wheeling north, he then expels the Spanish from the fortress of Julich, restoring the strategically crucial placements on the Rhine to Saxony.

The army formerly under the Duke of Munster, now under Johann von Quetz, marches to meet Legell’s forces at Aachen, with the goal of then proceeding to Luxemburg.

Von Dieskau recruits soldiers, many of them recently retired, as he travels south toward Prague. By the time he reaches the borders of Bohemia his army has swelled to more than 30,000.

In the meantime, Prague once again falls and the young Duke Frederick of Budovice is taken prisoner. Although Ferdinand and Wallenstein’s intent is to ransom him to the Saxons, his jailers remember the treatment of the Emperor Ferdinand II in similar conditions, and kill him by hanging him on the inside from the bars of his cell’s window, using a team of horses. Astonished by their cruelty, Ferdinand III orders them put to death, and sends an honor guard north to hand over the body to the Saxons with great courtesy.

Greatly affected by the news of the Duke of Budovice’s death, Von Dieskau arrives in Bohemia. He smashes Wallenstein’s smaller force at Neratovice and advances on Prague.

As devastating as the news is of the death of the King’s cousin the Duke of Budovice, the Saxon court is immeasurably cheered by the news of the Austrians’ defeat at Neratovice.

Gustavus II Adolphus sends word to Eleonore in Warsaw by means of a French diplomat that he is willing to consider a peace in which Saxony would recognize Swedish sovereignty over Prussia and Courland and Semigallia and cease its assistance of Poland. In return, Saxony could participate with Russia and Sweden in a partition of Poland and Lithuania. Eleonore’s response is to turn the correspondence over to King Frederick I Adam and the Sejm as evidence of Swedish duplicity and Saxony-Bohemia’s faithfulness to its allies. Offered the unusual privilege of addressing the Sejm on the occasion, she delivers a stirring address to the Sejm, and is vociferously applauded.

Prodded by Eleonore, King Frederick I orders the annexation of the free imperial city of Hamburg to prevent its seizure by enemy powers, ostensibly Sweden, but more likely Denmark. The city is taken without substantial violence.

Prague falls to von Dieskau, as the Austrian Habsburgs’ army mutinies in their own retreat against Wallenstein, as Ferdinand III runs out of money to pay soldiers.

Christopher Bathory, again with the assistance of a substantial allowance from Saxony, marches west toward Vienna, defeating the Habsburg defensive force left to guard against him at Sobron.

After delaying their entry into the war a good while, the Danes begin naval engagements with the Swedes in the Baltic that seriously damage the ability of the Swedes to prosecute their war on the other side of the sea. A Swedish counterattack in Scania is defeated at Malmo.

King Frederick I Adam of Poland corners and defeats Prince Wladyslaw at Sandomierz, capturing him and ending his revolt.

The first engagement of the Army of Huss and the Swedes in Poland ends in a draw at Plock.

Alexander and Anna have their second son, whom they name Charles after the King of England.

Finally, after the approval of the last province of the Dutch Republic, William the Bastard is crowned—not in a cathedral or a palace but in his camp surrounded by his soldiers, King William I of the Netherlands.

1636
Off the Danish island of Gotland, the Saxon, Dutch and Danish navies deal a crushing defeat to the Swedes that shifts the balance of power decisively in the Baltic.

The Triumvirate meets in Wittenberg before the start of marching season, with the tone of the various reports generally hopeful as to imminent victory. The one significant disruption comes when the young king in a visit to the Estates-General asks Grotius—coldly and in public--why he is forced to continue to be the vassal of his father’s enemies and killers, the Habsburgs. Grotius’s answer--given later in private--is that, matter-of-factly, Frederick’s father gave his word he would recognize the Habsburg emperor and that to renounce that agreement now would be dishonorable. This earns Grotius nothing more than a cold stare. Increasingly, as demonstrate in this and other incidents, Frederick I refuses to accept Chancellor Grotius’s course of conciliation. Apparently, considering the failure of the peace agreements to forestall the Swedish, Austrian or Spanish invasions, the opinion of the public now sides with him.

The former army of the Duke of Munster, now under Johann von Quetz and fighting alongside the forces of William the Bastard, inflicts bruising defeats on the Spanish at Cuesmes and Mechelen.

Simultaneously, Heinrich Legell lays siege to and after three months seizes the city of Liege, which had been a major base for the Spanish despite being nominally an ecclesiastical city. Outraged, ecclesiastical princes begin petitioning the imperial courts to determine if this counts as a violation of the terms of the Treaty of Paris, until it is realized by some of the bishops that as of now there is so little threat for them to call on against the Saxons that the end of the treaty would have the primary effect of allowing the Saxons and other Protestant states to simply annex them at will.

The armies of William and Legell march to Namur from the west and the north where they merge and attempt to cross the Meuse together. The Spanish muster the remainder of their forces for a final counterattack, and defeat the combined army, preventing it from passing to the east and prosecuting the promised offensive against Luxemburg.

Cardinal Richelieu writes to Pope Urban VIII and proposes he has negotiated a compromise with the Dutch by which the people of the southern Netherlands can stay under Catholic rule, but it requires the Pope to convince the Spanish to lay down their arms in the Netherlands and trade their territories there to France. Urban VIII is skeptical at such a plan, and the Spanish Habsburgs when they discover it and realize the depth to which Richelieu has been conspiring with the Saxons and Dutch, are livid.

The Evangelical League finally mobilizes after its own extended inactivity at the start of this second phase of the war, and under the young Elector Frederick VI of the Palatinate it begins gatherings its own army in Heidelberg to attack Luxemburg from the east.

The Army of Huss under Duke John of Pilsen invades Prussia, suffering a narrow defeat by the Swedes at Johannisburg.

Frederick I Adam manages to inflict a substantial defeat on the Swedes at Kaunas, their first since they invaded Poland.

Von Dieskau, having repulsed the Austrian Habsburgs from Bohemia, is given the brief punishing the Habsburgs one final time by helping Christopher Bathory secure the Hungarian throne before returning north to fend off Sweden. Christopher himself defeats the Habsburgs at Trnava, which frees him to march on Vienna.

1637
With Grotius’s direction Kings Frederick I of Saxony, Frederick I Adam of Poland and Christian IV of Denmark issue a joint statement to the effect that they are willing to make peace with Sweden recognizing the country’s borders as of its 1626 invasion of Poland. The idea is laughed at by Gustavus II Adolphus.

Yet another crisis erupts in the Baltic when Duke Bogislaw XIV of Pomerania dies. He has willed his lands to his wife the Duchess Dorothea, eldest daughter of Duke Albert of Saxony. However, Gustavus II Adolphus has designs on the duchy, and begins organizing forces to both seize it by sea and to attack overland from Prussia.

Von Dieskau defeats Wallenstein at Stockerau, opening Vienna to attack from the north. Simultaneously, Christopher Bathory defeats the Habsburg army in the east at Eisenstadt. Ferdinand III, understanding that he does not have the resources to withstand a siege at Vienna, or the expectation of the arrival of fresh allies, sues for peace.

The terms von Dieskau and Bathory impose include nothing less than the recognition of the independence of a united Kingdom of Hungary stretching from the Austrian border through Transylvania.

Satisfied that the Habsburgs no longer have the ability to launch another invasion of Bohemia, von Dieskau without even waiting for instructions from Wittenberg begins marching north toward Poland.

When the news of the Peace of Vienna reaches Rome, Pope Urban VIII realizes the extent to which the Habsburgs are in full-scale military eclipse across Europe at the hands of the Protestant armies. He thus reverses himself on Richelieu’s proposed Belgic Plan and takes the extraordinary step of writing the Kings of the Netherlands and Saxony-Bohemia directly, proposing a partition of the former Spanish Netherlands between the new Dutch Kingdom and France. The reversal enrages Spain, as Philip IV’s favorite Olivares accuses France of conspiring with heretics to enlarge itself at the expense of fellow Catholics, a charge which is of course true.

The problem becomes in the discussions over the Netherlands the difficulty of finding a suitable boundary for the partition, which in the minds of the principals would include the division of the lands of the Archbishopric of Liege.

Finally the Spanish, by no means ready to recognize the independence of the new Kingdom of the Netherlands or to give up their remaining territories in the Low Countries, understand that without a truce Luxemburg will fall and their remaining foothold in the Netherlands will be lost for good. Therefore, they assent to the recommendations of Pope Urban and Cardinal Richelieu and agree to a peace conference to be held at Nancy, in Lorraine, the next year. It’s also hoped this truce will tie down General Legell and the Army of Luther for an extended period of time, until the tide of the war changes on the other fronts.

In Poland, Duke John of Pilsen manages to defeat a Swedish army at Chelmno, endangering Swedish-occupied Terun.

King Frederick I Adam turns back a Swedish attack on Vitebsk, as it begins to become apparent that for all their superior training and preparedness, the Swedish forces are being stretched thin and their resources exhausted.

The Princess Anna, oldest child of the deceased King Christian I of Saxony, is betrothed to Prince Henry, the second son of Frederick I and brother to the current king of England, Charles I.

Adolph von Loss, a natural philosopher who is serving as an officer in the Army of Luther, by careful application of Hartmann’s statistical method of medical research, discovers that cleaning wounds with water and washing hands before cleaning wounds results in better outcomes for the patients. His method is quickly adopted by other physicians in the Army of Luther, and eventually all the Saxon armies. He is rewarded with a lifetime stipend from the king.

1638
Sweden invades Pomerania by sea at Stralsund and by land by through Pomerelia, crossing the Vistula south of Danzig. The possibility of a Swedish invasion of Saxony itself spreads panic through the Kingdom.

This turn of events proves to be enough for England to come to the assistance of its ally Saxony, and King Charles I, a veteran of the war under Philip Sidney the Duke of Kent announces he will personally lead the English army being sent to Germany to provide assistance.

Unexpectedly, the Swedish army turns south into Mecklenberg-Schwerin, as the Swedish invasion reveals itself as an attempt to knock Saxony out of the war even more quickly than believed by attacking its heartland without even bothering to secure Pomerania. It’s thought that Gustavus II Adolphus may not have planned the strategy from the beginning but is moving more aggressively to secure a victory before the Saxons finish with the Spanish and shift the bulk of their army north to face him. Mecklenburg’s own army is defeated easily at Gustrow.

Grotius wins a diplomatic victory with respect to England when Charles I—before his departure for Hamburg with his soldiers—agrees to participate in the conference at Nancy by representative, and to include in a potential peace treaty an agreement ending the war between England and Spain. This would present a substantial inducement to Spain to make peace because of the losses its shipping has been suffering at the hands of the English.

Because of the urgency of the attack on Saxony from Sweden, Legell and the Army of Luther departs for Wittenberg, leaving behind the rump of the former army of the Duke of Munster to assist the Dutch should the Spanish break the truce.

At Nancy, diplomatic representatives of Spain, England, France, Saxony, the Netherlands and the Papacy gather to discuss a peace agreement with respect to the Netherlands. Spain engages in delaying tactics and obfuscation, attempting to frustrate the conference while protracting the truce long enough for it to regroup or for Saxony to collapse before the invasion of Gustavus II Adolphus. France announces it will recognize the Netherlands in return for the lands of the League of Arras, Cambrai, and Namur. In a bit of a double-cross of his prior agreements with the Saxons and the Dutch, Richelieu announces he will support continued Spanish rule in Luxemburg and the undivided maintenance of the Archbishopric of Liege, which he thinks is necessary to keep the Spanish from rejecting a peace treaty completely. In this provision he is of course supported by the Spanish and the Papacy. It then falls to Grotius to accept this state of affairs, which would allow the Dutch to leave the war with Brabant and Flanders, provided that Spain accepts the independence of the Dutch and ceases all violence toward them. To this England adds the requirement that the Spanish recognize its overseas conquests at the expense of Spain since the war began. Grotius, there in person, exercises his influence to pull William the Bastard into agreement. The papacy, thinking this is the best solution to keeping as much of the Netherlands as possible within the Catholic Church, gives its assent. Only the Spanish delay, hoping for a Swedish victory in the north that will change the course of the war.

The Danes send an army from Schleswig-Holstein to help defend Pomerania and Mecklenburg. Its presence strengthens Schwerin and likely heads off a Swedish attack on that town. Instead, the Swedish face off against the remainder of the Mecklenburg army and a small Saxon defensive force at Ludwigslust, with the Swedes winning.

Von Dieskau stops the advance of the Swedish overland invasion of Pomerania at Stettin in a hard-fought and close victory.

Sweden invades Saxon-held Brandenburg at Eldenburg, defeating another small defensive force that is essentially trying to delay the Swedish advance for as long as possible before Legell arrives with the Army of Luther.

In the Battle of Havelberg, Legell meets the advance of the Swedish forces, out-numbering them two to one even despite his having left soldiers behind in the Netherlands. Gustavus II Adolphus’s nightmare, that the Saxons would defeat the Spanish in the Netherlands in time to attack his forces with all their might, has come to pass. The Swedish army is overwhelmingly defeated, and combined with the defeat at Stettin puts his whole war plan into jeopardy. Prince Edward, the second son of King Christian I of Saxony, dies in the battle.

The news reaches Nancy of the Battle of Havelberg, crushing Spanish hopes. Reluctantly, they agree to the humiliating peace treaty, by which they cede all of the Netherlands but for the Duchy of Luxemburg. France wins the territory of Namur and the Union of Arras, which gives it Lille, Tournai, Cambrai and Mons. The Archbishopric of Liege remains intact, and is intended to serve as a zone free of all foreign armies that will separate the French and Dutch lands in the Netherlands from Luxemburg, which the Spanish keep. Limburg goes to the Dutch, in addition to their acquisition of Flanders and Brabant. And finally, Aachen—with all its symbolic importance— goes to Saxony. The treaty purports not to decide the matters of any other conflict other than that of the Netherlands, and so expressly excludes questions of the politics of the Holy Roman Empire, the Swedish conflict, or Hungary.

With the treaty signed, Grotius returns to Saxony and presents it to King Frederick I, who has for two years technically been in his majority but who has declined to assert his rule because of the protestations of the triumvirate that the burdens of the current crisis are too much for an inexperienced young king. However, he now formally asserts his rule over Saxony-Bohemia and dismisses the regent-triumvirs, though all three intend to retain formidable influence at court. In the first official act of his sole rule, he ratifies the Treaty of Nancy. In his second, he ends the Holy Roman Empire.

Officially, in the Edict of Dissolution Frederick I secedes from the Empire, renounces his two votes in the election of Emperors, forswears Saxony-Bohemia’s representation in the Imperial Diet, and declares all measures passed by the Diet or decrees issued by any Emperor of the Holy Roman Empire to be a nullity within the lands he rules, either as King of Saxony or as King of Bohemia. Grotius had suppressed the King’s desire to issue such a decree for almost a full year prior, creating hard feelings between the King on one side and the regent-chancellor-triumvir on the other. Even Eleonore had counseled against the rashness of the decision, preferring instead to take control of the Empire following the death of Ferdinand III, whenever that happens. Only the Queen Mother Elizabeth had resolutely supported Frederick I in his desire to sunder the empire that he feels has killed his father and grandfather.

Once again, Grotius resigns, even on the heels of his greatest diplomatic triumph. Panic reigns in the Estates-General—over the fresh destabilization of German affairs, over the resignation of Grotius, and over fears that the new King is unready for the tasks before him—and neither the Electress Eleonore nor the Queen Mother can quiet the spreading sense of disorder.

From Vienna, the response of the Habsburg Emperor Ferdinand III is surprisingly conciliatory. He admits his wrong in breaking the Treaty of Paris, promises complete religious freedom to the German princes, and even suggests he is open to compromise on the issue of the ecclesiastical lands, provided Saxony turns from its course and recognizes his rule and the imperial constitution. The perfunctory response he receives is addressed to him as the Archduke of Styria.

In letters to the nobility of Mecklenburg, Wurttemburg, Hesse-Kassel, Hesse-Darmstadt, Hesse-Wurzburg, Baden, the Palatinate, Anhalt, Nassau, East Frisia, Mecklenburg, Oldenburg, Lippe, East Frisia, and all other Protestant German princes remaining, Frederick I invites them to a conference to be held at Wurzburg for the creation of a new Protestant German empire. Though the impulse to dissolve the old empire was Frederick’s, the plan to forge the new one is Eleonore’s, and the persuasive effort brought to bear in the letters to the German princes, Elizabeth’s.

Leading the English army against the retreating Swedes in Mecklenburg, Charles I suffers a surprise defeat at Dambeck. A month later, he dies of wounds received in the battle, becoming the last sovereign to die in battle in the First General European War.

Alexander and Anna have their third child, whom they name Elizabeth after the Queen Mother.

1639
Enraged at the lack of his own invitation to the Conference of German Protestant princes at Wurzburg, Christian IV complains to King Frederick I by letter. The response he receives is that it is the King’s intention to allow Denmark to rule its possessions that have heretofore been part of the Holy Roman Empire as a sovereign outright. This is explained to Christian as a reward, when in fact it is conceived by the Electress Eleonore as a way of paying him for his assistance without ceding Denmark more territory, and of depriving a foreign sovereign of influence in the new German state.

At Wurzburg in the castle of the former prince-bishops, the great princes of Protestant Germany meet in person. These include Frederick I, King of Saxony and Bohemia, the Elector Frederick VI of the Palatinate, Elector Eberhard III of Wurttemburg, Duke Adolf Frederick of Mecklenburg-Schwerin, Duke Frederick III of Holstein-Gottorp, Landgrave William VI of Hesse-Kassel (still in his minority), Landgrave George II of Hesse-Darmstadt, Landgrave Frederick Arthur of Hesse-Wurzburg (the host), Prince Christian II of Anhalt-Bernburg, Prince John Casimir of Anhalt-Dessau, Prince Louis of Anhalt-Kothen, Prince Augustus of Anhalt-Plotzkau, Margrave William of Baden-Baden, Margrave Hermann Fortunatus of Baden-Rodemachern, Count Ulrich II of East Frisia, Count Otto of Lippe-Brake, Count Philipp of Lippe-Alverdissen, Count Simon-Philipp of Lippe-Detmold, the Counts of Nassau-Idstein, Nassau-Saarbrucken, and Nassau-Weilberg, and representatives of the imperial free city of Lubeck. Together, these princes represent the vast majority of Germany’s land and population.

Von Dieskau administers another bruising defeat to the Swedish army at Dramburg, in eastern Pomerania. His victory there is matched by Legell’s at Parchim. Fearing a rout will destroy his military, Gustavus II Adolphus appeals to the Allies of the North—Frederick I of Saxony and Bohemia, Frederick I Adam of Poland, Christian IV of Denmark and now Henry X of England—that they hold a peace conference. Once again, France is proposed as the best place to hold such a conference, but Cardinal Richelieu recommends France’s close ally Scotland be the host.

Frederick’s response is that any truce must be preceded by the withdrawal of Swedish forces from Mecklenburg and Pomerania and the abandonment of any Swedish claims to Pomerania.

In Wurzburg, the assembled princes as a preliminary matter settle the long-festering matter of Brandenburg, allowing Frederick William, the son of the deceased Elector George Frederick, to inherit the Hohenzollern lands in Ansbach as prince.

Frederick I the King of Saxony then presents a constitution to the German princes drafted for the large part by the Electress Eleonore. Drastically simplifying and modernizing the German state from elaborate structure of the Holy Roman Empire, it would permit a single Elector to Anhalt, Ansbach, Hesse, Mecklenburg, Palatinate, Wurttemburg, Baden, Holstein, and Nassau. The Elector of Saxony would receive votes for Saxony, Brandenburg, Brunswick, and Munster, North Rhineland, and the imperial cities of the north (Hamburg, Bremen, and Madgeburg) Thus, with six Saxon Electors and nine non-Saxon Electors, the non-Saxon princes of the Empire could unite and elect a non-Saxon emperor even if one defected. Where multiple states comprise the vote of one elector, such as Hesse, Anhalt, or Nassau, the states involved would caucus before electing an emperor to decide the collective vote by a simple majority. Where that is impossible, either because the votes are evenly divided or the disagreement too great, the individual component states of the Elector could then cast their Electors as fractions, so that for instance each Hessian Landgrave would receive one-third of the vote invested in the Hessian states. Finally, each Electorate would have a territorial boundary and thus would serve as the administrative division of choice of the empire, meaning that the empire would be effectively divided into fifteen electorates, replacing the old imperial circles.

More controversially, all the states too small to be invited to the Conference would be annexed into the larger units represented at Wurzburg, as would be the remaining Catholic ecclesiastical lands, a nod to the insistent desire of Frederick I’s dead father Christian. Somewhat controversially, this will result in the acquisition by Saxony of the various tiny Counties of Lippe (which are completely inscribed within its territory) and the County of East Frisia (which is deemed strategically important as the seacoast adjacent to the Netherlands). The individual nobles of the counties are to be permitted to keep their lands and titles as vassals of the King of Saxony. Bavaria and Austria are not invited to participate, and the electorate principalities ruled by the Saxon king are also outside, as a concession both to their own independence and constitutions and to the history of the Habsburgs’ manipulating internal German politics with their external lands.

Other matters such as an imperial Diet and a court system would be left for later. Hesse-Darmstadt, which had been neutral for much of the Great War and sympathized extensively with the plight of the Habsburg Emperor, casts a vote against forming the empire. However, Mecklenburg, Anhalt, the Palatinate, Wurttemburg, Hesse-Kassel, Hesse-Wurzburg and Holstein vote to form the empire along the lines proposed by King Frederick I. Hesse-Darmstadt and Mecklenburg announce they would like to adjourn for a year to consider the matter of the choice for emperor and to allow the war in the north to die down, but once again they find themselves in effect shouted down: Anhalt, Hesse-Kassel, Hesse-Wurzburg, Wurttemburg, Palatinate, Holstein and Nassau all vote with the Saxons to create Frederick I Emperor of the new German Empire.

The coronation of Frederick I as Emperor is set for the following year, in Wittenberg. His official title will then be “His Imperial Majesty Frederick I, always August, Emperor of the Germans, King by birth of Saxony, and by election King of Bohemia, Duke of the Upper and Lower Silesia, and of the Upper and Lower Lusatia, Margrave of Moravia, the Supreme Protector of the Church of Martin Luther, Knight of the White Rose, the Heart and the Holy Cross.”

Von Dieskau pursues the Swedish army into East Prussia, landing another blow to them at Marienburg.

The news of the Constitution of Wurzburg reaches Gustavus II Adolphus at Rostock, where he is building fortifications against an expected Saxon onslaught. Dispirited, and fearing he may now face the armies of a united Germany, he agrees to the prior preconditions set for truce terms: the evacuation of his army from Mecklenburg and Pomerania.

The truce however is only operant between Saxony-Bohemia and Sweden, as King Frederick I Adam of Poland lays siege to Vilna.

Anna, sister of King Frederick I, marries Henry X in London four months after his coronation as the King of England.

1640
In one final service to the Emperor, Grotius is the Saxon-Bohemian representative to the Peace Conference of the North, which is held in Edinburgh, Scotland, and mediated by King Henry I. It is attended by representatives of Denmark, Sweden, Saxony-Bohemia, Poland, Mecklenburg, and England. Poland’s demand that its boundaries as of 1618 be recognized by Sweden is rejected out of hand, as is Sweden’s inflammatory counter-demand that Gustavus II Adolphus be recognized as King of Poland (in return for which he offers to return Courland and Prussia to Saxony). These preliminaries over, Grotius proposes that Sweden keep Livonia including its long-held region of Inflanty Polskie. Courland’s return to Saxony then makes sense as a buffer between Polish and Swedish territory. Grotius’s efforts to put Saxony forward as a guarantor of the peace however run aground when Sweden announces that while it may negotiate over Prussia and the territory it has seized in Pomerelia and Lithuania, it has no intention of negotiating away Courland.

At this point Grotius writes to Frederick I for permission to agree to a treaty that would recognize Swedish control over Courland and Semigallia in order to retrieve Prussia. Several weeks later the answer arrives from Wittenberg: under no circumstances. Desperate to find a compromise to end the war, Grotius asks the Swedes for some additional concession: they agree to cede the lip of Polish territory including Marienburg that extends east from the Vistula, otherwise surrounded by Prussia, which is technically speaking actually a concession the Swedes are making on the part of Poland.

The Polish diplomats, needing a treaty even worse than the Saxons or the Swedes and happy to have recovered as much territory from the Swedes as it appears they will, are willing to ratify the concession to Saxony. The Danes for their trouble also get their ancestral lands of the County of Oldenburg, whose count will now be their vassal, as well as the right to build a naval base at Konigsberg. As a result, the Treaty of Edinburgh is signed: Sweden officially annexes Livonia, the Inflanty Polskie, Courland and Semigallia. Saxony recovers Prussia from Sweden, and takes Malborskie from Poland. Poland recovers the Swedish occupied territory in Pomerelia and Lithuania.

Despite what he considers the minor abrogation of the negotiating authority received by Frederick, Grotius returns home certain that the final settlement represented in the Treaty of Edinburgh will be more than satisfactory. He is in fact cheered on his reentry to Wittenberg and feted by the Estates-General as the “great peacemaker, most blessed among men.” However, Frederick I is shocked when he is shown the terms and sees that Courland has been sacrificed to Sweden. He threatens to imprison Grotius and re-start the war, but is only dissuaded from doing so by his mother and the Electress Eleonore, who see the necessity in ending the great cycle of wars that have lasted for over twenty years. Reluctantly, Frederick I signs the Treaty of Edinburgh, but not before commanding that Hugo Grotius never enter his presence or serve his government in any capacity again.

On the occasion of his retirement, Grotius at the insistence of Eleonore and Elizabeth, receives the prestigious title of Duke of Cleves, an estate there near the Netherlands, and a pension for the rest of his life. Additional honorifics are voted him by the Estates General, with whom he is still remarkably popular.

In the gigantic Melanchthonkirch in Elster, Frederick I is crowned Emperor of the Germans and his wife Queen Sophia is crowned Empress. The attendees include the kings Christian IV of Denmark, Frederick I Adam of Poland, William I of the Netherlands, all of the remaining Protestant princes of Germany, and even the aging Duke Maximilian of Bavaria, Saxony’s former blood enemy. All the attendees are honored with banquets and gifts. The overwhelming theme of the occasion is the dawn of a new era for Germany, and the insignia for the event shows the Biblical scene of a sword being beaten into a plowshare.

Emperor Frederick I of Germany (1640-1676)
Several weeks later the Second Conference at Wurzburg commences, with the daunting task of mapping a final territorial disposition for Germany. At Eleonore’s suggestion, Frederick proposes the trade of territories to help consolidate the lands of the German princes: he will take the lands of the former Duchy of Kalenberg from Hesse-Kassel, which will remove an impediment to east-west travel from the Saxon lands of northern Germany. In return, Hesse-Kassel will receive the Upper Palatinate, by Bohemia but close to the lands of Hesse-Wurzburg. And in return for the Upper Palatinate, the Palatinate will receive lands from the Archbishopric of Trier and the Duchy of Bar. These arrangements are quickly approved by the three principals (though not by the Archbishop of Trier). All other ecclesiastical lands are officially liquidated, and boundaries are drawn up generally favoring rule by the nearest Protestant prince.

As a wholly separate matter Frederick I proposes the annexation of Pomerania by Saxony and the incorporation of the Duchy of Prussia directly into Saxony without the investiture of a new Duke from a different German house. This, more than any other issue since the German Protestants began the horse-trading and negotiation with which they’ve built the new empire, unsettles the conferees. It means that Saxony—already the largest German state even without the elective principalities on its eastern frontier included—will grow even larger. It seems as if Frederick I will reap his first defeat at the Second Wurzburg Conference when the Prince of Anhalt proposes a compromise, by which the princes will accept Saxony’s expansion now on the condition Saxony forswears ever expanding further. This is unacceptable to Frederick on its face, but is quickly modified so that Saxony instead forswears ever expanding again at the expense of another German prince, and that all other annexations by Saxony henceforth must be approved unanimously by the Electors. The plan is agreed upon and carries.

Additionally, Frederick I proposes the adoption of the Elector Frederick Henry’s religious laws, essentially granting freedom of worship to all Christians and affirmatively banning local authorities from interfering with services, rituals, processions, and religious properties belonging to one of the accepted faiths. This last provision with respect to religious properties is in fact more liberal than the Saxon rule, where Catholic churches were seized and converted during Frederick Henry’s time with great relish. The idea is to remove the grounds for potential religious discord by erring on the side of leniency. Though there is some discussion in favor of the Augsburg rule of cuius regio, eius religio by which individual princes could have autonomy to choose, but his subjects must follow his choice, the consensus quickly becomes that if the new German state is to enjoy peace there must be a more stable and flexible religious settlement than under the old Holy Roman Empire.

Finally, the princes scuttle the idea of a large formal legislature and instead decide to meet annually at Frankfurt, which is to be the new capital of the German Empire because of its historical relationship to the imperial institution.

Saxony for its part takes the Archbishopric of Cologne and the Bishopric of Paderborn in the partition of the ecclesiastical lands, which are exempt from the compromise agreed upon at the Second Wurzburg Conference.
 
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Valdemar II

Banned
One problem the Gottorp was Danish vassals before the 30 Years wars, so Gottorp is going to be part of Denmark.

Beside that the Duchy of Oldenburg first came under the Danish line in 1667.

So you need to give Denmark something more. Either Pommerania or Prussia. Pommeranian ducal line was closely related with the Danish royal line (even ruled Denmark for a few years), but that would give Denmark a large influence in the Empire, so Prussia would be the logical alternative, it would also focus Danish ambitions away from Germany and toward Poland and Sweden.
 
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Okay, this sounds like it may have to change.

Now as I understand it Sigismund III Vasa in our timeline wanted to intervene in Germany on the part of the Habsburgs. He was generally pro-Habsburg and in the Order of the Golden Fleece. But he was frustrated in doing so by the Sejm.

So in my timeline what has occurred is that the Habsburgs, immeasurably more fearful at the start of the war than they are in our timeline, make pretty outrageous promises to both Sigismund and the Elector of Brandenburg because they need to change the balance of power in the situation very quickly.

As a result, Sigismund III drags Poland-Lithuania into war really after strong-arming the Sejm. One of the problems he faces in doing so is that he's going to war with Poland's chief export market, so this ruins Poland's grain trade and hurts the economy. Then, the war which Poland did not want to enter and which is hurting Poland's economy begins to go badly and drag on. And on top of this in turn it's a war on the Protestants of Germany, both the Lutherans of Saxony and the Calvinists of the Palatinate and the mix of both that's present in Bohemia. So the Calvinist Radziwill revolts, really for all the above reasons.
Only way for strong-arming the Sejm I can think was to use army and in this case this would lead to a rokosz (while this can be classified as revolt, it was legal revolt), much wider than that of Zebrzydowsky.

Sigismund III's idea behind elevating Radziwill is him appealing to an idea of national unity and dispelling the specter of religious division so that the country is focused outward on the Swedish threat. I suppose one way of testing whether this is realistic would be to see what happens to these Catholic/Protestant, Polish/Lithuanian divisions in the time of the Deluge, which is a bit analogous to the situation I'm describing (Swedes from the north, Saxons from the west, and a long war with Russia just completed all working to exhaust and weaken the Poles).

All this discussion is very useful and interesting by the way: Poland features very heavily in the 1630's in my timeline, so I want to make sure I get everything right.
There were two separate armies with own separate command, with no common commander-in-chief beyond the king.
Frederick Adam the Duke of Teschen is elected King of Poland by the Sejm. No sooner is this accomplished and he crowned at Warsaw, but the Polish and Saxon ambassadors in Warsaw conclude a treaty of alliance in which Poland and Saxony-Bohemia guarantee each other’s security against all foes, and in which each grandiosely claims to put the other before all other allies. This provision, insisted upon by the Poles, is a direct reference to Gustavus II Adolphus.
He must be crowned in Krakow.
Frederick I Adam’s efforts to lead the relief of besieged Vilna fail, and the town falls to Gustavus II Adolphus. In a moment of extraordinary irony, Prince Wladyslaw’s army, which had marched north to intercept Frederick I Adam as he was campaigning against Gustavus II Adolphus, instead runs headlong into the army of Gustavus II Adolphus as Frederick I Adam retreats in another direction. Hence, Catholic rebel involuntarily collides with Lutheran invader. The defeat Gustavus II Adolphus metes out to Wladyslaw at Troki seriously diminishes the strength of the rebellion.
The actions of Wladislaw are somehow illogical. If he claimed the crown he must be fighting for Krakow instead of wandering in the Grand Duchy.
While this is minor issue Prussia and especially Curland weren't ethnically German.
 
Okay, I have to get to work on some changes to ancillary details to the timeline based on the suggestions of abas and Valdemar II as well as to correct some other problems (who would have thought there were three Counties of Lippe in the early sixteenth century?). But for the moment I just want to write a bit about this, because it really is pretty much my favorite thing from the timeline thus far.

The Edict of Dissolution is not the enactment of a strategy, the fulfillment of a conspiracy or the result of an agreement among princes. It is not even an act of princely arrogance. It is basically a young man refusing to submit himself humbly to the people he feels killed his father and grandfather (of course, he doesn't ponder much the fate of Ferdinand III's father). And it's the reproach of the moral absolutism of youth against the perceived cynicism of age.

So on one level it's a very human thing to have happen when it does. And Hugo and Eleonore really are left with no possible course of action but acquiescence, having already prevented the king from taking the reigns of power two years into his legal majority.

But at the same time the dissolution of the empire is the overthrow of an eight hundred year old political order with confirmed adherents throughout Germany. Consider a figure like Maximilian I of Bavaria, who is for all intents and purposes the grand old man of the German princes, and who has spent his reign in the advocacy of a conservative order that includes simultaneously the German imperial constitution and the Catholic Church.

To someone like him the declaration of a new and explicitly Protestant Empire is, literally, sacrilege. And he then drags himself to the coronation less because of any authentic cheer at the proceedings he's there to witness, but because he knows who's good wishes on which Bavaria now depends.

And not all the admirers of the imperial constitution, its institutions and traditions were Catholic, though the abuses of Ferdinand II had certainly polarized matters greatly.

But there is going to be push-back against Saxon imperialism. For the record, the division of the Electors of the second empire of six Saxon and nine non-Saxon is unofficially called the Anhalt Rule. This is so because Anhalt is completely inscribed territorially within Saxony, and so assumably in an imperial question Saxony really wanted to win its independence could not be guaranteed. However, that's not to say at this point that Saxony can't at its whim take out Nassau or Ansbach.

One last thing for discussion: the biggest factor in what I've been including in the timeline at the moment is relevancy to the central story about Saxony and the other German princes, but this brings up an interesting issue that I plan to address in some cases shortly and in some cases eventually: who have we not seen lately as actors in the timeline (which is the same as asking who have not been participants in the First General War), and what have they been doing while the rest of Europe was neck deep in Swedes and Spaniards?

Some minor players have actually made a break for it. And considering as much attention as the auld alliance gets at AH, I'm shocked no one's mentioned a certain side-detail from the 1630's.

Holy shit!


I just stared at that line for a minute before I fully processed it.

Man, this TL is getting intense.
 
One last thing for discussion: the biggest factor in what I've been including in the timeline at the moment is relevancy to the central story about Saxony and the other German princes, but this brings up an interesting issue that I plan to address in some cases shortly and in some cases eventually: who have we not seen lately as actors in the timeline (which is the same as asking who have not been participants in the First General War), and what have they been doing while the rest of Europe was neck deep in Swedes and Spaniards?

Some minor players have actually made a break for it. And considering as much attention as the auld alliance gets at AH, I'm shocked no one's mentioned a certain side-detail from the 1630's.
Things not mentioned so for and the Auld Alliance, eh?

Well, France has certainly been mentioned a fair bit, but not much at all has been said about the Scots. Italy, too, seems to have been skipped over a bit, which is somewhat surprising what with some of the economic-centric chapters and talk of scientific advancements.

And, as usual with many TLs here and not a direct harsh critique of yours specifically, not much outside of Europe in general has been mentioned. IOTL, Ming China was collapsing, Japan was opening and closing itself to European trade companies, the Mughals were gaily romping about in northern India, Persia was busy courting Catholic European support in their wars against the Ottomans, and nobody loves Africa, but there has been scant talk of this ITTL as of yet.
 
Okay, you are as it turns out right with respect to the County of Oldenburg, and I changed the timeline to reflect that. My mistake here is due to two things: one, the fact that the Danish royal house was Oldenburg and two, that every map I have ever seen of Europe in 1648 is colored so that one thinks of Oldenburg as an extension of Denmark. But the matter is now corrected, and Oldenburg is precisely what gets traded to Denmark as payment for their services. Which is certainly more generous now that we know they don't own Oldenburg in the first place.

Now Holstein-Gottorp becomes important at the end for several reasons: it's the state of origin of Frederick's Empress Christina, and it's one of the principalities invited to the Wurzburg Conference. The question of whether Holstein-Gottorp is Danish or "German" in the seventeenth century is a bit complicated. But what I understand is that Holstein became a state of the Holy Roman Empire in 1474. In 1490 it was divided into two parts, Holstein-Segeberg and Holstein-Gottorp, which are also known as Royal and Ducal Holstein. Essentially the former was the land of the King of Denmark held as a vassal of the Emperor and the latter was the land of the Duke of Holstein-Gottorp held as a vassal of the Emperor.

This map seems illustrative, even though it's from 1730. The red line indicates the imperial boundary.

http://www.hoeckmann.de/germany/schleswig-en.htm

Thanks for the feedback, certainly. Though the First General War is over, the Danes are going to continue to be very important in the timeline for the forseeable future.


One problem the Gottorp was Danish vassals before the 30 Years wars, so Gottorp is going to be part of Denmark.

Beside that the Duchy of Oldenburg first came under the Danish line in 1667.

So you need to give Denmark something more. Either Pommerania or Prussia. Pommeranian ducal line was closely related with the Danish royal line (even ruled Denmark for a few years), but that would give Denmark a large influence in the Empire, so Prussia would be the logical alternative, it would also focus Danish ambitions away from Germany and toward Poland and Sweden.
 
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