42. Maynard Jackson (D-GA)
42. Maynard Jackson (Democratic-GA)
January 20, 2001 - October 15, 2003
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“Politics is not perfect but it's the best available nonviolent means of changing how we live.”

When Dick Cheney announced his withdrawal from re-election, it was purportedly due to health reasons - a heart attack he had suffered earlier that week, as medical records and a visit to Walter Reed showed. Very little of the public bought it as the sole reason, though. His approval rating at that moment - after his near-miss acquittal by the Senate - sat at just 13%, according to Gallup. A fairly commonly early piece of Usenet political satire showed Cheney edited in place of Al Capone, giving his trademark grimace as he held a “Cheney/Bush For Cellmates 2000” sign.

And what of the Vice President? It was true that Cheney had clearly passed the baton to the young Jeb Bush, the ambassador whose work in the Levantine Wars had earned him accolades at home and a spot on the ticket, but to many it looked like just more of the same. The core question that dogged his new campaign seemed simple - what did Bush know, and when? That was why, when given the opportunity, not one but three candidates leapt into action. There was Joe Biden, the 1984 nominee, Delawarean Senator, and self-appointed leader of the Progressive tradition in Republican political circles. There was Dick Armey, the Texan darling of right-wing academic circles like the Mises Foundation, emphasizing the way that Greenspanomic policies responsible for the great boom of the 1990s had fallen by the wayside as Cheney mired himself in scandal. There was even Evan Mecham, the Arizonan demagogue whose fiery attitude towards cultural issues saw his detractors labeled him outright reactionary. All three of them hopped into the primaries quickly, determined to save the natural party of government from itself.

All three of them, as a consequence, took what was a unified bloc of anti-Cheney voters and scattered it to the winds. Though the Republican primaries were little more than window dressing compared to the Democratic “Primary Day,” they showed the nature of the chaos. Bush carried New Hampshire by the skin of his teeth, then Wisconsin went for Mecham, then Pennsylvania for Biden, then Massachusetts for Bush, then Nebraska for Armey, and on and on it went. By the convention, Bush was in the lead, but only with a plurality. The delegates, for their part, could tell the party was doomed to a loss, and honestly they couldn’t be bothered to have strong feelings about any of the candidates. What did it matter when all four of them were polling at a double-digit deficit with the Democrats anyways? Once Bush came out announcing an agreement with Armey and Biden, it was all over but the shouting.

But the shouting didn’t seem to want to stop. Some of the Mecham delegates, hurt by their being “blacked out,” wanted to flex their muscles with the electorate. Their newfound organization, the Heritage Party, had been slapped together by James Dobson and Howard Phillips back in 1999 as a means of electoral pressure following Cheney’s repeal of PAVA. It hadn’t been projected to have much of an influence, but retired three-term Representative Larry Pratt of Virginia made clear his intention to stand for the party’s first presidential nomination following the debacle at the RNC. Pratt’s campaign, though gaining some traction in right-wing circles - and some controversy for its meetings with hardline anti-immigration groups, the controversial right-wing radio host Pat Buchanan, and Christian Identity churches - was routinely strapped for cash and shut out of the main race, with the major parties ignoring him as little more than a gadfly. No matter how much or how eloquently he complained or tried to draw controversy, not much changed. Everyone knew he wasn’t going to be the next president, and for that matter neither was Jeb Bush.


*****

Before, this room in Atlanta might have been smoke-filled. But cigars were going out of fashion - some studies, it seemed, talking about the harms of smoking and finally bringing Big Tobacco to heel. So instead, the room was just another meeting room, and the party bosses talked over Ethiopian takeout - the situation over there in the eighties and nineties was tragic, but at least the refugee communities made brilliant food. The topic was simple: times were changing, and the party seemed to need to change too.

Al From spoke up first. “I’ve been saying it since Fritz crashed and burned. Times are changing. The workingmans’ party doesn’t get a majority anymore. But another party does - the one that our good friend here in Atlanta, Governor Jackson’s, been talking about. A handful of others too - Tony Earl, John Kitzhaber, Ed Markey, Lu Hardin. Folks like that poll a hell of a lot better.”

Bob Shrum chuckled. “If Pat was here” - referring to the populistic pollster and strategist - “he’d be throttling you for suggesting that. He hates that kind of politics.”

“Pat’s not here, though, and frankly fuck ‘im. Smug sonuvabitch can rot for all I care. He got lucky twenty years ago and still thinks he can milk it like he’s some kinda prophet.” This one came from James Carville, the doomed leader of the Miller campaign.

“Oh, don’t pretend you’re above it Jim. Not like you did much better last year.” Dick Morris couldn’t help himself, even though he really should have.

“We did our jobs! That little shit Rove they’ve got workin’ comms for the White House could turn the Little Sisters of the Poor into a demon if he wanted! I told ‘em to hammer jobs, jobs, jobs, it was the number one issue for people, especially against such an insider ticket. We knew it’d work.” That last statement from Carville seemed more like personal denial than a rebuttal.

The room was silent for a minute. The folks talking about reforming the party towards the center, towards the professional classes and even some suburbanites swayed by Cohn and Cheney, they didn’t expect to get this bogged down. They were all here for that idea of reforming the party they loved - New Democracy, for the party that had once been called The Democracy - but when even the strategists and bosses had to fight like cats, what did it say about them?

“Enough of that crap, Jim, Dick, really. Doesn’t matter why your guys lost unless you can tell us how to fix it. Onto business.” This came from the House Minority Leader Gary Hart - he was poised to take the gavel at last in 1998. He had ideas, after all, for what New Democracy could genuinely look like.


*****

Maynard Holbrook Jackson Jr. was seen as a rising prospect for the party, and had been since his governorship began. But then again, he had always seemed destined for public service. His father Maynard Sr. had been a Baptist minister and civil rights activist in Dallas, leaving a lasting impression on his son. When Jackson was fifteen, his father died, and from that point his grandfather John Wesley Dobbs, an early civil rights leader in Georgia responsible for the end of the “white primary” in the state, became a primary influence on his grandson. A prodigious student, Jackson graduated from Morehouse College at the age of eighteen, then went on to graduate law school at Boston College in 1961, upon which he joined the National Labor Relations Board as a lawyer.

But Beltway life wasn’t for Jackson. He knew he was doing good work with the NLRB, but as civil rights increasingly dominated the national conversation, President Fulbright’s attempts at dodging and delaying only further weighed on his conscience. Furthermore, his native Georgia had descended into a sort of provincial authoritarianism under Jim Gray’s boot, what with MLK's continuing political imprisonment and repeated attempts at resisting any sort of federal or judicial influence over Georgian segregation. So Jackson returned home to fight the good fight on the local level. As fate would have it, Jackson the activist met a young state senator named James Earl Carter, altering the paths the two men would take. Jackson would prove an invaluable surrogate and advisor for Carter, and Carter would prove a powerful backer for the young lawyer hoping to break into politics in his own right.

The politics of civil rights in the 1970s made this difficult to say the least. As the main political processes yielded slow and often halfhearted progress (the 1969 Civil Rights Act being the best example of this, legally ending segregation even though litigation surrounding those refusing to comply continued throughout the 1970s), a significant number of civil rights organizations found other ways of applying pressure. The Black Panther Party won city council elections from Chicago to Los Angeles, even notably electing Bobby Seale as Mayor of Oakland until his removal and arrest on trumped-up terrorism charges. Civil rights marches throughout the country were commonplace, occasionally resulting in scuffles with police and counter-protesters. The NAACP’s litigation related to noncompliance with federal civil rights laws was as effective as it was reviled in those communities. Every bit of ground was hard-fought.

The final universal extension of the franchise to all Americans 18 and older in 1978 changed the calculus. Voting rights were accessible to Black southerners for the first time, and given that much of the radical segregationist energy had fallen to the wayside, replaced by slow-and-steady compromise with Washington and the glut of economic benefits, proposals for genuine obstruction of their access to the voting booths had largely been ignored or - in an extraordinary case by Mississippi’s Bill Waller - vetoed in their entirety. It seemed voting rights, at least practically, had been accepted by the populace.

This did not automatically mean large-scale minority participation in politics. In Waller’s case, his veto went a long way in reconciling the divide between the Loyalists and Regulars in the split Mississippi Democratic Party, but the party was still fundamentally dominated by the crop of white populist that had come up as the energy behind strident segregationist politics tired itself out. Critics, especially in Black activist and academic circles, were the first to note that the idea of the “raceless populist” that so many southern Democrats used almost exclusively campaigned to white voters, as if to convince them that civil rights passing wouldn’t lessen their favoritism. This is not to imply the situation was better outside of the post-segregation south. The momentum of Black radicalism throughout the 1970s had largely waned, but as municipal politics in highly nonwhite cities began to trend more towards electing leadership more reflective of its community, those leaders often faced significant hurdles. A conflict-riddled Philadelphia was dubbed "Beirut on the Delaware" in the 1980s as Mayor Lucien Blackwell was routinely stonewalled by white Democrats aligned with ex-mayor Frank Rizzo on the city council. Countless others, from New York’s Percy Sutton to Detroit’s Kenneth Cockrel, faced intimidation and outright violence over hot-button issues like busing and housing integration as they sought to lead the way.

All of this was ongoing as Maynard Jackson was simply a man of Jimmy Carter’s inner circle, now a State Representative from Atlanta. Jackson had made a name for himself within his community for strong local services, often overlooked by statewide press but well-regarded in Atlanta. To him, this local strength in the state’s largest city was the perfect launchpad for a run for the state governorship in 1978, after Carter made clear his intent to return home to Plains (even though he would return to serve as the inaugural Secretary of Energy in 1981). Though he ultimately lost to Carter’s chosen successor Bert Lance, he won the entirety of Atlanta in the primary, which was notable in its own right. Jackson’s profile from that run paved the way for his 1981 bid for Atlanta’s mayorship, having made significant inroads in his time out of office. His victory received attention from the national press, as it seemed too perfect - the 26th Amendment had passed months prior, and now here was the first Black mayor of a major southern city. It seemed a sign of true progress and healing.

Mayor Jackson was many things to many people. His agenda seemed to eschew the historic nature of his election, for better or worse. His marquee public works projects both related to transportation in the form of a major expansion of the MARTA rapid-transit rail system and the groundbreaking on the Atlanta International Airport (later dubbed Jackson-Carter), both of which helped to draw public investment to Atlanta. A model vision for equitable distribution of other infrastructure funds helped to keep thriving minority communities together instead of paved over by freeways. Heavy lobbying with President Collins even led to BMW granting its planned first assembly facility in the United States to Atlanta, a major accomplishment for both Collins and Jackson. Jackson’s hiring of the first Black police chief in 1983 drew some initial controversy from white Atlantans, exacerbated when his choice was revealed to have been complicit in a police exam cheating scandal. Some tend to view this - and his selection’s subsequent firing - as the start of Jackson’s “overcompensation” on crime, though the truth is always more complicated. By 1982, Atlanta had the highest murder rate of any city in America, and the clamor for a crackdown was simply unavoidable. Regardless, Jackson’s personal oversight of the Atlanta Child Murders cases helped to allay tensions and build his reputation as a tough-on-crime leader, even personally overseeing convicted suspect Wayne Williams’ execution. Come 1989, Jackson’s second term as mayor had come to a close. He had attained a relatively strong profile as the man who turned Atlanta, once seen as a hotbed of crime and racial resentment, into a city that lived up to its motto of “too busy to hate.”

Jackson, naturally, saw this as a launchpad, and in his last year in office made clear his intent to run for the governorship. To a number of those in Democratic circles in the state, this was met with incredulity. Jackson had been a swell mayor, there was no denying that, but the idea of a Black man as governor of the whole state? It seemed unthinkable. There were still Gray supporters in the state legislature, for chrissakes! The people just weren’t ready for that yet - hell, a decent chunk of the suburbs of his own city had voted for Cohn, and that trend didn’t seem to be going away anytime soon. But Jackson hardly cared. He knew that in Atlanta itself, it was a different story - he could win virtually any Democratic primary in the city. Furthermore, the bloc of enfranchised Black voters had hardly been seized upon in primary campaigns, and Jackson reasoned that high Black turnout plus a sizable minority of white Georgians would put him over the top. Former Governor Carter and former President Collins’ endorsements went a long way too, as Carter was perhaps the best-respected governor of Georgia in living memory and Collins no slouch in Democratic politics despite her failed impeachment. A slate of strong campaigns around how Jackson had made job growth go up and violent crime rates go down resonated deeply with a number of white liberals and populists. Despite a deeply split primary between Jackson, Governor Mike Bowers’ handpicked successor Ham Jordan, and flamboyant state Attorney General McCracken Poston, Jackson’s dominance in the state’s largest cities combined with a non-trivial performance in rural southern Georgia handed him the victory. Though his campaign against Representative Paul Coverdell in the general was the closest it had been statewide in Georgia in decades, the Democrats’ dominance combined with Roy Cohn’s brief unpopularity in the south lent Jackson an expected history-making victory.

Governor Jackson, now the subject of national attention as the first Black governor of a formerly segregated state (though New Jersey’s Ken Gibson was the first Black governor overall), sought to make good on his promises, reasoning that potential backlash could be mitigated the same way he had largely done so in Atlanta. True to form, proposals focused on public investment and new industries in Atlanta - hoping to create a localized version of the “Silicon Lakes,” as the tech hubs stretching from Minneapolis to Buffalo were dubbed - flew through the legislature and were earnestly touted by Jackson. A measured crackdown on crime - including a focus on harsh penalties for drug dealers and repeat offenses - had its expected supporters and detractors, but in the environment of the Cohn years it seemed a welcome alternative to the overarching view of Democrats as “weak on crime.”

But it wasn’t those issues that propelled his national star. It first came to note when Jackson offered his official apologies on behalf of the state of Georgia to Martin Luther King. The father of the civil rights movement would die of a heart attack in 1997, and as he lay in state in Georgia the national press took note of just how far the nation had come that a man once held as a political prisoner in a state could now lie in its capital. Jackson’s eulogy of the deceased icon as a time not just for reflection on a great man’s life but how the nation can honor his memory earned him high praise, and his steps in the immediate aftermath seemed like earnestly following through on this. His call for the redesign of the state’s 1956 flag - one of the Deep Southern flags to incorporate the Stars and Bars - led to a major picketing by the Sons of Confederate Veterans and a serious controversy. Jackson’s talk of reconciliation, how the flag doesn’t represent all the people of Georgia and how it’s time for the state to move on to a brighter future, didn’t necessarily quell the firestorm but certainly showed him as a calm and thoughtful leader through it all. An odd alliance of urban Democrats and moderate Republicans against suburban Republicans and rural Democrats ultimately narrowly passed the change, reverting the state flag to the pre-1956 one and cementing the idea of Atlanta as the capital of progress in the South. As Jackson also became the first Georgia governor to run for a third term since Jim Gray’s ill-fated attempt, plenty worried about whether the cultural issues and true national profile afforded to Jackson would doom him, but these were ultimately unfounded, even as former Governor Mike Bowers attempted to launch an ill-fated primary off of supposed Democratic discontent (derailed by revelations of an extramarital affair he had been conducting). It seemed the Jackson treatment had been vindicated by the people after all.

Now with the national spotlight on him and an unpopular incumbent, Maynard Jackson was determined to keep the narrative. Privately, he hadn’t been so sure about the presidency, but the Cheney years and the resounding success of the multicultural coalition in breaking the Republican stranglehold on the west was proof enough to him. So, in 1999, Jackson announced his intent to contest the Democratic nomination. Paradoxically, while party insiders were antsy about the dynamics of nominating a Black candidate, the media couldn’t get enough of the idea of the “first serious Black candidate” - a phrase that surely made Adam Clayton Powell turn over in his grave. Jackson blitzed his way through the news shows and late-night talk shows, coolly explaining his pitch towards a focus on the domestic instead of causing far-off scandals. While he fielded some awkward questions, most infamously “do you think America is ready for a Black man as its president?” (to which he responded by saying “I think Americans care more about whether their president cares about them than whether they’re Black or white. They want a president who fights for good-paying jobs, safer streets, and better schools for their kids - which our current president has not”), overall Jackson’s empathetic pitch seemed to resonate with a public who knew Dick Cheney didn’t have an excess of empathy.

The factionalism in the Democratic Party was another story. Tom Hayden’s crushing loss had vindicated the idea of going rightwards to many - Alabama hadn’t voted Republican in eons, and yet it broke because of him! But even then, Zell Miller’s attempt at doubling down on the sort of workingmans’ populism that had crossed the Democratic South hadn’t done much good either. The party’s roots, both in radical reformism and appeals to the common man, hadn’t seemed to go much of anywhere in Roy Cohn’s America. A new sort, the “New Democracy” as it were since their formation in 1991, seemed to have a different view of where it needed to go. In their eyes, the view of the Democratic Party as one of bloated inefficient government and out-of-touch social politics was damaging the party. Jackson had affiliated himself with this strain, as had countless others vying for the nomination in 2000. Speaking directly to a conference for the New Democracy, Jackson laid bare his plans for “a party of the center-left” - one of reasonable reformism, efficiency, and largely accepting of certain Cohnite doctrines. After all, what had he done in Georgia if not followed their agenda? To the rest of the DNC leadership in attendance watching him speak, it was clear that Jackson was no radical, and they could rest easy.

All of this combined with an energetic campaign and his high profile led Jackson to a solid victory on Primary Day. He had always been the most high-profile candidate, but by no means was assured victory, and while securing just over 50% of the vote was strong, it still only meant about a quarter of the delegates were pledged. To this end, he pursued the second-place candidate - a similar New Democracy supporter, but one of a different persuasion and demeanor - and fashioned an agreement. Announcing his vice-presidential pick before the convention was relatively gutsy, but given his victory it helped to solidify the idea that Jackson was the frontrunner, nevermind securing the delegates of the runner-up - and the only person who seemed reasonably close to him as a challenger - behind him. The party also saw this as proof that he’d be ultimately reasonable, and as such effectively nominated him by acclamation.

Now in the general election, Jackson chose to ape Adlai Stevenson and go abroad soon. Positive headlines of his meetings spanning multiple continents, whether it be with Argentine opposition politician and future president José Octavio Bordón, Italian President Walter Veltroni, Australian Prime Minister Geoff Gallop, Iranian President Muhammad Khatami, or in the most publicized instance, an extremely thoughtful discussion with Nelson Mandela. Mandela had come to be regarded as an icon of anti-apartheid while also being deeply critical of the SACP’s anti-democratic turn, so much so that his work as a continental figure for human rights seemed almost a form of unofficial exile. Jackson being seen with Mandela on clearly good terms seemed to only reinforce the idea that he was committed to the same sort of foreign policy of human rights, and he returned home with a boosted profile and his face on the front of newspapers from Brasilia to Bonn.

While the Bush campaign tried to keep up, presenting Jeb as a strong defender of American values, it simply couldn’t keep up. Jeb was an awkward campaigner, prone to tripping over his sentences when he got fired up. While he hadn’t been implicated in the MILF Scandal, enough voters were upset about it to bring Republican enthusiasm dangerously low compared to the high marks on integrity that Jackson got. Matters were made worse when Hurricane Gregory made landfall in Florida and southern Georgia, flooding the region and causing significant damage. At first, as Jeb Bush met with Governor Tom Feeney to deal with the flooding in Tallahassee, it seemed a moment of genuine compassion and active leadership from the Vice President. Unfortunately, Bush was photographed laughing boyishly at a joke cracked by one of the other state government leaders, and the picture’s circulation only seemed further proof that Bush didn’t care much about Americans at home. Jackson largely declined to comment, knowing the damage was done for Bush and withdrawal from campaigning to focus on the damages in Georgia was getting him enough good comparisons in the press anyways. Debates came and went, with Jackson seeming like an eminently reasonable and compassionate leader next to, as Jeb was unfairly branded by left-leaning pundits, a stuttering dork. An infamous moment in the vice-presidential debate where John Andrews, Colorado Senator and Bush’s running mate, branded allowing women and GSM people to serve in the military as “fundamentally at odds with American values” earned immense controversy in its own right, even if it had the side effect of cutting Heritage’s momentum and denying them the 5% needed for federal funds. Even with all of this, plenty were still surprised at the scale of Jackson’s victory.


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*****
I, Maynard Holbrook Jackson, do solemnly swear…

The young law professor shivered in the cold January air. He had been used to this kind of weather in Chicago, but somehow the day was even more bitter when you expected it to be warm. But it didn’t matter much to him, and it didn’t seem to matter much to anyone else there. It was one of the highest attendance inaugurations in history, with over a million people expected to be there. They were all willing to suffer the rare snow in Washington to see this kind of moment.

…that I will faithfully execute the Office of President of the United States…

He had been invested early on in the campaign. Though he was just a professor at the University of Chicago, he had still donated, gotten involved in the local chapters of Jackson for President. The idea of bringing all the people out of the shadows, showing America as the tapestry of people of all colors and creeds that it was, the idea was alluring to him. It had been to countless others, too - not many primary campaigns have little room for a connected professor, but the Jackson campaign was stuffed to the gills.

…and will to the best of my ability, preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States…

Some said it was because they were friendlier with big money than the Democrats of yore. It might be true, even. But even then, the focus on young professionals - like that professor - was one that bore fruit, and it was something he deeply appreciated. After all, plenty of people had come from little like him and come out in a solid spot, yet still felt second-class in the America of old. Maynard Jackson had seemed the first politician to truly speak to it, to speak to skinny kids with funny names like the professor in God knows how long.

…so help you God?

Even that wasn’t really why he was there, though. Nobody liked thinking of their identity as an obligation, but if he was being honest, Barack Obama just knew he was supposed to be at this kind of historic inauguration.

So help me God.

*****

Now firmly in office and with sizable - though unfortunately smaller than expected - majorities behind him in Congress, President Jackson could set to work in earnest. While some commentators gripe about the missed opportunity for sweeping change, often-moderate congressional leadership embodied by Speaker Gary Hart and Senate Majority Leader Cliff Finch knew their caucus simply wouldn’t support such proposals. Jackson himself was inclined to agree - he and his running mate had been elected as staunch New Democracy believers, and that’s exactly what they were. They had explicitly rejected sweeping state controls in favor of a more regulatory approach, one with government as guidance. So, while proposals to re-nationalize the TVA and universalize free higher education were little more than fodder for left-wingers’ meetings, the administration pursued other means. GSM activists cheered when the ban on homosexuality in the military was lifted by the Milk-Biden Act, passing with a respectable amount of bipartisan support. Education funds were significantly increased to focus on “low-access communities,” ranging from the Rio Grande Valley to working-class towns in the Steel Belt to poor inner city neighborhoods and helping to send a new generation of kids to college. Similar small mercies in the grand scheme of things came through in that mythic first Hundred Days.

The big proposal was a natural focus - immigration. It was, after all, the multicultural coalition that won 1998 and 2000 for the Democrats, and it was Chicano activists who the party had to thank for its breakthrough in the west. Plus, immigration reforms had been a mainstay of left-wing circles ever since the glaring inequities of the farm-work system had become clear. Now seemed as good a time as any to finally help to lay the issue to rest. After weeks of deliberation, the end proposal - the Immigration Reform Act, or Anaya Bill for the New Mexican Senator behind it - would be a genuine revolution. Those admitted for short-term work visas would have a path to citizenship, with the option to bring immediate family with them if they so wished. Labor and minimum wage laws would also be extended to cover short-term contract workers in their entirety with actual teeth, helping to prevent the cycle of abusive working situations for meager pay that was seemingly inherent to the Bracero Program. Furthermore, in a direct sop to the Sanctuary Movement, points of high entry would enter into a sanctuary program as places of first resettlement and processing for refugees, with willing support from previous sanctuary institutions. It was the type of bill President Jackson took to the Rose Garden to announce, something that’d “let all colors shine brightly in our great American rainbow.”

The IRA’s resistance was extremely stiff, unexpectedly so. Big agribusinesses out west did not take kindly to the massive costs and ran an ad campaign focused on exaggerations of ways the IRA would pass costs onto the consumer, with one notable ad showing a couple despairing as they read off their receipt for a meager amount of food. Furthermore, anti-refugee pressure groups like American Citizens for Legal Entry sprouted up with huge funding, platformed by STN - now the SKY Network - and the rest of the Murdoch empire. Bombastic right-wing performers grew in the public consciousness as the IRA seemed a perfect proposal to channel latent anxieties surrounding not just the race of the president but further access for non-white people to American society as equals. The White House panicked when a special Senate election in bright-yellow West Virginia yielded a narrow victory for Republican businessman John Raese off the backs of white anxiety. Even stripping the Sanctuary proposals, in no small part due to the intransigence of populist southern Democrats demoralized by the West Virginia results, couldn’t save the IRA as it was reluctantly scrapped following its failure in the Senate in late 2001.

Even though the immigration debacle had blown up in Jackson’s face, there was far too much to consider on the global scale. The Asian Spring, as it was broadly dubbed, was a collection of floating issues from Taipei to Bangkok. In short, a number of authoritarian governments had simply run out of time, and combined with a regional economic slump, their transition to the new millennium was far rockier. This naturally led to a new wave of refugees reaching the shores of everywhere from Australia to India to even the United States and significant headaches for the authoritarians’ patrons in Washington.

In South Vietnam, though mass protest could not force Nguyễn Cao Kỳ from office, a palace assassination certainly did so, destabilizing the country significantly as the knife-fighting between lower-level cronies turned into a distinct lack of succession. The stickier issue came when the new ramshackle civilian government seemed set to elect the Democratic Revolutionary Party, the left-wing nationalist association of former Viet Cong fighters, as the new government. The tense standoff between Ky-supporting military elements and President-Elect Trương Như Tảng ended in a forty-four hour military government followed by a daring Viet Cong rescue of Tảng from the Saigon prison he had been taken to, allowing him to take power in earnest. Privately, an order to stand down from Langley helped significantly in ensuring a peaceful transfer, though a North highly comfortable in the status quo didn’t quite know what to make of it.

Taiwan was a similar story, as the “Green Revolution” coursed through the streets and brought the KMT down at long last. Though Chiang Wei-kuo would flee the country before facing justice, his compatriots were largely able to stand trial for their actions as the new longtime-opposition DPP government of Hsu Hsin-liang focused on reconciliation and peace for the fraught people of Taiwan. Talk of gradual denuclearization was welcome, but also deeply contentious within the Taiwanese public - especially with conservatives who still backed the KMT and those who felt reconciliation across the straits was an unworthy goal with the current Mao Yuanxin regime’s sheer revolutionary fervor.

In Indonesia, one of the largest countries on earth, the addled and aging General Nasution had finally passed away in his sleep, leaving the nation at a crossroads for the first time in decades. All sects of the populace seemed to have a vendetta, whether it be the peasant militias who had suffered the general’s “Shock Therapy,” Islamists who saw the pro-western leanings of the general’s Indonesia as a betrayal, regionalists who had felt the neglect all too keenly, or even nationalists who had tired of his facade of a true Indonesian patriot. As one, the people of Indonesia rose in their demand for change, and even through the anti-dictatorship movement’s deep divides they found one woman to agree upon: Megawati Sukarnoputri, a sanctioned opposition figure due to her notoriety as the daughter of the beloved Sukarno, whom Nasution had overthrown with US support all those years ago. Though Indonesia would descend into chaos in a matter of years during its transition for all of the exacerbated divides in its society, as the rats fled the sinking ship Sukarnoputri’s indirect election to the presidency seemed the start of a new era.

And of course, there was Cheney’s folly in the Philippines. The collapse of the Singson government had, at first, seemed cause for relief, but as the ensuing government seemed woefully unequipped to deal with the rising tensions in Mindanao. Come the next election in 2002, the election of Raul Roco to the presidency terrified hardliners in the military, who saw Roco as a reformist who’d give it all away to MILF. Quickly, the Chief of Staff of the Armed Forces engineered a pre-emptive coup against President-Elect Roco. As Roco fled to Cambodia, newly sworn in military President Angelo Reyes declared “a total war on MILF” in his first address. It seemed that, as Cheney sowed the wind, the people of the Philippines were the ones who would reap the whirlwind.

For the United States, this posed a much larger problem. A new wave of Asian refugees, especially from the Philippines and Thailand, quickly became a tough political football. Many long nights in Washington were spent agonizing how best to handle the situation given the political circumstances post-IRA. Eventually, though, the decision was simple: it was a moral imperative to help. Jackson made clear in a primetime address that the United States was committed to building a framework with local nations to take in the refugees, as well as taking a number into the United States. If the IRA had infuriated many, then the United States aiding a wave of refugees practically revived Yellow Peril rhetoric. Right-wing fury turned towards strain on our welfare systems, housing capabilities, and virtually every social service they could use as a cudgel. Canada’s Prime Minister Stockwell Day became a darling of American conservatives for his tough negotiation to reduce his nation’s commitments, though it did little to improve Day’s standing at home. Republican candidates for the midterms added the new refugee wave to the list of Jackson’s sins, alongside high taxes and the disastrous rollout of the IRA.

In the end, those Republican candidates came out ahead. Robert S. Walker’s “Radicals,” new to House leadership given the Pennsylvanian’s acerbic style, emerged from that November with a number of high-profile Democratic scalps, reversing in an instant many Democratic gains in the west and cutting into the southern suburbs to a level not seen since Roy Cohn’s peak. Now-Speaker Walker - with Gary Hart’s caucus firmly pushed to the minority after a staggering fifty-eight seat loss - could run the House as he saw fit. Though the Senate narrowly stayed in Democratic hands, to many the House results alone seemed a stinging rebuke for the White House.

Even with the domestic agenda mostly halted, the Jackson administration’s real prize had finally come in 2003. It was to be a historic moment, the type of thing that presidents salivate over as a chance to carve their legacy in stone. Back in 2000, Valentina Tereshkova - the Iron Lady herself - had announced her intent to retire from the leadership of the Soviet Union. Though many of the old men of her decade and a half of power vied for the top role, she made clear that her successor was to be a similarly radical departure - Grigory Yavlinsky. The young Ukrainian Finance Minister was perhaps the most radical reformist in Moscow, a rare case of a Soviet official challenging bureaucratic inefficiencies and winning. His reforms had been instrumental in the USSR’s transition towards what proponents called “market socialism” and more orthodox communists sneered at as “state capitalism,” but relative economic prosperity had certainly helped to smooth over many of the tensions and contradictions of the Union. Yavlinsky had his eye on more, though. He wanted the Soviet Union as a genuine player in the global economic system.

The Cheney administration, at its tail end and hampered by the MILF Scandal, largely ignored these overtures. Jackson and his team - especially Secretary of State Nancy Pelosi and Secretary of the Treasury Bradford DeLong - saw the idea, and thought it was good. Damn good, even. Opening trade with the Eastern Bloc had long been a point of anti-communist rhetoric, and trade with the Soviets was seen as beneficial to all sides in the free-market mentality of many of the economic minds of the center-left. So they moved cautiously at first - an aside here, an unofficial ambassador sent to the other nation there - but once it was abundantly clear that both sides were damned serious, the plans for something greater began. A summit aimed at finally winning the peace.

Plenty of moments have been pointed to as turning points away from a bipolar Cold War. The UNPROFOR situation in the Levantine Wars was certainly an unprecedented kind of cooperation between Washington and Moscow. The rise of the Usenet had similarly helped to connect people across the globe, making it easier to see the opposing side as people and not a ravenous enemy. There were other moments, too - India’s intervention in Burma during Saw Maung’s attempted crackdown on mass demonstrators against his repression, including a battleship at the mouth of the Yangon River, seemed like the type of power exertion that only one of the two global superpowers could carry out. Ghanaian President Kofi Annan famously proclaimed the 21st century “the African New Millennium” in a speech to the United Nations, and as the leader of one of the “Lion Economies” of Africa he certainly seemed to have weight to throw around behind that. Times certainly seemed to be changing. There was no denying, though, that the Cold War definitively ended in Stockholm in 2003.

Stockholm was only the natural choice, after all. Ion Iliescu over in Romania called his reformist independent line “the Sweden Model,” and meeting as the aggressively democratic-socialist Prime Minister Bosse Ringholm’s guests seemed symbolic of that sort of future of genuine reform. The first round of talks, just between Jackson and Yavlinsky, seemed the type of moment pop historians were waiting for to declare the conflict between East and West dead and buried. On February 11th, 2003 - chosen specifically as the end of the Yalta Conference in 1945 - President Jackson and Premier Yavlinsky left Stockholm with an agreement allowing Warsaw Pact accession to the global economic order, a change that seemed all but certain in September with the first meetings announced for the negotiation of the “Arctic Nations Trade Agreement” between the United States, Canada, Denmark, Norway, and the Soviet Union.

Conservatives in both countries howled, naturally. The American right stoked anxieties about the trustworthiness of the Soviets as a negotiating partner, currency manipulation, and continuing imperial domination of Eastern Europe. Former New York Representative turned SKY host Gordon Liddy made headlines when he controversially outright accused President Jackson of being a KGB agent, seeming like a callback to the usual trope of calling civil rights movement leaders communist assets. The Soviet right, focusing similarly about bowing to the capitalist hegemony and tossing final revolutionary victory (with them at the helm, naturally) overboard, immediately began machinations to attempt to dislodge Yavlinsky at the time in 2005 when his term as Premier was to be renewed, as while his kulturny-laden approach to government was popular with urban professionals and younger people, plenty of ardent communists saw him as an outright traitor. One young deputy - Vladimir Zhirinovsky from the Kazakh SSR - went into an antisemitic rant about the Jewish Yavlinsky on the floor of the Supreme Soviet, leading to a highly coerced resignation from his post. “You’d think they want us to not acknowledge that the sky is blue if Moscow said so,” groused Treasury Secretary Brad DeLong in an interview about his role in the groundbreaking agreement.

The idea the Cold War was over did seem about as obvious as the color of the sky outside of the big two superpowers and their closest allies, though. Other blocs had been proliferating for some time. The second UAR seemed perhaps the most potent example of this as a direct integration of multiple aligned regionalists, especially when more pro-western governments in the region - Iran, Pakistan, Turkey, Jordan, and a smattering of petromonarchies - formed their own strategic pact seemingly specifically in opposition to its growing influence. The EEC grappled with the accession of neutral nations like Austria and Sweden, as well as the idea of a hypothetical application by Warsaw Pact reformists and even Yugoslavia. The Indian-led South Asian Community had slowly begun to absorb democratizing states from New Delhi to Saigon, especially as the new democrats wished to reject the legacy of American-backed dictatorship. OAS summits grew in profile as whispers of Pan-American integration spread through the hemisphere, with the New Democracy and Cohnite Republicans dreaming of a bicontinental trade zone alike, with both left-populist and far-right opposition. Beijing had founded the “Fifth International” fully intending to thumb their nose at the Soviets for their increasing pragmatism, drawing in a motley crew of third worldists and bankrolling a number of revolutionaries in the Global South. Africa was not to be dominated again, though - ECOWAS stretching from Senegambia to Biafra and the DRC-driven African Development Union both sought to find a way to hang together instead of letting African nations hang separately. The world had already seemingly changed, blocs had fractured and become more complicated. International theorists spoke of multipolarization, of the end of the simple distinctions between Capitalist, Communist, and Other that had driven the field for so long.

What, then, would American foreign policy look like in a changed world? To the Jackson administration, that question was answered as Rwanda burned. The country’s simmering tensions had boiled over with the assassination of its president, and as the Hutu military government sought to exact its revenge in blood, the Jackson administration saw the situation as deeply untenable. So, in a well-remembered address to the United Nations, President Jackson laid out a new foreign policy doctrine. The rising standards professed by Adlai Stevenson returned in full force, with American guns behind them. Genocidaires - like those of Rwanda - would not be tolerated. The move was broadly popular within that broad center of American politics Jackson had kept to - signing onto a Republican banking deregulation proposal to avert government funding drying up - but for very different reasons. Regardless, on October 1st, 2003, President Jackson signed the Authorization for Use of Military Force in Rwanda, officially entering into a peacekeeping anti-genocide operation.

But Maynard Jackson would not be the one to deal with a changing world in a new millennium. Nor would he be the one to preside over the growing talks after South Korea’s President Choo Mi-ae traveled to Pyongyang to meet with Yon Hyong-muk, an unprecedented step on the Korean peninsula. Nor would he be there in Northern Ireland as Prime Minister Michael Howard sought to make good on the mandate his argument for greater security had given him over David Owen. He wouldn’t even be the one to touch on the rising issues of big technological firms, early science pointing to pollution as an existential crisis, and further social reform. Just two weeks after signing the AUMF, President Maynard Jackson suffered a near-fatal heart attack en route to meet with soldiers flying out to Rwanda. He was promptly rushed to Walter Reed, where expectations of a full recovery within a matter of days were dashed by a second heart attack, this one fatal.

Maynard Jackson, being so close to living memory, remains somewhat controversial. Proponents point to “victory” in the Cold War, while opponents ask what that victory cost. Plenty of mainline Democrats espouse his less class-oriented multicultural coalition as the path forward for the left-of-center in the United States, though leftist-minded figures and southern populists - whose discomfort is, oddly enough, never specified much - grouse about missed opportunities and the eschewing of the class politics that built the New Deal Consensus. Republicans see much more of what he did as the undermining of America’s position and the end result of the politics of human rights over realpolitik. Regardless of the brevity of his tenure, Jackson remains iconic in his own right. The idea of a Black President in America - once a curiosity for television, such as Avery Brooks’ portrayal of Benjamin Marshall on Aaron Sorkin’s The American President - now seemed like a sign of changing times, both in a more diverse nation and in a world whose orientation was increasingly shifting towards the Global South.
 
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Deeply apologetic but the next chapter will be up by the weekend, not Wednesday -- I have a lot of schoolwork to work through and as such my chapter about Jackson's vice president has been placed temporarily on the backburner. Midterms as a full-time student, man...

Unlike last time, I cannot guarantee supplementary material on the Wednesday slot -- obviously Enigma may prove me wrong if he so chooses, but he spent a lot of time on those lists last week and I feel it unrealistic and cruel to set up the expectation that that Herculean effort of content should be made mandatory during my lapses.

I cannot thank you all enough for the overwhelming support for our timeline thus far. Your comments and compliments mean the world to us both -- and, as the junior writer of us both in terms of TL/IAW experience, me especially.

Although neither of us know precisely how the next terms unfurl, we are swiftly nearing the end of the line, and we hope you've enjoyed the sights as we near the tail end of our journey!
 
Deeply apologetic but the next chapter will be up by the weekend, not Wednesday -- I have a lot of schoolwork to work through and as such my chapter about Jackson's vice president has been placed temporarily on the backburner. Midterms as a full-time student, man...

Unlike last time, I cannot guarantee supplementary material on the Wednesday slot -- obviously Enigma may prove me wrong if he so chooses, but he spent a lot of time on those lists last week and I feel it unrealistic and cruel to set up the expectation that that Herculean effort of content should be made mandatory during my lapses.

I cannot thank you all enough for the overwhelming support for our timeline thus far. Your comments and compliments mean the world to us both -- and, as the junior writer of us both in terms of TL/IAW experience, me especially.

Although neither of us know precisely how the next terms unfurl, we are swiftly nearing the end of the line, and we hope you've enjoyed the sights as we near the tail end of our journey!
I understand. Schoolwork has caused a lot of issues with my ongoing TL as well, which I recommend checking out.
 
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Deeply apologetic but the next chapter will be up by the weekend, not Wednesday -- I have a lot of schoolwork to work through and as such my chapter about Jackson's vice president has been placed temporarily on the backburner. Midterms as a full-time student, man...

...

Although neither of us know precisely how the next terms unfurl, we are swiftly nearing the end of the line, and we hope you've enjoyed the sights as we near the tail end of our journey!

Nothing to worry about there! It's ready when it's redy, and you're doing this as a hobby.

Have just caught up with this timeline, after reading the other multi-author ones "All Along The Watchtower", "Our Long National Nightmare" and "What it Took".

Since this is the currently active one, just thought I would say I though they were all excellent, as is this one!

Nice to see the professor / "skinny kid with the funny name" at Jackson's inauguration 🙂

Though I would note, as a non-American, I've not heard of Maynard Jackson. Also wouldn't have assumed he was black from the photo, so that took on the nature of an unintended twist in the text of the entry - during this section

His victory received attention from the national press, as it seemed too perfect - the 26th Amendment had passed months prior, and now here was the first Black mayor of a major southern city. It seemed a sign of true progress and healing.

After which I looked him up (which in turn spoiled the nature of his exit from office, but never mind).

Anyway, you've taken us on many twists and turns. Who knew Kennedy being even more Kennedy would lead to Presidents Roy Cohn and Cheney‽
 
Oh, right, I might as well say Extra hiatus -- chapter will be out soon but not this weekend. I'm genuinely so sorry about this, but it's been a tough week. Finally got a vision for the chapter in my head and my homework backlog mostly cleaned through. So, here's hoping!

Enigma is busy, too, though I will hopefully have supplemental material up after my chapter to cover for Enigma's absence!

Thank you all for your understanding, again.
 
Only found this TL a week ago, and just caught up now. This is fantastic. There's so much that could be said about the creative and inspired figures used, or how common picks have been given their own twists, or the unusual amount of focus that's been given to foreign affairs here (normally ignored in the TLIA list format)… but what I'm going to single out here is how the TL strikes a balance between massively diverging from OTL and merely tinkering around the edges. That's probably best encapsulated in the development of the US party politics. For example, it
seems like the lack of landslide victories has effectively 'locked in' the early 1960s coalitions, which then leads to the US developing an east-vs-west electoral map… but at the same time, this map doesn't replace the traditional divisions either, and the Democrats still grapple with their north-vs-south tensions. Or how the trends of OTL are rarely averted entirely, but delayed or happen under different circumstances and contexts. It leads to an intriguing situation where the world both resembles our own world, yet doesn't. It's like a conversation with OTL rather than a do-over.

Also, it's really fun how, due to different career trajectories, several figures have managed to stick around much longer than IOTL and end up being associated with different time periods — like Nixon hanging around in the Senate into the '80s, or in the latest chapter, Cliff Finch and (I presume) Harvey Milk. It's not the most difficult thing to work in… but like I said, it's fun. I always get a kick out of it.

I hate to end this comment on a bum note, but I did spot a contradiction. In the Roy Cohn chapter, we're told that the President of Mexico during the Spanish Revolution (1990) is Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, suggesting that the PRI's stranglehold was broken in 1988; but then in the intermission/lists chapter, not only is Cárdenas not there, but the PRI fell earlier. This is not a big deal, in the grand scheme of things, but I figure it might be worth resolving if Mexico comes up again.

After weeks of haggling, eventually all sides involved were able to be brought to Mexico as guests of President Cuauhtemoc Cardenas.
MEXICO
1970-1976: Alfonso Corona del Rosal (PRI)
1976-1982: Carlos A. Madrazo (ARD)
1982-1988: Porfirio Muñoz Ledo (ARD)
1988-1992: Elba Esther Gordillo (PRI)
 
I hate to end this comment on a bum note, but I did spot a contradiction. In the Roy Cohn chapter, we're told that the President of Mexico during the Spanish Revolution (1990) is Cuauhtémoc Cárdenas, suggesting that the PRI's stranglehold was broken in 1988; but then in the intermission/lists chapter, not only is Cárdenas not there, but the PRI fell earlier. This is not a big deal, in the grand scheme of things, but I figure it might be worth resolving if Mexico comes up again.
Yes, that was a goof on my part - an earlier draft of the list had the PRI resurgence moved up to 1982-1988, then when I shifted it I intended to have them be guests of the Venezuelan state but I never edited it. Whoops!
I'm really glad you're enjoying by the way! I'm really happy with how much has been put into all of this and just how amazing the reception's been here. I never thought this would have happened, genuinely.
 
43. Ed Markey (D-MA)
43. Ed Markey (Democratic-MA)
October 15, 2003 - January 20, 2013

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“There’s no place for cynicism when those around you are experiencing pain.”

Ed Markey won Massachusetts over in the way that most Massachusetts politicians did—by being a young Irish guy. But it was more than that. More than anything else, he was a good advertiser. Virtually any Masshole remembers the Markey ad. Not an ad—the ad. “The one with the desk!” Because Markey wasn’t just any young Irish guy, he was a populist Irish guy. He had entered Beacon Hill a little older than 25, and he pushed hard to reform a legal loophole in the judicial system of Massachusetts. As the ad goes, as a punishment for this attempt to add transparency to the state government, his desk was moved into a hallway. And then out waltzes Ed Markey, no matter if he was running for the House in ‘76, the Senate in ‘84, or the Presidency in ‘04, and he crosses his arms and he states proudly that “The bosses may tell me where to sit. No one tells me where to stand.”

That was the ad. And Ed Markey represented that ad. He was a fighter, he was deeply in touch with the Gilligan generation, that network of student activists and used-to-be-student activists. He had that oratory prowess, he had that ability to speak to the crowds. And he believed in that cause, too. His father was a union man, he’d say, so he’d been taught from a young age that you “don’t beg for your rights, you organize and take them.” Protesting was in the blood of the Democratic Party, and it was in the blood of Ed Markey, too. He won his way into the House in the ‘70s, climbed into the Senate in ‘84, and there he remained a high-profile figure among the party activists. While Bobby Kennedy continued to humiliate the Activist Democrat with his overtures to conservative Republicans, Ed Markey gave them something to be proud of. He was an organizer, a firebrand, a guy who wore his heart on his sleeve.

And as soon as he became an activist sweetheart he soon found himself predictably making in-roads with the Moderate New-Englander, that broad base. While the Great Lakes thrived, while the South received the trickle of investment, New England’s industrial core had rusted over. Industry in Massachusetts and Connecticut and Rhode Island had hollowed out, leaving prosperity a phantom of the past. Senator Markey, though, fought like hell to get New England some investments again; he got the ailing region investments into rail and public infrastructure that saw the return of the B&M rail route. That these investments did little to actually fight back against the rusting-over of New England ultimately mattered little, it would seem.

It would be inaccurate to say, then, that Ed Markey was unknown before Roy Cohn and Dick Cheney—but they turned the obscure New Englander activist into a politician that was on the television, that became something close to a household name. Damascus made Ed Markey, in its own way. Senate Democrats—and a few of those old guards of Progressive Republicans—felt that the Cohn Administration had made severe lapses that had allowed the situation in the Middle East to escalate to that unfortunate conclusion. And the Senate leadership figured that avowed disarmament activist Ed Markey would be best suited for chairing that commission. Thus birthed the Markey Commission, often nicknamed the “D&D Commission” (short for “Damascus & Denuclearization”), which was complimented and derided in equal measure for its harsh tone towards the Cohn Administration. And then the Anna Chennault affair had come through, somewhere in the middle period of the Cheney Administration—that Madam Chennault had allowed nuclear secrets to leak into Taiwan, thus facilitating another near-miss nuclear crisis in Asia. Those revelations shook many Americans, who tuned on the television to see Senator Ed Markey of Massachusetts harshly interrogate the former Secretary of State.

Ed Markey, despite what some conservative pundits would later posit, was not particularly interested in running for the presidency in 2000, but was compelled by a plucky coalition of campaigners including among them Mike Ford and Steve McMahon. They saw his forays in front of the camera, his strong dedication to his core values, and knew that he would be the perfect guy for the new millennium. And, true, he performed well in New England on Primary Day, but he fell far too short in the end.

It was no wonder when he was brought on board as Maynard Jackson’s number two. They both were of that activist generation of politics, they both had gotten along well during campaign season—it was a political marriage that, in the eyes of many, just made sense. It was not the first ticket to not feature a White Anglo-Saxon Protestant (that would be Biden/Dornan in ‘84, a double-Catholic ticket in an odd bit of campaigning calculus that likely lost the Republicans that election), but it definitely represented new coalition for the New Millennium—more vibrant than ever, more bold than ever, more American than ever before. That’s what Maynard Jackson represented. That’s what Ed Markey represented. That what the Democratic Party represented, as it steamrolled Republican opposition in the face of the MILF scandal, in the face of Cheney’s unpopularity, his long shadow over Bush: a new day for America.

And through the highs and lows, Markey stayed loyal and quiet as Maynard Jackson made his mark. That is not to say that Ed Markey sat idly—he absolutely helped in foreign policy matters, and domestically he was often sarcastically called the Energy Czar for his interest in combatting the increasing scientific consensus of global warming via increased time and energy put into alternative energy. (His closeness with Secretary of Energy Charles B. Curtis—incidentally also a key face in the nuclear disarmament political wave—would see him become a major member of Ed Markey’s inner sanctum after he ascended to the Presidency.) Maynard Jackson was a friendly guy, and in spending so much time with him it was impossible to not see the man as a friend. As such, his passing was heartbreaking, though it was not necessarily surprising. Jackson was a big guy with a weak heart, and a combination like that made his struggles with health visible to those who were particularly close to him, such as Ed Markey. Thus, a tragedy but not a surprise elevated Ed Markey to one of the most powerful positions on the planet.

And what a planet he inherited—one embracing multipolarity, one now free of the shackles of the Cold War. Maynard Jackson left the world at a dozen crossroads, which Ed Markey could only hope to follow in the footsteps of. But here he was dwarfed in the shadow of that historic predecessor; though Ed Markey was no isolationist, he was no visionary. At least, the first trial that met him—as U.S. troops and blue helmets returned home after the scarring battlefield of Rwanda—was something close to home turf.

Ireland had been a region of instability for a long while—since the ‘60s, the region of Northern Ireland (under the jurisdiction of the United Kingdom) had been split between hardline Catholics who wanted to join Ireland and hardline Protestants who wanted to shut down pro-Irish sentiments. These enemies engaged in slow-burning yet omnipresent violence, mostly manifested in combat resembling gang warfare and occasional flare-ups of what would later be called “stochastic terror,” or acts of violence committed by individual actors largely unrelated to the militias and gangs of Northern Ireland. This was the norm until the ascendancy of Peter Shore. While the United Kingdom prospered under a wave of progressive policies—policies that Shore did not have strong feelings on, mostly following the Labour Party’s prerogative—the idiosyncratic patriot was a firm believer of Northern Ireland’s place in the United Kingdom, and his constant re-assertion of this belief enflamed the tensions in the delicate beneath-the-surface conflict in the region.

Shore’s disregard towards delicacy on the Northern Ireland situation alienated a key Labour demographic, and in response a short-lived “Catholic Labour Party” was formed and swiped a couple seats from Peter Shore’s party. The fallout from this led to a massive behind-closed-doors fight in the Labour government, and after the brutal infighting David Owen emerged the victor and courted back the Catholic voting bloc to the rank-and-file. All of this was not enough, though, and after one meager victory he swiftly lost to Tory Michael Howard, riding on a wave of dissatisfaction with decades of Labour leadership and a sprinkling of anti-immigrant sentiments (the irony that Michael Howard was the son of a Romanian immigrant was not lost on many commentators). After the chaos of Shore’s Ireland policy, however, one of Prime Minister Howard’s first prerogatives was to finally ease the situation that had been quietly simmering for nearly half a century. As a close ally to the United Kingdom, the United States was asked to arbitrate—first under Maynard Jackson, but following his unfortunate demise, Ed Markey was more than happy to help alleviate the troubles of his ancestral homeland.

There was initially a fair amount of skepticism on both sides of the pond, Irish-Americans having a long history of strong opinions on the status of the Fourth Province. However, by all accounts Ed Markey was not one of those. He sought to pursue a middle ground roughly comprising of the idea of “Hey, why can’t we just all be friends?” That made him the perfect mediator for the hotheaded tensions of the region. The stereotype was unfortunately true of the U.S. Ambassador to Ireland, former Boston mayor Ted Kennedy (picked as a thank-you by Jackson for years of service to both the Democratic Party writ large and the Activist Democrat in particular). Kennedy’s vocal support of the annexation of Northern Ireland into the Republic of Ireland almost immediately saw an end to the peace talks as a whole—and it was only made worse after Taoiseach Desmond O’Malley echoed Kennedy’s sentiments that the only solution to the many troubles that ailed the region was the creation of a United Ireland. The backlash was immediate, with Kennedy willingly agreeing to retire from his post and O’Malley getting ousted and replaced by Deputy party leader Mary O’Rourke. With this rotation, once more were talks able to resume. And, after around a year of on-and-off negotiations the Whit Monday Agreement came into fruition, in which the United Kingdom’s position in Northern Ireland was recognized by the Republic, as was the fact that a majority in Northern Ireland wished to remain that way—while both parties also recognized the significant minority that wanted unification. The Agreement allowed for a process by which reunification would occur should both a majority of both Northern Ireland and Republican Ireland individually wanted a united country. The Agreement also contained arrangements regarding people convicted during the Troubles, the normalization of relationships both North-South and East-West.

The negotiations took over a year, but the United States was not engaged solely in Irish affairs during that time. Ed Markey was, however, hesitant to engage with a large agenda; Congress was unfriendly still and he felt that he had no proper mandate, effectively being an acting president. To this end, however, Markey continued cementing his foreign policy view—finally helping take up the talks of strengthening the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty after the fallout of Damascus. It was still a ways away from coming into fruition, but at minimum Markey’s Administration enthusiastically supported Sri Lankan Jayantha Dhanapala, a key figure in denuclearization negotiations, for the Secretary-Generalship.

Markey was also present at another negotiation between two divided lands—although a far different context, this time. After several years of talks, Koreas North and South had found common ground to begin the process of federation and later outright unity—the South having drifted leftward over the decades and the North rightward, they approached each other in that great middle and wanted to celebrate the peace like newlyweds. Thus Markey’s participation showed that great shifting into that new world order, where the United States’ participation made it just one of many; indeed, the only absence was the firebrand Shintaro Ishihara, who only made note of the event by some passing derogatory statement about the Korean people that saw the routine demands for apologies that Shintaro was more than happy to never give. The guest list was otherwise many of the major players—and even many of the minor players—in the Pacific World: Presidents Markey of the U.S. and Megawati of Indonesia and Salleh Said Keruak of North Borneo chatted and ate and shook hands with Prime Ministers Gallop of Australia and Singh of India and Masahide Ōta of Ryukyu; most controversially was the inclusion of the Chairman Mao, whose proximity once or twice with President Markey set SKY Network types ablaze with talks of collusion.

The buzz was twofold—first because the coexistence with an American president and a dirty leftist was enough to make many in that media empire cringe (nevermind that Roy Cohn was the one who more-or-less buried the hatchet with the Soviets). But, also, the 2004 election was on the horizon and the Republicans hoped to capitalize on the suburbian turnover that had befallen Jackson’s midterm failure. But that was proving tough, in no small part because of Republican infighting. Many of the bigger names had backed out of running after the passing of Maynard Jackson—believing, perhaps correctly, that it was impossible to oust Markey after the passing of the President. There also was a candidate gumming up the works—former New York Governor Howard Dean, who hoped to awaken in the Republican Party the sort of youth outreach that Maynard Jackson made seem effortless. He utilized a Usenet-heavy campaign chaired by Mike Murphy as he tried to bill his campaign as the Straight-Talk Express, a tech-savvy campaign run by a rustic down-to-earth guy who was able to tell-it-like-it-is. And, surprisingly, it seemed to be paying dividends, creating a whole generation of Republican “Deaniacs” that seemed far more in line with the Progressive Conservative caucus; a potential second wind for a wing of the party that had seemed so close to a geriatric decline. This second wind, obviously, was deeply off-putting to the Republican Party of Roy Cohn, who rallied swiftly behind Wisconsin governor Tommy Thompson, who had won the governorship in 1994 as a combined fluke of low turnout and the suburbanite paranoia of the Hayden quagmire of two years prior. Although Thompson got reelected to a second term, he forewent running in 2002 to start preparing for a dark horse bid against Maynard Jackson—a smart piece of political calculus, seeing as Thompson’s chances of winning a third term in his home state had started shrinking slimmer and slimmer. Although not a conservative hardliner, Thompson was able to position himself decently enough as the guy for the right, and at a divisive convention he was able to sway the Deaniacs by promising to put California senator Leon Panetta onto the ticket as his running mate. (Panetta had been one of Governor Dean’s earliest endorsers.)

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2004 was a boring year, electorally. Markey had a decent lead in the polls for basically the entirety of 2004 and Thompson was never able to capitalize on the contentious legacy of Maynard Jackson. The presence of a Southwest Senator as number-two was able to persuade states like California to stay Republican for the cycle, but Thompson was wholly unable to win back the South, where Markey was not hated but wasn’t loved. A Republican ad wave that had attempted to exploit the Irish Masshole’s faith blew up as many pundits used the ads as a mean to decry the backwardness of many modern Republicans. Markey’s reelection, although never entirely assured until Election Day, quickly became seen with hindsight as an inevitability—or, for others, the ultimate “if-only.” If only there had been a more passionate Republican candidate topping the ticket, maybe then the tides would have turned.

And half a world away, another major power elected its president. The United Arab Republic’s election structure, however, was far different than the United States’. With a National Assembly of 750 members (half of them needing to be common folk—industrial workers and farmers and everymen—in accordance to the Constitution), the President of the Republic was an internal matter primarily. The Assembly would debate amongst itself who the best person to lead the country would be, and eventually when enough of the Assembly agreed the public would decide in a referendum if the candidate was acceptable or not. Through the process of selection did the strain of factionalism take ahold. Although there was nothing in the Constitution specifically forbidding political parties, the largest in the Assembly was the Arab Socialist Union (ASU). (This ignores the wide array of independents, stemming from the non-career politicians’ outsized role in the legislature.) [1] Within the ASU there were two major competing visions: Left-Nasserists and Right-Nasserists. Left-Nasserists were expansionists, people who saw the best way forward for the United Arab Republic as increasing its membership count and becoming more vocally hawkish towards Israel; Right-Nasserists were not friendly towards Israel, meanwhile, but they tended to back away from the saber-rattling of Left-Nasserists and instead primarily concern themselves with internal improvements over external expansion. These two factions clashed hard in 2004, but eventually the Left-Nasserists won out, and selected a rather obscure member of their ranks to the Presidency…

* * *

Saddam Hussein wanted to prove himself. He was an underdog of the Left-Nasserists, a compromise as far as everyone was concerned. The papers out of Cairo and Alexandria were a bit dismissive; he was a no-name, a dynast, a man who only got to this point off of family connections.

He was now the second President of the Republic—the first elected president had been the Syrian Safwan al-Qudsi. (It had to be a Syrian, of course. After everything that happened.) Thus, Hussein had big shoes to fill. He thought about it as he shook hands with al-Qudsi, he thought about it as he sat in his office in the Koubbeh Palace, he thought about it as the cameras flashed-flashed-flashed as he took the first photos of his presidency. He thought about the length of his term—six years. Heard the ticking of the invisible clock. Tick… tick… tick…

al-Qudsi was a success, he had overseen the recognition of the Second United Arab Republic. He had overseen its first expansion—when fellow philosopher President Nugud decided to petition Arab Sudan into the Republic. And Saddam Hussein, an avid member of the Left-Nasserists, one of the more vocal about the need of the Arab cause to grow. And he knew how the Western newspapers would talk about him—a dynast, a warmonger. Because he wanted to protect his people. Because he wanted them to grow and prosper. Because he wanted a world where the oppressed of the world had a true beacon, a power on par with Worlds First and Second, independent and powerful.

As the photographers left, he got to spend his first minutes in the Presidential Office, alone. No staffers, though they would arrive like a plague in short order; no advisors, not even his three vice-presidents. He was truly alone. And his thoughts traveled to the cornerstone of Left-Nasserist philosophy: growth. New memberships, new industries—growth.

He had a pet project. Khuzestan, a part of the Arab World yet tied to Tehran. That was his novel idea, to wrestle that land free. Expand the Arab control on the Persian Gulf. Yet, it would never come into fruition. It was wild, it was impossible, and it would never be; but yet he wished it was possible. He wished he could shape the world, could draw borders with the flick of a pen like Europeans were allowed to do 100 years prior. They had power, had privilege. That was why this country was so important.

Libya, too. Libya was feasible, they demanded a part. As the words of that lost philosopher Gaddafi filtered through the war-torn nation, the vision of Pan-Arabism seemed ready. There were rumors, intel reports, of Gaddafist and Nasserist militia movements in eastern Libya forming with intent of forcing their way into the Republic. And if they did, that was great. If they demanded it so quickly, he would welcome them in with open arms. In Tripoli, the ruling elites had already warmed to the vision of Arab Brothers united.

Yes, yes. Hussein reclined in his chair, gazed out the window. He fiddled with the knobs on his radio—an older model, in this new age of innovation and invention it was swiftly becoming an antique even in the Arab World—and smiled as the national anthem played. A beautiful song for a beautiful people:

It has been a long time, oh my weapon!
I long for you in my struggle!
Speak and say I am awake,
Oh war it has been a long time.

* * *

The inauguration of President Hussein was swiftly accepted by Libyans, still fractured although slowly solidifying—to that point, at least. Saddam Hussein was a vocal Pan-Arabist, a hardliner whose powerful rhetoric of a united Arab people engendered in many Libyans across the three regions of the war-torn country a deep yearning. In an odd twist of fate, militia movements in the Senussi Kingdom of Barca started a small invasion force into the U.A.R. to be accepted into the Republic. Hussein gladly opened the door to them, though this did have a weird legal fallout. The U.S. had recognized the nation of Libya as being dissolved—had since Cheney—but very few other nations followed that line of thinking. As such, when Saddam Hussein arrived in Tripoli and shook hands with President Abdurrahim El-Keib, the view was split: to much of the world, this was a cementation that all of Libya had become part of the United Arab Republic; to the United States, though, this was Tripolitania joining the United Arab Republic. As such, there was much confusion in the foreign policy sphere as to what to do when the Senussi king unceremoniously returned to Europe. Markey attempted to square the circle by shrugging his shoulders and allowing Barca to join the Republic, labeled by many conservative commentators as his “folly in Benghazi.” As a response to those asking about the importance of ex-Libyan oil in the United States economy, Markey sought to prove a point by visiting West Africa, a trail of photographs of him with Biafran president Chris Ngige and Benin president Chuba Okadigbo, both close allies of the U.S. who promised with a shake of the hand and a grin at the camera to carry the burden that Barca had left behind. That Biafra and its close ally Benin had a rough history of political transparency did not factor into Ed Markey’s brief little tour.

Besides, Ed Markey was more than happy to secure some spending into more renewable sources. The U.S. already had a large solar energy sector, and he was more than happy to indulge it.

Back at home, Ed Markey got to turn his attention to that bubbling new phenomena that fascinated him so—Usenet. The network had made leaps and bounds since its humble beginnings as a digital mailing list from universities. As the idea of this digital new frontier began to cement itself in the minds of Americans (and, perhaps more importantly, investors), new methods of streamlining created the World-Wide Web, a mythologized “global cafe” where anyone could meet with anyone. Gone were the redundancies of an archaic and hi-tech system, instead this new Usenet delineated “websites” interconnected by “webrings” [2]. Declaring the “new era of communications enhancement and technology advancement,” he revitalized the barebones White House website. This was not an aesthetic change solely, though, as Markey’s vision for a “new era” was just as much of a political promise as it was a promise of updates.

Markey had a long history as a reformer and regulator in Congress, and proudly declared an agenda of “ruthless Darwinian competition that would bring a smile to Adam Smith” in the User-Network Era. Wielding the bully pulpit like Teddy Roosevelt a century before, Markey oversaw a massive effort to trust-bust the consolidating web-companies. He similarly pushed for a policy of “net neutrality,” forcing USPs (Usenet Service Providers) into not discriminating between websites and addresses; Markey, in that vein, oversaw many interventionist measures to allow competitive capitalism to determine the US’s Usenet policy. Many leaders in Europe followed suit, with French president Bernard Kouchner singing high praises of Markey’s interventionist stance. (Kouchner, however, could not follow suit—unlike most of Europe, France had not switched over primarily to Usenet; the French system of Minitel was still leagues more popular as a means of long-distance telecommunication.)

The Usenet flourished under the Markey Administration, connecting corners of the country who had previously been much more fragmented. Perhaps the most explosive of these groups being the GSM community—who, almost immediately, rallied around the dissolution of “GSM” as proper terminology. It was sterile, clinical, professional. Although many different answers would crop up as a response to that base grievance, as the decades marched forward a majority would warm to reclaiming the idea of a Queer community; although the world of Heterosexual America would balk at openly using the word and would continue to fall back on the sanitized “GSM” label that many so-called “GSM” members disapproved of.

2004 had been good for Ed Markey, and had supplied him with friendlier margins than Maynard Jackson had dealt with after 2002—entirely because of his passing, ironically. This “sympathy bump,” however, did not allow Markey the room to renegotiate Jackson’s immigration reform. Despite many of these Democratic lawmakers owing their careers to the legacy of President Jackson, very few wanted to stick their necks out in an act of likely political suicide. 2006 was not the blowout defeat that 2002 had been for Jackson, but it definitively marked the high-water point for the Democratic composition under Ed Markey. But this brought with it an air of vulnerability that made a dozen different Republicans start sharpening their knives. A dozen men who wanted to be the next Tommy Kuchel, or the next Roy Cohn, or the next Dick Cheney, or the next all-of-the-above, or the next none-of-the-above. A governor or two, a few senators, a cabinet official here or there. And by the end there was one definitive winner, and surprisingly very few people minded that he was the victor.

* * *

An oriental breakfast-for-dinner fit for an emperor sprawled the table in front of Jesse Benton in this small dining hall in this otherwise unimpressive hotel in the middle of Portland, Maine. It was said, oh so long ago, that Roy Cohn’s residence was the beating heart of Conservative America—and now, here, Jesse Benton sat in the presence of the greasers of Conservative America’s machinery. It was more than a meeting, though: it was a coronation. In the great clashes of ego that made up the Republican campaign operators, Benton had somehow found the One—the one candidate who everyone could swallow working for in the general election. (Well, excepting Mike Murphy, who was too busy whining about Republicans “abandoning their progressive roots.”) And here they sat, the day before the Convention, to celebrate their good fortunes.

The hotel was too small for the whole convention—Hell, Portland Expo was too small until Governor Lipman redirected enough dough to renovate the Expo. Which was ironic, since that kind of spending was the thing that His Guy would represent the end of. And there Benton sat, to steer His Guy all the way to the White House. To represent the greatest shift in the political landscape since sweet-talking conman Jack Gilligan.

But he was getting ahead of himself. Roger Stone was giving a wheezing laugh as he stacked fatty slices of bacon onto his plate, talking about what it reminded him of—Benton’s Guy. “Makin’ the Democrats the party of pork, that’s marketing to die for!” And from across the table, Karl Rove gave an affirmative nod and a quick grin. “He’ll make a good advertisement campaign. Loves a good stunt, I respect that.” And somewhere down the table, Dolan nodded and Black nodded with. They shared another laugh when Benton held his finger up, coughed a bit of food he ate to quickly as he rushed to explain this gimmick he had come up with, and then proudly declared that “The smartest idea I have is to make some Markey posters where the Democratic jackass is a prize pig instead!”

Stone gave a sly grin at that one, nodding with a glint in his eyes. “They’ll say their gold is for prosperity, but we know it’s what they keep in the party coffers. That’s beautiful, Jesse. Outdoing yourself, kid. Run this ship right and, goddamn, might be the best presidential campaign since Roy Cohn’s.” And Charles Black piped up then, politely chewing on a fried egg (a bit overcooked, the yolk was looking on the grayer side of yellow), “Oh, absolutely. You really did find a no-name and elevate him all the way to the top. I mean, nobody heard of the guy before you started running his ship. Beautiful stuff.”

“Hey, thank [Howard] Dean,” Jesse said with a wink that elicited another round of laughter, “it was his idea to run such a heavy net campaign. Really worked, really resonated with those folks. Lot of young outreach, too. ‘Specially in the schools down south, some of the unis.” He could see the dilation in Karl Rove’s eyes, as the number-fetishist got a rush of adrenaline imagining the crosstabs.

As the conversation lulled, Jesse grabbed a spoon—handed out at the beginning of dinner but unnecessary for basically all the dishes placed before the company of conservatives—and tapped it on his glass of water. “A toast,” he said. For a second he almost dedicated the toast to His Guy, but that was too easy. He immediately though of something much better, far more unifying, and far more important: “To kicking Ed Markey’s ass!

And the table erupted into cheers.

The night fell hard in Maine. Even with the buzz of city life, even with Boston so close, the rusting-over had hit just hard enough for some pinpricks of starlight to illuminate the dim hallways of the apartment complex. Jesse had unfinished business, a few last bits of prep work before the start of the Convention. Nailing the intonations of the speech, shifting around a few sentences, a once-over on the guys heading his campaign as they entered the new chapter. Boring minutiae.

He found the room after a few minutes of groping around in the faded light of dim bulbs and moonbeams, knocked on the door—No response. He checked his watch, and while it was late it wasn’t that late. This was important stuff, too. He eyed some schedules for The Candidate in his manilla folder, tucked under his arm. He knocked a little firmer, jostled the doorknob, only to find that it was unlocked. Well, good thing he was here. That could’ve been a huge security issue. If some wingnut had crossed paths with him—

Jesse called His Guy’s name into the dark apartment room. No response, again. He cautiously flipped on the lights, only to find the main room empty. He relieved himself in the bathroom, real quick, trying to distract himself—to calm his nerves. Didn't work, still felt his heart sinking slowly into his stomach. He found the bedroom, after a few minutes, and opened it to find it empty.

* * *

When the day broke that late August morning in 2008, there was a quick e-mail that made its rounds to the pressers and delegates and whatever miscellaneous attendees had brought laptops—then unfeasibly bulky for most—with them: “
CONVENTION POSTPONED FOR 1HR.” Immediately the press began to float conspiracies to one-another, mostly suggesting intense vice-presidential politicking behind closed doors getting into overtime. Already an idyllic shortlist was being constructed by word-of-mouth, an unlikely-bordering-on-impossible list including Barry Goldwater Jr. and Hon. Ed Meese, high-profile right-wingers to really double down; even wilder suggestions included moderate sweethearts like Joe Biden or Howard Dean or even Hon. Frank Cousins—one journalist even tried starting the rumor that Dick Cheney would be Number Two. But the one hour extension stretched to two hours. Then five. Then tomorrow. Then two days. The Republican National Convention began fighting with the venue, who was more than displeased at the scheduling issues interfering with other events booked at the in-demand convention center.

And then, on the third day, right before authorities were begin to start an official investigation—a manhunt, even; like the Son of God returning from the dead, that glorious savior of the Republican Party waltzed onto the stage. And like a glorious wave, the Republican crowds roared as Mark Sanford stretched out his arms and flared his hands into Vs-for-Victory. His speech was flawless, a powerful condemnation in the corruption of bureaucracy, extolling the virtues of Alan Greenspan’s glorious vision of economics—and only disagreed in its scope, in its power. It was, Sanford boldly declared, the era of the small-government pro-American conservative; it was the dawn of a new day for the Libertarian Republican, shunted into the sideline for so long!

Immediately afterwards came the questions, of course they did. Sanford happily backed the narrative of his staffers: He had been stressed, in need of clarity, and as such he unceremoniously slipped out to meditate on why he was running, the stresses of the presidency, etc. His staffers had stated he’d driven out to the White Mountains to hike them, and he did not refute them—only when footage surfaced the next day of him arriving at the Portland International Jetport. Then he clarified that he had, indeed, considered hiking the White Mountains, but had “wanted to do something more exotic.” He had been coastal driving out-of-country; not unheard of for the Majority Whip, who had flexed his experiences with international travel throughout the primaries. What had tipped off some reporters to start digging deeper was his hesitance to say where he had gone.

Before the scandal broke, Mark Sanford had been a no-name who swiftly rose to capture the hearts of conservative Americans long-tired of government bloat—the kind of American who never learned to trust the Democratic Party after President Collins. Ads shared widely a certain stunt he pulled during the 2005 budget negotiations, where in an act of defiance against the politics of the pork barrel, he unleashed a horde of live pigs onto the House floor, where they made a mess of things until they were rounded up. It was the kind of stunt that really struck a chord with the Average Joe, who did not know much about what “pork” meant but understood its ties with corruption. It was that marketing that helped Sanford rise to the top.

But that was not what the people remembered, not for long. They would not remember the pamphlets and posters replacing the Democratic donkey with a pig, or the promise to bring transparency and libertarian efficiency to the Government. All they would remember is Argentina. Because when the reporters dug deeper, they found that that was where Sanford had been driving along the coast of. The issue, naturally, was that there was about two miles of coast to ride along in Buenos Aires, and any other coastal roads would take several hours of inland travel to reach, the kind of time-table unlikely for such a short stay—a stay where more than 24 hours had been spent in the air between Buenos Aires and Portland. As the week went on, the press grew more persistent in asking him about what he had been doing.

The lie was coming apart. The only way out was the press conference.

Mark Sanford had appeared in front of the flashing and shuttering of cameras. He seemed uneasy, not the confident speaker that so many knew him to be. And he spoke into his microphone, hesitant and choppily: “And so the bottom line is this. I’ve, uh, I’ve been unfaithful to my wife.”

He explained himself simply—that he had befriended a woman in Argentina, a close friend, many years back; that over the course of the past year or so, he had grown far closer to her; that in this process, he “hurt her, hurt you all, hurt my wife, hurt my boys, hurt my friends, I hurt a lot of different folks.” And thus rang that old motto from every newspaper office, from every cable news network, from every nook and cranny: Sex sells!

camelot_lost_2008_wikibox.png

Ed Markey had secured a second term. It had not been guaranteed, not by a longshot, but Mark Sanford’s scandals cratered the chance of a Republican resurgence. The scandal had shaken many Republicans’ faith in Sanford, initially a charismatic critic of Markey. His campaign fell apart in vicious infighting soon after, and many polls showed that Republicans writ large wanted Sanford to step down from the ticket. He refused, though, seeing it as a chance to redeem himself in the eyes of America—plus the logistical nightmare of stepping down from the ticket post-Convention, basically unheard of. Sanford was also, ironically, a nice guy, refusing to go on the offense like Karl Rove wanted.

Markey took his reelection as a chance to start his project. Looking back at the old heritage of the Democratic Party, he soon unveiled his bold plan of “New Environment,” a wide-ranging agenda that sought to fundamentally redefine America’s relation to industry. For decades, the scientific community had begun sounding the alarm on unintended consequences of coal and oil—the burning of these elements had begun irrevocably warming the planet and disrupting the functions of natural ecology. These reports horrified Markey even way back when he was in the Senate, and as such he wanted it to be the last hurrah of his administration. He had begun the process, obviously, as soon as Libya had been annexed into the United Arab Republic, but that was before he had slogans and names for this important vision.

Reminded of Sanford’s initial success trashing bureaucracy as costly to the taxpayer, Markey’s administration rolled out a simple slogan that would seek to define the whole movement: “THE POLLUTER PAYS!” This would take from the big business wallets, not from the taxpayer; the markets would be incentivised to go greener, not get a way out from government favoritism. He, too, sought to protect more pristine wilderness such as the northernmost portions of Alaska. It was a massive overture to the Activist Democrat, which had its expected critics and fanatics. And when the critics, holed up in the House and Senate, began to fight against the Markey Administration, he wielded the Activists like a cudgel, used the bully pulpit to speak out against conservative apathy to the planet. These attempts, while not perfect, did soften the blow of the 2010 midterms well enough, as well as allowed a few provisions to pass that, for example, gave the DEP the directive to investigate lead-contaminated water across the Rust Belt and Rural South.

2010, too, brought another change to a competing power. Saddam Hussein’s term ended, and as according to the Constitution he stepped down happily. Hussein’s reign is controversial and divisive, especially his policy of turning a blind eye to violence against non-Arab minorities across the country (the Kurds of Iraq, the Fur of Sudan, the people of Fezzan, etc.), as well as his covert funding of rebel groups in eastern Saudi Arabia and Khuzestan. His successor was Sudanese Hatim al-Sir, a more moderate Nasserist, although fitting him in either the Left or Right of the party seemed impossible. His term saw, most prominently, the annexation of Palestine. This rung alarm bells in New York, where the United Nations swiftly began to reach out for fear of another conflict. The United Arab Republic was not Egypt, and had resumed its hawkish disapproval of the Israeli state. With news of a nuclear program in Cairo leaking, it seemed imperative to reach out and try to stop another nuclear wasteland in the Middle East. al-Sir’s demands were rather simple to understand: We will only stop our nukes if we know that we will stop being nuked. In essence, a quid-pro-quo, requesting the UN finally get the Israelis to cough up their nuclear weapons before the Arabs would do the same.

By that point, though, Ed Markey was a lame duck. He spoke about the needs of cooperation with the United Nations, strongly condemned the nuclear rhetoric of the United Arab Republic with his trademark fiery rhetoric, and did a few diplomatic tours of the Middle East. Thus displays the confusing nature of Ed Markey. His placement historically is odd, warped by proximity. However, there is a large sense among both academics and activists that Markey squandered a strong mandate; that despite his strong words, there was little he could actually accomplish. Perhaps that is because of his initial unwillingness to actually run for president, having to be conscripted by dreaming pollsters who saw him as the white knight he never could have been. He remains a thorn in the side of the conservative media empire, a history of attacks on Cohn and Cheney and Chennault creating a history of bad blood that time would never clot—would refuse to clot. But to that most diehard cohort, though, the Markey maniacs who still worship that platonic ideal of the Activist Democrat, he remains the greatest thing to happen to the country since Jack Gilligan. If only he had a cooperative Congress, if only he had a powerful mandate for his whole term, if only Republicans weren’t under the spell of Roy Cohn’s apathetic policies. If only, if only, if only.




[1] The structure of the 2nd United Arab Republic is an amalgamation of the Provisional Constitution of the United Arab Republic (1958) and the Constitution of the United Arab Republic (1964)—a misnomer, since in 1964 the United Arab Republic consisted solely of Egypt.
[2] Web rings were actually a part of the early internet in real life, fun fact!
Additionally—paying tribute to the Library of Congress for keeping archives of Ed Markey’s website from the early-2000s, the basis for many of the policy statements and quotes.
 
The phrase “sheer joy” is not sufficient to describe the sheer joy I felt when I saw the name Mark Sanford, an absolutely underused scandal-in-the-making
 
Saddam as a controversial, hawkish, but ultimately sane and normal democratic leader is really interesting, and ties into why I prefer more rather than less democratic worlds in ATLs--you can just do so much more with characters in a democratic system. One dictator is generally pretty much like another.

Making Markey president in a no-Kennedy TL is funny; making Markey viewable as a simultaneous Kennedy (popular populist who speaks leftward but doesn't necessarily back it up and focuses on foreign policy) and LBJ (takes over after death of beloved younger predecessor and governs domestically to said predecessor's left) analogue is very funny; making both Bobby and Teddy Kennedy useful opponents for a young Markey he can make his name against by defining himself against is absolutely hysterical.
 
Just want to put it out there but I love this timeline! The writing is on point and the story feels so engaging and connected!
 
44. Roger Goodell (R-NY)
44. Roger Goodell (Republican-NY)
January 20, 2013 - March 12, 2018
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“Too much of our society looks for people to fail.”

The Republican Party of the modern era seemed, for all intents and purposes, to be a party of shortsightedness, of unimaginative politics, of apathy itself.

This may seem harsh, but throughout the Jackson and Markey years, the party had earned this label from near-constant infighting. Gone was the unity behind Roy Cohn and his conservative vision. Even in a doomed year like 2004 they had torn each other to shreds all to nominate Tommy Thompson, a well-meaning conservative from a Democratic stronghold elected on a fluke scandal in 1994, and watched as Ed Markey’s inevitability was assured. The Radicals in the House, first behind Bob Walker but under his young erstwhile deputy Sam Brownback’s thrall as of 2011, seemed to revel in the chaos, in knifing their co-partisans to stick it to Markey’s motley crew. Then, over the objections of Deaniacs, they had gone and put up Mark Sanford for 2008. After all, he was at least buddy-buddy with Walker and Brownback, and even when he brought the convention hall to its feet it all came undone for him as well and Ed Markey, that sanctimonious so-and-so, had refreshed his mandate in their blood once more.

There was to be none of that for 2012. Already, as soon as November 5th, 2008, the Republican grandees had begun to scout out their next choice as well as ways to fix things. To that end, the Grand Old Party decided to enter the modern day and voted unanimously amongst its committeemen to join the Primary Day schedule for 2012, hoping to deal with the “legitimacy gap” that the young whiz-kids of the party system had begun to talk about as a flaw when comparing their candidates with the Democrats’. But this was not out of some desire to let the people rule. If anything, their man needed to look like a different kind of Republican, one that wasn’t just liked by the insiders and tolerated by the rank-and-file. A Modern Republican didn’t have to be an outsider, but he couldn’t look like a creature of the Beltway either. There was a delicate balancing act to all of this, but it helped that they all agreed on who was best suited to walk that tightrope: Roger Goodell.

Roger Goodell had come from Republican royalty. His father Charlie Goodell had been House Majority Leader in the 1980s, known for his outspokenness and integrity as much as he was for his partisanship. The ones who were old enough to have been around during the Collins and Cohn years knew Charlie and loved Charlie. And that meant they knew Roger too, had gotten to watch him go from high school football to the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School of Business to a hot-shot twenty-something on Wall Street, and had cried with him at Charlie’s funeral in 1989. By the time his father had died, Roger had gotten in close with another well-connected young stockbroker named Howard B. Dean III. It was an odd coupling - the rich kid who spoke his mind on virtually every issue of the day, and the political heir with the sort of silent tenacity that only watching politicians cavort around one’s childhood home for their entire life could teach them. Even so, they made a good team, Dean the loudmouth hardball-player and Goodell the quiet negotiator. Howard moved fast and broke things, Roger came in to sweep up the pieces and make friends.

It was Roger’s political connections that got the two of them in good with the Republican Party. Cohnmania at its peak seemed perfectly aligned with Dean’s style, but Governor Ferraro’s expertise in appealing to Cohnite impulses on crime (so much so that her running in 1996 remains one of the great what-ifs of American politics) kept men like Dean out of the fray. This all changed with her late-term withdrawal from re-election due to an unexpected diagnosis with a form of blood cancer. With the Empire State’s Democrats scrambling, Dean quickly marshaled his resources to build a campaign, and who better to run it than his friend Roger?

*****

It was a scene like so many others to them - the two men sitting on the back porch of a house in Jamestown, talking over a drink after a hard day of work. They had done this countless times in their young careers in business. As usual, Howard talked most, and he talked first.

“So, Roger. The election.” To this Howard B. Dean III, one of the kings of Wall Street, broached a topic of some sensitivity.

“Looking like a hell of a fight now that Ferraro’s out.” Roger Goodell, his partner who went local to Buffalo said.

“Yeah. I mean, I know folks don’t like Cheney-never met the man, don’t know if he’s a perfectly good guy, but he seems like an ass-but state level’s different. It’s winnable. Hope Gerry’s doing well. Cancer’s a tough diagnosis for anyone.” To this Dean sounded genuinely sorrowful, like it was a personal friend and not an acquaintance of business convenience.

“Let alone someone who sees a future President in the mirror every morning.” Goodell added somberly.

“Oh, please, Roger, she wasn’t-” Dean started to protest before being cut off.

“She played coy with it because it kept the speculation on her. Thought whoever our guys put up in ‘96 weren’t going to lose, so she was playing the next game. Wanted the cameras to follow her every day from Dick’s inauguration to hers.” Goodell added, his tone as neutral as possible.

“This is why I wanted to ask you, Roger.” Dean paused only to get blank silence from his friend, so he continued. “I’m running this time. You know I’ve wanted to get off the sidelines for ages, RNC thinks I’ve got what it takes.”

“They’re bleeding. Lot of Cohn’s donors aren’t as close with Cheney, holding back on the big bucks. They think you can self-fund.” Goodell added once again.

“...I know, Roger. Just because of that doesn’t mean I don’t have ideas to fix this. One of their younger strategy guys, Mike Murphy, he’s really keen on what I’ve got to say. Ran some polls, seems like my points about pension reform, middle-class tax cuts, corruption… they really resonate. Gerry’s husband looks like he’ll be in prison by next November. Screams of something shady to them.” Dean started, before realizing convincing Roger was deeply unnecessary.

“Why are you telling me, Howard?” Goodell cut right to the chase, even if he didn’t say it outright.

“Run my campaign. I need someone I trust, I don’t want to have to call all the shots. Hated doing that in the old days, I know we go well together, I know you can run things without needing me to tell you what to do. Hell, the party guys know you better. They still think of me as your uni roommate or something.” Dean said to Goodell’s silence. “They might help us more if you talk to them, keep some of Cohn’s crazies out of the mix. God knows we need it with the current state of our party.”

Goodell’s expression was inscrutable. After a tense moment, he spoke simply. “I’m going to have to make a lot of decisions you won’t like.”

Dean slowly affirmed this. “I want you calling those shots.”

Goodell offered up his glass to clink. “To Governor Howard Dean.”

*****

After a narrow victory over the Democrats’ Stan Lundine, Howard Dean was Governor. Now Chief of Staff to the Governor of New York, Roger Goodell had truly returned to politics after a time in Buffalo-area business, including a brief stint as the owner of the Buffalo Bills during their legendary upset Super Bowl XXX win. Quickly, the reflexes Goodell had accrued over a lifetime of exposure to old Republicans came back in full force, helping to drive Dean's plethora of progressive proposals forward. Republicans saw this too, and they wanted more of it. By the third time then-RNCC Chair John Boehner had shown up to Goodell’s door crying and pleading with him about running against freshman Democrat Brian Higgins, Goodell finally broke his near-silence: “I’ll think about it, John.”

Think about it he did, tender his resignation to an understanding and wholly supportive Governor Dean he did, and announce his campaign for 2000 he did. The name Goodell was magic to local Republicans and national donors alike, quickly supplying him with a warchest unseen in most congressional races. The open seat was generally projected to be close with the favorable Democratic environment of 2000, but a lazy campaign by the incumbent and skillful attacks on Higgins over his Kennedyite positions on education and abortion access quickly narrowed the gap. It took nearly two weeks of recounting to figure out who won the race, but eventually, by a 1,011 vote margin, Roger Goodell was sent to the halls of Congress.

Representative Goodell was not a figure of particular note - he was mostly a backbencher, one who engaged in his committee work but not one to make waves or engage in the showmanship of the Radicals. What was more notable was what happened in his absence in Albany. Governor Dean’s tendency to delegate and let the office run itself worked quite well with Goodell. With Dean in charge more directly, it did not. His pushes to legalize civil unions and aid in refugee acceptance in New York, while both successfully passing and earning him adoration from Republican progressives and praise from the White House, brought on the ire of the right of the Republican Party in the form of a Conservative Party challenger. Democrats, eager to twist the knife, continued to praise the decision to stoke the flames of Cohnite resentment, causing considerable defections from Dean and aiding in his narrow defeat in the otherwise wave year for Republicans. His replacement, firebrand New York Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, was an unrepentant left-winger who seemed to relish in giving as good as he got from the right and was no stranger to controversy. In such a truly tossup state as New York, it seemed inevitable that big money would flow to whoever challenged Giuliani, even though he was technically the odds-on favorite for re-election.

Having firmly chosen politics over business at this point, Roger Goodell did not need convincing. He didn’t need to be begged and pleaded by the big names who saw a bit of the spark of his laudable father in him. Goodell made clear his intentions early, went through the entire rolodex of power and prestige that had landed him a seat in the halls of power in the first place, and rallied as much behind him as was possibly available. It wasn’t particularly hard - to them, Giuliani was a job-killer, he was a taxocrat, he was every insult the folks with deep pockets had for left-wingers. All it seemed to take was a smile and a handshake and he had a check. From there, it was all too easy to take anti-Markey backlash and put a smiling coat on those same criticisms, even when Giuliani tried to call him a “do-nothing rich kid” and link him to the Dean administration. The October revelation of Giuliani’s extramarital affairs and a bizarre press conference announcing his divorce seemed to seal the deal, to put a face on the fact that the governor was nasty and Goodell carried good feelings with him.

Now governor of the quintessential swing state with a cultural and financial hub of a city included to boot, many were curious what tack the young governor would take. He was, almost by definition, difficult to pin down - there was the usual Republican talk of stimulating growth, of good government, of well-meaning welfare reform, of toughening up criminal enforcement, but even then that was uniform throughout the tent. As it turned out, a Governor Goodell seemed equally laudable to all wings. Conservatives pointed to his welfare reforms and “no-tolerance” policing reforms aimed at New York City, progressives his efforts to target domestic violence and to raise teacher salaries, and the broad center just seemed happy that he had cut taxes for middle and lower-class New Yorkers off the back of the state’s budget surplus. It was his response to Ed Markey’s environmental policy, though, that catapulted the young governor from RNC circles to public attention. Goodell announced his own response, the type of thing that “wasn’t focused on punishing hard work.” It was a mishmash of economic incentives, encouraging electric retailers to purchase from renewable sources, and limited government spending pulled from other sources, but the end result was something Goodell could go on SKY Network and say that he had taken the issue just as seriously as Ed Markey “without putting the burden on the taxpayer.”

This, of course, was music to the ears of a party dejected by three straight losses. The pressure was on Goodell quickly, but after a smashing re-election victory he once again needed little convincing. His political team, run by the triumvirate of Mike Murphy, Steve Schmidt, and Ed Gillespie, had already been polling and found that a hypothetical Goodell bid would clear any other challengers nearly two-to-one. At this point, a talk with them was all the convincing he needed, and in early 2011 Goodell announced in an interview with SKY’s Ari Fleischer his intent to run for the Republican nomination in 2012.

This interview, a masterstroke in candidate PR, was mostly led with talk of a “Modern Republicanism,” something completely detached from the progressive-conservative divide with the best elements of both. It was a new way, “21st-century policies for a 21st-century nation,” not insulting the party of old but contrasting himself with a party largely perceived by the public as stuck in the past. It was an instant comparison between Goodell and any other would-be presidents. Here was a young governor of a large state articulating a vision that seemed to have something for everybody, a brighter future ahead for all. It also had the added effect of making other Republicans in the mix - most notably Nebraska’s Chuck Hagel, a veteran of US operations in Africa and the Levantine Wars - seem like relics of a bygone era. An energetic campaign combined with strong economic readings for New York amidst a minor national recession made Goodell the man to beat. In the end, they wouldn’t, and he would arrive onstage in Miami a conquering hero.

Though the Democrats had rumblings of a challenged primary, one by one potential candidates of interest like Senator Les AuCoin and Secretary of State Nancy Pelosi dropped, leaving only two: left-wing Minneapolis Representative Mark Dayton and Vice President Rick Perry. Perry, once a Senator from Texas, had been selected as Ed Markey’s Vice President, aiding in his capture of the state and more broadly serving as a translator for the administration to southern voters skeptical of the Markey agenda. While Dayton rallied some support, his personal oddities and staunch leftism largely left him within the margins, and Perry’s folksy compromise-oriented persona seemed like a welcome form of continuity.

With the candidates decided, it truly seemed like anyone’s game. Roger Goodell had a fairly light resume for a would-be president, with only six years at the helm of a large state like New York, and Perry surrogates had no problem trying to spin his modernization as inexperience. Perry, they said, had served in the Senate since 1990 and as Vice President for a decade, if anyone was qualified to maintain the good and deal with the issues facing the world it was him. Videos of him at OAS conferences, attending the Queen’s funeral, and talking to average Americans over the years proliferated as proof that “when others talk hard, Rick Perry works hard.” The problems for the Perry campaign were numerous, though. The small recession of 2011 had seemed to be over, but the perception was that it was a “jobless recovery,” a phrase Goodell had no problem reiterating as many times as it took. Furthermore, a dedicated contingent of ancestral Democrats in coal country were deeply irritated at accelerating mine closures, seeing Goodell’s business-friendly approach as worth consideration for the first time in decades. The Goodell campaign chose to play hard to these voters, blitzing from Richmond to Nashville to talk about regulations killing their jobs. An aspirational campaign about change and new ideas seemed to almost be a reappropriation of the language of the Activist Democrat, but optimism was also deeply effective to an electorate fatigued by twelve years of one party.

Much of the campaign was defined as much by both candidates’ shortcomings as well as their tones, though. “Goodellisms” became the byword for the sort of robotically meaningless statements the Governor was prone to making; these were such no-shit utterances as “I’m very fortunate, and I know that,” “you know that I’m always a proponent of doing things differently,” and “I talk to voters all the time.” While these were mostly fodder for late-night satire, the most famous line of the campaign didn’t come from Goodell. During the second debate, Vice President Perry memorably answered a question about budgeting with "We need to use our budget surplus to increase funding to three departments: Education, Environmental Protection, and the um, what’s the third one there? Let’s see. Sorry. Oops." In an instant, the notion of Perry as a steady hand on the wheel was in question, and “Oops” made a memorable refrain in an ad alleging financial impropriety by Perry’s office in an October surprise as well. Though the election was close - perhaps due to a bit of dissatisfaction with both candidates with median voters - at the end of the day, narrow yet uncontestable victories in Kentucky and, embarrassingly for Perry, Texas, swung the election towards the Republicans. Modern Republicanism had evidently worked.


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With governing majorities - by no means expansive, but enough to evade fractious intraparty fights over policy - the newfound Goodell administration quickly set to work. First came the energy situation. The Markey plan, long dubbed a “pollution tax,” was subject to repeal within the first hundred days, replaced quickly by a national-scale version of New York’s plan. Tax breaks and other economic incentives were heavily afforded to wind, solar, and nuclear development, as well as paying significant lip service to coal miners and oil workers. While the former was attacked by the left of the Democratic tent as a giveaway to the bosses and the nuclear subsidies were a point of significant controversy for environmental activists ever since the movement had been galvanized against nuclear power by California’s San Onofre incident in 1983 and India’s Madras reactor meltdown as a result of the 2004 tsunami, overall there was enough support to pass Goodell’s energy plan within that mythical first hundred days, repealing and replacing the Markey plan.

The broader economic situation was more of a challenge to rally behind. Despite the bad economy, the United States had inherited a budget surplus, and Republican rhetoric over the lagging recovery was fairly simple: it was the bill coming due for twelve years of high taxes and mismanaged spending. To get the situation under control, the people needed that surplus money in their pockets and the government needed to get out of their way. To that end, Speaker Brownback quickly marshaled support for a bill he proudly portrayed as “a real experiment in the free market” at the White House press conference announcing its introduction. It slashed income and corporate tax rates, cut funding for welfare programs and agencies like the IRS, and overall seemed a Cohnite’s dream on economic policy. It was rare that a House Speaker so vocally and personally supported a piece of legislation, but then again it also seemed the first time the Republicans could get such an agenda through in years. Though Democrats naturally decried the proposal as a return to Greenspanomics, within months of heavy debate the “Economic Aid & Tax Reform Act” had sailed through both houses of Congress and landed in the Oval Office to be proudly signed by President Goodell.

While domestic debates puttered along and little other business seemed to be focal to the new administration, the unresolved situation with the UAR was another pressing situation. Republicans had excoriated Markey for selling out, for giving a bunch of anti-western socialist rabble-rousers’ demands any mind, but there had been no official deal. Of course, no small part of this was due to one of the quirks of American politics. Democrats, despite their overall big picture focus on international human rights and swords-into-plowshares, had often taken a softer line on Israel than their counterparts. Both parties had routinely been critical of Israel post-1973, but more Democrats than Republicans tended to think of Israel as a wayward ally than a rogue state. It was this exact approach that had seemingly doomed disarmament talks in 2011, leading to a UAR walkout over Markey’s perceived bias and unwillingness to implement the lofty goals of the non-binding Madrid Nuclear Agreement he had so vocally backed years before. Though some on the far-right had groused at the Madrid Agreement and wished to pull out, the overwhelming consensus was that the agreement didn’t force enough change to be worth fighting over, and Goodell was no exception.

Where he and his foreign policy staff differed was how they’d approach such talks. Markey had focused on carrots, and this was no good, they’d say. If America was one of the few superpowers in a world driven by the whims of superpowers and regional powers, it might as well act like it and remind the UAR and Israel both who the biggest fish in the pond was. As such, negotiations started discreetly in January 2013, culminating when Goodell and Secretary of State Jon Huntsman Jr. arrived to negotiate with Hatim al-Sir and Tzipi Livni in the summer of 2014. While al-Sir maintained his simple public stance, in private the UAR seemed to also want a lowering of US sanctions in exchange for such a high concession as the nuclear program. This point very nearly broke the negotiations on their own. Huntsman was unapologetic in his approach to the UAR and their countless abuses, especially in Kurdistan, Darfur, and towards defiant Jewish settlers in the West Bank, and he attempted quite heavily to push his president towards the same. Goodell didn’t budge, though. Though he was a hawk on UAR influence, same as everyone else in his party, tough rhetoric during the public negotiations combined with a sneaky under-the-table deal managed to get both Livni and al-Sir into a position to agree to a long enough denuclearization timetable with significant carve outs for passive uses like nuclear power plants. The secret deal was simple enough: unfreezing of millions of dollars of UAR assets, a cutoff of US aid to the Kurds, and a slate of defensive arms sales to Israel (even though it was not enough to stop Avigdor Lieberman’s Tkuma from defeating Livni’s Ihud in the 2014 Knesset election off of outrage at the deal). While the nuclear deal was lauded by the American press for what it seemed likely to prevent, Huntsman, in his post-hoc book about his time in the administration, was scathing in his condemnation of Goodell: “Roger Goodell might well have not been present until the end. He sat, waiting to see what everyone believed and how he could exploit that. The goal to him seemed to just be sealing a deal, no matter if our allies got pushed under the bus and our enemies reaped the benefits.”

The deal also had the added impact of aiding the administration in the impending midterms. While Goodell’s domestic agenda had seen no shortage of opposition from Democrats, middle opinion did not heed any such warnings but instead seemed to appreciate the lower tax rates. Overall, the economy seemed to be recovering, only occasional controversy had dogged the administration - the worst of it being the resignation of UN Ambassador Alan Keyes over a hot-mic incident - and now the world seemed a little bit safer from nuclear hellfire. As such, while there was some natural swing against the Republicans, their majorities in both houses were only lessened instead of lost, with the Democrats unable to make up lost ground in coal country and relegated to beating vulnerable incumbents in the Great Lakes and the New England Rust Belt. Overall, the White House shrugged and said it could have been worse, with most Democratic-leaning pundits blaming the “Ankara Effect” after the site of the negotiations.

Even with all signs indicating vindication for the Goodell administration, things seemed to move at a lackadaisical pace. Large new proposals seemed directionless, left untouched on the shelf by the White House after the clear unity the party had over the pollution tax and Speaker Brownback’s sheer drive to see EARTA passed helped smooth over the cracks. The most that had happened policy-wise was that, after a Supreme Court decision written by sole Markey appointee Justice Margaret McKeown ruled that 26th Amendment protections extended far more broadly to workplace discrimination than previously interpreted, a bipartisan amendment to the Civil Rights Act of 1969 defining workplace discrimination and penalties for such was passed during its reauthorization that year. But things still seemed quiet for the most part.

This was, in fact, due to one of Roger Goodell’s key selling points. The inoffensiveness of the president himself to any wing of the party meant that he had taken a similar unity tack to staffing an administration, seeing papering over the cracks as necessary. In practice, this caused frequent infighting between the majority conservatives and the handful of prominent progressives, led by none other than Howard B. Dean III, now Secretary of Welfare following Goodell’s passage of a bill splitting Health & Welfare into two. More often than not, conservative proposals would often become tabled when Dean and his allies picked a significant fight, gumming up the entire process and seemingly leaving the government rudderless. Something needed to be done, begged the RNC. Nobody wanted to be the one to alienate an entire wing of the party, but Dean’s intransigence was too much to bear. Roger Goodell once again seemed to sit on his hands, offering no defense of Dean, but he didn’t need to do the dirty work. His office had no issue ridding him of this troublesome secretary. The 2015 budget round would include significant cuts to Welfare, Labor, and Public Health, especially Medicare and Social Security benefits. This combined with Dean being cut out of the early negotiations led to him heatedly criticizing the budget off-the-cuff as undermining him during an interview, and from there Dean was promptly dismissed by Goodell for his insubordination. Allegedly, Dean didn’t even know he had been fired until he saw it on the news, and to this day the normally-candid politician refuses to discuss his dismissal or his last conversation with Roger Goodell. With him went Mike Murphy, Jane Swift, and Jon Huntsman in protest, and while it was embarrassing in the short term it was easy to brush aside editorials about the “progressive-conservative split” by pointing to Dean’s incident.

Even though the most difficult to manage faction had been removed, it would still take time to revive any significant action. While this was in one part due to the glum atmosphere fermenting in the West Wing - after all, hushed water-cooler whispers went, if Roger Goodell could twist the knife in his longtime friend so thoughtlessly, what could he do to us? - it was also due to events out of their control. The fighting over Department of Public Health cuts and the slow confirmation process of new Secretary Bruce Rauner left much of its function in disarray for a few key months. It was during these months that the first cases of AIDS began to emerge in the United States. Now it’s broadly accepted that the disease entered the United States from an American soldier in Rwanda, but given the years-long period between transmission of the AIDS RetroVirus (ARV) and diagnosis, for the first years it was unclear where the disease had emerged from. What was known was that increasing alarming reports of AIDS diagnosis spread throughout the United States’ major cities.

Despite the crucial first months of slow action, once the cabinet shakeup’s repercussions had largely settled out within Public Health, their ability to sound the alarm was quickly reinstated, to which the Goodell administration began to act. Though the press conferences about AIDS yielded another famous Goodellism - “It's always unfortunate when something gets misreported and the facts are not clear” - the announcement of an immediate spending package focused on starting up AIDS clinics in major cities around the country was welcome relief. Even so, many Queer activists, by far the majority of those affected by AIDS, saw the administration’s focus on mitigation only instead of prevention and curing as a sort of interest in genuinely helping them through a crisis decimating their communities. Research labs from San Francisco to Calcutta to Hamburg quickly began to pick up the slack, trying desperately to crack the code on AIDS.

Europe’s united front on the AIDS issue was not the only form of unity displayed within the continent. Quietly, the American line had been to encourage the growth of European integration, seeing such as a good way of resisting Soviet economic influence in the continent. To that end, throughout the 2000s, the EEC had welcomed Austria, Denmark, Norway, Sweden, and Iceland to their ranks. Crucially, a 2004 agreement between Ed Markey and Grigory Yavlinsky had given tacit Soviet permission to admit Albania provided NATO did not expand eastwards, enshrining the EEC as a distinctly pan-European project. While reformers within the Eastern Bloc had discussed attempting to join, they were softly rebuffed as their influence waned. The exception was, much like it was to the entirety of European Cold War politics, Yugoslavia. Yugoslavia had been solidly dominated by liberalizers ever since the 1980s, with its soaring economic status dubbed “the miracle on the Danube.” It was this very boom that had given a younger clique of reformers the leeway to settle constitutional disputes and create something approximating a multiethnic federal state. It was by no means perfect, as any of the dead of the Republic Square Massacre in 1998 would have said, but it had remained stable and relatively prosperous. In 2013, staunch economic liberal Boris Tadic had been elected as the new President, and the slow drift of Yugoslavia from non-alignment to outright European neutrality seemed all but complete.

Tadic wanted more though. He wanted to integrate Yugoslavia with the rest of Europe. This set the Europeans into all sorts of ethical questions - Yugoslavia was a valuable economic partner, but its human rights record was less than ideal, and while it talked a big game about its federal democracy its elections were widely known to be unfair at best. The United States saw differently. Yavlinsky was gone, replaced in 2010 by Alexander Rutskoy, a brash conservative seen directly as a repudiation of the Stockholm Consensus. While Rutskoy had by no means fired up the Cold War again in the five years he had held power thus far, he was still an ardent nationalist whose ambitions were still worrisome to the west. As such, “opening Yugoslavia” - though the nation had never been sealed, it didn’t seem a friend of the west either - seemed like a major coup, proof that isolating the Soviets as an enemy of the free world was eminently doable within the consensus. So the United States took the initiative, with Goodell and new Secretary of State Robert Zoellick taking a well-publicized trip throughout Yugoslavia with Tadic and his entourage, culminating in an agreement to lower trade restrictions between the two countries later that year. This sort of tacit US endorsement seemed the push needed to bring the holdouts over the edge, as was the unrelated defeat of key holdout Chancellor Kurt Beck in West Germany later that same year. Yugoslavia was welcomed to the EEC in early 2016 amidst significant controversy.

By then, though, the 2016 election process had kicked off in earnest in the United States. Despite some occasional internal quibbling, Roger Goodell was largely set to cruise to renomination by his own party - primary challenges were, after all, only a trend amongst presidents who had squandered their party’s mandate. The Democrats, in contrast, saw their field open up with a handful of promising candidates but none truly exciting. Partisans hoped that Kathleen Gilligan would run, having been talked up as a candidate in every open cycle since her 1998 election to the Senate, but she had a significant aversion to the White House due to both her father’s assassination and baggage from her messy divorce from William J. Clinton. Instead, after a back-and-forth campaign process with multiple candidates from Martin O’Malley to Jay Inslee to Mark Dayton to Don Siegelman, but at the end of the day it wasn’t any of them: O’Malley’s awkward and often high-minded campaign failed to connect with voters, Inslee was too tied to the Perry campaign for left-wingers yet too left-wing for many market-aligned Democrats, Dayton’s eccentricity limited his appeal to all but the most devout leftists, and Siegelman briefly surged before a corruption investigation brought him down to earth.

It would instead go to Jay Robert Pritzker, often simply referred to by his initials. Pritzker was a former Representative, Secretary of Commerce, and incumbent Governor of Illinois. Illinois - or more specifically Chicagoland - was the beating heart of the Silicon Lakes, the boomtown that was home to so many of the big tech companies at the heart of the 21st-century economy. The Pritzkers were old money there, yet J.B. had been a staunch supporter of Markeyite policies both within his cabinet and on the state level. Pritzker’s personal wealth and his support from the tech conglomerates that dotted the Chicago skyline made him a formidable opponent, with glitzy ads talking up Pritzker’s achievements on fighting discrimination and cost-of-living issues on the state level. The comparisons to the other wealthy scion who ran as a Democrat were subtle, but partisans got the message.

But 2016 was not 1932. For starters, the economic situation was quite strong, with high employment and skyrocketing GDP growth, the type of thing that Goodell and his surrogates campaigned on extensively. Their economic platform was working, they said, so why change horses? The conversation was further defined by OAS trade negotiations, as the administration had worked to take the existing bilateral trade agreements with Canada and Mexico of the Cohn years and expand them. The end result was the North American Continental Trade Agreement, or NACTA. The meeting in the Rose Garden between the heads of state of the 10 nations from Canada to Panama, all with Goodell at the helm, helped to reiterate the President as a strong negotiator and an able leader while also turning the discourse of the election into an effective referendum on NACTA’s passage.

This had the added effect of splitting the Democrats. While staunchly protectionist as a means of pro-labor politics, the Markey years had seen the party drift towards something closer to a middle ground, wherein liberalizing trade was good provided adequate labor protections and other regulations. It was the sort of regulatory guidance favored by Ed Markey, whose invocation of Adam Smith divided a social-democratic caucus as much as it made the average voter rave. Pritzker, being from the ancestrally unionized Great Lakes now producing semiconductors instead of steel, leaned towards the protectionist wing but knew a number of Jackson and Markey voters would be turned off by such talk. Pritzker’s attempted middle ground was “renegotiation,” a cautious support for NACTA provided such protections for key American industries. While New Democracy types nodded along, this sort of rhetoric combined with Pritzker’s attempts to play up his elite background as a form of Rooseveltian charm helped to effectively demoralize the labor vote.

NACTA was not uniformly supported on the right either. The Independence Party had formed out of the small parties of the dissident right for the 2012 cycle, most notably the Heritage Party. They had run hard-right radio performer and activist Rush Limbaugh, who hadn’t accrued a notable number of votes in 2012. This time, however, railed firmly against NACTA, not from a place of job protection but a place of immigration and national sovereignty. It was selling out our borders to our neighbors, allowing more guest workers to permanently settle in the United States to take hardworking Americans’ jobs. To a number of anxious middle-class voters and white southerners - especially in the manufacturing jobs created through the Eighties - it was a perfect encapsulation of the sort of unease they felt as the plants slowly but surely declined. America had lost control, and they had lost control. Limbaugh was largely ignored at first. He was first noticed when Harvey “Lee” Atwater, famed guitarist for the 1970s’ southern-fried rock group The Jalapenos and an outspoken right-winger in his old age, endorsed him and began to hit the campaign trail. Then he was truly paid attention to when the polls suggested he could hit double digits across the south and even pick up a few percent in the Rust Belt. Even so, Limbaugh was not invited to the debates, much to his roaring fury and driving of a bus in front of the debate venues reading “SHUT THIS OUT!” This would be perhaps the most eventful part of the debates. Even as both candidates were a bit dull, most viewers seemed to agree that the economy was good (no matter how much Pritzker argued about who profited most from that) and Goodell looked and sounded more like a president.

The October Surprise would not come from either campaign, but instead from Indonesia. The nation had undergone a rough transition from its longtime dictatorship to its current democracy, especially as the dictatorship’s divide-and-conquer strategies left ethnic and sectional resentment simmering. A close election won by right-wing strongman Prabowo Subianto with heavy allegations of fraud led to mass demonstrations, which the new president responded to with a major crackdown. Given Prabowo’s rhetoric demonizing non-Muslims as terrorists and rioters (in no small part due to the persistent low-level East Timorese insurgency), the crackdown quickly took on a repressive turn by design. Thousands of people from Timor to Bali fled by whatever means they could, often arriving in nearby Australia by raft or boat. At this point, Southeast Asian refugee politics were firmly defined via a Collins-era CANZUS agreement on resettlement, and the Goodell administration both did not wish to rock the boat and saw a method to reclaim the upper hand as a strong leader. In an Oval Office address to the nation, Roger Goodell offered up a now-famous justification for taking in Indonesian refugees met with equal praise and condemnation: “America is strong enough to handle this.” The results spoke for themselves on how the people felt, whether it be swing voters crucially breaking for Goodell or Limbaugh’s last-minute surge with white ancestral Democrats in Appalachia and the rural South.

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Nobody could quite expect Independence clearing the federal funding limit, but the party had railed against Goodell’s acceptance of tens of thousands of Indonesian refugees in barely-concealed Yellow Peril terms - growing in acceptability with the refugee crises and Japanese belligerence following the fall of Prime Minister Makiko Tanaka’s government to a resurgent Reimei earlier that year - helping to break into the south more firmly. The ancestrally Democratic region had only reluctantly stayed with Jackson and Markey, and Pritzker wasn’t meaningfully different. While many of those voters would never vote Republican, Limbaugh spoke to a number of their more culturally conservative views in a way the national Democrats hadn’t in years.

Regardless, the Goodell administration had been returned, and it seemed to have a clear mandate to pursue NACTA ratification. Sure enough, the proposal passed Congress with near-unanimous Republican support and a handful of moderate Democrats, incensing the labor left and nativist right. With majorities slimmed to a narrow 224-211 in Sam Brownback’s House and 52-50 in Dan Lungren’s Senate, much of the more partisan-line based legislation of the early Goodell years was impossible. The most they could muster on that front was another wave of budget cuts in line with EARTA’s goals, and even they were trimmed in the interest of progressive Republican buy-in. In the fallout of Hurricane Michelle slamming into Puerto Rico and flooding San Juan, federal relief efforts earned accolades, but structural failures and delays in such refocused the political conversation on the island’s status, culminating in a bipartisan bill authorizing an up-down referendum on post-2020 census statehood for the Caribbean territory to be held in November 2018 being signed into law by Goodell. An expansion of the Domestic Violence Prevention Act to include greater legal protections for victims and to remove gun purchase loopholes from offenders sailed through after a failed attempt by rural representatives of both parties to scratch the latter part. But this wouldn’t matter much to the goings-on of the Goodell second term.

In fact, its reputation on womens’ issues would be its undoing.

*****
It was supposed to be just another night.

That’s what the officer thought to himself anyways. He’d grown up in the District, lived here his whole life, he knew the place pretty well. Friday night patrols in Adams-Morgan weren’t supposed to be eventful. Deal with some drunk twenty-somethings, hopefully not too drunk, maybe make an arrest or two if things get really rowdy. Most of the time it was just a warning. Not tonight though.

The scene started innocently enough. Two people helping a third out of one of those hip local dance bars, the kind where they’d play that Brazilian crap that seemed to be taking the kids by storm. The officer didn’t get the craze, he was an old-school rock and Britpop man himself. But whatever. Two of them looked like… well, he wouldn’t beat around the bush. Angular faces, baggy eyes contrasting with social hyperactivity, all dressed up in crisp blue button-downs and slacks. Not an uncommon sight in Adams-Morgan on a Friday. All the tell-tale signs of politicos boozing up their weekend. Eighty-percent chance they were Republicans given the unnatural sharpness of the outfits, the uni basketball player’s build on the taller one, and the close-cropped squared-off hair on the other.

But the third. The officer’s gut was blaring sirens. The two guys were propping her up between them as her head waved to and fro, her eyes half-closed, makeup smudged, and her clearly-nice dress a bit ripped. His intuition was one of his best assets, his superiors had told him as much. He knew it was why they put him in bougie Adams-Morgan for night patrol instead of the mean neighborhoods. Any officer can spot a mugger, takes a good officer to notice more subtle issues quickly. And this wasn’t an uncommon sight, people walking their drunk friend home, but this one seemed… different. Maybe it was the way he couldn’t help but think of his own young daughter, bless her, being in this kind of situation in twenty years. So he kept watching.

And it only got more alarming from there. It was a lot of things, really. It was the urgency with which the taller of the two guys kept trying to call a cab in vain. It was the way it looked like the other guy was whispering to his friend, shooting occasional Freudian slips of glares towards the officer. It was, most of all, the way the woman’s lolling movements in her arms and legs looked more and more like she didn’t want to be there but was too disoriented to express that opinion more forcefully.

So the officer walked over, calmly as can be despite the circumstances. He couldn’t spook them. “Everything alright, gentlemen?”

The taller of the two responded, a flash of worry swallowed into a bulging neck vein. “Uh, yessir, yes. Our friend here had a bit too much to drink, so we’re just trying to get her home safe.”

The other guy chimed in with a slight grin. “Two-for-five shot night at Shenanigans, you know how it is.” To his attempt at casualness he weakly chuckled.

“Uhhh-huh. Alright, can I talk to your friend? I just want to make sure we’re all okay.”

This time the flash of worry wasn’t so concealed on the tall one’s face. “No, she’s-she’s very drunk, officer. Collapsed on the floor with no warning. We’re just really concerned and ought to be going.”

The officer flashed an effortless smile. “If she’s that drunk, we should get her to a hospital, right? C’mon, my car’s right here. You won’t be in any trouble.” And here was the test.

And now both of them looked like deer in headlights. “Uh-well-uh-sir-y’see-uh we really can’t-we need to go,” started the shorter one, but as if on cue the woman started to murmur something that distinctly had syllables like “let me go.”

This time, the officer wasn’t smiling. “Alright. I think I’ve seen enough.” He leaned into his radio. “Get an ambulance to my location, I think we have a possible drugging.” The officer turned back to the two men in front of him. “Hands where I can see them, fellas.”

As the short one complied, mouth agape in disbelief, the tall one tried something the officer thought was just hilarious. He dropped this so-called friend of his and tried to make a break for it. It was fortunate the officer was no slouch either - he was a serviceable enough linebacker in high school, and within seconds he had the runner. But when the tall one went down, the officer heard something rustling in his pocket like a maraca. Sounded like-sounded like pills. Confirmed the officer’s worst fears of what those guys were doing.

“Hey-get off me! Do you know what kinda shit you’re getting yourself into? Do you know who we work for?” The tall one shrieked, face on the sidewalk.

The officer didn’t know, but these types were always flaunting their ID badges, hoping this time it might impress some girl at the bar. Had to be around here-ah, got it. Hanging right off his side belt loop. Now, what’d that say?

EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES.

Oh. Shit.

*****

Initially, the arrest of the two White House staffers on attempted sexual assault charges that December was mostly just an embarrassment, a page-two story. It went to the bottom of the front page when the two of them told officers about a third coworker-slash-friend who had supplied them with the roofies. That staffer had a veritable pharmacy growing in his pockets, and from there it was something that had to be addressed. It seemed easy enough when Press Secretary Chris Wallace answered a stray question about it: “Their employment was terminated the second their arrest became known to us. A saying the president is fond of is ‘Respect for the law and the people who participate in its enforcement will not be compromised.’ This is no different.” One-and-done story, simple enough.

But it wasn’t one-and-done. It’s not known publicly who the first one to come forward was, one young staffer amongst a sea of them. But the first woman anonymously talked to the Washington Post, long the newspaper of choice for scandal-breakers, and what she described was a story and then some. This sort of behavior wasn’t inconsistent with the Goodell administration, she claimed. It was wholly fitting with the claimed atmosphere of pervasive harassment in the White House. The Post asked for corroboration, and did she have it for them. More of her female coworkers made their way to the same reporter, all with the same kind of stories - degrading comments, being reassigned to busywork to open up opportunities for junior male colleagues, a boorish sort of humor amongst the staff that seemed too crass for a high school locker room. One woman had more, though. A communications office staffer, she had presciently recorded Communications Director William O’Reilly making sexual advances towards her, clearly rebuffing her multiple rejections and alternating between promises of career advancement and threats of disciplinary action.

The story came out just after the New Year, and it was an instant bombshell. The public reaction was overnight a serious outrage, especially after the Post made the controversial decision to include censored audio of O’Reilly’s comments. It became even worse when Mary Matalin, Mike Murphy’s replacement as Counselor to the President, offered a tight-lipped confirmation of the “culture of sexism” in the White House offices. Both Matalin and O’Reilly were quickly fired by Goodell, who offered a now-infamous gaffe as an attempt to indicate his seriousness about the issue: “I am awake most nights.” One memorable political cartoon in the New York Post - a Murdoch paper, no less - showed Goodell in the Rose Garden saying this from behind a keg with the presidential seal on it. He stood in front of a partying White House with a fraternity chapter sign on it: Gamma Omicron Pi.

Firing both a serial harasser - multiple of the accusers had some sort of run-in with O’Reilly, even if only one had taped it - and a senior woman speaking out against the issue effectively made Goodell look blithe on the issue, no matter how much it was spun as insubordination. Even without that, the protests were swelling. Somewhat-dormant feminist organizations like the National Women’s Political Caucus surged in membership overnight, leading protests documenting their own experiences of harassment in the workplace. Men like O’Reilly weren’t uncommon, they said. That was the problem. It was refocused on the White House once again when Supreme Court Justice Alex Kozinski - Justice Kravitch’s 2014 replacement and Goodell’s only Supreme Court appointment - was credibly accused of sexual assault by multiple law clerks, feeling as if they could come forward given the swell in support.

Goodell, for his part, seemed once again nonexistent. Insiders described him as “waiting to let everything blow over,” hoping that he could assert himself on top of the situation after the flashy headlines passed. When this didn’t work, he tried to offer some change and his typical robotic responses. He reshuffled the EOP incredibly belatedly, but even this failed as his attempt at saying with a straight face “I keep my staff accountable” drew actual guffaws from the White House press pool and pushed Tonight Show host Al Franken to tears laughing. When Goodell was asked about Republican Caucus Chairwoman Hillary R. Reich’s break with the party to support Kozinski’s impeachment, his attempt to deflect with “I don’t get myself caught up in the rhetoric of any personal comments that are made” drew another round of groaning.

But it wouldn’t even be this who brought him down. Those who remembered Howard Dean’s fall included O’Reilly and Matalin, and both had their own reasons to believe they were being removed so publicly as well. Egged on by the cutthroat paranoia of the Goodell administration, spurned insiders still found time to discreetly hint at where the money he had found to pay off other accusers for the past five years had come from. The White House was leaking like a sieve at this point, so it wasn’t particularly difficult to figure out that the implication went back to Goodell’s friend-of-a-friend, the infamous lobbyist Jack Abramoff. Abramoff had been known as a shady figure for ages, but nobody had ever nailed him down on anything. He was just the kind of eminence grise opposition papers would bring up as being awfully close to Roger Goodell and his staff.

As it turned out, it was Abramoff’s money. “Casino Jack” had been grossly overbilling indigenous reservations for casino gambling - due to a quirk in indigenous law, this was often how many made their money in states with heavy gambling laws - and carving up the multi-million dollar profits among himself and his associates. In turn, he was taking this money to buy access, having given large gifts to a large number of key administration staffers. As his profile grew, so did his clientele, at which point it seemed he got in deep with Haraymani billionaires like Minister of Finance Osama bin Laden, who were paying Abramoff and his firm to the tune of tens of millions. Mary Matalin gladly testified to the Senate when called upon - partisan stonewalling broken by Senators Bill Walker of Alaska and Leon Panetta of California caucusing as “Independent Republicans” with the Democrats for the sake of the investigation - to explain just how Abramoff had tried to get her on the take as well. His gifts, as it turned out, had included the payouts to silence O’Reilly and Kozinski accusers. It seemed Abramoff had his hooks in virtually every power player in the administration, and he openly gloated about it in a digital message Matalin provided print-outs of.

After Matalin’s bombshell testimony, the Goodell administration seemed in a tailspin. Naming a special investigation into Abramoff’s actions did no good, especially when Special Counsel Ken Paxton was revealed within twelve hours to have been in Abramoff’s subpoenaed “black book” of clients, leading to Attorney General Jeannine Pirro’s resignation in a mix of protest and shame. Bill Moyers, the prominent NBC elder newsman, made waves with his choice to openly call for Goodell's resignation in his closing monologue. Kozinski’s resignation after articles of impeachment passed the House by a staggeringly large margin seemed a referendum on Goodell to many. Abramoff’s compelled interrogation by Senator Gilligan before the Senate yielded two reservations. The first was that he had paid for Goodell’s Jamestown home renovations while Goodell was Governor of New York, which promptly started House Democrats drafting articles of impeachment. The second revelation was that his lobbying had led to tacit support for Harayman-backed fundamentalist militias as an “anti-UAR counterweight;” the depth of the human rights abuses perpetrated by these groups from Sokoto to Mali to Fezzan infuriated American allies and led to immediate UN condemnations. After a grassroots pro-impeachment protest in D.C. drew near a million attendees and the Senate Oversight & Government Affairs’ Committee’s intent to subpoena a sitting president was not-so-subtly leaked, it all seemed clear what had to happen. On the evening of March 11th, 2018, Speaker Brownback, Leader Lungren, and Chief of Staff Gillespie went to meet with their president.

On March 12th, 2018, Roger Goodell would announce his resignation effective midnight after a brief speech from the South Lawn. On that day, polling showed only 6% of Americans approved of him, the lowest approval rating ever recorded in American history and a sign that the veneer of common sensibility that Roger Goodell had cloaked himself in for so long had been torn away to reveal that same ugly apathy. To say the emperor had no clothes seemed an exaggeration, though - there would have had to have been an emperor in the first place.
 
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