In my TNO headcanon, the outcome of the English Civil War, the Malayan Emergency, and the Balintawak Blitz will indirectly resulted in Cameroon deciding to cooperate with the Japanese, as well as the reason why the Iranian Revolutionary Alliance Collapsed before the forces loyal to the Shah were even defeated.
Why? Well.... My headcanon was that all three of the conflicts that I have mentioned resulted in the resistance emerging victorious against the occupiers with OFN support... With the right-wing/capitalists/liberals/pro-OFN wing of the resistance gaining dominance in the post-conflict settlement. In that the NDL getting elected in England, Razak getting elected in Malaya, and the Coalition Government of the Philippines getting dominated by the USFIP/Commonwealth supporters.
Hence, from the perspective of the more radical and vanguardist leftists, they will get the idea that by forming a coalition with the liberals in order to fight off the pro-Axis establishment will result in socialism getting 'domesticated' under bourgeois democracy at best, or entirely sidelined at worst. Hence, if the want to revolution to emerge victorious, they should purge the liberals before the conflict is finished. Leading to the clusterf*ck that was the Iranian Civil War, with the Revolutionaries getting all the way to Tehran... Only to collapse into in-fighting when the communist tried to purge everyone else, allowing the Shah loyalist forces to regroup and ultimately retake the entire country.
Anyway, here is a list of my new headcanon after the TBT update:
- UMAJF victory against the Japanese in the Malayan Emergency, with the pro-OFN Razak winning the post war election thanks to CIA support. With this being one of the first American victories since the end of WW2.
- General Fertig's USFIP managed to take Manila in the Balintawak Blitz, with the USFIP forming the United Filipino Front with the AFRSR to fight off the Japanese 14th Army's retaliatory invasion... With the CIA making sure that the AFRSR at Luzon takes the brunt of casualties in the process. After the war, Coalition Government became dominated by democratic/pro-OFN sympathizers.
- Due to OFN forces being distracted elsewhere, as well as the rushed nature of Admiral Moore's attempted intervention, the native Malagasy Republic, with Japanese support, takes control of Madagascar, with the island becoming the Co-Prosperity Sphere's stronghold in the Western parts of the Indian Ocean, sort of like an ATL Cuba.
- Total OFN victory in the South African War, followed by successful decolonization of the former RKs. With a good chunk of Southern and Central Africa becoming OFN observers.
- ... To balance this out, the West African War will be a fight between the French Military Alliance vs. Pan-African Liberation Front... With the Front led by Cameroon being victorious. But when they tried to push on to Liberia and Sierra Leone in the Mano Campaign, it quickly became a quagmire for the Cameroonian, resulting in a ceasefire, with both West African nations becoming OFN members.
- As such, while the Germans might have been pushed out of Africa for good (Outside of Reunion Island), Africa is still a battleground for the Cold War, except now it is between OFN and the Co-Prosperity Sphere.
