The Manhattan Project: Or, How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the ICBM

The primary obstacle lying in the path of the Howitzers’ deployment was Draper’s continued inability to refine his guidance system. Data from the Port Matagorda launches helped, as did the input of Polish mathematician Stanislaw Ulam, more measurements of high-altitude weather and upper-atmosphere wind, but the primary obstacle he confronted was a technological one. Despite enormous advances in electrical and electronic controls, he was forced to rely upon mechanical linkages and controls for much of his work. Vacuum tube-based calculating machines were running at Oak Canyon, but their fragility, lack of reliability, weight, size, and the amount of electricity they required made using them in flight simply impossible.

Although Draper had hoped to improve upon his 10-kilometer CEP, events proved otherwise. Whenever he solved one problem, another would crop up, whether it was expansion and contraction of components from heating and cooling, flaws in the mechanical linkages leading to the control surfaces, or simply being blown off course by high-altitude winds. By June, events had come to a head. Draper’s work was creating only marginal gains, and a meeting of von Karman, Goddard, and Groves reached a verdict. Draper’s design would have to be frozen and put into production, even if it could only provide a CEP of 10 kilometers. All involved knew this was not good enough, so they turned to a solution they had discarded early on in the guidance discussion — terminal guidance.

The dictionary defines terminal guidance as “The guidance applied to a guided missile between midcourse guidance and arrival in the vicinity of the target.” To the Manhattan Project, this bloodless definition meant something would be required at or near the target area to provide that terminal guidance. This would be no easy matter, and one the scientists knew would be extremely impractical against a heavily defended target. But it was the only option they had, and they moved forward in the hope that a better solution might present itself.

The terminal guidance solution the Oak Canyon scientists came up with was something called Terminal Semi-Active Radar Homing, though the approach was simpler than its name indicated. In testing, and against Japan, a radar-equipped B-29 flew over the target and illuminated it with an onboard radar set. Sensors located in the forward sections of the Howitzer warheads would detect the reflected radar signals and steer the warhead toward the signal. Similar approaches had been used since 1940 with beam-guidance bomber systems, but these differed in several ways. In beam guidance, bombers flew a straight path along the line of a radio beam. If the radio signal faded, they could turn to the right or left until the signal strengthened to let them know they were on the right course. In the ballistic flight course of a long-range rocket, beam guidance was impossible because the course curved, and across three dimensions.

Still, a beam transmitted from the target area could provide guidance at the critical terminal phase, when it was needed the most. The obvious problem with this was that the target areas tended to be in enemy hands, and if the beam was placed aboard a bomber, an accurate missile might destroy the bomber supplying the beam signal. Therefore, the solution was to bounce the signal off the desired target. Four antennae aboard the warhead assembly received the bounced signals and turned the warhead toward the antennae recording the strongest signal. If all four antennae received a signal of approximately the same strength, the warhead was on target.

The collection of sensors and control systems needed to implement this terminal guidance system weighed more than 1,750 pounds, but it worked — most of the time. Testing revealed that the bounced signals were too weak beyond about 15 miles from the target, greatly limiting the ability of the incoming warhead — traveling at thousands of miles per hour — to adjust in time. Furthermore, if the signal was too weak, the warheads had an alarming tendancy to “hound dog,” or oscillate up, down, and side to side, as if sniffing the air while hunting for a stronger signal. Despite these drawbacks, it was put into production as a stopgap measure.

The TSARH system added another layer of complexity to an already hideously complicated weapon, but it successfully reduced the Howitzer CEP to 2 km, at the cost of requiring a B-29 to venture into harm’s way. Draper’s team continued to search for a new approach, but because time was running out for the program, the majority of their effort was devoted to improving the ease with which the guidance systems were built and used.

During this time, the designs for the warhead assembly were also finalized. As realized in the final design of the wartime Howitzer, the guidance and navigation system were housed in the section of the rocket just below its blunt-pointed nose. That nose itself would contain 17,200 pounds of explosives and the best proximity fuse America could build.

That fuse was one of the best-kept secrets of the war aside from the Manhattan Project. It used a special radar that measured the distance to the ground and ensured a detonation at the correct time. It was used in artillery and anti-aircraft shells in the last two years of the war, and a specialized version was developed for the Howitzer. That came as a result of calculations done for “Teller’s Rocks.” Those figures showed that if the Howitzer’s warhead used a kinetic fuse — contact with the ground causing detonation — the force of impact would drive much of the warhead’s explosive potential into the ground, making it worthless. Instead, James Van Allen of Johns Hopkins’ applied physics laboratory modified the proximity fuse design to ensure a warhead detonation with maximum destructive potential.

The first staged Howitzer arrived in Texas on May 28. It was almost the same as the production Howitzer, albeit with ballast instead of a warhead and a non-finalized guidance system. This early Howitzer also lacked several of the refinements in terms of more efficient control linkages and plumbing that were used on later wartime models. Nevertheless, from the outside, it appeared much the same as the missiles that were launched against Japan.

It stood 186 feet tall from the end of its first-stage engine bells to the tip of its rounded warhead point. It had a diameter of just under 22 feet at its widest and was left unpainted, the better to conserve weight. It was free-standing, with the launch gantry needed only to clamp its bottom portion and lift fueling hoses to the height of the upper stage fuel tanks. There were eight R-3 engines, each with a thrust of about 190,000 pounds, creating a total thrust of more than 1.5 million pounds for the first stage alone.

The second stage consisted of 6 much smaller engines, boasting a total thrust of just under 12,000 pounds. This lesser thrust was required because the rocket would be moving in vacuum when the second-stage engines were fired, and they were primarily for guidance correction after the main engines had cut off, 150 seconds into flight.
 
Interesting solution to the guidance problem. Though this completely invalidates the most useful aspect of the missile, the removal of the need to put bombers over the target.
 
Interesting solution to the guidance problem. Though this completely invalidates the most useful aspect of the missile, the removal of the need to put bombers over the target.


Aracnid,

True, and a one-use "Howitzer" still isn't a better choice than a multi-use B-29.

Even given the terminal guidance solution, the missile still has a far worse "CEP" than the B-29 and carries a smaller bomb load too. When you remember that B-29s during this period are not seriously threatened by any Japanese defenses, the "unmanned/saves lives" rationale behind the missile is moot.

So, despite all the accomplishments the Project has achieved, we're left with a missile with a CEP that still requires a WMD and still no WMD with which to arm the missile.

Quite frankly, I don't see how the "Howitzer" is going to "end the war" if that war happens to be WW2 in the Pacific. The B-29s can still do a better job of burning down Japan and at far less cost too.

The "Howitzer" is going to be used, if only to justify the expense of developing it but, until nukes or KE warheads arrive, it's not a "war-ender" let alone a "war-winner".


Bill
 
So, despite all the accomplishments the Project has achieved, we're left with a missile with a CEP that still requires a WMD and still no WMD with which to arm the missile.

Quite frankly, I don't see how the "Howitzer" is going to "end the war" if that war happens to be WW2 in the Pacific. The B-29s can still do a better job of burning down Japan and at far less cost too.

The "Howitzer" is going to be used, if only to justify the expense of developing it but, until nukes or KE warheads arrive, it's not a "war-ender" let alone a "war-winner".

I generally agree, but the one caveat I have is that the British will presumably have developed their anthrax weaponry to quite a high level of refinement. Given the very severe malnutrition that urban Japanese populations will be suffering, and the fact that the Japanese deployed bioweapons in China, then some form of anthrax tipped ICBM with a dispersal mechanism that releases the spores at the appropriate height could be devastating. Of course, this probably requires bringing the British on board slightly earlier, but it should work, as the USSR was apparently able to develop such weapons.
 
Aracnid,

True, and a one-use "Howitzer" still isn't a better choice than a multi-use B-29.

Even given the terminal guidance solution, the missile still has a far worse "CEP" than the B-29 and carries a smaller bomb load too. When you remember that B-29s during this period are not seriously threatened by any Japanese defenses, the "unmanned/saves lives" rationale behind the missile is moot.

So, despite all the accomplishments the Project has achieved, we're left with a missile with a CEP that still requires a WMD and still no WMD with which to arm the missile.

Quite frankly, I don't see how the "Howitzer" is going to "end the war" if that war happens to be WW2 in the Pacific. The B-29s can still do a better job of burning down Japan and at far less cost too.

The "Howitzer" is going to be used, if only to justify the expense of developing it but, until nukes or KE warheads arrive, it's not a "war-ender" let alone a "war-winner".


Bill

Somehow I think that the "war winning" aspect of this will be that the missiles are mass produced. (Doing it twice will probably help make the lesson about America's industrial capacity sink in.) I'm willing to bet that each of the attacks involves about 100 (or more) missiles, with only one or two B-29s present for the terminal guidance thing. A 2000m CEP on your intended target doesn't matter quite as much if you launch hundreds of missiles at it.
 
... then some form of anthrax tipped ICBM with a dispersal mechanism that releases the spores at the appropriate height could be devastating.


Alratan,

Leaving aside the extreme technical difficulties in developing a warhead which can safely disperse anthrax spores from a missile traveling at thousands of miles an hour, what of the Allies "No First Use" policy?

The initial post also specifically mentions "throwing rocks". I would think the long term poisoning of portions of the Home Islands with anthrax via ICBMs would rate a mention in the demonstrators' polemics, wouldn't you?

Somehow I think that the "war winning" aspect of this will be that the missiles are mass produced.

RCAF Brat,

And the B-29, which carries a larger payload, can drop it with more accuracy, and can be used multiple times, isn't mass produced?

Even if the final version of the "Howitzer" costs a tenth of the B-29's 700,000 USD price tag, the bomber is a cheaper weapon system once it takes off on it's eleventh mission. The bomber is also more accurate and carry a wider range of payloads. What's more, given the nature of Japan's air defenses at this time, the B-29 are about as risk free as things get in wartime.

A 2000m CEP on your intended target doesn't matter quite as much if you launch hundreds of missiles at it.

On the other hand, I can launch hundreds of re-usable bombers with a better CEP at the same target and then use them on many more targets besides.

Unless Amerigo has a pretty big rabbit left in his hat - and he doesn't write his time lines in that manner - I just don't see how the "Howitzer" is going to effect WW2 that greatly. The delayed presence of the atomic bomb is of greater effect than the early presence of IRBMs or ICBMs.


Bill
 
Leaving aside the extreme technical difficulties in developing a warhead which can safely disperse anthrax spores from a missile traveling at thousands of miles an hour, what of the Allies "No First Use" policy?

That's why I mention the Japanese use of bioweapons in China. Without an atom bomb to deploy, I suspect that the Western Allies would rapidly say that this counted as a "First Use", and deploy anthrax. The technical problems are substantial, I agree. The Soviet Union allegedly solved them, but I don't know the details on how hard it was. Thinking about it more, even if they don't use a missile based delivery mechanism, I think the WAllies would probably still use anthrax against the Japanese in this circumstance, to spare themselves Downfall.

The initial post also specifically mentions "throwing rocks". I would think the long term poisoning of portions of the Home Islands with anthrax via ICBMs would rate a mention in the demonstrators' polemics, wouldn't you?

True, I forgot this.
 
I did consider using gas or biological agents as a potential payload, but a problem is both the heat of re-entry and the energy of impact. Unless you've shielded it spectacularly well, that payload is going to be sterilized to a great degree. Poison gas might break down, biological agents would be killed. And as Bill pointed out, that would violate the first-use policy in place.

For those of you who are interested in more detail about how this terminal guidance system works, check out this website: http://www.okieboat.com/History guidance and homing.html It does a good job of explaining how it worked in OTL's Bumblebee tests (1946) and the Talos missile (early 1950s). There's obviously some differences from what we're doing here -- no beam-riding system, for one, just the terminal system -- but the principle is largely the same.
 
The first Howitzer didn’t get off to a good start. It exploded on the launchpad on June 1. The second did likewise the next day. It wasn’t until the third, on June 4, that a full-scale Howitzer soared above the waters of the Gulf of Mexico. If the first two rockets had set the basis for the least the U.S. Army could expect from the Howitzer, that third test vehicle showed the best it could expect. After a flight of more than 3,000 miles, the missile’s warhead splashed down in the south Atlantic less than 1 mile from the destroyer awaiting it. That proximity caused no shortage of anxiousness aboard the ship, which saw the incoming warhead as a meteor that appeared headed directly for the ship. The captain of the ship, realizing the long odds against a direct collision, simply stopped engines and awaited the splashdown.

News of the successful launch was received in Oak Canyon and Port Matagorda almost immediately. It took just a little longer to reach the desk of President Truman in Washington. Truman had been kept in the dark about the Manhattan Project during his time as vice president, but after Roosevelt’s death on April 12, he was hurriedly briefed. As a former artilleryman, the president’s interest was piqued by what he saw as an artillery project writ large. Though astonished at its cost and scale, he perceived that the project offered an opportunity for reducing American casualties in the war against Japan. With the defeat of Germany, that factor was growing in importance. There was a growing belief that Japan had to be defeated quickly in order to keep the public from souring on the war effort.

Though Truman stayed largely hands-off until the final decision to launch, he was instrumental in deciding policy for the use of military rockets. In late 1944, a group of Oak Canyon scientists wrote Groves, asking him to consider a provocative test for German and Japanese observers before using rockets against an actual target. After consulting with a military committee, Groves rejected the notion. Truman likewise opposed the idea when it was brought to him. Demonstrating the weapons would reduce their shock value and might allow the Japanese to somehow develop countermeasures.

Left to Groves and a special target committee, then, was the task of finding appropriate targets for rocket attack. By spring 1945, Japan was beginning to come under regular bombardment from American B-29s. Three cities: Hiroshima, Nagasaki, and Kokura, were removed from bombing task lists. They would serve as control objectives, the better to compare the destructive power of missile bombardment with conventional attack. Hiroshima was the largest relatively untouched city left on American target lists, and thus was preserved for missile attack. Nagasaki and Kokura, which housed a major arsenal, were chosen because of their military utility and because both were urban centers that provided a chance to test the missiles’ power on a variety of targets.

In total, five cities were proposed targets during a series of meetings in May. Kyoto was proposed but rejected because an attack on the religious center might inspire further resistance. Yokohama, a major naval base, also was proposed, but it had already been heavily damaged by conventional bombing. A sixth target — the Emperor’s palace — was briefly proposed but rejected. Special effort already was being made to avoid damaging it with conventional bombing, and other targets in Tokyo were under virtually unceasing attack.

In Europe, a vast political and quasi-military mission was under way to collect German scientists and engineers to obtain information and plans for the advanced weapons Germany had employed against the Allies in the final year of the war. The United States offered these specialists employment and asylum in the United States in exchange for bringing their expertise to America. Because of laws against hiring individuals affiliated with the Nazis, many had their backgrounds obfuscated or concealed in order to obtain passports and permission to enter the U.S. Rocketry specialists received somewhat different treatment. Instead of being asked to join, they were quietly detained and consolidated at an estate in England. There, confined to the estate grounds, they were interrogated about their knowledge and secretly recorded once the questioning ended and they were allowed to live on the grounds with their families. This confinement lasted for more than a year as American and British intelligence agents gradually uncovered the extent of the German rocket program.

The scientists in Oak Canyon knew nothing of this. Not even von Karman was informed about the detention of German rocket scientists; it was kept strictly on a need-to-know basis. As it quickly became clear to the interrogators that the Germans had little to add to American efforts, nothing was revealed to those in Oak Canyon. They merely continued with their refinements to the Howitzers that were beginning to roll out of the works in Henderson and Oak Ridge.

Those first Howitzers included solid-fueled models from the works at Henderson. For various reasons, these had received less testing than the liquid-fueled versions. This was less of a problem than it appeared, because the solid-fueled rockets shared aerodynamic characteristics with their liquid-fueled counterparts, and their engines were simpler, requiring less refinement. At the same time, this simplicity caused one major problem — they could be controlled less easily. Where liquid-fueled engines could be throttled back or forward as required by the navigation system, solid-fueled engines could not. They simply burned until their fuel was exhausted. Any course modifications had to come from thrust direction alone.

Testing that started in February 1945 began to iron out those problems. It was quickly discovered that the solid-fueled Howitzer was far more stable than its liquid-fueled counterpart, even if it sacrificed some accuracy, range, and payload. Its fuel was heavier, as was its internal structure, which was needed to withstand both the heat of the burning fuel and the weight of the fuel. No creative solutions — such as the pressurized structure of the liquid howitzer — could sidestep these issues. To compensate, the solid-fueled Howitzer was bigger: 205 feet from tip to tail. Its 16,950 pounds of payload were less than the liquid-fueled Howitzer boasted, but it required less training and maintenance.

In test launches, the men of the 315th Wing learned to love the solid-fueled Howitzer’s relative simplicity, while the scientists in charge of conducting the tests hated its lack of flexibility and more limited payload. On the launchpad, the solid-fueled Howitzer needed only clamps to hold it in place and electrical and telemetry connections, a marked contrast to the rat’s nest of hoses required for the liquid-fueled model.

Those first solid-fueled models had a success rate of about 35 percent. High temperatures created by burning fuel throughout the body of the first stage often caused burnthrough, where the body of the rocket would soften under intense heat, allowing exhaust to blast through side panels, destroying the missile. Some of these issues were traced to manufacturing problems, which were corrected. Others were due to metallurgical issues that required the development of still more heat resistant metal. By June, Port Matagorda was reporting a success rate of about 65 percent with the solid-fueled Howitzer.
 

altamiro

Banned
I have a question concerning terminal guidance.

IIRC, the shock wave generated by blunt end ionizes the air, so that no direct communication with the entry vehicle is possible on a very broad range of wavelengths. Of course at some moment the speed is down and the plasma screen dissipates, but isn't it too late to correct the course by then?
 
Good question. We're kind of lucky in a way -- the limited power of the terminal guidance system prevents that ionization from becoming a problem. For the time period we're talking about, really powerful radar sets aren't possible in an airborne platform -- they're so inefficient that you'd need a ton of power. Because of that, the terminal guidance signals aren't worth much beyond about 15 miles from the target. That's close enough to the target point that the warheads will be through most of the atmosphere and will have been slowed by re-entry enough to avoid ionization effects.

I'll definitely add a paragraph to that effect in the story. Thanks for bringing it up!
 
With much of the engineering work on the Howitzers completed, the scientists at Oak Canyon turned their thoughts elsewhere, even as they continued to refine their designs. The vast majority of the men and women who worked on the Manhattan Project were longtime devotees of science fiction, and almost all believed that space travel would soon become a reality through their work. At Oak Canyon, a philosophical society was formed in 1943 to debate the details of human space exploration. This group, formed largely for entertainment, nevertheless drove much of the postwar applications of the Manhattan Project. Scientists shared the latest science fiction stories and discussed any possible applications to their work. They published their discussions in a regular newsletter, which came to be known as the Bulletin of the Rocket Scientists, reflecting the group’s name. During one of the group’s discussions, it was theorized that parachutes might provide a means for a payload to be returned to Earth without an impact of thousands of miles per hour.

This was seized upon as a possible means to send instruments to high altitudes with a possibility of safe return. It proved to be more difficult than it appeared. Although parachutes had been used with smaller rockets, the extreme speeds of the Howitzer’s returning warhead caused numerous problems. The solution developed was to utilize a staged parachute system, whereby a small parachute would slow the returning payload enough to allow larger parachutes to be deployed. Plans were drawn up in April, and the first launch of this parachute payload took place on June 18. After several instances in which the parachutes were burned through by the heat of re-entry or failed to deploy at all, the first successful return took place on July 27 — but the payload sank after landing in the Atlantic, far from the destroyer in position to observe the test. Not until August 25 was an instrument package successfully returned and recovered. But by that time, the United States and the world had already learned of the Manhattan Project.

By June, French chemist Bertrand Goldschmidt recalled, the Manhattan Project “was the astonishing American creation in three years, at a cost of two billion dollars, of a formidable array of factories and laboratories — as large as the entire automobile industry of the United States at that date.”

That array included facilities from one coast to the other. In California, there were scientists at Caltech who had been drafted to do work there because of a shortage of space at Oak Canyon. In Nevada was the big DuPont facility for building solid-fueled rockets. Utah of course had Oak Canyon and a few testing ranges. In Texas were Port Matagorda and the 315th Bombardment Wing’s extensive launch facilities. Illinois and Wisconsin had engineering and drafting facilities overseen by Conant, as well as manufacturing plants for some of the Howitzers’ most critical components. In Detroit, Chrysler did yeoman work on more components, while Tennessee housed Eastman’s manufacturing plants for the liquid-fueled Howitzers. Boston held still more engineering contractors, as did New York. Washington D.C. was the governor of the whole operation, with decisions regarding the project made at the highest levels of the U.S. government.

The end result of this unprecedented marshaling of industrial talent and scientific knowledge was a mere three rockets of each type per week. This seems ludicrously few to an observer with knowledge of the Cold War’s massive stockpiles, but to the men of the Manhattan Project, this production was an incredible accomplishment. From Nevada and Tennessee, the missiles were transported — in segments — to Texas. There, they were assembled, fueled, and launched at a pace averaging two per day.

Initially, the plan had been for final assembly to take place at the manufacturing plant, but the sheer size of the Howitzers precluded this. At 60-75 feet long, an average U.S. railcar was simply too small. Longer railcars could be built, but there were questions about whether they could navigate the curves of the railroads to Texas. In the end, the stages were shipped separately, and the warheads traveled separately as well. Those were constructed in Maryland, at an explosives plant built specially for the Manhattan Project, and paired with proximity and contact fuses that traveled on an adjacent car. Detonators were not inserted until almost the final moment before launch, the better to prevent an accident.

Hiding the missile components on trains was a monumental security problem. They were covered with tarps typically, but on several occasions the tarps blew off, exposing the missile segments to the weather and the prying eyes of the public. Those momentary security lapses posed problems for the exposed missile segments when fired. In some cases, rainwater collected in nooks and crannies, causing corrosion that weakened the missiles’ structure. To prevent this from causing an explosion, any missile segment exposed in transit was discarded — even if the segment appeared to be undamaged. Attempts also were made to fix the security breaches caused by exposing missile segments. In most cases, bystanders were foisted off with the suggestion that the mysterious objects were water tanks, a ruse employed during WWI to conceal the invention of armored tracked vehicles — tanks. These new tanks promised to be just as groundbreaking as those had been.

By early July, all was ready for the first armed, live-fire test of a Howitzer. Because of their stability, a solid-fueled Howitzer was chosen as the first to fly. It was assembled on July 7, and readied to fly on July 9. It was mated with its warhead, and the detonator was inserted as airmen from the 315th ran for cover. They were in charge of any armed Howitzer, while the Manhattan Project held sway over unarmed missiles. The 315th technically also took orders from the project, but because it was an Army unit, it considered itself an Army group first, and part of the Manhattan Project second. At 4 p.m., July 9, 1945, Howitzer 103 lifted into the air above Texas’ coast and soared eastward. Less than 30 minutes later, the crewmen of the USS Kearny watched as a ruler-straight contrail appeared from the sky and arced downward at a 35-degree angle about 150 miles north of Fortaleza, Brazil.

The explosion, about two miles distant, was muted but rumbled across the ocean to greet the ears of the waiting sailors. A small wave crashed against the bow of the destroyer, then was gone. There was nothing else to signify that a new world age had begun — the Rocket Age — as writers and philosophers later called it.

Over the few weeks that followed, other live rocket tests were conducted, both singly and in groups. As planned, any missile attack would happen en masse, in order to maximize the psychological and destructive effects of rocket bombardment. Just as strategic bombers were flying in large formation over Japan, so too would the rockets fly. As production in Nevada and Tennessee increased, missiles and components were stockpiled in enormous concrete buildings constructed for that purpose near Port Matagorda. There were four of these long windowless buildings, each having two-foot-thick concrete walls as long as half a mile. The buildings were nicknamed “The Queen Marys” by the men who worked in them, so called because their white surfaces and enormous size recalled the cruise ship of that name.
 
As the missiles flew in tests, the stockpiling progressed and work continued on launchpads. As planned, the 315th’s complex northwest of Port Matagorda itself would be able to fire 220 Howitzers simultaneously. But delays in construction and other problems caused this figure to fall as the deadline of August 1 approached. By that date, fully one-quarter of the planned launchpads were incomplete, and many of that number were little more than staked ground where concrete would be poured and steel pilings planted. Even among the three-quarters theoretically completed, there was much left to do. Electrical connections had to be completed and pipelines had to be laid to the launchpads. The cryogenic plants for creating super-cold fuels were completed, but there often was no way to deliver the fuel to the rockets that needed it.

The date of launch was delayed, then delayed again. Shortcuts were taken. Each launchpad was supposed to have the plumbing needed to launch a liquid-fueled rocket, but with little chance of this being done quickly, rockets were prioritized. Solid-fueled Howitzers were deployed to incomplete launchpads, while liquid-fueled ones were placed on pads with completed plumbing. In some cases, branch pipelines from the cryogenic plant were not available. Tanker vehicles were quickly drafted to make up the gaps, delivering their fuel directly to the launchpad. This was extraordinarily hazardous work. In many cases, the tanker trucks lacked the proper safety equipment for transporting liquid oxygen, which had to be vented as it warmed, or the transport tank could explode.

Fortunately, nothing along those lines happened. Jury-rigged relief valves buzzed on poorly insulated tanker trucks, but each rocket received its fuel as needed. The delays took a toll on the nerves of those in charge. If the invasion went forward without attempting to shock the Japanese into surrender with rockets, it would be one of the great missed opportunities of history. Brigadier Gen. Frank Armstrong, commander of the 315th, recalled a tense meeting with Gen. Groves: “You go ahead and get results with the Howitzer. If you don’t get results, you’ll be fired. If you don’t get results, also, there’ll never be any Strategic Missile Force. … If you don’t get results, it will mean eventually a mass amphibious invasion of Japan, to cost probably half a million more American lives.

“No matter how you slice it, you’re going to kill an awful lot of civilians. Thousands and thousands. But, if you don’t destroy the Japanese industry, we’re going to have to invade Japan. And how many Americans will be killed in an invasion of Japan? Five hundred thousand seems to be the lowest estimate. Some say a million. … We’re at war with Japan. We were attacked by Japan. Do you want to kill Japanese, or would you rather have Americans killed?

X-Day finally came on August 9, 1945. That day was particularly hot and humid, with the sticky Texas air unstirred by any but a light sea breeze that offered an intermittent respite to those who gathered at the 315th’s launch facility, now called Fort Goddard. Hundreds of dignitaries from Washington battled for space in the available bunkers, while thousands of the 315th’s men — those who had done the real work — were left to slit trenches. At 2 p.m., hundreds of pairs of hands reached for blast goggles and pulled them down over hundreds of pairs of eyes.

The designated moment didn’t come simultaneously. Laborious calculations in Oak Canyon had determined the precise order each rocket had to be launched in order that they all impact simultaneously. This technique, known as Time on Target, had been used for artillery barrages, but the high speeds of the Howitzers and the far longer distances added layer upon layer of complexity. Those calculations came atop those needed for the pre-loaded guidance tapes, which did not arrive in Texas until the day before the launch. They were held off until the last minute so the latest weather information could be applied to the calculations in order to ensure precision.

The din of launch was tremendous. It shook the earth, and amid the noise, spectators offered prayers, exclamations, or simple shouts of excitement. At the University of Texas, 200 miles to the northwest, seismographs jumped from the tremendous push against the earth generated by rocket engines firing simultaneously against the pull of Earth’s gravity. In Houston, about 100 miles northeast, people ran from their houses into the street, wondering if something had blown up.

As it turned out, a few things had. Of the 167 Howitzers that took to the air that day, 11 made it no further than the tops of their launch gantries. They exploded either on the launchpad or shortly after taking flight. The noise of those rockets’ deaths was utterly lost amid the tenor of more than 1,000 rocket engines bellowing their collective roar. As the surviving 156 took to the skies, arcing north, then west, they were observed by millions of eyes in Texas and the Great Plains. All wondered what those vaguely parallel contrails might be — if they were a new kind of bomber, or something unrelated to the war effort entirely.

At Port Matagorda, hundreds of scientists monitored radio beacons and stayed connected via telephones to radar stations across the United States. The men in those stations didn’t know what was coming. They had only been told to look for tracks at a certain place, time, and altitude, and to call a particular phone number once objects meeting those criteria were spotted. More than a few demanded to know what those things were, traveling faster and higher than anything they could’ve imagined. Some even guessed what was going on. None were satisfied by the answer they received: “It’s classified.”
 
So this is X-Day. I can see the Japanese are going to have a bit of a shock. Though based on USAF practice 167 missiles would have been split between two wings or maybe three rather than one really big one.
I also see that this time the Strategic Rocket Force is going to be on the side of the Free World.
 
Over the next few days, I'll be posting the attack results and repercussions. I hate to break up this, but it's so lengthy that I really need to.

A note on the 315th, Aracnid; OTL, the bombardment groups were reclassified as Air Divisions encompassing several wings. Since we're still under the USAAF, I went with the historical nomenclature rather than the USAF terminology. I'll be sure to insert a reference to splitting the 315th up into wings once we get to 1947. Thanks for the idea.
 
Wow! :eek:

Didn't expect the barrage. Smart, and actually makes the ICBM threat palpable even without nuclear warheads. Considering the asymmetrical panic caused by the V2s when compared with their actual limited effectiveness, combined with the time-on-target barrage, the sudden mass fusillade of explosions with no obvious bomber force would be damned terrifying to Juo Aburaju civilian.

I could see this as a plausible excuse for the Emperor to call for an "end to hostilities".
 
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