Might as well ask, but why were the Siberian NSF (with the notable exception of the guys in Irkutsk) largely loyal to Anpilov's Stalinists and not the Nashists?
Might as well ask, but why were the Siberian NSF (with the notable exception of the guys in Irkutsk) largely loyal to Anpilov's Stalinists and not the Nashists?
It was a humiliation so astonishing that on October 29th the Mongolian army rolled into Tuva, arresting Shoigu as a ‘Russian enemy agent’ and accusing him of deliberately sabotaging Tuva’s independence to get a job in the Lebed administration. Mongolians were astonished when they looked through the files and found that he simply really was that stupid.
I have a question. What did the Tuvans hope for when they assigned de facto reserve lieutenant to command the troops? Especially when he received this rank without serving in the army.
I assume that they were looking for someone local, with at least nominal military experience, and who they could manipulate or get rid of easily if he proved inconvenient.I have a question. What did the Tuvans hope for when they assigned de facto reserve lieutenant to command the troops? Especially when he received this rank without serving in the army.
Odds are good they’d have Chinese support just fine: China wants as many friendlies on their northern border as possible right now…My dad would have been one of those Mongolian soldiers who occupied Tuva, he served in the Mongolian army in the early 90s. However, it feels unlikely Mongolia would make any moves in Russia without Chinese support. Just electric grid alone would have been disconnected from the Russian grid and reliant on China. Not to mention having to switch to China on medical, luxury and heavy industry goods
Mongolian boots on the ground with Chinese support is far less aggressive than Chinese boots in Russia. In addition, China can throw Mongolia to whichever state wins the Second Russian Civil War and blame every incursion on them. I don’t see why China wouldn’t support Mongolia, it just makes sense.Odds are good they’d have Chinese support just fine: China wants as many friendlies on their northern border as possible right now…
On that note, how do you see Chinese relations with Lebed's Siberia developing in the future?At the very least, a partial buffer state against whatever rises from the ashes of Russia. I can imagine the Chinese Government being utterly terrified of the past year or so, as the collapse of Russia is the mother of all chaos and unpredictability.
As much as they probably hate the FEK, at least they are accounting for nuclear weapons recovered. There are potentially hundreds of not thousands more nuclear weapons with no word of if they remain secure or have fallen into the hands of the criminal underworld.
What became of Achalov during the collapse of the NSF regime as he seemed to vanish in the aftermath of the disaster in Chechnya? Executed/purged by either the Stalinists or the Nashists?
Any other prominent ministers in the Anpilov Government (like who's his Foreign Minister and the like)?Still the Defence Minister in Anpilov's government, though he is essentially now just Anpilov's yes man trying not to be the next purged.
At the time of the POD, Lavrov was a high-level bureaucrat at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs while Medvedev was amongst Sobchak's aides IIRC.We already know what Putin and Shoigu are doing (and not very well) what Lavrov and Medvedev are doing?
I'm kinda skeptical about this escalating into an actual war. I mean, I know Lebed had an Alexander complex, and Aksyuchits despises all infidels, but on the other hand they're still the sanest warlords in all of Russia, and Mongolia isn't North Korea. Perhaps an armed confrontation is inevitable, but I don't see either side here fighting for victory at any cost.So, Mongolia has one winter to prepare to face off against both the FEK and Lebed. This is a serious juncture for the tiny nation, as well as the government. Mongolia has elections in June 1996, and OTL the MPRP government (same party that had led during the communist years) lost. The party survived OTL, but if they lose badly here they might not be able to.
I think they'd want to call for Chinese assistance, maybe even troops. At this point in time Chinese forces are pretty decent, having been rotated through thorough testing on the Vietnamese border for most of the 80s. The collective leadership in Beijing will probably want to do what they can to ensure a Mongolian victory, as the FEK is bad news for them.
Greater Mongolia (with Tuva and Buryatia) would cut Siberia in two, because both the Transsiberian Railroad and the Baikal-Amur Mainline run through Buryatia. Currently the Mongols control the Transsib, but the Baikal-Amur is in Lebed/FEK hands.