The Dark Goddess on the Back of the Goat (2)
  • July 9, 1839
    Claremont House, London

    Leo lay in the dark, breathing quietly, relishing the sensation of silk sheets and a mattress under his back. So good to be sleeping in a real bed again. Even better to have Julie curled up next to him, resting gently against his left shoulder.

    Clearly she’d missed him. She’d never been so frisky and frolicsome before. The hard part had been getting her to hold still long enough for them to do the one thing that might actually help keep the line going.

    “Leo?”

    “Yes, love?” Not just yet, please. Give me a moment to get my strength back. The sheets are still sweaty.

    “I love the beard. Please keep it.”

    That explained why she had been trying to rub half her body over his face. “I will.”

    “Thank you for coming back with the honour guard.”

    “I owed it to…” He was about to say the Duke or his Grace, but whichever muse, angel, or saint was in charge of marital concord seemed to hold his tongue until his brain had a chance to catch up. “You. I owed it to you.”

    “You certainly did.” She moved until she was half on top of him and whispered in his ear.“Never again.”

    Leo said nothing. He didn’t want to admit that he had no idea what she was asking him to never do again.

    “Whatever duty you were supposed to do, you’ve done it,” she said. “Your father is proud of you—you heard him say it. All those people who said the Prince of Wales should go to war… you’ve gone. Now you’re back. Don’t go again.”

    “I won’t.”

    “Your brother had a nightmare about you dying.”

    “Really?”

    “Yes. He was terrified. He dreamed he woke up and the bells were tolling and everyone was in black and weeping and a hearse was being pulled through the street by a thousand ducks.”

    “Darling,” he said as solemnly as he could, “I give you my word on this… I’ll make sure the Duke’s hearse isn’t pulled by ducks.”

    Julie made that pfff-pffth sound he loved, then elbowed him harder than necessary in the ribs.

    “And I won’t go off to war again. Once was enough.”

    “Thank you.”

    Leo took a moment to think about how to ask the next question on his mind.

    “Julie?”

    “Hmm?”

    “There’s something strange going on in Buckingham Palace,” he said. “Or at least there was before I came home—I could tell the minute I walked in there. It’s making Mother and Father unhappy. No one will tell me what it is. When I ask, they all either act like they don’t know what I’m talking about or tell me it doesn’t concern me. Or they put me off—‘We’re so glad to have you back, let’s honor the Duke, let’s not talk about anything else.’ I even asked Chris. Bless him, he said, ‘They said I wasn’t to talk about it,’ and then he wouldn’t say anything more.”

    “Well, the Prime Minister is worried. Some of his Radical supporters are joining the Chartists.”

    “No, whatever this is, it’s not just politics. Mother has that look. As though if she had the power, there’d be heads on pikes all along London Bridge.”

    Pfff-pffth.

    “Something is wrong in the palace, Julie. And whatever it is, I doubt it will go away entirely while we tend to honoring His Grace.”

    “You’re right.” Julie paused. “They say Lady Flora is increasing.”

    “Oh.” That was awkward. Lady Flora Elizabeth Rawdon-Hastings was in her thirties and unmarried—indeed, unattached to any man as far as Leo knew. “Any idea who the father is?”

    “No.”

    “And I suppose word’s gotten out?”

    “Yes. We don’t know who talked. Mother thinks it was Anna Duchess of Bedford.”

    “Oh.” That happened to be the sister-in-law of Lord John Russell. Which was likewise awkward. “So how big a scandal is this?”

    “Too big. All the Tories are talking about it. The Archbishop has done three different sermons about the sin of lust and female propriety and chastity in high places.”

    “Of course he would. It’s not as though there were anything more important going on.” Leo sighed. “Three sermons… and those are just the ones everyone stayed awake long enough to hear. So what does Flora have to say for hersef?”

    “She says it never happened. She says she’s still a virgin. She’s been asking to see Stockmar again to prove it.”

    Leo took a moment to choose his next words.

    “I don’t mean to speak ill of her,” he said slowly, “but unless the Second Coming really is at hand… I don’t suppose any man has stepped forward to admit his part in it?”

    As soon as the words left his mouth, he realized they were innuendo. Julie was already spluttering again. “Wicked boy.” She was silent for a moment at that.

    “It isn’t a joke,” she said. “Mother thinks if she’s pregnant, then it happened to her against her will.”

    Leo’s fingers gripped the bedsheets.

    “What?”

    “That she did not want it—”

    “No, I heard you. Just… what?” Leo fumbled for words. “If somebody—if there’s a man at the palace who would… who’s…”

    “I think the English word is ‘rapist’.”

    “Bloody hell, Julie, my sisters live there! Whoever did that should be… be…” Leo’s imagination failed him.

    “Mother said when they find him, they should take him on the Antarctic expedition and leave him there.”

    “That would suffice. Barely.”

    “I’m sure no one would dare trouble your sisters.”

    “That’s very cold comfort. It’s Buckingham Palace. No one should be unsafe there.”

    “Of course.”

    “It would disgrace the whole kingdom if… no wonder Mother’s so angry.” She’s so protective of the servants. And she so hates this sort of gossip. And—wait a second. “You keep saying ‘if she’s pregnant.’ Is there any doubt?”

    Julie was silent for a moment.

    “The doctor said more than six weeks ago she was starting to swell. By now she should be big in the belly. If anything, she’s thinner. Not so swollen.”

    “So either she’s found a way to… not be pregnant any longer… or it’s something else.”

    “And—you’ve seen women when they’re pregnant. They look healthy. They…”

    “They glow.”

    “They glow. She does not glow. She looks sick.”


    July 10, 1839
    Buckingham Palace

    Leo followed the servant into a small room in the service area. He was a little surprised to see not only Mother, but Amelia and the other two sisters in the room.

    “Thank you for coming,” said Amelia. Lady Flora was being held up by Elphie, who Leo knew looked to her as a kind of older sister. Flora looked downright gaunt, and her skin was a couple of shades yellower than Leo remembered.

    Baron Stockmar, the Royal Physician, looked more ashamed than Leo had ever seen him. “I’ve made a terrible blunder, Your Highness,” he said. “Her ladyship is not pregnant and never was. She is unwell.”
     
    The Dark Goddess on the Back of the Goat (3)
  • Yikes. Still I like the way you focus on the human level of these elites.

    A very human touch that has me following the TL quite closely. @Lycaon pictus ability to humanize even the worst people has made me a pretty staunch fan.
    Thank you. As a writer, I appreciate it.
    Hmm not much on Post War America yet. But the differences between Richmond ad Charleston are intriguing. OTL the upper South was drawn into the same radicalism, as the Deep South in many instances; but ITTL it looks like the break up of the slavers may continue.

    The Stabler's seem on a collision course with the planter elite. Their abolitionism is growing more apparent and this marriage might be seen as a final rejection of any potential alliance and reconciliation. Antislaver forces in Virginia, unlike OTL ,seem to have an internal figure to rally to in the Stabler family as things escalate.
    The reaction of the planter elite to the Stablers is in the process of going from "They're Quakers, what do you expect?" to "They'll come around when they see how awesome we are" to "Wait, now they're waiting for us to come around."
    And now for something completely different…


    August 9, 1839
    about 2 a.m.
    Mount Greylock Observatory

    Over a thousand meters above sea level, far from the smells of farm life and the worse smells of towns, the night air was delicious and pleasantly cool even at the height of summer. Edward R. Pickering[1] held a lantern up to his watch to make a note of the exact time, then closed the panels on his lantern. They would need the light to make notes by, but the initial observations had to be done in the dark. Prof. Strong[2] did the same with his own lantern.

    Nearly six years ago, they, like all their students and the rest of the nation, had borne witness to the greatest meteor shower in memory. The skies on November 17, 1833, had been filled with silent white fireworks, radiating out of the constellation Leo[3]. Joseph Smith and his Cumorites had said it was a sign that the Second Coming was at hand. The fact that the Second Coming hadn’t come didn’t seem to have discouraged anyone of that strange creed. And for the rest of the nation, it had been a brief, beautiful moment of awe in what was otherwise a fairly dismal year.

    Four years ago, Halley’s Comet had arrived. Where the Leonid shower that year had been an unexpected pleasure, the comet had arrived with punctuality a train service might have envied. All the students had gone out to make sketches of it, trying to come to some sort of agreement on the size and conformity of its tail. It was best not to try to compare their results.

    More recently, astronomers in London, Königsberg, and St. Petersburg[4] had measured the distances to nearby stars, and those distances were such that the human mind simply could not accommodate them—hundreds of thousands of times the distance from the Earth to the Sun, which was already beyond imagining.[5] And then there was this new art of… either photography or argentography, depending on whom you asked,[6] which was taking hold in Paris, London, and Hannover. It was in its infancy, and needed strong light and a still subject, but it had already been used to capture some excellent images of the full moon. Pickering certainly wished he had a camera with the power to record what he was about to see. But tonight’s observations, if he and Strong were right, could easily be made by others and would… well… eclipse all the other discoveries of this decade put together.

    The last shreds of cloud were leaving the southern sky. “It looks clear enough now,” said Pickering as he sat down to look through the telescope. “And if the weather holds”—Pickering looked to the west briefly—“we’ll have at least two hours of good viewing. More than we need.” Strong nodded.

    The 40-cm achromatic lens and 3.6 meters of focal length made this the most powerful telescope in the Western Hemisphere, and tonight they had a task worthy of its might—to find a celestial object that according to Strong was currently well over four billion[7] kilometers distant from Earth. Pickering already had it pointed in more or less the right direction. A few adjustments, and…

    It was inevitable that at a moment such as this, the line from Keats’ “On First Looking into Chapman’s Homer” would come to mind:

    Then felt I like some watcher of the skies
    When a new planet swims into his ken;


    But while the late John Keats[8] was a magnificent poet, he wasn’t an astronomer. Such things were never that simple. To discover a planet and confirm that it was a planet, you had to document changes in its position, and that could not be done in a single night.

    And there was no element of surprise here. They already knew that somewhere in the outer darkness lurked an invisible titan, a planet of awesome size lit by no sun—or almost none. They had known this since the time of the great Alexis Bouvard, who showed how the dark planet’s gravity affected the orbit of Uranus. Thanks to Strong’s calculations, the two of them had a good notion of where to find it.

    In a way, Mount Greylock was better suited to this sort of work than other sites in drier climes. Moonless summer nights that were clear enough for stargazing didn’t happen every month. The last observations had been nearly two months ago, before first light on June 14—almost the first thing the new telescope had seen. But the dark planet, if it existed (and by now Pickering felt quite sure that was what he had seen) was so far away and moved so slowly in its orbit that the incremental changes in its visible position from night to night lay well within the margin of error for any measurement done by human hand and eye. Fifty-six days was time enough for a measurable change in the planet’s position.

    Last time, it had been midway between Iota and Theta Capricorni, a fleck of deep, rich blue against the black of space, very near the plane of the ecliptic. Pickering raised his eye to the 15-mm lens (something of a compromise—a smaller lens would have offered greater magnification, but a larger one could take in more of the sky) and looked at this site first, confirming that it was not there now. If Strong’s calculations were correct, it should be much closer to Theta Capricorni.

    One arc-second at a time, the telescope moved. There was Theta Capricorni—the star called Dorsum, the back of the goat—and practically next to it… Yes. There you are. Right within a degree of where my friend said you’d be. You’ve been hiding from our kind since the first man looked up at the night sky, but now we have found you out.[9]

    “I see it,” he said, and reached for the steel ruler so that he could begin measuring the apparent distance of the planet from the various stars of Capricornus.

    “It needs a name,” said Strong while he was measuring. “Perhaps we should name it after Bouvard. Or after ourselves, like a comet. Pickering-Strong? Strong-Pickering?”

    “I almost think we should name it ‘Adams’,” said Pickering, gesturing at the telescope which the late ex-president’s bequest had paid for. “But… Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, Uranus, Adams? Doesn’t quite sound right, does it?” He chuckled. “And I imagine the rest of the world’s astronomers would have a thing or two to say about that. There are still some good classical names we can use. A student of mine—Eleanor Beecher, lovely girl—suggested ‘Nyx’ after the Greek goddess of night.” He moved aside so the mathematician could take a look while he wrote down his observations.

    “It fits,” said Strong. “Far from the sun, can only be seen on the darkest nights by those who know where to look… yes.”

    Of course, it would be a while before the rest of the world could acknowledge their discovery at all. They weren’t likely to be able to have their findings published within the next two months, and at some point in October the dark planet would become invisible to even the best telescopes, its indigo glow too much like the color of twilight. So what? Nyx will appear again next summer. Our lady in blue has been moving in the same circle since the beginning of the solar system. She isn’t going anywhere.


    [1] Father of astronomers Edward Charles and William Henry Pickering ITTL.
    [2] Theodore Strong, a professor of mathematics at nearby Williams College.
    [3] The Leonid meteor shower of 1833 was particularly vivid IOTL as well.
    [4] Henderson, Bessel, and Struve, respectively.
    [5] No one has been yet able to measure the speed of light accurately enough to feel comfortable using the light-year as a measure of distance. They’re working on it.
    [6] Photography (a term invented in France) is actually the more common term. The British are using argentography just to be different from France, but this term will eventually serve to distinguish the silver chloride and silver iodide methods used by Nièpce, Daguerre, Talbot and others from later methods.
    [7] The British at this point would say “milliard,” but in American English, billion has always meant 1,000 million.
    [8] He died of cholera last year, which is still 17 years longer than he lived IOTL. He leaves behind his wife Frances, or “Fanny,” and two surviving children, Charles Clarke Keats and Thea Margaret Keats.
    [9] I got the astronomical data from this site. And according to this site, the telescope described here would have a magnifying power of 240x and be able to resolve objects down to +15.4 magnitude—more than enough to see Neptune on a clear night. The trick would be getting it pointed in exactly the right direction.
     
    Half Slave, Half Free (1)
  • To understand the roots of Niagaran radicalism, we must first free our minds of two enduring myths.

    The first is that put out by William Arthur Silkworthy, who despite what he later became is still seen by too many as a reliable authority on the state where he grew up. In “The Roar of the Waters,” his oft-quoted article in the January 1911 Greeley’s Monthly, he traced the state’s radicalism to its conquest in the War of 1837, famously dismissing the state’s history of radicals as “the pain of an Anglo-Saxon people caught between Crown and Constitution, forever dissatisfied with the status quo but unable to express why”—a roundabout way of saying “the natives are restless.” This obscurantist interpretation long found favor among both Americans and British not through its own merit, but because ideologically driven writers found their own uses for it. In America, conservative politicians were only too happy to have an excuse to dismiss the appeals of Niagaran radicals, and were no doubt sorry they couldn’t apply it to radicals from every other state as well. In the United Kingdom, pro-Empire historians (see endnotes for examples) used it to disparage the outcome of the war and absolve the Empire of any blame in the matter. In any case, a cursory reading of state history reveals that Niagara-born radicals were often quite adept at expressing the causes of their discontent. Silkworthy was, as usual, merely giving voice to his own idiosyncratic feeling of being torn between two worlds.

    The second is the idea put forward by Charles Wine in his biography of Robert Owen. Wine writes, “To this day [The Life of Robert Owen having been published in 1900] the American state of Niagara elects far more radicals to public office than Michigan or upstate New York. This, too, is part of the legacy of Port Harmony.” While it is true that almost every socialist in the world (democratic or otherwise) draws upon the Port Harmony experiment both for inspiration and warning, and Elmar himself called it “the most instructive of all utopian experiments to date,” the fact remains that references to Port Harmony in local newspapers (either before or after the War of 1837) are few and short, and the correspondence of Morgan and Mackenzie makes no mention of it at all outside their letters to Gourlay. Even in the 1820s and 1830s, the average British or American settler in the area regarded Port Harmony as an irrelevant experiment carried out by strange radicals who were physically as distant from Kent-Strathearn as Knoxville or Portland, at the far end of not one but two of the world’s largest lakes.

    In place of these myths, we must consider a single salient fact: Niagara was radical before it was Niagara. All of Canada, but especially southern Upper Canada, had been frustrated and radicalized by elite dominance of political and economic life in the colony, and it was that frustration and radicalism that triggered the revolt in the Canadas. This revolt in turn served as pretext for the U.S. Congress to declare war. President Berrien famously did not want any part of Britain’s Canadian possessions, and (after the state constitutional convention rebuffed his personal written pleas and forbade slavery or involuntary servitude) needed four days and considerable pressure to make him sign the bill that granted Niagara statehood. American historiography (especially that aimed at younger students) makes much of the Canadian revolt and less of Berrien’s ambitions, but because a thing is often taught to pre-adolescents does not make it untrue. And only in Upper Canada did the revolt against the Family Compact become a revolt against British authority—Lower Canada, which rose up against the Château Clique at the same time, remained loyal and spurned Winfield Scott’s offers of assistance. Only in this light may we understand the decisions made by the Toronto Convention as they met in the old Parliament building and set about crafting the state constitution. Their task was not simply to provide the state with the constitution, but to break the remaining power of the Compact and ensure that no such network of power could ever rise again.

    The very first decision to be made by the provisional government was, of course, what to call the territory. They had initially failed to agree on Ontario, Erie, or Huron, and the number of suggestions had only increased the longer they debated, from three to nine (see Table 5). On June 3, the convention decided to settle the issue in a referendum, which of course raised the question of who was to vote in that referendum and when it was to take place. The convention took this opportunity to open the franchise to males over the age of 21 who had resided in the territory for at least one year prior, and scheduled the event for July 30, giving the territory time to organize the referendum while ensuring that by the time the constitution was written, there would be a name to put at the top of the document. Of all the proposed names, Niagara—which the convention had added to the list at the last minute—received the largest vote, with 37,521 votes. (In a remarkable statistical anomaly, the least popular name, Interlacus, did not receive a single vote out of the 114,837 cast. For over a hundred years afterward, “Interlacus” was local slang for a proposition that received no support whatsoever.)…


    The greatest difficulty for the convention was that although many Compact members had already fled for Peterborough, Kingston, and Bytown, the judiciary was still dominated by those who remained. As Morgan said, “Judges are an essential component of the process by which the lives, liberties, and property of the people are secured. We cannot simply abolish the judiciary and do without them until some better institution can be built. Yet the judges that we have at present are as much a threat as a safeguard.”

    Thus, Article III of the state constitution declared that all Niagaran judges, up to the state Supreme Court, would serve at the pleasure of the Assembly and would need to be re-approved every year. One by one, the Compact judges could either change their ways or be replaced as new judges emerged from the ranks of the state’s lawyers. Between this, universal adult male suffrage and proportional representation in both the State Assembly and congressional delegation, the constitution was as Compact-proof as it could be made…

    Gregory Bartok, Radicalism, Democracy, and Republicanism in the United States
     
    Half Slave, Half Free (2)
  • September 13, 1839
    Whitehall

    George Charles Canning sat facing the Secretary of State for War and the Colonies. He held three folded letters in his hands that he’d received yesterday and had spent the evening studying. One was a letter that Russell’s office had received from Greyhaven three weeks ago, which included a political manifesto by a number of towns in Australia. The other two were letters from Governor Arthur in Sydney. Whatever it was Russell wanted him to do, it had to be important—he’d been recalled from Paris and replaced with his brother, William Pitt Canning, for it.[1]

    “Having read the resolution,” said Russell, “what do you make of it?”

    “In my opinion? For the most part, these are demands to which this government may accede without regret.”

    “For the most part?”

    Canning nodded. “Transportation must continue—we need it quite as much as Australia does—and I see no firm guarantee here that this hypothetical assembly will set aside any place at all for it. Apart from that issue, I’m hard put to find a point of disagreement.”

    “Governor Arthur has a different opinion.”

    “Speaking bluntly, Governor Arthur writes like a man whose boiler is under too much pressure.” Canning tapped his head. “Anyone would think he was facing a mob of bloodthirsty Jacobins. But these”—he held up the resolution—“are not the words of Jacobins. Not even modern Jacobins. They’re not calling for Her Majesty’s head on a platter, they’re calling for the same rights they would enjoy here in the mother country.”

    “And we should grant them those rights, because…” Canning wasn’t sure if Russell was honestly unsure on this point or merely testing his ability to express his principles. He hoped it was the latter.

    “Sir, is it not the intent of this government to encourage settlement of our colonies?”

    “Of course it is.”

    “Becoming a settler in a new land is already a considerable investment in time and effort on anyone’s part. It’s a poor reward for them to enjoy less freedom there than they might have here.”

    “I concur,” said Russell. “So does the Prime Minister. More to the point, neither of us wants a second colonial rebellion on our watch.

    “And what makes it worse is the distance involved. The ship that brought this resolution—the Coldstream[2]—made the journey from Greyhaven in 97 days, with excellent sailing and the best sort of weather behind them. It’s normally a voyage of at least 100 days from Plymouth to Sydney, and somewhat longer to get back… assuming you survive rounding the Horn.[3] We can know nothing of what has happened there since late May, and any decision we send today will be unlikely to arrive before Christmas.

    “That was why I chose George Arthur in the first place. He had the reputation of a hard man, but not a cruel one. That’s a rare thing in Australia.” Russell sighed. “It shames me to say as much, but our penal system draws man-shaped monsters from all over these isles the way carrion draws crows. There are men serving the Queen in Australia whose hearts are at least as wicked as those of the worst convicts on Norfolk Island. Now Arthur… not everyone cared for the man, but everyone seemed to agree—if he thought you deserved sixteen strokes of the lash about the shoulders, he’d sooner lop off his own right hand than give you a seventeenth, or let one stroke land on the wrong part of your back. A man like that, and one who tends to every last detail… he seemed perfect for the post.”

    “Perhaps he was,” said Canning. “From what I read here, it seems the colony has grown, but his understanding of it has not.”

    “Perhaps,” said Russell. “Perhaps. We find ourselves saying ‘perhaps’ rather a lot when we speak of antipodean matters. There is so much we cannot know.

    “Which is where you come in, Mr. Canning. You’re familiar with Lord Durham’s mission to the Canada’s?”

    “I am.” Suddenly, Canning knew where this was going.

    “I intend for you to carry out a similar mission in Australia. Listen to everyone, get the lay of the land, write your report and make your recommendations.”

    Canning nodded, a little too overwhelmed with shock to do anything else. On the one hand, this was a very important assignment. On the other hand, it was to the far side of the world.

    “You shall have plenipotentiary authority over the garrison, just to be on the safe side, but I doubt you’ll need it. Arthur may be… in need of a less onerous billet, but he understands obedience to the Crown.”

    “Of course.”

    “We’re not sending you off right away. A ship departs from Plymouth next week. You’ll have time to attend the funeral and help your family move back into London.”

    Canning nodded. He’d already passed the Duke’s coffin as it lay in state in the Royal Hospital. The voyage to Australia would be dangerous, the voyage home even more so, and he would be separated from his family for a long time, but this was the chance he had been hoping for since 1820. Unlike his brother who was getting more and more interested in Chartism, he could as easily have been a Tory as a Whig… if not for the fact that the Tories had effectively exiled his father to an early grave in a malarial swamp on the wishes of the most despised king since James II—his father, who would surely have been one of the greatest Prime Ministers in British history had he been allowed to serve. Like his father, George C. Canning made a conscious effort not to be bitter, but he was determined to prove himself.



    The Duke of Wellington’s funeral was indeed the “last moment of unity” for pre-Bright Revolution Britain, but it was very much a church affair, not a political one. When Parliament approved £150,000[4] for the funeral, even the Chartists agreed. The Parliamentary hearings into the conduct of the Battle of Saint-Louis were halted and, indeed, never resumed.

    Every soldier who’d ever served with the Duke, and every politician who’d ever worked alongside him, had words of praise for him. The eulogies most often quoted and remembered, given by the Queen, the Crown Prince, Brougham, Croker, and Peel, were not delivered at the funeral itself, but in the weeks and months before it. During the ceremony, the only words not delivered by an Anglican priest were a poem commissioned by poet laureate William Wordsworth[5].

    The funeral was free of the vindictive celebrations that had marred the funerals of Liverpool and Castlereagh nearly a generation earlier. Despite the immense numbers—it is believed that one million people or more watched the procession from Horse Guards to St. Paul’s Cathedral, with at least 10,000 people inside the cathedral itself[6]—the closest thing to violence that the occasion saw was an elderly woman trampled in the crowds[7]…

    Arthur Roundtree, A Political History of Pre-revolutionary Britain


    [1] IOTL these two both died young.
    [2] Not the East Indiaman Coldstream, which ITTL was lost in a shipwreck off Bourbon Island in 1829, but a clipper built by Jock Willis & Sons of London.
    [3] The difference is because sailing ships making both voyages take advantage of the westerly winds and powerful circumpolar current in the forties and fifties. So while the fastest route from Plymouth to Sydney is down the west coast of Africa and across the southern Indian Ocean, the fastest route back is across the southern Pacific and up the east coast of South America.
    [4] Half again as much as the amount approved to fund Wellington’s funeral IOTL, although IOTL there was some deflation between 1839 and 1852.
    [5] IOTL the poem was written by then-poet laureate Tennyson.
    [6] As IOTL
    [7] Two people died this way during his lying in state IOTL.
     
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    Half Slave, Half Free (3)
  • The Bonneville expedition turned out to be one of those cases where I can't really describe something in the detail it deserves because it would take about 10,000 more words than I'm prepared to spend on it. The short version is that they gathered up way more materiel than they thought they would need in their worst-case scenario and it turned out to be just barely adequate.

    September 16, 1839
    outside Spartí

    Εδώ είναι Σπάρτη,” said Apostolis Kolokotronis, gesturing at the village.

    Captain[1] Patrice de MacMahon didn’t need his interpreter to get the message. “I thought it would be larger.”

    This wasn’t exactly part of his normal duties. Greece was out of the war—from their point of view they had won, as Sultan Husein had reluctantly agreed to part with the province of Thessaly. And every sack of grain the French Army could buy from now-neutral Greece was one that wouldn’t need to be shipped the length of the Mediterranean. But Laconia was safe now, he could be spared for a brief visit inland while arranging this, and he had wanted to see Sparta with his own eyes. And now he was seeing it—such as it was.

    Kolokotronis pointed at a bit of old stonework and spoke. MacMahon’s interpreter, a big fellow with spectacles and a thick brown beard, translated: “That is what’s left of the wall built by King Nabis in the second century BC, not long before Sparta was conquered. In the days of its glory, Sparta’s walls were its men.”

    The interpreter continued on his own: “‘I suppose if Lacedaemon were to become desolate, and the temples and the foundations of the public buildings were left, that as time went on there would be a strong disposition with posterity to refuse to accept her fame as a true exponent of her power.’[2] Thucydides was right, sir.”

    MacMahon nodded. The scholarly young aspirant[3] from the supply office in Thessalonica had turned out to be an excellent interpreter, and that was a rare thing. So many scholars thought they could serve as interpreters because they’d read Homer, Aristotle, or the Apostles in the original Greek. Few of them had applied that knowledge to master modern spoken Greek as quickly as this young fellow. He hadn’t been tested in combat, and he rode a horse like a man who’d never even seen one until last week, but he was useful to have around.

    “They certainly left a reputation behind.”

    “Indeed, sir. In a sense, that’s all they left behind. They themselves wrote little, and much of what they did write has been lost. Most of what we know about them—or think we know—comes from other Greeks.[4]”

    “Their enemies?”

    “Our best sources are Xenophon and Plutarch, sir. Xenophon was an Athenian, but he admired the Spartans very much. Plutarch lived in the first century A.D., long after their time.”

    “Seems a pity they didn’t survive. Constantinople might never have fallen to the Turk with Spartans to defend it.” The intrepreter pursed his lips. “You disagree?”

    “I don’t think they could have survived, sir. The men we think of when we think of Sparta—the spartiates, the elite warriors—they were a small minority. The three hundred at Thermopylae were accompanied by nine hundred retainers. Even in their finest hour, they were a minority on their own side. And they were dwindling, each generation smaller than the last. Aristotle saw this.”

    “Too many wars.”

    “Not only wars, sir, and not only children who were killed in training. To be part of the elite, a man’s estate had to be able to contribute to their local syssition every month[5]. With every misfortune—the earthquake, the helot revolts—more and more estates lost the ability to contribute. More and more families were cast out. The elite was eating itself alive, sir.”

    “Did they ever do anything about this?”

    “Some of the later kings tried to reform. Nabis”—the interpreter gestured at the wall Kolokotronis had pointed out—“was one of them. It was all too little too WHOA!” The interpreter’s horse was rearing up, shying at nothing in particular. Somehow he kept his position, working his knees into a better grip on the barrel of the horse.

    MacMahon clapped him on the back. “We’ll make a soldier of you yet, Aspirant Elmar.”


    During the sixteen months that Princess Raven occupied Symmes’ Landing, both Fort Vancouver and the Astoria colony were essentially cut off from the world and, though forced to become allies on this front, were limited in their ability to coordinate with each other. The Chinook made several attacks on Charcoal Mill and Fort Vancouver, none successful. Astoria had greater numbers, but Fort Vancouver had (at least until winter) an overland trade route that the Chinook had no way of interrupting and that allowed them to partly replenish their supply of powder and shot, courtesy of the HBC.

    The greatest hardship the 48th of Foot suffered was lack of food. Astoria could feed itself, and its agents went by circuitous routes around Symmes’ Landing to trade the occasional sack of cornmeal or kilo of potatoes for fresh gunpowder, but neither the HBC’s trade route nor the surrounding forests and fields could supply a thousand hungry men. In September, Goodman sent six hundred of his men back to Astoria City to build barracks and hunker down for winter there.

    But the Chinooks had the worst of it. According to Raven’s son Ronald, “One in three of those who fought and took this town perished over the course of the next year. A few deserted the British and Americans to come to us, and more came from surrounding tribes, but not enough to fill the empty places in our ranks.” Malaria was a more effective killer than Austin or Goodman could ever be…


    Before the expedition could even begin, Gen. Scott had to spend the winter preparing the way. This meant not only amassing food, fodder, blankets, and ammunition from Louisville to Freedmansville, but using the same winter supply trains that had kept the Army alive in the Canadian winter to fill the storerooms of Fort Gentry and Fort Sublette. The Conestoga wagons that had served so well in the northern campaign were too heavy for the prairies, which meant using a larger number of prairie schooners and other small covered wagons.

    On the recommendation of Poinsett, Scott promoted Col. Benjamin Bonneville to brigadier general and placed him in charge of the expedition. One of Bonneville’s first decisions was to purchase coal and charcoal, as firewood would be in short supply on the plains and too bulky to transport, and the buffalo dung found along the way would not be sufficient to build fires for three regiments. He also procured a great stock of knives, scissors, needles, thread, beads, tobacco, and bolts of fabric[6] in bright colors which could be used to trade with the natives…


    By the time Bonneville’s scouts reached Fort Sublette, they discovered that it was already entangled in a war. The wealth of supplies Poinsett had ordered stored there over the winter had drawn the interest of the Blackfeet, who were trying to plunder the fort. The Lakota, in whose territory the fort was, saw this as a provocation and were now embroiled in a war with the Blackfeet. Major Joseph Meek, who was in command of Fort Sublette, was more or less of necessity sharing his food and fodder with the Lakota, both diminishing the supplies available for the expedition and making it harder for Bonneville to trade with them. He left one cavalry regiment, the Kentucky 11th, to assist the Lakota and went on his way with the remaining two…


    The Second Battle of Symmes’ Landing was anticlimactic. Despite having had a year to built fortifications out of the frontier town, the Chinook who remained were barely able to hold their own against the Astoria militia, let alone two Army regiments with Colt revolvers and a full supply of ammunition. In a rough imitation of the waterdragoon warfare seen in Florida and Louisiana, Bonneville caulked several of his wagons and floated them into the Columbia, with riflemen aboard whose orders were to anchor themselves just outside arrow range of Symmes’ Landing and kill any Chinook who tried to escape by river. This failed only because the wagons’ makeshift anchors came loose in the powerful current, forcing the riflemen to spend more time struggling with oars and bargepoles than using their rifles, in an attempt not to be washed downstream. Ronald McDonald and many of the other Chinook escaped, but their power and ability to resist white encroachment had been broken…


    In addition to defeating Princess Raven’s forces, Bonneville expanded the infrastructure of western settlement during the expedition. He not only founded Fort Bonneville[7] and Fort Poinsett (later derided as “Fort Pointless” and abandoned to the elements[8]) but reclaimed Wyeth’s Post[9], an abandoned trading post on the Snake River[10], and expanded it into Fort Wyeth. He also began the work of setting up Army horse-courier posts along the Astoria Trail…

    Eric Wayne Ellison, Anglo-American Wars of the 19th Century


    [1] At this point IOTL, MacMahon was a sub-lieutenant of cavalry. ITTL he earned a couple of promotions, including one at Silistre.
    [2] From The Peloponnesian War, Book 1, chapter 10.
    [3] A rank in the French Army.
    [4] Most of what I know about the Spartans, and what our young scholar’s opinions are based on, comes from this highly recommended series of essays by Dr. Bret Devereux. Since Devereux mostly draws upon Xenophon, Plutarch, and other classical sources, it doesn’t seem like such a stretch that our interpreter could have drawn the same conclusions.
    [5] Their communal dining arrangement, where the notorious Spartan broth was served.
    [6] Note what isn’t in this list—alcohol and firearms.
    [7] OTL’s Fort Bridger
    [8] OTL’s poorly-situated and ultimately abandoned Fort Bonneville
    [9] OTL Fort Hall, here named for its founder, Nathaniel Jarvis Wyeth
    [10] IOTL, Wyeth was outcompeted by the HBC and had to sell the fort to them. Here the collapse of the fur market has forced him to abandon it.
     
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    Half Slave, Half Free (4)
  • Who’s been the major immigrant group to the USA in this ATL ?
    You’re written about an earlier group of Italian and Flemish , are we going to see Dutch immigrants coming in bulk now?
    And from what’s been hinted about Russia’s future, are we going to see a large number of Russians immigrants heading to the USA about 30 years earlier than OTL?
    There have already been a lot more Dutch immigrating than IOTL, along with the Italians in the late 1810s. The biggest groups are still Germans, British, and Irish. There will be Russians immigrating sooner, along with a lot of Poles (spoiler—this particular rebellion isn't going to succeed).
    You know what I haven't talked about much? The U.S. Supreme Court…


    The question thus presented is of great importance, but not of great difficulty. The Constitution was ordained and established for the federal government of the United States, and not for the government of the individual States[1]…
    Hugh Garland, arguing for the prosecution in Missouri v. Rankin

    Freedom is the freedom to say that two plus two make four. If that is granted, all else follows. And yet, in the state of Missouri—and in many other states of the Union, sadly—my client is not free to say these words. Nor am I, nor my opposing counsel, nor indeed anyone in this room. Not even Your Honors are free to speak such words in Missouri if a Negro happens to be listening…
    Lysander Spooner[2], arguing for the defense in Missouri v. Rankin

    December 6, 1839
    U.S. Capitol

    The vote was done. The seven men in the conference room off the Supreme Court Chamber[3] took a moment to look at each other, no one speaking.

    Chief Justice Samuel Smith[4] looked at Baldwin. “Who will write the dissent?”

    “I volunteer,” said McKinley. Catron and Baldwin both nodded. Of the three dissenters, 59-year-old John McKinley from Alabama was the least conflicted in his mind—he supported both slavery and states’ rights, and although no slaveholders were personally involved in Missouri v. Rankin, the defendant in the case was a free white man and none of the Negroes he had taught were slaves, everyone knew what the case was really about.

    In jurisdictional disputes between the federal and state governments, 59-year-old Henry Baldwin from Connecticut typically advocated for the state. More to the point, while he had once called slavery “abhorrent to all of our ideas of natural right and justice,” in his years on the Supreme Court he had never yet ruled against slavery or the interests of slaveholders, and that included today. John Catron, on the other hand, was a champion of federal power, but he was also from Tennessee and a supporter of slavery, and apparently that was the deciding factor here.

    “Very well,” said Smith. “I will write the majority opinion myself tonight.” Justices McLean, Story, and Thompson all looked a little disappointed at this. Joseph Story, from Massachusetts, was sixty and had a hatred of slavery that often came into conflict with his strong support for property rights. But the meetings in question had been held on private property, so there had never been any doubt that he would find for the defendant. The 54-year-old New Jerseyan John McLean was much the same—he’d never yet missed a chance to rule against slavery. If a slave let so much as a toe over the border into a free state, McLean would find a reason to free him.[5] Naturally, he had sided with the defendant. And 71-year-old Smith Thompson, who had once served in the J.Q. Adams administration, was in a fine rage against the Berrien administration for its treatment of the Cherokees.[6]

    Any of them would have been only too happy to lay down the law in this matter. Entirely too happy, as far as Smith was concerned—this decision would change everything about the relationship between Washington and the states, and would have to be written with the greatest of care. Smith had the caution of a man who had come to the field of law and the judiciary rather later in life than usual. He was already composing the decision in his mind.

    Smith gripped his cane and, slowly and carefully, rose from his chair. At twenty-four, he had not only swum a mill-pond during the retreat from Brooklyn, but had helped ferry some of his men across. Now he was eighty-seven, an age not many men ever lived to see, and did not dare fall down even on a carpeted floor. Pain wracked his chest as he rose, but it had wracked his chest a lot over the last few years, so he ignored it.

    John Catron extended his arm. Catron was both the youngest and newest justice on the Supreme Court—he was fifty-three years old and had been appointed in 1837. He was easily young enough to be one of Smith’s surviving sons, and despite their disagreements, Smith had no objection to accepting his help out of the chamber.

    The older Smith got—and these days, that was saying a great deal—the more conflicted and skeptical he became on slavery. He’d been born in Pennsylvania, where slavery was forbidden, but had spent much of his life as a slaveowner in Maryland. But his business affairs had been mostly in the field of commerce, and the Stabler boys showed how little slavery was needed there.

    That, of course, raised the question of what happened to Negroes if—or, Smith suspected, when—slavery was ended. Given the choice, Smith would have liked to have seen the whole population restored to the continent of Africa[7], but that was not practical at all. As it was, the Negroes of Missouri—and other states—occupied a peculiar status, half slave and half free. Out of sheer eagerness to hold them to that status, the legislature of Missouri had trampled on the rights of white men. Was there any way at all to restrict black men’s rights without affecting white men’s? Luckily, I need not go quite that far in my decision. It is the authorities in Jefferson City that have gone too far, and they must be told so.

    In his day, Smith had done great things and terrible things for freedom—fighting in some of the key battles of the Revolution, but also helping to drive Loyalists out of Maryland. I did not do all that so that we might grow our own tyrants here. He thought of the preamble to the Constitution—“secure the Blessings of Liberty to ourselves and our Posterity.” Perhaps I could begin with a reference to that.


    On December 7, 1839, the eighty-year-old Margaret Smith awoke to find that her husband, Chief Justice Samuel Smith, had passed away in his sleep. Stacked neatly on the desk in his study was his last act—the majority opinion in Rankin v. Missouri, which declared that the protection of the First Amendment extended to all free persons. “The very purpose of government is to protect the rights of its citizens,” he wrote in the decision that stunned the nation…
    Andrea Fessler, The Waves From Sinepuxent


    [1] This is a very slight rewording of Supreme Court Chief Justice John Marshall’s OTL decision in Barron v. Baltimore, in which the Court unanimously found that the Fifth Amendment, and by extension the entire Bill of Rights, conferred no protection against actions by state governments. (The court actually saw this as kind of a no-brainer. Not to belabor the obvious, but TTL’s United States is becoming a very different place.)
    [2] Francis B. Murdoch was Rankin’s attorney in Missouri, but he’s fallen ill, so the eccentric 31-year-old Lysander Spooner had to argue the case before the Supreme Court.
    [3] Throughout the 19th century, the Supreme Court didn’t have its own building and met in its own chamber in the Capitol.
    [4] Another guy who really should get his own TL. Seriously, read his bio. Soldier in two wars, businessman, politician—he did it all. IOTL he was never on the Supreme Court, but was mayor of Baltimore as late as 1838, and died in April of 1839 at the age of 86. ITTL he owes his position as Chief Justice as much to his formidable CV as his knowledge of law.
    [5] IOTL, McLean dissented from Dred Scott v. Sandford.
    [6] IOTL he advocated for the Cherokees in Cherokee Nation v. Georgia (1831).
    [7] IOTL he was involved in the Maryland State Colonization Society.
     
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    Interlude: December 23, 1839 (1)
  • This one is longer than I intended, but still shorter than the first two chapters in the last interlude. Let me know if I missed anything.

    DS 1840 world.png

    The Dead Skunk
    December 23, 1839

    Twenty-five years ago today, Major General John Keane saw something in the Louisiana woods that caused him to make a different decision than he otherwise would have.
    Let’s take a look at the general state of the world.

    Russian America and the Canadas
    Russian America is still along way from Russia proper… or anywhere else. Sometime next year they’ll get the word that the market for furs is back. This will be good news for the dissidents living out in the Seraya Gavan’[1] area, once they’ve learned to trap.

    In the meantime, the Pushkins are still living in Novoarkhangelsk[2]. Recently a Dutch vessel pulled in with nine-month-old newspapers from Europe. Reading their takes on the repression in Poland sent Pushkin into a rage.

    That may seem weird, but Pushkin is a patriot. The only thing he hates more than the tyranny of Tsar Alexander is hearing that same tyranny maligned by French people who still worship the Corsican Bandit’s embalmed corpse and Germans who would probably all be speaking French by now if not for the force of Russian arms. And besides, there’s a weird kind of pride that comes from knowing there’s no limit to the stupid bullshit you are capable of enduring at the hands of your Tsar. This explains a lot of Russian history.

    Elsewhere in the Pacific Northwest, after over a year at the far end of nowhere, the “Surprisers” finally got their orders to leave. Austin and his fellow Astorians, both in Astoria City and at what they’re now calling Symmesburg, are very relieved to see them go. They may not be so relieved to learn where this regiment is headed—the new city of Charlottehaven[3] which Russell is having built on Vancouver Island.

    Also relieved to see the backs of soldiers are the settlers at Port Harmony. They were not really in a position to resist the small companies of Dodge’s militia that occupied them last year, except by hiding their supplies in the woods so they couldn’t be requisitioned. The militia who went out into the woods looking for those supplies got ambushed by Ojibwe. And now, Dodge has gone back to Wisconsing, and the only American soldiers are the surveyors working alongside their British counterparts to catalogue those islands whose status was left unclear by the Treaty of Windsor. For the first time, Port Harmony feels like a community rather than an experiment. It’s a good feeling.

    The rest of Her Majesty’s North American possessions are feeling less at ease with one another. Which seems surprising—you’d think they’d be more united than ever before. These people are now defined twice over by loyalty to the Crown. French, British, and natives fought alongside each other against the Americans. At Moncton, the descendants of black and white Loyalists fought as part of the same unit and saved Nova Scotia from invasion. The rebellion in Upper Canada was (as they never tire of repeating) against Lord Auckland and the Clique, not against the empire itself. And with Lord Durham holding court in Halifax, listening to representatives of the various communities, it seems that rebellion has been vindicated. The people of the Maritime Provinces and Upper and Lower Canada have a chance at getting a real say in their destiny—perhaps more so than the Niagarans, whose rebellion has gained them a position as one barely medium-sized state among twenty-six with more to come.

    Yet the remnants of the old Compact and Clique still exist, and even those who fought alongside French-speaking Roman Catholics don’t necessarily want to share power with them. Their leader in this is the Anglican bishop John Strachan, who has now moved his diocese to Peterborough.

    Strachan wrote a long letter on the subject. He couldn’t just say Hey, don’t we get extra points for being Protestant and having ancestors who came from the British Isles? Do you people really not care about anything other than who fights for you? Instead, he phrased his objections to Durham’s work as concerns about the future of Anglicanism in the Canadas. Then he got Col. Talbot, Sir Adam Thom, John Beverly Robinson, and a bunch of others to sign it, and sent it straight to the Archbishop of Canterbury. After all, the Queen has to listen to the Archbishop, right? Didn’t she swear an oath to defend the faith? They didn’t even run it past Auckland, who could have warned them that the Queen hates Archbishop Howley so much she regularly checks the papers for anything she can use as an excuse to get him sacked.

    This month, they received her response:

    We are at all times mindful of our duty to defend our Most Holy Church of England from all perils, and require no reminders of this duty from our subjects.[4] We of course shall never allow either this Church or our co-religionists to be subject to tyranny or persecution within our dominions; neither shall we allow them to become the instrument or perpetrators of tyranny. It is this latter peril which concerns us most, for it is both more immediate and more dangerous; whereas to be the subject of tyranny is perilous to mortal flesh, to be the perpetrator thereof is perilous to the immortal soul[5]…​

    So… that would be a no, then. For better or worse, they owe allegiance to Her Majesty, have put that allegiance on proud display for the whole world to see, and are therefore subject to all of Her Majesty’s efforts to do good.

    Still, the divisions in Canada are nothing compared to the divisions in…

    The United States
    You’d think that in the aftermath of a short, technically successful war (yes, the U.S. had to go into debt to pay for Niagara, but one day that debt will be repaid and Niagara will still be there) the United States would be more united behind the leader in that war. Instead, the opposite has happened—the U.S. has never been more divided.

    Case in point: Chief Justice Sam Smith’s body had barely gotten cold when Berrien appointed his most loyal ally in Congress, the 49-year-old Rep. James Moore Wayne of Georgia, to replace him. But the Democratic-Republican Party now has a one-seat majority in the Senate, and they have made it clear that no further judicial appointments of Berrien will be considered—especially not to the Supreme Court. “A man in disgrace with the law must not be permitted to appoint the interpreters of that law,” said Henry Clay. Although Clay didn’t mention Wayne’s name once, Wayne took that as a slur upon his own honor—and in any case, he had no intention of refusing a lifetime appointment from Georgia’s favorite son when Rankin v. Missouri just showed the importance of the Supreme Court. To make a long story short, on New Year’s Day the two men will be fighting a duel.

    Even inside President Berrien’s own party and cabinet, there is discord and mistrust. Some in the Tertium Quid party believe that for the good of the party, Berrien should step down in favor of another—Tyler, Poinsett, or possibly Calhoun. Poinsett has already taken his name out of the running. He’s announced he’ll be stepping down in ’41 so he can work to promote the growth of science and the useful arts in the U.S. The Smithson bequest, a rare example of British goodwill long held up by the war, has at last been freed up, and it’s time to make use of it[6]. The result is that Berrien is eyeing both his own Secretary of State and the man who should be his greatest ally in Congress with equal suspicion.

    What political unity exists in Washington and the nation is unity against John Macpherson Berrien. At the moment, that unity is centered around Daniel Webster, who with a 117-member DRP delegation in the House has almost gotten his majority back. The Quids are down to 56 seats in the House—slightly more than they had before the ’34 midterms—and only Rep. Cass remains of their northern wing.[7] They also lost two seats in the Senate, and Sen. Crockett has stepped down as their leader. He’s let it be known that when he runs for re-election in 1840, it wil be on the Reform ticket.

    The third parties only cooperate with the Dead Roses because it’s easier than trying to cooperate with each other—the Populists want slavery ended with all deliberate speed, the Liberationists think “deliberate speed” is for weak-ass white moderates, and the Reformists want to bring down the planter oligarchy while saving the small mom-and-pop mom-or-pop-owner. It’s no wonder that Webster, Southard, Clay, and the other DRP leaders prefer to focus their attention on the misdeeds of the man in the White House, and the great moral failure of the Quids in preventing his removal from office.

    And so the protests in D.C. against Berrien and the Quids have continued. Now they’ve gotten musical, with protestors singing a song from The Boston Tea Party, the new show by J.F.F. Green (lyrics by O.W. Holmes) that’s taken New York City by storm this fall.

    How this opera—and it is a genuine opera, with every minute of its nearly two and a half hours[8] of running time accompanied by music and not a word uttered onstage that is not sung—came into being is a saga in itself. Since coming home in the summer of ’35, Jeff Green has been wowing audiences in New York and Philadelphia with the things he wrote in Italy and his newer compositions, especially his Symphony No. 2 (“Homecoming”), completed aroud the end of ’36. And this is gratifying to him, even more so than the king of Italy’s approval. King Achille loved the Southern Summer Sonata for the same reason the teachers in Milan hated it—it was different. Americans just like it because it’s beautiful.

    So Green was earning a passable living already, but raising the money and finding the singers to do this work justice was the hardest thing he’d ever done in his life. First he had to find a lyricist. He wrote to his old friend Francis Boott. Boott was busy with his own work (and privately thought Jeff had bitten off more than even he could chew) but pointed him at another Bostonian writer, Oliver Wendell Holmes. Holmes, a man who’s always ready to try something new, met with Green and the two quickly became friends. Together they came up with the story of the adventurous young Hubert Rocester, captain of the East India merchantman Eleanor, who meets and falls in love with Miss Elizabeth Phipps, daughter of a local merchant and patriot,[9] even as the Bostonian gentry are growing increasingly tired of British rule. Over the course of the opera, she persuades him to abandon the sea and join in the adventure of a new nation.

    In the future, The Boston Tea Party will be considered… well, a good opera—possibly even a great one, especially when you remember it’s Green’s first try—and it will get the occasional performance. It will suffer somewhat from comparison to Green’s later works, but it will also get the benefit of being the first opera by an American and written in American English.[10] Right now, however, it’s taken New York by storm. Not only that, next year they’ve gotten invitations to perform at venues in Boston and Philadelphia.

    Green is hardly apolitical. He loves this land that gave his family a home, hates slavery with all his heart, and though he rejoiced when Niagara joined the nation, he regards the president on whose watch it happened as the worst excuse for an American since Benedict Arnold. Part of the reason he and Holmes wrote this was to remind everybody of what was supposed to be so special about America in the first place. But if you’d asked him which part of the opera people would go home singing, he would’ve said it was either the final love duet between Captain Rocester and Miss Elizabeth, performed as the rioters fling handfuls of “tea leaves” (mostly crushed oak leaves) into the audience, or one of the rollicking songs the sailors sing that Green based on sea shanties he heard while crossing the ocean—or possibly “Eleanor,” Rocester’s sad solo about the long-dead lost love he took to the sea to forget, yet named his ship after, which seems kinda counterproductive.

    To his surprise, the part that has really taken off is the song wherein the Bostonians (in response to Captain Rocester trying to explain to that they’re not actually getting a bad deal on their tea) object that neither the East India Company nor the king himself should have this kind of power over them to begin with. Mostly they sing about how free they are, and how awesome it is to be free:

    We stand as men endowed with our rights
    By Nature’s God who loves us
    No tyrant e’er by force or by lies
    Shall raise his rod above us

    Okay, so it’s a little phallic. The point is that “Ode to Freedom” has become a protest song. In the context of The Boston Tea Party, it’s a protest against George III and his attempts to tyrannize over the American colonies. (Anyone watching the opera would conclude that Parliament was just sitting around doing nothing this whole time.) But the people singing this song in New York, and Boston, and at this point Philadelphia, Baltimore, and Washington itself… they have a different tyrant in mind. To them, trying to steal command of the war-making power from Congress is one step on the road to a completely unaccountable executive—a king in all but name—and that is one step too many. When they sing this song, they’re saying not on my watch, Johnny. Even they would not believe that this song will one day be of such unreserved popularity that Congress will unanimously vote to declare it the U.S. national anthem.

    Certainly it isn’t that universally beloved yet. There are Southern states where the legislatures are working on bills to ban “Ode to Freedom”—possibly because of the implied criticism of Berrien, possibly because black people can sing too.

    Less controversially, the Army and Navy have been considering the lessons of the war. The first lesson is that they’ve been on the right track for the last twenty-plus years, which is certainly good news. The U.S. Navy had a rough time of it, but they fought the British at sea and still exist as an institution. The army that triumphed at Mount Hope in ‘37 could not have been more different from the armed mob that fled Bladensburg in ’14.

    This applies not only to the army, but to the nation. American science created the demologos, the Colt, the Henry-Hunt, and (with a little help from the French) the dreaded #23. American industry built the weapons and supplies, American soldiers wielded them, American railroads and supply wagons brought men and materiel where they were needed, and American finance paid for it all. Going forward, what America will need is… more of everything. The nation needs to get back to peacetime expansion.

    The second lesson is that Louisianans and those who are still Canadians do not want the Stars and Stripes flying over their territory. However servile their governing arrangements may look to an American, they will fight and die to keep them. This was proven on many battlefields, but especially Málaga, Lake Saint-Louis and Quai-Trudeau.

    The third lesson—which was also learned in the last war but was forgotten later—is that yes, black people can be soldiers. Berrien and his supporters are trying to shove this one back down the memory hole, but the experiences are still too fresh for that. In some places, they’re not waiting for permission from the Army. In Hopewell, Governor Green has organized the Kyantine Rangers, the cavalry arm of the territorial militia. John March and his fellow recruits are inexperienced, but learning fast.

    Out west, what is now Symmesburg is very relieved to have been, well, relieved by the Bonneville expedition. But because Koale’xoa wasn’t too brutal, people here will remember her as an honorable and somewhat romantic defeated foe. “Princess Raven” will become something of a local symbol of the city. All the depictions of her will make her look younger and sexier than she actually was, and none of them will get the shape of her head right.

    Back east, Edgar Allen Poe is back in Baltimore. He enjoyed being a war correspondent even less than being an Army clerk, but the pay was decent and he got a chance to write some excellent poems about war and Canadian winters. Tragically, his brother Henry relapsed this January, made off with a big chunk of the money, overdosed on morphia and died of hypothermia after falling asleep in a Baltimore alleyway. But his wife and daughters are still in good health, and he has a lot of recognition as a writer.

    In Virginia, George Fitzhugh finally got to meet his idol Thomas Roderick Dew at William and Mary College. They got to talking politics over wine and pizza, which Dew’s slaves have just learned how to make.

    They say you should never meet your heroes, but in some cases it’s your heroes who shouldn’t meet you. Even by Dew’s standards, Fitzhugh is a man much too in love with the theoretical at the expense of the practical. They agreed on the erosion of slavery in Virginia and how terrible it was, but when Fitzhugh started saying that maybe some white people (not either of them, of course) might do better if they were slaves to other white people of sufficient wisdom and virtue, Dew was just about ready to tear his hair out. He tried to be polite, but he really wanted to scream No, no, no, you fool! We get to GIVE orders! They get to TAKE orders! Stop overthinking everything! Because at the end of the day, Dew is just a conservative. All his intellect—and he is a man of ideas and learning—is bent towards the task of justifying either the way things are now or the way were maybe ten or twenty years ago. Fitzhugh is… something else.

    Also in Virginia, Adolf Rasmussen just turned 23 and is working for Christian Sharpes in Harpersburgh, one of the few towns to be struggling in the improving economy—or rather, not to be doing as well as it was during the war. But the market for guns never goes entirely away. Harpersburgh will survive.

    Still in Virginia, Richard Quincy Stabler, youngest of the Stabler brothers, is recovering in the family mansion at Shuter’s Hill House. He got hit in the butt with shrapnel from a passing Woolwich rocket at Quai-Trudeau. It wasn’t a severe injury—he was in more danger from his own horse, which was hurt worse and started to panic—but when you’re in the cavalry and spend most of your day on the back of a horse, wounds to that part of the body lose their humor very quickly. By the time he made it home, he’d developed a morphia problem from trying to deal with the constant pain. Since then he’s gotten better, but this made the family more inclined to listen when a senior manager, John L. Leadbeater[11], suggested that it was high time[12] they broadened their range of painkillers to include milder, less addictive drugs for managing less severe pain. Which is why Leadbeater and Robinson Stabler were in Louisville this fall talking business with Joshua Fry Speed, a free-labor farmer and landowner who happens to be the biggest single hemp-grower in the state of Kentucky. There are many cultivars of Cannabis sativa, after all, and some of them are good for much more than rope and canvas.

    Kentucky, by the way, is flourishing, and at this point it’s fairly obvious that they’ll win the railroad race to the Mississippi. Tennessee finally has a route purchased and is making good progress, but the eastern part of the Raleigh & Mississippi has already reached Bowling Green and the western part extends from Wickliffe to the banks of the Tennessee River.[13] Sometime next year, the two will meet around Hopkinsville. Henry Clay is privately hoping that one day Hopkinsville, Bowling Green and Cumbercross[14] will grow to surpass Nashville and Knoxville. Whether that ambition will ever be fulfilled is a different question. After all, just because Tennessee is losing the race doesn’t mean they’re going to give up on building the railroad at all.

    And of course the real end goal of the Raleigh & Mississippi is Cairo and Elephantine, both of which are determined to one day become the greatest American city west of the Appalachians. Neither of them is paying much attention to Wickliffe yet. They have city plans, after all—city plans and Egyptian names. What does Wickliffe have? (Other than the only good high ground in the area and a USNU branch, of course—plus an Army base where Mike Todd and Bill Shannon continue to exasperate everyone with their friendly rivalry.)

    In North Carolina, Hooper Bragg is working on the Wilmington to Raleigh line. He never wanted to be anything but a soldier, but the army is downsizing and ex-POWs are the first to go. That’s the least of his problems. The knife he stole off that boy Anil was taken when he was caught, but of course he still has the scar that boy left on his chest with that knife. But men who work and fight will get scars here and there on their bodies. Bragg picked up much deeper scars from what wasn’t done to him. Another sort of man might have taken mercy as his due and learned nothing from it, but Bragg—bitter, resentful asshole that he is—has never expected anything but the worst from other people, and certainly not from people who aren’t white.

    Further south, Charleston is rebuilding its defenses from the attack last summer. They’re proud of the way they handled it, and you’d think they’d be less afraid with the war over. But the state still has more black people than white people, and a lot of those black people are slaves working near the coast, where they spend much of the year unsupervised by white people or anybody else who has a choice. White South Carolinians still feel painfully exposed and vulnerable. They’re sure if a slave revolt started, President Berrien and S.C.’s own Poinsett would crush it. They’re not so sure they’d stay alive long enough to see it happen, and nothing works them into a state of hysteria faster than thinking about what could happen to their women and girls in that scenario.

    One of those girls, Elizabeth Miller, turnd 15 this year and feels much older. Every few weeks, just when things were calming down, another rumor would start or another unfamiliar boat would be spotted off the coast. She’s no economist, but even she can see that dragging every able-bodied white man out of work for days at a time so they can watch slaves at work, paying them for their time in state bonds, and making all the white women stay inside and lock their doors at the same time, is costing S.C. dear. But it’s been a full month since she last had a machete-themed nightmare. That’s a good sign.

    There are other ways in which she’s growing up too fast. As Mrs. Poe could tell you, 15 is not too young to be thinking about a husband in this society, especially when your family is in reduced circumstances and a fair number of former eligible bachelors have already been claimed by bullets or malaria. And it’s not like they’re going to hitch her up with somebody old enough to be her father (which also happens quite often)—the two beaus who most often come calling are William Brewster and Henry Pinckney Jr., both too young to have taken part in the war.[15]

    And although she has her brother Stephen back, she isn’t seeing much of him. He’s gotten a job with Aiken’s railroad company, supervising the crew building the line from Columbia to Augusta. It’s a supervisory position, not because he has any idea how to supervise but because of a general feeling that someone of his social standing should be in charge. Alas, he keeps getting pulled off the job to participate in militia patrols, for which he’s getting paid in state IOUs. South Carolina, with all its cotton wealth, is getting even deeper into debt than it was during the worst of the Hiemal Period.

    Georgia has the same problems, but more of them, in spite of the gold in what was Cherokee country but by now mostly isn’t. They have the ocean and the Florida border to worry about. Berrien has been reduced to exercising his power over the Army in petty ways, and one of them is putting General Twiggs in charge of that border. An awful lot of Georgians remember being led to disaster under him, so this builds no one’s confidence—especially with a big chunk of their state militia up in DC serving as the personal bodyguard of the president and his huge family[16], which is a big favor even for the state’s favorite son.

    Alabama and Mississippi aren’t quite so badly off, but the Cherokees are still a force in Alabama politics. Their tribe still owns more usable land than they can farm. The usual approach would be to lease the land to tenant farmers, as the tribes in Florida do. The problem is that if a white guy doesn’t want to pay a Cherokee, the courts in Alabama are none too reliable. So their tenants tend to be free blacks—usually sharecroppers. And because the DRP is moribund this far south and the TQs don’t want them, young Cherokee leaders like Joshua Ross and allies like Sam Houston are joining the Reform Party. The result of all this is that a lot of white people are thinking of the slaveholding, black-people-exploiting Cherokees as dangerous allies of abolition. (Not that they need much excuse to turn against natives of any sort.) Meanwhile, there’s an actual abolitionist running around—James G. Birney, preaching against slavery with all the ferocious urgency of a man who took over twenty years to put his money where his mouth is and free the last of his own slaves: “If then slavery be characterized by violence, oppression, injustice—by tendencies to the ruin of the souls of both master and slave—why should you hesitate to say it ought to cease at once?”[17] In Mississippi, Joe Davis has emerged as an outspoken advocate of his own brand of reform, which basically amounts to letting black people form self-sufficient communities while charging them rent on themselves. And in Tennessee and the border states—Missouri, Kentucky, Maryland, Delaware—the economic advantages of joining the free states are becoming more and more obvious, and the advocates of slavery are feeling themselves at more and more of a disadvantage. After all, the basic question of Rankin v. Missouri is whether white people who want to undermine white supremacy are free to do so… and they are.

    In the north, Berrien’s behavior and the Senate TQs’ support of him has turned people against slavery who never cared before. State Rep. Abraham Lincoln’s colleague and frenemy Stephen Douglas quit the Quids in protest when he got word of the Senate vote. Lt. Quincy Grissom, shivering in the new fort on Manitoulin Island commanded by Gen. Kearny (Berrien gave Kearny this assignment as punishment for losing to a mixed-race unit at Moncton) has started reading such abolitionist literature as the mail can deliver to this outpost. And in Boston, astronomy student E.R. Beecher (caretaker of her family’s most treasured possession, a copy of Audubon’s illustrated masterwork) is thinking of writing a book or two about… well, about lots of things, but slavery, tyranny, and war are definitely three of them.

    Back in New York, Joseph Fortune Francis Green and Oliver Wendell Holmes are of course very pleased about the success of The Boston Tea Party. Holmes has an idea for another opera—this one based on the writings of Washington Irving, especially The Legend of Sleepy Hollow. Fair Katrina (the title character) is in love with the handsome young farmer Brom, but her parents have promised her to the old schoolmaster Ichabod Crane, so she and Brom conspire to scare Crane out of Sleepy Hollow using a local ghost legend[18]. It’s a fluffy little story of the sort that in Europe they’d call Neo-Pastoral. Nothing very bad happens to anyone—even creepy old Crane ends up married to a rich widow. Holmes has shared this with Green, who likes the idea and has already started to write the music. Next year old W. Irving himself, still very much alive, will give the project his blessing and let them know he’s looking forward to seeing it on stage.

    But in the long term, Holmes isn’t so sure this partnership is going to last. He’s a jack-of-all-trades, and songwriting isn’t even the biggest one. Essays, law, medicine—you name it, he’s at least dabbled in it, and there’s many more things he wants to turn his brilliant mind to. His biggest interest is medicine—he’s one of those who are becoming outspoken about the dangers of morphia. A composer of Green’s caliber wants (and, Holmes is happy to admit, deserves) a lyricist who can devote his full attention to his work.

    And Green wants to write more than just light opera. He wants to write grand operas, tragedies, moving stories of valor and sacrifice, darker tales of grief and revenge and madness. That’s a problem. Holmes doesn’t really do darkness—the best he can manage is a kind of deep gray melancholy, such as the song “Eleanor,” or “The Last Leaf”[19] that he just finished writing for the character of Rip Van Winkle in Katrina.

    Also, Green wants to do at least one major work set in the South where he grew up. Holmes, learned though he is, is kind of provincial. He’s a Bostonian through and through. Even New York City feels like a sort of exile to him. He’d sooner write an opera about Japan than the South—at least then, it’s unlikely there would be any Japanese in the audience who could tell him what he got wrong.

    Where is Green going to find a writer who can help him tell the stories he wants?


    [1] Gray Harbor. What the colonists have started calling the north end of Cook Inlet.
    [2] Sitka
    [3] OTL Victoria, British Columbia. Easier to supply by sea because you don’t have to navigate past the Columbia Bar.
    [4] I should mention that when Queen Charlotte breaks out the Royal We, it usually means she’s filled with more rage than one person should be able to contain.
    [5] Most people suspect Henry Brougham helped her write this missive, or possibly even wrote it himself, which shows how widespread sexism is—it was actually his daughter Elphinstone who suggested this line of argument.
    [6] As IOTL, where Poinsett was a co-founder of the National Institute for the Promotion of Science and the Useful Arts.
    [7] The rest of the House—Populists 40, Reform 27, Liberation still stuck at 2. Yes, that means the Populists and Reformists together now outnumber the Quids.
    [8] Roughly the length of Oberto, Verdi’s first opera IOTL.
    [9] If you’re wondering about the accuracy of these historical references, I can assure you that they are sourced entirely from Green’s and Holmes’ asses.
    [10] IOTL the first such opera was Leonora, by William Henry Fry, in 1845. See, this isn’t all as crazy as it sounds.
    [11] He and the Stabler family dealt in medicinal cannabis in the 1850s IOTL.
    [12] Pun shamelessly intended
    [13] If you’re following on a map, the dam that created Kentucky Lake IOTL hasn’t been built yet.
    [14] IOTL Burkesville
    [15] I wish I could build up some dramatic tension around this love triangle, but there’s no way Lizzie is ever going to choose Martha Pinckney’s brother over Maggie and Jessie’s brother.
    [16] One thing about Berrien I didn’t have time to discuss is his fifteen children. Some of them are grown up and moved away, but that still left a lot in the White House with him.
    [17] An OTL quote, italics and all.
    [18] I personally love Tim Burton’s Sleepy Hollow, but I’ve read the original and seen its illustrations, and it’s pretty obvious that this is the subtext.
    [19] Something like OTL’s The Last Leaf, but from the older character’s POV.
     
    Last edited:
    Interlude: December 23, 1839 (2)
  • Links to the last set of interludes:
    Florida and Louisiana
    everything in between
    South America

    Florida and Louisiana
    Florida and Louisiana have the same problem—they’re small places with big friends overseas, but a large and hostile power across the border. They knew before the war that in the event of an invasion, they’d have to hold out until reinforcements arrived. What they’ve learned from the war is that they can hold out. They trusted the metropole to honor its commitments, and they were still there when the metropole came through.

    Of course, there was a certain element of luck. In the first Florida invasion, the immigrants and freedmen who filled out the ranks of the volunteers faced a half-professional, half-amateur army still reeling from having its supply lines cut. They could hardly have asked for better starter villains to sharpen their claws on. In the second invasion, they not only had British regulars and Haitian mercenaries alongside them, but were able to pull off a remarkable ambush at the Sunken River.

    Later generations of Plori will speak of this war as the beginning of their nation, but that will be an exaggeration. As of 1839, they’re still unhyphenated Bengali, Keralans, Javanese, Cantonese, and so on. But the volunteer regiments were a crash course in English (okay, pidgin English) for many men, and the friendships that formed in them are a new element tying the various communities together. This is equally true of the Jews and Spaniards who were somewhat preferentially selected as officers in these regiments.

    As for the Creeks and Seminoles who were always meant to be the backbone of Florida’s defense—and who did in fact contribute much more than their share to the war effort—they knew they could fight, but they’d forgotten what it was like to actually win. They’d gotten used to thinking of their history as a long, tragic, necessary losing battle against the endless land-hunger of white America. For the first time in a long time, they’ve come out of a war with the same territory they went into it with. A treaty has been signed and they don’t have to move. That is a big deal.

    Louisiana has learned much harder home truths. One of them is a reminder of how much they need the British. Until Wellington and his twelve regiments showed up, they were losing. They fought like heroes, but they were outnumbered. The losses they suffered at Málaga and the earlier battles were not sustainable at all. One of outgoing President Roman’s last decisions was to proclaim a national day of mourning for Wellington when word of his death reached the little republic he saved.

    (With him gone, the former Col. Ferdinand d’Orleans has been granted a commission in the Grand Army as a general, and has been placed in charge of the border. He has more than one reason for mourning—his brother François died at Silistre the day before Wellington did. John Keane is still Minister of War, and has also been given reason to mourn—his wife Grace died last year[1], although his oldest son, also named John, is still alive and in Louisiana, his second son Arthur died at Lake Saint-Louis, in one of those futile charges on Vaudreuil. His younger son Edward is now in a unit headed for yet another battlefront.)

    And, like the United States, Louisianans have learned that black people can fight, and that it helps if they’re doing it on your side. Black, white, and in-between Louisianans were fighting side by side well before the Keyboard Regiment won its laurels at Moncton. The U.S. may talk itself into forgetting this again. Louisiana doesn’t have that option. Since Thibodeauxville, they’ve known that the nation’s last line of defense are the runaways in the bayou that the government was always meaning to round up and re-enslave someday when it had the men and the money.

    Having learned hard lessons, the Louisianans are making hard choices. The man making those choices is President Isidore Labatut, elected this year as head of “the Grand Coalition.” This just means nobody was willing to run against him. It also means he gets to call upon the best of both parties for those cabinet posts that are not already occupied by British personnel.

    Labatut is putting his popularity to use. First off, any man who passes the physical fitness requirements—regardless of degree of blackness—may join the Army or Navy, thereby winning citizenship.

    That was actually the easy part. The hard part is figuring out how to integrate the runaway communities into Louisianan society. If Labatut tries taking a census of the runaways so they can be listen as citizens, they’re more likely to flee or try to waylay the census-takers—they don’t trust anything coming out of the Hôtel de la République. So he’s going to tackle the problem at the other end. The next census, in 1840, will include an official census of all the slaves in Louisiana, by name and date of birth. Slaveholders will want their slaves on that list, and the slaves will hardly be able to say no… if they’re there in person when the census-taker arrives, so they can be documented. Anyone not on this list will no longer be a slave and cannot be re-enslaved. Labatut can get this through because memory of the war is still fresh, and the sugar barons and the cotton kings are never going to be weaker than they are right now, or more inclined to make concessions in the name of national defense. Their homes, after all, were preferentially sought out for looting by the Yankees.

    It helps that (unlike the Americans with their one-drop rule) Louisianans see whiteness or blackness as a matter of degree, even if they think of whiteness as the preferred direction. While serving in the Grand Army, Camille Thierry wrote a controversial poem, “Coton Écru,” expressing the idea that the nation, like its uniforms, would emerge from this war less white than it was at the beginning.[2] That has happened, and anyone in the Hôtel de la République who wants to undo it has to figure out how to get Europeans to immigrate into a garrison state whose economy is still largely dependent on slavery when the U.S. is right there and hungry for free labor. Some of the middle-class women who lost their beaux at Málaga are starting to look at either the lighter-skinned blacks and Métis, the poorer whites, or the surviving natives.

    Speaking of economic matters, there’s also the little matter of paying for the war—or rather, meeting the interest payments on the debt Louisiana went into to the Royal Bank while trying to secure its own existence. The solution to that isn’t going to improve relations with the U.S. any. But the Mississippi Valley, from Natchez up to Prairie du Chien, is more populous than ever, producing more of everything—food, fiber, metal ingots, machine tools, liquor—and the T&T Canal isn’t getting any wider[3]. This means more traffic on the Mississippi. Time for another tariff increase.

    New Spain and Tehuantepec
    At first glance, the war that shook the U.S., the Canadas, Florida, and Louisiana seems to have had very little impact here. Where Florida and Louisiana faced strikes into their heartland that they needed British support to fight, New Spain faced a haphazard incursion into a remote province that their army handled capably on its own. (And just as well—Spain was busy in three different wars and is still embroiled in two of them.) The survivors of that incursion were either garroted as bandits (or in Navarro’s case, a traitor[4]) or fled back into U.S. territory[5].

    But that still leaves thousands of American settlers in Tejas, especially around what the new map calls San Agustín de Nuevo Tucsón but the locals still call Granicus. In the first place, not one of those people came to Tejas with the intent of becoming good and loyal citizens of New Spain. They came in the hope that U.S. rule would follow, and no one believes for a minute they’re reconciled to being governed from México. In the second place, they’re mostly Protestants, and New Spain’s liberalism (compared to old Spain) does not yet extend to religious toleration. Conservatives do not want it to, and even liberals who want separation of church and state don’t want these people to be the test case.

    So what is to be done with these settlers? Driving them out at gunpoint would probably piss off the U.S., and maybe start another war in a place where neither country really wants one. Trying to force them to convert to Catholicism would be like that, only worse. Creating a fuero, declaring Tejas a “foral region” where the rules are different and it’s okay to be Protestant, would just invite the Yankees to come in by the thousands and try this again ten years from now.

    As for Prince-Viceroy Francisco, he was raised by the same set of parents that produced Ferdinand VII and the current king. He may have turned out to be more adaptable than either of them, but don’t mistake him for a religious liberal. He thinks of the Catholic Church as the direct heirs of Jesus Christ via Saint Peter, and the various Protestant sects as basically the people who broke away from the people who broke away from the people who broke away from the Lutherans… or the Calvinists. Or, in the case of the Anglicans, the people who broke away from the Catholics so a fat guy could have sex with lots of hot women and then chop off their heads.

    So he’s found a solution. The laws shall remain unchanged, but in his most gracious viceregal magnaminity he chooses to grant amnesty for those Protestants who immigrated before 1838, as well as their descendants, conditional on their continued loyalty to the Viceroyalty of New Spain. His domain can survive that much Protestantism without God sending a plague of locusts or something, and as for what his older brother and king might think… Francisco has honestly stopped caring. Carlos is in Madrid. Francisco is here. Tejas is way the hell up there—more accessible to him than Astoria is to Berrien, but not by much. This decision hasn’t made anyone in the capital happy—conservatives feel like he undercut them, and liberals would rather he not get involved in politics at all—but as Tejas Governor Jorge Ribar (himself an immigrant to Mexico)[6] said, “For today, we have peace. I make no promises about tomorrow.”

    Of course, Tejas isn’t the only place where México’s control is nominal. The whole vast swath of the north, from Alta California to the river they call the Hondo, is like that. Alta California in particular has the potential to be one of the most valuable parts of New Spain, but right now it’s thinly populated and dominated by missions[7] run by the Franciscan order. No question of their Catholicism, loyalty to the viceroyalty, or determination to make over the natives in Spain’s image. The question is whether any of those natives are going to survive the process.

    The missions are forcing the natives into walled settlements to teach them Spanish and convert them to the Church. Because the term “concentration camp” hasn’t been invented yet, the settlements are called “congregations” or “reductions” and the latter name is all too appropriate. The people in them are underfed, overworked, overcrowded, and thus even more vulnerable than usual to European diseases—something close to three out of four children in these places die before adulthood.[8] The young people who survive are segregated by sex. This is supposed to make sure that the natives can only increase their number via licensed Christian marriage. Mostly it just facilitates molestation by the priests.

    Liberals in the Cortes have gotten word of these things, and they are disgusted. Their leaders on this issue are Juan Álvarez and José Antonio Mexía, who have denounced the missions in the Cortes—much to the displeasure of the Church and the conservatives, who feel that whatever else, the missions are trustworthy.

    Some people are taking up arms in a more literal sense. The Chumash and other tribes have been rebelling off and on for decades, which is yet another problem for the Army and is part of the reason why the various liberal parties were able to get Representative Mier y Terán on their side. As part of their efforts to project power in the north, last year the Army tried to build a new fort at San Leandro. It was completed in May of 1838 and flattened by an earthquake a month later.

    There’s another factor. The missions are also producing the communion wine New Spain needs (not to mention the regular wine that’s just nice to have) and when Francisco decided to include Alta California in his olive-planting efforts, guess who got the seedlings? That’s a huge investment in the future—olive trees can live to be over a thousand years old. All this makes the missions unwanted competition for independent farmers and ranchers. José Castro, a Californio radical in the Cortes who was briefly imprisoned during Iturbide’s mischief on charges of being anti-royalist, has been gaining influence and popularity by speaking for these people.

    There’s a similar problem elsewhere in New Spain. The industry that Farías would love to foster still faces competition from Spain itself, to the point where the small railroad grid forming around México is dependent on imported iron. The Army is also quietly buying as many Colt revolvers from Harpersburgh as it can get away with, on the advice of General Urrea, who couldn’t help noticing that he’d taken much heavier casualties at Bayou La Nana than he should have against such an amateurish attack. In return, New Spain is exporting new strains of potato plant from the Toluca Valley[9] west of the capital to Europe and the British Isles. You can’t go wrong with potatoes.

    In a way, all the rancor in the Cortes is a good sign. Nobody’s talking about crushing anybody by force. The overthrow of Iturbide has done New Spain some good.

    In Tehuantepec, Lorenzo de Zavala has retired due to ill health, Santiago Méndez Ibarra is president, and for just about the first time in its history, Tehuantepec is seeing immigrants. They’re Maya from Chiapas and Guatemala, fleeing the war…

    Central America and the Caribbean
    …which is still going on. Spain is winning—the rebellion has limited access to guns, powder, and shot, and Spain has many officers in its army who learned their trade fighting in Haiti. The one bit of good news is that the Brougham government has found out about the slavers operating out of the Miskito Kingdom, and with the end of the war, the Royal Navy has been freed up to patrol the coast and hunt down the slave ships. While they’re at it, they’re helping enforce King Robert Charles Frederic’s rule over his kingdom, not to mention his dependence on British rule. Win-win-win.

    It’s been three and a half years since the last slave was freed in Britain’s Caribbean possessions. Jamaica is dotted with new villages, mostly built by churches, housing the newly freed. The Colonial Office, which is really getting tired of twisting the planters’ arms to get them to cooperate, passed a law last year after Brougham’s government was returned to office. This law expanded the franchise to include all men who own a certain amount of property, regardless of race.[10] That said, sugar production is still way down, which isn’t going to do anything to bring in investment capital. The sugar planters really don’t know how to work with people they don’t legally own.[11]

    And when sugar production does go up again, there’ll be some new competition. Some of the veterans of the Queen’s Haitian Legion are taking the money they earned and using it to buy extra land and plant sugar and other cash crops that they can sell to the French—a transaction that requires both sides to swallow a lot of pride.

    South America
    At first it might seem like not much has changed in South America’s northern tier in the past five years. In Dutch-ruled Suriname, there’s talk that the new government is going to abolish slavery, but so far no one really knows what the next government in Amsterdam is going to look like, let alone what it will do.

    One point of contention in Gran Colombia is the new state schools. These schools are mostly technical schools, intended to teach mathematics, engineering, and applied science, but they’re still schools and they aren’t being run by the church. No matter how proud Gran Colombia might be of not being ruled by His Piety Carlos and His Vice-Piety Sebastian, that still sets a lot of people’s teeth on edge. But Colombia needs engineers.

    Speaking of which, President José Ignacio de Márquez is still trying to connect all parts of Gran Colombia by road (and, one fine day, railroad). Probably the most challenging part of the whole country is the Darien Gap. Mountains and swamps are two different flavors of nightmare to build through, and the Gap has both.

    To handle the more low-lying ground, hired some of the engineers who worked on the Louisiana road from Port-de-l’Ouest to Fort-Keane. Those engineers are not feeling optimistic. The Atrato flatlands aren’t harder to bridge than the Sabine swamps were, but the sort of floods the Atrato gets after a hurricane hits the mountains would wash away everything they know how to build. Also, the natives are every bit as reluctant to assimilate into Colombian society as the Ichacq were.

    Speaking of people resistant to being assimilated, Prince-Viceroy Sebastian, like his predecessor, can’t think about Paraguay without a sense of frustration. It’s not that they’re bothering anybody in his dominions—they have even more trouble reaching his territory than he does theirs—but de Francia has done a very thorough job of overthrowing the Church’s authority there. El Supremo turns 74 next year, and from what Sebastian hears, his health isn’t too good and he has no successor. That might open up opportunities. But Paraguay is still a tough nut to crack in its own right, and even after twenty years of progress, the prospect of invading from the Viceroyalty is still somewhere between a logistical nightmare and a complete impossibility. His wife Maria (one of Ferdinand d’Orléans’ younger sisters) has better ideas on what the Viceroyalty can do with its money—rebuild the Plaza Mayor and the Archbishop’s palace, which could really use more space for schools. Sebastian tried to get either Argentina or Entre Ríos to cooperate with an invasion, but President Lavalleja of Entre Ríos replied that he was busy with his own war.

    Which brings us to Brazil… poor, suffering Brazil. The civil war goes on with no end in sight. Pedro’s government in Rio and the rebels in Ouro Preto are both fighting two-front wars—Pedro is still fighting Entre Ríos’ invasion of the Cisplatine as well as the rebellion, and the rebellion is still fighting the Malê as well as the capital. If you look at a map of modern Brazil, the area Pedro controls more or less corresponds to the states of Rio de Janerio, the coastal part of São Paulo, all of Paraná, Santa Catarina, and Rio Grande do Sul, plus a chunk of northern Uruguay which Pedro is really starting to think is more trouble than it’s worth. The rebels hold northern São Paulo, Minas Gerais, Espirito Santo, and the southern third of Bahia. The Malê and affiliated rebels hold the rest of Bahia, Piaui, and the states that make up the nose[12] of Brazil. Everything from Mato Grosso do Sul to Maranhão and points northwest is… not really under anybody’s control. What’s keeping the rebels in Minas Gerais going is gold and access to the coast. As long as they have that, they can trade for powder and shot. All the Malê rebels have is the will to keep fighting.

    And as for Argentina, they have their own reasons not to cooperate with the Viceroyalty. On a religious level, they need immigrants and can’t afford to be picky about their religion, which will mean an increasingly secularized society. And having lost their richest provinces and biggest city, they’re using the better economy to start pushing southward to make up for it… which will inevitably put them in conflict with the Viceroyalty’s allies in Araucanía.

    In another irony, part of the reason for the civil war that split Argentina in two in the first place was the awkward relationship between Buenos Aires and the rest of the country, and now that relationship is starting to reappear between Bahía Blanca and Argentina. It’s not their political capital, but it’s their financial and cultural capital. Nobody wanted it to become either of these things, but it happened all the same. They can build new ports further south, but they can’t force the merchants of the world to sail to them. The only reason to seek harbor there is if you just had a rough passage around Cape Horn and need a place to stop… but that’s something.


    [1] As IOTL
    [2] I’m so sorry. I somehow went through the whole war without ever getting around to describing the Grand Army’s uniforms. Most of them are off-white unbleached cotton with madder-red trim. The exceptions are the waterdragoon regiments, which wear dark green waistcoats with no shirt underneath, so as to free up their arms and shoulders for rowing. The ecru uniforms are more comfortable than red or dark blue in sunny Louisiana, but as Thierry points out, a few months in the field does tend to unwhiten them in a way that 19th-century laundry technology can’t fix.
    [3] There are proposals to widen it, of course, but the T&T Canal Company (which formed to buy the canal from the bankrupt SINC a few years ago and is headquartered in Chickasaw, Mississippi) hasn’t gotten the money together.
    [4] If you’re morbidly curious, the executioner did take a bit longer with Navarro than with the others.
    [5] Berrien wouldn’t allow the soldiers who followed Harney to be punished as deserters, but with the Army shrinking anyway, he couldn’t prevent Scott from cashiering them.
    [6] Born in Serbia under the name Đorđe Šagić. IOTL he became George Fisher.
    [7] IOTL Mexico was secularizing the missions by now, not so much out of a love of secularism as because they were considered likely to be more loyal to Spain than to Mexico. ITTL, of course, that isn’t a factor, so…
    [8] As IOTL
    [9] Generally cited as the most likely point of origin for the potato blight IOTL
    [10] A similar law was passed in 1840 IOTL.
    [11] IOTL Jamaica’s sugar production dropped from 71,000 metric tons in 1831 to 46,000 metric tons in 1837, and didn’t fully recover until 1933.
    [12] I can’t think of a better way to put it. Sorry.
     
    Interlude: December 23, 1839 (3)
  • The United Kingdom
    It’s almost Christmas, and the British economy is on the upswing. The growing railroad grid is cutting down on bulk transportation costs, letting more people in the cities eat better even with the Corn Laws still on the books. All over the better neighborhoods of London, happy little boys and girls are getting first-degree burns trying to catch flaming brandy-soaked raisins as they explode out of the pudding.[1]

    But not everyone is enjoying the fun and fire hazards. On this particular day, Her Majesty Charlotte I, monarch of the most powerful nation in the world, is at the bedside of one of her ladies-in-waiting, Lady Flora Elizabeth Rawdon-Hastings, holding her hand, utterly helpless, Amelia and Elphie by her side. Poor Flora, only thirty-three, is dying of liver cancer and unlikely even to make it to Christmas. For Charlotte, this all brings back memories of her mother’s death eighteen years ago—the wasting, the fever, the pain that laudanum could barely make a dent in, the inability to do anything except sit there holding a dying woman’s hand and waiting for the inevitable. But if there’s one thing Her Majesty learned from her mother, it’s a sense of responsibility toward those who care for her and her family. So here she is.

    And those aren’t the only bad memories that have been coming back. When Flora’s liver cancer was misdiagnosed as pregnancy, word got out almost immediately. The news even eclipsed the arguments over the Treaties of Windsor and St. James, although maybe not the news of Silistre. London hasn’t had a real taste of sex scandal since old Prinny’s time, and even then the scandal was usually “You know that guy who’s been sleeping around since he was a teenager? He’s doing it some more!” Hard to get excited about that.

    Worst of all, every single jerk and creep on the Conservative side decided the Lady Rawdon-Hastings scandal was the most important story of the day. They’ve never quite been able to believe that a woman as self-confident, opinionated, and downright domineering as Her Majesty could also be a good and faithful wife. They feel somehow insulted that the Radical girl they remember has turned out to be much better at commanding the respect of the nation than her Conservative predecessor, even if said predecessor was basically an anthropomorphic personification of the Seven Deadly Sins out of a medieval morality play. Deep down they want the royal household to turn out to be a cesspit of female licentiousness.

    And Charlotte knows they feel this way. To her, these are the same hypocritical, God-botherering Tories who condemned her mother for alleged infidelities while trying not to talk about her father’s well-known ones. And some of them really are the same men—for example, William Howley, Archbishop of Canterbury since ’28, was Bishop of London at the time. After all these years, they’ve forgotten nothing and learned nothing. Charlotte herself has forgotten nothing and forgiven nothing. If there’s one thing Her Majesty learned from her father, it’s how to hold a grudge for ever.

    And so, no matter how many new windows are opened in British politics, they never seem to be able to air out the stench from the prolonged blast of thunderous flatulence that was the Caroline affair. Its effects have outlived not only Caroline herself, but Liverpool, Castlereagh, Fouché, George IV, Talleyrand, and now Wellington—only old Sidmouth remains, and he’s 82 and long since retired[2]. Next year will be the twentieth anniversary of the Pains and Penalties Act and its attendant fiascoes. No one will celebrate it, but it will still be there, hampering their ability to trust and tolerate each other. Wiser Conservatives like Robert Peel, Leader of the Opposition, were really hoping that as the queen got older and more invested in the status quo, she (like her father before her) would start to see things from their point of view. So much for that.

    It doesn’t help that Henry Brougham, who played such a dramatic role in the affair back in the day, is now Prime Minister. And it’s not like you have to go back to 1820 to find him making questionable decisions. On his advice, Palmerston agreed to a peace treaty that conceded valuable territory to the Americans, in the belief that President Berrien was too stupid and stubborn to take yes for an answer. Nobody counted on the rest of the American government getting together and shoving the treaty down Berrien’s throat. So to Peel and the other Tories, it kinda seems like His Most Insufferable Cleverness Baron Brougham and Vaux has finally outsmarted himself.

    Of course, there were other factors in play—specifically, the facts on the ground in Upper Canada at the time. To explore this, the House of Commons held hearings on the Battle of Lake Saint-Louis, bringing Generals Kerrison and Slade and some of their subordinates to London to testify on what went wrong there and how. Like the previous hearings on the naval losses at Sinepuxent and the failure of the Chesapeake Campaign, these hearings mostly served as a showcase of Parliament’s crystalline hindsight and infallible second-guessing. To make matters worse, the hearings were interrupted by the news of Silistre, and of the death of Wellington—not the best climate to be critiquing the regiments in. Then the Times got word of Wellington’s own blunt and unblaming assessment of Lake Saint-Louis: “There was an attack. It failed. Such things happen.”

    While all this helped to exonerate the British army, it didn’t exactly leave Brougham in the clear. Peel might still have tried for a vote of no confidence, but… the Prime Minister has no monopoly on cleverness. Brougham still has the majority, although the Whigs have lost a couple of by-elections this year, and if his party rallied behind him in the face of a Conservative power play, he would win. But there is a split growing in the ranks of the Whigs, and in Peel’s opinion, the best way to exacerbate it is to sit back and watch.

    This split revolves around the People’s Charter, a document drawn up by some of the more radical Whigs and a committee of workingmen headed by William Lovett. Some of what the Charter advocates is a continuation of what has happened before. The Great Reform Act expanded the franchise and abolished the worst rotten boroughs. The Chartists want to take it further, giving every man who isn’t in prison or a mental institution both the vote and the right to run for Parliament, and drawing a new borough map after every census. They also want secret ballots, annual elections (of the entire House of Commons—take that, France!) and salaries for all Members of Parliament[3].

    Notice that the point of all these reforms is not to simply lavish money on the tenant farmes, coal miners, and factory hands of the UK. It’s to give them a seat at the table so they can ask for what they need and will never be neglected again. The improving economy hasn’t helped everybody yet, and the memory of the Hiemal Period is still fresh in everyone’s mind. And when it comes to helping the poor, Whigs and Tories are both talking a good game—each in their own way—but failing to deliver. Even people who only know about poverty from reading Ashwick Street[4] are starting to complain.

    There is another critic of contemporary politics who sees the same problems but suggests the opposite solutions. Thomas Carlyle sees the world as divided between the rulers and the ruled, each of whom owes everything to the other. For all his intellect, he can imagine nothing in between. The self-government of ordinary people—even confined, as it is now, to the more successful of them—looks to him like unsustainable anarchy, or “No-Authority” as he calls it. (There is a place where he could learn what actual No-Authority looks like, but he’s not there and has no plans to visit.) At the same time, he judges people by what they do, not by who their ancestors were. He despises the old aristocracy, who seem more interested in hunting and fishing than looking after the people. He’s in awe of the new captains of industry (a phrase he coined himself[5]) and thinks they should be looking beyond the next quarterly statement and stepping up to govern the land. And despite being radical in ways that other radicals haven’t even thought of, he’s a big fan of Queen Charlotte. She stood up for Lady Flora and reproached those who shamed her. Carlyle understands this and admires her for it. To this way of thinking, that’s what a good queen should do for one of her ladies-in-waiting. Because while most of her critics are Tories or Chartists, Carlyle is… something else.

    Precisely because the Chartists are demanding power, not just charity, they scare the hell out of Parliament, especially the more centrist Whigs. Brougham himself is, for once, indecisive. He’s always been willing to do the crazy things no one else will do, but if he were to embrace the People’s Charter, there would be a vote of no confidence which he’d probably lose, followed by an election which the Whigs would probably lose. If he doesn’t, the Chartists will split from the Whigs and start running their own candidates, and the Whigs will lose the next election. Lose now, or later? It is frustrating to be a genius and still not be able to see any good options. As for Queen Charlotte… well, the people who were expecting her to follow in her father’s footsteps and become more conservative with age aren’t entirely wrong. Like her late uncle Edward in Canada, she would rather do good for the poor and the wronged within the existing system than upend it completely.

    Another point of contention is the Irish question—what, from the British point of view, is Ireland for? Is it a flatter Scotland, or a colder Jamaica? That is, is it an integral part of the realm, or a resource to be exploited for as much wealth as it can provide the metropole? Brougham and his Home Secretary Thomas Spring Rice are determined to treat it as the former, but this brings them into conflict with a lot of the people who technically own the most profitable parts of the island—not to mention the Anglican Church, which is smarting from the Church of Ireland’s loss of revenue and power over the last ten years.

    And then there’s Brougham’s signature military reform, which has stalled in the Commons. He and Russell identified a couple of problems during the war. The first problem was the slowness with which the British army was built up in ’37 and ’38, compared with how quickly France and Italy have been able to arm and train new recruits for war. The second problem, which the Lake Saint-Louis hearings did show, was that since each regiment is responsible for training its own, some of the newer regiments that fought there weren’t fully trained. While they stood their ground in the face of Yankee fire, they didn’t fight with anything like the professionalism of their veteran counterparts.

    But if the Tories suffered for second-guessing the army about Lake Saint-Louis, Brougham knows he would really suffer if he dared lay his soft civilian hands on the regimental system. Every man in politics who ever saw army service—fighting against Napoleon, serving in India, or whatever—is devoted to the memory of his time in his regiment.

    So in September, Brougham and Russell introduced a bill that would benefit the regiments even as it takes some of their responsibilities away. The bill would create a central recruitment and training office underneath the War Office, which could expand as needed in time of war. This office would take all new recruits and provide them with one month of basic training. After that month, established regiments would have their pick of these recruits to further train in their own traditions. Once these regiments had filled the empty spaces in their ranks, any remaining recruits would go into new regiments to continue their training.

    Brougham and Russell might as well have advocated abolishing the regiments entirely. The reaction would have been no less vitriolic. The regiments—each one its own little army—still want to do their own recruitment and all their own training. Also, the Colonial Office is not happy about having to get all its recruits by way of the War Office.

    The Royal Navy is a little more open to new ideas. They know well that they need to be. The long work of installing steam engines and screw propellers on their ships (much easier than it would have been to install paddle wheels) is already underway, and that might turn out to be just the beginning. Yes, the British won at Sinepuxent. They achieved their military objective, some of them lived to tell the tale, and even after losing nine ships, they still pretty much controlled the sea. For this last reason, and because it didn’t come from the region of southern Italy where the Pyrrhic War was fought, Sinepuxent wasn’t a real Pyrrhic victory—just a sparkling wake-up call for a navy that had grown accustomed to dominating the ocean with ease. A sparkling, burning, exploding wake-up call.

    And that was before the Stablers unleashed No. 23 on the world. British chemists have more or less managed to duplicate the stuff, although they caution that it’s very dangerous. (To which the Royal Navy generally responds, “Yes, thank you, we noticed.”) But the French showed at Silistre that they can manufacture it in even greater quantity. And the Foreign Office is reporting that the French Navy has a new gadget that’s even worse than anything the Americans ever came up with.

    This got Duncannon thinking. A warship isn’t just a lean, mean butt-kickin’ machine. It’s an instrument for projecting power in any part of the world touched by the ocean. That means it has to be fast enough to get wherever it’s going before the war is over. It has to be able to carry enough food and water to sustain a crew of hundreds—over a thousand in the case of the biggest first-rates—for weeks at a time. It has to be able to sail the Roaring Forties without capsizing. All this limits the amount of arms or armor you can burden it with.

    A demologos, on the other hand, is just a lean, mean butt-kickin’ machine. Everything about it is geared toward the goal of confronting the enemy in territorial waters and hurting them until they go away. No need for sails, cordage, berth, or galley—just armor, weapons, powder and shot. So after Sinepuxent, the concept of the armored coast-defense vessel seems pretty much vindicated.

    The only question is what to call it, because they are not calling it by the republican Yankee name “demologos.” Nor are they designating them as ships at all—to Duncannon’s way of thinking, anything that will never stray out of sight of land doesn’t deserve to be called a ship. Duncannon has decided to simply call them “mobile batteries.” So Portsmouth has already nearly completed HMMB Aethelwulf, Kingston-upon-Hull is building HMMB Shield, Dover has begun work on HMMB Buckler, and in London they’re working on three of them to guard the mouth of the ThamesHMMB King Arthur, HMMB Drake’s Drum, and HMMB Basililogos. (Take that, Yanks!)

    Not that they need to worry about a French invasion just yet. France has had it up to here with the pirates of Formosa, and is sending its army and navy to attack. Napoleon himself gave his approval for it before he departed for the Balkans. While they’re at it, they plan on taking the island entirely, which means they’re also at war with China. This of course will mean pulling troops away from the Balkans—but the emperor is willing to do that. The Russians will be some time recovering from Silistre.

    The British have known about the coming invasion since April 8. (From the wording, they thought Napoleon would be leading it himself, but it seems that was an artifact of Canning’s need to make the message read like normal traffic—a common problem with this sort of loose code.)[6] And having seen France’s ships of the line and China’s war junks, they know the coming sea battles will make Isola di Cenere and the naval half of Sinepuxent look like fair fights. Peace, order, and principles of international justice are at stake here—France cannot be allowed to beat up China and steal its lunch money… without giving Britain a cut. And after all, fighting pirates anywhere on the seas, whoever they choose to go after, is very much Royal Navy business. (And no one will say this out loud, but if the rumors about the new French weapon are true, the best way to find out is by fighting alongside them, not against them.)

    And there’s another factor. The Daoguang Emperor is finally cracking down on opium. He has forced not only the HEIC but other European traders to hand over all the opium on the premises to the authorities for destruction, and he has decreed that all traders caught bringing any more opium into China will be fined roughly 10 to 12 pounds—that being the average weight of their heads. The Chief Superintendent of British Trade in China, caught between outraged merchants and an angry emperor, sided with the one who could behead him long before the Royal Navy showed up and promised the merchants that Parliament would compensate them. Parliament isn’t going to.

    Canton’s governor, Lin Zexu, wrote a most eloquent letter to Queen Charlotte appealing to her better nature. “The products that originate from China are all useful items,” he writes. “They are good for food and other purposes and are easy to sell. Has China produced one item that is harmful to foreign countries?[7]” Lord Palmerston made sure Queen Charlotte never saw or heard of this letter.[8] Right or wrong, nobody messes with British merchants. Ships and troops are already on their way east.

    This war is one of the few things Brougham is optimistic about. He can’t wait for the Royal Navy and the regiments to show that self-infatuated old empire just how far behind the times they’ve let themselves slip. Once China has been humbled, the Foreign Office will be in a position to dictate much more advantageous terms for British traders. And commerce with the rest of the world is picking up—especially with the U.S., now that the war’s over. Soon, Brougham thinks, good gold and sweet silver will be flowing from every corner of the world into the vaults of the Royal Bank, just as the Good Lord intended.

    He has no idea.


    [1] For an explanation of what Christmas pudding (a.k.a. “figgy pudding”) is and why it is on fire, see this Tasting History episode.
    [2] He died in 1844 IOTL.
    [3] Right now, Member of Parliament is an unpaid position, which means you can’t afford to be a member unless you’re already rich enough not to need a salary.
    [4] Charles Dickens’ first novel, first published in serial form as The Ashwick Street Chronicles.
    [5] As IOTL
    [6] Teiresias came closest.
    CANNING (The decision related here comes from the Emperor or his office—see next line.) BRITISH EMBASSY PARIS 040839 PNKT
    GOOD MORNING PNKT
    (This is a coded message describing the actions of the French government.)
    PARIS IN SPRINGTIME FINE AS EVER PNKT (Filler)
    TAKING FLETCHERS (The French army and navy) SOMEWHERE BEAUTIFUL (The name “Formosa” comes from the Portuguese name Ilha Formosa, “beautiful island”) THIS WINTER PNKT
    SUGGESTIONS WELCOME PNKT
    (Filler)
    [7] Well… yes. Some of the less scrupulous sellers of China’s green tea are using a green dye to help it keep its color, and that dye contains arsenic. Of course, Westerners are using that same dye in everything from clothes to wallpaper, and it’ll be a while before anybody figures out that it’s bad for them.
    [8] IOTL Lin wrote a similar letter to Queen Victoria, which also never reached her.
     
    Interlude: December 23, 1839 (4)
  • If anybody's wondering what OTL's Napoleon III is doing ITTL, I promise I'll get to him in a future update.

    France
    France is prospering as much as the U.K. Even the tailors have survived—the good ones, anyway. Thanks to the Thimmonier machine, they can take on more of the customers who want to show off their wealth with a genuine tailored suit or dress made from American cotton, Egyptian cotton, or Korean silk (the finest silk in the world—just ask the Koreans).

    Having tried his hand at real war and found he wasn’t half bad at it, Napoleon II has returned to Paris to get about the business of governing, make sure he hasn’t been sidelined politically, and make some more babies with his beautiful bride. Which is as good an excuse as any to talk about his sex life.

    That’s going to be harder than it sounds. We need to start with Napoleon’s marriage to the late Adélaïde-Louise Davout. When they were wed, he was eighteen, she had only just turned fourteen, and neither of them had been given a lot of choice. It was very much a marriage of state, designed to bring about an heir as quickly as possible and strengthen the Bonaparte dynasty’s national credentials, not to mention the position of men like Davout who had made good in the new France. But while Napoleon wasn’t strongly attracted to his wife, he did grow to care very much for her… just in time to lose her to childbed fever. He mourned her for well over a year, and he did partly blame himself and the people who pushed them together, even though they tried to explain to him that this sort of tragedy was always a calculated risk.

    This convinced Napoleon never to put his boner part in anything that was still in mid-puberty. After a few brief affairs, he met the fiery young Eléonore Juillet-Lorrain du Motier de la Fayette, with whom he had an even bigger age gap, but who was at least full-grown. More to the point, while poor little Adélaïde-Louise had been completely overawed by him, Eléonore was bold and radical enough to treat him as an equal. He was surprised at how much this turned him on.

    But then it came time to choose an actual queen, and this time Napoleon wanted a foreign noblewoman, to prove that the Bonaparte line was one European dynasty among many, and as good as any other. There wasn’t an actual bride show, but there was a tour of Italy which happened to include the Diocese of Rome. There he met Donna Ippolita, younger daughter[1] of the elderly Don Lorenzo dei Principi Ruspoli[2], surviving uncle of the actually-important Princes Ruspoli.

    In Ippolita, Napoleon found exactly what he was looking for—someone young but not too young, attractive[3], educated, cultured[4], and pious yet comfortable with modernity. It wasn’t love at first sight, but he knew from experience that love can grow in a marriage formed for other purposes. And she, tired of being the baby of the family and more ambitious than anyone realized (even herself) was quite happy to accept his proposal.

    That’s the thing. She wanted to be empress, she’s glad he chose her, and she even gets along well with nine-year-old Princess Adelaide. Most of all, she wants to do all the duties of the empress and do them well, including giving birth to the next Napoleon and keeping this one happy. She goes to his bed willingly, with full agency, meeting every possible definition of consent that anyone could ever codify. She just… isn’t horny. At all.

    And no matter how hard she tries to fake it, Napoleon can tell. Most people would look at either the dashing young emperor, the lovely young Empress Hippolyte (as she is now known), or possibly both, say “You have to have sex with that? You poor thing,” and insert a picture of a tardigrade playing the violin. But the key words there are “have to,” and those words apply equally to both of them. There are men in this world who’d be more than satisfied to have a beautiful woman lying back and thinking of the Franco-Italian alliance, but thanks to Eléonore, Napoleon knows what it is to actually be desired and delighted in.

    He’s not angry at Hippolyte. Although this world is a long way from a proper understanding of asexuality, the priest he’s talked to has told him that his wife’s lack of carnal appetite is a sign that she is a virtuous woman. But he’s never known virtue to be so depressing.[5] That’s why he’s started sneaking off to see Eléonore on the side.

    The Emperor isn’t the only French political figure feeling profoundly unsatisfied. After 17 years, Jacques-Charles Dupont de l’Eure is still president of the Chamber of Peers. Some of the Liberal Party’s brightest and most ambitious people are leaving to join the opposition, not so much out of conviction as because hope for advancement basically involves waiting for people not much older than themselves to retire.

    One of these people is François Guizot, the new leader of the Conservative Party, under whom the party is hard at work reinventing itself for the 1840s. He’s quite clear—complaining about freethinkers, immigrants, Jews, and women working outside the home does get you a certain number of votes. It doesn’t get you a majority, and a majority is what the Party needs. Best to concentrate on bread-and-butter issues and bringing prosperity to all parts of France, not just the capital and the other big cities. Above all, royalists and crypto-royalists are not to be tolerated. They are to be ratted out without shame and exiled to North Africa. (Jacobins who let themselves get provocateured into plots to overthrow the government get an arguably worse deal—exile to the Desolation Islands[6].)

    And yet… it sounds cool to say “you can’t kill an idea” until it’s an idea you really want to see the last of. But French royalism survived the Revolution, the Terror, the Directory, Napoleon, and the Constitution. When Louis XVIII died in Marseille from bad weather and worse medical care, they thought it surely had to be dead… and then the ’29 rebellion happened. That rebellion was crushed, and the authorities thought, “Okay, now it’s dead.”

    And in many places—Paris, Anvers, Lyon, Strasbourg—they’re right. In Paris, a young philosophy student from le pouce mayençais named Johann Feuerbach was deeply shaken when he heard that a homeless beggar of his acquaintance had frozen to death in an alley one cold night last week. Feuerbach—who is personally feeling guilty about not having made an effort to keep track of the poor man on that night—sees this as a sign of profound societal failure on the part of modern France. A man died because in a city of 1.4 million[7], many of them with hot food and warm beds to spare, no one saw it as their job (much less their duty) to save him. If that can happen, modern liberal society must be missing something crucial. But if you asked him if the ancien régime could have done a better job of protecting such people, he’d tell you the Bourbons were famous for failing in precisely this area. He’s no royalist. He’s… something else. The old dynasty just happens to be something he agrees with his peers on.

    And yet, if you walk down a back alley in Marseille, Toulouse, or Bordeaux, or a smaller town in the Vendée or Poitou, you stand a chance of seeing a royalist message scrawled on a wall in chalk or charcoal. It’s usually just a “19” or an “XIX” with the Xs made to look as much like fleurs-de-lys as the artist can manage, referring to the regnal number of a theoretical future King Louis (deliberately ambiguous as to whether they mean Louis-Philippe in London or the king of Moldavia and Wallachia). Normally this would be dismissed as a few dumb young épateurs trying to shock their elders, and that’s probably all it is, but there’s a new wrinkle.

    Until the past couple of years, the main counterargument to royalism (aside from “shut up or we’ll imprison you/fine you a large percentage of your net worth”) was that the last few French kings were completely worthless, every good decision they ever made was at the behest of some minister or other, and France still has plenty of ministers who can make decisions of equal or greater value without the king getting in the way. But if you look at the various younger French Bourbons, it seems like being dethroned and occasionally decapitated has knocked some sense into them.[8] By all reports, Louis-Philippe is a good teacher, his son Ferdinand d’Orleans is a good colonel, his other son Louis d’Orleans is a good captain, and François died like a hero. No one can say how Louis-Philippe or one of his surviving sons would do as kings… which is less than we can say about the Orleanist claimant and his brother. More on them later, but suffice to say the Orleanists are feeling very smug. (In secret, of course.)

    Nobody can do anything about this. Royalist propaganda is as illegal as ever, but news from Louisiana or eastern Europe is perfectly legal. Guizot hates it more than anybody—the last thing he needs is for the rest of France to think they’re all still closet royalists.

    Jacobin Party head François Arago, on the other hand, feels like this is exactly what he needs. Not only are they the smallest party, but they’re in danger of splitting on all sorts of issues. Working conditions. The right to organize. The right to education—which you wouldn’t think would be controversial, since secular education is one of the things Jacobins like best about modern France. It’s just that too many parents seem to want their children in those schools, not in the factories and mines. Their chief spokesperson is the radical Louis August Blanqui, brother to Dupont de l’Eure’s interior minister, Jérôme-Adolphe Blanqui.

    A split would be deadly for the Jacobins. The party gets its brawling strength from the working men and its money (and votes in the electoral system) from the wealthy traders and factory owners, and it needs both. But these days it seems like every issue pits the poor Jacobins against the rich. The way the system is set up, the rich Jacobins don’t need the votes of the poor, but as the rebellion ten years ago showed, you never know when you might need their muscle. And without the rich behind them, all those strong working men concentrated at the nerve centers of industry and power have no recourse but violence. And this isn’t even getting into the Dutch-speaking Jacobins in the north, the German-speaking Jacobins in Alsace and le pouce mayençais, and the Polish and Hungarian immigrants in the big cities, many of whom are actually very conservative in their views but support the Jacobins because they don’t feel like anybody else is willing to represent them.

    The good news is that against royalism, the whole party stands united. Against the overweening demands of priests and nobles, likewise. Against what the Moniteur calls “antijudaism[9]”—hey, some of our best friends are Jews, and boy are we proud of it! Against increases in the price of bread… well, the poor Jacobins need to eat and the rich ones remember their history.

    So this is definitely feeding the party. Whether it’s nourishment or empty calories, only history will be able to say.

    If the parties in Paris are united on anything, it’s the war against China. Conservatives are aghast that those heathens would dare attack good Frenchmen, Liberals are aghast that anyone would dare get in the way of French commerce, and Jacobins never miss a chance to give a decrepit monarchy a good kick to the groin. This is an even worthier cause than keeping the Russians out of the Mediterranean and making friends in Macedonia.

    Plus, all this will give the French armed forces a chance to see how good their navy really is, which is important. The British swear their mobile batteries are strictly defensive weapons, but the French can’t help but notice that they put a lot more British firepower in the Sleeve, where so much French commerce passes through. What makes it worse is that, with the advent of the screw propeller, the paddle-powered warships France worked so hard to build are now more or less obsolete. The only advantage of the paddles is that they let a ship turn in place, and that isn’t something you want to do on a regular basis—it puts enormous strain on the paddles, the engines, and the whole frame of the ship.

    Luckily they already have engines. Refitting them for screws, while a nuisance, is not impossible, and removing the wheels will free up more room on board for the lovely new guns M. Paixhans has finally perfected.[10] And they know those guns work, because while the eyes of all Europe and the Near East were focused on the banks of the Danube this summer, a French warship equipped with a Paixhans bow chaser was escorting a merchantman when they were accosted by an Acehnese pirate fleet. One of the pirate ships was permitted to flee home and inform their brethren that French-flagged ships were henceforth to be avoided at all costs. Anyone shot at by a Paixhans gun will wish they were facing an American columbiad. Briefly.

    Yes, in all fields and all aspects of science—theories, discoveries, practical applications—France is either leading the way or at least keeping pace with Britain and Hanover. One of the more jaw-dropping discoveries of the last five years came when scholars, after much debate, finally concluded that the fossils found in the Engis caves of northern France could only belong to an entirely new species of human—Homo engiensis[11], or Engis man. Extinct or not, that’s kind of a big deal.

    Meanwhile, Évariste Galois has the whole French mathematical establishment exploring the possibilities of group theory, with help from the École Polytechnique’s new difference engine, while he himself maintains a long-range rivalry with the Norwegian-born mathematician Niels Henrik Abel in Hannover[12]. France is still the biggest producer of white phosphorus, although you do not want to see what happens to some of the people who make it—not every factory takes as many precautions as the Stablers’ plant in Martinsburg. On a somewhat safer note, Paris’s theaters have learned the use of limelight from London’s. Argentography is a new fad. Galvanized ironwork, shining silver instead of black, has become a status symbol on homes in the better neighborhoods of Paris and Anvers, and inside those houses are bespoke tapestries, drapes, curtains, and carpets woven by programmed looms. The telegraph grid has spread north to the coast and Waal and as far as Caen, Orleans, and Luxembourg, and in another few years it will, like the railroads, reach every corner of France.

    But not every scientific discovery is wholeheartedly accepted. Young Richard Colin has come back to Bordeaux, and he’s come with a warning. He’s been to the Frescobaldi vineyards of Virginia, and he’s seen what happens when you try to grow French or Italian vinestock in New World soil. What happens is, they wither and die. The culprit, he’s found, is an insect almost too small to see, which he has given the name of Ampeloctona rhizepimola[13], the vine-murderer that invades the root.

    There are ways around this. You can hybridize Vitis vinifera with the more resistant New World species. Grafting vinifera vines onto native rootstock works even better. The one thing that no one must ever, ever do is import vines from the New World, at least without carefully inspecting them for ampeloctona eggs.

    So he’s been writing letters to everybody he can think of who might have some influence—the papers in every port city starting with Bordeaux itself, vine-growers, wine sellers, wine brokers, scientific journals, government officials in charge of imports, his Representative, even the Emperor himself. Some of these people have actually noticed, but not, curiously, the scientific establishment. Colin’s teachers remember him as a bright but argumentative young man who thought his own prosaic observations made him smarter than the great Jean-Baptiste de Lamarck. Even at this early stage, where scientists are just starting to call themselves “scientists” instead of “natural philosophers,” when you meet a self-proclaimed scientist who thinks he knows better than the entire scientific community, there’s about a 90% chance he’s a crank. Sad to see a bright boy go down that road so early in his career, but he is only 21. There’s still time for him to make some real contributions, once he swallows his pride and admits how much he still has to learn.

    But Colin keeps at it, because this is important. His family’s way of life and one of France’s most iconic and beloved industries are at stake. He has no way of knowing that he’s already too late.


    [1] Her sister Agnese is seven years older and already married.
    [2] Specifically, he was 62 years older than her and 35 years older than her mother.
    [3] You can get a general idea of her appearance from the women in this painting.
    [4] Among other things, Napoleon wants his dynasty to be patrons of the arts in France, so he needed somebody who knew at least as much about art and music as he did, and preferably more. Ippolita qualifies—she was sad when Green went home, cried literal tears when Paganini died, and is still hoping she can coax Rossini out of retirement.
    [5] And why do I keep centering his feelings? Because he’s the emperor, that’s why.
    [6] The Kerguelen Islands IOTL
    [7] About half again as many as Paris IOTL. This France has a stronger economy.
    [8] To Elmar’s way of thinking, of course, this just proves the Revolution and even the Terror were good for everyone, including the people they tried to kill.
    [9] Which will end up being TTL’s official term for anti-Semitism
    [10] IOTL the biggest problem Paixhans had was enough quality iron to build reliable guns. This is one more place where it helps TTL’s France to have OTL’s Belgium and its industry.
    [11] Homo neanderthalensis IOTL
    [12] Who also died young IOTL, although from tuberculosis rather than a duel
    [13] IOTL it was first described as Phylloxera vastatrix
     
    Last edited:
    Interlude: December 23, 1839 (5)
  • I've pretty much given up trying to be consistent in following any kind of rule when it comes to calling people by the version of their name in their own/their country's/what they want to be their country's language. Sorry.

    Northern Europe
    So, who got to be king of the Netherlands? Louis or William?

    Neither one. There was no way to split the throne between the two contenders or the Powers backing them, so the Treaty of St. James simply got rid of the throne.

    As of the end of 1839, the Second Dutch Republic is on. The provisional government in Amsterdam is organizing nationwide elections for a unicameral legislature with a fairly low property requirement for voting. (This, by the way, was yet another point of contention between the Chartists and the rest of the Whigs—it seemed to Burdett and others that Brougham was trying to suppress real freedom for the Dutch. In fact, it was all Palmerston could do to get the Prussians to agree to any kind of elections at all. And in Amsterdam itself, there is no property requirement for voting in city elections—an effect of the lower-class component in the revolution in that city.) Unfortunately, the new government will not be completely free to make up its own mind about everything. The Treaty of St. James requires that the Netherlands be neutral in any conflict involving Britain, France, or Prussia, unless directly attacked. Of course, this still leaves room for things like trade agreements and such.

    And there are two gentlemen living just over the border who will almost certainly be exercising outsized influence on the future of the Netherlands. They are Mr. Willem van Oranje-Nassau[1] of Duisburg and Mr. Lodewijk Bonaparte of Anvers. Both of them have sort of shelved their claims to the throne for the moment, but neither of them has explicitly renounced it, and they both have large followings among those who plan on becoming big deals in the Netherlands. They also plan on serving as a channel for the interests of their respective host nations—Bonaparte of course represents France, while van Oranje-Nassau represents the Anglo-Prussian alliance… at least as long as it stays an alliance.

    This in itself is not a popular arrangement. A big chunk of Dutch politics is defined by the Treaty of St. James. One side accepts that the Netherlands is a small nation stuck between big strong ones, this is the best deal they could ever hope to get, and they should do what they can with it. The other side resents the fact that the Powers are now playing for influence inside their capital. During the negotiations, Bonaparte sort of floated the idea that he might be able to talk France in allowing plebiscites in, say, the Brabant area. This didn’t impress the Dutch that much and made a lot of people in Paris very angry—they really like having that good defensive line on their northern border.

    Meanwhile, Van Oranje-Nassau’s most hardcore supporters are trying to capitalize on the discontent, saying, in effect: was it worth all we lost to overthrow the king? We’re still missing everything south of the Waal, now our foreign policy has been decided for us by a treaty made in London, and we’re supposed to be okay with all this because Orange man bad? (To which people generally respond that yes, the Orange man was actually bad.) This gets van Oranje-Nassau a lot of angry letters from London and Berlin. The British are still cooperating with the French in the Balkans, and now in the Far East (and North Africa, but people have gotten used to that by now) and don’t want anything that could lead to war with them. The Prussians are still none too confident of their ability to fight France head-on, especially now that Napoleon has proven that he knows what he’s doing on a battlefield. Jena, Auerstädt, Lützen, Bautzen, and Velaine still haunt the nightmares of a generation. And at 69, the king of Prussia is getting too old for this.

    And the status quo isn’t so bad. In spite of the king’s dreadful policies and the fact that their best talent keeps leaving for Hanover or the U.S., Prussia is starting to see better days, especially in the west. They’ve learned from the War of 1837 just how important a good railroad grid is to national defense, so they’re building railroads according to a standard 4.5-Fuß[2] gauge (it helps that Berlin and the Rhineland agree on the exact length of a Fuß[3], or foot), which most of the Nordzollverein has agreed to comply with. Alas, Hesse has chosen to build its own gauge according to its own unique and special 10-inch foot and is, well, throwing a Hesse fit over the suggestion that they should try to get on the same page as Prussia.

    This matters because some engineers tried to build a train that could handle both gauges. It worked… right up until November 27 of this year, when it hit a poorly aligned junction at Offenbach and violently derailed. Many passengers were injured and several were killed, including Wilhelm, younger brother to Charles Duke of Brunswick, in town visiting a mistress[4]. This has only served to make the Duke of Brunswick even angrier than usual.

    Which is saying a lot. Duke Charles is acutely aware that the only thing keeping him on his ducal throne is the Prussian army. Brunswick is a hotbed of unrest, and the most restless people keep sneaking into Hanoverian territory where his agents have no authority to pursue them. Relations with Hanover are a constant source of friction, to the point where the duke has come to personally detest King Victor. (The Duke will sue the pants off anybody who even hints that this might be frustrated sexual desire. Handsome young King Victor is generally known to swing both ways, but hasn’t swung his cousin’s way at all. In fact, there are rumors that they both pursued the same cute twink of a noble student in Göttingen last year, and Victor came away the winner.)

    Yes, King Victor’s court is packed with drama and titillating scandal. The Danish Prince Christian is a frequent guest, but recently he and and the king have had a falling-out—and not over the same woman. (Or man. Christian has no inclinations in that direction.) It’s partly because Victor has been trying to get Christian to marry his first cousin Amelia, mostly so he himself won’t have to. But Christian wants no part of any British or Prussian princess who might tie him down to one of the Powers. Also, Christian has been spending a lot of time with Victor’s 18-year-old half-niece Augusta Adelaide Fitzclarence, who is beautiful and charming, but whose name might as well be Maria Fitzherbert as far as his father and the rest of the court in Copenhagen are concerned. Victor thinks of Augusta as a sister (she’s about the only pretty girl in Hannover he doesn’t want to have sex with) and won’t have anyone toying with her affections. Arthur Schopenhauer, who breeds poodles to support himself while writing, would say that Victor and Christian should[5] try to work things out in a way rooted in compassion, but they haven’t asked him. All this matters because Christian’s father, the king of Denmark, is almost 72 and not in great health.[6]

    This is also a big problem for Charlotte and Leopold. They really want Amelia to make a royal match, but King Victor isn’t ready to settle down and Prince Christian has said no. As for Mr. van Oranje-Nassau’s son, he isn’t a prince any more, and marrying Amelia to him would have sent a message that Britain didn’t take the Treaty of St. James seriously at all. Amelia herself has shown interest in a certain prince, who I’ll get to in a future update.

    To the people in Hanover, King Victor is a celebrity, but they don’t think of him as exactly a leader yet. He spends too much time with poetry and romantic entanglements, and he still has his rich and powerful half-brother George Fitzclarence and his grumpy uncle Ernest Augustus looking out for him. Everyone knows the real power in the land is Prime Minister Carl Hecker, an immigrant from West Prussia himself, under whose governance Hanover has become even more attractive to people from all parts of Germany.

    Not that being an immigrant is easy anywhere. Wilhelm Weitling, a journeyman tailor from Magdeburg who’s been all over Prussia, Saxony, and Austria, came to the city of Hannover two years ago looking for work… only to find a city full of cheap suits and dresses made by women in sweatshops hunched over thimmoniers. Still, he’s scraping by making hats for women. In a similar vein, French expat Pierre-Joseph Proudhon is getting by as a proofreader, and Max Stirner is managing a cheese shop, although it’s not much of a cheese shop. Because by now Hanoverians take it for granted that even people who call for the overthrow of state, property, and society still need to participate in society while they’re at it.

    But the people who are most threatening to the normies aren’t necessarily the most radical. Nobody actually thinks everybody’s going to start holding property in common or just grabbing everybody else’s stuff. But four years ago when David Strauss down at Göttingen came out with a book, A Reconsideration of the Life of Jesus, which called into question not only the miracles of Jesus but a lot of what was taken to be historical fact about him, that set off condemnations from almost every established Christian church on Earth. Then of course there’s Schopenhauer’s own writings, in which he seeks to rebuild all of ethics on a new foundation, in the process attacking Christian teachings and Kant’s philosophy—and in the Germanies, it’s hard to say which is the bigger deal. With books like these around, the claim by French scientists that there was once a species of human the Book of Genesis never mentioned doesn’t seem so out there.

    In the scientific community itself, the biggest controversy is who gets to use the handful of difference engines available, and for what. Not everyone in Europe is convinced yet of the Americans’ claim to have discovered a new planet, but Niels Abel has confirmed Strong’s calculations are correct, and he’s convinced that if he’d had access to an engine sooner, he could’ve done them first. Anyway, some time next year—maybe as early as April 2, during the new moon, if the skies are clear—the astronomers of Europe will point their best telescopes at Capricornus, and then everyone will know for sure.

    But a lot of people would rather see their engines used for more practical ends. The Earl and Countess of Lovelace are currently watching the construction of the new suspension bridge across the Weser at Bremen[7], with the cables made from Wilhelm Albert’s wire rope. The two of them came to Hanover as consultants on building and operating difference engines, but William King-Noel, count of Lovelace, will be the first to admit his wife Ada did all the work in calculating the number, spacing, and thickness of the cables needed to hold the bridge together. Ada is all about finding practical uses for this technology, and would like to help Charles Babbage take this technology even further once they’re back in London.

    Of course, some problems still have to be solved the hard way. Creating a set of equations to describe the motion of a propeller and calculate the most efficient shape proved too much even for Hanover’s techbros and resident techsis Ada. Hydrodynamics isn’t rocket science—it’s harder.[8] Bremen and Bremerhaven have taken to hosting annual races and competitions where boatbuilders can show off their vessels’ speed and hauling power.

    And what news from the North? Zoologist and explorer Sven Ludvig Lovén has pulled into Narvik, having completed a very successful study of the west coast of Greenland. He found Baffin Bay was unusually open this year, and he made use of this to not only venture all the way up the coast, but to chart the coastline of a new island[9]—or at least enough of that coastline to confirm that it’s likely to be an island, not part of some other landmass. He wanted to name it Karl Jan Land, but when the legislatures of Sweden and Norway (who don’t want to glorify His Majesty more than they can help) next meet, they will propose that it be called “Lovénland” and added to the empire. The question is how the British will feel about some Swede getting his colonialist boots and foreign name all over one of their islands—even one they weren’t sure existed.

    But Lovén is planning more Arctic voyages, and there’s at least one person in Stockholm who’d like to join him—and not out of a sense of adventure. Magnus Jacob Crusenstolpe is out of favor with the king on account of his connection to those Icelandic malcontents. Going to Iceland and Svalbard with Lovén might be a better deal than being banished there. And every explorer needs a chronicler, after all.


    [1] Not the former King Willem I, who’s in Berlin, but his son.
    [2] 55.62”/1.412 m
    [3] Prussia hasn’t yet done a nationwide standardization of its measurements.
    [4] IOTL William (who became Duke after his brother was deposed) left no legitimate descendants, but many illegitimate ones.
    [5] If you asked Schopenhauer why he’s even talking about “should” when he doesn’t believe in free will and considers human behavior to be compelled by its motivations, he’d tell you he just can’t help saying it.
    [6] He died in December 1839 IOTL.
    [7] This isn’t exactly the invention of the suspension bridge. Chain bridges have been known for decades, and metal wire has been used in smaller bridges.
    [8] Seriously.
    [9] OTL’s Ellesmere Island.
     
    Interlude: December 23, 1839 (6)
  • Southern Europe
    Portugal has had to do some major housecleaning. King Pedro[1] has dismissed some of his ministers who were selling state assets and pocketing the money[2]. Even with the improving economy, the kingdom can’t afford that. There’s a war on, schools to build, and colonies in Africa to expand. At least the slave traders have been driven out of the Tangerian ports again, although that does mean less money to tax.

    Portuguese liberals didn’t rest on their laurels after Miguel was overthrown. The nation, like Britain and France, is facing demands for an expanded franchise and more direct means of elections. King Pedro’s approach to this has been to go full steam ahead on reform, increasing the franchise as much as the Cortes will tolerate.

    He’s doing this because he knows he’s running out of time. His health is failing[3], and he doesn’t know how long he has left. His heir, Maria, just turned seventeen. The Cortes has already declared her majority, just to be on the safe side, but everyone’s thinking about the trouble her older brother is having in Brazil. They don’t want that here. Maria is understandably frightened at the prospect of possibly losing her father and having to lead the nation before long, but she’s determined to do the best she can.

    The good news is, she has a husband. She married him this year. He’s fourteen years her senior, but compared to the king and his wife next door in Spain, this relationship looks downright healthy. He holds no official position in the realm, but he has lots of helpful suggestions. He is none other than Charles-Louis Napoléon Bonaparte of France, nephew to Napoleon the Great[4]. If this doesn’t normalize the Bonaparte dynasty in the eyes of Europe, nothing will. And Maria doesn’t know it yet, but she’s pregnant.

    The other royal María of the Iberian Peninsula isn’t pregnant at the moment, which is a great relief to her. The poor woman has been through six pregnancies in the past five years, with nothing to show for it but three miscarriages, two stillbirths, and one… they couldn’t really tell if it was a son or daughter. Whatever it was, it only lived three days. The doctors are adamant that she needs another few months of rest and recovery from the last failed pregnancy before she tries again, and she very much agrees with that. She looks and feels a lot older than her twenty-one years. What youth and strength she ever had has been spent in failed attempts to give her husband (uncle/great-uncle/etc.) a son.

    And yes, Carlos still wants a son. (Besides, of course, the son he’s already got, who turned twenty this year and is an officer in the army engineering corps in South America and regular correspondent with the Infante Sebastian.) He wants a son to inherit the throne of Spain. But he really is starting to wonder if that’s God’s plan, or if he should start putting his hopes in his daughter (his daughter, his, and don’t you DARE suggest otherwise) the six-year-old Miraculous Princess Isabella Luísa. She’s barely been sick a day in her life so far, and is well ahead of her reading level. Her tutors are comparing her favorably to the young Charles III.

    Another thing on Carlos’ mind is that just when it seemed like all democratic impulses in his kingdom had been snuffed out and Spain was as close to being a proper absolutist monarchy as the 19th century and its expectations would allow, his own Tradition Party had to go and split right in two. It was the issue of fuero reform that did it. The previous government’s heavy-handed abolition of the fueros made them more popular in the Tradition Party, but too many of the rising industrialists funding that party are tired of local legal quirks and somebody’s obscure centuries-old privileges getting in the way of them making money—especially since they had a taste of life without the fueros under Constitutionist governance. His own War Minister, José Ramón Rodil, left the government over this issue back in October. Rodil and a young firebrand named Luis González Bravo are now writing the platform of the new Centrist Party, to which many of the more moderate (or just more tired of political impotence) Constitutionists are flocking. There’ll be elections next year.

    The Diocese of Rome is a year into the papacy of Pius X, formerly known as Cardinal Bartolomeo Pacca. Pius is a conservative, but that doesn’t mean he’s going to reverse everything the Roman Catholic Church has done in the past forty years or so. Instead, he’s… well, conserving what he’s got. Where the Church is tolerated, it will do nothing to antagonize the authorities; where it has granted official status, power, and authority, it will accept these things with both hands. He’s also patching up relations with Austria, whose government has long since gotten used to the idea that they don’t get a say in who is or is not pope. There’s talk of creating a Pontifical Commission to govern the city of Rome, but Pacca would rather leave things in the hands of Mayor Carlo Armellini.

    By comparison, politics in the United Kingdoms of Italy and Sardinia are downright byzantine. You’d think that after twenty years or so the parties would have sorted themselves out into some single-digit number—conservative, Christian-liberal, secular-liberal, centralist, federalist, etc. Instead, each city or region has its own set of parties. At the national level, Italy has major coalitions rather than major parties—coalitions which change with every new issue.

    There are several reasons for this:
    • The War of Italian Unification didn’t get rid of the various regional rivalries, not only between north and south but between the cities of northern Italy. The worst is Pisa versus Livorno, but there’s also Milan versus Genoa, Genoa versus Venice, Venice versus Milan, and Florence versus Siena. An effect of this is that the two largest parties both represent southern Italy—the Neapolitan Conservative party represents the landowners of the south, and the Popular Party of Naples represents the middle-class of the city itself.
    • When representatives from, say, Lombardy, Lazio, and Apulia get together and try to talk about their issues, a lot of times it’s like they’re not even speaking the same language… because they aren’t. Italy was politically fragmented for a very long time, and this is reflected in the many local dialects. The more educated Italians can speak Tuscan, which is sort of the official version of Italian because all the best literature was written in it. But unification, the downfall of the Hapsburgs and Bourbons, and the later addition of Sicily and Sardinia destabilized the establishment to the point where Italy still doesn’t have a recognizable governing class the way Britain does—at least, not one that has a monopoly on power. There are many more representatives who not only speak for the lower classes, but are from the lower classes, and only know the Italian they learned at home, which might or might not be comprehensible to the rest of the country.
    • Italy has a large parliament of 805 members, and until three years ago the Italian Forum[5] wasn’t finished. Parliament had to meet at the Anfiteatro Fausto, the old Roman amphitheater, which was open to the sky and created a risk of important votes being delayed on account of rain. They didn’t spend more time there than they could help, preferring to meet in groups in smaller venues throughout the City of Love and Steel (which has become Terni’s official nickname) before assembling in the Fausto. This made smaller party delegations easier to manager than large ones.

    But now the Forum is built and in use, a symphony in marble with a copper dome 40 meters wide[6] over its central amphitheater. So at least one of the problems has been taken care of. And Pepe’s new foreign minister, Massimo d’Azeglio (back from the U.S. where he was serving as ambassador[7]) has been trying to build a truly national liberal party. One thing helping him is that the various small rivalries have been somewhat dampened in the wake of the War of the Sardinian Succession, when soldiers from all parts of Italy fought side by side in the same units. One of D’Azeglio’s greatest allies is the young Tuscan politician and winemaker Bettino Ricasoli, who devotes as much efforts to finding the most agreeable factions as he does to finding the best grape cultivars for the Chianti vineyards of the Antinori family. (Those vineyards have recently received a gift of living Yadkin grapevines, which their North Carolina cousins brought with great care and expense from Wilmington to Livorno. The expense will turn out to be greater than they ever imagined.)

    Also, the Popular Party of Naples is considering joining him—his platform looks good, especially the part about adjusting voting-district borders to reflect changes in population. In spite of cholera and malaria[8], Naples is a growing city, especially with the danger of piracy gone and the need of a good shipyard to refit the fleet for screws. They’d like their delegation to grow accordingly.

    All this is happening behind the scenes. Most Italians would say the biggest political event of the year was the failed assassination attempt on King Achille in June. He and his family[9] headed up to Lake Como (the Villa d’Este, in fact, Queen Caroline’s old estate) to spend the hottest part of the summer with Camillo Benso and his new bride Allegra Byron Benso and a few other friends and their families. They stopped in Arezzo, both to transfer from the railroad (still under construction further north) and to take in the city’s traditional Saracen Joust.

    The would-be assassin was a 38-year-old Lucchesi named Pieri[10], who went by both Giovanni and Giuseppe and spelled his surname with either one or two Rs over the course of an itinerant life of petty crime. Pieri had apparently become a fanatical Republican while hiding out in San Marino last year. He pushed his way to the front of the crowd at the station and pulled out a Francotte revolver just as the king was getting off the train.

    Giuseppe Marco Fieschi[11], a Corsican bodyguard who had served the family since he fought by King Gioacchino’s side in 1815, tackled Pieri and stopped the bullet with his own torso, dying in the process.

    Pieri would have been lynched on the spot if Achille hadn’t personally demanded that justice be allowed to work its course. As it was, he was disarmed, beaten bloody, and dragged to the nearest jail by the angry mob. Within a month, he died by guillotine. Fieschi (who in life had been a very hard man to like and probably the least popular person in the Palazzo San Valentino) got a hero’s funeral. King Carlos finds it mildly amusing that the king targeted for assassination by a Republican was possibly the most benign in all Europe.

    Before we move on, let us have a moment of silence for all the future history students who are somehow going to have to keep Queen Maria of Italy, Queen María of Spain, and Queen Maria of Portugal straight.


    [1] I had to do some major housecleaning, or at least retconning, when I realized that, by completely losing track of what I’d done with the Braganzas, Brazil, and Portugal, I’d managed to land Pedro Junior in Lisbon and Rio at the same time. As always, I made the choice that would lead to the least rewriting. So basically Pedro made a grand gesture of turning his back on his homeland forever, and the minute he found out his dumbass reactionary brother was about to become king instead of his son, he was like “You know what? Never mind,” and people in Portugal decided to file the whole “I shall stay” thing under “youthful indiscretion,” because he was still the lesser of two evils. Deal with it.
    [2] IOTL this was such a problem in Portugal after the Liberal Wars that they called it devorismo-“devourism.”
    [3] IOTL he had been dead for five years at this point.
    [4] The French have mostly stopped trying to make “Saint-Napoléon” happen, so this is now his official moniker… at least in France itself.
    [5] Centered more or less on the site of OTL’s Hotel Valentino.
    [6] Slightly smaller than the dome of St. Peter’s Basilica. This was a deliberate gesture of respect.
    [7] The current ambassador to the U.S. is the 35-year-old Venetian Daniele Manin.
    [8] The worst area for malaria is actually along the Lazio coast.
    [9] As of the end of 1839, Achille and Maria have two living children, 7-year-old Prince Achille Gioacchino Napoleone and 3-year-old Princess Carolina Maria Anna. Also, the queen is pregnant again.
    [10] IOTL one of Orsini’s accomplices in his assassination attempt on Napoleon III.
    [11] IOTL Fieschi tried to kill Louis-Philippe with a homemade volley gun.
     
    Interlude: December 23, 1839 (7)
  • Central Europe and the Balkans
    Let’s start with the war.

    After the second day at Silistre, the battle turned into a siege of the island. This lasted for most of a month, until the Russians were so low on food, ammunition, and other supplies that they had no choice but to surrender. The problem the French and Austrians had was that there was no place to put a hundred thousand POWs, except to leave them where they were. Which was a very bad place. Russian soldiers were dying by the thousands of the usual diseases—Nikolai himself died of dysentery in July, shortly before the surrender—and if the Danube flooded they would surely drown to the last man.

    There was no way to do a prisoner swap, because Russia didn’t have nearly enough prisoners, and nobody on the allied side trusted Russia to honor the parole of half their army. So Radetzky quietly began allowing prisoners to escape, by dribs and drabs with nothing but what they could carry, and make their way back into Russia before winter. When the numbers were down to about fifty thousand, Radetzky took them west into proper purpose-built POW camps.

    Meanwhile, the front moved an astonishing distance over the summer. King Ludovic liberated Wallachia and captured General Perovsky. His brother rolled up the army attacking the Carpathians and defeated Suvorov, with a little help from von Haynau and von Mensdorff-Pouilly[1], the Austrian generals who’d been holding the Carpathians against the Russians all this time. Radetzky is currently wintering in Odessa[2] while his army builds up defenses along the Dniester in anticipation of next year’s counterattack.

    The French and British contingent of this army has been greatly reduced—and as for the Italians, the Dniester isn’t as deep as the Danube, and only the smaller Italian gunboats can navigate it. Also, the hills on the west bank of the river offer good defensive positions, so despite the crucial role the Italians played at Silistre, their help might no longer be needed. Saxony, Bavaria, Baden, and Württemberg are sending regiments to support the Austrians, which will partly make up for the smaller British and French presence. We’ll talk more about these states later, but all of them are taking advantage of this conflict to give some of their army units experience in modern warfare.

    So unless things change radically next year, Russia will be the big loser of this war and Austria will be the big winner. The Sudzollverein has already expanded to include Serbia, and King Ludovic plans to bring Moldavia into it as well—and to expand Moldavia to include Bessarabia[3]. This will expand the customs union’s presence on the Black Sea, which will have the side effect of making it even more of a priority for Metternich to maintain good relations with Bosnia-Rumelia and Turkey (meaning the Cairene Empire).

    There’ll be another, very small new member as well. One of the few lasting effects of the Congress of Vienna was the establishment of the Free City of Kraków, a city-state sandwiched between Austria, Prussia, and Russia. It was so small that its university[4] was empowered to send representatives to its assembly, but it was a republic and its language of government was Polish. After the fall of the Duchy of Warsaw, this was all that remained of the dream of an independent Poland. This year, tired of Polish rebels hiding out in Kraków, Russia threatened it with invasion. Prussia didn’t want to get involved, so Austria placed it under their protection. The one rule is that Polish rebels won’t be using it as a base of operations. They’ll be traveling to Rijeka, Zadar, or Split and boarding a ship for either France or somewhere in the New World.

    If any one person is in charge of the Austrian Empire these days, it’s Emperor Ferdinand’s uncle, Archduke Louis. Mostly he makes speeches as needed (rarely—it’s called the Secret State Conference for a reason) and rubber-stamps the decisions of Metternich and Kolowrat. Metternich is still feeling smug about having outlived Talleyrand, but he has his hands full keeping track of Austria’s allies, especially the ones who have been Austria’s enemies before and probably will be again—not to mention watching for any sign of sedition or secession within the empire.

    That work has been greatly complicated by constitutional reform in the empire. In some provinces (Transylvania, Galicia and Lodomeria, Dalmatia, Voivodina) the authorities aren’t bothering. Then there’s the various military frontiers, which were formed when Austria bordered the strong and scary Ottoman Empire, and which now mainly serve to block bandits coming out of Serbia or Bosnia-Rumelia. Those are still strictly controlled by the Army. (They might be able to retire the Transylvanian military frontier if the countries on the other side, Moldavia and Wallachia, stay friendly.) Tyrol, Salzburg, Illyria, Moravia, Austrian Silesia, and Upper and Lower Austria all have similar constitutions which put most of the real power in the hands of the Austrian crown. They differ on things like which languages and religions are official and how much scope is given to those that aren’t.

    But then there’s Hungary and Bohemia. In Hungary, people like István Széchenyi, Miklós Wesselényi, Ferenc Kölcsey, Lajos Kossuth, and Mihály Táncsics[5] are stepping up in the Diet. The constitution they’ve written puts Hungary about where Britain was fifty years ago, which is still pretty darn radical by Austrian standards. The Emperor can veto legislation, and can dissolve it, but that immediately leads to a new election. You have to be fairly well off to have the vote, but even with that there is at least some representation for Croats, Slovaks, and Romanians in the Diet.

    Even more radical is Bohemia, where the Diet has used this to put itself more or less in charge. They can override the Emperor’s vetoes with a 60% majority, and he has no authority to dissolve them. Metternich thought it was so hilarious what the convention in Thessalonica did to Sultan Husein, swearing loyalty to him while basically giving themselves veto power over his decrees. He’s not laughing anymore.

    And then there’s the other states of the Sudzollverein, where Austria has influence but not control. Saxony was a constitutional monarchy with a working parliament even before Friedrich August II became king three years ago, and he’s been expanding freedoms there—and Saxony is not only an important part of the Sudzollverein, but one that could theoretically go over to the Nordzollverein if they thought they could get a better deal.

    Eight years ago, Grand Duke Leopold of Baden allowed amendments to the constitution his father granted. His people now have as much freedom and representation as the people of Hanover. This made the Badeners very happy. Not so happy was King William of Württemberg, who has the example of his little brother King Paul of Greece to see what happens when a king isn’t master of his own kingdom. (He’s also not happy that his oldest son, also named William[6], has picked up some of the same radical ideas about freedom while studying in Oxford. It’s some consolation that he’s also picked up the affections of Amelia, Princess Royal of the United Kingdom, with whom he shares a birthday.) The grand duke’s decision was also a thorn in the side of Prussia, because Prussia has that little crescent-shaped exclave of land that’s mostly tucked inside Württemberg but borders Baden on the south. And of course Metternich himself was unhappy.

    But Leopold had a trump card in arguing with these people—in any war with France, Baden would be Austria’s first line of defense. “To guard your western border,” he wrote to Metternich, “you need free, proud German men. You need men who will never allow the French to do to their home what they did to Mainz and Rhenish Bavaria.” The only response Metternich could think of was that he’s been reading Radetzky’s reports, and while Austria’s army has improved a lot since the war with Italy, they’re not ready to take on France just yet. If it came to it, Austria would be more likely to end up fighting in Bavaria than Baden. That wasn’t an argument he wanted to make. (The one bit of good news is that they’ve made so little progress on rebuilding their navy that retooling for screw propulsion won’t slow them down any further.)

    Speaking of Bavaria, that kingdom has been one of the bright spots of the customs union. They’re industrializing almost as fast as Hanover and the Rhineland. Bavaria’s railroad grid is the most extensive in the Sudzollverein. (Although all their grids are still in the early stages. It will take some years for the railroads to meet, and for the engineers building them to wish they’d agreed beforehand on a single track gauge.)

    As far as political freedom goes, there was kind of a dustup in the Munich parliament last year over the question of freedom of religion. Catholicism is the state religion of Bavaria, but the religious freedom of Protestants is guaranteed by the constitution. An ultra-Catholic party won a majority in the parliament and started trying to amend the constitution to take away the protections of Protestants. This angered King William of Württemberg almost as much as Baden’s freedom—not that he objects to religious repression, he just has a different take on who should be repressing whom—but Austria was okay with it. So was the king of Bavaria, right up until the ultra-Catholics called upon him to abandon his mistresses.

    Big mistake. You do not get between King Ludwig and the ladies. He immediately dismissed Parliament and called for a new election, in which a more moderate government took office.

    Wallachia has a rather conservative constitution, but Moldavia has no constitution at all. The closer those two kingdoms get together, the more awkward that will make things.

    In Bosnia-Rumelia news, Macedonia has its own flag, flying just underneath the green-and-gold Gradascevician banner[7]. It’s a pentacolor representing the five millets—crimson for the Greeks[8], gold for the Orthodox Slavs, white for the Catholics, green for the Muslims, and indigo for the Jews[9].
    Macedonia flag.png

    It’s a simple flag for a complicated place. In the Sultan’s Council[10], as on the flag, the millets have equal representation. In Parliament, the population has closer to equal representation, which means the Greeks and Slavs are much the two largest groups. For Aspirant Elmar in the French quartermaster’s office, it’s an interesting introduction to how politics work.

    Sultan Husein is feeling good about the future. He’s lost a province—Thessaly—but he never got much revenue from there anyway. The Turks and other Muslims who might be dissatisfied with how he’s doing things or ambitious to replace him have been reminded how much they need him. The Bulgarians are a lot more uppity than they used to be, but they’re not mad at him personally. The Macedonians were never particularly obedient to begin with—now they’ve just put it in writing. And he’s actually getting more revenue out of that province than he did before. He’s starting to think he might actually get to die in bed. After that, the Gradascevician Empire will be in God’s hands—but then, when was it ever not?

    King Pavlos would be mildly offended by the comparison, but he’s in a similar spot. If anything, the addition of Thessaly has strengthened his position in what is technically his kingdom—the various families who actually control the rest of Greece don’t have much sway there.

    Finally, there’s Albania. Sultan Vehid didn’t plan on becoming a reformer, but Gjakova changed everything. He lost an important battle because of gjakmarrja, the tradition of blood feuds his little country is notorious for. Worse, the feud that cost him the battle is still going on, and the Luani family is winning because General Enver Luani can draw upon loyal soldiers from the Army as well as his own family. The Zefi family are fleeing Albania to join the Rabat refugees[11] in Alexandria. That’s not a new thing—Albanians in Egypt have done well for themselves before, Muhammad Ali himself being the most obvious example—but it doesn’t help him build his sultanate.

    The problem is, he can’t just declare a state monopoly on the use of force and tell his people to knock it off. However weird and horrible it might look to the rest of the world, they regard gjakmarrja as not just a right under the kanun, but an essential component of their duty to protect themselves and their families. The state and its agents can’t be everywhere, after all, and you never know when somebody might come after you.

    But here’s the thing—nobody’s actually written down the kanun yet.[12] There’s nothing stopping Vehid from writing down his own version, which expands on his grandfather’s work of creating courts (kuvendets, or men’s assemblies) in which empowered representatives of the various families can hash things out, demanding money, marriages, or the punishment of specific murderers. The idea is to give everyone an option besides whipping out their swords. Turning clans into responsible legal entities wouldn’t work in most places, but Albania isn’t most places.


    [1] Prince-Consort Leopold’s brother-in-law, if you’re interested.
    [2] Standard 19th-century spelling of Odesa. Please don’t read anything into it.
    [3] Which we know as Moldova.
    [4] The Jagiellonian University
    [5] This is how they’re known in Vienna. In Hungary, their given names come after their surnames.
    [6] Born in January of 1817, more or less in place of OTL’s Princess Marie, who became Countess of Neipperg on her marriage.
    [7] The flag of the Eyalet of Bosnia.
    [8] The flag of Greece is the same as IOTL, except that the blue has been replaced by the dark red of (depending on whom you ask) Byzantium or Württemberg.
    [9] Wool and indigo dye were important industries for the Thessalonica Jewish community.
    [10] A sort of combination Senate and Cabinet.
    [11] More about them in a future update.
    [12] IOTL the first written version was in 1872.
     
    Interlude: December 23, 1839 (8)
  • Russia
    After a fairly successful twenty years, Russia finds itself in a very bad way. The Tsar’s dominions expanded through the Caucasus to bring Baku, Yerevan, and Trebizond into the empire. Serfdom has been diminished, literacy increased. Any record of Russian history that stopped at the end of 1835 would say the later years of Tsar Alexander’s rule were marked by success.

    But now the Russian army has suffered its worst defeat in centuries. Nancy wasn’t this bad. Borodino wasn’t this bad. An army of over 400,000 was basically scattered to the winds.

    The soldiers who were in that army are not all dead—in fact, the great majority of them aren’t. Some of them have turned to banditry in the Pripyat marshes. Some of them are roaming Russia trying to find their way home. And some of them are such gluttons for punishment, or so afraid of being punished for desertion, that they’re trying to find a Russian army base so they can report for duty again.

    The tsar himself is still alive. Alexander Pavlovich has outlived all his younger brothers—Konstantin was killed in an ambush outside Radom a few weeks ago, and Mikhail died last year of tuberculosis which he caught, ironically enough, at a health resort in Baden-Baden back in ’37[1]. But Alexander himself is not doing so well, physically or mentally. He’s just lucid enough to cling to power like grim death, not lucid enough to reflect that it might be time for him to step aside in favor of his nephew Konstantin Konstantinovich.

    As for Konstantin, he’s waiting with the patience of someone much older than his nineteen years. He knows he’s of age and next in line for the throne, as Alexander has no living, legitimate offspring. He is still in mourning for his father, and promising vengeance upon the Polish bandits who murdered him. The news of his father’s death interrupted his honeymoon with his wife, Dorothea of Saxe-Coburg and Gotha.

    Konstantin is a big fan of his uncle’s work, and in fact is of the opinion that it hasn’t been going nearly far enough—an opinion which has been confirmed by Silistre. He might not even be old enough to remember the French invasion, but he is a great student of history. He’s learned of battles in the previous century in which Russians fought and bested the armies of other powers as equals—not by drowning them in overwhelming numbers or letting them penetrate deep into Mother Russia and then screwing up their logistics, but by fighting them on their own ground and winning. He knows about the battles of Kay and Kunersdorf in 1759, and the campaigns of Suvorov—the real General Alexander Suvorov, not the namesake grandson cooling his heels in an Austrian POW camp. He’s fond of saying, “If Suvorov had lived another fifteen years, Napoleon would never have seen Moscow.”

    And yet it seems like, in this century, if Russia wants to fight anybody important[2] and win, they need a numerical advantage of three, four, five to one. Why should that be? The average Russian soldier is every bit as strong and enduring as any other soldier in the world. He can march as far and shoot as straight. As for brains, Russian soldiers pride themselves on smekalka—cleverness and creativity, especially when deceiving superiors and improvising solutions to the problems imposed by leadership.

    A certain young supply officer and interpreter in the French Army could tell Konstantin that the problem he’s looking for is most likely systemic, built into the structure and established habits of the army and the nation as a whole. A certain wandering preacher who mostly wanders Kyantine with occasional visits to Freedmansville, Jericho, and anywhere else he won’t attract the attention of an angry mob would tell him something similar, but would phrase it very differently; he would describe the various collective bad habits and failures of coordination as malevolent entities, beasts not made of flesh yet somehow alive, demons that dwell not within people but between them.

    But Konstantin hasn’t met any of these people, and won’t. The people he’s met are his family’s military advisors, who keep trying to tell him that none of this matters as long as Russia can still call upon those overwhelming numbers that fought at Leipzig and Nancy. If worst comes to worst, they can always do the whole let-them-invade thing which worked so well against Napoleon, and Charles XII before him. Konstantin isn’t listening to these old fools. Their overwhelming numbers got overwhelmed at Silistre, and by Westerners fighting in defense of Muslims and Jews, no less.

    And the worst part? Russians out on the frontier are being kidnapped by raiders out of Khiva and sold as slaves in Central Asia. This is something that really puts his teeth on edge, especially since the soldiers who should be protecting them are in shallow graves on the banks of the Danube, in POW camps, wandering aimlessly around western Russia, fighting rebels in Poland, marching around Finland so nobody gets any ideas, marching around the Caucasus so nobody gets any ideas, guarding supply convoys to Persia, or fighting alongside Ali Mirza in Persia. Even the Russian army can be overextended. Konstantin feels like he’s the only one who understands or cares about any of this.

    And he thinks he has the solution. The underperformance in the Russian army must have its roots in some sort of moral failing that pervades the whole of society. Too much vodka, not enough education. Too much sin, not enough faith. Alexander tried to overcome this problem, but he’s old and got distracted by the war. It will take a young, energetic, committed Tsar to bring about true spiritual reform.

    What do the Russian people think of all this? Nobody’s asked them. Even republics don’t have opinion polls yet, and Russia is no republic. And at this point the phrase “the Russian people” is being applied to a lot of people who would be bitterly offended if you called them Russian to their faces.

    One of these people is a student at the Imperial Academy of Arts in Saint Petersburg. He is both a painter and a writer, and just about the best in his class in both fields—in fact, the money from the sale of his artwork was enough to buy out his serfdom contract. His name is Taras Hryhorovych Shevchenko, and at this time of year Saint Petersburg is just a little colder and somewhat snowier than the Ukrainian steppe which is his home.

    Shevchenko is working on an epic poem about a rebellion by brave Ukrainians against Polish rule[3]. This is likely to be controversial not just because he’s writing the poem in Ukrainian rather than Russian, but because the rebellion in question was crushed not by Poles but by Russians on the order of Catherine the Great. The Academy is technically independent of the Ministry for Spiritual Reform and Popular Enlightenment, but they know they won’t stay that way for very long if they start putting out subversive content.

    And if Shevchenko’s work isn’t subversive, he’ll be very disappointed. He’s in touch with enough people back home to know exactly what they think of the Ministry and its insistence on foisting its own clerical appointees in Ukraine over the wishes of the locals. It’s starting to remind him of what the Polish nobility used to do. The fact that the Austrians are wintering in a Ukrainian city while the Russian army is doing its best impression of a decapitated chicken doesn’t help inspire respect for the Tsar’s authority.

    Just to let the Academy know who they’re dealing with, Shevchenko has already written a laudatory poem about Alexander Pushkin in exile in Russian America. (Again, sometimes it’s your heroes who should never meet you. Pushkin, who was sent more than halfway around the world for his criticism of the tsar, wouldn’t care to hear the same criticisms coming from some ex-serf who cares more about the Ukrainian people than the glory of the empire.)

    North Africa and the Middle East
    First, the good news. Tunisia has a new bey, Ahmad I, who took office in 1838[4]. He’s got lots of ideas for modernizing his country, but not a lot to work with. The biggest Tunisian exports are grain and olive oil, both of which are also produced by Italy, which doesn’t want its own farmers undercut—and Italy is still very much in charge here. The rebellions in the Barbary colonies are not enjoying enough success to inspire Ahmad to do likewise.

    One of the few benefits of being a conquered nation is you don’t have to spend much on your army and navy. Ahmad can concentrate on building more schools, and on investing state funds in a textile mill at Teburba[5]. For once, Italy doesn’t have a problem with this—Italy’s own textile industry is known for quality rather than quantity, and could use a little more quantity.

    To the west, Portugal and Spain (more Spain than Portugal) are winning the war in Morocco. Since Carlos gained the throne, Spain has just lost another war and another colony, and he’s determined that Luzon will be the last one they lose. Portugal has most of its small navy committed to the strip of coast they’ve named Tangeria—and now that they’ve sacked the rebel-held city of Rabat (now Rebate), they’re free to chase the rebels as far into the hills as they dare.

    The sack was… a sack. They’re always ugly. The good news is that most of the civilians were able to flee beforehand. This was the work of two people—Muhammad Ali, sultan of the Cairene Empire, and Judah Touro, an American philanthropist living in New York. These two could both see what was coming, and over the course of late ’38 and early ’39, they collaborated as closely as two people can who live in separate hemispheres in the age before quick transoceanic communication. Between them, they were able to charter enough ships to get most of the refugees to Alexandria, Jaffa, and Beirut, although several thousand Jews went to America instead. Credit also belongs to John Tyler, who managed to talk Portugal into not interfering with this work despite having been famously undercut by his own president in the matter of the Lamar-Quitman expedition.

    Abd al-Qadir himself has retreated to the interior of Orania, where the forever war is looking less and less like a war. Unlike in Algeria, the British aren’t settling the land and driving people out of their homes, they’re just… buying things. Wine and gum arabic and mohair and olives and other fruit, most of which comes from the coastal strip that they control. And considering that they’re the only buyers, they’re offering decent prices for all this stuff.

    Abd al-Qadir is not a stupid man. He can see what Dupuis is trying to do—turn this colony into a place where the people have a stake in international trade, and therefore despise piracy as much as the British do. He actually likes this idea in the abstract, but to his way of thinking, independence from London must come first. Muhammad Ali is still quietly sending small caravans across the desert, equipped with just enough powder and shot to keep a very low-level fight going.

    The Sultan of the Cairene Empire is not too displeased with the state of the realm. Trade is picking up again. The first locally-built steamboats are going up and down the Nile, the Tigris and the Euphrates. True, Persia is now closed to his empire—the proxy war there continues to drag on. Oman and Yemen are allies rather than vassals—and honestly, the same could be said of many of the peoples of the Sahara that are technically his subjects. The little Somali states on the Horn of Africa are not even allies, and would happily call on Britain or France for help if he tried to vassalize them. But now that Sennar and Ethiopia are conquered, the empire can expand in a direction the Europeans aren’t paying attention to—further up the Nile as far as Lake Ukerewe[6].

    Sub-Saharan Africa
    In West Africa, even an insect can change the balance of power. There are some species of insect that are already doing this.

    Eldana saccharina, the African sugarcane borer, is a parasitic moth that attacks a variety of different crops, including of course sugarcane. It doesn’t completely destroy it, but it greatly reduces yield. An outbreak of it in Pays-Crou is literally eating into the profits of the sugar planters. Those who are most dependent on this crop are the hardest hit. Least dependent are the Crou panning for alluvial gold in the rivers of recently-conquered western Pays-Crou, or in the hills taken from the Baoulé.

    Until recently an aristocracy was forming, and coming to dominate the Crou Assembly, but the appearance of newly rich chiefs and successful warlords is disrupting that. This in turn makes it very hard to present a unified front to the Compagnie de Commerce Africaine, especially with so many Crou converting to Catholicism to gain favor with the CCA. And there’s a new distraction—raids out of the north from Futa Jallon. Compared to what’s happening further east, they’re not much, but they’ve moved the Crou Assembly to cooperate with the inland state of Kaabu and the British colony of Sierra Leone.

    What’s happening further east is the biggest war yet in West African history. The Fulani and their allies in the north are attacking all the states and statelets along the coast. They have the advantage of lots of cavalry and the relatively open savannah, which lets them concentrate their forces wherever they see fit.

    First it was an assault on Danhome, Oyeau, and Benin headed by the Sokoto Caliphate, largest and strongest of the Fulani states. Benin, with its famous earthworks, was quickly able to repel the attack, and their Dutch sponsors gained a new respect for them (especially on seeing that kingdom’s extensive earthworks). Many of the mercenaries who helped the Dutch take Mindanao were veterans of this conflict. In fact, Benin was able to capture a couple of armies’ worth of Fulani, Kanuri, and Hausa prisoners, and made an under-the-table deal to sell them to slave traders bound for Suriname[7]. Danhome and Oyeau had a harder fight, and became more and more dependent on Portugal and France for fresh weapons and ammunition. The European traders are having more luck turning lead into gold than any alchemist ever did, and their missionaries are enjoying more and more access to the population.

    This year the front has moved to Asantehene. Kwaku Dua has many traders visiting him, and so has more options. But the jihadis are relentless, and all his forces are committed. He doesn’t have time to pay attention to the spread of various forms of Christian churches among the poor and the slaves of his kingdom. Thus the irony—the jihad, which was intended to turn West Africa Islamic from the Sahara to the Gulf of Guinea, is instead bringing new opportunities for Christianity.

    The greater irony is that the jihad is futile. The Fulani and their allies are never going to conquer West Africa for Islam. The coastal states have an ally in this fight which all the cavalry of the Sahel cannot overcome.

    It’s the tsetse fly (Glossina spp.), which carries the microbe that causes acute nagana, or sleeping sickness. It kills horses dead.

    Further south, since Brazil is gone and Tangeria is an unhappy strip of coastline, Portugal is trying to expand its control over Angola and Mozambique. Nothing much is happening in Mozambique, but a little east of the Portuguese ports in Angola is the Lunda empire, which is really more of a loose tribal confederation—one which is about to get a whole lot looser. The westernmost tribe, the Chokwe, are feeling ambitious and ready to grab a bigger share. And on the coast, the Portuguese are happy to trade guns for ivory and wax, and a few boatloads of slaves if they can get them past the Royal Navy. The Chokwe leaders are quite certain this deal will never come back to bite them in the ass.

    Then there’s South Africa. A big chunk of the Afrikaner population have had enough of Lords Grey and Brougham giving them orders on things like slavery and not stealing land from Xhosa who’ve converted to Anglicanism. They’re packing up and trekking out of British-held territory, past the Sotho kingdom and into the highlands around the Vaal River (and incidentally north of the Zulu and Swazi kingdoms). The climate here is cooler and more suitable for European crops, and no one even knows about the gold yet.


    [1] Grand Duke Mikhail suffered from poor health and often visited spas, but IOTL he lived to 1849.
    [2] To his way of thinking, this does not include Turks or Persians, against whom Russians have been doing just fine.
    [3] Sort of. It’s complicated. In the 18th century, Shevchenko’s part of Ukraine was part of the territory of the Polish-Lithuanian Commonwealth, but the PLC was basically a puppet of Russia. The short version of what happened next is that in 1768 a group of Polish nobles formed the Bar Confederation and rose up against the puppet government. Ukrainian Cossacks and peasant recruits who were tired of Polish nobles suppressing the Orthodox Church rebelled against the Bar Confederation. As the Malê could tell you at this point ITTL (and as slaves in the CSA could tell you IOTL) one person’s cool rebel can easily be another person’s vicious tyrant.
    [4] A year later than OTL
    [5] Tebourba IOTL
    [6] Lake Victoria IOTL
    [7] Bear in mind that the Sokoto Caliphate is very happy to enslave the prisoners it takes in this war. As for what sort of slaves these religious fanatics will make, that’s Suriname’s problem, not Benin’s.
     
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    Interlude: December 23, 1839 (9)
  • My posting has finally just about caught up with my writing, and I'll be taking November off so I can work on the sequel to Altered Seasons: Monsoonrise, before I start working on the election of 1840, the Troubles, the Formosa War, and the [REDACTED]. But I've got three more posts to go. I'll drop them one a day so they can be appreciated individually.


    Central, South, and Southeast Asia
    The convert and missionary Joseph Wolff[1] is in the Emirate of Bukhara, where his regalia is a source of great amusement for the locals. Not that he minds—he’s been an object of suspicion among Jews for being a Christian, Christians for being a Jew, and others Christians for maybe being the wrong type of Christian when he was trying to decide which type of Christian he wanted to be, so knowing that people are just laughing at his outfit is kind of relaxing. He doesn’t know why exactly God sent him here, but as he likes to say, “You yourself must first of all be omniscient, in order that you may be able to decide what the Omniscient ought to do.” Mostly he’s looking for isolated populations of Jews that might be open to conversion.

    Converts make good missionaries because they know what persuaded them, and good missionaries do make an effort to learn what the people around them already believe. There are some odd millenarian Islamic sects in this part of the world, but what people really seem to believe is that their western neighbors in Khiva can keep attacking outlying settlements south of the Urals and get away with it. Russia is already sending men and weapons into Persia—much further south than Khiva or Bukhara—but not through a desert.

    Also taking advantage of apparent weakness? Afghanistan and Baluchistan, which are still pushing westward into Persia while trying not to collide directly with the Russians or British.

    To the east, Ranjit Singh looks upon the Sikh Empire and believes that it is at the height of its power. That’s a bad thing. It means there’s nowhere to go but down.

    His empire is fairly self-sufficient. They have their own cotton mills. They can make their own muskets, rifles, revolvers, rockets, cannons. What they can’t make is the industrial base that will churn all this stuff out in the volume they’re going to need if they ever have to take on the British Empire. And their entire ability to conduct overseas trade hinges on Sindh, a puppet state that might rethink its loyalty at any time.

    That’s not even the bad news. The bad news is that, like the kings of Portugal, Denmark, Prussia, and Russia, Ranjit Singh is well aware that he isn’t long for this world[2]. And unlike them, he has no confidence his chosen successor will be able to, well, succeed. But at 59, Ranjit’s liver is failing. He could defeat any foe in the world except booze.

    Speaking of defeat, this was the year that King Bagyidaw of Burma was overthrown by his brother Tharrawaddy. The ostensible reason for Tharrawaddy’s revolt—which took the better part of three years—was that Bagyidaw was failing to restore the glory that Burma had lost after the war with Siam and the British Empire. No sooner had Tharrawaddy taken the throne than he called the kingdom’s generals together and asked them to help him plan the next war, in which Burma would reclaim the Shan states from Siam. On considering the state of their army and the military proficiency Rama displayed in Vietnam, Tharrawaddy determined that in the event of war, Burma would get squashed like a chicken under an elephant’s foot. So it will be peace for at least a few more years. In his house arrest, no-longer-king Bagyidaw is having the last laugh.

    Siam is doing much better—they’ve won the wars they’ve been in, and they haven’t gone through any civil wars. There is no question what the strongest power in Indochina is… as long as you don’t think of France and the Netherlands as powers in Indochina. Which, increasingly, they are.

    In Vietnam, Emperor My Duong is well aware that he isn’t the real power in the land. His right-hand man, Le Van Khoi, commands the army and occupies a position the Shogun in Japan or Ioannis Kolokotronis in Greece would recognize at once, and that the late Agustín de Iturbide tried for—he who actually calls the shots… as long as those shots aren’t fired anywhere near the French missionaries who are all over Vietnam.

    But so far, it seems like his empire has done rather well out of its losses. Vietnamese ceramics are starting to make their way into the high-end markets of Paris and Anvers, and Vietnam, like Korea, has a silk industry. Although for some reason, for the past month the Compagnie de Commerce de L’Orient’s biggest purchases have been plain rice…

    China
    China is at war. France has taken the Penghu Archipelago, Lamay Island[3] and the cities of Kaohsiung, Taitan and Taitung. On Lamay Island, the expedition found a former French clipper—meaning the inhabitants had either killed the original crew or bought it from someone who had. What followed was not even the first massacre by Europeans in the long, sad history of that island. And a British fleet is not far behind.

    Last time we looked at China, we looked at the institutions that govern China’s foreign relations and overseas trade at this point in its history. They could fairly be described as inadequate, but it seems unlikely that better institutions could have prevented this war. So now it’s time to focus on the Chinese army and navy.

    Start with the navy, since the enemy will be attacking by sea. To begin with, this isn’t a single independent body. It’s basically the water arm of the Green Standard Army’s regional commands—at least, those that are on the coast. The purpose of the “Water Force” is coastal defense and reinforcing the army along the rivers. They were never meant to fight off anything more dangerous than a pirate fleet.

    To this end, while the Water Force has hundreds of junks, most of them are small and shallow-drafted enough to serve as a brown-water force. Their latest cannon designs date back to the 1770s. They’re not as good as British or French guns (Qing iron and gunpowder are both lower quality[4]) but they’re still serviceable, as long as the other side isn’t armed with Paixhans guns or something. The problem is that to the Chinese navy, a 20-gun war junk is badass. To the British and the French, it could have three times as many guns and still not qualify as a ship of the line—74 guns is the minimum.

    Beijing already knows the British outmatch them at sea, to such a degree that in a fight their sailors could only die to no purpose. Beijing suspects, but isn’t quite sure, that the same is true of the French. So regarding the Royal Navy, the Water Force’s orders are clear—do not engage unless cornered. If you see them, flee at once and seek the safety of coastal defenses. Regarding the French, their orders are a mess of circumlocutions that basically amount to “when in doubt, get the hell out.” This is a problem because one of the fronts of the war is the island the Europeans call Formosa and the Chinese call Taiwan. They won’t be able to reinforce that island by hiding in harbors and rivers.

    At the core of the army is the Eight Banners, which date back to before the Qing Dynasty. This is an elite cavalry-heavy force, better armed, better paid, and better trained. It bore the brunt of the fighting in the Kashgar War, with support from the Green Standard Army. The dynasty call the Banners the “root of the nation.” Thing is, the nation they’re talking about isn’t China itself. The Banners are a Manchu institution, and it’s because of them that there is a Qing dynasty. Not that you have to be born Manchu to join—from the time of the conquest, the Banners have accepted Mongols, Han, and even some Koreans and Russians. But the Banners are at the core of Manchu identity.

    And Manchu identity is… complicated. If they don’t maintain the Confucian[5] forms and generally try to be as Chinese as possible, they won’t be accepted as proper rulers of China, and there will be many more and much worse rebellions than the ones within the past few decades—the Miao Rebellion, the White Lotus Rebellion, the Eight Trigrams Uprising. This is a threat they have to take seriously. It wasn’t the Ming the Qing overthrew, after all—it was the rebel Li Zicheng, who had taken the capital from the Ming a little over a month earlier.

    But if they don’t maintain their own martial traditions that let them win against Li—not just horsemanship and archery, but enduring days at a time in the field—they won’t be able to keep the Mongols or the western tribes in line… or keep the Chinese in line, for that matter. And if they don’t hang on to their Manchu identity and the ingroup loyalty that comes with it, their sons will have to fend for themselves in one of the most brutally competitive societies on Earth. Remember, China still has that examination system, which every year churns out more smart, hardworking people than there are positions for.

    The Green Standard Army mentioned above constitutes the bulk of China’s army. On paper, it’s about 800,000 strong, and thanks to the long Kashgar War, they do have some veteran soldiers and commanders with experience in logistics. But it’s mostly a garrison force of a kind the French would recognize immediately as their equivalent of the National Guard… which they would never consider deploying against an actual invading army except as a reserve.

    And the Green Standard Army has the same problems the late Ottoman Empire once had of numerous soldiers existing only in officers’ account books. And since soldiers aren’t paid enough to support a family on, the soldiers who are there are people who have no other options in life. Nor is the Green Standard Army logistically capable of deploying more than about a hundred thousand soldiers to the actual front lines. They never needed to before.

    Worse, the majority of those soldiers are armed with bows, swords, spears and such. Only a little over a third of them actually have guns. And for the most part, those firearms are hand-made matchlock muskets that wouldn’t have been out of place in Europe during the first Thirty Years’ War. These cumbersome weapons are longer than the average rifle and can fire, at most, two rounds a minute. Again, this has always been good enough to fight the Emperor’s wars.

    Finally, there’s the triads, which are a powerful force in South China and on Taiwan. We think of triads as organized-crime syndicates. They’re that and more. Many local magistrates are not just in their pay, but are actually part of the organization. For our purposes, what matters is that they have local militias at their command. The dynasty tolerates them because they impose a kind of order in their territory, and getting rid of them would cost a lot and ultimately weaken the empire. And while they might be still in the market for a true heir to the Ming Dynasty, they will fight for China against the invaders from across the sea. Unfortunately, they’ll be doing most of this fighting with knives. They’re even worse armed than the Green Standard Army.

    Spoiler: China isn’t going to win this war.

    Japan and Korea
    The Dutch in Dejima—and in Temmasek, and the rest of the Dutch East Indies—have gotten wise to the CCO’s little games. Alas, new orders from Amsterdam are that the French are to be allowed to take on food, water, and coal in other Dutch ports. But in Dejima, Japanese law prevails. The Dutch have never been so happy to be just barely tolerated. Here, they are under strict orders to tell the French to get lost, and they will obey with great enthusiasm.

    The new Shogun Tokugawa Ieyoshi, and the Emperor Ayahito (assuming anyone’s told him about it), are pleased that their Dutch guests are following the house rules. They themselves have more important things to worry about. The Shogun’s late father left him a huge mess to clean up. The north has just gone through a terrible, multi-year famine, combined with a massive earthquake and a revolt in Osaka. His new advisor, the daimyo Mizuno Tadakuni, has convinced him that the key to prosperity is to prohibit ostentatious displays of wealth, and that the key to state security is for the shogunate to own all the land around Edo and Osaka, forcing the daimyos there to surrender their land in exchange for land elsewhere… especially the just-wrecked north. Neither of these reforms is earning him any points with the other daimyos. Also, this year the coastal batteries had to fire on an American merchant ship that got too close in order to warn it off.[6] So yeah, if the Dutch could just keep policing their little glorified pier, that would be great.

    The French are still as welcome as ever on Jeju Island, and can still make supply trips to Korea’s mainland ports. Seeing France at war with China is a little troubling, but not very—it’s seen as mainly a war against pirates, and piracy hurts trade at both ends. Besides, as much as Monju respects Chinese culture, he doesn’t like his kingdom being thought of as a vassal. China is still a bigger threat to Korean independence than France.

    Monju’s court has gotten word of something odd, though. The last trade fleet stopped in Busan and bought as much rice and kimchi as their holds could accommodate before turning south again. They had every right to do this, of course—the treaty never specified how much food they were allowed to buy. They obeyed all the proper forms and made all the correct obeisances. It was just that they had never done anything like this before. Were they embarking on some long voyage across the Pacific, something that would require a lot of food that could be stored for a long time?

    King Monju soon figured it out. “The French are at war with China,” he said, “and their armies and navies must eat. It is easier to buy food here than to ship it clear across the world. And no doubt they recognize the superior quality of our rice and kimchi.” As one, His Majesty’s court praised his sagacity in solving this mystery so quickly. And, to be fair, King Monju is in fact an intelligent man… who just happens to be wrong about this one thing.

    Oceania
    We start with three ships, all of which were built by other nations but have been pressed into Her Majesty’s service. The brigantine HMS Secotan is one of nine ships heading south along the west coast of Africa on their way to Antarctica, under the command of Sir John Franklin. The Symmes expedition, and a failed Arctic expedition since then, were not utter wastes of time and lives. They’ve gotten a sense of when the Arctic ice is at its smallest, and it’s around September. (Franklin would be kicking himself if he knew what an opportunity he’d missed to explore the Arctic this summer.) It follows from this that the best time to explore Antarctica is around March, when you might actually get to the part of the land that’s land and not more ice.

    HMS Ann McKim, an American clipper the British captured in 1837 near Valparaiso, is heading east across the Indian Ocean. George C. Canning is on board. He plans to be in Sydney by Christmas, or New Year’s Day at the latest. He’s fairly certain that talking to Arthur is going to be the hard part. Canning feels he owes it to the man to hear him out, just on principle, but if he has to he’ll use his plenipotentiary power and command of the garrison to throw the man out of his office and govern Australia himself until a replacement comes. And everybody else seems to want reasonable things and to be open to negotiation. Really, this mission seems like it should hardly be a problem at all.

    HMS Benevolence, a captured clipper formerly known as the slave ship La Benevolencia, is in the Pacific Ocean. And when I say in, I mean it’s at the bottom. It left Sydney in early September, carrying very important messages from Governor Arthur. Some time in October, somewhere in the immense blank stretch of sea southeast of the Chatham Islands, it hit a particularly bad storm and went down with all hands. The effect of this tragedy is that no one in London has any news from Australia that dates any later than mid-August, and even that is vague and missing what will turn out to be crucial details.

    The war in the Philippines is over, and the island chain has been divided into three parts. The Dutch and their allies now rule Mindanao. The island of Luzon is now the Republic of Luzon. The Spanish still hold the Visayas in between.

    Representatives from all over Luzon are heading for Manila, planning to meet in January. They’re going to spend the dry season[7] writing up the constitution for this republic and scheduling an election. In the meantime, Col. Andres Novales is the provisional leader. He’s got a lot on his plate right now, so he doesn’t really have time to chase down every rumor coming from the port. It does seem odd that for the past couple of months, the CCO has been buying a lot of rice and salted meat and won’t say why.

    But the important thing is they’re here doing business, and so are the British, the Dutch, the Americans, and even the Spanish. Novales has learned from watching Hawaii and Siam. Get too dependent on one Power, and next thing you know you’re either a protectorate or a colony. If you make an enemy of one (or if that one makes an enemy of you), you’ll find yourself depending on its rivals. In the future, freedom will belong to those who can successfully play the Powers off against one another. This is a difficult and dangerous game that not everyone’s going to get a chance to play.

    For example, the Sultan of Aceh is out of the game. He needs guns to protect his kingdom from the Dutch, and the piracy he’s tolerated until recently has alienated the British. The only Power left to turn to is the one that recently turned a pirate fleet into scorched driftwood without even slowing down. Becoming a protectorate of France is going to be such a bitter pill to swallow that no amount of black pepper can disguise the flavor.

    Likewise, the Maori are very much stuck with the British. One purchaser of flax, one source of muskets. Of course, the Maori would laugh if you tried to warn them the British were taking over their country—there are about 2,000 pakeha living in Grahamport and various lawless coastal towns, whereas there are some 50,000 Maori on the islands. That number is about half what it was at the turn of the century, partly because of diseases from overseas and partly because of the many wars the Maori have fought against each other with the guns they got from the British. These wars have been long and gruesome (the most notorious example being the invasion of the Chatham Islands, in which the Moriori were all but destroyed)[8] but it will be some time before the Maori see these wars as something done to them, rather than something they did to each other.

    Australia
    In the future, anarchism won’t reach the same level of sway as aristism or Elmarism, but it will have its followers—including some actual philosophers, not just rich boys looking for an excuse to throw things and set fires. Proudhon and Stirner in Hannover are merely the first. And the one thing these future thinkers will agree on is that Man is not a creature of chaos being unjustly held in check by the oppressive State. That would be ridiculous. If we were creatures of chaos, how could we ever have built the State in the first place? On the contrary, they will argue that Homo sapiens is a creature of order, a species that self-organizes in groups as naturally as bees build their hives. These thinkers may despise Elmar, but they’ll agree with him that “Riot and ruin are no more the natural state of man than the boiler explosion is the natural state of water.” The problem (they will say) is that we’re too good at it—that over centuries we’ve built up such elaborate structures that now we’re trapped in them, like starving bees lost inside giant overbuilt hives, unable to get to where the nectar and pollen are.

    For these future anarchists, Australia right now will be as important a case study as Port Harmony is to socialists.

    Because Australia has pretty much collapsed into anarchy.

    And the circumstances of that collapse deserve a chapter in themselves…



    [1] His name appears on the title page of his journal as “Wolf,” but everybody else calls him Wolff, so I’m going with that.
    [2] He died this year IOTL.
    [3] Liuqiu Island
    [4] By this time ITTL and IOTL, the French chemist Michel Chevreul had worked out the exact formula of the chemical reaction represented by the explosion of gunpowder. This meant that Western gunpowder could be made with the perfect ratio of sulfur, charcoal, and potassium nitrate.
    [5] Or rather, neo-Confucian. There has been some change since 479 BCE.
    [6] IOTL the Morrison incident happened in 1837. ITTL, of course, the American merchant marine in 1837 was more worried about the Royal Navy that anything else.
    [7] Well, the drier season. This is Manila, after all.
    [8] Yes, this is that incident from Guns, Germs and Steel. The British aren’t interested enough in this remote part of the world to protect the Moriori, and I didn’t really see any other way that an encounter between pacifists with sticks and cannibals with muskets could go.
     
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    In the Brown Velvet Swimsuit (1)
  • December 26, 1839
    off Kangaroo Island
    6:00 a.m.

    George Charles Canning hadn’t expected to be woken up at around dawn the day after Christmas—certainly not for a visit to another ship. But it was what the captain wanted, and Canning himself was curious.

    The prow of the other ship—one of the new[1] Blackwall frigates that served as merchantmen—was pointed east. The gilt letters OWEN GLENDOWER shone in the light of the sun that was just starting to peek over the horizon. Underneath it, in smaller letters, were the words I CAN CALL SPIRITS FROM THE VASTY DEEP.

    Canning couldn’t help himself. “Why, so can I, or so can any man; But will they come when you do call for them?”[2]

    “Ah, I see you’re a man of culture as well,” said Robert Smith, captain of the Ann McKim, who was working the oars himself—a curious choice for an officer, even a youngish one, not to assign the work to some lower-ranking crewman. “The irony is that the Glendower’s undermanned right now. A good many of their crew didn’t come when they were called for.” Canning would like to have asked why—whatever veil of secrecy was being drawn over these proceedings, the two of them were alone on this boat—but Smith had returned his attention to the oars.

    ***​

    There were only two chairs in the captain’s cabin. Captain Smith stood while Canning sat facing the young, muttonchopped Captain Michaels.

    “You’re bound for Sydney?”

    Smith nodded. “The Queen’s business, no less.”

    “Based on what my men have heard, I cannot recommend you land there.”

    “Is there plague?”

    “Worse than plague,” he said. “Gold. It drives men mad with greed.” In the ensuing silence, Michaels reached for his bed and pulled a small, locked box out from under his pillow. He took a key out of his pocket, unlocked it and held it open.

    It was full of gold dust.

    “We may speak of it freely here,” said Michaels. “Every man still aboard knows and is here by choice. But if I may venture a suggestion…”

    Captain Smith nodded, then glanced at Canning. “Holdfast is the only dog.[3]” Canning nodded in return. No wonder the captain had rowed Canning here himself instead of getting one of the crew to do it. They’d find out anyway once they made port, and no doubt more of them would desert than Smith cared to lose—but if they found out now, there would be time to organize a mutiny before they reached Sydney. If we’re still bound for Sydney… Canning was having trouble processing just how thoroughly his plans were being upended right now.

    Once the box was locked and back under the pillow, Michaels began his story. “We left Liverpool August 22 with a hold near full of salt beef. We sailed to Kingston for rum, then down to the Forties… only a little ahead of yourselves, I dare say. We were bound for Port Lincoln, to trade for oil and whalebone.

    “We made Port Lincoln only two days ago. As you saw”—he gestured toward the place under his pillow—“we did rather well for ourselves. We gained only a little of what we’d come for, but we gained much more than it was worth in gold. Alas, many of our crew deserted. Ran off to the Ferny Hills[4].”

    “Is that where the gold is?”

    Michaels nodded. “Any British ship that makes port east of the Bight[5] suffers the same loss. Possibly anywhere on the continent—I haven’t yet been to Kinjarling or Swanmouth.”

    “How long has this been going on?”

    “I don’t know. Port Lincoln is a little out of the way, and never did pay much heed to the rule of Sydney. But from what we heard there, neither does anyone else.”

    “Is this connected to the Spencer Gulf Resolution?”

    “Hmm?”

    “I recall Port Lincoln was one of the early signatories…” A little more conversation revealed that Captain Michaels had never heard of the Spencer Gulf Resolution. Events must have moved very far indeed if the subject never came up.

    “They say a band of rogues called the Crusaders controls the gold-mining, or most of it,” said Michaels. “The towns have been left to their own devices, but the strong-backed young men who might serve as constables or militiamen… too many of them are off to the hills.”

    “Where is Governor Arthur in all this?”

    “I have no notion. The last anyone in Port Lincoln heard, he headed into the hills with a garrison force and never returned. Some say the Crusaders killed him, some say it was his own soldiers. Some say he turned deserter and gold-miner himself.”

    “I’m very much mistaken if that’s true,” said Canning. “But I mean to land in Australia and speak with whatever authority remains. If not Sydney, where ought I to go?”

    “They say Greyhaven is safest. Port Lincoln ships dried whale meat there—I think they’re faring better selling the meat than the oil right nowl.”


    George Arthur is sometimes called “the Lord Liverpool of Australia,” in the sense that he was a conservative, authoritarian leader whose death took place under such bizarre circumstances that it spawned a plethora of conspiracy theories…
    Leopold Howard, Down Under: A History


    [1] The Glendower, like its OTL counterpart (seen here), was built in early 1839.
    [2] Henry IV, Part 1, Act 3, Scene 1.
    [3] I.e., “let’s keep our mouths shut about all this when we’re back on the McKim.”
    [4] The Central Highlands
    [5] The Great Australian Bight


    Tomorrow: the weirdest and most embarrassing death in this TL so far.
     
    In the Brown Velvet Swimsuit (2)
  • Happy Halloween!

    December 29, 1839
    Greyhaven, New South Wales

    The first sign of trouble was the two merchantmen in harbour flying the colours of the Compagnie de Commerce de L’Orient.

    CCO flag.png


    A closer look showed African and Asian sailors trading foodstuffs for gold dust. Lesson learned, thought Canning. In a gold rush, the fools do the rushing. The wise man sells them food… and shovels, of course. But especially food—digging must be hungry work. Though I daresay these sailors would head for the hills themselves if they thought they’d be welcomed[1]. The captains must have upended their plans and changed course as soon as they got the word—I wonder if Anvers[2] even knows of any of this yet.

    For that matter, I wonder if London does.


    The men the sailors were trading with were a rough-looking crew, some of them armed, all of them with off-white armbands marked with crosses. The Crusaders. Probably. Not far from the docks was a group of a dozen or so… militiamen? Former soldiers? Random men with muskets? Canning couldn’t tell, but they weren’t wearing armbands and were sweating in the heat of this Southern Hemisphere summer, watching the armbanded men carefully. It would be best to have one of the sailors approach them. They might turn out to be allies of public order.

    ***​

    As it turned out, they were the city militia and answered to Mayor Batman, to whose office they were only too happy to bring Canning, with a few other men from the Ann McKim as guards. The mayor himself interrupted his work to give Canning an audience. He was accompanied by a landowner, William Lawson, whose land had apparently been overrun by these Crusaders.

    “It started as rumors over the course of the winter,” said Batman. “There was a local apothecary writing to goldsmiths and jewelers, trying to convert gold dust into something more negotiable. He said he’d gotten it from ‘French traders.’ The problem was that none of Greyhaven’s brewers or prostitutes had also reported being paid in gold dust.”

    “Don’t forget William Buckley,” said Lawson.

    “Who could? A notorious bushranger who kept going back and forth between the apothecary’s shop and somewhere in the hills to the north.”

    “Onto my land, no less.”

    “Indeed. He tried to be discreet about it, but… he was a hard man to miss.”

    “A veritable ogre. ‘Big Bill,’ they call him. If there’s a taller and uglier man on the continent, I hope never to meet him.”

    “Indeed. The apothecary was arrested first, possibly because he was an easier target. We thought he’d been clipping coins, but of course no one could produce a single clipped coin that had ever passed through his hands. He claimed Buckley had found the gold in the hills and was the only one who knew where to find more. A closer look at the dust bore out what he said—not a grain of it had ever seen the inside of a goldsmith’s forge.

    “While these things were happening, we sent constables after Buckley. Two of them found him up in the hills… and that was the beginning of chaos. They didn’t bring him in.”

    Canning ventured a guess. “They wanted to know where he was getting the gold?”

    “That seems to be what happened. We have no witnesses of the event, but when it was over, one of them was dead and Buckley was on the run again. We surmise that they were able to force the location from him, but—whether they tried to do him in, or whether it was some other dispute—he killed one of them and escaped into the wild.

    “All this was in late August. In September, men started disappearing—soldiers, guards, Arthur’s men, mine.”

    “You must understand,” said Lawson. “This continent was never a prestigious assignment. The men in the System’s employ were hardly better than the convicts themselves.”

    “As we’ve seen more than once,” said Batman. “Weeks later, many of them showed up again, here or in Sydney, with handkerchiefs of gold dust. By October, whole prisons were depopulating in a night—the guards running away and bringing their prisoners with them as a workforce. It was about this time that my friend William was run off his land by them.” Lawson nodded.

    “The governor was in a fury. A month ago he gathered up half a battalion of soldiers, got on his horse, and headed for the hills. Last week, eleven of those soldiers arrived here in town, carrying three bodies with them. One was the governor’s.”

    The man I thought would be the greatest obstacle to my work… Canning felt an odd stab of guilt, on top of his rising panic at realizing just what sort of task lay ahead of him.

    “They took the trouble to bring the bodies here so that all could be examined, to clear them of any suspicion of foul play. This was less help than they intended—the poor men had been dead for six days in summer heat, so the state of the corpses… well, you can imagine. Nonetheless, it did bear out that the other two men perished from heat and lack of water. As for the governor, his only pre-mortem injuries were a pair of stings on his lower left arm. They were too far apart to have come from the fangs of any venomous snake or spider—as I hope you’ve been warned, such fatal bites are all too common here. We know them when we see them.” Canning had not, in fact, been warned, and rather wished he had been.

    “This was the story they told. They set out west from Sydney into the Blue Mountains, looking for the main camp of the Crusaders. During the day, they found nothing, and every night men disappeared from camp by the dozen—and every man who left took as much food and water with him as he could carry. The governor began keeping watch himself at night, but to no avail. By the time they found the main camp of the Crusaders, at a place called Ballyarrat[3]…

    “I should mention something of these Crusaders. Their leader is a raving madman who calls himself ‘Sir William Percy Honeywood Courtenay.’ No one in Greyhaven knows his true name[4], but he describes himself as a ‘gentleman buffeted by the cruel winds of fortune.’ He claims to be the rightful King of Jerusalem, descended from Godfrey of Bouillon—hence the name ‘Crusaders.’ Those who’ve met him in person say he can at least affect the accent and manners of a gentleman. His enforcers are another matter. Rough and murderous rogues, even by Botany Bay standards—the most formidable being none other than our friend ‘Big Bill’ Buckley, who seems to serve as his right-hand man.”

    “Point of order,” said Canning. “How do we know all this?”

    “From deserters,” said Batman. “Some men are too weak to dig, or tire too quickly. Some made enemies while they were prisoners or guards—enemies who now have friends among the Crusaders. So they flee or are driven out.

    “The fools run further into the outback, looking for fresh sources of gold. Out there, they die like China travellers[5]. The wiser ones make their way here, where everyone is desperate for workers. In this place, a man who shows a little loyalty to the Crown will surely gain longer-lasting rewards than a handful of gold dust.” Batman raised his voice a little as he said these words. He can’t think I’m going to run off to these Ferny Hills, can he?

    But then, I’m not the only man in the room
    . The remarks must have been addressed to the men who had accompanied Canning from the Ann McKim.

    “Thank you. You were saying about the governor?”

    “Yes. By the time Arthur and his remaining loyalists found the Crusaders, their number was down to fourteen—all tired, hungry, and thirsty. Even Arthur could see they were outnumbered, outgunned, and in no shape for battle, so they kept out of sight.

    “They were at a creek downstream of the Crusader camp, and tried to catch something for dinner. They were hoping for fish, but they found a platypus. Have you heard of it? A curious native beast, like an otter but shorter and plumper in shape, with webbed feet, a flat tail, and a mouth like a duck’s bill. Harmless, or so we thought.

    “Small though it was, Arthur thought it might serve for meat, but they didn’t dare shoot it—the Crusaders would have heard the shot. Two of them chased it upstream to slow it down, and Arthur himself bent down to catch it. It proved to have spurs, or fangs, or whatever they were, on its hind feet, with which it stabbed him in the arm. He dropped it, and it escaped. As for the governor, his arm swelled up thick as his leg, he was in terrible pain, and… well, his heart gave out that evening.

    “So his men fled south, taking his poor body with them. They nearly perished themselves before they found water fit to drink—two of them did perish, as I said—but in time they made it here.”

    ***​

    To this day, Governor Arthur remains the sole human in history whose death has been attributed to the platypus[6], although several dogs have been killed by its venom. Even in December of 1839, correspondence from Sydney reveals there were many who did not accept the official account of his death, suspecting either the Crusaders, his own guards, or Mayor Batman of murdering him. But at the time, Australian fauna were still so little studied and poorly understood that no one could say it was impossible. For decades afterward, bestiaries and encyclopedias would unquestioningly report that this singular and innocuous-looking creature was indeed as deadly as any dunback[7] if provoked. “If for long life you are amorous/Then do not molest the Platypus,” wrote the Australian poet Charles McGonagall III in 1873.

    Arthur’s corpse was in no state for any further meaningful autopsy by the time it reached London, of course. But by 1900 or so, the lack of other human fatalities, combined with anatomical studies on the species and some native Australian lore, caused many to see the governor’s death in a new light. “In the threescore years since Arthur’s demise, several men are known to have been stung by a male platypus,” Fanny Drake, who was the first Australian ever to breed the platypus in captivity, wrote in 1899. “None perished, or even suffered permanent injury. I myself suffered this misfortune last year, and though the sting was painful in the extreme and left me well-nigh bedridden for a week, I had fully recovered by the end of the month. Is it possible that Arthur was the victim of a murderous conspiracy by his own men?” Gilbert Woods, in 1913, was more blunt: “There should be no question in anyone’s mind that the animal which killed Governor Arthur walked on two legs.” (As historian Hugh Roberts commented much later, “On two legs? In Australia? Do you have the slightest idea how little that narrows it down?”)


    One point that everyone seems to have overlooked is the conditions Arthur was facing at the time. After years of sedentary office life, this 55-year-old man had spent the past two weeks in full uniform in the heat of an Australian summer, riding and walking almost continuously. At the time of the fateful encounter, he was overstressed, undernourished, and (according to the reports of his men) had not slept at all in more than three days. He was also dangerously dehydrated—at the time of his death, he and his remaining men were downstream from the Crusaders, who used the stream where he found the animal for bathing and disposing of their wastes. Between that and the turbidity from the gold-panning, it would not have been potable at all. Under these circumstances, a double dose of platypus venom, and the agony that it induced, could have been just sufficient to push him over the edge into heart failure.
    Leopold Howard, Down Under: A History

    ***​

    “What is the extent of the Crusaders’ power?”

    “As far as I know, they don’t yet rule any of the large settlements,” said Batman. “But as you saw, they can come and go openly, even here. Sydney seems to have made some accommodations with them. Arthur governed that city more closely than any other—they’re quite lost without him.”

    “What of the other towns? Especially those that signed the Resolution?”

    “For a long time, the signatories took shelter here from Arthur’s persecution. With him gone, they are returning. We form a sort of informal parliament, but our powers and duties are not yet defined.”

    “A good beginning,” said Canning. He pulled out his copy of the Resolution and placed it on the mayor’s desk. “You deserve to know where I stand. When I first set sail from London, I had it in mind to accede to nearly all of these demands. As it happens, the one sticking-point I meant to hold out on was a guarantee that some room would be set aside for the penal system—and that is no longer a concern. Even as we speak, it’s likely that word has reached England’s shores of the gold to be found here. Very soon now, every impecunious young man in the British Isles will be trying to buy passage to these shores. I’m very much mistaken if their Lordships will continue to transport convicts here as a punishment. Penal settlements may be maintained in the west, or in Van Diemen’s Land, assuming there is no gold there. But in New South Wales, the System is surely at an end.

    “Returning to the Crusaders, I saw some of them trading gold dust for food at the docks. Is that how they feed themselves?”

    “For the most part,” said Batman. “Some of the convicts were once poachers and know how to hunt. Buckley has a fondness for native women, who’ve taught him to find wild plants that are fit to eat. But all this together is not enough to feed thousands of men, especially since the kangaroos and wallabies and such have long since fled.”

    “And if we don’t find enough men willing to bring in the wheat harvest,” said Lawson, “we’ll all soon go hungry ourselves. My friend Blaxland[8] is desperate for farmhands.”

    “What of powder and shot?”

    “They have none but what they can trade for, and they expend a good deal of it hunting.”

    “Well, there at least we have the advantage… unless the French or Americans start trading it for gold. What do you and your informal parliament particularly need at the moment that I might provide?”

    “Some of our leaders are still held captive at Macquarie Harbor. We have already agreed on a list of men who should be set free and returned to us. Have you authority to effect this?”

    “I have plenipotentiary power from Whitehall.” There, that’s one test of leadership passed. I said “plenipotentiary” out loud without stumbling. “It would be my pleasure to command their release.”

    But of course, plenipotentiary power would mean nothing to this would-be King of Jerusalem and his followers. Canning knew he would have to send for help in maintaining order. A few units would suffice, but they would have to be the most trusted, honourable units—men who would not succumb to the lure of gold. And this in a time of war. Thank God the Prime Minister settled matters with the Americans when he did, but will we never know peace?

    And how was he to explain all this in his next missive to Whitehall? Your Lordships, I regret to inform you that this colony has fallen into utter disorder, the governor has been killed by a platypus, and the most powerful man on the continent is a Bedlamite bushranger

    “To the little fellow in the brown velvet swimsuit.
    May we all guard our rights as well as he.”
    -Traditional Australian toast


    [1] Colonial Australia isn’t 100% white—there are a few convicts from the West Indies—but it’s very close.
    [2] Where the CCO is headquartered
    [3] OTL Ballarat
    [4] His name is on file somewhere in Sydney, but communication is spotty at the moment between there and Greyhaven. He is John Nichols Tom (or Thom), a former maltster who ITTL was transported to Australia for perjury but hasn’t lost his gift for passing as a member of the upper class.
    [5] In the early days of Australian penal settlement, a rumor spread among the convicts (few of whom had ever seen so much as the cover of an atlas in their lives) that it was possible to reach China from Sydney by walking more or less north. This rumor led some escapees to death in the outback.
    [6] IOTL, of course, there are no recorded human fatalities at all.
    [7] Pseudonaja textilis, the common (but lethal) brown snake.
    [8] Gregory Blaxland, who (along with Lawson and William C. Wentworth) made the first crossing of the Blue Mountains by settlers in 1813.
     
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    All Hands On Deck (1)
  • First, let me thank @Cataquack Warrior and @Soundwave G1 for nominating this timeline for the 2024 Turtledove.

    Now…

    “Great to-do at the docks today. A British merchantman arrived in harbor this morning, one day too late to offload its cargo of dried Cayenne and Scotch Bonnet peppers before the new law went into effect.[1] What a fuss they made! Madame Talvande has taught us nothing of commerce and trade, but even I know that another day’s sailing would take them north of the state line where they’d find plenty of people happy to buy their pepper. And surely it would be more profitable to do this than to threaten honest importers with lawsuits for abiding by the will of Columbia. A little red pepper goes a long way in any event.
    “They say it’s good luck to have a Negro in your home on this day. I would think if that were true, Negroes themselves would have better luck. Not that it matters. Stephen won’t hear of such a thing. Instead, we had dinner with the Chisolms—a baked ham that must have come from a prize-winning sow, and a splendid dish of Hopping John[2]. We’ll see what luck it brings.”

    From the journal of Elizabeth Miller, January 1, 1840.

    “Heavy snow overnight. Not as bad as the big blizzard two years ago, but bad enough. This morning we find ourselves prisoners in our own home, though for once it is because of Nature, not the fear of servile insurrection. Stephen had to make his way through the snow to guard a team of slaves.
    “My brother learned a lot from our northern friends during his time on Ragged Island. They especially liked boasting of their winters to us Southerners. ‘Now I know why the Yankees despise us,’ he said when he returned home at dusk. ‘They expect snow like this every winter in every town up north. Every Yankee man owns a broad-bladed shovel. When the snow comes down at night, they all rise before dawn and work like Psyche’s ants[3] to clear paths down every street and alley. Not just men, either—strong boys, strapping widows, invalids’ wives. They shovel it all out into the street where the snow roller[4] packs it down for sledges to drive over. Just imagine if I was to try that here. Imagine if the neighbors saw me out there with a shovel working like a n____r. Instead, ten slaves take all day to move as much snow as one old Yankee with a backache could in an hour, and I have to watch with musket in hand so they don’t use the shovels to split white men’s skulls.’”

    From the journal of Elizabeth Miller, January 2, 1840.

    “The snow is already beginning to melt. I think the sun will clear a path to our door before the team Stephen is guarding gets around to it.”

    From the journal of Elizabeth Miller, January 3, 1840.

    “Terrible rumors in the market. They say a clipper came from up north bearing word that Sen. Clay was wounded in his duel. They say Rep. Wayne has been taken into custody, but no one knows why, if dueling is legal in Maryland[5].
    “I confess I hardly remember anything of his presidency. I was not quite nine when he left office, and my thoughts were mostly of our own family and its troubles.
    “I see no point to dueling. What does it prove, other than who’s the better shot?”

    From the journal of Elizabeth Miller, January 4, 1840.

    “Today in church we were asked to pray for Sen. Clay’s recovery, and for Rep. Wayne. Afterward, heard Mr. Keitt calling Clay a ‘d____d Yankee.’ Isn’t he from Kentucky? Does he not own slaves? Are we calling everyone north of Charleston Yankees now?
    “Back to school tomorrow. Less than four more months and I shall be sixteen. Six more months and I shall be a graduate. Seven more months and I shall be Elizabeth Miller Brewster. What a change that will be!”

    From the journal of Elizabeth Miller, January 5, 1840.


    “It was near the end of the Year of the Pig[6]. We had sailed south along the coast, bringing more soldiers on board at every stop. Half were good soldiers of the Eight Banners. Others were Green Standard soldiers, but spoke Fuzhou, Hokkien, and other languages that would be useful in raising the countryside of Taiwan. Then we sailed south far out to sea, trusting in the sea current[7] to carry us to our destination.

    “As a zuoling[8] of the Plain White Banner[9], I was privy to knowledge not shared with the Green Standard Army. I knew we were to land southeast of Takao[10] and liberate the city, cutting off the supply lines of the French on Taiwan and forcing them to attack. We could make no plans further ahead than that without knowing more about the disposition of French forces on the island, as well as those forces loyal to China.

    “We could not approach the city itself by sea, because there were several French warships in the harbor. We did not think they were enough to destroy a fleet of over a hundred war junks, but we knew that engaging them in battle would cost the Water Force more than it could lose. ‘One cat at the hole, and ten thousand mice dare not come out; one tiger in the valley, and ten thousand deer cannot pass through.’[11] But the sea is wide, and our fleet was in as tight a group as it could form without collisions. Not even the French could patrol the whole sea. The Water Force could land us, then leave and return to harbor.

    “That was what we believed. We did not know that with the balloons tethered to their topmasts, the enemy could see and signal one another ten times farther than our Water Force. Before we noticed their balloons on the horizon, we saw and heard their signal rockets to east and west and knew we were being hunted.

    “We were about fifteen li[12] southwest of Liuqui Islet when they struck. The day was clear, the wind gentle, the waves low. We could not make speed enough to flee, and there was no place to hide. They did not even need to come within reach of our guns.

    “I was on the deck of one of the ships—I had never even troubled myself to learn its name, that was Water Force business—leading my men in exercises, when a rocket from one of the French ships struck the bow and set it ablaze. The fire was white, almost too bright to look at. Buckets of water poured on it simply flashed into steam.

    “Since childhood I have always had a horror of fire that I cannot justify, taking caution beyond need. I thought as a man I was beyond this fear, but to see that spitting fire eat the timbers of our ship like rice paper stripped me of all my courage. I simply fled, cast off my robes and leapt into the sea. I was far from the only one.

    “I have always excelled at swimming, and even in winter the sea was not so cold.[13] As I swam, I saw other junks burning, or blasted apart with exploding cannonballs of a kind I had never known existed. I was able to reach one of the French ships, and they permitted me to surrender. Not many of my fellow soldiers were so fortunate.”

    He Zhuoqing (translated by Lt. Elmar) in an interview with Moniteur correspondent J.F. Macé, 17 May 1845


    [1] If chili pepper is hot enough, it can be used to dissuade bloodhounds from following one’s trail. Scotch Bonnet peppers in particular (which have the same Scoville rating as habaneros) have become popular in OTL’s Florida and are very useful on the southern Hidden Trail. For this reason, red pepper has been now outlawed in South Carolina and Georgia, and similar laws are being debated in Alabama and Mississippi.
    [2] A dish of black-eyed peas, rice, onion, and bacon, traditionally served on New Year’s Day in the South to bring good luck. Ellie is, of course, unaware that this particular tradition did not originate with white people.
    [3] A reference to the story of Cupid and Psyche. Stephen was raised in the same family as Ellie, and knows his classical allusions.
    [4] A massive, horse-drawn roller. (One of the few real advantages horses have over cars is that they handle snow a lot better, and—at least north of South Carolina—sledges are common winter vehicles.)
    [5] Dueling was outlawed in Maryland in 1839 IOTL. ITTL, they haven’t quite got around to it yet. (As you can imagine, that’s about to change.)
    [6] January 31, 1840, but of course according to the Chinese calendar the new year hasn’t begun yet.
    [7] Specifically, a branch of the Kuroshio current.
    [8] Company commander
    [9] One of the Eight Banners—specifically, one of the upper three that were under the direct control of the emperor, who if it isn’t obvious is about to lose some of his best troops.
    [10] Kaohsiung
    [11] He Zhuoqing is quoting Du You’s commentary on The Art of War.
    [12] Roughly five miles or seven and a half kilometers.
    [13] The Kuroshio is a tropical current, after all.
     
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    All Hands On Deck (2)
  • Washington, January 30, 1840.
    Dear Sir,—During the election of 1836, the Populist Party joined forces with the Liberation Party in its opposition to the Government of then-President Sergeant. I do not now seek to reproach this alliance, either for its intent or for its consequences; quite the contrary, I seek to expand it.

    When some disaster threatens a ship at sea, the cry goes out at once—“All hands on deck!”—for in that hour all must take part in the salvation of the great vessel, lest they perish in its wrack. In this hour, our ship of state faces the greatest menace to the freedom and well-being of the people since it embarked on its maiden voyage. That menace is Caesarism, and it comes not only from the administration, but from its supporters as well. In the hearings of August, 1838, Congress learned that the President had entered office with the intent of pursuing a war of expansion against our neighbor to the south and west, with no regard either for the immediate needs of the Republic or the will of the Congress in which the power to declare war was solely vested. I heard this news with astonishment; and what I then thought of it, and what I thought it would lead to, may be seen by reference to my remarks made on the subject at that session[1]. I have called this a strange policy. It was a headstrong refusal to execute plain constitutional obligations, allowing of no other remedy than impeachment. But on the 29th of that very month, the mechanism of impeachment was thwarted by the Tertium Quid delegation to the Senate, in defiance even of their own chosen leader.

    That day was a decisive and fatal one. It revealed to all who have eyes to see, and ears to hear, that a portion of this nation—small in number, yet great in wealth and power—care not what powers a President may claim so long as he stands for their peculiar interest. Should the day ever dawn when this sentiment becomes the general opinion of the electorate, all will surely be lost. As matters now stand, a strong and united repudiation by the great majority will save this Republic. To this end, I am writing to request that the Populist Party lend its votes and voice to the Democratic-Republican ticket in the coming election.

    What I propose here is not your acquiescence, but a true alliance, carrying with it a measure of power and a say in the decisions of the executive branch. I cannot offer either yourself or Mr. Morton the vice-presidency, as it has already been promised to another. By now you will have heard of Mr. Scott’s resignation from the Army. After a lifetime in defense of our Republic and its liberties from foreign threats, he, like many others, has concluded that the direst current threat to those liberties is domestic, and may not be opposed from within the United States Army, lest that Army destroy what it seeks to preserve. But as we both well know, though the office of vice president is a position of high trust and honor, its duties are occasional and the scope of its influence limited, compared to the office of a Cabinet official. Furthermore, Dame Rumor tells me that the late Sen. Clay’s colleagues in the Senate are of a mind to leave the late Justice Smith’s seat on the Supreme Court vacant and untenanted until March next, rather than give their consent to any nominee of the administration. It will be one of the earliest tasks of the next President to find a suitable nominee for the Court—a position of lasting power.

    The moment is propitious for an appeal to the good sense and patriotism of the people of our Republic. I believe that the election in November will show the greatest change of public opinion, ever manifested in the United States. The Democratic-Republicans are coming into line, with alacrity and spirit. When a new administration shall come into power, and a new Congress, then, and not till then, will excitement cease, or efforts be relaxed. Till then, the movement is steady, onward, with increasing speed and force. Let all who love freedom add their voices to this movement.
    I am, dear sir,
    With much personal regard,
    Your friend and ob’t servant, DANIEL WEBSTER.
    Rep. William Seward, Washington, D.C.



    “Gentlemen, I shall not keep you long. I come as a messenger, bearing not only my own words, but those of the Liberation Party delegation to the Congress of the United States.

    “I am mindful of the reputation our small party has earned over the four years. For the most part we have remained aloof from the nation’s affairs, voting only when the peculiar interests of our constituents are concerned, and at other times serving as a voice for those who may not speak for themselves—the enslaved. Today we lend our support, and such moral force as we possess, to the Webster-Scott ticket for the Presidency of the United States.

    “In doing so, we know well that we are supporting a party that includes both supporters and opponents of human bondage. Have we therefore abandoned our mission? No, not for a day nor for an hour. We will not cease to speak against slavery, the most hateful and infernal blot that has ever disgraced the escutcheon of man[2]. And for my own part, I will not for a moment inculcate the idea of surrendering a principle so vital to justice[3]. But if full justice cannot be obtained at once, I will not refuse to do what is possible, still less to do what is necessary.

    “And in this hour, to advance freedom for the slave, we must first preserve freedom itself. Much has been said of Mr. Berrien’s wicked and foolhardy choice to attack the Spanish Empire with no declaration of war from Congress, and of the Tertium Quids’ equally wicked and foolhardy choice to shelter the president from the just consequences of his misdeed. But today I call your attention to a far more immediate peril.

    “Those of us who claim the title of abolitionist have long known that in states where slavery is legal, we speak our minds at our peril. Since the war, the Slave Power has only grown more heedless of the rights of free men and women. In Jonesborough, Tennessee, an angry mob destroyed the press of the Emancipator[4]. In Friendsville, in that same state, state militiamen searching for escapees ransacked a general store for supplies.

    “It is not only abolitionists and Quakers who have suffered. Reform Party headquarters have been torched by violent mobs in Wilmington, North Carolina; Poplarwood[5], Alabama; and LeFleurville[6], Mississippi. Worse, there have been no fewer than three similar incidents in Georgia, in Athens, Macon, and Flintville, and in all these incidents the state militia was on the side of those suppressing a legitimate political party. That same militia now patrols the streets of our nation’s capital, ostensibly to protect the president and his family. And we have seen to our sorrow that even high office is no protection against the violence of the proud and affronted slaveholder…”

    From Congressman Thaddeus Stevens’ address to the Populist convention at the Zion Lutheran Church in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania[7], February 7, 1840.


    [1] Once again I’ve taken language from an OTL document—this 1840 letter from Daniel Webster to Samuel Coffin of Concord, NH—and repurposed it.
    [2] And again.
    [3] And again.
    [4] Elihu Embree’s paper.
    [5] OTL Dothan
    [6] OTL Jackson
    [7] Location of the 1840 Whig convention IOTL.
     
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