octoberman

Banned
what if the schism was worse preventing crusades. Kilij arslan subdues the danishmends and launches an invasion of balkans with Tzachas bey's ships. This laying the ground work for his successors to evenutally dominate eastern europe and middle east. Later fighting the mongols
 
what if the schism was worse preventing crusades.
An earlier 1204 happens, with the Normans drawing upon Catholic help in their campaign to seize the Empire before the Seljuks can consolidate Anatolia.
Either way, the Seljuks are ill-equipped to breach Constantinople this early.
 
An earlier 1204 happens, with the Normans drawing upon Catholic help in their campaign to seize the Empire before the Seljuks can consolidate Anatolia.
Either way, the Seljuks are ill-equipped to breach Constantinople this early.

Is there a stable Norman/Frankish - Turkish partition of the Byzantine/ERE at the water's edge between the European and Asian side of the straits?

Or will the Normans/Franks push on into Anatolia?

Will any Orthodox rump Despotates like Epirus or Nicaea or Pontus survive and get a chance to retake the city?

When the Mongols come by to wreck the Balkans, is that when perhaps a stable Norman-Turkic border equilibrium is disrupted and the Rum Turks get a chance to cross into Europe?
 
Is there a stable Norman/Frankish - Turkish partition of the Byzantine/ERE at the water's edge between the European and Asian side of the straits?

Or will the Normans/Franks push on into Anatolia?

Will any Orthodox rump Despotates like Epirus or Nicaea or Pontus survive and get a chance to retake the city?

When the Mongols come by to wreck the Balkans, is that when perhaps a stable Norman-Turkic border equilibrium is disrupted and the Rum Turks get a chance to cross into Europe?
Most likely, yes, with either party agreeing to stay out of the other's business as they deal with their respective Greek resistance.
After which some kind of treachery will happen, depending on who gets to consolidate faster.
That said, by the time the Mongols arrive, things may well change; a century's time is a long bridge to cross.
 
what if the schism was worse preventing crusades. Kilij arslan subdues the danishmends and launches an invasion of balkans with Tzachas bey's ships. This laying the ground work for his successors to evenutally dominate eastern europe and middle east. Later fighting the mongols
The schism was a more religious matter than a political one and is unlikely to prevent a byzantino-latin entente when the situation grows dire especially at this point in time when 1204 did not happen yet. Popes and different byzantine emperors did continue to work together especially when the normans threatened both of them and în Byzantium a authoritarian emperor did not have any problem în ignoring a recalcitrant patriarch if the political situation requires it.

I doubt also that the different turkish factions can unite or one turkish faction can become dominant în Anatolia. In 1081 there were adventurers with different interests with only a nominal alegiance to a higher figure, as likely to fight for the emperor for the right price as against him. Latins also, even if the crusader were not a thing, will be atracted by the prospect of enriching themselves în Constantinople and will continue to serve as mercenaries (Alexios had 500 flemish mercenaries sent by Robert of Flanders at one point in time and a significant porționează of normans were inițially mercenaries)
 

octoberman

Banned
The schism was a more religious matter than a political one and is unlikely to prevent a byzantino-latin entente when the situation grows dire especially at this point in time when 1204 did not happen yet. Popes and different byzantine emperors did continue to work together especially when the normans threatened both of them and în Byzantium a authoritarian emperor did not have any problem în ignoring a recalcitrant patriarch if the political situation requires it.
But the schism can worsened to to prevent a byzantino-latin entente when the situation grows dire especially at this point in time
I doubt also that the different turkish factions can unite or one turkish faction can become dominant în Anatolia. In 1081 there were adventurers with different interests with only a nominal alegiance to a higher figure, as likely to fight for the emperor for the right price as against him.
Kiljik Arslan was on his way to unite anatolia went crusaders attacked him

Latins also, even if the crusader were not a thing, will be atracted by the prospect of enriching themselves în Constantinople and will continue to serve as mercenaries (Alexios had 500 flemish mercenaries sent by Robert of Flanders at one point in time and a significant porționează of normans were inițially mercenaries)
Hiring mercenaries like Roussel de Bailleul started problem in the place
 
But the schism can worsened to to prevent a byzantino-latin entente when the situation grows dire especially at this point in time

Kiljik Arslan was on his way to unite anatolia went crusaders attacked him


Hiring mercenaries like Roussel de Bailleul started problem in the place
The report between the byzantine emperor and patriarch is more unequal than between the rest of western rulers and Pope so when push comes to shove the emperor can put an accent on political matters and bypass the religious establishment (I.e Michael Palaiologos did reinforce albeit with difficulty the union with Rome). The emperor will then be able to work with the Pope. The Pope also needs the byzantines so as to counterbalance the growing power of the Normans and for him too an alliance would be desirable. For the venetians, the byzantine market is a golden opportunity for wealth and they also will not pass an alliance with the byzantines.

In this period there were multiple political turkish and armenian polities în Asia Minor and North Syria. It seems unlikely that this soon a united and focused turkish polity can emerge. If one turkish polity becomes too powerful the byzantines can intervene to restore the balance.

Roussel did become powerful due to the chaos in Asia Minor în this period, then when things started to settle down he was crushed.
 
It seems to me that a surviving Turco-Persian Seljuk empire would essentially essentially be a rebirth of the persian empire at thier peak under the Achaemenid empire. As for the ottoman comparison I don't see them wanting to push as far west as the ottomans did since a lot more of thier resources are likley to be pulled away from the western frontier and brought to the east due to the rise of the mongols. Assuming the Seljuks can survive or don't piss off the mongols in the first place like the otl Kharzmian empire I can see large scale army's that where defending the east being repurposed offensively to fill the vacuum left behind should the mongols fragment like otl allowing the Seljuks to unite the remaining turkish peoples of Central asia and possibly western china under thier control.
 
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technically a Seljuk sultanate that manages to take Constantinople ( very unlikely scenario to imagine, bearing in mind its walls and that only Venice's superiority at sea allowed it to be taken ( coupled with a catastrophic internal political situation on the part of the Romans ) before the arrival of Orban's cannons ) and then make its way into the Balkans will have to take advantage of the confusion caused by the Mongols and hope that the papacy has some bad relations with the European powers like Otl with Frederick II HRE and then Philip IV of France.
of course if the Latin powers like Naples try non-continuously to recreate the Latin empire this can help the sultanate because they force the Roman successor states in the Balkans to divide on several fronts, so they will be unable to respond immediately to the conquest of the queen of the cities (but not a collaboration between Catholics and Orthodox to free it from the Muslim yoke must be excluded, see the numerous failed crusades against the Ottomans of Otl ) surely said state will use its connection with the legacy of Rome a lot (see Otl sultanate of Rum ) first of all we will see the creation of a milet-like system to pacify the huge Orthodox population (also to prevent them from asking for help from the Serbs and especially the Bulgarians if have not been destroyed by Mongol militar campaigns against of them ) possibly we will see an increase/incentive of Turkish migration in the region, which are settled in border areas to garrison and control the territory (as well as in the big city) probably in the Seljuk court of Constantinople both Persian and naturally Greek will be spoken correctly (perhaps we will witness a language created ad hoc only for the ruling class with a mix of the two, similar to Ottoman Turkish Otl but without the huge Arabic loanwords here replaced by the Greek )
 
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octoberman

Banned
. Latins also, even if the crusader were not a thing, will be atracted by the prospect of enriching themselves în Constantinople and will continue to serve as mercenaries (Alexios had 500 flemish mercenaries sent by Robert of Flanders at one point in time and a significant porționează of normans were inițially mercenaries)

They can't hire mercenaries because Byzantium was near bankrupt because of the wars since Manzikert and their currency was so inflated to fund them that their gold content of their coins was reduced to less than 33%. All the while tax evasion became widespread and Constantinople couldn't even feed it's inhabitants. Get this the Primary source of Byzantium's revenue was Anatolia they can't reconquer it without the Crusaders and it negates mercenary option
 

octoberman

Banned
Assuming the Seljuks can survive or don't piss off the mongols in the first place like the otl Kharzmian empire I can see large scale army's that where defending the east being repurposed offensively to fill the vacuum left behind should the mongols fragment like otl allowing the Seljuks to unite the remaining turkish peoples of Central asia into and possibly western china under thier control.
Extremely unlikely they would survive because they will piss off the Mongols like they did OTL and TTL it's more than certain because they are way more powerful and as to defending. These are the Mongols under Genghis we're talking about. They're the toughest there are
 

octoberman

Banned
An earlier 1204 happens, with the Normans drawing upon Catholic help in their campaign to seize the Empire before the Seljuks can consolidate Anatolia.
Either way, the Seljuks are ill-equipped to breach Constantinople this early.

Is there a stable Norman/Frankish - Turkish partition of the Byzantine/ERE at the water's edge between the European and Asian side of the straits?

Or will the Normans/Franks push on into Anatolia?

Will any Orthodox rump Despotates like Epirus or Nicaea or Pontus survive and get a chance to retake the city?

When the Mongols come by to wreck the Balkans, is that when perhaps a stable Norman-Turkic border equilibrium is disrupted and the Rum Turks get a chance to cross into Europe?
why would there be an agreement? seljuks already have almost all of Anatolia so catholics have nothing to offer. There is the only the war
 
why would there be an agreement? seljuks already have almost all of Anatolia so catholics have nothing to offer. There is the only the war
Both parties just got hold of a lot of new land, which they have never administered, in fact most of it wasn't administered by foreigners since times immemorial.
While large scale military resistance is over, there's still the orderly conduct of life to be rebuilt - elites to be coopted, small rebellions to be crushed, and so on. It may not sound much, but it's far from easy and painless.
In such a situation, peace is the best offer possible. It means for a while, you don't have to patrol the area as strongly; that your neighbor probably isn't trying to get your new subject to rise against you; and it allows your state to focus elsewhere.
Conquest never is free, and most importantly, the cost of digesting new territory is way higher than any media out there would usually suggest (and usually not even for the reasons those media propose, either).
 
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octoberman

Banned
Both parties just got hold of a lot of new land, which they have never administered, in fact most of it wasn't administered by foreigners since times immemorial.
While large scale military resistance is over, there's still the orderly conduct of life to be rebuilt - elites to be coopted, small rebellions to be crushed, and so on. It may not sound much, but it's far from easy and painless.
In such a situation, peace is the best offer possible. It means for a while, you don't have to patrol the area as strongly; that your neighbor probably isn't trying to get your new subject to rise against you; and it allows your state to focus elsewhere.
Conquest never is free, and most importantly, the cost of digesting new territory is way higher than any media out there would usually suggest (and usually not even for the reasons those media propose, either).
You ignore my point entirely seljuks had already conquered and did all of that bolded things you said to anatolia and could invade the balkans but normans who just started their conquest would have to fight them for the balkans to convince them for a peace agreement
 
You ignore my point entirely seljuks had already conquered and did all of that bolded things you said to anatolia and could invade the balkans but normans who just started their conquest would have to fight them for the balkans to convince them for a peace agreement
They did not do much except having conquered Anatolia. By 1092 in fact they had to focus on solidifying their internal grasp, yielding the initiative against Byzantium for nearly a century.
 
Yeah. If you want a quicker digestion of their conquests than OTL, that may be possible if enough things go right, but something equivalent to the Ottomans would still involve some time spent digesting things so they stay in Seljuk hands (and the "right" Seljuk hands) instead of just racing across the straits as soon as the ships are built.

That one is more than likely to end up with it all blowing up in Kilij Arslan's face.
 

octoberman

Banned
They did not do much except having conquered Anatolia.
Yet the normans did not conquer anything so the seljuks have no reason for peace with them
By 1092 in fact they had to focus on solidifying their internal grasp, yielding the initiative against Byzantium for nearly a century.
why counter speculate against actual history and say it's not like that ? OTL Byzantium before crusades couldn't attack Seljuks who did not have internal opposition that helped Byzantines before, even during and after the crusades. Byzantium didn't even have the troops to occupy the conquests of the first crusade.
 
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