Yesterday I read the 1998 Y-chromosome DNA report, which almost completely proves that Thomas Jefferson did father children with Sally Hemings. According to most of the contemporary reports (i.e. screeds by Jefferson's political enemies, along with the memoirs of Sally Hemings' son Madison Hemings), their relationship began in France, where Jefferson was US Envoy and Hemings was his daughters' maid... and also, where the French Revolution had abolished slavery.
In actual fact, neither Hemings nor her also-enslaved brother James petitioned for their freedom as was then required, and (as Jefferson wrote to another American), "a person bringing in a slave, and saying nothing about it, has not been disturbed in his possession." Though somewhat reluctant, she even returned to Virginia with Jefferson in 1789. It seems most likely she was pregnant at the time (no baby was entered in Jefferson's records, but there's a suspicious blank line under that year, and rumors of such a birth are almost unanimous.) According to Madison Hemings:
But suppose things were different? Since we know next to nothing about Sally Hemings' personality, I can't pin down an exact PoD. Perhaps she spends more time thinking about France; perhaps Jefferson's choice of words in that last conversation is slightly different; perhaps a previous conversation went differently (let's note Abigail Adams was also in Paris at the time)... but for one reason or another, suppose she refuses to return. Suppose further, that when she goes to petition for her liberty, she tells everything. Since she's pregnant (and her future children famously resembled Jefferson, so this one quite possibly would too), there's as much proof as there could be.
This is in September 1789, when the Revolution is just beginning. The Bastille has been recently captured. One revolutionary faction looks to the United States as a model; another faction yearns to go farther and more radical. It's possible that no revolutionaries would be influenced by Hemings' story - the revolution largely began in the licentious gardens of the Palace-Royal. But still, the United States' model might be somewhat tattered if it's publicized that their ambassador was raping his slave on the soil of France. (And no matter what Hemings' feelings might have actually been, it could easily be spun that way, especially iTTL...)
Let's also remember that Wilberforce in Britain has been working for two years with the Society for Effecting the Abolition of the Slave Trade. Such a high-profile case involving American perfidy and hypocrisy might be perfect for his movement to publicize. If Hemings wants to return to an English-speaking country, I could easily see Wilberforce and the Society sponsoring her emigration to England. Things can't move so slowly, though - in 1793, England goes to war with France, and all social reform movements are held suspiciously radical.
In America, I don't think this would totally sink Jefferson's political career. When Alexander Hamilton confessed to adultery with Maria Reynolds in 1797 (after implicating letters were printed by James Callender - coincidentally, the same person who first printed rumors of the Jefferson-Hemings relationship iOTL), he was able to keep his post as Inspector-General of the US Army. His already-rocky career never recovered. Jefferson, on the other hand, has just been appointed America's first Secretary of State, and I believe Washington (a fellow Virginian) would keep him in that office. Yet, his political capital will be quite damaged. Callender certainly thought that Jefferson would have been unable to win the Presidency if his affair was known, and I'd agree. I don't think the Republican Party will be choked off (there're other leaders, such as Madison and Clinton), but it might well be delayed.
Thoughts? I was somewhat surprised once I realized how large the effects of this explosive revelation could be, but I'm sure I've still missed some.
In actual fact, neither Hemings nor her also-enslaved brother James petitioned for their freedom as was then required, and (as Jefferson wrote to another American), "a person bringing in a slave, and saying nothing about it, has not been disturbed in his possession." Though somewhat reluctant, she even returned to Virginia with Jefferson in 1789. It seems most likely she was pregnant at the time (no baby was entered in Jefferson's records, but there's a suspicious blank line under that year, and rumors of such a birth are almost unanimous.) According to Madison Hemings:
Madison Hemings said:[Jefferson] desired to bring my mother back to Virginia with him but she demurred. She was just beginning to understand the French language well, and in France she was free, while if she returned to Virginia she would be re-enslaved. So she refused to return with him. To induce her to do so he promised her extraordinary privileges, and made a solemn pledge that her children should be freed at the age of twenty-one years.
But suppose things were different? Since we know next to nothing about Sally Hemings' personality, I can't pin down an exact PoD. Perhaps she spends more time thinking about France; perhaps Jefferson's choice of words in that last conversation is slightly different; perhaps a previous conversation went differently (let's note Abigail Adams was also in Paris at the time)... but for one reason or another, suppose she refuses to return. Suppose further, that when she goes to petition for her liberty, she tells everything. Since she's pregnant (and her future children famously resembled Jefferson, so this one quite possibly would too), there's as much proof as there could be.
This is in September 1789, when the Revolution is just beginning. The Bastille has been recently captured. One revolutionary faction looks to the United States as a model; another faction yearns to go farther and more radical. It's possible that no revolutionaries would be influenced by Hemings' story - the revolution largely began in the licentious gardens of the Palace-Royal. But still, the United States' model might be somewhat tattered if it's publicized that their ambassador was raping his slave on the soil of France. (And no matter what Hemings' feelings might have actually been, it could easily be spun that way, especially iTTL...)
Let's also remember that Wilberforce in Britain has been working for two years with the Society for Effecting the Abolition of the Slave Trade. Such a high-profile case involving American perfidy and hypocrisy might be perfect for his movement to publicize. If Hemings wants to return to an English-speaking country, I could easily see Wilberforce and the Society sponsoring her emigration to England. Things can't move so slowly, though - in 1793, England goes to war with France, and all social reform movements are held suspiciously radical.
In America, I don't think this would totally sink Jefferson's political career. When Alexander Hamilton confessed to adultery with Maria Reynolds in 1797 (after implicating letters were printed by James Callender - coincidentally, the same person who first printed rumors of the Jefferson-Hemings relationship iOTL), he was able to keep his post as Inspector-General of the US Army. His already-rocky career never recovered. Jefferson, on the other hand, has just been appointed America's first Secretary of State, and I believe Washington (a fellow Virginian) would keep him in that office. Yet, his political capital will be quite damaged. Callender certainly thought that Jefferson would have been unable to win the Presidency if his affair was known, and I'd agree. I don't think the Republican Party will be choked off (there're other leaders, such as Madison and Clinton), but it might well be delayed.
Thoughts? I was somewhat surprised once I realized how large the effects of this explosive revelation could be, but I'm sure I've still missed some.