Anyway, in the original Jaredia there's a giant Island in the Caspian-Aral. Which is an issue cuz the Caspian drains into the Black Sea and that into the Mediterranean before the sea level gets that high. Now, if the Caspian drained into the Ob river and that into the Arctic then that can be justified so, how do we block the Bosphorus up to the elevation of Istanbul?
1. The Glacier in Anatolia directly blocking the Bosphorus which I think is weak and dangerous for the TL, a slight warming and the compressed salty ice turns liquid from the bottom of the strait and I am not sure it would even freeze. On the other hand, it is helped along in that the Mediterranean is completely protected from warm currents from the world Ocean so would be extremely cold year around (like our Arctic) but I still have my doubts about marine permafrost, under pressure and in contact with the sea.
2. Some random crustal shananigens or erosion under the Anatolian Glacier when it was larger blocking the Dardanles and/or Bosphorus which I also think is weak cuz we don't need one basin to be eroded lower like in North America's extension of the mississippi but one basin't edge/trough to be higher and I don't know of a precidence for glacial crustal deformation or erosion to just pile up stability. Best I can think of here that is fairly stable and I can explain is the cycle of greater loading and unloading on the Crust causes by glaciers growing and shrinking induces some Neogene or Paleogene basaltic flow volcanism in Bithynia that floods over and closes the Bosphorus and associated low lands.
3. Final excuse I am thinking of, buying into the theory that catastrophic floods created the Bosphorus and no catastrophic floods in TTL. May be the weakest as water probs flowed through the Caspian into the Black Sea to the Mediterranean like up to 50,000 years ago before most of the catastrophic floods hypothesis so even if it wasn't 30ish metres down then, it was pretty down already.
Maybe a combination of all 3 are what I need. Anyways, all the above would mean that the Black Sea and Caspian would share the same water level, a water level that'll extend all the way to the lower Danube and even Hungarian plain. Something that I am not too fond of as it wouldn't look Jaredia.
Anyways, this would have the important feature that the Black Sea drains into the Caspian. That's the only way I can be sure it'll be that big. We can also have a similar effect by having the Gibraltar remain stuck, Ala Messinian Salinity crisis or just erosion from Africa and Spain. Because the Ice melt from Africa and Europe would certainly be enough to keep the basins filled.
Such would be the greatest timeline here, I think.
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So, I was thinking of how to make it so that the through of the Black basin and Caspian Sea basins would be higher without glaciation. I once heard glaciation extended a bit into kyrgyzstan is that enough of an excuse? I don't think so again, because of the point that weakened my 3. excuse in the last part. But if it works, we could have different water levels between the Caspian(higher) and Black Sea(lower) and look more Jaredia. Hell, I won't need to explain away the bosphorus or dardanles which can remain same as OTL.
Or should I just accept the generally lower levels of the Caspian here? And just have have it drain into a similarly normal Black Sea to the Ocean?.
So what do you guys think I should go with for the Neo-Tethys lakes system?.