Operation Sea Lion (1974 Sandhurst Wargame)

In 1930 the RN had reviewed the anti-aircraft requirements for ships and this guided policy for the next 10 years. Unfortunately it missed out on dive bombing. Destroyers were to provide long range heavy AA as escorts for heavy ships and as such the guns needed to only be able to elevate to 45degrees. It was also not worth putting high angle directors on 1500 ton ships. This had to wait till the 1800 ton Tribals. It wasn’t anticipated that they would be worth direct attack. Norway was a great shock and may influence when and where the RN will risk ships without air cover.
 
Correspondents on this thread seem to completely disregard the fact that if the USM ever tried to become a reality in 1940 the RN would sacrifice as many warships as necessary to completely disrupt and destroy any invasion fleet. The Mindset of the RN at the time would not permit any other out come. Having plied the waters of the Channel for the best part of six decades and having met many OTL RN officers I find the presumption of the Mannalites to be quite breath taking. In mid September not only are the nights long enough to give RN light forces (anything smaller than a cruiser) more than enough time to cause Havok with slow moving river barges there is the small matter of the tides and the weather. The variance in the tidal stream as you cross the channel is such that unlike a solitary swimmer, who can basically 'go with the flow' a convoy of towed barges will find station keeping across tide all but impossible. For those who think that laying protective mine field in the north sea and the channel approaches is in any way a practical proposition should IMVHO take a quick look at the "Northern Barrage" of 1918. The number of mine layers and mines involved and the sheer logistical effort retired beggars believe. Also in Day light RN light forces would endeavor to 'get in amongst' the invasion flotillas making the task of the Luftwaffe in bombing then very difficult indeed ( Her Hauptman, how many destroyers did you bomb and sink today? Non Sir but I did sink dozens of out own barges with the near misses!!!).
 
How many rounds did the average German soldier carry when fully loaded? 50-75? Certainly not more than that. How many grenades? Even if, after the 2-4 liters of water he carries is used, he is getting all the water he needs from a stream or well (hopefully not contaminated) and after his rations run out (a day or so) getting food by raiding cottages absent ammunition what good is he. Well he does have a bayonet, but you know what they say about bringing a knife to a gun fight. If the soldiers are stuck a little above the high tide line, I'll admit getting any ammunition that comes ashore may not be too much of a problem, but if they move inland at all the ammo has to move forward from the beach. This means ammo is collected from landing craft to distribution point and moved forward from there. The folks on the beach have to know where these points are - usually pre-determined and altered as circumstances dictate. As distribution points are changed this has to be communicated to landing craft, and to the troops. Now you need to have a means of moving the ammo forward. A soldier can carry several bandoliers of ammo and/or a couple of boxes no more, and doing that for several miles will exhaust you so you need some form of transport to get the ammo from the beach to the soldiers. You also need a dedicated beach group and beach masters to direct traffic and move stores.

To the extent that landing craft deposit supplies in the wrong place, or the soldiers that need the supplies have landed in the wrong place, fixing the situation takes dedicated trained personnel and time. The Allies had issues with these sorts of problems even later in the war after they had huge experience with amphibious landings, and had developed doctrine and trained for years before the war (in the case of the USMC which then trained the Army), and had tons of specialized landing craft manned by relatively experienced sailors.

This illustrates the logistic considerations just for rifle and machine gun ammunition and grenades. Then worry about anti-tank and artillery ammunition, which is not man portable over any distance. Got that set up, great now fuel for the transport (fodder and gasoline). Next food and water/water purification. Let's throw in medical supplies and gear, so the wounded get more than a cigarette and a shot of schnapps on the way to Valhalla.

While you need to be adaptable and be prepared to alter plans, you absolutely positively cannot deal with this stuff "on the fly" grabbing the odd Fritz and Hans to stay on the beach and deal with stores. If the soldiers who do land run out of ammo, the Home Guard with pikes is better armed than they are - hint a pike with a pointy end beats a rifle with a bayonet. The German military in 1940 had zero doctrine, zero training, and zero proper amphibious landing craft (Siebel ferries...really??). Getting a relatively small number of infantry with virtually no heavy support on shore without a sensible logistic plan simply means when the ammo runs out, which it will pretty quickly, game over.

All of this without the scattering of troops and supplies that the shambolic landing craft/barges deliver spread out by poor navigation and the tides of the Channel. Throw in the effect of the RAF and RN.

BTW on another note, concerning how troops cut the bottoms off their uniforms to facilitate defecation with diarrhea (Marines did this too on Guadalcanal to some extent) - free exit of stool does not solve the dehydration of diarrhea, nor does it counteract other negative effects on activity.
 
Actually Taffy 3 was tasked with close air-support for the troops. The CVE's did not carry torpedoes or AP bombs. Aircraft were attacking with HE bombs, Fragmentation bombs, Depth Charges and Rockets. Fighters were strafing cruisers. Aircraft wouldn't even bother to raise their landing gear; they'd take off, attack and return for another load. It was a desperate fight and the US pilots, despite the lack of anti-ship ordinance, drove Kurita off with help from the DD's and DDE's that made suicidal torpedo attacks on the IJN.
Let’s not pretend Kurita was driven off solely by the daring of Taffy 3 ships and aircraft. If it weren’t for timely air strikes from Taffy 2 and the equally arrival of McCain’s Task Group Taffy 3 would’ve been annihilated.
 
How many rounds did the average German soldier carry when fully loaded? 50-75? Certainly not more than that. How many grenades? Even if, after the 2-4 liters of water he carries is used, he is getting all the water he needs from a stream or well (hopefully not contaminated) and after his rations run out (a day or so) getting food by raiding cottages absent ammunition what good is he. Well he does have a bayonet, but you know what they say about bringing a knife to a gun fight. If the soldiers are stuck a little above the high tide line, I'll admit getting any ammunition that comes ashore may not be too much of a problem, but if they move inland at all the ammo has to move forward from the beach. This means ammo is collected from landing craft to distribution point and moved forward from there. The folks on the beach have to know where these points are - usually pre-determined and altered as circumstances dictate. As distribution points are changed this has to be communicated to landing craft, and to the troops. Now you need to have a means of moving the ammo forward. A soldier can carry several bandoliers of ammo and/or a couple of boxes no more, and doing that for several miles will exhaust you so you need some form of transport to get the ammo from the beach to the soldiers. You also need a dedicated beach group and beach masters to direct traffic and move stores.

To the extent that landing craft deposit supplies in the wrong place, or the soldiers that need the supplies have landed in the wrong place, fixing the situation takes dedicated trained personnel and time. The Allies had issues with these sorts of problems even later in the war after they had huge experience with amphibious landings, and had developed doctrine and trained for years before the war (in the case of the USMC which then trained the Army), and had tons of specialized landing craft manned by relatively experienced sailors.

This illustrates the logistic considerations just for rifle and machine gun ammunition and grenades. Then worry about anti-tank and artillery ammunition, which is not man portable over any distance. Got that set up, great now fuel for the transport (fodder and gasoline). Next food and water/water purification. Let's throw in medical supplies and gear, so the wounded get more than a cigarette and a shot of schnapps on the way to Valhalla.

While you need to be adaptable and be prepared to alter plans, you absolutely positively cannot deal with this stuff "on the fly" grabbing the odd Fritz and Hans to stay on the beach and deal with stores. If the soldiers who do land run out of ammo, the Home Guard with pikes is better armed than they are - hint a pike with a pointy end beats a rifle with a bayonet. The German military in 1940 had zero doctrine, zero training, and zero proper amphibious landing craft (Siebel ferries...really??). Getting a relatively small number of infantry with virtually no heavy support on shore without a sensible logistic plan simply means when the ammo runs out, which it will pretty quickly, game over.

All of this without the scattering of troops and supplies that the shambolic landing craft/barges deliver spread out by poor navigation and the tides of the Channel. Throw in the effect of the RAF and RN.

BTW on another note, concerning how troops cut the bottoms off their uniforms to facilitate defecation with diarrhea (Marines did this too on Guadalcanal to some extent) - free exit of stool does not solve the dehydration of diarrhea, nor does it counteract other negative effects on activity.

I think if you just pop back into the last 109 pages you'll find that all of these tedious "professional" concerns have been addressed.

Since soldiers and supplies are both headed to wrong places, that's no problem. On average, each wrong beach will have some soldiers and some supplies.

Yes, the Allies put a lot of thought into D-day, but they had naval supremacy at the time, so it is a completely different situation. Even at Dunkirk, they had more or less full command of the sea. This is something the Germans don't have to worry about.

There is no need to land the artillery shells anymore. The artillery will be standing off the coast on the barges where it can serve dual roles as land artillery but also improvised battleships to frighten off the Royal Navy. The barge guns could be resupplied at sea to avoid the trouble of actually landing their shells ashore.

As for said navy, if the going really does get tough, the barge convoy can have orders to steam away from the RN at top speed. Glenn239 has already provided math proving that in these circumstances the RN would be unable to land hits. Once the RN gives up the chase, the formation simply turns back to the English coast and conducts an improvised landing at the nearest suitable location. Alternatively, they head for the Isle of Wight. A surprise landing there could cut off any RN ships still afloat from making it back home to Portsmouth, and vice versa.

Plus all of this is likely moot because as soon as Churchill realizes the invasion convoy has set sail, he will probably surrender anyways.
 
Everybody is always arguing about German difficulties and shortcomings without really looking at the bigger picture and the British constraints.
So, as far as the air situation is concerned, the RAF would not have things all their own way. During September 1940 10, 11 and 12 group had roughly 300 fighters available to them that had the range to get to the Channel and landing areas. In total they had about 450 competent pilots, the rest had been grouped into squadrons further away from the front line in Category C squadrons which were effectively training squadrons. The Germans in contrast had 700 single and 200 twin engine fighters to throw into the battle with fully trained crews.

While it's true the Germans would be dividing their bombers between various targets the fighters could and would mainly be flying independent patrols high above the bombers ready to pounce where they were needed. Close escort was only needed when bombing targets far from the German bases. In addition Fighter Command would not have a single task they would be required to fly patrols above the beaches, above the ships, escorts for RAF bombers and provide a sizeable reaction force for raids against targets such as Harwich, Portsmouth, London etc. All of this without the added advantage of radar as any landings would rip quite a sizeable hole in the network. Do I think this equals a German victory, nope not at all, but at least it's worth recognising it's not going to be a British pushover.

300 fighters still represents a 25 fold increase on the number of fighters available for Crete, so you need to assess the impact of German anti-shipping operations in light of that even with deductions due to other missions. In contrast the German fighter force is only at best only 5 fold larger than in that campaign even that after the numbers have been massaged upwards in an Ian Hathaway classic. The dive bomber force available is only around 2 times as great as Crete incidentally. Yes the RAF will not have things all their own way but they are going to be vastly more present than in other circumstances where the RN were able to disperse and prevent sea landing forces.
Yes I get it, you are frustrated when German difficulties are mentioned as things are still shockingly bad for them when such adverse situations are ignored.

Really you think that in Sep the Germans who had taken the greater losses in planes and crew before hand would now have a greater advantage in both than the British, despite the British being able to replace both faster?

Have you got some link to support the claims that the RAF with 300 planes and 450 pilots would be facing off against a 700 single engineer & 200 twin engineered fighters all with fully trained crew. a 3:1 disadvantage in fighters and 2:1 disadvantage in fighter crews?

To re-post what I linked earlier:

Overy indicates the number of serviceable and total strength returns reveal an increase in fighters from 3 August to 7 September, 1,061 on strength and 708 serviceable to 1,161 on strength and 746 serviceable.[230] Moreover, Overy points out that the number of RAF fighter pilots grew by one-third between June and August 1940. Personnel records show a constant supply of around 1,400 pilots in the crucial weeks of the battle. In the second half of September it reached 1,500. The shortfall of pilots was never above 10%. The Germans never had more than between 1,100 and 1,200 pilots, a deficiency of up to one-third. "If Fighter Command were 'the few', the German fighter pilots were fewer".[231] .

I know this reply is late but it’s the first chance I’ve had to properly sit down with my books and go through the figures and refresh my memory, yes the figures I posted above were from memory and so could be a little off which is why I use terms such as roughly and about. In addition this was a very fluid time in terms of numbers so there will always be minor differences.

So lets have a look at the figures I have ‘massaged’.

During September 1940 10, 11 and 12 group had roughly 300 fighters available to them that had the range to get to the Channel and landing areas.

According to the RAF diaries for the period, on 7th September Fighter Command had 621 Spitfires and Hurricanes serviceable and 604 on September 28th. From that you can assume that during the invasion scare period they could field in total 613 (+/- 8) on any given day.

From ‘Case Studies in the Achievement of Air Superiority’ edited by Benjamin Franklin Cooling.

"The RAF’s Order of Battle remained remarkably stable over the period July 1-September 1. The total number of Hurricanes and Spitfires in the Fighter Command squadrons rose only from 756 to 761 and then fell back to 759. The number of these planes that were serviceable rose from 548 on July 1 to 558 and stayed there, while the number unserviceable actually dropped over the summer from 208 to 201."​

This gives an idea of what was available to the 48 Spitfire and Hurricane squadrons in September throughout the whole of the UK but not what was within reach of the Invasion area, the so-called frontline.

So, what was the frontline? Effectively it was the squadrons of 11 Group plus those at Middle Wallop in 10 Group and Duxford in 12 Group, so 26 to 28 squadrons. It’s always considered that Fighter Command put in maximum effort in the afternoon of 15th September when all of the frontline squadrons were airborne to meet Luftwaffe attacks on London. Patrick Bishop in his book Battle of Britain says this comprised of 28 squadrons (Max. 336 fighters). I Dr Alfred Prices book Battle of Britain he puts a little more meat on the bones:

“All twenty-one of No 11 Group’s Spitfire and Hurricane squadrons were now airborne and either in contact with the enemy or moving into position to engage. From No 12 Group, Squadron Leader Douglas Bader was again on his way south leading the five squadron ‘Big Wing’. And from the west No 10 Group sent a further three squadrons to protect the capital.​

To defend London against attack Fighter Command had amassed a total of two hundred and seventy-six Spitfires and Hurricanes, slightly more than during the noon time engagement.”​

So, it could be 304 (+/- 32) during any engagement.

This is at great odds with Stephen Bungay’s claim that Fighter Command had 630 Spitfires and Hurricanes in the frontline, a figure which is greater than they had available throughout the whole of Britain.

Overy is also at odds with these numbers and this is always going to be an issue in any discussions on Fighter Command strength which in just this small sample of authors above ranges from 558 to 746, a variation of 188.

In total they had about 450 competent pilots, the rest had been grouped into squadrons further away from the front line in Category C squadrons which were effectively training squadrons.

Just a brief bit of background which I’m sure you all know already. From the beginning of the Battle of Britain, Fighter Command’s policy was to maintain 11 Groups squadron strength by replacing worn down squadrons wholesale with selected full-strength squadrons from the rear areas. In addition, each squadron would have a small compliment of non-operational pilots straight from the OTUs that would be trained up within the squadron ready to replace lost or wounded pilots. By the end of August it was becoming clear to Dowding that this was no longer a workable system as there were fewer and fewer full strength squadrons in the rear areas and squadrons already withdrawn and refitting were taking longer to refit than the frontline squadrons were being worn down. An extra burden that could no longer be tolerated within 11 Group squadrons was the training of green pilots. By 7th September Dowding had come up with a solution. The following is taken from ‘The Battle of Britain, New Perspectives” by John Ray and explains things better than I could:

“Dowding’s arrangements for the three classes of squadron were transmitted next day [8th September] in a note headed ‘Policy for Maintenance of Fighter Squadrons in Pilots’. The classes were listed in order of priority. First were Class A Squadrons of No 11 Group, ‘to be maintained constantly at minimum strength of sixteen operational pilots’. Next were Class A Squadrons of Nos 10 and 12 Groups, kept to a ‘minimum of sixteen operational plus non-operational as convenient’. Class B Squadrons were required to have ‘a minimum strength of sixteen operational pilots with up to six more non-operational’. Blenheim and Defiant squadrons were to remain unaffected. The last category, Class C Squadrons, would retain ‘a minimum of three operational pilots to act as leaders’, except for three named squadrons which would have eight.”​

So if you consider just the Class A and B Squadrons with an assumed 5% unavailability due to leave, sickness and pilot deficit (5% is very low) you get a total of 456 operational pilots available at any one time. Where I have made an error is in not counting the operational pilots in the C squadrons which could add a further 66 pilots; 512 in total with probably another 450-500 non-operational pilots in training.

The Germans in contrast had 700 single and 200 twin engine fighters to throw into the battle with fully trained crews.

This final point is the easiest one to sort. As an example, Alfred Price puts the serviceable number of Bf109s at 686 and Len Deighton at 687 as per 7th September in both cases. Other Luftwaffe OOBs for 28th September put the number of Bf109s at 716. So, throughout the invasion period they had 701 (+/- 15) Bf109s.

There are so many places the Luftwaffe OOBs can be found that there’s no real point in me directing you all to them (that and the fact that I can’t be bothered to do all the work).
 
Actually Taffy 3 was tasked with close air-support for the troops. The CVE's did not carry torpedoes or AP bombs. Aircraft were attacking with HE bombs, Fragmentation bombs, Depth Charges and Rockets. Fighters were strafing cruisers. Aircraft wouldn't even bother to raise their landing gear; they'd take off, attack and return for another load. It was a desperate fight and the US pilots, despite the lack of anti-ship ordinance, drove Kurita off with help from the DD's and DDE's that made suicidal torpedo attacks on the IJN.

The CVEs did carry torpedoes and armour-piercing bombs (typical load was 9 torpedoes per ship and 500lb SAP bombs, though no 1000lb SAP bombs were carried); it's just that the aircraft aboard were not initially armed with them. It took time to rearm an aircraft, so most strikes from Taffy 3 were carrying HE bombs, rockets and so on, yes. But aircraft from Taffy 1 and 2 did carry anti-ship weapons, and some of the aircraft launched from Taffy 3 later in the battle did carry torpedoes. The AAR of Taffy 2's commander states: "At 1115 Strike No. 4 was launched, consisting of 19 VF and 37 VT of which 11 carried torpedoes and the balance SAP and GP bombs.", while at ~11:25, Taffy 3's Kitkun Bay launched 4 Avengers carrying torpedoes (the AAR states that these were "the torpedoes remaining on board", suggesting that earlier launches had also used torpedoes).
 
Sealion isn’t in isolation, though. It follows immediately on from BoB, following on from Kanalkampf. Added together the proposed three major operations are effectively a long operation and the failures of the Luftwaffe’s systems will start to bite.

Sealion would be part of the BoB. Instead of switching to London in early September, the offensive is switched to invasion preparations.

In terms of the "failures of the LW system", isn't it a tad incongruent of an argument to suggest that the invasion of Russia somehow made sense, when it was this decision alone that robbed the necessary fuel that the LW required for major expansion of its training establishment?
 
Everybody is always arguing about German difficulties and shortcomings without really looking at the bigger picture and the British constraints.
….

While it's true the Germans would be dividing their bombers between various targets the fighters could and would mainly be flying independent patrols high above the bombers ready to pounce where they were needed. Close escort was only needed when bombing targets far from the German bases. In addition Fighter Command would not have a single task they would be required to fly patrols above the beaches, above the ships, escorts for RAF bombers and provide a sizeable reaction force for raids against targets such as Harwich, Portsmouth, London etc. All of this without the added advantage of radar as any landings would rip quite a sizeable hole in the network. Do I think this equals a German victory, nope not at all, but at least it's worth recognising it's not going to be a British pushover.

On top of losing a chunk of the Chain Home system might be the danger of capturing functioning radars. This would lead to much more precise intel on how to jam them, and what they were capable of.
 
Greatly extended is a relative term compared to other planes, and of course it traded for it by reducing the payload.

Now TBF it's losing the smaller bombs that are't likely that relevent when hitting destroyers. But Payload's a problem for the Ju87 in this role and context anyway. Either version only has 1x 500lb bomb, (better not miss otherwise it's go back home and get another), a problem compounded by the fact that they're trying to hit a large number of relatively small, fast Navy ships. As I said in another post the problem the LW has here is they don't have enough Torpedo bombers, the Ju87 might well be a great ground attack plane in the battle of France, Poland and early stages of Russia, but's it not the right tool for the job here!

About twenty JU-87's could be expected to achieve a result against a destroyer at sea in 1940. Not necessarily sunk, but at least damaged.
 
[QUOTE="Ian Hathaway, post: 18887718, member: 66301"

The Germans in contrast had 700 single and 200 twin engine fighters to throw into the battle with fully trained crews.

This final point is the easiest one to sort. As an example, Alfred Price puts the serviceable number of Bf109s at 686 and Len Deighton at 687 as per 7th September in both cases. Other Luftwaffe OOBs for 28th September put the number of Bf109s at 716. So, throughout the invasion period they had 701 (+/- 15) Bf109s.

There are so many places the Luftwaffe OOBs can be found that there’s no real point in me directing you all to them (that and the fact that I can’t be bothered to do all the work).[/QUOTE]

Serviceable? As in machines available for operations? Because the suggestion here seems to be the Germans were at this stage of the Battle of Britain achieving serviceability rates close to 100% which would represent an improvement from their peacetime norm let alone active operations. By other figures the number of Operational fighters in the three Luftflotten covering the Channel were 533 Bf 109s and 107 Bf 110s, which would seem in line with having 700 Bf 109s total and while the Bf 110 operational figure might seem low there was their experience to date in the BoB and the fact that only 46% of crews were considered available for this machine. These figures are for the 15th of September per Price (funnily enough), the likely go date as the 28th is far and away too late to consider a cross Channel operation given the known weather conditions.

So yeah I really do think you have been massaging the figures.

I am happy to consider 300 RAF fighters facing 530 single and 100 twin engine machines as that seems in line with both sides operational strength but to try and shove the German numbers up by 200 and double respectively in operational machines does seem questionable.
 
I'm not sure what the benefit is of keeping fighters in 13 Group or leaving training squadrons out of the fight if there is an invasion fleet heading for SE England? Even if the training squadrons are used as bomber killers with the experienced squadrons going for the escorts.

Because there would also be an invasion fleet headed for the UK's east coast from Germany. (We know this was a diversion, but the British wouldn't have in 1940).

If the LW is only flying high above the bombers then the invasion fleet is devoid of air cover? The bombers have to have targets too - if they target the RN then they are going to be horribly inaccurate (in general). Level bombers were ineffective against warships in general. If they are focused on land then the RAF have the range advantage working for them.

The most effective anti-ship aircraft for the LW were, in order, the JU-87, the JU-88, the ME-110, the ME-109 (E7, might be higher in the order), then the level bombers. The RN plan was that warships would reload in ports nearby to the fighting. These operations would be prime targets for level bombers.

I think we have to look at BoB actual outcome to see that the Germans wouldn't win the air war by attrition. Which leaves the RN to face off against the invasion fleet and that's game over.

I think it's quite possible that if the RN attacks on the French side in daylight, that the LW badly mauls the RN and it achieves poor results for the damage sustained. That's assuming a maximum level RAF CAP effort.
 
As per the first 1,000 times this was answered, Barbarossa was stupider than Sealion. And not by a little either. By a lot.

A question...and I realise you are playing the answering 20 pages from now game to avoid answering these sorts of questions...but have you read the available sources on Sealion? Because the invasion plan jeopardised a large chunk of German water transport necessary to their war effort. Barbarossa on the other hand seemed to promise gaining direct access to numerous resources even if it did not work as planned.
 
About twenty JU-87's could be expected to achieve a result against a destroyer at sea in 1940. Not necessarily sunk, but at least damaged.
Data?

Because there would also be an invasion fleet headed for the UK's east coast from Germany. (We know this was a diversion, but the British wouldn't have in 1940).
With what spare ships?

I think it's quite possible that if the RN attacks on the French side in daylight,that the LW badly mauls the RN and it achieves poor results for the damage sustained. That's assuming a maximum level RAF CAP effort.
Why do the RN care about a few loses, if they are fighting on that side of the channel it means the invasion hasn't managed to land......?
 
As per the first 1,000 times this was answered, Barbarossa was stupider than Sealion. And not by a little either. By a lot.

But it wasn’t. For one thing, Germany had defeated Russia in a land war some twenty years earlier. It (Germany) had a huge, advanced army, one that dominated western and central Europe. On the other hand, its navy was utterly outclassed by the RN and it had parity at best in the skies over the Channel and southern England. So, yes, attempting to invade Britain was stupider than Barbarossa. (This isn’t to say invading Russia was brilliant, just that it played far better to Germany’s strengths)
 
As to the effect of the Germans capturing a British Radar station during the invasion, this would add Precisely Nothing to their knowledge of British Radar as several Mobile RDF systems (Radar) had been captured during the invasion of France in May. In 1939 the Graf Zeppelin had been used to carryout an EL-int mission up the East coast of the UK to investigate and measure the suspected British Radar system. What radio transmitions the Germans did intercept were dismissed as being incapable of being from a practical detection system and were dismissed as little more than noise (in fact they were the signals from several CH stations that were tracking the air ship at the time) and the conclusion of the Luftwaffe Intelligence service subsequently was the RAF had no viable warning system. So much for the Uber efficient Germans and their superior technology!
 
[QUOTE="Ian Hathaway, post: 18887718, member: 66301"
Serviceable? As in machines available for operations? Because the suggestion here seems to be the Germans were at this stage of the Battle of Britain achieving serviceability rates close to 100% which would represent an improvement from their peacetime norm let alone active operations. By other figures the number of Operational fighters in the three Luftflotten covering the Channel were 533 Bf 109s and 107 Bf 110s, which would seem in line with having 700 Bf 109s total and while the Bf 110 operational figure might seem low there was their experience to date in the BoB and the fact that only 46% of crews were considered available for this machine. These figures are for the 15th of September per Price (funnily enough), the likely go date as the 28th is far and away too late to consider a cross Channel operation given the known weather conditions.

So yeah I really do think you have been massaging the figures.

I am happy to consider 300 RAF fighters facing 530 single and 100 twin engine machines as that seems in line with both sides operational strength but to try and shove the German numbers up by 200 and double respectively in operational machines does seem questionable.
And where on earth have you got your figures from precisely... which book?
 
Kick
7. The Americans. Had complete. 100% air superiority. Over the Samar battlefield.

The RN withdrew its destroyers not from the Channel, but the Straits of Dover, and in daylight only. This was because they were doing nothing useful there, except taking losses.

Kurita may have been opposed by 400 aircraft, but the reason he wasn't as aggressive as he could have been was that he was worried about being attacked by 1100 more, plus six modern fast battleships
Good try, CV12 and fourthman, but reasoned argument is useless here. Ridicule doesn’t work either.
 
Because there would also be an invasion fleet headed for the UK's east coast from Germany. (We know this was a diversion, but the British wouldn't have in 1940).

.

Only that diversion will need to be believable to be effective. That means a whole bunch of ships, and given the longer transit distance and worse sea conditions you can't do this one with barges, so your talking about your better ships. So those are therefore ships you don't have available for the actual invasion making it even more reliant on daisy chains of river barges, thus making your channel invasion even harder!

On top of that to be a believable diversion you will need LW & KM there to as well to "sell it", and so again that's KM and LW you don't have in the channel directly helping with actual invasion.

A diversion is a good idea in theory but you need the resources to actually run it and sell it, and if there's prevailing motif in Sealion is that Germany doesn't have the necessary resources for even the simplest most direct version of this.

When it comes to ships Britain's got enough RN and auxiliary to cover both
 
Last edited:
Top