which ends Bin laden right in his tracks
And the US is not hated for having the people there since Iraq would have fallen into civil war without his military around to keep him propped up
But during the retreat alot of damage to oil wells would be done and it might take years to fix them which could promote alternative fuels earlier
This actually sounds like a better world over all.
Bin Laden has suffered many setbacks and defeats and yet still persists. It is not obvious whether a defeat on the scale being thought of here would result in him being 'used up' as a world influence.
There would also always be those right-wing fanatical clerics that would rouse the population against a US 'Christian Crusader' presence. This is also discounting the fact that at the end of the First Gulf War, Iraq's military was defeated, but Saddam's regime didnt fail, nor did Iraq fall into Civil War.
As for oil wells and alternative fuels, the simple fact that the world oil price in those days was not sufficent enough to make a push towards alternative fuels warranted. Yes it would place greater pressure on other oil producing countries with Iraq/Kuwait/Saudi largely devestated and would lead to a jump in the world price, but would it be enough to warrant a push towards alternative fuels? I dont think so personally. This push is not likely to happen until environmental issues and the real emergence of the Chinese and Indian economies make this of paramount importance. If you remember you heard nothing about this kind of thing until 1998ish....
Oh and Broz: bin Laden and the west did fight on the same side in a war... well kind of. bin Laden got his training from the CIA and fought with american arms in Afghanistan against the Soviet Union. There was probably some American co-vert help there too. haha