Little Serb: A Longer Lasting Lazarevic Dynasty in the 15th Century

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Little Serb: A Longer Lasting Lazarevic Dynasty in the 15th Century
Historically the Lazarevic dynasty ruled Serbia for two generations following the collapse of the Serbian Empire. During that time the dynasty was both an enemy and ally of the Ottoman Empire. Stefan the Tall, the second ruler of the dynasty, was considered one of the greatest Christian knights of his generation and the Serbian Despotate founded by him was able to postpone the Ottoman conquest of Serbia by 70 years. He however disregarded dynastic affairs and had no children, ensuring the family name ended with his death early in the 15th century. This timeline explores possible effects from a few changes ensuring a Lazarevic dynasty lasting further into the 15th century, to be contemporaneous with rulers such as Janos Hunyadi, George Skanderbeg, and Mehmed the Conqueror.

Things begin in the tail end of the preceding century, with the Nicopolis Crusade.
 
1. Fallen Eagle
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States of Late Medieval Serbia
Fallen Eagle

Autumn 1395. Bulgaria, Thessaly and Wallachia have fallen, all within the past year alone. The Ottoman Empire continues their inexorable advance through Europe under the leadership of Sultan Bayezid Yildirim, ‘the Lightning Bolt’. True to his nickname, the Sultan has declared to his soldiers that they shall be at the gates of Buda by the next spring.

Opposing this threat to Christianity, the lords of France and Burgundy have answered the call to expel the Turk from the Balkans, save Constantinople, and bring glory upon themselves. Sigismund von Luxembourg ‘the Fox’, King of Hungary for some, watches the Danube and awaits aid from Western Europe. Constantinople, city of the Romans, undergoes its second year under siege by the Ottomans and the inhabitants prepare for a lean winter.

And at the frontlines of this conflict sits the Principality of Moravian Serbia, a small vassal state of the Ottoman Sultan. A much reduced remnant of what was the once glorious Serbian Empire. It has been 25 years since the death of the last emperor and 6 years since the disastrous Battle of Kosovo. Where Emperor Stefan Dusan Nemanjic left the Serbs with a frontier touching three different seas, only a small principality remained, ruled by the Prince Stefan Lazarevic.

For Princess Milica of Serbia this is a bittersweet time. Through four and a half years she had served as regent for her son, Stefan. Now 18 years old, Stefan is of age to rule in his own right. Whether it is to be for better or for worse, his choices shall guide Serbia from henceforth. This year her son successfully returned from his first trial by fire in Wallachia, proving himself to the Serbian nobles in battle and even impressing Sultan Bayezid. It is ironic that at the same time the Lazarevic court glorifies Lazar Hrebeljanovic as a saint for fighting the Turks in the name of Christianity on the field of Kosovo in the past, Lazar’s son is fighting for the Turks in the present. And now in response to the Crusade, less than a year later the Sultan has called his vassals to arms once again.

Among the Prince’s council there is some debate over whether Serbia should answer the Sultan’s summons this time. It is proposed that had Serbia joined with the crusaders in a pan-Christian effort they may have succeeded in delivering a defeat to the Ottomans and throwing off their vassalage.

Such a proposal would not have gotten far. As faithful followers of the Serbian Orthodox Church, the Serbian nobility were skeptical of the concept of being co-religionists with the Catholic crusaders. At a time when the Roman Rite itself was divided in schism between two opposing Papacies nonetheless. For the Lazarevic dynasty the distrust of the crusade was even more personal.

Prince Lazar Hrebeljanovic had been the strongest of the Serbian warlords in 1389, known as the last loyalist of the Nemanjic dynasty. At the Battle of Kosovo, Lazar had led a final alliance of Bosnia and Serbian warlords to oppose the Ottoman advance. There Sultan Murad of the Ottomans and Lazar were both killed, and both armies suffered heavy casualties by the time they withdrew from the field. For his actions Lazar was hailed as saint and martyr, and the Battle of Kosovo was celebrated in the Christian world from the Adriatic to the Atlantic. Momentarily, the Ottoman invasion pulled back. Lazar’s son Stefan succeeded his father at the age of 12 under the guardianship of his mother.

But in practical terms, the Ottoman Empire could afford such losses while Serbian manpower, already depleted from decades of warlord skirmishes, could not. When the Ottomans returned, Lazar’s sacrifice in the name of Christianity was forgotten and Serbia received no aid in its struggle. Neighboring Hungary under King Sigismund instead took the moment to invade Serbia to take advantage of its weakness and young ruler. To resist the Hungarians, Lazar’s widow Milica accepted Ottoman vassalage on behalf of her sons Stefan and Vuk, and Stefan’s younger sister Olivera was wed to Sultan Bayezid.

Six years later Sigismund was still King of Hungary, and Olivera Despia remained part of Bayezid’s harem as his favored wife. Sigismund’s presence cast suspicion on any agreement with the crusade, and Stefan had no desire to place his sister at risk. Sigsimund’s record also cast doubt on the undertaking in other ways. The nobles of Croatia and Bosnia reject his claim as king in favor of a pretender, Ladislaus of Naples, and the recent death of Sigsimund’s wife and her son was an ill-omen for his continued rule. The Fox must further suffer the additional indignity of an unglorified retreat from Moldavia, defeated at the Battle of Ghindaoani.

Feudal politics are also at play within Serbia. Two other Serbian rulers had taken part in last year’s campaign against Wallachia, Marko Mrnjavecevic and Konstantin Dejanovic. The former was known as the ‘Young King’ of Serbia, and Dejanovic was the ruler of the Principality of Velbazhd. Both had a plausible claim to leadership of the Serbian people, yet both had fallen during the heavy fighting at the Battle of Rovine, also called the Battle of the Marshes, along with other prominent Serb knights during the weeklong battle in the mud. In light of the ultimate sacrifices of Marko and Konstantin at Rovine on the side of the Ottomans, the refusal to fight for the Sultan now would shame Stefan and Vuk. Joining the crusade would leave Moravian Serbia vulnerable to the intrigues of their rivals in light of their claim as the legitimate Serbian successor state to the Nemanjic dynasty.

Only if the Crusade were to lose and the Ottomans were to win that is. But having himself returned from a two year campaign alongside the Sultan’s armies firsthand, Stefan Lazarevic had good reason to believe in the Ottomans as the winning horse. Serbia could not afford the defeat of another Kosovo.

As a former ruler Princess Milicia can approve of her son’s choices save in one regard: His continual neglect on matters of marriage. During their reign Lazar and Milicia had pursued very proactive dynastic marriage policies for their daughters. Among their marital alliances counted a Bulgarian Tsar, two major Serbian princes brought into the fold, and an influential magnate of neighboring Hungary. For their sons on the other hand... Nothing had been arranged for either before Lazar’s death and due to their age, both were unmarried.

Prince Stefan had waived such concerns off by saying he would have time to marry later in life. Yet despite that both of Milicia’s sons had chosen to pursue the dangerous life of a soldier without either having heirs. If there was to be a second Kosovo, the death in battle of both Stefan and Vuk would bring the Lazarevic line to a swift end, as well as the blood of the royal Nemanjic dynasty.

Therefore, as she had done following the death of her husband at Kosovo, Princess Milicia decided to act on behalf of her sons once again. As the Balkans prepared for war, letters are sent out from Serbia, carrying prospective feelers for marriage negotiations. [1]

[1] POD. Since its somewhat difficult to continue a dynasty without children. OTL Stefan Lazarevic only married in 1405 to Helena Gattilusio, with his wife dying soon after. Here there's an effort to obtain a marriage earlier.
 
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2. A Tenth Crusade
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The Last Crusader

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A Tenth Crusade (Nicopolis I)

The Ninth Crusade of 1271, also known as Lord Edward’s Crusade, is traditionally labeled as the last true crusade. In that sense a ‘true crusade’ might be considered that which is a numbered crusade by historiographers, the purpose of which is to operate in the Holy Land towards Jerusalem. The limited attendance and disappointing outcomes of Louis IX’s Eighth Crusade and Edward Longshank’s Ninth Crusade are oft cited as evidence for an extinction of the crusading spirit in Western Europe, culminating in the final Fall of Acre to the Mamluk Sultanate in 1291. Or perhaps most demonstratively, in the liquidation of the Knights Templar by Philip IV of France once they had ceased their usefulness.

But while that may have been true in the immediate aftermath of the Ninth Crusade in the 1270s, by the 14th century Europe would see a revival of crusading ethos. Frankish emigres and exiles fleeing the fall of the crusader states led to a renewed interest and nostalgia within noble society for the crusading era. This is evidenced in the creation for the first time of courtly orders of chivalry and knighthood which spread prolifically in popularity, modeled in the traditions of the crusader military knights. As well as the numerous small crusades conducted in this century.

Between 1300 and 1390 no less than six new crusades had been conducted in the Mediterranean. This in addition to near annual Teutonic campaigns as part of the Lithuanian Crusade, which attracted foreign volunteers as far as England and Scotland as crusaders. Even the long running Hundred Years War began to take on elements of a holy war between France and England, as both sides attempted characterizing their warfare as a crusade to legitimize their actions. [1] Rulers such as Count Amadeus VI of Savoy and King Peter I of Cyrus became international celebrities for their crusade activity. To crusade was once again prestigious, and even fashionable, in medieval society. These late crusades were much more limited in scope than their predecessors, often aiming to target only a single city, but highly acclaimed for the limited successes they achieved. However as the century drew to a close, Duke Philip of Burgundy prepared for one last throw of the dice.

Philip le Hardi had earned his nickname ‘the Bold’ for his valor fighting as a young boy at the Battle of Poitiers, pointing out enemies for his father Jean II as the French king fought a ferocious last stand. As a grown man Philippe the Bold has risen to be the wealthiest and most powerful duke of France, and Philippe himself held power as regent for his nephew, King Charles VI the Mad. The upcoming marriage between King Richard II of England and Princess Isabella of France had seemed to herald a long term peace for the Hundred Years War and therefore Philip the Bold took the opportunity to put forth a truly bold proposal.

As imagined by Philip the crusade would be led by three great dukes of France and England. The Duke of Orleans and the Duke of Burgundy from the French side, the latter being himself, and the Duke of Lancaster from England. The crusade would march to Hungary overland, then join with King Sigismund of Hungary to invade Bulgaria and drive the Ottoman armies from Europe, thereby relieving the ongoing Siege of Constantinople. After which the crusading army would cross the Bosphorus Straits to pursue the Ottoman Sultan into Asia and secure the threat against the Byzantine Empire. Then as the First Crusade had done, the crusade would continue onward overland to Antioch and Jerusalem before returning home by sea. Much was made of the fact that the crusade would be departing on the 300th anniversary of the First Crusade, and would retake Jerusalem by the third centennial of the capture of Jerusalem by Godfrey of Bouillon. King Charles VI of France added his assent to the French effort. [2]

Future historians, not to mention quite a few contemporaries, would criticize Philip’s scheme as being motivated by ulterior purposes of self-gain and ill-conceived. Philip’s plan however can actually be seen as quite shrewd. [3] The Orleans and Burgundians had formed rival political parties in Paris over the regency of Charles the Mad, a joint venture in crusading therefore would serve to reunite France’s noble factions. Similarly John of Gaunt as Duke of Lancaster had frequently fought against France in England’s name. By securing his participation Burgundy would be able to reconcile England and France after over half-a-hundred years of war and cement the recent peace between the kingdoms. Or in the worst case scenario build ties with a potential dynastic rival of King Richard II as insurance. For King Richard II of England, this would also serve to send the powerful Lancaster family out of the country temporarily. [4]

Yet despite widespread enthusiasm and buy-in, all three dukes withdrew personal involvement from the crusade at the last moment, citing other obligations. Philip of course held responsibilities as regent of France, but in truth feared leaving the country without his rival Orleans doing the same to prevent any political manipulation. In England meanwhile Gaunt became reluctant to leave for the same reason that King Richard wished for his absence. Leadership of the crusade therefore defaulted to Burgundy’s son, Jean the Count of Nevers, and without the English.

Jean of Nevers’ crusading army set forth from Dijon near the end of April, taking a route through Germany towards Hungary. Among the Count of Nevers’ company were Philip of Artois, the Count of Eu, and Jean Boucicaut le Maingre, France’s two highest ranking generals at the time. For most of the French nobility this was not their first experience on crusade. Nevers and D’Eu had previously taken up the cross on the Barbary Crusade against Tunis. Boucicaut had crusaded for the Teutonic Order against the Lithuanians and had traveled to Jerusalem on pilgrimage along with D’Eu, a trip that had seen the latter imprisoned by Mamluks due to his confrontational nature. D’Eu was Constable of France while Boucicaut held the title of French Marshal. None of the French knights or nobility lacked for military experience after the campaigning of the Hundred Years War, although disturbingly that experience tended to be on the losing side. However despite their nominal ranks, their military reputations had been obtained as skilled knights and horsemen, not in command of large bodies of troops.

Recognizing this, as well as the youth of his son and his principal officers, Philip of Burgundy sought the services of two elder soldiers to assist Nevers. Marshal Enguerrand VII de Coucy and Admiral Jean de Vienne were both in their 50s and long serving soldiers. They had also both taken the cross together previously during the Barbary Crusade, and for de Vienne even earlier during the successful Savoyard Crusade. 20 years ago the two had prosecuted the Gugler War together against the Swiss cantons in pursuit of de Coucy’s maternal inheritance, Ambushed by well armed bands of Swiss peasants on Christmas Day, they had lost a third of their force and were forced to retreat amid a harsh alpine winter. The Gugler War, so named for the winter cowls of the French knights, could be said to have taught the two friends caution and humility. Now considered among the most skilled and experienced knights available to France, Philip of Burgundy hoped the veteran de Coucy could guard against his son’s youthful impetuousness.

Though primarily French in composition, the crusade also gained a notable German contingent, as well as individual volunteers from Iberia and Poland, and naval support from the Italian states of Venice and Genoa. Notable in their absence was any English participation, despite the hopes and promises of the House of Lancaster. The combined crusader army was gathered around Buda by mid June. There they would meet the other architect of the crusade: King Sigsimund of Hungary.

[1] Notably in the form of the Despenser's Crusade against the Avignon papacy by the English, and later on used by Joan of Arc against the English.
[2] While it might be debatable how capable Charles VI was of passing assent, he was lucid enough to decide to expel the Jews. The crusade theorist Philippe de Mezieres had also been a tutor for Charles VI, so the king likely did believe in the cause of crusade.
[3] In addition to the pragmatic reasoning we should also keep in mind Philip is the son of Jean the Good, the model of everything a chivalric king should be. Considering Jean was utterly willing to die fighting at Poitiers and surrendered himself to the English because he thought Anjou was dishonorable for escaping prison. As Philip grew up in the same era of chivalric revivalism its possible he was a true believer of the crusading ethos as well.
[4] OTL Henry Bolingbroke and the Lancaster family did in fact overthrow Richard II eventually
 
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3. Sigismund von Luxembourg
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Road to Nicopolis

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Sigsimund von Luxembourg (Nicopolis II)

It was the King Sigsimund that had originally requested crusader support and convinced Philip the Bold to direct the crusade towards the Balkans rather than the vast lands of pagan Lithuania. As the younger brother of King Wenceslaus of Germany and Bohemia, Sigsimund had been nicknamed 'the Fox' as a youth. At first in reference to the color of his ginger hair, later in life due to being considered cleverer than his beleaguered older brother. Already King of Hungary and Croatia, Sigismund was considered a potential candidate to succeed his childless half-brother as the Holy Roman Emperor. Thus Philip the Bold considered, a valuable personage to have owing Burgundy a favor. The Luxembourg family’s network of connections in Germany had done no small part in attracting many German knights for the crusade.

At the time being however, the arrogance and pretentiousness of the French were instead grating on Sigsimund’s nerves rather than causing any gratitude for Burgundy. Ever since Sigsimund had been crowned it had been a constant battle to get his authority recognized by the Hungarian and Croatian magnates for the last ten years, a situation not helped by the fact that he continued to rule jure uxoris through his now deceased wife. Even though he had lived in Hungary since he was twelve and spoke the language more fluently than he did German, he still had to deal with his nobles treating him like a foreigner in his adopted country. All the while they supported actual foreigners from Naples and Poland as pretenders against him. [1]

Now the King of Hungary must deal with mere French counts and knights treating him as a minor lord in his own kingdom. It is true that it was Sigsimund who had requested their presence in Hungary and Jean of Nevers was recognized leader of the crusade, but it was Sigsimund and his vassals that were still providing over half the force of the combined army.

At the War Council for the combined Crusader army these disputes came to a head. Sultan Bayezid had threatened a spring campaign against Hungary, yet had failed to deliver even by the end of July. King Sigsimund continued to press for a defensive strategy, adamantly arguing that Bayezid would surely come sooner or later. Backing this up Sigsimund cited that Hungary actually had experience with Bayezid unlike the crusaders, and that the Ottomans conducted nearly annual raids and campaigns against all their neighbors. This sat unwell with the French, who quickly tired of Buda after three months of waiting and sought to advance. Marshal de Coucy, acting as spokesman of the crusaders, pointed out not unreasonably that spring was already over as was summer nearly. The Sultan’s boastful timeframe for conquest had long past. Furthermore Coucy argued, the crusade’s strength was wasted on the defense and the later the year went the less opportunity for movement the crusaders would have. Coucy undoubtedly recalled his own disastrous experiences with attempts at late campaigning seasons. This was received with widespread support by the crusaders, who sought action and to fulfill the crusade’s purpose by taking the fight to the Turk.

Grudgingly Sigsimund conceded to the wishes of the French, as he needed their manpower to combat Bayezid, regardless of what he thought of their arrogance. The Crusader army began the march south, planning to cross the Danube river at the Iron Gates and invade Bulgaria. Less of Sigismund’s Croatian vassals had turned out for the crusade as he’d hoped, many of them still recognized Ladislaus of Naples as King of Croatia. However more positively he had managed to gain the formerly rebellious Voivodship of Transylvania to his side. Wallachia had also been invaded by the Ottomans in the previous year, Bayezid installing Vlad Uzurpatorul as a puppet prince following the draw at the Battle of Rovine. Mircea of Wallachia, the expelled prince, had accepted becoming Sigsimund’s vassal in exchange for military support. And finally the Knights Hospitaller had sailed up the Danube to join the Crusade with their limited but highly respected soldiers.

All combined the Crusade of 1396 consisted of roughly 11,000 foreign crusaders, primarily French and Burgundian, and 12,000 troops raised by Sigsimund and his vassals. A combined total of around 23,000 men.

Despite Sigsimund’s misgivings the crusade passed through the Iron Gates uncontested, crossing Serbian territory briefly. Bulgarian Tsar Ivan Sratsimir, ruler of the Vidin Tsardom and an Ottoman vassal, swiftly eliminated his Ottoman garrisons and sent his men to join the crusade, giving the crusaders entry into Bulgaria. On the other side of the Danube, Mircea of Wallachia succeeded in retaking parts of his homeland and securing the river opposite the important fortress of Nicopolis.

These successes also exposed additional friction among the crusader coalition. Sigsimund and Ivan Sratsimir were incensed by the massacre of Bulgarian villages declared under Hungary’s protection. The French meanwhile justified this as actions against religious schismatics, and gave great disrespect to the Hungarian king for his attempts to impose discipline and ‘steal their glory’. Incidents which in hindsight seem to have vindicated the Serbian decision to not trust the catholic crusaders.

At the Bulgarian city of Nicopolis the crusade ran into their first determined resistance. Founded by the Romans to guard their northern border and nestled between the slopes of the Balkan mountains and the Danube river, Nicopolis was well provisioned and strongly fortified. The last Tsar Ivan Shishman had chosen Nicopolis as the site for the last stand of the Bulgarian Empire before its annexation by Sultan Bayezid. A year later, a strong Ottoman garrison held Nicopolis and dared the crusaders to try and remove them from its walls if they could.

Marshal Boucicaut naturally wished to answer this challenge to his knightly valour with an immediate attack via escalade. The rest of the crusade leadership however recognized the strength of Nicopolis’ fortifications and chose to instead starve out the defenders. The march of the crusade halted as the army established camps for a siege and settled into a merry routine of feasts and games.

Although thus far the crusade had proceeded well the question continued to perturb Sigsimund: Where was Sultan Bayezid? The French were of little help to him in that regard. Seemingly satisfied with the situation, d’Eu and Boucicaut complained that there was little chance to achieve personal glory during the siege yet paradoxically also dismissed the idea that the Sultan would be moving to relieve Nicopolis. Despite the fact that battle with the Ottoman army would allow them to obtain the martial glory the knights sought, when two weeks into the siege Sigsimund’s scouting parties reported the march of the Ottoman army to the south, the two Frenchmen denied the news in the most violent of terms. They were quite confident that the crusaders would best the Turks in arms at any point, yet irrationally also held that because there had been no Turks in Hungary there was no Turk army in Europe at all.

To this Sigismund could only grit his teeth, mentally cursing the French and his forced reliance on them during the crusade. To think that his grandfather had died at Crecy fighting for these fools! [2] But he would tolerate them and wait for the defeat of the Ottomans. For the Fox had a long memory.

One of the few to take Sigsimund’s warnings seriously was Count Enguerrand de Coucy. Putting aside his prior disagreement over strategy with the King of Hungary at Buda, de Coucy led a party of a thousand cavalry to confirm the reports. Encountering the Ottoman vanguard, de Coucy ambushed a column of several thousand Turks much larger than his own force, slaying many before returning to the crusader camps with his news. This victory was briefly celebrated, but downplayed by the efforts of d'Eu.

His fears confirmed, Sigsimund summoned a war council with the crusaders on his own initiative to form a battle strategy following Coucy’s sortie. In this he would be surely disappointed as the meeting once again devolved into volleys of shouting and insults between d’Eu and the Hungarians over matters of honor and chivalry, primarily from the side of the French. With no resolution in sight, the war council dispersed with no strategy decided, Sigsimund again declaring a recess to the meeting in resignation. Even despite Coucy’s confirmed skirmish with enemy troops, some of the French were still skeptical of the presence of Sultan Bayezid’s army in their proximity.

It was therefore to the shock and horror of the crusader host that the following day, on the morning of September 25, the banners of the Ottoman army began taking positions on high ground overlooking the road to Nicopolis.

[1] The Kings Ladislaus of Durazzo and Wladysalaw of Poland were rival claimants against Sigsimund's rule, who arguably held a better legal claim to the throne than he did following the death of Mary of Hungary.
[2] John the Blind received control of the French vanguard at the Battle of Crecy. Being completely blind, he was said to favor the flail in battle which allowed him to lay about in all directions.
 
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4. Nicopolis
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Nicopolis (Nicopolis Crusade III)

Though the French had given King Sigsimund many reasons to be dissatisfied with the crusade, ranging from matters military and otherwise, the King of Hungary had made one fundamental misassumption. Enguerrand de Coucy had been correct when he judged that Ottomans would not invade Hungary when they did not show. For Sultan Bayezid had no real intention of invading Hungary at all. But where had he been?

Like all Sultans of the Ottoman Empire Yildirim Bayezid styled himself as a pious holy warrior in the manner of his predecessors, fighting annual campaigns of jihad against infidels to expand the empire. But Bayezid also held a very unreligious fondness for the court luxuries available to him: food, drink, and women. Indulgences that while not necessarily pious, made the Sultan a symbol of conspicuous consumption and popular with his siaphis and the common soldiers. The Sultan was also known to be notoriously arbitrary and impulsive.

A tale tells that at the Serres Conference the Sultan gathered his Christian vassals to discuss matters of state. On the final night of the gathering the Sultan gave instructions to his janissary guards that the Christian vassals were to be arrested before daybreak and executed first thing in the morning so that their lands could be seized. Yet waking up unusually early the next day, Bayezid decided to rescind the orders before they could be carried out, later eating breakfast normally with his vassals and toasting to their health as they went home. Such behavior undoubtedly played a part in the decision of former vassals like Tsar Ivan Sratsimir and Emperor Manuel Palaiologos to renounce their oaths and escape Ottoman custody at the first opportunity.

While much had been made of the Sultan’s boast to take Buda by spring, which he did state, the Christians were not aware the boast had been made after several rounds of heavy drinking during the victory feast celebrations following the conquest of Bulgaria and Wallachia last year, to the inebriated cheers of his soldiers. This declaration was promptly forgotten by the Sultan the next day, who having taken heavy casualties in placing his vassal in Wallachia, chose to next redouble his efforts in besieging Constantinople. But the Christian world had not forgotten about him.

For eight months of the year Bayezid had been at Constantinople overseeing the long siege of the city. The Byzantine Emperor Manuel II had been a vassal of the Ottomans until recently and Bayezid sought to punish the Emperor for deserting the Ottoman cause. It was there that the Sultan received news of the crusader attack on Nicopolis and the full scale invasion into his Empire. Ironically much like the crusaders at Nicopolis, the Ottomans lacked the siegecraft to breach the legendary Theodosian Walls even after three years of siege and had to content themselves with blockading supplies to the city. Though this had the effect of increasing food prices within Constantinople for the commons, the limited navy of the Ottomans were unable to cut off European ships from entering the Black Sea to supply Constantinople. With the arrival of the crusade, Emperor Manuel even felt secure enough to provide a squadron of galleys to join the Venetian and Hospitaller ships heading to the Danube.

With little progress in the siege, Bayezid eagerly leapt upon the chance to fight a battle instead, for the Sultan would always prefer action over inaction. Summoning his levies, the Sultan force-marched his army north into Bulgaria. Prince Stefan Lazarevic, having not participated in the Siege of Constantinople, was ordered to gather the knights of Serbia and meet with the Ottoman army en route. It was from Bayezid’s hasty warlike nature and his signature use of forced marches such as this one that had earned him the nickname of Yildirim, 'Thunderbolt'. Such was the lightning speed of Bayezid’s advance that by the time the crusader camp became aware of his approach, they were only able to meet once to discuss strategy before he was already there.

The lack of crusader preparedness however was the consequence of more than just Bayezid’s legendary speed. The crusaders had been encamped around Nicopolis for over two weeks, yet in that time had neglected to post sentries or to fortify their camps. Attempts to discuss a plan for when the Ottoman relief army approached were stymied by the efforts of Jean Boucicaut and Philip of Artois, the Count of Eu, who continuously denied that Sigsimund’s scouts had seen Turks to the south, because the Turks were not there. It was only when the veteran Coucy returned to the French camp carrying the head of an Ottoman akinji cavalryman was Sigsimund able to summon a joint war council between the elements of the crusade.

Sigsimund knew to not overrate his own abilities as a tactician. As a king he prided himself on gathering men of talent to serve him and here the Fox put his faith in the strategies of Mircea of Wallachia. No man in Europe had more experience fighting the Ottomans than the exiled Voivode. Even more pertinently, no man had as much experience in winning battles against the Ottomans, for Mircea had defeated Bayezid at the Battle of Karanovasa and fought to a draw at the Battle of Rovine. Both battles had been exceptionally bloody affairs better known by their nicknames. The former was called the Battle of the Trenches as the Wallachians and Ottomans repeatedly fought over the trenches and palisades guarding the Ottoman camp. The latter known as the Battle of the Marshes, named for the bloody fields of mud the combatants had fought in over the course of a week before Mircea ordered a tactical withdrawal of the Wallachian army. Both battles had been costly in lives for both sides, but had given Mircea a unique understanding of Ottoman tactics and Bayezid’s mindset.

At Nicopolis Mircea proposed that the crusader army be drawn up into three lines to meet the Ottoman attack. Revealing that the Ottomans always deployed their worst troops first, the Wallachian Voivode volunteered that his own Wallachians would make up the first line. The Wallachians had the most experience fighting the Ottomans, and being an army of mainly archers and light infantry were the most well suited to dealing with the Ottoman conscripts. It was also known that Muslim armies employed many archers in their ranks. It must be said, the Ottomans only had so many arrows available and the Wallachian infantry were simply more expendable than their allied cavalry. Such was the cold calculus of war that Mircea was willing to sacrifice his own troops in the first rank as arrow fodder for victory if it would liberate his homeland. At least his archers were able to fire back with their own bows, which would be just as effective against the lightly armored Ottoman line.

The second line Mircea reasoned would be made up by the Hungarians and Transylvanians. Having more infantry contingents than the French, they would be able to relieve the Wallachians once the Ottomans committed their actual army into the battle and fight them on even terms. Finally with the Ottomans softened up, the heaviest component of the crusader army, the French cavalry would form the third line and strike the decisive blow to the battle. Having gained much experience in dealing with French sensibilities the last few months, Sigismund was careful to portray the strategy as allowing the French knights to fight only the worthy opponents, while the Wallachians and Hungarians would separate the the grain from the chaff for them.

Mircea’s battleplan was logical and sound, based on logic and reasoning from his prior encounters with Bayezid. That was also the reason the French refused to accept it, flat out rejecting the plan in the most absolute of terms. Jean of Nevers, Philip of Artois, and the French knights were outraged at the prospect of forming the rear line and following peasants into battle. D’Eu going as far as to say he would rather duel any man who presumed to ride in front of him. The Count of Eu was a renowned tourney knight, at least back in France, but it is likely many of the Hungarian nobles in attendance were sorely tempted to take him up on that offer. While it was true that Mircea’s army was made primarily of the peasant class, Wallachia being a poorer land, the Hungarian crusader contingent had included many of Hungary’s most notable magnates and knights. Many had grown increasingly tired of the unequal treatment they and their king received from their crusader ‘guests’. Sigsimund took the step of abjuring the council before a clash could occur within the war tent.

The end result was that no strategy had been formulated by the time Bayezid’s army had arrived the next morning. Fortunately for the crusaders, the Ottoman Sultan chose to fight a defensive battle, deploying his army upon a hill and politely waiting for the crusading army to draw themselves up into battle formation while he prayed. The outburst of Nevers and D’Eu at the prior war council had guaranteed the French formed the vanguard of the crusader army, while behind them was the rest of the crusader army formed up around the Hungarian contingent. Almost as a last minute decision, the crusaders killed their Turkish prisoners to prevent them from being liberated by a sortie from Nicopolis and threatening the army's rear. Such was the rush to prepare for battle that the men-at-arms neglected to bury the prisoners in the aftermath of the massacre.

On the other side, Bayezid had positioned his army atop a densely wooded hill, the trees to either side ensuring his position would not be easily outflanked. Deploying in traditional Ottoman battle formation, the first line of the Ottoman army was formed by a mass of akinji light cavalry on the slope of the hill to screen the army. Directly behind the akinji were the azabs, poorly armed conscripts.

As predicted by Mircea and Sigsimund both the azabs and akinji were irregular components of the Ottoman army, untrained and not expected to last long in pitch battle. One on foot and the other on horseback, both were unpaid classes of soldiers and were considered mere raiders by the regular army. Yet despite their sorry lot in life, they were intensely motivated by the Ottoman doctrine of holy war, and the opportunity for pillage provided to them outside of battle or the opportunity for martyrdom within in. The commander of the division was Evrenos Bey, who’s soldiers called him Baba and believed that their commander was over a hundred years old. Regardless of the truth, it was clear Evrenos was a popular and long serving gazi with a lifetime of experience available to him.

Behind the conscripts lay Bayezid’s actual army, the janissaries and sipahi cavalrymen under the command of his sons. As was their custom the sipahi of Rumelia held the position of honor on the right flank, due to the battle taking place in Europe, while the Anatolian sipahi were positioned on the left flank. Finally on the reverse slope of the hill Bayezid personally commanded his reserves. This included the personal household troops of the Ottoman Sultan, but also the Serbian cavalry under the reluctant command of Stefan Lazarevic. Satisfied with his deployment, now all Bayezid had to do was wait.

Overall the armies were evenly matched in number, with around 24,000 troops on the crusader side and 25,000 for the Ottomans.

The Ottomans would later claim Bayezid deliberately kept his reserves on the other side of the hill to mislead the crusaders on his true numbers and provoke an attack. The truth is there was simply no more room on the hill to place horses and men. The cunning Evrenos did however order the azab infantry to crouch and lay near the ground, so that from the front they would be concealed behind the horses of the akinji,

The preliminary shots of the Battle of Nicopolis opened when Evrenos’ horses archers began harassing the French lines, and the crossbows of the French returning fire. Though the light arrows of the akinji firing from horseback did little damage to the heavily armored French men-at-arms, it did succeed in annoying them. As Sigismund notified Jean of Nevers that his forces were delayed in forming up behind them, Nevers consulted with his senior advisors to determine their course.

Enguerrand de Coucy and Jean de Vienne naturally supported waiting for the Hungarians and Germans to be ready before advancing. That much seemed obvious to the two elder knights, as it seemed foolhardy to move to attack the enemy with less than half of the crusader army. The younger knights led by Philip of Artois and Jean Boucicaut however proposed an immediate charge against the Ottoman positions. In the mind of D’Eu, Sigismund’s actions over the last month had been warped into a conspiracy by the King of Hungary to rob the French of their glory. By seeking to place the French knights in the rearline, D’Eu reasoned that Sigismund had planned to monopolize glory in the upcoming battle by fighting the Ottomans without the French. By the calculations of D'Eu therefore the Ottomans were only as strong as a portion of the crusader army, and the strength of French chivalry would be able to do the same and defeat the Ottomans without the assistance of the Hungarians.

Disagreement once again nearly resulted in a clash of arms. This time internally between the French as Coucy called D’Eu presumptuous for his words and D’Eu declared the older knights cowards for their caution. It is possible that a personal element had become involved between the two knights. As Constable, D’Eu was the highest ranking soldier in the Kingdom of France. Coucy however held a higher reputation in the eyes of many and had twice declined promotion to the same rank of Constable D'Eu now held. Jealousy may have resulted in D’Eu to oppose Coucy so that he could obtain the chivalric glory to surpass him. Regardless, D’Eu’s speech won over Nevers, who was closer in age and temperament with him, and reluctantly Coucy and Vienne resigned themselves that if the younger knights charged they would have to go with them or watch Nevers and D’Eu be slaughtered alone. With Nevers and D'Eu at the tip of the formation, and Vienne carrying the French standard, the French contingent began their march.

The advance of the French swiftly dispersed the Ottoman skirmishers, and as they reached the Ottoman lines transitioned into a charge up hill at the akinji. Evrenos Bey had his men hold position as long as possible to rain arrows at the approaching cavalry, but astonished by how armored the western European knights were ordered his raiders to pull back to the flanks of the battlefield.

The charge of the French therefore did not connect with the Ottoman light horse, but into the line of sharpened stakes hidden directly behind them. It was clear now that the morning wait to allow the crusader to prepare had not been solely out of gentlemanly conduct by the Ottomans. While the crusaders had struggled to draw up a battle formation, Bayezid had taken the morning to allow his azabs to entrench themselves with a line of wooden stakes facing outward. Horses were impaled and their riders thrown to the ground or speared in the leg along with them. This resulted in further obstacles as the knights coming behind them had to maneuver to avoid trampling over their fellows in addition to the stakes, while also preventing the knights even further back from then riding into them.

As the French charge came to a halt and turned into chaos, the Ottoman azabs rose up and swarmed over them, shouting their warcries. The azabs were unarmored and poorly trained, if trained at all, and died in droves against armored knights skilled in the use of real weapons. But with suicidal disregard for their mortal lives the conscripts surged forward over disoriented and dismounted crusaders, attempting to harm them by any means they could, even if they had to tear them limb from limb. And with the mass of bodies the azabs had blunted the French charge, preventing them from advancing forward or safely navigating the deadly wall of spikes. In this they fulfilled their role, keeping the Sultan’s enemies in position as arrows came flying in overhead, fired by the archers and janissaries positioned further up the hill.

Yet surprisingly for many of the French knights this situation was considered nearly ideal. The stakes had been an unpleasant surprise, but death was always a risk of battle. Nevers and D’Eu had both somehow survived despite being the very tip of the French charge. As far as they were concerned, the Ottoman infantry had proven to be just as feeble as they expected, and provided plenty of opportunity to slaughter them for chivalric glory. Fully armored and trained in arms their whole lives, once they found their bearings the knights were near unstoppable juggernauts compared to the conscripted Turkish herdsmen and farmers. Dismounting his horse, Coucy fought back a section of the Ottoman line and organized a party to tear the anti-cavalry stakes from the ground. Opening up a gap wide enough that a line of twenty horses could fit through, the French charged once again. This time the courage of the Ottoman infantry broke and they routed to the victorious cheers of the French.

Coucy then attempted to rally the French to reorganize and secure their gains, regrouping to allow the Hungarians to catch up. But D’Eu, having acquired a new horse, rode after the fleeing Ottomans, believing that the entire Ottoman force to have been defeated. Following the Constable, the rest of the French army began a second charge up the hill. But at the crest they were met by the Ottoman Siaphi. Professional fiefholders who's only profession was as cavalrymen, the eastern counterpart to the feudal knights. Bayezid’s actual soldiers, as Sigsimund had warned. Though more lightly equipped than their knightly counterparts, the Ottoman cavalry began pressing the exhausted French hard on the flanks. To make matters worse Evrenos Bey’s raiders had returned behind them to cut off the French retreat. The encirclement completed, Sultan Bayezid joined the fray with his personal household cavalry divisions.

By the time Sigsimund arrived with the rest of the crusader army he was cursing the French in all seven languages he knew. [1] The French crusaders had neglected to inform their erstwhile allies of their movements but the stream of riderless horses and fleeing men the Hungarians had seen as they marched provided some clue as to the fate of the French. These hints turned to confirmation as they came closer and Bayezid released his siaphis to confront the German-Hungarian army.

Grimly, Sigsimund gave the order for his army to advance. Though thoroughly displeased with the way the battle had turned, the King of Hungary calculated he still had reason to believe the Christians could carry the day. The charge of the French had resulted in the loss of over a third of the Crusader army, but they had also inflicted enormous casualties upon the Ottoman infantry. Unintentionally, Nevers and D’Eu had played the role of arrow fodder softening up the Ottomans as called for in Mircea’s original battle plan. From his position Sigsimund could see the battle standard of the French held upon the hill by Jean de Vienne. Therefore at least a portion of the French were still fighting and tying down large parts of the Ottoman army on that hill. If SIgsimund could just see off the enemy in front of him, the German-Hungarians could breakthrough and join with the French, and he could enjoy seeing Neves and D’Eu beg his forgiveness. God willing.

With shouts of St. Ladislaus and St. George, Sigsimund’s center engaged the enemy. This time it was the Ottoman cavalry who had become exhausted from hours of fighting, and the Hungarians that were relatively fresh. Fighting fiercely the melee once again seemed in favor of the crusaders. But the two divisions on the flanks lagged behind as Sigsimund advanced, and eventually began withdrawing from the battle entirely without fighting. Sigsimund had been betrayed.

Mircea of Wallachia was the last person who would have cut a deal with the Ottomans. The exiled ruler of Wallachia held the Serbians, Bulgarians, and Greeks in disdain for their forced subservience to the Sultan. Yet his motive for retreating was ultimately the same as their motives for surrendering. With the French having rejected his advice, Mircea saw the battle as hopeless and considered it a higher priority to conserve his forces so that he could liberate Wallachia himself. Sigismund after all had only ever been an ally of convenience, and the French even less than that for the Vovoide. He perhaps might have felt some sympathy for Sigsimund for having to deal with the stubbornness of the French, but the king had in truth not treated Mircea much differently. Hungary had long standing claims over the Danube principalities and Sigsimund had refused to deal with Mircea unless he had subordinated himself as a vassal. Ironically like Lazarevic, Mircea had seen little reason to trade one master for another.

Meanwhile for Stephen Lackfi, Sigsimund had not even been that. The Croatian nobleman had nominally made his peace with Sigsimund previously, but the rest of his family retained their loyalty to Ladislaus of Durazzo, King of Naples. Now having concluded like Mircea that the battle was lost, Stephen Lackfi returned to his old loyalties by ordering the Transylvanians and Szekelys under his command to withdraw from the battle. If Sigsimund and his supporters died at Nicopolis, all the easier for the king across the Adriatic to claim the crown of St. Andrew after all. As Lackfi directed his troops to march home he reflected that Ladislaus had fled Hungary years ago, but his Italian supporters called him the Magnanimous. The Lackfi family had stayed loyal all these years and with Sigsimund's death he would singlehandedly revive his faltering cause and was sure to be rewarded. He may even have to thank Bayezid after the battle.

Witnessing the abandonment of both his flanks, Sigsimund could do nothing in the moment but press forward even harder. Lackfi would have to wait. Fighting with a renewed fury and desperation, the remaining collection of Hungarians, Germans, and Hospitaller knights succeeded in gaining ground against the Turks. With the flanks compromised the leaders of the crusade army knew that if they stopped they would die. From his vantage point on the hill the Ottoman sultan could see his troops wavering. The tired Ottomans would not hold out for much longer. Signalling his flagman, Bayezid sent in his final reserve: the Serbs.

Emerging from the woods Stefan Lazarevic’s cavalry charged directly into the gap left open by Lackfi’s withdrawal. Where the knights of France had been clad in a dazzling assortment of coats and colors the knights of Serbia all wore uniformly darkened armor, called blue iron by their Turkish allies. Unlike the Turkish cavalrymen, the Serbian knights were equipped in equal armor to the western knights and able to fight them on an equal footing. Within minutes these black knights had put the Hungarian advance to a deadstop, and then a full rout. Witnessing the courage and skill of their infidel allies, the Ottoman cavalry turned and renewed their attacks once more, the end of the grueling battle in sight. Seeing his Count Palatine unhorsed and chaos in all directions, Sigsimund knew that there was no hope of rallying now. The King of Hungary could only do what the rest of the crusader remnants were doing: Flee towards the Danube river in hope of finding a boat to escape the battle, under pursuit by Serbs and Siaphis all the way.

The Crusade of Nicopolis had ended in a complete defeat for the crusading host. A dissapointing and painful closing to a vibrant century of crusades. The Balkans would have to wait many more decades to be freed from Ottoman rule. But Sigsimund would remember this day for the rest of his life. As his small fishing boat rowed across the Danube the king was heard repeatedly declaring to his companions: “We lost the day by the pride and vanity of these French” [2]

[1] Czech, German, Hungarian, French, Latin, Italian, Polish
[2] Actual quote by Sigsimund to the Grandmaster of the Hospitallers, who was French.
 
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Well it seems another crusade as failed because of ego and Infighting well at least Stefan and he’s Serbians proved themselves to the Ottomans and bought themselves some favours with the Sultan.
 
The PoD hasn't happened yet, right? Or have I missed something?

Edit: Is it Nicholas Garai getting unhorsed (and dying in the chaos) instead of being spotted by Stefan and being used to negotiate a truce?
 
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Ugh, clearly the French leaders learned all about wisdom, forethought, and vision from John the Blind.
I probably need to point out I'm not making this up. It really was that bad.

At the time of Nicopolis crusade Lithuania wasn't pagan, it was Catholic and Poland's "vassal"
That is true. However the Teutonic Knights for a time claimed the conversion was illegitimate to continue their annual chevauchee. Most of Europe seems to have bought that, so foreign noblemen such as Henry Bolingbroke continued to campaign against Lithuania to fulfill a crusading vow even years after they were officially Catholic. The Baltic was closer and more convenient than far away Jerusalem. It was only around 1402 when the Pope told the Order and foreign knights to cut it out and got it to stick.

Hence Philip the Bold did consider Lithuania as a valid target for his crusade, nearly pagan from his perspective, and Burgundy and Poland had different Popes anyways. In an alt TL its not impossible that the army sent to Nicopolis OTL get sent to attack officially Catholic Vilnius instead.

Well it seems another crusade as failed because of ego and Infighting well at least Stefan and he’s Serbians proved themselves to the Ottomans and bought themselves some favours with the Sultan.
Indeed. There were parts of the French such as Coucy and Philip the Bold who could put aside ego and focus on the goal. But then there were the rest of the French.

The PoD hasn't happened yet, right? Or have I missed something?

Edit: Is it Nicholas Garai getting unhorsed (and dying in the chaos) instead of being spotted by Stefan and being used to negotiate a truce?
Nope! Haven't missed anything yet. You are correct, Nicopolis has gone as OTL so far.

The Palatine in this case is Leustak Jolsvai, who was also unhorsed and captured at the real battle.

The next chapter will get into the activities of Nicholas Garai (who does live) as well as changes from history.

Thank you everyone for reading and comments.
 
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