Ireland joins WW2 and reunifies

The British offer of acceptance "in principle" of the idea of a united Ireland (with the "details" to be worked out later) was just too vague to induce de Valera to have Eire enter the war at a time when popular sentiment was clearly pro-neutrality. To quote Tim Pat Coogan's De Valera: Long Fellow, Long Shadow:

"Like Maffey earlier, MacDonald had to read this to the nearly blind de Valera. But de Valera's political vision was sufficiently keen for him to spot the snag immediately. MacDonald reported that his reaction was that 'Eire was to enter the war immediately, but a United Ireland was to be a deferred payment'. As MacDonald struggled to convince him that Britain would not renege on her undertakings, de Valera's other fears emerged. The Germans would savagely bomb Ireland to make an example of her to other neutrals. Moreover, MacDonald reported:37 'One of the decisive influences on Mr. de Valera's mind now is his view that we are likely to lose the war.'

"The next day de Valera described the proposals to his Cabinet, which found them 'unacceptable'. He was empowered to tell MacDonald so in the company of Lemass and Aiken; it proved to be a hard man, soft man type of encounter. MacDonald said afterwards that whenever Lemass `began to develop at any length an argument that might have led to some compromise, one or other of his colleagues intervened with a fresh uncompromising statement'. Fear of Germany and the shadow of Irish history lay across the discussion, precluding any leaps of the imagination. The Irishmen were influenced by experiences in their own lifetimes such as the Curragh Mutiny and the fate of John Redmond, who had encouraged thousands of young Irishmen to their deaths for a Home Rule that never materialized. De Valera wanted to know: 'What guarantee... did the British have that the Northern Ireland Government would agree, even if they had accepted the plan in principle, to join a United Ireland in practice?'... https://books.google.com/books?id=5CFlCwAAQBAJ&pg=PT594&lpg=PT594

"Apart from de Valera's points about neutrality, the reference to the Constitution is highly significant. Despite his constant use of partition in negotiation — and his perceptive analysis of the real nature of the problem to Frank Gallagher — de Valera was not prepared to risk going further than his Constitution position to abolish the border. Articles 2 and 3, and the Special Position of the Roman Catholic Church, were the parameters of his fiefdom to extreme Republicanism and the Church. He subsequently gave further, differing, reasons for turning down an offer which would almost certainly have led to bombs falling on Dublin in the 1940s, but might have prevented them going off in Belfast and Dublin in the 1990s. He told Maffey that:. 'It had gone hard with him to... turn down the dream of his life. But that in present circumstances it was impossible. It would have meant civil war.' He later told his official biographers that it was because of the doctrine of 'equal holds'. In Bruree it had been the custom amongst his boyhood companions to keep 'equal holds' when engaged in a swap. 'Each was to have a firm grip on what he was to receive before he loosened his grip on that with which he was parting.'41 He did not feel that Chamberlain's offer gave him 'equal holds'. Chamberlain died the following November. De Valera sent his widow a telegram:42 'Mr. Chamberlain will always be remembered by the Irish people for his noble efforts in the cause of peace and friendship between the two nations.' Perhaps she was comforted by it." https://books.google.com/books?id=5CFlCwAAQBAJ&pg=PT596
 

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Well i think Ireland joining the United Kingdom is better than the British invading Ireland, a plan they did make in 1940: What if: British plan to invade Ireland in 1940

In 1940 Churchill made a plan to invade Ireland, he was urged to invade Ireland by Northern Ireland Prime Minister Lord Craigavon, AKA James Craig, a rock ribbed unionist, who believed that Eamon De Valera, the Irish prime minister, had fallen under Nazi sway and a crossborder invasion was needed to remove him and thus he urged Churchill to send British troops composed chiefly of Scottish and Welsh divisions to install a military governor for the whole of Ireland with his HQ in Dublin who would secure the valuable naval bases along the Irish coastline.

Craigavon also told Churchill that distributing propaganda leaflets in Gaelic and English should be used to persuade the Irish that the Scottish and Welsh divisions were there to defend them. Churchill did not do much at first with this invasion idea but later prepared detailed plans for an invasion of southern Ireland.

Field Marshal Montgomery stated in his memoirs: “I was told to prepare plans for the seizure of Cork and Queenstown in southern Ireland so the harbors could be used as naval bases.”

Any invasion of Ireland by Scottish and Welsh divisions would be over quickly with them being able to take control over the country with out much resistance, but for the IRA this would an absolute gift who would have launched waves after wave of guerrilla attacks. “Occupying Ireland would have been an extremely messy and costly undertaking.”

Also attempting to “camouflage” a British invasion by using Scottish or Welsh divisions would have backfired as “Many of the Black and Tans, the British auxiliaries sent to suppress Irish independence, were Scots and they had an appalling reputation”.

In the end this plan was never implemented, Ireland stayed neutral throughout the war, but Irish prime minister De Valera did offend London by offering his condolences to the German ambassador in Dublin on the death of Hitler.
 
Again the reality is that the RN gave up the Treaty Ports in part because of the difficulty in defending them against modern threats, Cobh/Cork had jack shit in terms of air defences or air bases, all of which would have needed to be taken from areas outside of that which the UK held, moreover even by '39 the state of the remaining defences (pre WW1 remember) were severally poor (the Coastal Artillery was wildly inaccurate for example due to lack of spares), the base infrastructure within the harbour was gone or worn out. Moreover as much as I'm not a Dev person he was right, the idea of Ireland joining and "something" happening in the future was never going to fly for those that had dealt with the Treaty Talks of the 20's. As to the plans to invade, yes they did plan that, at the same time they also drew up extensive plans with the Irish Government/military to defend Ireland in the event of Sealion/Green...
 
This fear is most likely the main reason why de Valera never took the British offer OTL.

As I've said I think it's far more likely the people that were involved to some degree in the Treaty Talks had "Jack shit" faith in any UK Cabinet delivering a sell out of NI under any circumstances, particularly if it was a "credit" situation that would come to pass after WW2
 
What if: British-Ireland deal in 1940, united Ireland goes to war

A British plan, drawn up in June 1940, envisaged an immediate declaration accepting "the principle" of a united Ireland, the establishment of a Joint Defence Council and a joint body to deal with the constitutional detail of unity and the possibility of merging the administrations North and South. In return, the then Taoiseach, Eamon de Valera, was asked to abandon the policy of neutrality.

But Ireland could remain "non-belligerent" if the government invited British ships into Irish ports and British troops and aircraft were allowed access to Irish territory to secure the country against a German invasion while protecting Britain's western flank.

In a Dominions Office file from June 27th, 1940, released as part of the open government initiative, the Secretary of State for the Colonial Office, Malcolm MacDonald, told the Taoiseach over lunch that if the plan was accepted "a united Ireland would come into actual being within a comparatively short period of time".

The meeting was the culmination of discussions between the two men over 10 days in Dublin when de Valera had outlined his opposition to abandoning neutrality and renewed his calls for Britain to supply Ireland with arms to defend itself against German attack.

De Valera eventually rejected the plan on the grounds that Dublin could not be sure London would fulfil its guarantee of a united Ireland, his belief that Britain would lose the war and the fear of dissension within the Fianna Fail party.
The then Northern Ireland Prime Minister, James Craig, was incensed when he was told about the plan for a united Ireland.

At the Dublin meeting, which was also attended by the Minister of Supplies, Sean Lemass, and the Minister for External Affairs, Frank Aiken, Lemass said there was no guarantee in the plan that a united Ireland would be established immediately. Indeed, de Valera had made the same point during a meeting with MacDonald on June 26th when he described the offer as a "deferred payment" for entering the war.

But MacDonald countered by claiming that while London "would be glad if a united Ireland could come into being at once", there were practical difficulties that made such a proposal impossible. The three governments would need to consider at length a new constitution. Merely extending the Irish Constitution to include Northern Ireland would not work either, he told de Valera.

Dublin also raised concerns about Northern Ireland's willingness to unite. MacDonald told de Valera London would not "coerce" Northern Ireland into an agreement and "would not and could not march troops into the six counties to force a policy upon their government". Nevertheless, the present circumstances "offered a very good chance of such an agreement being reached".

Aiken then raised the possibility that British security could still be guaranteed if Northern Ireland was informed that Ireland would remain neutral. But MacDonald dismissed Aiken's proposal, pointing out that Northern Ireland's role in the war was "most valuable to us".

MacDonald then asked to speak not as a representative of the British government, but in a private capacity as an individual "whose sympathies were on the side of the establishment of a united Ireland".

He told de Valera and his colleagues that they faced a stark choice. "If the leaders of Eire now stayed out of the war, and perhaps contributed to German strength by doing so, whilst the people of Northern Ireland and of the United Kingdom were joined in the supreme struggle against the Nazis, then none of us in Britain would be very concerned to create a united Ireland afterwards."

A German invasion of Ireland, MacDonald said, would "extinguish Irish freedom" during the war, but if Ireland's defences were increased it would make a German attack much less likely.

But de Valera argued that national unity would be broken if British troops were stationed on Irish soil and Ireland's neutrality would be prejudiced, exposing the country to a greater risk of German attack.

In a meeting on June 26th when MacDonald read out the entire British plan, he noted de Valera's resistance to the plan. "He said that to involve his people in a war was a terrible responsibility . . . he thought it more likely that the Germans would wish to punish them savagely for presuming to enter the war against them. They would bomb Dublin."
That appears to have been lifted wholesale from the IT, here.
 
Well i think Ireland joining the United Kingdom is better than the British invading Ireland, a plan they did make in 1940: What if: British plan to invade Ireland in 1940

In 1940 Churchill made a plan to invade Ireland, he was urged to invade Ireland by Northern Ireland Prime Minister Lord Craigavon, AKA James Craig, a rock ribbed unionist, who believed that Eamon De Valera, the Irish prime minister, had fallen under Nazi sway and a crossborder invasion was needed to remove him and thus he urged Churchill to send British troops composed chiefly of Scottish and Welsh divisions to install a military governor for the whole of Ireland with his HQ in Dublin who would secure the valuable naval bases along the Irish coastline.

Craigavon also told Churchill that distributing propaganda leaflets in Gaelic and English should be used to persuade the Irish that the Scottish and Welsh divisions were there to defend them. Churchill did not do much at first with this invasion idea but later prepared detailed plans for an invasion of southern Ireland.

Field Marshal Montgomery stated in his memoirs: “I was told to prepare plans for the seizure of Cork and Queenstown in southern Ireland so the harbors could be used as naval bases.”

Any invasion of Ireland by Scottish and Welsh divisions would be over quickly with them being able to take control over the country with out much resistance, but for the IRA this would an absolute gift who would have launched waves after wave of guerrilla attacks. “Occupying Ireland would have been an extremely messy and costly undertaking.”

Also attempting to “camouflage” a British invasion by using Scottish or Welsh divisions would have backfired as “Many of the Black and Tans, the British auxiliaries sent to suppress Irish independence, were Scots and they had an appalling reputation”.

In the end this plan was never implemented, Ireland stayed neutral throughout the war, but Irish prime minister De Valera did offend London by offering his condolences to the German ambassador in Dublin on the death of Hitler.
A British invasion of Ireland would have had serious political ramifications in the US, on whom Britain was then dependent for survival.
 
They would have got some territory out of it, Stormont never wanted South Armagh and would have probably agreed to handing it over as a gesture of good faith. Not too sure about the 1940 demographics of Newry, but maybe Newry as well as it was a significantly Nationalist major town. Probably some local border adjustments in Fermanagh and Tyrone. But nothing that would have been worth a major war in terms of tax revenues or new industry.
 
They would have got some territory out of it, Stormont never wanted South Armagh and would have probably agreed to handing it over as a gesture of good faith. Not too sure about the 1940 demographics of Newry, but maybe Newry as well as it was a significantly Nationalist major town. Probably some local border adjustments in Fermanagh and Tyrone. But nothing that would have been worth a major war in terms of tax revenues or new industry.
It's unlikely that anything less than the full counties would have been accepted.
 
It's unlikely that anything less than the full counties would have been accepted.
And that is the trouble, none of them are realistically deliverable without a massive programme of population exchanges. In 1940 Fermanagh is still 49% Unionist and Tyrone around 45% (with a small local majority in East Tyrone) and the other four all have large overall Unionist majorities. It is not until WW2 and the Cold War that the Unionist population really starts to concentrate in the East of the Province as the new industries develop, the railways close and the Linen industry, fishing and coastal shipping begins to decline. Not to mention farm consolidation and mechanisation. This is then accelerated by the Troubles. At the outbreak of WW2 however Unionism is much more evenly distributed than eighty years later.
 
And that is the trouble, none of them are realistically deliverable without a massive programme of population exchanges. In 1940 Fermanagh is still 49% Unionist and Tyrone around 45% (with a small local majority in East Tyrone) and the other four all have large overall Unionist majorities. It is not until WW2 and the Cold War that the Unionist population really starts to concentrate in the East of the Province as the new industries develop, the railways close and the Linen industry, fishing and coastal shipping begins to decline. Not to mention farm consolidation and mechanisation. This is then accelerated by the Troubles. At the outbreak of WW2 however Unionism is much more evenly distributed than eighty years later.
Anyone for a spot of Ethnic (well religious) Cleansing? It was pretty popular back then...

Sigh, Juts for the record I'd like to point out I'm personally not at all in favour of such measures.
 
Just to point out, bombs DID fall on Dublin in 1940 and 1941. There were several instances of German aircraft accidentally bombing targets in Eire.

I was once told German pilots mistook Dublin for Liverpool (okay ?).
 
Just to point out, bombs DID fall on Dublin in 1940 and 1941. There were several instances of German aircraft accidentally bombing targets in Eire.

I was once told German pilots mistook Dublin for Liverpool (okay ?).

They did and in Belfast of course (along with the attacks on shipping), but that's highly unlikely to change anything in the domestic viewpoint, and yeah navigation was an issue, there's still some of the markings in areas with giant White "EIRE" to this day for example
 
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