In this country , it is good to kill an admiral from time to time

Wow, the UPNG grows less likable with every chapter. I'm starting to think France "deserves" to rule all of North America. I mean, Louisiana was not really democratic (they put the OTL 2021 Georgia voting restrictions to shame when it came to voter suppression), and the UPNG treats everyone else like garbage, puppets included. I'm actually rooting for Spain to gain the upper hand in South America (since they're actually getting better, albeit slowly).

Will China ever consider taking advantage of the UPNG's weakness and hit Vietnam again? No one else who would object has the strength/stability to stop it. Or, China could make a deal with Japan to fight Russia together. Not that they like each other (although ironically it's not Japan's fault ITTL), but they both want land back from Russia.

Speaking of, it's weird (and a bit heartwarming) that Japan isn't even close to as monstrous ITTL as they were IOTL in the early-mid 20th century. So there will (probably) be no Nanjing Massacre (which killed more people than both atom bombs) or death of 10-30 million Chinese from the awful Japanese atrocities of OTL WW2. Kind of nice to think about.
Economic colonialism is rarely nice. That's said, that doesn't mean the UPNG rule over its 'ally' didn't have some benefits for the population at large, even if many will deny it to their last breath. The pre-Great War regime of Mexico was hardly tolerant, just, or competent. It was definitely not sunshine and roses.
The main difference is the fact the ruler was not foreign, and less efficient at administrating.

China is looking at the situation with...an interested eye.

Japan is unlikely to go onto a rampage, that's true. With Russia and China being so close and so powerful, having ended a long period of disunification and all...well, for the moment war parties aren't exactly on the ascendant. The military is firmly under control of the civilian side (though the line between the two remains far more blurry than it is in Europe) and they have no real aspirations to expand further into Asia.

I suppose the best expression to describe the situation is "Courage, flee!" the rats are leaving the sinking ship as if the armies of Hell were after them... or just the rioting crowds angry with them.

This seems like an possible ITTL equivalent of the OTL crisis of '29 (on steroids), I mean a major country appears to be on the verge of a severe crisis, a major economical power, so economical consequences will probably affect a lot of country. The weakest countries would suffer badly while others not as connect as the Pact or the UPNG would see an opportunity to conquer weaken foes forgetting some details like who they are allied to or they would do something stupid like OTL France when it invades Germany during the crisis of '29 but with immediate (and bloody) consequences not delayed ones like OTL.
It's not bad...but it could have been, if they had not resigned in mass.

Yes, as always, weakness and moments of vulnerabilities attract predators.
 
The Wheel of Elections (UPNG 1922)


If the most important political factions of Bogota had been given time to push forwards a campaign of information – or disinformation, their opponents would hiss between their teeth – it was possible they could have stayed in power.

After all, the ‘balance sheet’ when it came to the Aristocratic Republic of Merica wasn’t that bad. The local population might have forgotten it, but New Spain had utterly fallen apart during the last months of the Great War. Previous this military and economic collapse, one could readily admit the situation hadn’t been good either. Whether one called it ‘Mexican Empire’, ‘New Spain’, or any other name, the reality was that the nation once ruled from Mexico City was poor, underdeveloped, and suffering from the multitude of effects which always exist when the government is not powerful enough to administer properly the provinces.

All of this to say that the average Merican was nine times out of ten far wealthier than he would have been thirty years ago, and the administration of the country in question was far less corrupt.

Unfortunately, both opponents on each side of the divide weren’t exactly in the mood to recognise the boons of this. The native population hated the reality that this corruption was now done by foreigners, not them, and the Granadans were aghast at the idea that all the rules imposed by Bogota were null and void the moment it was done outside the frontiers. It was very convenient that for decades, small businessmen and city majors were arrested on bribery charges, while at the same time ministers and high-ranked characters improved their monthly income by participating in international robbery.

The former government members could protest all they want about their pure intentions, the public was exhausted, and the formation of a ‘Conservative Party’ merging most of the Federalists and Confederates primary figures confirmed the fears of many that the politicians were all guilty for the latest round of misfortunes and scandals. The self-proclaimed ‘Conservatives’ were soon labelled ‘Ultra-Corrupt and Conservatives’, ‘Colonial Conservative Party’, and ‘Profit and Exploitation’.

Millions of citizens were tired of this cycle of elections which changed nothing, and their anger allowed the New Liberal Party to be created and present credible candidates for the next elections. The credo of this new legislative force was simple: enough with the foreign adventures, decrease the taxes, decrease the ever-rising military spending, and the UPNG would put an end to these one-sided economic ultimatums which made sure few nations outside of its core of true allies liked their republic.

In the first days of election campaign, the Conservative Party didn’t take these shouts very seriously. Neither did most of the foreign agents commenting the events to their masters an ocean away. There were hundreds of new minor parties everywhere, and the New Liberal Party didn’t seem to be more special than thousands of others.

It was only when they began of outright ceasing the military support continuously sent to Californian Taiwan, a move which was widely popular in the key cities, that the establishment began to worry seriously. The Californian ambassador and his mission did more than worry, obviously.

The sum of the defence plans for Taiwan was made possible because the anti-Chinese coalition had the UPNG among its core founders. If the Granadan Philippine fleet chose to leave the coalition, the risk of having a Chinese invasion fleet on its doorstep before a month was over rose exponentially.

The main shareholders of the great trade companies of the UPNG were also conscious of that risk. So was the disavowed political class. These men had been trying to find a solution to this problem for years, and they had failed to find one. The reality they had been confronted with, but that they had never tried to convince their voters to believe in, was that the UPNG wasn’t among the Great Powers of the world. Their industrialisation efforts weren’t sufficient, and the population levels were too low to matter. Bogota couldn’t win a conflict on land with France, China, or Russia, and against the latter two, it was dubious they would achieve more than a painful stalemate at sea. The great advantage the UPNG retained over the Celestial Empire was superiority in oil production, but since a total blockade of the Chinese would likely not be tolerated a second time, it was not a winning hand.

The Conservative-backed newspapers thus tried to ‘educate’ their citizens on the risks the illogical decisions of the Liberals would have for the UPNG’s economy and reach all over the world. After Taiwan, many retired Admiral were prompt to exclaim, the Chinese army and fleets would hardly feel satiated by an island’s conquest. The Philippines and all the islands part of their Republic would be next. The Brunei Sultanate, the oil jewel of the East Indies, would be left defenceless against a terrible onslaught if fleets were repatriated to Panama.

The reaction to these ‘truths’ was mitigated. While the Chinese Empire, with no presentation on the ground, was hardly in position to deny these claims, the attempt to create in the minds and hearts a ‘Chinese peril’ could not be considered a victory. China was far from the New World. While they were Chinese immigrants in the UPNG, few of them had crossed the Pacific in the last decade. The Chuan Dynasty was a mystery, and the last conflict had resulted in a Chinese reunification while the Granadan Navy watched powerlessly. The reports of the new naval build-up ordered by the Celestial Empress were dismissed as rumours most of the time, and when they didn’t, a certain form of anti-Asiatic prejudice played out.

The reality was that for all the diatribes and warnings, this was an enemy too distant and not enough threatening to catch the attention of the public for long. Merica was next door, and the tax collectors came every year. The Chinese did not. The Conservatives continuously tried to move the political fight onto their area of predilection, the foreign affairs, but the Liberals insisted the ‘internal front’ was their priority.

And since the previous government’s backers didn’t manage to lie convincingly about future decreases of taxes, when Election Day arrived, their defeat was absolutely total.
 
I wonder wouldn't it be smarter for the UPNG to sell Taiwan back to China ? It doesn't seem worth it to try to defend it without mad being a factor.
 
I wonder wouldn't it be smarter for the UPNG to sell Taiwan back to China ? It doesn't seem worth it to try to defend it without mad being a factor.
Taiwan belongs to California, don't forget, not the UPNG. For all the two are allies, the political scene is very different...though yes, the smart move would be to sell the island before they aren't able to hold it militarily. Alas, humans aren't always choosing the smartest decisions...
 
Nah, China can't do that without giving reason to the anti-Chinese propaganda and that would be a stupid mistake. That would renew the idea of the coalition against them and make it strong even.
About the coalition, there is a high probability that it won't survive this mess, what do you think will happen? I bet someone will panicked and do the worst thing possible at the worst time possible
 
Out of Power, Out of Money (UPNG and the World 1922)



By itself, the New Liberal Party’s victory had nothing of particularly triumphant by the standards of the 1910s and the 1920s. They had barely managed to seize forty percent of the electoral vote, and their relative inexperience made sure this translated in barely thirty-five percent of the legislative seats being won.

It was incomparably better than the eight percent of the electoral vote the Conservative Party found itself ‘rewarded’ with.

For the former influential figures of the UPNG government, this announcement was a cold shower, and a bombardment of rotten vegetables in their faces...all at once. Many politicians had watched the wrath of the people in the streets. They had heard the criticism directed against the unpopular taxes destined to finance the military expenses over the Pacific. But a majority had still believed that when the moment came, the voters would remember who had given them prosperity across all classes and thrown the foundations to make the Granadans a nation few couldn’t afford to ignore on the world stage.

The crucial moment had arrived...and the masses had not had a change of heart. In fact, the defeat of the Conservatives was worse than the most pessimistic estimations the younger analysts had the courage to present to them.

This was very, very bad. The first reason why it was so was obviously that for the next four years, the fragile coalition which had attempted to convince their electors that continuing the military occupation of Merica was a necessary evil had no real means of action to make itself heard politically. Their candidate in the subsequent Presidential election two weeks later was humiliated with a pitiful seven percent. This placed the legislative and the executive branches out of their reach...and soon the judicial too, as the Liberals proceeded firsthand to purge the ‘Conservative-aligned’ appointees.

But it was also bad, because by the UPNG’s electoral rules, a political party was beginning to be only partially reimbursed of its electoral campaign’s spending when it reached the arbitrary threshold of ten percent. At the origin an idea of the defunct Federalists to remove ‘troublemakers’, and ‘Collectivists’, the men backed by the wealthiest trade companies had never imagined it might apply to them. Their control had been too secure, their financial supporters too powerful, and their economic achievements too great.

But the impossible had happened. The Conservatives had seen the door slammer on their faces...and moments after the defeat was confirmed, their supporters began what could have been euphemistically called a rout had it been a military situation. The New Liberal’s newspapers were far blunter: ‘the rats are leaving the sinking ship’ was certainly a sentence repeated very often in the streets of Maracaibo.

For two and three percent on each election respectively, there would be no economic salvaging. Reaching such a threshold wouldn’t have solved every economic issue of the Conservatives of course, not with certain arrangements and bargains coming to light and important sums being confiscated before very interesting trials. But the outcome was limpid: the government wouldn’t pay their debts, not today, not in six months, and likely not ever, judging by the speed the Conservatives lost their support base.

And it led to very regrettable actions which were soon going to trigger very dangerous crises.

At the very moment the New Liberal’s foreign minister was ‘besieged’ in his office by the Peruvian and Californian ambassadors amongst many other figures, several key industrialists, including the chief executive of Isthmus Industries, one of the most powerful men in the armament industry of the UPNG, decided they needed valuable currency at any cost. No one could miss the storm coming for their heads: the New Liberal’s spokesmen and spokeswomen had a lot of ‘budget reductions’, ‘audition of the accounts’, ‘investigation for overspending of military projects’ in their mouths.

These industrialists and politicians had contemplated the possibility of an army coup first; but the monumental unpopularity of the Conservative Party and the lack of support of the regiments stationed at home were obstacles too big to be overcome. The Army of the Philippines was their best chance of support...and as the name suggested, it was stationed an ocean away, unable to act. Besides, even if by some miracle they found the transport capacity to move them in one travel to Panama, such a move might convince the Chinese to pull the trigger immediately. In which case, these men – some of them still patriots by a light definition of it – would have unleashed a civil war at home, and a conventional explosion of hostilities overseas.

It took hours for these soon-to-be-irrelevant men to realise that their best chance to survive the coming meetings with the judges was to find some money to pay lawyers and other helpers. Fortunately, there was a formidable opportunity to salvage something: the Greek Generals, unhappy with the Serbians and the Ottomans, were searching for modern artillery. Isthmus Industries had hundreds of modern guns to sell; the contract to deliver them to the UPNG armies had just been torn apart by the Liberals as part of the ‘war profiteering’ of the Conservatives.

Usually, most contracts of this magnitude were negotiated for months. This time from the opening to the end, it took five days. Both sides were convinced to have made an excellent affair: the Greeks got their artillery for less than half of what they had thought it would cost them, and the ‘former Conservatives’ were going to be able to pay their public defenders.

Not one of the parties involved really thought what it would do to the status quo in the Balkans, and the incredibly fast pace of the affair meant that by the time Moscow, the Sublime Porte, or Paris were aware of it, the shipments of weapons were already on their way, sailing across the Atlantic.

Suddenly, a contested electoral succession seemed not to be the New Liberal Party’s chief problem anymore...
 
Selling weapons to the Balkans, what could possibly go wrong ?
...
Well they are military contractors so they just guarantee that their market will continue but I don't think everyone else will thanks them for it.
 
So it does wind up as some fool Balkan thing ?
The people of said theatre object to this totally negative and yet incredibly accurate view of the situation.
Selling weapons to the Balkans, what could possibly go wrong ?
...
Well they are military contractors so they just guarantee that their market will continue but I don't think everyone else will thanks them for it.
You just as to ask the question, didn't you? :evilsmile:

True, and it's not exactly like morality is a highly sought-for quality in their business...I mean, you sell weapons to kill people as efficiently as possible, you don't expect the 'customers' will thank you (unless your weapons are pure garbage and participate in said 'victims' victory).
 
Not so fast! The shipment are still at sea. The most comparable OTL event would be the CCCP missiles going to Cuba, the missiles never maybe it will be the same here. I mean France just have to block Gilbratar and no canons for the Greek.
 
Not so fast! The shipment are still at sea. The most comparable OTL event would be the CCCP missiles going to Cuba, the missiles never maybe it will be the same here. I mean France just have to block Gilbratar and no canons for the Greek.
Yeah, but why? What would the French get out of it?
 
Stability? Remember the financial crisis with Switzerland is still very very recent. People in France don't want war, they want business! They have a lot of civils projects that need lots of money a war would consumated. And business needs stability.

Also why let children play with fire if you can stop them? If the Balkans burns, Russia, Hungary-Austria and the Ottoman (neither are lightweights) could (very) probably end up interfering in the mess and make a bigger mess that could even snowball in the new round of the Great War. On the good news, no one is ready for that so maybe the situation could deescalate after a little posturing and sabre rattling... Except, this is the Balkans we are talking about, if something can go wrong, it will go wrong at the worst possible moment.
 
I know but France is too big to avoid a war so close to its frontiers. By the way, even belligerent can profit of war, look at the IRL USA, without WW I and WW II, the different European power would still control most of the world and USA wouldn't be the superpower it is today.
 
Business is Business (Europe 1922)


Despite the amorality of Isthmus Industries and certain Granadan industrialists, the situation with the armament orders bound for Greece could have been easily stopped by forcing the ships transporting said weapons to turn around.

Obviously, since neither Isthmus Industries nor the conspirators on board with this deal were supported by the new UPNG government, the ships had no warships to escort them.

The main problem was that the secret was unveiled far too late, and by the time a lot of spies finally got to earn the income their superiors paid them with, the first weapon shipment had finished resupplying at Cadiz and was on its way to the eastern Mediterranean.

Obviously, this was not good news for the Ottoman Empire. The Sublime Porte was suspecting – and it had good reasons to – many of these artillery guns had been bought to support Greek ambitions upon Ottoman-held territories. One ship was tolerable, a fleet worth of artillery and other modern weapons wasn’t.

Since the hulls containing the source of uncountable future headaches had to pass by the Gibraltar Straights, the simplest solution was to make sure the Spanish government closed the straits to the industrialists of the Isthmus-backed faction.

It should have been easy if the two nations had cordial relationships...or somewhat friendly treaties.

Unfortunately, this was the Holy Empire of Spain one was speaking about. For all its ‘liberalisation’ of the economy and the society it had undergone recently, Madrid still maintained a very rigid stance about all countries having a significant portion of their citizens being Muslims.

The Ottomans had already had to endure a series of administrative trials worthy of Heracles’ Labours to ensure their merchant ships were allowed to trade in Spanish harbours or go through Gibraltar’s Straits themselves, and a lot of the success had relied upon France playing the middleman. By 1922, the Holy Empress Isabella had yet to accept an ambassador at Madrid, something which was of enormous benefit to the Russian ambassador.

The man, a retired Colonel in the Tsarina’s army – had not been in the confidence at first of the UPNG-Greek transactions, but once his Moscow political patrons had informed him, the influent noble wasted no time supporting a pro-Greek position in every ballroom and council meeting he could be invited to in and out the capital of the Spanish Empire.

Behind the flowery words, the tone was unsubtle: was the Holy Empire not the sworn enemy of the Sublime Porte? Was the Holy Empress not dedicated to returning Constantinople to its legitimate owners and the cities of the Orient to proper religious rule? Were the Greeks not the only bastion of morality and decency since even the former domains of the Habsburgs had allied themselves with the ‘Great Turk’?

Several decades ago, the whole scheme would have likely met more success than it did in 1922. Still, the special envoy of the Ottoman Empire didn’t help his cause by approaching several Ministers with words more fitting for someone in position of strength than one of weakness. Isabella didn’t want the Ottomans to beg her on their knees, but a small amount of recognition for the superior position of the Spanish would have been a good start.

The Ottoman government thought it was a favour to turn these ships around? Well, if this was the case, they might as well do it themselves, then.

Obviously, these diplomatic shenanigans had been widely commented and spread around. The Greeks, prompt to realise how much danger the precious weapon shipments were under, began to escort the Granadan-owned hulls the moment they left Spanish waters past Gibraltar.

Athens had its own message: if their hereditary enemies wanted to stop these ships, they’d better be ready to fight the Greek Navy.

This was hardly the kind of talk which was going to decrease tensions, and soon it got worse, as Sicily sold an aged submarine of its tiny fleet to the Serbian Anarchists, who attempted to use it against one of the Greek-defended convoys...and got promptly sunk for this audacity.

Of course, Belgrade promptly tried to proclaim the men here were official agents of the Serbian government, and since both the submarine and its operators were at the bottom of the Mediterranean, it was difficult to prove otherwise...though naturally, international opinion believed the Anarchists should organise tournaments to see who among their population could tell the most ridiculous lies.

It rapidly got worse after that. The UPNG government had finally woken up to the ugly reality that a lot of its army contractors were selling the first-class modern weapons to the Greeks without bothering informing them. Soon, army regiments marched into Isthmus Industries and arrested several high-level conspirators, though many sea trade magnates and the head of the company escaped to California.

The New Liberal government, furious at the dirty trick the Conservatives had played while their back was turned, moved to suppress the last bastions of the former regime, not that there were many left after the successive electoral debates.

The same day, all weapon sales’ contracts negotiated by Isthmus Industries were declared null and void, and radio messages were sent to order the Granadan captains to return immediately to their home port...without delivering the last weapon shipment to the Greeks.

It was an order which wouldn’t be obeyed. The ship crew had known what they were transporting – machine guns, artillery parts, ammunitions and military equipment were difficult to mistake for something else – and their bosses had chosen them for their Conservative sympathies. Less than twenty-four hours after the UPNG finally wising up, most of the rebellious Granadan ships hoisted the Greek naval colours.

It was a scene which wasn’t limited to the Mediterranean, for Isthmus Industries had tried to fill up its budget a lot before the government hammer hit, and it was estimated afterwards more than fifty civilian ships abandoned the UPNG to search their fortune on new horizons. Most rallied Greece, becoming honorary citizens, but Singapore, Japan, and a few other nations got a couple of ships, the only condition being the principles of amnesty and non-extradition to the UPNG.

As a result, while the relationships between Greece and the Ottoman Empire were awful, those between the UPNG and Athens rapidly became more destructive than this low threshold...
 
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