How to Help the United Arab Republic

[Emperor Casey]

As we know the United Arab Republic had a lot of promise but fell apart in 1961 after tension rose between Syria and Egypt. The former understandably saw themselves being sidelined by Nasser and Egyptian political leaders.

My question is how could the United Arab Republic have survived longer or lasted until the modern day and what the ramifications would have been. Would more Arab states have joined the UAR? How would it affect stability in the region and so forth.

 

[walmart]

My question is how could the United Arab Republic have survived longer or lasted until the modern day and what the ramifications would have been

Have Nasser co-op the Ba’ath party and other local Arab nationalists as his local proxies in Syria instead of running everything from Cairo. It could have saved in the 11th hour by accepting the demands of the 1961 Syrian Coup for autonomy.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1961_Syrian_coup_d'état#The_coup

Would more Arab states have joined the UAR?

The other Arab nationalist states are likely to join over the years

How would it affect stability in the region and so forth.

The success of such state would vindicate Arab nationalism meaning far more legitimacy for the government and Islamism is far less of an ideology in the Arab World. Also annexing the Oil-rich Arab nationalist regions will greatly help the economic situation.

 

[Emperor Casey]

Have Nasser co-op the Ba’ath party and other local Arab nationalists as his local proxies in Syria instead of running everything from Cairo.


The other Arab nationalist states are likely to join over the years


The success of such state would vindicate Arab nationalism meaning far more legitimacy for the government and Islamism is far less of an ideology in the Arab World. Also annexing the Oil-rich Arab nationalist regions will greatly help the economic situation.

Depending on the speed of its rise could it have helped stop the Islamic Revolution in Iran? And would Saudi Arabia be allowed to exist if it continued to funnel money to radicals in those Arab states?

 

[walmart]

Depending on the speed of its rise could it have helped stop the Islamic Revolution in Iran?

Depends on if there is a 1973 oil crisis
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_Revolution#1970–1977

would Saudi Arabia be allowed to exist?

Saudi Arabia is protected by the United States so it will continue to exist

 

[Emperor Casey]

Depends on if there is a 1973 oil crisis
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_Revolution#1970–1977


Saudi Arabia is protected by the United States so it will continue to exist

I can not imagine them being close to allies. But depending on the UAR size its economy could dwarf that of Saudi Arabia.

I also don't see why it would necessarily stop the oil crisis. Changing markets could drive the price of oil down but if there is less conflict there is less to slow the flow of oil. But if the revolution does happen I wonder if they would opt for intervention or simply propping the Shah up.

The only thing that would be annoying for the UAR would be Israel preventing an overland route from Iraq and Syria to Egypt and other states.

 

[walmart]

I can not imagine them being close to allies

They wouldn't be allies rather a continued Arab cold war or a relations similar to that Syria and Saudi Arabia in the 2000s. An uneasy and strained relationship.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saudi_Arabia–Syria_relations#2000s

But if the revolution does happen I wonder if they would opt for intervention or simply propping the Shah up.

They would be enemies with the Shah due to border issues and other issues such the Shah being Pro-American and Pro-Saudi. even if they for some reason tried , they would the lack the capacity.It is more likely they do what Iraq did and try to seize Khuzestan.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran–Iraq_relations#Pahlavi_era

 

[Emperor Casey]

They wouldn't be allies what rather a continued Arab cold war or a Relations similar to that Syria and Saudi Arabia. An uneasy and strained relationship.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saudi_Arabia–Syria_relations#2000s


They would be enemies with the Shah due to border issues and other issues such the Shah being Pro-American and Pro-Saudi. even if they for some reason tried , they would the lack the capacity.It is more likely they do what Iraq did and try to seize Khuzestan.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran–Iraq_relations#Pahlavi_era

I can see them going for Khuzestan in the chaos but I can't see them wanting a powerful Shia extremist in power in Iran vs the Shah.

 

[walmart]

but I can't see them wanting a powerful Shia extremist in power in Iran vs the Shah.

Nether did Saddam one of the goals in taking Khuzestan was to encourage the overthrow of the Iranian government or end it's call for his overthrow. A United Arab republic would lack capacity in taking all of Iran due a number of issues such the poor performance of Arab Armies, Iran's mountainous terrain, large hostile population and a lack of will for a long occupation.

https://nationalinterest.org/feature/kenneth-pollack’s-new-history-arab-armies-44092

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran–Iraq_War#1980:_Iraqi_invasion

 

[Emperor Casey]

Nether did Saddam one of the goals in taking Khuzestan was to encourage the overthrow of the Iranian government or end it's call for his overthrow. A United Arab republic would lack capacity in taking all of Iran due a number of issues such the poor performance of Arab Armies, Iran's mountainous terrain, large hostile population and a lack of will for a long occupation.

https://nationalinterest.org/feature/kenneth-pollack’s-new-history-arab-armies-44092

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran–Iraq_War#1980:_Iraqi_invasion

I imagine it would do better than Iraq did OTL what with more men to throw at the Iranians and more aircraft.