Avoid the Norman Conquest. Saxon England had reasonable relations with the Celtic powers of the Irish Sea and without land-hungry Norman knights invading there will be less direct links between the two.
However, that still leaves the problem of inter-Irish strife which seems to be feature of the place (perhaps there's something in the water ). Scotland did manage to have at least a nominal central government which if it didn't fully control the country at least had those who opposed it recognised as being in rebellion rather than as independent powers. So some sort of unification under a, at least nominally, recognised dynasty would probably help - how that's done is probably more difficult.
Nice one a chara; casual jocular racism is racism nonetheless.
There have been numerous potential turning points in Ireland's sorry history:
- Keep Brian Boróimhe alive 10-20 years post-Clontarf- speculative
- Battle of Baginbun- even speculativer
- Battle of Kinsale, or del Aguila seeking more sensible landfall, a real sickener. A little more support from e.g. the Burkes or O Briens during the Nine Years' War. Victory at Kinsale may have turned a few more
- Phelim O Neill's plot to seize Dublin Castle succeeds
- A tad more pragmatism from the idealists in the Confederation
Et, mais bien sur, l'Expédition d'Irlande.
But none of these would change the macro geopolitics of being a small island, with limited natural resources and negligible mineral wealth, located -and isolated- on the far side of a substantially larger one with an abundance of same, and being of vital strategic importance to it.
It would have taken a 16th century Spanish or 18th century French victory of immense magnitude to prise Ireland out of England's grasp in any treaty. The latter is to all intents and purposes ASB.
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