Grosser Ostaufmarsch: (WW1 Alternate History)

Grosser Ostaufmarsch: (Great Eastern Deployment)
Part 1: Now the Sword Must Decide

When Kaiser Wilhelm sat down for a meeting with Helmuth von Moltke, his Chief of the General Staff, at midday on August 1st, 1914 the situation was grim. A few hours ago he had finished signing the papers for the mobilization of the German army and preparations for war were underway. His nation was looking at the prospect of a war on two fronts, with France attacking on the one side and the Russians on the other. This doomsday scenario of course did not take the Kaiser by surprise; the signing of the French-Russian Entente in 1892 had after all made it fairly obvious that Germany would be faced with a war in both the west and the east. He had even order his military high command to prepare a plan for such a situation in years prior. What they had presented to him in 1905 was what was called the Schlieffen Plan. Named after its creator, the elderly Field Marshal Alfred von Schlieffen, the Schlieffen Plan was supposed to be the “perfect war winning plan.” It called for a majority of the German army to be deployed in the west, while only a token force would be left in the east to hold the Russians at bay. The “Plan” began with a dash through the Low Countries, northern France, and ended with the capture of Paris itself, after only forty days. In Schlieffen’s mind with Paris captured and France defeated a significant portion of the forces in the west could then be sent east to halt the Russians.

This plan as the Kaiser saw it had one major flaw; it called for the invasion of the Low Countries. To the Kaiser an invasion of the Low Countries, especially Belgium, was frightening. He knew that by attacking Belgium, Germany, would provoke England to war and that would then put his own “beloved” navy at risk. This he could not allow. So it was to Moltke’s surprise when the Kaiser informed him of his decision to launch an offensive against Russia, instead of France. Moltke was of course stunned that the Kaiser would just simply dismiss the Schlieffen Plan and the last decade of German military preparations. At first he vigorously protested, but after sensing the Kaiser’s irritation he remembered what happened to old Bismarck and simply gave in saying “as you wish sire, we will conduct a Grosser Ostaufmarsch and Russia will be bleed white!”

Molke after the meetings conclusion withdrew to the quiet seclusion of his office. He now contemplated how many armies to send to the east and how many to keep in the west. Since the Kaiser suspended all thought of offensive operations in the west, Moltke felt that no more than five armies needed to remain there. He decided upon keeping Albrecht’s 4th Army, the Crown Prince’s 5th Army, Rupprecht’s 6th Army, and Heeringen’s 7th Army for the defence against any French offensive action. Putting these forces aside, Moltke was now left with the choose of what to deploy for the Grosser Ostaufmarsch, Kluck’s 1st Army, Bulow’s 2nd Army and Hausen’s 3rd Army were all still available. These forces would normally have made up the right wing of theSchlieffen plan, but now were without a task. This thus promoted Moltke to send the 1st and 2nd armies with all possible speed to East Prussia to join Prittwitz’s 8th Army which was already deploying there. Hausen’s 3rd Army would have to remain behind for a short while, due to the limits of the rail network in the east, but it was Molke’s hope that this force would also be deployed east in due time. After this period of contemplation, Moltke discussed the entire situation with his logistics expert Wilhelm Groener, before he finalized and issued his orders. He then, in the closing hours of August 1st 1914, made preparations for the conscription for two new German armies, the 9th and 10th, which would hopefully be deployed to the east by the end of the year.

The Kaiser meanwhile had broken off all contact with cousin “Nicky” and took up the task of rallying the populace. From the balcony of his palace, in Berlin, on the 4th of August he made another one of his famous fiery speeches. Declaring that “in the midst of peace we are now attacked by the enemy” and that “now the sword must decide.” He warned the crowd of 100,000 or so people that “any indecision, any hesitation, would betray the fatherland.” By the speeches conclusion the German people had no doubt in their minds that they would emerge victorious in this war to end all wars.

Russia and France at this point were busy making their own preparations. The 1.2 million man Russian Army was on the march, four Russian Armies deployed along the border with Austria and a further two along its border with Germany. The two forces that deployed opposite Germany in early August were the Russian Niemen and Narew armies. The Niemen Army was under the command of Paul von Rennenkampf and was assigned with the task of attacking north of the Masurian Lakes region into East Prussia. The Russian Narew Army, under Alexander Samsonov, was instructed to advance south of the Masurain Lakes. The goal of the offensive was to advance on East Prussia from two different directions and destroy the German forces. Both the Niemen and Narew armies was under the overall command of Yakov Zhilinsky, the commander of the Northwest Front, who in turn was under orders from, the Czar’s cousin and Commander in Chief of the Russian military, Grand Duke Nicholas.

France at the other end was in the process of deploying five armies along its border with Germany. They were getting ready to conduct French General Joseph Joffre’s Plan XVII, which called for a multi army offensive into German held Alsace-Lorraine. Alsace-Lorraine had been lost to the Germans after France’s great defeat in the Franco-Prussian War of 1870-71 and it was a matter of national pride that it had to be regained. On the diplomatic end French Ambassador to Russia, Maurice Paleologue, was prodding Czar Nicholes II to conduct his offensive against Germany as soon as possible. France had made the error in 1870 of going to war without a major ally in the east and did not want to make the same mistake again. The Czar gave a satisfactory response that as early as the 14th of August the Russian Army would begin its drive into East Prussia.

Sources
Wikipedia
Wikimedia Commons:
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Germany_Before_the_First_World_War_1890_-_1914_HU68377.jpg
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Keisari_vihelm_II.jpg
http://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Germany_Before_the_First_World_War_1890_-_1914_HU68368.jpg
http://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.php?search=helmuth+von+moltke+the+younger&title=Special%3ASearch&fulltext=1
“Massacre in the Marshes” by Eric Niderost
Archive.org
 
So the POD is the Kaiser holding his foot down against Moltke due to Sir Edward Grey's neutrality statement? Interesting.

The Russians are going to be demolished so much faster in this timeline. With a stronger German presence in the east that will take the pressure off of AH and may prevent some of the later entrants to WW1 from joining the Entente. Italy could see that the Germans are a better side to join when Russia falls and France has to stand alone. At that point though, Belgium might still be invaded if other fronts are too bogged down (and they would be). The question then becomes, "Are the British willing to go to war against a Germany focused on one front?"
 

Germaniac

Donor
This may actually save the Russian monarchy as the war in the east will end sooner, the Germans have no interest in unleashing anarchy in Russia and will agree to almost any Russian overture for peace, likely netting them a bit of the baltics ( likely taking Riga) and Poland. As soon as that is over though the Germans will grind out in a-l just as he French will. Ww1 will probably be just as bloody and the peace will be just as vindictive no matter who wins ( and German victory is not assured as everyone seems to assume.)
 
This may actually save the Russian monarchy as the war in the east will end sooner, the Germans have no interest in unleashing anarchy in Russia and will agree to almost any Russian overture for peace, likely netting them a bit of the baltics ( likely taking Riga) and Poland. As soon as that is over though the Germans will grind out in a-l just as he French will. Ww1 will probably be just as bloody and the peace will be just as vindictive no matter who wins ( and German victory is not assured as everyone seems to assume.)
A German victory isn't assured? Without Britain joining in there will be a greatly diminished sub warfare campaign that probably won't draw the US in. Not to mention Austria-Hungary and the Ottoman's will not be in as bad situation with the Germans tying down more Russian units. There's also the millions of troops that wouldn't be backing up the French...
 

BlondieBC

Banned
Your POD date is too close to the start of the war to do anything but cause chaos in the transportation network. It would takes weeks to months to properly overhaul the mobilization plan.

My recommendation is to simply move the date back to some spring/summer review of War Plans, and modify the plan.

It is also not clear the UK stays out of the war. The UK cabinet had decided to go to war BEFORE it knew the Germans entered Belgium. At least this is the common position on this board.
 
Grosser Ostaufmarsch: (Great Eastern Deployment)

Part 1: Now the Sword Must Decide

So it was to Moltke’s surprise when the Kaiser informed him of his decision to launch an offensive against Russia, instead of France.

Particularly since Wilhelm had known about the "Schlieffen" Plan for years and never dissented from it. Also, during a recent state visit by King Albert of Belgium, Wilhelm had cornered him for a long rant about how French malevolence and intrigue were sure to start a new war, but France would be crushed by the irresistable furor Teutonicus, and Belgium had better not get in the way (an all but explicit warning that Germany planned to march through Belgium).

Moltke was of course stunned that the Kaiser would just simply dismiss the Schlieffen Plan and the last decade of German military preparations. At first he vigorously protested, but after sensing the Kaiser’s irritation he remembered what happened to old Bismarck and simply gave in saying “as you wish sire, we will conduct a Grosser Ostaufmarsch and Russia will be bleed white!”

Molke after the meetings conclusion withdrew to the quiet seclusion of his office. He now contemplated how many armies to send to the east and how many to keep in the west.

IIRC, the General Staff already had a plan for deployment to the east. Moltke simply refused to admit it existed. IIRC (again) Groener later published a book explaining the plan and denouncing Moltke.
 
Particularly since Wilhelm had known about the "Schlieffen" Plan for years and never dissented from it. Also, during a recent state visit by King Albert of Belgium, Wilhelm had cornered him for a long rant about how French malevolence and intrigue were sure to start a new war, but France would be crushed by the irresistable furor Teutonicus, and Belgium had better not get in the way (an all but explicit warning that Germany planned to march through Belgium).

.

Thanks great addition to the thread:D
 
Sorry for the late reply. I remember the other thread and suggestions I and others tossed your way. Interesting beginning but I think I will agree that the departure by the Kaiser is a little close to the start of the War.

We will now have to see how well the Imperial Army does and what assistance, if any, the Austrians contribute.

Will Turkey still join or sit the war out? If they do they can help draw off reenforcements from the Eastern Front. Does Italy still play its games or wait things out? Did the Balken Wars go as ours or were there any differences?
 
Rich Rostrom is right: if you consult The Guns of August, there's an explicit mention of an alternative deployment plan with trains running east instead of west.
 
Rich Rostrom is right: if you consult The Guns of August, there's an explicit mention of an alternative deployment plan with trains running east instead of west.


yeah though i haven't read it in a while Terence Zuber's book mentions something like this too, thanks both of you for pointing it out :)
 
Last edited:
Grosser Ostaufmarsch: (Great Eastern Deployment)
Part 2 :Chaos in Coblenz


4th August, 1914


To General Joffre


On behalf of the French Government you have been given, as of now, total freedom of command. Your only instruction from us is to attack Alsace-Lorraine at the soonest possible date. I’ll be expecting a report on the situation from you by the end of the month. Remember the honor of France is in your hands!


From President Raymond Poincaré


The stillness was shattered by the sound of French 75’s at midday on the 7th of August 1914. The French 7th Corps, under the command of General Louis Bonneau, advanced in their customary blue uniforms toward German positions in the vicinity of Mulhouse, Alsace. The French offensive made good progress on the 7th and 8th capturing much of the border region. This success was blunted though by a swift German counterattack on the 9th, that succeeded in driving French forces back. The initial strike by the French forces in Alsace was nothing more than a preliminary stroke. General Joffre, Commander in Chief of French forces on the Western Front, knew that the real battle would be decided not in Alsace, but in the Lorraine and was preparing three armies for a drive towards the Saar.


At the German High Command building in Coblenz, Moltke was meanwhile busy at work. The French opening offensive, coupled with false reports of English landings everywhere from Belgium, Holland to Germany’s northern coast, made Moltke a bit anxious. And to make matters more complicated the Kaiser was in Coblenz on August 7th, on his way to visit Fort Mutzig, and naturally took the opportunity to inform Moltke of how he would signal handedly keep England out of the war. The Kaiser reminded Moltke of his daughter’s wedding in 1913 and how he had gotten along so well with “Georgie.” He further claimed that English King had spoken to him of how a war would never occur between the two nations and that “both England and Germany are threatened by the same dangers and have mutually a direct interest in assisting each other to becoming rich, united and strong.” The Kaiser then went on to highlight his special relationship with his Uncle, Prince Arthur Duke of Connaught, and how he would soon send him a message asking for his support. Now whether any of the Kaiser’s statements were valid Moltke was unsure of, but of what he was confident of was that England’s entrance into the war had been effectively delayed if not prevented.


On August 8th, as if things were not hectic, Hermann von Kuhl, Chief of Staff of the 1st Army, arrived in Coblenz demanding to see Moltke. He was there on behave of General Kluck who, along with himself, was truly confused as to why the 1st Army was being packed up and moved to East Prussia! Kuhl had served with Schlieffen, and new the “Plan” well; this of course caused him a bit of uneasiness about of the change. He was given an audience with both the Kaiser and Moltke shortly before midnight and laid out his concerns. He argued ferociously against attacking in the east, citing the confused situation at the rail centers and the overall disorganization. Moltke was not persuaded, the Kaiser had already made his decision and he was set on following it. Though Moltke’s health was not what it used to be in 1914 he was still a powerful figure. He was at least a head taller than Kuhl and could be quiet an intimidating figure if he had to. Moltke effectively stifled Kuhl’s complaints and ordered him at once to assemble the 1st Army at Marienburg in the East. He warned Kuhl that “the god of war hates those who hesitate” and that he needed to put his concerns aside and accomplish the mission at hand. With this rebuff Kuhl began to leave for glory, or death, in the east, but before he went the Kaiser spoke. The Kaiser took it upon himself to try and appease Kuhl by giving him the special honor of Vollmacht, the ability to issue orders in the Kaiser’s name.


Elsewhere in Europe the situation was at a tipping point. Austria was shelling Serbian territory and preparing for an offensive, which was set to begin on the 12th of August. Russian General Rennenkampf was preparing General Gurko’s cavalry division for a raid into German territory, also set for the 12th. Belgium had declared its neutrality and was mobilizing soldiers for a nonexistent German invasion. Asquith’s government in England was contemplating staying out of the war unless Germany took aggressive action. Italy was promising Germany support in the future as long as England was kept out of the war. The Ottoman Empire had signed a secret alliance with Germany on the 2nd of August, but was staying neutral for now. Holland, Sweden, Romania and Bulgaria were all benefiting from German trade and had no reason to enter the war at the moment. Almost all of Europe by mid-August had either declared neutrality or were in either of the two opposing camps.

sources

The Kaiser and His Time by Michael Balfour

Wikipedia

Archive.org



 
Last edited:
This could get interesting. I see a stalemate on the Franco German border. Of course if Russia sues for peace, France will have to face the entire German military/
 
Grosser Ostaufmarsch: (Great Eastern Deployment)
Part 3: Monarchs United..... Sort of

Vasily Gurko’s, commander of the Russian 1st Cavalry Division, and his men crossed the border into East Prussia on August 12th, 1914. Gurko was under orders from General Rennenkapf to capture the small Prussian town of Maraggabowa, which lied five miles inside German territory, and keep on the lookout for German troops. Gurko took Maraggabowa by midday, with little resistance. He then advanced a few miles further before running into a disturbing sight, large columns of grey uniformed soldiers advancing at a rather quick pace. These were men of German 1st Corps who had been tasked, by their commander General Hermann von Francois, with meeting the Russian advance head on. After briefly skirmishing with the German soldiers, Gurko retired back in the direction of Maraggabowa before reporting the sighting to Rennenkapf. Rennenkapf was of course stunned that the Germans were on the move so quickly, he had no yet finished deploying a bulk of his forces. So he quickly order his 3rd Corps to gather itself with all haste and prepare to meet the German advance. Despite Rennenkapf’s insistence The Russian 3rd Corps still took the next five days to deploy before finally moving into German territory.

Back at 8th Army headquarters commanding General Maximillian von Prittwitz was going over instructions he had received from Moltke. Prittwitz had been informed that he would be on his own for at least a little while, until the 1st Army got its self together, and would have to hold out against both Russian Armies. This was not at all unexpected had the Schlieffen Plan been implemented he still would have left on in a similar situation of having to wait for help. He had earlier sent a observer aircraft out, which was due back soon. Prittwitz hoped that this would give some indication of Russian movements. In the meantime he talked over the overall situation with one his most trusted staff officers Max Hoffmann. Hoffman said it was his belief that the one of the Russian Armies could be cut off and destroyed as it advanced deep into East Prussia, if the 8th Army could put its superior maneuverability to use. Prittwitz agreed with Hoffman’s overall concept but for now ordered that the 8th Army to simply stay on the defensive against the advancing Russian forces.

On the International stage, meanwhile, the Kaiser was feverously at work sending messages to every potential ally and enemy. First he tried to solicit Romania, who’s King Carol, his cousin, had tried and failed to convince his government to bring Romania to Germany’s aid. Carol did promise though that in the future he would try again. The Kaiser sent the Duke John Albert of Mecklenburg to Bulgaria to convince their Germanic king to help, but he was as well turned down and Bulgaria stayed neutral. Later after hearing whispers of England supporting France he sped a message off to his Uncle Arthur.

To Uncle Arthur

English policy distresses me very much indeed! It makes me angry that you men always interfere in matters that don’t concern you in the least. Children who always poke their fingers into everything end up getting hurt. This English foreign policy deserves a good slap in the face! Why does England treat every other nation as lesser breeds without law? You must remember that we continentals are not Englishmen, we have a different history, a different past and different traditions. You know I myself still have sympathy for England and her inhabitants and that I am at times certainly not free from it. I still hold fast to my conviction that Germany can make moral conquests, not by blood and iron but by her just cause. I will repeat the call that I made in 1889 that England and Germany should form a defensive alliance, against our common enemies, together we can uphold the peace of the world. I beg you to persuade your government not to support those French parvenus and the barbaric semi-Asiatic tyrannical Tsar. If England enters this war the Turks shall rise and you will lose India, I swear it! If you have any regard left for my affection and friendship will help me.

From Willy

Prince Arthur being busy in Canada did not send a response to his dear nephew. The Kaiser was undeterred though and prepared a new message for his sister’s husband King Constantine of Greece.

To Tino

How are things, is Sophia well? I am sending you this message in order to get your opinions on the present situation. I know that your country has a defensive treaty with Serbia do you intend to fulfill it? I must warn you that the lazy mendacious Serbs are putting on an idiot boy act, perjuring themselves black in face, and then inventing a few more fables to save themselves. Their intentions are purely selfish and not humane or civilizatory and not for the honor of liberty and progress. Because of this whole ordeal, I must confess, that I have come to hate the Slavs. I know it is a sin to do so we ought not to hate anyone. But I can’t help hating them. I should have listened to Waldersee, that old badger, when he told me the Russian’s were not to be trusted. Well it matters not they will feel are Teutonic Fury in due time!

From Willy

The Greece King soon after responded

To Willy

Your sister is fine, she walks, eats, dresses and writes in a most tremendous hurry, she parties every night, she is never alone, she never takes up a book or paper because she never has time, she reads the newspaper aloud at breakfast, she pays visits innumerable, she gives audiences unceasing, in fact the mere thought of what she does all day long makes me quite giddy. In regard the Serbs and Russians I feel the same way as you, but in my view not even the King has the right to subordinate the interests of the fatherland to personal feelings of love and hate. Due to this I must keep Greece in a state of strict neutrality, but I will pray for your victory.

From Tino

By the 14th of August the Kaiser had finally exhausted all of his options on the international stage and with the start of the French offensive, on that very same day, his attention turned back to the war.
 
Last edited:
How very neutral of you

Things largely seem to play out as OTL I see, apart from the German armies in the east getting more units. If the larger German forces can prevent (or at least lessen) some of the catastrophic losses suffered by A-H then that could swing some of those east European countries to at least stay neutral. I can't imagine that there is as bad of an image of the CP as the bad guys since they haven't violated any country's neutrality yet.

This will ultimately come down to 2 things: battlefield results and how diplomatically active Britain is. For the former, if it's like OTL then the CP will have no issues whatsoever; however, the latter gets murky. If the British are not actively participating in the war but do decide to send their diplomats out to speak on behalf of the French and Russians, then it could be more like OTL.

I see east Europe staying neutral here unless the British decide to just not get involved at all. Bulgaria may well join the CP later on though, if and when the Ottomans throw their lot in.
 
I missed your previous update somehow but have now caught up. Shame that the Kaiser comes across as a petulant brat. With his whining rants and insults to other Kings he puts people off. Shame that this is as it was IOTL.

Things are at a balancing point. Lots of players on the sidelines waiting to see how the big boys play their cards.

I look forward to reading more and wish you luck with posting when you can. :D
 
From what I've read there were practically no one outside of Moltke's office that was aware of the mobilization plans before the declaration of war. As pointed out above, Moltke dropped updating the Army's plan for mobilization towards the Russian front back in 1905 or 1908 and basically committed Germany to the first strike against France.
 
So basically it appears here that German first and second army are being sent east after initial deployment sets them up on the western frontier.

I suppose that works, since the Germans sent several corps east before the battle of the Marne, they ought to be able to move several corps at a time here.

I suspect second army might be able to get into action quicker and be supplied easier in Silesia.

Leaving third army for a while makes a lot of sense in a addition to transportation issues that no one really knows how well a French attack would play out and you might need 3rd army in the west.

Regardless Germany is setting herself up for a long grinder war well into 1916 without any advanced planning vs. the quick strike victory the the OTL plan promised, if the war goes long (even if it did better than OTL) many people in German leadership are going to ask "why didn't you stick to the original plan".

France in those months to years that it takes to crush Russia is going to do commerce raiding on German merchants from all its well positioned bases worldwide, take Togo and Cameroon and with the Briery Basin and Lille still French, be comparatively stronger than OTL even while Russia is getting beat up.
 
Top