DISASTER AVERTED?
How a single turn changed the world.
PROLOGUE
Postcard of Sarajevo, 1914
28 June 1914
Not exactly the most well-known or important date, even with Historians it would be seen as an unimportant day if not for one event of course. In Sarajevo, Austria-Hungary, Archduke Franz Ferdinand had announced earlier in March that he will be visiting Sarajevo for inspecting the army there. Several members of the Young Bosnia took notice of this and plotted to assassinate Ferdinand. The Austrian government as well as Franz Ferdinand himself were aware of the danger of going to the city with a possible chance of being killed. Despite this, they continue with their plans. Sometime in May, Princip and two other members of the group travelled to Belgrad, Serbia, where the Black Hand provided them with 4 pistols and 6 bombs. They soon left Belgrad and went to Sarajevo taking around 8 days to arrive. When they finally arrive they would begin preparing for the assassination. Ferdinand and his wife would soon arrive in Sarajevo a day earlier than expected. They would wander throughout the city enjoying its views. Despite this, there were still some, such as a member of the Bosnian parliament who was warry about this decision and urge Ferdinand to cancel the trip, although he and his wife decided to continue on.
Left: Sophie, Right: Franz Ferdinand
On the next day, Ferdinand and his wife would drive their car again, exploring the city. The Young Bosnia group soon became aware of Ferdinand's arrival and around 7 hitmen were sent to kill him. As Ferdinand was driving to a bridge to cross it, Nedeljko Čabrinović, an assassin, discover them and in an instant, threw a bomb at the motorcade. The bomb however missed, avoiding the motorcade and instead landing and exploding several people including two of the archduke guards. The guards would survive the explosion but were injured in the process. Ferdinand screamed, “So you welcome your guests with bombs!”. Čabrinović quickly jumped off the bridge towards the river, where the police drag him out of the river and arrested him. The motorcade quickly drove out of the bridge where they’d soon arrive at the town hall and would listen to the speeches going on there. Hours passes and Ferdinand decided to go visit the hospital where the two guards and some of the spectators were after the bombings to check up on them. As they were driving to the hospital, the driver would turn left on the road to the Latin Bridge [1]. Although he was a bit confused about the new route, he was able to reach the hospital on time.
(Route that Franz Ferdinand took)
1: The place where Čabrinović attempted to assassinate Ferdinand
2: The town hall where Ferdinand arrived to
3: The Latin Bridge that leads to the Hospital
Ferdinand and Sophie would soon enter the hospital where they greet many of the spectators as well as the two guards as they were lying in bed. While they were in the hospital, Ferdinand told his wife, “We can't stay here anymore, who knows how many assassins are in this city.” His wife reluctantly agreed. Ferdinand and Oskar Potiorek, the governor of Bosnia, would discuss a plan to leave the city without anyone noticing. They ultimately decided to leave at around midnight and not announce their departure from Sarajevo until after a day [2]. After saying goodbye to the remaining victims of the bombings, they would leave the hospital. At around 11:13 PM, Ferdinand and Sofia would arrive on their motorcade, accommodated by two guards, and would drive away from the city. By 30 August, they would finally arrive in Vienna. It would also be announced on the same day that the archduke had left Sarajevo due to fears of an attack.
To the Young Bosnia, their only chance of assassinating the archduke was now gone, and they were now on the run with 2 of their hitman arrested and the police everywhere in the city looking for them. By August 30, the group had fled from Sarajevo and planned on fleeing to Serbia or Montenegro. On July 2, they reach the Serbian border where they disguise themselves and were able to successfully enter Serbia without much trouble. Although they hope to one day return to Bosnia, they would never see it happen. Two of the assains, Nedeljko Čabrinović and Trifko Grabež, who was apprehended around the gates of Sarajevo under suspicion of being possible accomplice. On July 1 they would be interrogated by the police over their reasoning and other accomplices to the attack. They didn’t reveal the identities of the other hitmen and were both sentenced to 20 years in prison. With both of them behind bars, Newspapers across the country would report the attempted assassination, and many were shocked by the news, though others were used to it as political assassination attempts were common at the time. To Franz Ferdinand, he would breathe a sigh of relief, knowing that he was able to avoid getting killed.
1: This is the POD, where the driver of the motorcade instead of making a right where Gavrilo Princip was, made a left turn to the Latin bridge thus avoiding the assassin.
2: This was done in order to prevent panic in the city and to find the Young Bosnia group while they were still thought to be in the city.