DBWI The winterwar doesn't escalate

July 1939- August 1945 The soviet union attacked tiny Finland they fought back, the league of nations stated that the action was illegal and at one point the Finn's offered concessions but for some reason Stalin refused. The British, and the French then joined the war, then poland then germany. The six year slug fest against the soviet union created the world we know today.

But what if the soviets had accepted the concessions, according to leaked diplomatic papers said that there were plans to devide poland between germany and the soviet union, could that have panned out? What do you guys think? What if the winter war didn't happen or didn't escalate.
 
But what if the soviets had accepted the concessions, according to leaked diplomatic papers said that there were plans to devide poland between germany and the soviet union, could that have panned out? What do you guys think? What if the winter war didn't happen or didn't escalate.

Doubt that would ever have happened. Not, at least, under the German Republic's leadership at that point. Hermann Goering's Volk und Vaterland-Partei had built its reputation on German nationalism and a stand against Bolshevism. No way he would have agreed to split Poland with the Red Menace. Maybe another more radical politician - like that Hitler fellow, the one who died in Munich during the attempted putsch - but then I doubt a looper like that could have risen so high. Goering managed because he was 'the right sort' in the eyes of men like Hindenburg.

If the Winter War hadn't escalated, though... Well, it was the war with the Soviet menace that made modern Germany. The Battle of Berlin and the Drive to the East are seminal moments of our history. Even if the joint Anglo-German development of the atomic bomb is more controversial... I very much doubt that the Bundesrepublik GrossDeutschland would be a world superpower.

Also: it's doubtful that Japan would have weighed in on the Allied side and occupying Siberia. In the event of no war with the Sovs in the Far East...maybe another war with China? OTL, they were too exhausted with the war and the Siberian occupation to go after China, and by the time they'd have been ready again...yeah, suddenly China wasn't such an easy target :D OTOH, Siberia and Karafuto both meant that Japan's resource issues were solved, so no real need for further expansion.

OOC: Yeah...no von Ribbentrop pact, because, well, no Hitler. Figure that that wouldn't cause a problem - Stalin would still want those Finnish 'border adjustments' whatever the case :p
 
Obviously this requires Stalin to grow a brain and not attack Suomi, or to at least stop attacking the Finns by around Christmas. They used to say something like, "one Finnish soldier is worth a hundred Soviet shitsoldiers" and they aren't wrong, it was obvious by Christmas '39 that the Soviet Union was bogged down and screwed. They had 2 million guys invading a nation with a population of 2 million, and were losing tens of thousands of men every week, that's just not sustainable and a more stable leader would've recognized it. Obviously this requires Molotov to somehow convince Beria to not side with Stalin and have him offed, Beria realized that Stalin was a menace waaaaay too late.

Forgive me if I don't share in this board's customary Germany-wanking; Goering was a mediocre leader at best and gave more shits about his fancy lifestyle than about the soldiers that he kept sending to die on the front. Plus he used the Red Menace to transparently annex the shit out of what was left of Poland (poor Poles didn't deserve the mess in 1920, I still hold that the whole debacle was the result of gross incompetence on the part of Polish high command, and that Leon Trotsky's only difference from Stalin was basic sanity; he would've avoided the Finland mess if Stalin hadn't had him offed by Beria but he wouldn't have been some Russian superman-general, either), and the way he treated religious, ethnic, and political minorities was frankly shameful. At least he didn't listen to that nutcase Himmler, but it's easy to forget that Germany was a very totalitarian state until Reichskanzler Heydrich's death in '89 and the ensuing protests that led to the new constitution.

Anyway, IMO Finland would've lost a few hundred square miles around Ladoga and the eastern frontier, areas with small ethnic Russian minorities, at least on paper. However, Stalin was a fucking mad dog; the idiot had Soviet soldiers--damn good Soviet soldiers like the Ukrainian 25th Rifles, even, and if you want to dispute that need I remind you that General Juutilainen himself, the fucking Terror of Morocco, the most ridiculously, borderline racistly, patriotic Finn in modern history, awarded the Mannerheim cross to Major Pavlichenko because she was just that badass--openly defecting to the Finns in '41, and he still thought that he could win it and ordered entire families of defectors murdered. Forgive me if I doubt that His Idiocy, Leader of the People not smart enough to defect, Josef Stalin, had the brainpower to take a Pyrrhic victory before it turned into a curbstomp.

Quite simply, the Soviets made themselves the bad guy early with Trotsky's conquest of half of Poland, which scared the Brits enough to lean on the French enough to forgive the German war debts (and don't even ask me how bad I think it could have gotten if the Germans had to suffer the Big Crunch with those war debts still hanging around their necks--Goering's assholes would look like fucking Big Bird next to whoever came out on top of a shithole like that), which left the Germans able to salvage Danzig and some other bits, which left a strong Western and Central Europe ready to kick Soviet ass, and then Stalin fucked up Trotsky's conciliatory plans by killing him, taking over, and then going after Finland. Frankly, eating White Death during the Battle of Moscow was the best Stalin could've hoped for after that little dumbass move.
 
To be fair Germany did give Poland their eastern portions back, and they got a good chunk of what used to be the soviet union so they actually ended up having more land then they did before 1920. The population transfers sucked balls but by that time it was the price poland had to pay to exist, and compared to what happened to the russians it was light.
 
You don't need to convince me Goering was an idiot: his constant foreign meddlings post-war show that. The Sino-German alliance ended up driving a wedge between America and China, and turned the ROC into a totalitarian dictatorship (and they still occupy Tibet and Mongolia/Tuva). And then all those German weapons started turning up in the hands of Vietnamese rebels...

And we ultimately got the divide between China-aligned North Vietnam and Laos, and South Vietnam, Cambodia and Thailand in Japan's sphere. And decades of hostility from it.
 
I don't know. On the French side, the Big Crunch had been plenty harmful, and the constant fighting between Nazi and Fascist-inspired far-rightists and Socialists did not help in creating a business-friendly atmosphere.
With a hostile Germany, and not an USSR ? The Socialists might have had a Stalinist branch afterwards, but the Blumists would likely still be predominant. The far-right might have been emboldened - before the shitshow that were the 1936 elections, which did result in the French civil war. It was short, since the Socialists held the key centers of French industry, but it still killed many young Frenchmen for nothing.
Then again, the Blumists have somehow fixed the French political system. And the Front Populaire era was quite prosperous, compared to the various inefficiencies of Goering's Germany.
Middle-term the French Empire was destabilised, but it did manage to keep key areas. Gabon and its oil, Senegal, coastal Algeria, Djibouti, Pondicherry, Guyana, Polynesia and Kouang-Tcheou-Wan. Plus a smattering of islets.
Besides, it's not as if de Hautecloque and de Gaulle's armored corps in Romania and Ukraine hadn't had their share of awesome.
 

Yuelang

Banned
And while the Volk und Vaterland governments are nasty, at least they do pave the way for 1980s reforms and later still participate in German Democracy. Sure, to the average left leaning Americans, Germany seems to be a weird mix between far right Fascist Volk Und Vaterland party, conglomeration of small right wing party, including Nazi party, and right centrist Christian Fundamentalist CDU party. While Democratic in principle, trying to run as even a mere socialist is political suicide in Germany.

Maybe without destruction of USSR, US would move right while Europe move left?
 
@DracoLazarus All true.

Mind you, Britain won big after the war. The 'Great Game' between France on one side and Germany and Italy on the other - Europe divided, the way Britain likes it. Add to that their keeping key Imperial territories (the Straits settlements, Brunei, Aden, Hong Kong) and keeping the Dominions on-side... yeah, things went their way post-war. Especially since their industrial heartland never got damaged like Germany's, so lots of British cars and televisions hit world markets...

Maybe without destruction of USSR, US would move right while Europe move left?

Maybe. If they'd taken part in the war, you might have seen a more militarist society in the States - as it is, their navy's strong but the Army's tiny for the size of the nation.
 
@DracoLazarus All true.

Mind you, Britain won big after the war. The 'Great Game' between France on one side and Germany and Italy on the other - Europe divided, the way Britain likes it. Add to that their keeping key Imperial territories (the Straits settlements, Brunei, Aden, Hong Kong) and keeping the Dominions on-side... yeah, things went their way post-war. Especially since their industrial heartland never got damaged like Germany's, so lots of British cars and televisions hit world markets...



Maybe. If they'd taken part in the war, you might have seen a more militarist society in the States - as it is, their navy's strong but the Army's tiny for the size of the nation.
Maybe the Japanese-American alliance wouldnt exist in this world?

Which is a far scarier thought since despite some hiccups in the 30s Japan and the US have remained on very good terms and is the considered one of the most powerful alliances for naval size and special forces.
 
@DracoLazarus All true.

Mind you, Britain won big after the war. The 'Great Game' between France on one side and Germany and Italy on the other - Europe divided, the way Britain likes it. Add to that their keeping key Imperial territories (the Straits settlements, Brunei, Aden, Hong Kong) and keeping the Dominions on-side... yeah, things went their way post-war. Especially since their industrial heartland never got damaged like Germany's, so lots of British cars and televisions hit world markets...
Quite true. Germany serving as a meatshield was handy for the French and British.
On the other hand, while the whole influence game in East Europe - between the Polish Intermarium, the Petite Entente and the Axis - keeps the diplomats busy, it's not really beneficial for the economy. Only thing thriving are the Renault B5 sales.
Maybe. If they'd taken part in the war, you might have seen a more militarist society in the States - as it is, their navy's strong but the Army's tiny for the size of the nation.
They do make good artillery, though. The French missile launchers are all US-built.
 
What really scares me is what America could do if pressed.

Suomi proved conclusively that there is nothing more powerful than a free democracy that gets pissed off/desperate enough to go to war. The USA's made a name for itself as the world's factory and bank; imagine what they could do if they went to war. Unified, relatively nationalistic population, broad natural barriers from the other major powers, a powerful navy, the world's largest manufacturing and industrial base, a huge population second only to that of China and what's left of Russia if you add up all the bits and pieces that are mostly culturally Russian, and a powerful pseudo-capitalist/socialist hybrid economy that combines all of the power of the socialist system with the fanatical loyalty that a democracy inspires.

Now imagine that coming at your shaky hold on power in Goering's Germany. Or hell, even Heydrich's during the '60s and '70s when he still had iron control, before the broken leg let a couple of schemers get into the woodwork*. That would be a one-sided curbstomp in favor of the USA.

*And to be fair to Heydrich, he was an ice-cold evil fucker but he did know how to keep the schemers out of the way and kept Germany, if not free, then certainly a reasonably comfortable place to live as long as you spoke perfect German, looked white, and didn't say anything resembling a word against Reinhard Heydrich. Not a nice place to live, but at least he was better than Goering and his looting the country for his own personal pleasure...
 
Maybe the Japanese-American alliance wouldnt exist in this world?

Possible... I mean, before China and Germany fully committed to their alliance, America was fairly friendly with the ROC. And Japan's always had a 'history' with China...not unimaginable that Japan and America might have been at odds over China.

They do make good artillery, though. The French missile launchers are all US-built.

Good point.
 
Possible... I mean, before China and Germany fully committed to their alliance, America was fairly friendly with the ROC. And Japan's always had a 'history' with China...not unimaginable that Japan and America might have been at odds over China.



Good point.
In the implausible case there is still a Soviet Union, I could see the Soviets funding the Chinese Communists. Mao remained a pain in the ass for China for quite a while...
 

I take your point. The US is certainly a potential military superpower (and already an economic/manufacturing power, and a major naval power). And I wouldn't bet against it in the event of a war in the 1940s - hell, their economic and material support kept the West and Japan afloat against the USSR, if they'd joined in...

That said, in a modern war with one of the major world powers... Hard to know, really. I mean, the US is a major naval power, and they've a decent-sized air-force, but most of their planes are fighter-bombers rather than dedicated heavy bombers. So if they went to war with a bomber-heavy nation, until their manufacturing got into high gear they'd probably suffer from heavy bombing they couldn't respond to. Question is: how would Joe Public in the States react to that? Would they want to come to terms, or would they bear it until the US could strike back in kind?

Mind you, the atomic bomb makes this kind of discussion meaningless to an extent. Britain, France, Germany, Italy, China, Japan and the US all have their own arsenals: in a nuclear war, even the winner loses... Though thank God the Arms Talks of the 1960s outlawed those planned 'Pan-Continental' missiles and limited atomic arsenals to cruise missiles and gravity bombs. At least with those, neutral countries are less likely to get caught in any crossfires.

OOC: I figure that without a 'Pearl Harbour moment', the rest of the world would still question just how America would fare in a major war, and how its people would stand the pace...
 
I take your point. The US is certainly a potential military superpower (and already an economic/manufacturing power, and a major naval power). And I wouldn't bet against it in the event of a war in the 1940s - hell, their economic and material support kept the West and Japan afloat against the USSR, if they'd joined in...

That said, in a modern war with one of the major world powers... Hard to know, really. I mean, the US is a major naval power, and they've a decent-sized air-force, but most of their planes are fighter-bombers rather than dedicated heavy bombers. So if they went to war with a bomber-heavy nation, until their manufacturing got into high gear they'd probably suffer from heavy bombing they couldn't respond to. Question is: how would Joe Public in the States react to that? Would they want to come to terms, or would they bear it until the US could strike back in kind?

Mind you, the atomic bomb makes this kind of discussion meaningless to an extent. Britain, France, Germany, Italy, China, Japan and the US all have their own arsenals: in a nuclear war, even the winner loses... Though thank God the Arms Talks of the 1960s outlawed those planned 'Pan-Continental' missiles and limited atomic arsenals to cruise missiles and gravity bombs. At least with those, neutral countries are less likely to get caught in any crossfires.

OOC: I figure that without a 'Pearl Harbour moment', the rest of the world would still question just how America would fare in a major war, and how its people would stand the pace...
theg*ddam*h&s3fan, I again point you to Suomi. Think of the United States of America as a Finland with an economy and population as big as Europe.

The USA is the most technologically-advanced nation in the world. Lend-Lease aid caused the industrial buildup that made the USA the world's premier industrial power to this day. If the USA wanted to it could conquer the Arab Republic in about two weeks--and hold it, if they were willing to accept heavy attrition. And that's with OTL power, a huge navy but a military that's little more than a glorified police force by, say, German or Finnish standards.

In '39, Finland was a backwater with no more than a couple of dozen tanks for the entire nation, barely any antimateriel or artillery, and up against the entire Soviet Union. You play Hammer and Sickle 3, you know just how big of an advantage the Soviet Union starts with. Now look at the numbers in America--yes, America starts with Isolationism as a national value, blahblahblah, but look at the factory numbers. Remember that Finland starts with similar national values, about 2 factories, and a military that's 30 years out of date. Note just how much ass Finland kicked in real life, despite having their cities firebombed and with Stalin marching two million men straight down their throats. And they were vastly outnumbered with a joke of a navy and a pathetic army 30 years out of date with little to no armor or artillery.

In a modern war, the United States would obliterate their opposition, simply because there is no power tough enough to be a USSR to them and deal enough damage to get them to drop out of the war before they upgrade their army and air force. Who's going to attack the USA? Germany? US has more factories, more people, a much better navy, and isn't suffering from political strife or the blatant intervention in Slovakia bullshit that Holger Apfel's* fucking with. France? Their navy's a joke, their air force and tanks are last-gen British loans, and they don't have the sheer population needed to threaten the USA. Britain? They have two Dominions remaining, Canada and ANZAC. ANZAC won't go to war unless they're really scared of China or Japan. Canada relies too much on American goods to ever attack them, and its own military is a joke. On top of that, the Royal Navy only has one supercarrier, and it's half the size of the President Hubert Humphrey-class**, let alone the President Audie L. Murphy-class***, and in terms of speed, armament, range, and fuel efficiency the King George VI-class destroyer is fundamentally inferior to the Chester Nimitz-class destroyer****, let alone the Alvin York-class prototype*****. Britain would lose the Dominions and its navy would be screwed, then America would float the President Murphy to a safe distance off Brighton and just send bombers to flatten London. China? They're a food importer, they can't afford a lasting war, and the 20th century political chaos and totalitarian phase has fundamentally left them without the industrial capacity or modern military technology needed to compete even with Japan; why do you think Japan still has half of east Asia in its sphere? If China had real power it'd be able to pry Korea and Burma out at a minimum. Japan? The IJN is the only serious challenge to the US Navy, yes, but again--the President Humphrey-class is 25% larger than the Yamamoto-class, and the USN has two more supercarriers including the trump card that is the President Murphy, and they have the Washington-class submarines. Those are at least ten years ahead of anything else in the world. Japan's biggest weakness is that after the Army lost so much prestige in the '30s when Yamamoto took Tojo out of power and disavowed his actions in Manchuria, their army isn't much better than the US army. With the massive population disparity, the dubious willingness of the non-ethnic-Japanese population to fight for the glory of the Emperor, and the US's sheer weight of factories, a long war again favors the USA. One of the Russian fragments reforming Russia and going full Stalin? If they even got that far they'd have to rebuild half a continent. The Indias? If they ever stop squabbling they're still 20 years behind the rest of the world in all fields. Some African country? Don't make me laugh. Even with pre-emptive nuking there's no way that anyone can survive an extended war with a pissed-off democracy of the US's sheer size and power.

In the second world war? Dude, I'm fucking terrified of what the United States could do. They bankrolled the London project, they bankrolled Britain and Japan and Germany, and they sent so many Lincoln tanks to Finland that by '45 the Finns had more tanks being operated on that front than the Soviets did. And that's just after coming out of near-collapse and narrowly avoiding a civil war in the Big Crunch.

And keep in mind that the nuclear supercarriers of our USN are from a United States that basically has a big navy to tell other nations not to fuck with its trade ever again. Imagine a militaristic USA that feels it won the second world war like OTL Germany and Britain do. A USA that's the world's one superpower and flexes those muscles. They could have half of Europe in some kind of defense treaty, Japan would be little more than a puppet rather than a trading partner and ally of convenience against Chinese ambitions in Vietnam, Great Britain would be second fiddle, Canada would probably be outright annexed instead of America's hairpiece, Mexico would never have had all the revolutions and political strife over the later 20th century...basically, the world would be the US's playground. Don't tell me that's not a scary idea, with the entire world drinking that pisswater the US calls beer.

*OOC: German Putin, former Heydrichjugend member and State Sec officer. OTL a crazy neo-Nazi.
**OOC: Nimitz-class equivalent.
***OOC: Advanced prototype broadly similar to the Gerald R. Ford-class
****OOC: Arleigh Burke-class equivalent
*****OOC: Zumwalt-class equivalent
 
theg*ddam*h&s3fan, I again point you to Suomi. Think of the United States of America as a Finland with an economy and population as big as Europe.

The USA is the most technologically-advanced nation in the world. Lend-Lease aid caused the industrial buildup that made the USA the world's premier industrial power to this day. If the USA wanted to it could conquer the Arab Republic in about two weeks--and hold it, if they were willing to accept heavy attrition. And that's with OTL power, a huge navy but a military that's little more than a glorified police force by, say, German or Finnish standards.

In '39, Finland was a backwater with no more than a couple of dozen tanks for the entire nation, barely any antimateriel or artillery, and up against the entire Soviet Union. You play Hammer and Sickle 3, you know just how big of an advantage the Soviet Union starts with. Now look at the numbers in America--yes, America starts with Isolationism as a national value, blahblahblah, but look at the factory numbers. Remember that Finland starts with similar national values, about 2 factories, and a military that's 30 years out of date. Note just how much ass Finland kicked in real life, despite having their cities firebombed and with Stalin marching two million men straight down their throats. And they were vastly outnumbered with a joke of a navy and a pathetic army 30 years out of date with little to no armor or artillery.

In a modern war, the United States would obliterate their opposition, simply because there is no power tough enough to be a USSR to them and deal enough damage to get them to drop out of the war before they upgrade their army and air force. Who's going to attack the USA? Germany? US has more factories, more people, a much better navy, and isn't suffering from political strife or the blatant intervention in Slovakia bullshit that Holger Apfel's* fucking with. France? Their navy's a joke, their air force and tanks are last-gen British loans, and they don't have the sheer population needed to threaten the USA. Britain? They have two Dominions remaining, Canada and ANZAC. ANZAC won't go to war unless they're really scared of China or Japan. Canada relies too much on American goods to ever attack them, and its own military is a joke. On top of that, the Royal Navy only has one supercarrier, and it's half the size of the President Hubert Humphrey-class**, let alone the President Audie L. Murphy-class***, and in terms of speed, armament, range, and fuel efficiency the King George VI-class destroyer is fundamentally inferior to the Chester Nimitz-class destroyer****, let alone the Alvin York-class prototype*****. Britain would lose the Dominions and its navy would be screwed, then America would float the President Murphy to a safe distance off Brighton and just send bombers to flatten London. China? They're a food importer, they can't afford a lasting war, and the 20th century political chaos and totalitarian phase has fundamentally left them without the industrial capacity or modern military technology needed to compete even with Japan; why do you think Japan still has half of east Asia in its sphere? If China had real power it'd be able to pry Korea and Burma out at a minimum. Japan? The IJN is the only serious challenge to the US Navy, yes, but again--the President Humphrey-class is 25% larger than the Yamamoto-class, and the USN has two more supercarriers including the trump card that is the President Murphy, and they have the Washington-class submarines. Those are at least ten years ahead of anything else in the world. Japan's biggest weakness is that after the Army lost so much prestige in the '30s when Yamamoto took Tojo out of power and disavowed his actions in Manchuria, their army isn't much better than the US army. With the massive population disparity, the dubious willingness of the non-ethnic-Japanese population to fight for the glory of the Emperor, and the US's sheer weight of factories, a long war again favors the USA. One of the Russian fragments reforming Russia and going full Stalin? If they even got that far they'd have to rebuild half a continent. The Indias? If they ever stop squabbling they're still 20 years behind the rest of the world in all fields. Some African country? Don't make me laugh. Even with pre-emptive nuking there's no way that anyone can survive an extended war with a pissed-off democracy of the US's sheer size and power.

In the second world war? Dude, I'm fucking terrified of what the United States could do. They bankrolled the London project, they bankrolled Britain and Japan and Germany, and they sent so many Lincoln tanks to Finland that by '45 the Finns had more tanks being operated on that front than the Soviets did. And that's just after coming out of near-collapse and narrowly avoiding a civil war in the Big Crunch.

And keep in mind that the nuclear supercarriers of our USN are from a United States that basically has a big navy to tell other nations not to fuck with its trade ever again. Imagine a militaristic USA that feels it won the second world war like OTL Germany and Britain do. A USA that's the world's one superpower and flexes those muscles. They could have half of Europe in some kind of defense treaty, Japan would be little more than a puppet rather than a trading partner and ally of convenience against Chinese ambitions in Vietnam, Great Britain would be second fiddle, Canada would probably be outright annexed instead of America's hairpiece, Mexico would never have had all the revolutions and political strife over the later 20th century...basically, the world would be the US's playground. Don't tell me that's not a scary idea, with the entire world drinking that pisswater the US calls beer.

*OOC: German Putin, former Heydrichjugend member and State Sec officer. OTL a crazy neo-Nazi.
**OOC: Nimitz-class equivalent.
***OOC: Advanced prototype broadly similar to the Gerald R. Ford-class
****OOC: Arleigh Burke-class equivalent
*****OOC: Zumwalt-class equivalent

Ok our beer does suck but our whisky's have successfully won awards for the last 50 years, and our wines have beaten frances out in at least 5 taste testing competitions, as for the rest. American's are isolationists at heart the idea of us leaving our hemisphere is laughable, we might bankroll some people, sell weapons and reasources but were first and formost a nation of trademen and merchants not a nation of warriors.
 
theg*ddam*h&s3fan, I again point you to Suomi. Think of the United States of America as a Finland with an economy and population as big as Europe.

The USA is the most technologically-advanced nation in the world. Lend-Lease aid caused the industrial buildup that made the USA the world's premier industrial power to this day. If the USA wanted to it could conquer the Arab Republic in about two weeks--and hold it, if they were willing to accept heavy attrition. And that's with OTL power, a huge navy but a military that's little more than a glorified police force by, say, German or Finnish standards.

In '39, Finland was a backwater with no more than a couple of dozen tanks for the entire nation, barely any antimateriel or artillery, and up against the entire Soviet Union. You play Hammer and Sickle 3, you know just how big of an advantage the Soviet Union starts with. Now look at the numbers in America--yes, America starts with Isolationism as a national value, blahblahblah, but look at the factory numbers. Remember that Finland starts with similar national values, about 2 factories, and a military that's 30 years out of date. Note just how much ass Finland kicked in real life, despite having their cities firebombed and with Stalin marching two million men straight down their throats. And they were vastly outnumbered with a joke of a navy and a pathetic army 30 years out of date with little to no armor or artillery.

In a modern war, the United States would obliterate their opposition, simply because there is no power tough enough to be a USSR to them and deal enough damage to get them to drop out of the war before they upgrade their army and air force. Who's going to attack the USA? Germany? US has more factories, more people, a much better navy, and isn't suffering from political strife or the blatant intervention in Slovakia bullshit that Holger Apfel's* fucking with. France? Their navy's a joke, their air force and tanks are last-gen British loans, and they don't have the sheer population needed to threaten the USA. Britain? They have two Dominions remaining, Canada and ANZAC. ANZAC won't go to war unless they're really scared of China or Japan. Canada relies too much on American goods to ever attack them, and its own military is a joke. On top of that, the Royal Navy only has one supercarrier, and it's half the size of the President Hubert Humphrey-class**, let alone the President Audie L. Murphy-class***, and in terms of speed, armament, range, and fuel efficiency the King George VI-class destroyer is fundamentally inferior to the Chester Nimitz-class destroyer****, let alone the Alvin York-class prototype*****. Britain would lose the Dominions and its navy would be screwed, then America would float the President Murphy to a safe distance off Brighton and just send bombers to flatten London. China? They're a food importer, they can't afford a lasting war, and the 20th century political chaos and totalitarian phase has fundamentally left them without the industrial capacity or modern military technology needed to compete even with Japan; why do you think Japan still has half of east Asia in its sphere? If China had real power it'd be able to pry Korea and Burma out at a minimum. Japan? The IJN is the only serious challenge to the US Navy, yes, but again--the President Humphrey-class is 25% larger than the Yamamoto-class, and the USN has two more supercarriers including the trump card that is the President Murphy, and they have the Washington-class submarines. Those are at least ten years ahead of anything else in the world. Japan's biggest weakness is that after the Army lost so much prestige in the '30s when Yamamoto took Tojo out of power and disavowed his actions in Manchuria, their army isn't much better than the US army. With the massive population disparity, the dubious willingness of the non-ethnic-Japanese population to fight for the glory of the Emperor, and the US's sheer weight of factories, a long war again favors the USA. One of the Russian fragments reforming Russia and going full Stalin? If they even got that far they'd have to rebuild half a continent. The Indias? If they ever stop squabbling they're still 20 years behind the rest of the world in all fields. Some African country? Don't make me laugh. Even with pre-emptive nuking there's no way that anyone can survive an extended war with a pissed-off democracy of the US's sheer size and power.

In the second world war? Dude, I'm fucking terrified of what the United States could do. They bankrolled the London project, they bankrolled Britain and Japan and Germany, and they sent so many Lincoln tanks to Finland that by '45 the Finns had more tanks being operated on that front than the Soviets did. And that's just after coming out of near-collapse and narrowly avoiding a civil war in the Big Crunch.

And keep in mind that the nuclear supercarriers of our USN are from a United States that basically has a big navy to tell other nations not to fuck with its trade ever again. Imagine a militaristic USA that feels it won the second world war like OTL Germany and Britain do. A USA that's the world's one superpower and flexes those muscles. They could have half of Europe in some kind of defense treaty, Japan would be little more than a puppet rather than a trading partner and ally of convenience against Chinese ambitions in Vietnam, Great Britain would be second fiddle, Canada would probably be outright annexed instead of America's hairpiece, Mexico would never have had all the revolutions and political strife over the later 20th century...basically, the world would be the US's playground. Don't tell me that's not a scary idea, with the entire world drinking that pisswater the US calls beer.

*OOC: German Putin, former Heydrichjugend member and State Sec officer. OTL a crazy neo-Nazi.
**OOC: Nimitz-class equivalent.
***OOC: Advanced prototype broadly similar to the Gerald R. Ford-class
****OOC: Arleigh Burke-class equivalent
*****OOC: Zumwalt-class equivalent
British loans? I don't think you have understood the principle of cooperation.
Sure, making tanks is costly, but the Renault B5 "De Gaulle"(1) is the best heavy tank in existence. Don't write it as a British loan when all the Brits have helped with is auxiliary electronics.
Now the airforce is debatable, but the Concorde (2) multirole fighters are a product of cooperation too, even if Bloch and Bréguet are minoritary in the Concorde group. Even if the political objectives may generally differ, Franco-British economic cooperation has allowed a large amount of synergy.
Space-wise ? France was the first nation to launch rockets into space, from Guyana and Gabon. And the only reason the Brits arrived first on the moon is the sudden loss of funds caused by the Algerian Insurrection. The US relies on French bases to send freight into space.
Now let's count population. 70 million in France proper, 40 million in Algeria, 14 million in Senegal and 2 million in Gabon. That's about 130 million. Not something to write off when that's the population of the Russias put together. The US has like 2,5 times that. And I'm not counting what the Little Entente (Belgium, Romania, Greater Serbia, Greece) and the Intermarium (the Commonwealth, Ukraine, Latvia and Greater Finland) can bring.

Our navy... You do hit a sore spot. But the Marine Nationale still operates a nuclear carrier and a conventional one. The MN Léon Blum and Philippe de Hautecloque. (3) Don't write them off.

Take the French and the British, put us together, and the US can be defeated, theoretically.

(1) The equivalent of the AMX-56 Leclerc, but heavier and with a casemate gun like the B1-bis.
(2) Equivalent to the Rafales.
(3) Equivalent to the Charles de Gaulle.

Now, to return to the point. If the war didn't escalate, then I would definitely see the Finns offering only what the Russians ask for at the moment where their troops just cannot take the superior numbers any longer, but coming back for round 2 as soon as possible.
 
British loans? I don't think you have understood the principle of cooperation.
Sure, making tanks is costly, but the Renault B5 "De Gaulle"(1) is the best heavy tank in existence. Don't write it as a British loan when all the Brits have helped with is auxiliary electronics.
Now the airforce is debatable, but the Concorde (2) multirole fighters are a product of cooperation too, even if Bloch and Bréguet are minoritary in the Concorde group. Even if the political objectives may generally differ, Franco-British economic cooperation has allowed a large amount of synergy.
Space-wise ? France was the first nation to launch rockets into space, from Guyana and Gabon. And the only reason the Brits arrived first on the moon is the sudden loss of funds caused by the Algerian Insurrection. The US relies on French bases to send freight into space.
Now let's count population. 70 million in France proper, 40 million in Algeria, 14 million in Senegal and 2 million in Gabon. That's about 130 million. Not something to write off when that's the population of the Russias put together. The US has like 2,5 times that. And I'm not counting what the Little Entente (Belgium, Romania, Greater Serbia, Greece) and the Intermarium (the Commonwealth, Ukraine, Latvia and Greater Finland) can bring.

Our navy... You do hit a sore spot. But the Marine Nationale still operates a nuclear carrier and a conventional one. The MN Léon Blum and Philippe de Hautecloque. (3) Don't write them off.

Take the French and the British, put us together, and the US can be defeated, theoretically.

(1) The equivalent of the AMX-56 Leclerc, but heavier and with a casemate gun like the B1-bis.
(2) Equivalent to the Rafales.
(3) Equivalent to the Charles de Gaulle.

Now, to return to the point. If the war didn't escalate, then I would definitely see the Finns offering only what the Russians ask for at the moment where their troops just cannot take the superior numbers any longer, but coming back for round 2 as soon as possible.
That's absurd. The de Hautecloque has nowhere near the aircraft complement nor the sheer tonnage of the President Murphy, and the USN is three times the size of the Marine Nationale in both number of ships and tonnage, easily. And your destroyers are barely more advanced than the King George VI-class, the Nimitz-class, to say nothing of the Alvin York, outperform AND outnumber them. I also harbor major doubts about the Continental obsession with large guided-missile cruisers; there's a reason that the Finns have switched to a doctrine of swarm tactics with the old Chesty Puller-class destroyers they bought from the Americans, those big guided-missile ships just aren't cost-effective, and you guys'd be better off ditching them and just building more of and advancing your small destroyers. You French at least mothballed your battleships; the Germans are insane to keep the Tirpitz and Bismarck around, the age of the battleship is long gone.

I further dispute that the B5 is the best tank in the world; it's been in service since the '80s with few updates, and the M-24 Testudo fighting vehicle platform* that the Americans rolled out this year is superior in terms of armor and firepower, if you believe the Pentagon. I harbor some significant doubts about the cost of the M-24, and I do question its cost-efficiency, but I would point out that the M-20 Eisenhower** is better-armored than the B5 despite its fuel-efficiency problems.

Space travel is irrelevant, especially since American corporations have demonstrated the capacity to build commercial rockets, albeit they charged more than the Capitol wanted to pay.

I actually think that your colonies are a downside. The Algerians still hate your guts, do you really think that the CIA won't send provocateurs and arms to the People's Front For Liberation? Sure, they're blacklisted now, but the American people are 46% in favor of supporting the People's Front and that number increases yearly. The British dominions won't go to war with the USA without serious prodding, and Canada will have to be dragged kicking and screaming, and half of France's colonies still want independence or have major movements. The USA, on the other hand, is a unified, nationalistic state that's spent the last 50 years building industry and making friends in the Americas. Brazil may be having corruption trouble at the moment, but do you really think that they'll dump their American buddies so easily? No. El Presidente paid for his 5th mistress almost entirely with money embezzled from US-supported businesses, the whole country's too closely tied to the US, like most of the rest of the Americas. Basically, you guys and the Brits have questionably loyal colonies. The US has friendly longtime trading buddies.

As for air force...the Rafale is a nice dogfighter, sure, but we're past the dogfighting age. Missiles are where fighter-fighter combat is at, now, and the General Dynamics FA-17 Viper*** has greater missile capacity, is carrier-capable, and is smaller and cheaper than the Rafale. It's also single-seater so each kill means half the pilot deaths, has greater range, and quite frankly one hit from a missile will kill any fighter currently active, so the Viper's lack of armor isn't as big of a concern. Plus the Pentagon's been floating around some advanced stealth designs--and need I remind you that the Americans developed supersonic first, and kept looking into it even after SSTs crashed as a viable product?

Fundamentally, I think that people underestimate America. Yes, they stick to their hemisphere and don't project much outside of protecting their shipping...but after the Deccan Republic fucked with America's trade, they've prepared to wreak unholy hell upon anyone stupid enough to do it again. And yeah, they flopped against the Deccan, and took two years to accomplish a war goal that should've taken six months. But since then, they've completely revamped their doctrine, built a frankly absurd number of extreme advanced warships and warplanes, and have poured fantastic amounts of money into R&D and computers--and the latter is the important part. Computers are the future, and America has become the computer expert in the world.

*OOC: Russian T-14 Armata
**OOC: M1 Abrams.
***Badass hybrid of a F-16 and a Super Hornet, carrier-capable fifth-generation fighter.
 
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