BrilliantLight:
How likely is that worst case scenario, really? Sometimes things are so bad that nations avoid them. I am sure that in mid-August 1945 a lot of people thought nuclear weapons would be used in warfare at least several occasions within the next couple generations, yet we have not. Or at least the countries may split and be "hostile", but not actually fighting.
Perhaps we should get the likelihoods of these scenarios down to clarify the background of this thread:
A. Two nations, USA and CSA, nonhostile (like USA and UK)
B. Two nations, Usa and CSA, hostile (Cold War)
C. USA and multiple southern nations, no open war
D. USA intact, southern nations fighting
E. Both North and South balkanized (as you fear).
How likely is that worst case scenario, really? Sometimes things are so bad that nations avoid them. I am sure that in mid-August 1945 a lot of people thought nuclear weapons would be used in warfare at least several occasions within the next couple generations, yet we have not. Or at least the countries may split and be "hostile", but not actually fighting.
Perhaps we should get the likelihoods of these scenarios down to clarify the background of this thread:
A. Two nations, USA and CSA, nonhostile (like USA and UK)
B. Two nations, Usa and CSA, hostile (Cold War)
C. USA and multiple southern nations, no open war
D. USA intact, southern nations fighting
E. Both North and South balkanized (as you fear).