As always, I have come to this discussion much too late. I hope all interest has not been satiated. If I may, I will start with Admiral Beez’ original posting, which is very thought provoking. I do have a few disagreements, some of which actually work in favor of his original argument.
1. Tanks. The reason Canadian Valentine MK VI were selected for transfer to the USSR is they were prepared and loaded for sea voyage to Great Britain, and it made more sense to do so rather than off-load them and reload British-built Valentines. The convoy with Canadian Valentines was joined by British ships carrying Matilda and Tetrarch tanks – a total of 487 tanks. 145 were Matildas, and a “small batch” were Tetrarchs, so an estimate of 330 Valentines is probably not far off. The convoy arrived in the USSR around 18 December 1941. The Canadian Valentines were employed in late December 1941 and January 1942 in the Moscow Counteroffensive, so there will be a Soviet bill payer for sending 200 of these tanks to Malaya.
Nevertheless, this does not make a deployment of Valentine Mk VI to Malaya impossible. The convoy to the USSR was delayed considerably by the need to coordinate their arrival in the USSR and a proper anti-submarine escort in Arctic waters. The loaded ships were idle much of this time. I do not believe the Canadian Valentines would be shipped to Vancouver and across the Pacific; but leave from their historic port of Montreal, and sail the scheduled Halifax-Trinidad-Freetown-Cape Town-Colombo-Singapore convoy route. Although much longer than the route to the USSR, it would not encounter delays and the ships would likely be available for follow-on service much quicker than the historical voyage to the USSR. There would be no need to scrounge extra shipping as Admiral Beez suggests. The tanks would likely go in batches of 58, 58 and 84. The armoured regiment in 1941 was allocated 58 tanks, this allocates 26 attritional spares for wastage – perhaps a low number, but I am going with the total of 200.
As noted by others, there is no difficulty obtaining diesel fuel. It was available from the BP Jurong Island refineries as well as Royal Dutch Shell refineries at Tarakan and Balikpapan.
2. Troops. Colonel F F Worthington was quite a busy chap in 1939-42. In August 1940, he was the primary brain behind the organization and training of 1 Canadian Armoured Brigade (later 5 Canadian Armoured Brigade); although he was not selected to command. Six months later, on 3 February 1941, Colonel Worthington was indispensable in creating 1 Canadian Armoured Division (later 1 Canadian Armoured Division) to which 1 Canadian Armoured Brigade was assigned and required to duplicate itself in creating 2 Canadian Armoured Brigade. Separately, 1 Canadian Tank Brigade was organized the same day, pilfering two regiments from 1 Canadian Armoured Brigade. On 4 March 1941, Worthington was appointed to command 1 Canadian Tank Brigade and promoted to Brigadier. Only four months later, in July 1941, Brigadier Worthington and his brigade shipped to Great Britain. Their Valentine Mk VI tanks were sent to the USSR, and replaced by Matildas and later Churchill Mk I in January 1942.
Given the timing – July 1941 – and Admiral Beez' suggestion of sending Worthington to Malaya, it would logically follow that 1 Canadian Tank Brigade [11 Army Tank Battalion (Ontario Regiment); 12 Army Tank Battalion (Three Rivers Regiment); and 14 Army Tank Battalion (Calgary Regiment)] would follow their commander to Malaya. This would not mean as Admiral Beez suggests “Nearly the entirety of the Canadian Armoured Corps personnel, including mechanics and support teams is transported to Malaya to man the Valentines.” 1 Canadian Armoured Division will continue to develop as it did historically in Canada before sailing to join 1 Canadian Tank Brigade in Great Britain in November 1941.
The bill payer is that 14 Army Tank Battalion (Calgary Regiment) is not available to be shot apart at Dieppe (no loss compared to saving Malaya) – but more significantly 1 Canadian Tank Brigade is not available for Sicily; and Major General Worthington is not available to convert 4 Canadian Division into 4 Canadian Armoured Division beginning in January 1942. I would trade that for Malaya.
I see no issue with Brigadier Lawton being sent to Malaya. He was not senior to Brigadier Worthington having been appointed to that rank on 1 September 1941. Both knew each other well, having served together for more than a decade in the Military Training Directorate. Brigadier Lawton had staff training and experience that would have been far better employed in Malaya than Hong Kong. As an aside, see:
http://www.canadianmilitaryhistory.ca/wp-content/uploads/2012/03/3-Wentzell-Lawson-at-Hong-Kong.pdf
It is likely that Brigadier Worthington would be commander of an expanded Force C – handing 1 Army Tank Brigade to his historical successor Colonel R A Wyman; and Brigadier Lawson commanding 19 Canadian Infantry Brigade (19 is the next unused number) with Royal Rifles of Canada, Winnipeg Grenadiers, and the engineer component Admiral Beez recommends sending.
3. Guns. (Note: Although Admiral Beez mentions sending 1 and 2 Canadian Medium Regiments to Malaya; his diagram is that of the more appropriate Field Regiment. 1 and 2 Canadian Medium Regiments were Corps level assets with six-inch and later 5.5-inch guns. Field Regiments were equipped with 25pdr howitzers. 1 and 2 Canadian Medium Regiments went to Great Britain in 1940, where 2 Canadian Medium Regiment converted to 2 Canadian Heavy Anti-Aircraft Regiment. A new 2 Canadian Medium Regiment was being formed from 18 Canadian Field Regiment in 1941.)
Here I am at a loss to find units to send to Malaya. All Field Regiments are assigned to I Canadian Corps or Canadian Divisions, and 1 Canadian Armoured Division is short two of its three regiments. It did not get its second until 1942 and its third in 1944.
4. Aircraft. The first 20 Hurricane Mk I off the assembly line were an RCAF order. An additional 166 Hurricane Mk I and 268 Hurricane Mk X built by CCF were to RAF orders, and dispersed to RAF Squadrons in Great Britain and the Middle East; and Lend-Lease to Russia. 25 of the Mk X were transferred to the RCAF. The following 50 MK XI were to RCAF order, as were 474 Hurricane Mk XII. 458 Hurricane Mk XII were completed as Sea Hurricanes for the RN. These last two orders were on the production line simultaneously. I see no other way for Hurricanes to go to Malaya without sending Buffaloes to Egypt. Not a fair exchange. As an aside, the Brewster Buffalo was bought by the RAF for use in Europe, not Malaya. One of the factors in sending it to Malaya is they could be transported by neutral American-flag ships. Otherwise they may have languished as advanced trainers in Toronto or the West Indies. Hurricanes require ships flying the Red Duster.
5. Command. I may be one of the few defenders of Percival, but all of the blame for the loss of Malaya lay in Whitehall; not Singapore. Percival’s manual on infantry tactics in Malaya was used to excellent effect by the few commanders who bothered to read it. Indeed, this entire discussion is premised on what additional aid could be sent to Malaya. Nothing is set forth on how Percival, with his historical forces could have employed them with different operational concepts or tactical finesse to save the day. Even if Percival had not been bluffed at the Ford factory, Yamashita would have emerged conqueror on schedule at 100 days instead of a month early.