Warning
Provided through some means, such as an earlier decisive victory against their enemies, sheer luck, more foreign support, could a surviving Tokugawa "pull a Meiji", by whatever definition of that phrase you choose?
Would they be more militaristic earlier? Maybe an earlier, unsuccessful invasion of Korea? Would they fall apart? Be dominated by the Western powers?
Would they be more militaristic earlier? Maybe an earlier, unsuccessful invasion of Korea? Would they fall apart? Be dominated by the Western powers?