I wouldn’t say it would be the same as Rome at least on a cultural level. You underestimate that like China and Russia for that matter that even under bad circumstances either through dumb luck or willpower the country always bounces back in someway. Also like both their is a strong culture to bring all but the most hopelessly separatist states to their core state. Thinking that the USA will unravel will somehow cut into a dozen successor states each hopeless to repair the country is painfully naive. Just because a small percentage of people far from the capital try to declare independence for spurious reasons, doesn’t mean it will embody the will of the people unless something seriously pushed for it. I mean even during the American Revolutionary war people will more ambivalent then supportive of independence (the loyalists created Canada after all). A fall of Rome may mean the loss of power for the USA, but it will not mean a loss of its core people nor its desire for reconstruction of the Union ( whether it be European, African, Native, Asian, or Latin). Some people might leave permanently others will return, no different if Brazil had a civil war.I say this on account that unlike China which was dealing with about two centuries of decline before fully falling into civil war, this US civil war would be far more immediate and far more devastating not just to the US but to the entire world since they will be dealing with millions of refugees not just from the US but from all over the world as the worlds largest economy and agriculture producer falls apart.
Really what I am saying is that if the US falls like most 21st century Second Civil War scenarios have it fall, the consequences would be far worse than they usually occur in said scenarios.
Really I would say it would be closer to the fall o Rome than China.
Although yes I understand what you’re saying and a fall would lead to devastating consequences worldwide.
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