Taimur500

Banned
Anísio Teixeira
that man's history was tragic and had an even more tragic ending, he deserves much better.
two things that also were in my mind were:

the attempt on the life of carlos lacerda succeeding, and the Anarchist movement mantaining a strong position in brazilian labour.


those two being separate ideas for separate timelines, of course

also, great update
i think we'll end up seeing the red star rising in this timeline earlier (and with a much more plural, diverse and democratic internal dynamic, which was exactly what was lacking OTL)
 
that man's history was tragic and had an even more tragic ending, he deserves much better.
two things that also were in my mind were:

the attempt on the life of carlos lacerda succeeding, and the Anarchist movement mantaining a strong position in brazilian labour.
Had Lacerda been actually murdered, Getúlio probably would've been deposed in a military coup in the following days. I don't know enough about the anarchists to talk, or, well, write, about them.

those two being separate ideas for separate timelines, of course

also, great update
i think we'll end up seeing the red star rising in this timeline earlier (and with a much more plural, diverse and democratic internal dynamic, which was exactly what was lacking OTL)
Since Lula isn't the most important leftist politician in Brazil (that honor goes to Brizola, for obvious reasons) the personality cult that he has won't develop ITTL. Today, PT is full of people who worship him, a problem that has become even worse thanks to the rise of PSOL and the awful and completely biased way with which Moro had him imprisoned.
 

Taimur500

Banned
Since Lula isn't the most important leftist politician in Brazil (that honor goes to Brizola, for obvious reasons) the personality cult that he has won't develop ITTL. Today, PT is full of people who worship him, a problem that has become even worse thanks to the rise of PSOL and the awful and completely biased way with which Moro had him imprisoned.
the way Lula treated his own party was one of the main causes of the recent downfall of the left wing in brazil.
dilma rouseff snobbing Eduardo Suplicy so many times is one of the main proofs of how far the party fell from their own moral standards.
 
the way Lula treated his own party was one of the main causes of the recent downfall of the left wing in brazil.
dilma rouseff snobbing Eduardo Suplicy so many times is one of the main proofs of how far the party fell from their own moral standards.
Indeed. Now, since we're getting way too close to current politics, let's focus on other things. See you and everyone else tomorrow, since I might just start writing the next update then.
 
Part 9: The Letter from Hell
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Part 9: The Letter from Hell


As 1993 began, president Brizola had reached what was probably his lowest point yet, politically and personally. On the public front, his administration's approval rating continued to drop to just 35% in February, which although still higher than that of his predecessor Ulysses' worst days, was a far cry from the early days of before everything began to crumble (relatively speaking, that is, since there was absolutely no chance of that he impeached). With the great blow that PTB suffered in last year's elections, with the very painful loss of Rio de Janeiro to the opposition, the other parties that were part of the governing coalition, especially PT and PSDB, began to press for a greater role in ruling Brazil, with Lula declaring his intention to run for the presidency of the Chamber of Deputies, a race that he won with a comfortable margin thanks to the support of PSB and PSDB, as well as the momentary fragmentation of PTB, with different factions supporting different candidates (1).

It was clear that the Old Caudillo couldn't just order his colleagues around anymore, diplomatically or not. And now there was blood in the water.

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Lula arguing to his fellow congresspeople why he should be chosen to preside the lower house. Though the vote was a secret one, it later became clear that many conservatives voted for him, hoping to create a split between PT and the president.

All of these public problems, as stated above, began to affect Brizola's private life. Many of the people involved in those scandals were close allies and sometimes even friends of his, such as the defeated former Miro Teixeira and Marcello Alencar (both of whom would be judged innocent much later), which made him increasingly less willing to appear in public for the time being, even though he himself wasn't suspected of commiting any wrongdoing. The scandals, combined with the stress that naturally came from holding Brazil's highest office, had a noticeable effect on the health of a man who was already in his seventies, and his graying hair finally turned into a bright white. However, his First Lady, Neusa Goulart Brizola, whose wellbeing had been permanently crippled by the long years of exile, was approaching her death, and they both knew that there was nothing they could do to stop it (2). The worst of it all was that the Old Caudillo knew that there were people who were going to take advantage of him and the situation, and they could be hiding in every corner, waiting for the perfect moment to strike.

Until everything changed in the night of March 24, 1993. After what was little more than an ordinary day, dutifully signing paperwork and laws that were approved by Congress, president Brizola was greeted by a most exasperated aide, who carried a file that was supposed to be read immediately. Asking about what was in it, the answer he received was that he wouldn't believe what the document contained unless he read it with his own eyes. Unwilling to go back to the office that he just left, the old gaúcho just read the paper on his hands right there and then, a grave mistake, since he almost fell from after he finished it.

His Excellency immediately called the entire cabinet for an emergency meeting, and the press followed next morning.


Minister of Justice Hélio Bicudo's description of the file sums it up pretty nicely: "This is the single most disturbing document I've ever seen in my entire life."

The document in question was a CIA memorandum that was somehow smuggled out of the United States and sent straight to Brasília. It detailed a meeting that happened in 1974 between the then president Ernesto Geisel, the chief of the SNI (National Information Service) and his eventual successor João Figueiredo, and the generals Milton Tavares de Souza and Confúcio Danton de Paula Avelino, both of whom were members of the CIE (Center of Informations for the Army), and the main topic of the discussion was about how they were supposed to handle the problem presented by the "subversive elements" (political opponents of the dictatorship). While Figueiredo, Tavares and Avelino supported the continued use of "extra-legal methods" (torture and executions) to handle the issue, an approach that had been quite effective under the presidency of Emílio Médici, Geisel claimed that although the policy was sound, extra care had to be taken to ensure that only the "most dangerous elements" were eliminated, and that no execution should happen without his strict authorization (3).

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Ernesto Geisel and João Figueiredo.

The reveal that Geisel and Figueiredo, who were supposed to be seen as the military leaders who eventually led Brazil back to democracy, actually had people killed, and in the latter's case even endorsed said policy, cause a massive amount of uproar among many sectors of civil society, social movements and human rights organizations, as it not only touched a wound that was still quite fresh in many minds but also shattered many illusions that some people still held. The day after the contents of what became known as the "Carta Sangrenta" ("Bloody Letter") was shown to the public, president Brizola, eager to become the Brazilian Alfonsín, issued to Congress a proposal to create a National Truth Commission to investigate human rights abuses that happened during the 21 year long dictatorship in the next few weeks (4). At the same time, OAB sent to the Supreme Court a lawsuit demanding that the Amnesty Law of 1979 be delared unconstitutional, since it prevented former torturers from being prosecuted. Despite outside expectations, this lawsuit was accepted after a surprisingly short debate, since most of the judges who were appointed by the dictatorship had already retired years ago, and were replaced with ones appointed during the Guimarães and Brizola administrations (5).

This initiative quickly passed both houses of the legislature, not only because of the comfortable government majority in the Chamber of Deputies (less so in the Senate), but also because many conservatives were afraid to side wth the men to who they in some cases owed their entire political careers. Not all of them were like that, however, with people such as the federal deputy Jair Bolsonaro (PDS-RJ), claiming that the whole thing was a sham designed to "publicly humiliate the brave men who saved our nation from the communist threat" and distract the people from the left's "obvious corruption and submission to Cuba and the Soviet Union" (6). Nevertheless, these voices were very few in number, with most of them, such as Paulo Maluf and Agripino Maia, already trying to make up excuses about why they were loyal members of ARENA while this was all going on.

The National Truth Commission began its investigative work in April 12, 1993, and many people, from victims to retired torturers, gave their testimonies, which were often shown on live television, especially by TV Brasil, eager to increase its ratings and endear itself to progressives whenever possible. Many politicians who were former guerrilla fighters and political activists in their youth, such as the mayor of Porto Alegre, Carlos Araújo, and his wife, Dilma Rousseff, attended these hearings and gave vivid details about what they were forced to go through, with Araújo in particular trying to commit suicide because of it in 1970. Most of the former torturers were reluctant to give their testimonies (quite the understatement), since they knew that they would soon be prosecuted, since the Amnesty Law was now null and void. Though a few were actually quite cooperative, others, such as Carlos Alberto Brilhante Ustra, only showed up to scream about how the people they targeted were "terrorists" and "communists" (7).

The Commission also investigated the circumstances behind some of the unusual and sometimes very convenient deaths of critics of the dictatorship, such as former presidents Juscelino Kubitschek (who died in a car accident) and João Goulart (died from a supposed heart attack in exile, with Brizola openly stating that he believed that his brother in law was poisoned), Carlos Lacerda (the infamous "Crow", who died the day after he went to a clinic thanks to a bad cold) and the fashion designer Zuzu Angel, who also died in a car crash. The investigations involving Lacerda and Goulart were inconclusive, but Kubitschek's death was proven to have been an unfortunate accident, while Angel was proven to have been murdered by agents of the dictatorship. However, even if there was no conclusive evidence that Goulart was killed with Geisel's authorization, it was proven that he was under close surveillance by the Brazilian government.

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Dilma.jpg

Carlos Araújo and Dilma Rousseff when they were under military custody.

By the time the Commission finished its work in 1996, over two hundred people had been imprisoned due to committing human rights abuses, with charges that ranged from homicide to inciting criminal activities. The two most famous people sentenced to prison over this last charge were José Maria Marin and Wadih Helu, who were accused and found guilty of inciting the murder of the naturalized, Yugoslav born journalist Vladimir Herzog, since they, as state assemblymen, requested that the army intervene in the TV Cultura channel's studio after accusing said network of becoming a communist outlet, with Herzog being murdered days later (8). However, although this was all fine and dandy, there were a few important missing pieces that were necessary to make this jigsaw absolutely perfect.

They needed to make sure that the generals behind everything faced justice. And this was no easy feat, since even those who were still alive were well into their eighties and nineties, with many arguing with enough credibility that they were just too old and not healthy enough to stand trial, something that greatly upset the president and the prosecutors: there would be no grand Trial of the Juntas like the one that happened in Argentina. Nevertheless, some successes were had on this front.

Although overseers such as the noted hardliner Sílvio Frota and Ernesto Geisel were too old and died before they could finally stand trial (the latter spending his last days under comfortable house arrest, to the frustration of president Brizola and many human rights activists), others, such as Carlos Alberto da Fontoura, who was the chief of the SNI under president Médici (and therefore during the worst of the repression) Aurélio de Lira Tavares (member of the junta that governed Brazil in the period between Costa e Silva's incapacitation by a stroke and Médici's accession) and, of course, João Figueiredo, spent the last days of their lives within a prison cell.

And just like that, Leonel Brizola's approval numbers were once again scraping the heavens.


------------------
Notes:

(1) IOTL, Lula never ran for reelection in Congress, focusing all of his energy to his multiple presidential runs. Since he does ITTL, he can take advantage of the opportunity that appeared before him here.

(2) Neusa Goulart Brizola died in April 7th, 1993.

(3) IOTL, this CIA memo was made public in 2018. Here, someone smuggles the document (or at least a copy of it) out of the United States and into Brazil. No one will ever know who did it.

(4) IOTL, the Truth Commission was installed in 2011 by president Dilma Rousseff, and was completely toothless.

(5) Which means that the torturers actually face justice here, instead of dying as free men.

(6) And here he is at last. Took him long enough to show up...

(7) Ustra was the torturer mentioned (and paid homage to) by Jair Bolsonaro in his vote for the 2016 coup d'état.

(8) If you understand Portuguese, you should listen to a little bit of this. The first man speaking is Wadih Helu, the second one is Marin.

 

Taimur500

Banned
oh god yes
yes yes yes

also in an unrelated note, dilma's picture is one that I've always liked, it really shows what the brazilian military brass really is

capable of the worst excesses, but will hide their faces while doing it, like the cowards they are.

a ferocious bunch as long as the gun is on their hands, as bezerra da silva would say.
 
Speaker Lula & President Brizola. What a duo.

Also, see a TL with Brazil having, in fact, tried and arrested torturers and their responsibles for hundreds of deaths (I believe with also an official number reasonably higher ITTL) it's more than a piece of alternate history, but also a signal of our institutional connivance as a country. We need to remember to avoid this atrocity again. Thanks, @Vinization.
 
Speaker Lula & President Brizola. What a duo.

Also, see a TL with Brazil having, in fact, tried and arrested torturers and their responsibles for hundreds of deaths (I believe with also an official number reasonably higher ITTL) it's more than a piece of alternate history, but also a signal of our institutional connivance as a country. We need to remember to avoid this atrocity again. Thanks, @Vinization.
Two men with very big egos sitting right next to each other as equals. That can't go wrong at all :D.

As for the number of deaths, not necessarily. Since the Amnesty Law has been torn to pieces, a lot of files may have been destroyed, and potential witnesses murdered. Still, an incomplete application of justice is better than complete impunity, and no one is going to say that the dictatorship wasn't ridiculously corrupt after that.

oh god yes
yes yes yes

also in an unrelated note, dilma's picture is one that I've always liked, it really shows what the brazilian military brass really is

capable of the worst excesses, but will hide their faces while doing it, like the cowards they are.

a ferocious bunch as long as the gun is on their hands, as bezerra da silva would say.
To this day, I STILL can't get over just how identical Dilma and Carlos' pictures are. The detainee's defiant stare, the angle at which it was taken, the military men in the background. No wonder those two eventually got married, they were obviously made for each other.
 
There was something i didn't understood while reading it. Does Brizola and Lula has some kind of beef? or will they unite (since Lula is trying to preside the lower house, he now has the power to unite with Brizola and empower left-wing in the country or muddle things for Brizola) btw that's interesting as hell man keep up the good work and let's survive the quarantine 😄
Lula and Brizola, despite supporting the same policies OTL, thought that they were REALLY entitled to two things:

  • Becoming the undisputed leader of the Brazilian left;
  • Winning the presidency, a goal which was on Brizola's mind in particular since the days when he looked like this.
Other than the fact that they fought over the same thing, their political beginnings were also quite different:
  • Lula was a poor iroworker who then became an union leader and achieved national prominence by leading the strikes that shook up the ABC in the late 70s and early 80s.
  • Brizola, meanwhile, was more than twenty years older than the former, and though he also had very humble origins (his father had been killed in a civil war), he married the sister of a wealthy landowner (future president João "Jango" Goulart) after becoming an RS state assemblyman, and the best man in said wedding was none other than Getúlio Dornelles Vargas himself. Thus, although he was extremely charismatic, he also owed his political rise to personal connections with powerful people.

Because of this, it is likely that Lula saw Brizola as a relic of the past, who was thus unfit to lead Brazil or its progressives in the new times that were coming with the end of the dictatorship. It also didn't help that the old PT was full of radicals that were absolutely unbearable, the likes of whom would later found PCO and PSTU, as well as some of the crazier members of PSOL.

ITTL, although Lula realizes that Brizola is very much his superior, and that it would be suicide to sabotage his inevitable reelection, he still wants to succeed him in 1998. However, the Old Caudillo already has an obvious heir, the young governor of Rio de Janeiro Jorge Roberto Silveira, who was nicknamed "The Crown Prince" by the press because of that. Thus, Lula will use his new position as president of the Chamber of Deputies to forge new alliances with the other parties of the governing coalition, such as PSB, PSDB and the communist parties, and his interests will inevitably clash with Brizola's later on.
 
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That is what i call a real big dog fight. I like the way Brizola is succeded ITTL, since OTL he tried hard to win and has been sabotaged sometimes by other parties/politicians and enterprises (like in Caso Proconsult). It is interesting to see what happens when progressist/leftist tradition is created in the 90's (differently of OTL where Lula, the first leftist elected since the end of the military dictatorship, was only elected in 2002)..
For starters, Brizola will be so old after his presidency ends that no one will speculate whether he will run for a third, non-consecutive term or not. And since he will die sooner than he did IOTL, thanks to the stress of his job, there won't be enough time for a personality cult to develop around him like the one Lula has today (just take a look at the Diário do Centro do Mundo and Brasil 247, two petista "news outlets" that believe Lula is infallible and everyone who disagrees with him on anything is obviously a rightist devil).

Also, an earlier leftist presidency, along with its inevitable scandals, will dispel the notion among most activists and similar supporters that the guys they support are completely incorruptible, so they're going to be much less obnoxious about how squeaky clean their deputies, senators, mayors and governors are.

Barring a few exceptions, of course, like Eduardo Suplicy, Olívio Dutra, Saturnino Braga and a few others. Because those guys are squeaky clean.
As is Marcelo Freixo...
 
while PSTU is quite...weird, i like PCO

they have cojones.
I'm not a fan of armchair revolutionaries, especially ones who sow disunity among the left. I know there's a PCO article somewhere saying that Marcelo Freixo of all people was the putschists' candidate in the 2016 Rio mayoral election and not, you know, Pedro Paulo, who literally took part in that debacle in the Chamber of Deputies.
 

Taimur500

Banned
I'm not a fan of armchair revolutionaries, especially ones who sow disunity among the left. I know there's a PCO article somewhere saying that Marcelo Freixo of all people was the putschists' candidate in the 2016 Rio mayoral election and not, you know, Pedro Paulo, who literally took part in that debacle in the Chamber of Deputies.
their leadership is def subpar, but i like their policies and the fact that their militants punch the FIESP inflatable duck humanoids.

but yes, their leadership has to take a step back and read the situation a bit, such as they should have in the Rio mayoral elections
 
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Great work, is good to see a Brazilian TL, please keep the work. You know, 2020 OTL Brazil is a enormous horrorshow, what's happening right now is so absurd, like an ASB alternative dystopian timeline. Nowadays is comfortable to see a more optimistic Brazilian timeline, we could be better, of course, not the paradise, but better. About this alternate world, is Senna still dying in 94 ? And the 94 world cup ? Gurgel survived and become the "Brazilian popular car" ? How is the inflation ? Some another iconic company survived ? How is the space program ? I think Embraer has a potential to became a giant like Airbus and Boeing
 
Great work, is good to see a Brazilian TL, please keep the work. You know, 2020 OTL Brazil is a enormous horrorshow, what's happening right now is so absurd, like an ASB alternative dystopian timeline. Nowadays is comfortable to see a more optimistic Brazilian timeline, we could be better, of course, not the paradise, but better.
I've stopped watching the news because of this. It's either something about Covid or Bolsonaro's moves to shield his corrupt sons from justice.

About this alternate world, is Senna still dying in 94 ?
I haven't thought about that yet, but no. Also, Ayrton was 34 when he died, so he was probably going to retire in a few years. Was he outspoken in his political beliefs? If he was, maybe I could feature him in the TL.

And the 94 world cup ?
Since I gave the 1982 World Cup to Brazil ITTL, it's only fair that I give 1994 to Italy, with the penalty shootout going in their favour. Sorry, Taffarel...

Gurgel survived and become the "Brazilian popular car" ?
I'll write an update about Brazil's industry and advanced technology after the 1994 elections, and Gurgel will be featured there.

How is the inflation?
Inflation was tackled in the late 1980s with TTL's version of the Plano Cruzado, which was an austerity program instead of a bunch of idiotic price controls. Though this creates a recession, makes president Ulysses Guimarães very unpopular and destroys PMDB as a party in the short term, it nips the hyperinflation that plagued the Sarney administration in the bud.

Some another iconic company survived ?
How is the space program ? I think Embraer has a potential to became a giant like Airbus and Boeing
Anything else would be a spoiler, but Engesa survived and is currently selling EE-T1 Osório tanks and other military vehicles to foreign dictators, especially in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia is their biggest customer.

So much for human rights...

EDIT: It seems that Senna wasn't particularly outspoken about politics (unlike someone such as Sócrates, for example), refusing to say who he voted for and things like that. The only concrete thing about him is that he was a devout Catholic. He would probably be okay with the direction the country is taking ITTL.
 
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Since I gave the 1982 World Cup to Brazil ITTL, it's only fair that I give 1994 to Italy, with the penalty shootout going in their favour. Sorry, Taffarel...
-How dare you? "É teeeetra" is one of the most iconic moments of the nation

I'll write an update about Brazil's industry and advanced technology after the 1994 elections, and Gurgel will be featured there.
-Gurgel has such a sad history, they could had a better luck, and Itamar didn't help at all either

Inflation was tackled in the late 1980s with TTL's version of the Plano Cruzado, which was an austerity program instead of a bunch of idiotic price controls. Though this creates a recession, makes president Ulysses Guimarães very unpopular and destroys PMDB as a party in the short term, it nips the hyperinflation that plagued the Sarney administration in the bud.
-Ulysses, the villain for the present, but the hero for the future

Anything else would be a spoiler, but Engesa survived and is currently selling EE-T1 Osório tanks and other military vehicles to foreign dictators, especially in the Middle East. Saudi Arabia is their biggest customer.
-When engesa survived I thought "why not Gurgel or another company with some potential ? About space program, it doesn't require a lot of things, just let the accident of 2003 doesn't happen and the Brazilian space program would be a loooot better, well, Alcântara is the best spot on earth to launch a rocket
 
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Ah, there's one thing very important for the future of the Brazil, science, you know in OTL Brazil 2020 what's happening with universities, research and etc. Brazil has a huge potential in the scientific field (210 million people, goddamnit!). I think São Paulo and Recife could be a software pole, Manaus a hardware pole, Goiânia and Belém an biothecnology pole, Natal a neuroscience pole, São Luís an aerospace pole and etc etc
 
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