Catholics and Sicily: The last time I posted a population figure for the Despotate of Sicily is what 3+ million. That number is out-of-date, but going with it for now, that would mean Sicilian Catholics are currently around 2+ million. Trying to move that population with mid-1600s transportation isn’t feasible, if the goal is to have them be alive at the end of the journey. And transporting them to RITE is definitely out. I believe the transatlantic slave trade, over 450 years, moved something like 12 million people, just to put things in perspective.
This is effectively Great Crime 2.0, and, let’s be honest, it would be doing it to a population that Latin Europe is much more likely to care about. Not that 17th century Europe was big on humanitarian interventions, but think about how much Louis XIV’s treatment of the Huguenots did to French reputation abroad. And this would be with a much larger population.
And it would utterly wreck the Sicilian economy. The Great Crime did wreck the Syrian economy (which is still a mess, hence why it is not able to support this Roman war effort like previous ones). The Romans were willing to pay that price, but there was that price. It’s hard for Sicily to produce food if all the farmers have been deported.
Finally, and on the Doylist level, there is the moral aspect. While in some ways I like Rhomania being precocious, imitating the twentieth century’s go-to solution of ethnic cleansing to ‘tidy up’ populations is decidedly not one of them. This period is meant to be “the nadir of the Roman soul”, and I consider it a plausible and logical development from events before, the constant fear and hate-mongering of the Latins, the insecurity of feeling constantly under siege. But while I find it interesting to explore for a time, there is a part of me that is looking forward to the Rhomania of the late 1600s and beyond, which is much less hate and fear filled, and frankly more likable. (Hardly perfect-looks at Java, but less dark.)
If Athena is moving against the regime (and assuming Herakleios can’t be persuaded to abandon them), does she have a candidate to replace the Emperor? Demetrios is still presumably in Afghanistan.
“The Emperor is unwell. That is why I and my daughter, I mean the Empress, are taking charge and ruling in his stead.”
It is a weakness in her position. It’d be much easier if her son Ioannes was still alive to add that masculine face.
Going to assume that if the war is to be resolved - it’ll be a short limited engagement to try and maintain the status quo now that Baghdad was a disaster?
Otherwise the Tourmarches will be too entrenched if it drags out.
Can’t get into this much because of spoilers. But Doukas is a soldier, not a politician. He’s not really an intriguer. As of right now, there is a war on the eastern frontier and as Domestikos of the East, it is his job to wage it. Period. Once peace is achieved, then he is free to act otherwise. But his job is to make war, not make peace.
Essentially Rome needs to stop seeing Sicily as a subject part of its empire and treat it as "us". So, interests of people in Naples matter the same as those in Antioch, and no exploiting Sicilian economy to bolster heartland.
How realistic is that - I think very little unless Sicily is also ruled directly from Constantinople, meaning direct taxation and recruitment. No ruler in Constantinople will prioritise essentially foreign land to his own, even if he values it as an ally. To paraphrase a former emperor, "gratitude is worth its weight in gold".
Long term Montana matters more to US than Australia to United Kingdom - just cultural and commercial ties will only take you so far.
This. And it is a catch-22. Constantinople won’t truly treat Naples as an integral and equal part unless it is directly controlled by Constantinople. But Naples won’t consent to be directly controlled unless it is already treated as an integral and equal part.
The turmoil in the Despotate of Sicily is making me wonder how things are in Rome the city. Its directly administered by the empire and for cultural/sentimental reasons I doubt they'd let it fall to crap. Maybe a bit unrealistic short term but I hope in the future of this timeline the Romans put in some effort to restore the eternal city to at least some of its former glory, should be easier as well because iirc there was no renaissance papcy so alot more of the ancient city should survive + rhomania still knows how to make roman concrete
The ancient sites of Rome do have the advantage of no Renaissance Papacy looting them for building material. But sentiment can only go so far. Rome the city right now is rather small and run down because with the Papacy gone, it has lost its economic motor. It doesn’t have a commercial or industrial sector like Firenze or Genoa or Milan, or a rich agricultural hinterland like Naples does with Campania. Catholic pilgrimage is down massively and it doesn’t have the draw for Orthodox pilgrims, who will go to Constantinople. So while there is some will to at least not let the place fall into ruin, there just isn’t the money. The priorities are closer to home.
I may be very late to the party and you probably answered this in past threads, but I'm a new reader so I must ask:
Since this Rome is very Greek and associates with Greek culture and speaks Greek while demonizing the western European descendants of the Germanic barbarian tribes (Franks, Alemanni, Saxons, Lombards, Visigoths, etc) as "Latin," is there any sense of disconnect between the modern Romans and the fact that their ancestors and culture were Latin-speaking residents of Italy? Do they actively dislike their past and ignore classical Rome like Caesar and Camillus and Scipio and Augustus and Trajan in favor of post-Constantine, and even so post 1204 with the Laskarids and second Komenians?
Do they have any love for the old "Eternal City" or do they only view it as a Papist stronghold not worthy of remembrance in the same way as Constantinople (for example keeping the Hagia Sophia or Bucelon Palace clean and secure while ignoring the Forum Romanum or Colosseum). I'm curious how the ITTL modern Romans see their past
It’s complicated. But then it was complicated IOTL. Ioannes III Doukas Vatatzes claimed the mantle of Emperor of the Romans, but made disparaging remarks about the Latin language in letters to the Pope, which rather confused the Pontiff. But then his son Theodoros II in his writings drew on classical Roman figures such as Caesar and Cato and Trajan as models of statesmanship. And at the same time he referred to himself and his subjects as Hellenes and his realm as Hellas. (This is all OTL.)
There is this constant schizophrenic tension. They definitely assert that they are Romans, but they are ambivalent about the Latin and pagan aspects of their past. Sometimes they’re willing to get closer to these aspects, and sometimes they back away, but they’re not willing to sever that connection, because again they identify as Roman. But this is why they prefer to focus on the Greek aspects of their past, because then that annoying cognitive dissonance goes away.
So there isn’t a straight answer. I’m confused about the relationship, because I think the TTL Byzantines were confused about the relationship themselves.
Hope that helps, although I’m not sure it clarifies.
If there's enough Orthodox Christians in Syria and Egypt, Rhomania can easily use that as a rallying point for unity. Catholic Italy would be the most difficult and most likely the one that'll want independence the most.
In Egypt, Orthodox Christians number in the low tens of thousands out of a population of millions of Copts, Nile Germans, and Sunni remainers. We’re talking literally 1-2%. Ever since the conquest of Egypt, there hasn’t been much Greek Orthodox immigration or proselytizing, and the Copt-boosting efforts there started rather early (and probably succeeded far too well from Constantinople’s long-term POV, but to fix that would involve going back to around 1500).
Syria is…complicated. It used to be dominated by Sunni Muslims, which is clearly not the case now. Now it’s a mix of different groups, Greek Orthodox, Melkites (Arab Orthodox), Assyrian Christians, Armenian Christians, Alawites, Maronites, Druzes, and Shi’a. (And it would not surprise me if I’ve forgotten groups.) It’s basically an uber-Lebanon. The Greek Orthodox also have a tendency to be very concentrated in the north and in certain coastal cities, and practically nonexistent everywhere else.
Nationalism: I feel that the rise of some form of nationalism is inevitable. Humanity has a tendency to form in-groups, and frankly sometimes the way tribalism is framed as opposed to nationalism seems to me to be rather arbitrary and designed to make nationalism seem more fancy and logical and ‘modern’ and therefore good. (In much the same way that certain behaviors and actions are labeled ‘medieval’, with the clear implication that modern people would never behave in such ways.)
The main differences I see between tribalism and nationalism are just ones of scale. Nationalism is usually on a larger scale (area and population) and is more broad throughout the population. But industrialization, with masses of people from the countrysides being concentrated in cities and likely experiencing mass literacy and education, would tend to ‘power up’ such tribalism because of greater contacts and knowledge of other people. People identify with the nation rather than their village or local province, but the concept is the same except for the scale.
That said, I don’t think nationalism has to play out exactly the way it did IOTL. It doesn’t have to always be so ethnically focused. Roman nationalism will be culturally, not ethnically, focused. There won’t be a Roman ethnicity, but there is a Roman culture (Greek). If one is willing to act in that cultural milieu, one is a Roman. If one is not, then screw you.
And even nationalism that plays out more like OTL doesn’t have to take the same course. There won’t be a Ukrainian/Russian divergence because of the vastly different history of the areas ITTL. The idea of a unifying peninsular Italian identity, questionable IOTL, will be absolutely patently absurd ITTL, with absolutely no one taking the idea seriously. But a German or French or English nationalism that looks a lot like IOTL could appear ITTL.