AHC/What If: End the Atlantic Slave Trade earlier

The Atlantic Slave trade was a particularly brutal event in world history that saw millions of Africans displaced from their home to the Americas where many would die in bondage. The event lasted from the early 1500s after Spain decided to turn to Portuguese slavers to keep up with the labor demand, to the early 1800s, where it was deconstructed by the European empires who had similarly benefited from it for roughly 300 years, give or take a few decades. The majority of slaves were sent to the West Indies, where many perished on sugar plantations with high turn over rates because of the danger of boiling and processing sugar, Haiti in particular becoming a dark hole of misery and death, though hundreds of thousands were sent to North and South America to serve in mines or on plantations as well.

But what if the Atlantic Slave trade was ended earlier? How could the slave trade be ended earlier than the early 1800s?

Extra brownie points if its ended before 1700.
 
Do it has to start in the first place?
Because I can think of a few ways to butterfly it(my signature TL has just that) but after it already started the level of difficulty increases by a lot
 
The Atlantic Slave trade was a particularly brutal event in world history that saw millions of Africans displaced from their home to the Americas where many would die in bondage. The event lasted from the early 1500s after Spain decided to turn to Portuguese slavers to keep up with the labor demand, to the early 1800s, where it was deconstructed by the European empires who had similarly benefited from it for roughly 300 years, give or take a few decades. The majority of slaves were sent to the West Indies, where many perished on sugar plantations with high turn over rates because of the danger of boiling and processing sugar, Haiti in particular becoming a dark hole of misery and death, though hundreds of thousands were sent to North and South America to serve in mines or on plantations as well.

But what if the Atlantic Slave trade was ended earlier? How could the slave trade be ended earlier than the early 1800s?

Extra brownie points if its ended before 1700.
The British Foreign Minster listens to the Earl of Liverpool and seriously tries to ban slavery at the Congress of Vienna, he somehow succeeds.
 
The Atlantic Slave trade was a particularly brutal event in world history that saw millions of Africans displaced from their home to the Americas where many would die in bondage. The event lasted from the early 1500s after Spain decided to turn to Portuguese slavers to keep up with the labor demand, to the early 1800s, where it was deconstructed by the European empires who had similarly benefited from it for roughly 300 years, give or take a few decades. The majority of slaves were sent to the West Indies, where many perished on sugar plantations with high turn over rates because of the danger of boiling and processing sugar, Haiti in particular becoming a dark hole of misery and death, though hundreds of thousands were sent to North and South America to serve in mines or on plantations as well.

But what if the Atlantic Slave trade was ended earlier? How could the slave trade be ended earlier than the early 1800s?

Extra brownie points if its ended before 1700.

You could have William Wilberforce not getting sick in 1788 for a slightly earlier end - as Gary Oswald explains:

...The reason was a campaign by British Christian humanists. They had organised protests, they had won over MPs, they had won victories on regulating the conditions of slave ships, and they had published slave diaries and won court cases and shocked the country with tales of the atrocities committed in their name. Moreover they took advantage of the hatred of press gangs and the fear of sailing to make much of the huge death toll of the white crew on slaving ships who were dying to African diseases, this trade, they said, kills both white man and black and the message was heard. Throughout the 1790s there was a growing boycott of sugar by the abolitionists and non-voters signed petitions and sent letters to the parliament in numbers previously unforeseen. The result was a vote in the British House of Commons on abolishing the trade in slaves.

And they lost. 163 votes against abolishment to 88 votes in favour. In the aftermath abolitionists, on wondering why they had lost, blamed the timing. This was 1791. The Dolben Act, which had restricted the amount of slaves any one ship could carry had been passed in 1788. This was seen as the time for the abolitionists to strike, while the iron was hot. They had attempted to put up a bill in the same year on complete abolition of the slave trade but first William Wilberforce, their chosen politician, got sick before he could table the bill and when he recovered, King George had a fit of madness and so all other business was delayed a year while the discussion of the regency dominated parliament. In 1789 the pro slavery lobby delayed it further asking for time to find evidence to counter the claims about the slave trade and calling for further investigation.

The 1791 vote happened only after three years of delay, which the abolitionists deemed crucial to their defeat. Because during these three years a lot had changed. For a start the French revolution had happened and thus poisoned a lot of ideas of liberal reform in the minds of the British. Secondly the West India Lobby of pro slavery interests, who were barely existent as a united force in 1788, had begun to properly organise, the money they spent in lobbying increased hugely in each of those intervening years. Some of that money was spent on a PR campaign to rename the slaves 'assistant planters' in a reminder that satire often has a hard time outdoing reality. On the other side, the Abolitionist forces were weaker because James Ramsey, probably the most vigorous of all their campaigners, died in 1789.

One other thing had happened between 1788 and 1791, the first of what would become a series of slave revolts had occurred in the Caribbean which had been blamed on the abolitionists. This would set the pattern for the 1790s as the British would be faced with revolts in Jamaica, Grenada and Dominica. The French, newly destabilised by events at home, would fare even worse. A few months after the 1791 vote, a slave revolt in Haiti broke out, the largest the world would ever see. In 1793 the French, unable to defeat the slaves, instead agreed to free them, in 1794 this became a complete announcement across the entire empire that all slaves were to be freed and made full citizens. In practice the French Republic had limited power over a lot of their empire and a lot of colonies did not enact this law but this was still a hugely radical step...
 
While not exactly stopping the Atlantic Slave Trade, I can see the demand for slaves in the Americas and the demand for sugar plantains becoming far more smaller if sugar extraction from beet root plants comes about far more earlier, maybe starting from the early 17th century onwards.
 
While not exactly stopping the Atlantic Slave Trade, I can see the demand for slaves in the Americas and the demand for sugar plantains becoming far more smaller if sugar extraction from beet root plants comes about far more earlier, maybe starting from the early 17th century onwards.
Alternatively, would it have been possible to grow sugar in West Africa? Instead of selling slaves to Europeans, the local kingdoms could grow the sugar and sell it themselves.
 
Alternatively, would it have been possible to grow sugar in West Africa? Instead of selling slaves to Europeans, the local kingdoms could grow the sugar and sell it themselves.
Good point. If West African states begin to grow sugar on plantations, then a boost of revenue will probably come up and make the West African nations and kingdoms and chiefdoms more prosperous, which could have interesting side effects.
 
Alternatively, would it have been possible to grow sugar in West Africa? Instead of selling slaves to Europeans, the local kingdoms could grow the sugar and sell it themselves.
True, though this would still keep a continental wide slave trade going strong because sugar was very labor intensive, and the way to prepare it was horrifically dangerous, and often resulted in the loss of limbs from rollers and splash you with a sweet napalm that burned your skin.
 
The Code Noir was the French Crown's way of regulating the then ad-hoc and foreign dominated slave trade in its colonies. It's not inconceivable (especially if the French merchants are initially unsuccessful in competing with the Dutch slave traders) that the French tackle that issue by instead extending the "Free Soil" of France to its colonies. IIRC there was some legal debate over this at the time as the distinction between colony and lands of the French Crown had yet to crystallize.
 
One way of reducing the Atlantic slave trade would be if the ideals of the American Declaration of Independence were taken further i.e. all men being created equal and having the right to liberty resulted in the US banning slavery from its inception.
 
One way of reducing the Atlantic slave trade would be if the ideals of the American Declaration of Independence were taken further i.e. all men being created equal and having the right to liberty resulted in the US banning slavery from its inception.

Once Locke is born and starts talking about this. The Atlantic Slave Trade started a couple hundred years at least before Locke was even born. I do agree with you that we could get a 1776ish date rather than the 1807 date if the Founding Fathers tried to go this route. Though you might butterfly away the formation of the United States altogether as the issue of slaves was a pivotal sticking point for the Southern Colonies/States.
 
Do it has to start in the first place?
Because I can think of a few ways to butterfly it(my signature TL has just that) but after it already started the level of difficulty increases by a lot
That will take a number of changes in Europe before 1492. Slavery had been going on in Europe since the time of the Romans though shifted to unfree labor domestic servants or agricultural workers tied to the land and such. Before 1492 Southern Europe had begun importing a number of African slaves into Europe. Got to change this mind set.
 
That will take a number of changes in Europe before 1492. Slavery had been going on in Europe since the time of the Romans though shifted to unfree labor domestic servants or agricultural workers tied to the land and such. Before 1492 Southern Europe had begun importing a number of African slaves into Europe. Got to change this mind set.
There were slaves before 1492 in Europe, but not very many, and they weren't as economically important as plantation slaves would be later on.
 
Good point. If West African states begin to grow sugar on plantations, then a boost of revenue will probably come up and make the West African nations and kingdoms and chiefdoms more prosperous, which could have interesting side effects.
I think you highlight the reason why Africa wasn't identified as a major sugar producing area - having the production outside of the control of the buyers would not be acceptable to many countries. And trying to exert control over West Africa where the Columbian Exchange doesn't devastate the local population is difficult before modern medical support.

Interestingly one area where sugar can be grown in relatively hospitable conditions in Africa is the Cape Colony (Natal in particular). It would require someone to realise sugar could be grown in the area just after the Dutch founded Cape Colony which whilst being unlikely is at least possible. British or Portuguese are best bets

Would not be atrocity free but potentially an alternative. Caribbean sugar is still likely cheaper
 
Have one of the major slaver powers overseeing transport get locked out of the slave trade entirely and abruptly. No transport, no slave exploitation, not even selling goods that are traded for slaves to other Europeans. They must have been a major player in the slave trade prior.

Once locked out and unable to get back in, have them go scorched earth on the entire plantation slavery model as a whole. With naval supremacy and a determination to piss in everybody else's cheerios anything is possible; the Caribbean is porous if you have boats(see: piracy) and institutional inertia behind a model of operations that can reliably break plantation slavery in 9/10 cases only picks up steam, it doesn't slow down. Slavery only works as long as other competing systems that are more effective can't compete with it

With enough theft of 'property' and destruction of plantations, the entire thing will go bust once the capital to continue the exchange dries up while fueling the expenses of the power that has committed to going scorched earth as they'd be one of the key controllers of plantation goods through pillage and (presumably) transition into a different model of farming using the former slaves
 
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Would not be atrocity free but potentially an alternative. Caribbean sugar is still likely cheaper

Prevailing wind patterns means that the Caribbean is much more accessible to Europeans than the Cape as you don't have to pass through the Doldrums.

While not exactly stopping the Atlantic Slave Trade, I can see the demand for slaves in the Americas and the demand for sugar plantains becoming far more smaller if sugar extraction from beet root plants comes about far more earlier, maybe starting from the early 17th century onwards.

This is the answer. Sugar was the magic ingredient for chattel slavery of Africans, tobacco and cotton were both profitable but the margins were always much lower than for sugar and they developed much later. The idea of extracting sugar from beet dates back to 1575 but it didn't become commercially viable until the early 19th century, if you could bring that forward by 150 years to the mid 17th century chattel slavery remains marginal.

Slavery only works as long as other competing systems that are more effective can't compete with it

The problem is that slavery is very efficient at producing high labour intensity cash crops in tropical conditions. That's why the incomes of Caribbean islands plummeted after Abolition.
 
The problem is that slavery is very efficient at producing high labour intensity cash crops in tropical conditions. That's why the incomes of Caribbean islands plummeted after Abolition.

That's exactly the idea. It's so powerful that it could an 'If I can't have it no one will' if someone is forcibly evicted from the club with the support of the remaining powers. IMO the easiest candidates are either Spain or France being fucked by Britain and the other. A power that's been cut out entirely while diplomatically isolated and with nothing left to lose could (easily) opt to support abolitionism through a combination of moralism, opportunism, and sheer economic need to bleed opponents that they feel are both hostile and are/will be economically/financially domineering. It certainly needs the right kind of monarch at the helm. I think a strong candidate is Revolutionary France under the right leader.

Figure out or stumble on a 'business model'/state entity capable of power projection that grows stronger through emancipation. that can systematically destroy slavery island by island, and I think it's feasible. Whatever entity ends up able to leverage freedom into political power(be it the same rouge colonizer under very clearly defined terms with the former slaves, a Caribbean African state(s) and/or quasi-states, the head of this power's Caribbean efforts through personal ability and good fortune akin to a liberator conquistador, etc.) is going to have plenty of slavery to eat for breakfast, lunch, and dinner. So long as the key ingredients for success are being provided, I think almost anything's plausible.

The hardest thing is (IMO) keeping those key ingredients going, and that's a supply of goods with which to fight. Which I think will inherently encourage this entity to push to monopolize goods such as sugar through piracy and quite literally destroying the competition. It may not be slavery anymore, but I doubt we'll see a system without some degree of labor exploitation eventually arise due to the needs of the statelike entity and the people in charge(money to get ships/weapons/etc. going to keep the whole thing going). That means the most important resource is a patron power that can guarantee access to these goods. And that's ultimately going to be tied to their willingness to be a pariah.

That's why I think you need a power that's already a pariah or a perfect opportunity(Spain, right time, right leader, right place, hell maybe even right Pope). Niche I know, but it's IMO the sort of thing that once it's on the table, it'd be hard to contain
 
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