AHC: wank India with a late POD

[Alon]

In 1990, India was still a hair richer than China. Today, India's GDP per capita is $6,200 and China's is $14,000. The AHC is to give India a GDP per capita of at least $14,000 (in OTL purchasing power parity) by 2016 with as late a POD as possible.

 

[TimeMeddler]

In 1990, India was still a hair richer than China. Today, India's GDP per capita is $6,200 and China's is $14,000. The AHC is to give India a GDP per capita of at least $14,000 (in OTL purchasing power parity) by 2016 with as late a POD as possible.

India's economic growth performance has been pretty good, there hasn't been a recession since 1980 and tend growth has been around 6%. In order to match China though it would a growth trend of about 10% in the same period.

The obvious thing to do would be to push back the kind of reforms that Manmohan Singh carried out in the early 90s back to the early 80s.

The other issue is population growth... somehow are more effective family planning movement in India?

 

[Alon]

Re population growth, I'll note that the states that have succeeded the best at reducing fertility rates to or below replacement levels aren't necessarily the richest. Tamil Nadu is rich, but Kerala's economy is propped up by remittances from people who emigrated to richer states. West Bengal isn't very rich, either.

You could argue that prior investments into health and education would've later paid off, on the model of Mao-era universal health care and education setting the stage for industrialization from the Deng era onward, but it wouldn't be about fertility rates.