here are my 2 cents on the topic.
the megaaxis will if they played it right in quite short order be able drive the USN out of the atlantic
and inflict heavy casualties in doing so, in the pasific the USN will do better but is still faceing off against japan and what ever naval assets the other powers have there so it won't be easy.
they will be quite probarly be able to close american traderouts except with south america, end even those might come in perril at some point, since at the start of OTL the USN asw capability's where quite poor and i don't see any reason why in ATL this would be diffrent at the beginning.
so basicaly even tough the commies alliance does have more warmaking potential they will have to be fighting a paralle war while the megaaxis can fight a coalition war.
so they basicaly won't be fighting the combined recourses of there enemy's all at once but one at a time more or less.
the ussr are most likely screwed, they will be fighting a 3 front war (altough the front againt the jappanse will not be that hard on them.
they will be fighting in the west a nazi germany without any losses from its campains in the west and without any need for either occupation troops it the west nor the ever increasing air deffence needs,with acces to most or all the recourses they where short on OTL.
along side with them will be most likely an british expedition force and some major RAF assets, several french army's and the italian army's Lost in OTL the opening stages of the war in africa
witch where some of there best i believe.
and of course part of the armies of all europea minors that will join the mega axis.
here is a list with all minors that i think are likely to join the mega axis in ATL at some point
in random order:
Spain
portugal
turkey
romania
poland
finland
hungary
greece
the netherlands
The red army and air force are massive yes but they will verry likely outnumbered and without any aid from there allies.
not to mention that they will quite likely have the same problems as in OTL being leadership shortage and incompetance.
badly organised, i am assuming that the reorganisation after the winter war like in OTL won't be complete in ATL.
verry few radio equipment leading to poor communications.
alote of obsolete equipment.
bad logistics due to bad infra structure and lack of transportation, altough this is less of a problem while on the defence will make offensive or even counter offensive more difficult.
poor doctrine, soviet military doctrine vastly improved OTL durring the war as they where learning the lessons at a heavy price,i don't see a reason why that would have changed in OTL.
also there is quite a good chance that the megaaxis will do better in winning the harts of the population in the USSR even if only some parts of it, i am manly thinking about the caucasus and the asian part of the USSR where it will likely be the british and common whealth troops and the turkish and french troops that are liberating them.
so there is a good chance that the soviets will have some proplems with the loyalty of troops and people in these parts of there country.
next lest touch on the point of thech, in OTL most tech altough not all was developt by the germans and the british,also these 2 nation where the in OTL leading nations in terms of nuke research and atleast untill the war starts i don't realy see a reason why that would change in ATL.
some people think that the usa will be able to catchup with the help off scientist that fled europe.
but let me ask you this, how did they flee europe to get to the USAR? in OTL they did that by going to england first and than by ship to the USA.
do you realy think that a britain that is seeing war with the ATL USAR as quite likely is going to allow these scientist to travel to the USAR?
so in conclusion the commie alliance is royaly screwed,sure they it will take them quite some time and yes canada will either be nutral or fall.
but in the long run the megaaxis will win and decisivly so if they have the will to do this.
one more small point for your toughts the commie alliance does at the start have the bigger warmakeing potential but howmuch of that can it hold on to?
the megaaxis will if they played it right in quite short order be able drive the USN out of the atlantic
and inflict heavy casualties in doing so, in the pasific the USN will do better but is still faceing off against japan and what ever naval assets the other powers have there so it won't be easy.
they will be quite probarly be able to close american traderouts except with south america, end even those might come in perril at some point, since at the start of OTL the USN asw capability's where quite poor and i don't see any reason why in ATL this would be diffrent at the beginning.
so basicaly even tough the commies alliance does have more warmaking potential they will have to be fighting a paralle war while the megaaxis can fight a coalition war.
so they basicaly won't be fighting the combined recourses of there enemy's all at once but one at a time more or less.
the ussr are most likely screwed, they will be fighting a 3 front war (altough the front againt the jappanse will not be that hard on them.
they will be fighting in the west a nazi germany without any losses from its campains in the west and without any need for either occupation troops it the west nor the ever increasing air deffence needs,with acces to most or all the recourses they where short on OTL.
along side with them will be most likely an british expedition force and some major RAF assets, several french army's and the italian army's Lost in OTL the opening stages of the war in africa
witch where some of there best i believe.
and of course part of the armies of all europea minors that will join the mega axis.
here is a list with all minors that i think are likely to join the mega axis in ATL at some point
in random order:
Spain
portugal
turkey
romania
poland
finland
hungary
greece
the netherlands
The red army and air force are massive yes but they will verry likely outnumbered and without any aid from there allies.
not to mention that they will quite likely have the same problems as in OTL being leadership shortage and incompetance.
badly organised, i am assuming that the reorganisation after the winter war like in OTL won't be complete in ATL.
verry few radio equipment leading to poor communications.
alote of obsolete equipment.
bad logistics due to bad infra structure and lack of transportation, altough this is less of a problem while on the defence will make offensive or even counter offensive more difficult.
poor doctrine, soviet military doctrine vastly improved OTL durring the war as they where learning the lessons at a heavy price,i don't see a reason why that would have changed in OTL.
also there is quite a good chance that the megaaxis will do better in winning the harts of the population in the USSR even if only some parts of it, i am manly thinking about the caucasus and the asian part of the USSR where it will likely be the british and common whealth troops and the turkish and french troops that are liberating them.
so there is a good chance that the soviets will have some proplems with the loyalty of troops and people in these parts of there country.
next lest touch on the point of thech, in OTL most tech altough not all was developt by the germans and the british,also these 2 nation where the in OTL leading nations in terms of nuke research and atleast untill the war starts i don't realy see a reason why that would change in ATL.
some people think that the usa will be able to catchup with the help off scientist that fled europe.
but let me ask you this, how did they flee europe to get to the USAR? in OTL they did that by going to england first and than by ship to the USA.
do you realy think that a britain that is seeing war with the ATL USAR as quite likely is going to allow these scientist to travel to the USAR?
so in conclusion the commie alliance is royaly screwed,sure they it will take them quite some time and yes canada will either be nutral or fall.
but in the long run the megaaxis will win and decisivly so if they have the will to do this.
one more small point for your toughts the commie alliance does at the start have the bigger warmakeing potential but howmuch of that can it hold on to?
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