In the late summer/early fall of 1861 the Lincoln Administration made a deal with Joshua Sill and other East TN Unionists to launch an invasion of East TN via the Cumberland Gap in November of 1861. Gen. McClellan fully supported the effort as a distraction for his plans in Virginia. The TN Unionists would support this invasion by burning the seven rail bridges along the GA-TN-VA rail line to delay CS supplies and reinforcements. General George H. Thomas, a Virginia Loyalist later to become the "Rock of Chickamauga", would lead the expedition. While I can't find exact numbers, presumably he'll lead ~5,000, likely with many or all of the same units he led in the Battle of Mill Springs in Jan. '62 OTL. Gen. William "Bull" Nelson was in East KY conducting his Big Sandy Expedition and could presumably reinforce Thomas once that was concluded. Opposing them was Gen. Felix Zollicoffer with ~4,000 TN State Army soldiers occupying the region to prevent any sort of "Tory" uprising (Zolli would later die facing Thomas at Mill Springs OTL).
In OTL Gen. Sherman, who justifiably worried that the Union army would be hard pressed to supply itself over the winter given the relatively low local productivity and the long, tenuous supply lines down muddy roads vulnerable to bushwhackers, and who overestimated the CS presence in the area, and who was also in the midst of his nervous breakdown, cancelled the invasion over Thomas's objections, leaving the TN Unionists of the "East Tennessee Bridge Burning Conspiracy" literally hanging in the end. Thomas and Nelson were more sanguine about the prospects (I saw a letter from Nelson outlining the supply plans in the Official Records).
So, WI Sherman allowed the invasion? Perhaps if Thomas was more persuasive or perhaps if he felt more direct pressure from Lincoln to make it happen?
Offhand myself, given the results of Mill Springs and the face that Zollicoffer's forces were divided in trying to hold down a third of a fairly large and very mountainous state, it seems fully possible that Thomas could defeat Zolli and besiege or capture Knoxville (if Zolli successfully repels the invasion then the end result is basically OTL with more casualties and another embarrassing Union loss, so not really all that interesting from an AH perspective unless "someone important" is killed). Presumably the majority of East Tennesseans will welcome Thomas, but can they feed him? How many would rally to him and how many could he arm (presumably there will be a lot of old squirrel rifles and shotguns in the force)? Roughly 300 participated in the Bridge Burnings and TAR Nelson at the East TN convention wanted to call up 15,000 Volunteers (could he actually arm them, or was 15,000 a pipe dream? Anyone know? Presumably the CS already took any arms by this point, but I'm personally curious if anyone knows). Zolli's Company Commander Col. Wood estimated that they were outnumbered by local partisans, but I have no idea what the available numbers would be, or how well they'd be able to stand up against regulars, not that any of the regulars are that well trained or equipped on either side at this point!
The more interesting question for me is, what next? A.S. Johnston and PGT Beauregard were rather busy facing off against Grant and Buell, but could hypothetically have sent reinforcements. The 22nd and 45th Virginia Regiments (~1,400) would hypothetically be able to reinforce from SW VA, though this would leave that critical region vulnerable to raids or invasions while much of VA's forces were facing US forces in West[ern] VA and of course the AotP. Georgia has a few regiments to spare, though IIRC this was when Gov. Brown was still openly preventing Georgians from fighting outside of Georgia and may have just had them sit at the border! Given that Knoxville is a critical communications and supply line between Richmond and the West and Deep South, the CS presumably wouldn't just sit idly by!
Are there any other forces that I'm forgetting? Are there available Alabamans able to move up through Chattanooga (presumably sending dirty looks towards encamped Georgians along the way)? Does NC have anyone available to send over the mountains other than Home Guard at this point (Will Thomas' Cherokee Legion was not yet formed)?
Grant is fighting at Belmont at this point. Would Buell be forced to launch his move on Bowling Green sooner in order to cover Thomas's flank and tie up potential reinforcements?
Any thoughts?
PS: I searched for this topic on the boards and didn't see anything posted already, which surprised me. If I missed one let me know!
In OTL Gen. Sherman, who justifiably worried that the Union army would be hard pressed to supply itself over the winter given the relatively low local productivity and the long, tenuous supply lines down muddy roads vulnerable to bushwhackers, and who overestimated the CS presence in the area, and who was also in the midst of his nervous breakdown, cancelled the invasion over Thomas's objections, leaving the TN Unionists of the "East Tennessee Bridge Burning Conspiracy" literally hanging in the end. Thomas and Nelson were more sanguine about the prospects (I saw a letter from Nelson outlining the supply plans in the Official Records).
So, WI Sherman allowed the invasion? Perhaps if Thomas was more persuasive or perhaps if he felt more direct pressure from Lincoln to make it happen?
Offhand myself, given the results of Mill Springs and the face that Zollicoffer's forces were divided in trying to hold down a third of a fairly large and very mountainous state, it seems fully possible that Thomas could defeat Zolli and besiege or capture Knoxville (if Zolli successfully repels the invasion then the end result is basically OTL with more casualties and another embarrassing Union loss, so not really all that interesting from an AH perspective unless "someone important" is killed). Presumably the majority of East Tennesseans will welcome Thomas, but can they feed him? How many would rally to him and how many could he arm (presumably there will be a lot of old squirrel rifles and shotguns in the force)? Roughly 300 participated in the Bridge Burnings and TAR Nelson at the East TN convention wanted to call up 15,000 Volunteers (could he actually arm them, or was 15,000 a pipe dream? Anyone know? Presumably the CS already took any arms by this point, but I'm personally curious if anyone knows). Zolli's Company Commander Col. Wood estimated that they were outnumbered by local partisans, but I have no idea what the available numbers would be, or how well they'd be able to stand up against regulars, not that any of the regulars are that well trained or equipped on either side at this point!
The more interesting question for me is, what next? A.S. Johnston and PGT Beauregard were rather busy facing off against Grant and Buell, but could hypothetically have sent reinforcements. The 22nd and 45th Virginia Regiments (~1,400) would hypothetically be able to reinforce from SW VA, though this would leave that critical region vulnerable to raids or invasions while much of VA's forces were facing US forces in West[ern] VA and of course the AotP. Georgia has a few regiments to spare, though IIRC this was when Gov. Brown was still openly preventing Georgians from fighting outside of Georgia and may have just had them sit at the border! Given that Knoxville is a critical communications and supply line between Richmond and the West and Deep South, the CS presumably wouldn't just sit idly by!
Are there any other forces that I'm forgetting? Are there available Alabamans able to move up through Chattanooga (presumably sending dirty looks towards encamped Georgians along the way)? Does NC have anyone available to send over the mountains other than Home Guard at this point (Will Thomas' Cherokee Legion was not yet formed)?
Grant is fighting at Belmont at this point. Would Buell be forced to launch his move on Bowling Green sooner in order to cover Thomas's flank and tie up potential reinforcements?
Any thoughts?
PS: I searched for this topic on the boards and didn't see anything posted already, which surprised me. If I missed one let me know!