No Spanish Civil War in 1936 (my new Timeline)

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It's back! Hurray!

One error I spotted:

and surprisingly, the western invasion of Siam -the first in its long story- did not, as the japanese authorities expected, galvanize the siamese against the western invaders

I suppose you meant history.

Besides that, it's a very good and interesting update. Nice to see Siam has joined the Allies - a bit of extra manpower is rarely ever bad, though I can see the strategic difficulties in maintaining the liberation of the country.

It's also interesting to see the British taking a firmer stand against American anti-imperialism - without a doubt because of their stronger position in Europe, having fought alongside the French, Spanish and Portuguese from the beginning instead of fighting the start of the war alone. It's a good balancing for Wallace's socialism.

I'm not sure whether it's realistic for America, or at least Wallace, to be so open about not restoring Dutch rule in the East Indies. The Dutch are an ally after all. It reminds me a lot of the Soviet actions in Eastern Poland. Such 'betrayal' would probably turn the British away from the USA some more in the post-war period.

Anyway, very good work, and I'm hoping for a shorter hiatus next time.
 
Besides that, it's a very good and interesting update. Nice to see Siam has joined the Allies - a bit of extra manpower is rarely ever bad, though I can see the strategic difficulties in maintaining the liberation of the country.

Well, there is not much the Siamese can really do besides adding to the long list of countries fighting in Asia or helping the British in their advance through Malaya.
It's also interesting to see the British taking a firmer stand against American anti-imperialism - without a doubt because of their stronger position in Europe, having fought alongside the French, Spanish and Portuguese from the beginning instead of fighting the start of the war alone. It's a good balancing for Wallace's socialism.

It's more a case of the British refusing to admit that the world has changed irrevocably. This will sorely bite them in the ass in a few decades.

Even worse, they cannot admit that they are devoting enormous resources to a sideshow that has literally zero importance with regards to achieving Japan's surrender. Yes, in this timeline they have enough resources to afford it, but the americans are right: the only way to end the war is by occupying the Home Islands.

I'm not sure whether it's realistic for America, or at least Wallace, to be so open about not restoring Dutch rule in the East Indies. The Dutch are an ally after all. It reminds me a lot of the Soviet actions in Eastern Poland. Such 'betrayal' would probably turn the British away from the USA some more in the post-war period.
They're not open about it, of course. But everyone who knows Wallace knows what his intentions with regards to colonial empires are. Informally, the entire southeast Asia theater is regarded as the british' problem -in that way, the british feel entitled to do whatever political arrangements they think better in that zone. The americans can do the same with their atolls if they want to.

Hopefully the next update will cover the Western Front during mid-1944 and will be up in a few days.
 
The fault lines in the post war world are now becoming very clear, the cold war will have five sides, three of which may work together at times but try and annoy each other as much as they can at other times.
We have:
-The Soviet World
-The United States
-The Franco-British "Europe"
-Spain and later its German ally
-Fascist Italy (likely falling into the Iberian sphere after a regime change)

Will there be a Marshall Plan and economic help from the United States post war? If yes I could see it being targetted at Spain and Portugal rather than Britain as was the case OTL. This alone could widen the cracks yet further and prevent a united Europe from taking shape.

If the Franco-British get their act toghether they should be able to create a very strong alliance with the British dominions, Belgium, the Netherlands and Norway. The key for France and Britain will be to turn their former colonies into allies, so as to keep their markets and to prevent them from falling into the sphere of others. But if the war in India is anything to judge, they will fail in that respect. The Algerian situation is also a lot more complicated in here, as France fought on from there. It should be possible to avoid a war (both the Muslims and the Pied-Noirs fought and died together), but the country will likely still become independent sooner or later and possibly become an integral member of the Entente.

There is a lot of potential for the Entente to maintain its position if it takes the right decision. But bad decisions, colonial wars and a lack of allies could also doom its position long term.
 
The fault lines in the post war world are now becoming very clear, the cold war will have five sides, three of which may work together at times but try and annoy each other as much as they can at other times.
We have:
-The Soviet World
-The United States
-The Franco-British "Europe"
-Spain and later its German ally
-Fascist Italy (likely falling into the Iberian sphere after a regime change)

Will there be a Marshall Plan and economic help from the United States post war? If yes I could see it being targetted at Spain and Portugal rather than Britain as was the case OTL. This alone could widen the cracks yet further and prevent a united Europe from taking shape.

If the Franco-British get their act toghether they should be able to create a very strong alliance with the British dominions, Belgium, the Netherlands and Norway. The key for France and Britain will be to turn their former colonies into allies, so as to keep their markets and to prevent them from falling into the sphere of others. But if the war in India is anything to judge, they will fail in that respect. The Algerian situation is also a lot more complicated in here, as France fought on from there. It should be possible to avoid a war (both the Muslims and the Pied-Noirs fought and died together), but the country will likely still become independent sooner or later and possibly become an integral member of the Entente.

There is a lot of potential for the Entente to maintain its position if it takes the right decision. But bad decisions, colonial wars and a lack of allies could also doom its position long term.

There are some off details, but yes, that's pretty much it.

Re. the Marshall Plan, you raise a good point. I can see the US concentrating in Iberia and Germany while the british take care of France and the Low Countries -at least in some limited measure: it's true that Britain has survived the war fairly intact, but all the war effort and the subsequent economic hangover will take their toll.

Still, and considering that France it has suffered more destruction than OTL, I can see (and it would be ironically symbolic) Britain contributing a lot to rebuild France, thus creating the seeds of the new Entente intending to direct the New Europe. And, after all, the sooner France stops rebuilding, the sooner a new market for british produce will open and vice-versa. While never becoming a formal political union (I toyed with that idea, but discarded it), the Anglo-French, with Norway and the Benelux as sidekicks, will form a much tighter association than IOTL.

Spain, Portugal and Germany will spend the first decades after the postwar too busy rebuilding. When the EU-analogue is founded in the 50's they will join merrily (altough I'm in the fence with Germany), but cracks between the Entente and the Trotskyites will soon appear: the Entente will see the Iberians as american shills, and the Iberians resent the Anglo-French excessive weight within Europe. Even when Iberia and the US begin to distance in the 60's, Spain will keep trying to act as a counterweight to the Entente -of course, a doomed enterprise unless german cooperation can be achieved. It is no coincidence that Spain begins its nuclear program by this time.

But of course, things are not going to be that clear cut. Allegiances are easy when there are two sides vying for control of humanity; it is not so clear when there are between three and five sides vying for little more than a place in the global sun. It will ressemble our Cold War less than the pre-1914 balance of power, this time in a global scale, very fluid alliances, more shades of grey and with several instruments (read: nukes, UN, early american near-omnipotence) to prevent a Third World War.

Nice update!:)

The East Indies have more chances of remaining Dutch for a while longer than OTL.

Parts of it at least.
 
Ahh, magnificent, an update! Jolly good!

I've had an idea about Spain's economy ITTL: I'd say it'll be a combination of low income tax but with high taxes on those who earn lots, as well as very high inheritance and land taxes, squeeze the rich kind of ideas.
 
There are some off details, but yes, that's pretty much it.

Re. the Marshall Plan, you raise a good point. I can see the US concentrating in Iberia and Germany while the british take care of France and the Low Countries -at least in some limited measure: it's true that Britain has survived the war fairly intact, but all the war effort and the subsequent economic hangover will take their toll.

Germany did not get any help as part of the Marshall Plan OTL, or at least any official help, so I don't expect things to be massively different from OTL. The British economy will still face broadly the same issues as OTL if action is not taken soon. Who do you plan to have winning the elections in 1945? If its Eden there is some hope for better policies than OTL to be enacted.

Still, and considering that France it has suffered more destruction than OTL, I can see (and it would be ironically symbolic) Britain contributing a lot to rebuild France, thus creating the seeds of the new Entente intending to direct the New Europe. And, after all, the sooner France stops rebuilding, the sooner a new market for british produce will open and vice-versa. While never becoming a formal political union (I toyed with that idea, but discarded it), the Anglo-French, with Norway and the Benelux as sidekicks, will form a much tighter association than IOTL.

The French and British economies both had something which the other needed badly at the time. France had excess agricultural produce but little coal, while for Britain it was the opposite. French iron ore will combine with British coal to make Franco-British steel here (any chance for the Oxygen furnace patents to be plundered unlike OTL?). France won't need German coal here, especially if it gets the Saarland.

There is indeed a clear potential for this Europe to be more tighly knit than OTL but in different ways. It won't get a common currency and a common parliament. But it's militaries will have the same gear and equipment, its consumers standards will be the same (de facto imposition of Franco-British ones) and its transport network could end up more integrated too.

Spain, Portugal and Germany will spend the first decades after the postwar too busy rebuilding. When the EU-analogue is founded in the 50's they will join merrily (altough I'm in the fence with Germany), but cracks between the Entente and the Trotskyites will soon appear: the Entente will see the Iberians as american shills, and the Iberians resent the Anglo-French excessive weight within Europe. Even when Iberia and the US begin to distance in the 60's, Spain will keep trying to act as a counterweight to the Entente -of course, a doomed enterprise unless german cooperation can be achieved. It is no coincidence that Spain begins its nuclear program by this time.

If a strong Iberian-German axis takes shape it can definitely act as a counterweight to the Entente but it all depends on the policies enacted by both sides.

With Enoch Powell becoming British PM during the sixties, there is a good chance to have a different Thatcherism happening twenty years earlier than OTL. Powell won't be as dogmatic as the lady on these questions, but he might paradoxically be more radical. Read no privatisation of the railways (it would be a private monopoly), but likely full frontal competition in the telecoms industry and possibly even in mail and parcels. The sixties would be a perfect time for the latter actually, as mail volumes were on a steady rise then.

Who is heading the French government at the moment by the way, Reynaud, De Gaulle, Mandel, Blum?
I would think that the Trotskystes will gain a significant influence in French politics either though the communist or the socialist party. Spain will definitely be an example to follow for some, whereas for others in the PC it will be Stalinism. Plenty of fun ahead ...
 
[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]From A war to be won, history of the second World War, by Alan Millett; Harvard University Press, 2000[/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...after the effort to take Paris, allied advance slowed to a grinding halt: In mid-February, Patton crossed the belgian border between Mons and Kortrijk while the french and british made their way through the battlefields of 1918 towards Luxembourg and the Ardennes and more allied troops attempted to reach the Rhine and the Sigfried Line. [/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]However, allied supply lines were overstretched. Le Havre and Cherbourg would not surrender until April, Brest until May, Calais until well into the summer, and most allied supplies had to be sent from Spain or via Bordeaux and Marseille. There was simply no way the allies could attempt a sustained offensive towards Germany without taking a closer port -and even Calais would be too far from the front. This made the port of Antwerp vital for the ongoing allied offensive. Unfortunately for the allies, Himmler knew it all too well. [/FONT]



[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]From: Down Like Inglorious Bastards. The last year of the Third Reich, by Rai Mohinder Pérez. Ed Alfaguara, Madrid, 2009[/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...after the first phase of Himmler's plan -showing the allies that he could be reasonable by pulling out of Paris- came the second- showing the allies that Germany could still be strong, and necessary in the fight against communism. While that ruse might have worked with Churchill [1], it would not with Eden. Tragically for thousands of belgian civilians and, ultimately, Belgium itself, that did not deter him. [/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...massive deportations had begun in Christmas 1943 and would continue during the following winter and Spring all over Belgium and the Netherlands. The thousands of displaced civilians were mostly used building Himmler's third phase: the Wotan Line. [/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...the Wotan Line is one of so many foremost examples of the mix of rationality and insanity that characterized the Kamarilla regime. At some level, both Himmler and Heydrich knew that a hastily built defense line behind the Rhine could not withstand a determined assault. However, they continued building and caused the death of up to 65% of all forced workers. While the fortified line would hold at some points during the final allied assault, it did little more than hamper it for a few days and divest precious german resources...[/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...together, Antwerp and the Wotan Line were designed to show the allies that a negotiated peace would be the better outcome. In itself, this was already a ludicrous prospective, but it might have achieved some results or leniency had it been pursued with coherence. However, german leadership continued deporting belgian and dutch civilians to Germany, and did not stop their more heinous crimes, that the Allies were beginning to learn from through the Italians, which undid any quantum of goodwill there could have been left in the allied side...[/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif][1]Churchill is not the civil saint he is IOTL. Mr. Mohinder is also slightly biased against the british due to his origins. [/FONT]




[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]During February and March 1944 Allied advance grinds to a halt due to the earlier than usual spring thaw, and more than anything, the difficulty to sustain an offensive in the entire width of a front that runs almost exactly through the same places as the trench lines of 1914-1918, from the Channel to the Swiss border. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]In the East, the french must stop their offensive in Alsace owing to the german fortress of Belfort and the difficult terrain of the Vosges, leaving the Germans with their backs against the river. Further west, allied advance involving british, french, spanish, portuguese and argentine troops is stopped by the heavily fortified cities of Metz and Sedan. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Only in the West, Patton's armoured offensive through what still is Western Belgium progresses smoothly, with only a few german armoured divisions trying to make a doomed stand to protect Brussels. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]What the allied command fails to see, though, is that this is only a dilatory action to buy some time for the defenders of Antwerp. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]The city of Antwerp itself lies inland, with the port extending miles and miles through the river Scheldt until the confusing mix of land and sea of the delta in the southern Netherlands, and then to open sea, 60 km from the city. Taking Antwerp by itself -as the allies learned to their peril in another timeline- is worth nothing unless the entire Scheldt delta can be made safe for allied navigation. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Closing the delta, an island watches the mouth of the river. The island is called Walcheren Island, and its strategical value saw it suffer during both the Eighty Years War and the Napoleonic Wars, only skipping WWI due to it being dutch territory. If Walcheren falls, it would be possible to slowly progress through the muddy islands in the northern side of the Scheldt and finally open the port to navigation. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]The plan, with the codename Operation Tinker Taylor Soldier[1] is rather complex and will concentrate all allied resources in the Western Front while all other operations are stopped. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Tinker: american forces led by Patton will capture Antwerp after breaking through western Belgium. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Taylor:protecting their right flank, the 1st canadian army, with support of belgian, portuguese and brazilians, will advance west of the Meuse valley and cross the dutch border to capture Breda, Tilburg and advance to the Lower Rhine. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Soldier will be the largest amphibious offensive since Sea Lion: the landing of american and british marines in Walcheren Island. Once Walcheren is captured, and with the canadians having captured the approaches to the delta, the opening of the Scheldt is taken as granted. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]As a support operation, the 2nd Canadian army from the north and french forces from the south will envelope or at least contain the salient of german forces going through Eastern Belgium, as far west as Namur. The germans here are expected to retreat to the safety of the Siegfried Line anyway. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]In February 28, Patton's vanguard crosses the belgian border. Four days later, while he fights for Ghent, Canadian troops enter Brussels. After the fall of Ghent in March 8, the allied command gives the green light to Tinker Taylor Soldier. While Patton's advance toward Antwerp is unhampered, german troops to his left refuse to cooperate and, retreating behind the Leopold Canal, attempt a last-ditch defense south of the Meuse around Zeebrugge and Knokke-Heist. Their dogged resistance will divert american resources from the Antwerp meatgrinder, and prevent the Soldier force from receiving direct support from the southern bank of the Scheldt. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Save for this, the Operation goes according to plan. It takes three months to take Antwerp instead of a week and losses are five to ten times higher than predicted, but the allies are finally able to open the Scheldt and start thinking about how to finally enter Germany.[/FONT]




[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif][1]It's sort of a Market Garden analogue, so it may as well have a silly composite name too. [/FONT]

battle_scheldt12.jpg

Outside Antwerp, March 1944

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]From: Down Like Inglorious Bastards. The last year of the Third Reich, by Rai Mohinder Pérez. Ed Alfaguara, Madrid, 2009[/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...as in the East, Antwerp was the first time when Waffen SS troops were charged with protecting objectives deemed of vital importance -the bottom line being that, in Himmler's Germany, the Heer was not 100% reliable. SS troops were the bulk of the Antwerp defenders, and while it cannot be said that they held the monopoly of war crimes during their occupation, they certainly...[/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...they were not actually expected to win. Their orders were to deny use of the port for as long as possible, and did so with fearsome and criminal determination. Regardless of the legitimacy of defending a military target, their use of civilians as human shields or their scorched earth tactics were completely unjustified...[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]German resistance at Antwerp will first surprise, then enrage the americans, but the battle for the city actually starts with an allied surprise, as the RAF succesfully uses the new Bunker Busters to great effect to destroy strongpoints in the outer defenses of the city. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Once the americans make it to the city and the port, however, things soon degenerate. This is the first time in the war american troops -many still fresh from basic instruction- have to face such a dogged resistance in urban terrain. The germans have learned a few tricks from their experience in Spain and Russia, but still, nothing had prepared the americans for the brutality of house to house fighting in Antwerp. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Review from “Pink Mist”; La Republica, Madrid, 2007[/FONT]

“[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...leaving aside all the heated controversy about the production of such an ambitious film supposedly glorifying war in this anniversary (does it? I don't think anyone is going to run to the nearest enlistment office after that first sequence), Pink Mist is, despite a few shortcomings, an accomplished cinematic that reaches its primary target of showing off its obscene budget -and director Charles Lautrec even manages to cram an interesting story in the middle of all the fireworks. [/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Enough has been told about the setting of the film so I won't go into further detail here: the savage and often forgotten battle that pitched the american and german armies in Antwerp during the spring of 1944. The opening scene depicting an american landing in the german side of the city...[/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...but following that impressive opening that shows off why this is the most expensive euro-soviet coproduction of all time and glues the watcher to his seat, the story sort of fizzles out. Lautrec's choice of making the film almost a western, showing the private war between a german sniper and the american ace sent to chase him, is interesting and provides several amazing and suspenseful scenes, but other parts of the plot, specially the very forced but obligatory love story between the american protagonist and the belgian girl...”[/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]"...in summary, Pink Mist is still a decent movie, even if with narrative issues, and a must see for the war film aficionado. It is a good thing that Lautrec does not shy away from showing the brutality of war, with the two more disturbing scenes -even more than the carnage of the opening- being the human shield scene, and the, already controversial and famous, scene of american soldiers shooting down SS prisoners at the end..."[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]
scheldt_7.jpg
[/FONT]

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Vlissingen, April 1944
[/FONT]



[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]While Taylor proceeds more or less on schedule with the canadians crossing the Dutch border in March 17 and reaching the Meuse at the beginning of April, Sailor suffers as many problems as Tinker. Despite an extensive naval and aerial bombing of Walcheren, the germans have spent the last years building defenses. The landings in March 20 suffer many setbacks: by the end of the day, many units are still stranded on the beach under heavy german fire. The situation only goes worse as it begins to rain on March 23 and all of Walcheren becomes a giant mud puddle, where german reinforcements keep pouring through the few roads the canadian advance through the Netherlands have left open. However, allied material superiority and the availability of close air and naval support soon tip the balance. The defenders of Walcheren are finally doomed when the british liberate Vlissingen in the south shore of the island in April 5, and when the canadians finally cut their last link with the rest of the Reich at Bergen op Zoom in Mid-April. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]By this point, the spring has already reached the ruins of Antwerp, but the fighting still will not abate for a month. At the end of April, the americans are able to break through the Leopold Canal and finally clean the southern bank, but the last remnants of SS resistance at Antwerp do not yield (as the allies have found out, surrender is too much of a loaded word for them) until May 4, after a two-month siege. Still, extensive damage to the port installations and thousands of mines laid by the germans will make the port unusable for at least a month. While the long pause has given the rest of the front time to resume the advance toward the Siegfried Line, the Rhine will have to wait a long time.
[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]
St%20Lo.jpg
[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]Central Antwerp, May 1944.
[/FONT]
 
I've had an idea about Spain's economy ITTL: I'd say it'll be a combination of low income tax but with high taxes on those who earn lots, as well as very high inheritance and land taxes, squeeze the rich kind of ideas.

I'd say this is accurate, yes. At some point spanish economist will start theorizing on market socialism as something quite distinct from social democracy, or some sort of mirror image of state capitalism.

Who do you plan to have winning the elections in 1945? If its Eden there is some hope for better policies than OTL to be enacted.

My plans so far involve a conservative victory due to to the tories's campaign being more reasonable than OTL and Eden enjoying victory over both Germany and Japan (my timeline on Japan's surrender is fuzzy, but it shouldn't be after March 1945, April tops), but their majority being narrow enough that a National Coalition with labour might be necessary.


The French and British economies both had something which the other needed badly at the time. France had excess agricultural produce but little coal, while for Britain it was the opposite. French iron ore will combine with British coal to make Franco-British steel here (any chance for the Oxygen furnace patents to be plundered unlike OTL?). France won't need German coal here, especially if it gets the Saarland.

This is very interesting, thanks for this info.
There is indeed a clear potential for this Europe to be more tighly knit than OTL but in different ways. It won't get a common currency and a common parliament. But it's militaries will have the same gear and equipment, its consumers standards will be the same (de facto imposition of Franco-British ones) and its transport network could end up more integrated too.

Yes, I'd say that TTL's EU equivalent (the European Community) would be built backwards with regards to OTL: military and market integration first, and perhaps a fixed currency convertibility, but a common currency would not even be considered until the 90's -if considered at all- and political institutions would probably be nonexistant.

Besides, and since the UN are likely to work in a different way, this alt-EU could begin with the extra legitimacy of being a UN-offshoot.


With Enoch Powell becoming British PM during the sixties, there is a good chance to have a different Thatcherism happening twenty years earlier than OTL. Powell won't be as dogmatic as the lady on these questions, but he might paradoxically be more radical. Read no privatisation of the railways (it would be a private monopoly), but likely full frontal competition in the telecoms industry and possibly even in mail and parcels. The sixties would be a perfect time for the latter actually, as mail volumes were on a steady rise then.

Who is heading the French government at the moment by the way, Reynaud, De Gaulle, Mandel, Blum?

De Gaulle -but I don't think he will last long after the war ends.

French politics will have the extra twist that, officially, the Third Republic never ceased to work -it only moved headquarters to Bordeaux first and then Algiers- and the 1875 Constitution, with its weak Executive branch and built-in governmental unstability is still in vigor - a point the french will be happy to insist upon to help forget all that unpleasantness with Doriot.
 
great updates, fianly the Nazis are going to be Crushed. It will be good to see the Western allies control all of germany. We must also liberate Poland, that way the post War will nnot have a Cold War.:)
 
I doubt that tensions between the USSR and the western world could be avoided even if Poland was to be liberated. The Soviet Union would still be a major, scary great power and some opposition against them is likely to emerge. Also, though I didn't add it on any map, I think the Anglo-Soviet occupation of Iran might still have occurred ITTL.

Of course, fascist Italy is also a scary dictatorship in this world, so there will probably be some hostility no matter what.
 
Also, though I didn't add it on any map, I think the Anglo-Soviet occupation of Iran might still have occurred ITTL.

Iran gave me quite a few headaches before I just gave up on thinking about it for the duration of the war. My take so far is that, with Germany and Italy being soundly defeated in the Mediterranean, the shah would quickly dispatch his german sympathies and try to coddle with both the british and soviets while attempting to reach out to the italians.
 
Iran cooperating with Italy would mean Iran cooperating with the Turks. So it's Britain, Russia, or by-proxy Turks. Basically I think Iran is just going to be sad for a while then get on with the business of being surrounded.

Egypt OTOH has pretty solid access to the Fascist sphere, right? Post-war butterflies should be flocking down the Nile.
 
A little calm before the final storm:

[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]NOTICIARIOS Y DOCUMENTALES (April 1944)[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif](soldiers shooting against a background of palm trees, long lines of asian-looking people walking towards the camera with their arms raised -not necessarily japanese- ships bombarding an unseen coast)[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]In the island of Java, the Royal Australian Army continues a victorious advance toward the city of Jakarta. Japanese resistance is useless as the natives give a joyous reception to their liberators...[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif](american carrier battlegroups, landing vehicles unloading Marines over some nameless pacific beach, Zeros and Mustangs dogfighting over the ocean, the same old stock footage of a flamethrower frying a japanese bunker)[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]On their way to join them and isolate the japanese islands from the rest of the Empire, the Americans have recently completed the liberation of the islands of Guam and Saipan in the Marianas...[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif](Monty looking at the camera looking smug, gurkhas moving through rice paddies, british carrier battlegroups moving through the straits of Malacca)[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]... the british offensive against the key city of Singapore continues. At the beginning of the month, Royal Marines landed and captured Selangor in Western Malaya... by all measures, the bulk of japanese forces in Southern Asia is retreating into the fortress of Singapore, where allied air, naval and material superiority will make short order of them...[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif](flamethrowers, a entire city block collapsing after a bombardment, american soldiers taking refuge behind rubble, SS prisoners paraded in front of the camera, smiling belgian civilians being fed at a campaign kitchen)[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...the battle for the city and port of Antwerp, the last stumbling block behing the final assault on the heart of Germany rages on. The enemy's resistance is spirited, but useless. Soon the city will be ready for the shipment of supplies straight into Germany...[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif](congressmen debating on the provisional Congress at El Escorial, working brigades building roads under a scorching sun, Negrín and Lister uneasily shaking hands, Negrin departing with Eden and De Gaulle in front of a still ruined Arc de Triomphe)[/FONT]
[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...reconstruction efforts continue steady throughout the Motherland one year after the Liberation. While much remains to be done, the joint effort of the spanish people continues to improve the situation of the Republic toward a better future. New factories are built by the same workers that now own them. The older palaces of the burgeoisie are now community clubs for the workers...[/FONT]






[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]From: Empire’s last Hurrah. The war in Southeastern Asia, 1942-1945. Joseph Billings, Oxford University Press, 1984.[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...while australian forces landed in southern Java, the island dissolved in chaos as indonesian collaborators suddenly found themselves headless. While a substantial amount of indonesian forces would fight next to the japanese, they were too badly trained and armed to make a substantial difference. It took the australian force (with portuguese and dutch complements) less than a month to cut short japanese resistance in the field, and only a couple of weeks to clean Jakarta, Surabaya and Bandung from the fanatical defenders. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...however, the invasion of Java was in the end a costly diversion: with oil, coal and metals being located mostly in the eastern half of the East Indies, Java and Sumatra provided little more than forced workers to the Japanese. The hopes that the japanese fleet would be forced to leave Singapore to threaten the australians were also unfounded. The australians reached the outskirts of Jakarta the same day indian forward units came into sight of Singapore Island: there was little they could have done to shorten the siege of the city. [/FONT]




[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]From “Symphony of Titans: the Eastern Front, 1942-1944”, by Eugene E. Richards, 1998. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...It is common to assume that the stop in major offensive operations during the spring of 1944 was due to the rasputitsa that prevented major troop movements and slowed attacking forces, stripping them from their momentum so necessary in soviet war doctrine. However, Stavka had to admit that the battle for Kiev had been harder than predicted and that soviet losses were completely unacceptable. It attests to the scale of the 1942 debacle that the gigantic losses of those months were still affecting soviet strategy when the germans were already well on their way to final defeat. This time, Stalin, soothed by the allied stagnation in front of Antwerp and the Siegfried Line, allowed a delay to better prepare what would be the final offensive...[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...Germany, on the other hand, completely neglected this few weeks of breathing space. Despite -or maybe due to- the dwindling resources devoted to the foolishness of the Wotan Line, the Heer finding itself more and more marginalized and SS reinforcements heading west, Himmler refused to do any more preparations for the offensive he knew would come....[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...the german retreat from Estonia and the northern half of Latvia had left Finland in a very difficult situation. The finnish never came close to threaten Leningrad from the north -and would have been unable to invest the city on their own- and soon realized that, on the offensive, they were in a similar predicament to what the soviets had been in 1939. Realizing that Germany could no longer support them, the finnish signed an armistice in April 12 that returned the borders to what they had been in June 1942. This may seem surprisingly lenient, since the Red Army could have crushed the Finns in months, but Stalin was realizing that he would have to go for the kill if he wanted to reach Berlin before the Western Allies, and Finland offered too little reward for the effort. Since then, Finland has been a peaceful, neutralized and trusted trading partner of the Soviet Union, allowed to keep much of its independence but always careful to never incur the wrath of its much more powerful neighbor...[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]From My War: reminiscences of the Great Independence War, by Enríque Líster, Ed. Espasa, Madrid, 1969[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]..we entered Sedan for the second time exactly four years after we had entered it the first, an April 25. And what four years! The german garrison had resisted our advances for one month after the fall of Reims at the end of winter, but they finally had to give way, retreating toward the Sigfried Line before the canadians could encircle them from the north. [/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...while I will not say I am a man prone to philosophies, I could not help but reminisce once our troops liberated the city and I set up headquarters in the same place I had in 1940. Seeing the the rubble of the recent battles mingled with the remains of the older combats made me think a lot. In 1940, we were a small force, badly trained and badly geared. I fondly remembered the now obsolete B1 Toro tanks that had helped us blunt the german attempts to cross the river, and how clunky they seemed in comparison with the sleek Shermans and Prims we sported now. I visited the places that had seen the harshest combats in the now long gone days of that spring four years ago and remembered everything that had gone away: the celebrations after the germans finally gave up on crossing the Meuse, the panic after they broke through that summer, the long retreat toward Spain, and most of all, the futile attempts to stop the enemy in Catalonia, the terrible defeat of 1941, the occupation of the Motherland and the bitter battle to liberate it the year before. In my personal life, I had gone from rising star in the national army to one of the Republic's main military minds, to a disgraced man after my political affiliations became suspect. But now that the commission had cleared me, I stood exactly in the same place I had four years before. And this time, I would not be content with defending my position. This time, my army was in a position to advance...[/FONT]


[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]...the realization dawned on me a few days after the liberation of Sedan had been complete: barring me and part of my staff, how many of those who had fought here in 1940 had managed to return? Very few, I found. A few of the 1940 veterans were still in the army but scattered throughout Europe, America and even Asia, many were back at home, either resting or having become unfit for combat, but a very large proportion was not anymore, fallen in countless battlefields scattered from Sedan to Gibraltar. Many of those who were currently fighting on the frontline had been little more than children in 1940. A few had joined the army when the nazis invaded, but there were many that had lived through the Occupation. I was not even 40 years old, but in a way, those new soldiers yearning to invade Germany and finish the war once and for all were striking me as a different generation, as products of a different Spain... [/FONT]






[FONT=Verdana, sans-serif]"...military historians use the term break, as in "we broke through the Siegfried Line." A more accurate way of expressing what actually happened would be that we punched through it, directly into Germany's trachea." -Claude Auchinleck. [/FONT]
 
Finland got an OTL neutrality. A good result considering the risk of being fully occupied by the Soviets.

Keep it up!:)
 
Well, as I've mentioned to Dr. Strangelove before, Finland did not get the exact post-Winter War borders in 1944 IOTL. The fact that they do here is probably a positive thing for them.

And to Dr. Strangelove, very good work. Considering the constant inactivity of the Eastern Front, it looks like the 1937 and 1941 purges sure did affect the army a great deal. However, the way this is going, with all those German forces being sent west, I have the feeling that when the next Soviet offensive occurs, it's going to slice through German lines like a knife through butter.
 
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